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【财联社】卖得低挣得却不一定比去年少！黄羽鸡“旺季难旺”，养殖端降本增利见成效-我的钢铁网
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<p>近日，有一线黄羽肉鸡养殖场相关人员向财联社记者透露，鸡多，需求却较为一般是今年面对的主要难题，“今年买的人还是不少，但没有去年多，消化我目前场里的鸡还是有一定压力的。而且今年价格没有去年高，往年这个时候半个月就涨了1块多一斤，但今年涨得特别缓慢，一毛两毛钱地涨，整体上比去年同期也更便宜。”</p> <p>新禽况数据统计显示，9月16日-22日，全国快速鸡均价为5.76元/斤，环比上涨0.05元/斤，涨幅0.9%；中速鸡全国均价6.53元/斤，环比上涨0.01元/斤，涨幅0.2%；慢速鸡全国均价为8.55元/斤，环比上涨0.10元/斤，涨幅1.2%。</p> <p>去年同期来看的话，快速鸡均价为6.87元/斤，中速鸡为7.32元/斤，慢速鸡为8.7元/斤。事实上，从相关上市企业数据来看，8月份相关企业涨价也非常缓慢，温氏股份（300498.SZ）8月肉鸡销售均价为13.21元/公斤，环比上升0.08%，同比下降12.34%；立华股份（300761.SZ）8月肉鸡销售均价为13.36元/公斤，环比上升1.29%，同比下降12.11%。</p> <p>今年价格上升缓慢且低于去年同期是为什么？温氏股份相关人员称，“供给和需求都有影响。”一线养殖人士感受更为深刻，“一般来说进入8月份后就逐渐步入黄羽肉鸡消费旺季了，但是今年鸡多，买鸡的人却并没有同样增长，导致相比去年同期出现价格落差。”</p> <p><span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>上海钢联<a href='https://m.myagric.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>农产品</a>事业部肉鸡分析师邹雨薇告诉财联社记者，“黄羽鸡价格有回升主要是由于8、9月为黄羽鸡传统销售旺季，高温雨水等因素影响下，养殖难度较大，同时市场需求增量，从而带动黄羽鸡价格回升。但同往年相比，今年黄羽鸡市场稍显旺季不旺，市场鸡源较为充足，基本不存在缺鸡的情况。终端需求同样表现一般，供需博弈之下，黄羽鸡价格大幅上行难度较大，缓慢回升为主。”</strong></span></p> <p><span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>展望后市，若需求没有出现较大恢复，或带动节假日后价格下行，邹雨微认为，“往年8、9、10月虽然都为黄羽肉鸡消费旺季，但今年旺季稍显不旺，国庆假期前的市场走货暂未明显见快，预计10月价格上行难度较大，节后价格或将出现回落，环比去年价格下跌。”</strong></span></p> <p>值得一提的是，虽然今年黄羽鸡价格难比去年，但相关养殖利润却未见下滑，前述养殖场相关人员告诉财联社记者，“因为今年饲料成本下降比较多，这方面对利润贡献非常大，导致虽然价格卖得低但还真不比去年挣得少，整体上还是能保证一定盈利的。”</p> <p>相关上市公司今年成本管控也取得较为明显进展，温氏股份7月份毛鸡出栏完全成本约5.9-6 元/斤，而去年同期为6.6元/斤；立华股份上半年斤鸡完全成本为6.1元/斤， 较去年同期下降13.48%，其中二季度斤鸡完全成本为5.9元/斤。</p> <p>旺季难旺，盈利或仍可期，温氏股份相关人员称，“温氏这边，随着饲料原料价格下降和生产经营持续高质量稳定。尽管（肉鸡）价格较为平稳，但成本下降较多，成本和价格之间差还不错，有较为合理的收益。”</p> <!--指标说明附件--> <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：费斐 021-26093397 </br> 资讯监督：乐卫扬 021-26093827 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span 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