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Phillipskurven - Wikipedia, den frie encyklopædi
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Tilgængelig på 44 sprog" > <label id="p-lang-btn-label" for="p-lang-btn-checkbox" class="vector-dropdown-label cdx-button cdx-button--fake-button cdx-button--fake-button--enabled cdx-button--weight-quiet cdx-button--action-progressive mw-portlet-lang-heading-44" aria-hidden="true" ><span class="vector-icon mw-ui-icon-language-progressive mw-ui-icon-wikimedia-language-progressive"></span> <span class="vector-dropdown-label-text">44 sprog</span> </label> <div class="vector-dropdown-content"> <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> <li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ar mw-list-item"><a href="https://ar.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D9%85%D9%86%D8%AD%D9%86%D9%89_%D9%81%D9%8A%D9%84%D9%8A%D8%A8%D8%B3" title="منحنى فيليبس – arabisk" lang="ar" hreflang="ar" data-title="منحنى فيليبس" data-language-autonym="العربية" data-language-local-name="arabisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>العربية</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-az mw-list-item"><a href="https://az.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fillips_%C9%99yrisi" title="Fillips əyrisi – aserbajdsjansk" lang="az" hreflang="az" data-title="Fillips əyrisi" data-language-autonym="Azərbaycanca" data-language-local-name="aserbajdsjansk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Azərbaycanca</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-bn mw-list-item"><a href="https://bn.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E0%A6%AB%E0%A6%BF%E0%A6%B2%E0%A6%BF%E0%A6%AA%E0%A7%8D%E2%80%8C%E0%A6%B8_%E0%A6%B0%E0%A7%87%E0%A6%96%E0%A6%BE" title="ফিলিপ্স রেখা – bengali" lang="bn" hreflang="bn" data-title="ফিলিপ্স রেখা" data-language-autonym="বাংলা" data-language-local-name="bengali" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>বাংলা</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ca mw-list-item"><a href="https://ca.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corba_de_Phillips" title="Corba de Phillips – catalansk" lang="ca" hreflang="ca" data-title="Corba de Phillips" data-language-autonym="Català" data-language-local-name="catalansk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Català</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-cs mw-list-item"><a href="https://cs.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillipsova_k%C5%99ivka" title="Phillipsova křivka – tjekkisk" lang="cs" hreflang="cs" data-title="Phillipsova křivka" data-language-autonym="Čeština" data-language-local-name="tjekkisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Čeština</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-de mw-list-item"><a href="https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillips-Kurve" title="Phillips-Kurve – tysk" lang="de" hreflang="de" data-title="Phillips-Kurve" data-language-autonym="Deutsch" data-language-local-name="tysk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Deutsch</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-el mw-list-item"><a href="https://el.wikipedia.org/wiki/%CE%9A%CE%B1%CE%BC%CF%80%CF%8D%CE%BB%CE%B7_%CE%A6%CE%AF%CE%BB%CE%BB%CE%B9%CF%80%CF%82" title="Καμπύλη Φίλλιπς – græsk" lang="el" hreflang="el" data-title="Καμπύλη Φίλλιπς" data-language-autonym="Ελληνικά" data-language-local-name="græsk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Ελληνικά</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-en mw-list-item"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillips_curve" title="Phillips curve – engelsk" lang="en" hreflang="en" data-title="Phillips curve" data-language-autonym="English" data-language-local-name="engelsk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>English</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-es mw-list-item"><a href="https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curva_de_Phillips" title="Curva de Phillips – spansk" lang="es" hreflang="es" data-title="Curva de Phillips" data-language-autonym="Español" data-language-local-name="spansk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Español</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-et mw-list-item"><a href="https://et.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillipsi_k%C3%B5ver" title="Phillipsi kõver – estisk" lang="et" hreflang="et" data-title="Phillipsi kõver" data-language-autonym="Eesti" data-language-local-name="estisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Eesti</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-eu mw-list-item"><a href="https://eu.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillipsen_kurba" title="Phillipsen kurba – baskisk" lang="eu" hreflang="eu" data-title="Phillipsen kurba" data-language-autonym="Euskara" data-language-local-name="baskisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Euskara</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-fa mw-list-item"><a href="https://fa.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D9%85%D9%86%D8%AD%D9%86%DB%8C_%D9%81%DB%8C%D9%84%DB%8C%D9%BE%D8%B3" title="منحنی فیلیپس – persisk" lang="fa" hreflang="fa" data-title="منحنی فیلیپس" data-language-autonym="فارسی" data-language-local-name="persisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>فارسی</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-fi mw-list-item"><a href="https://fi.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillipsin_k%C3%A4yr%C3%A4" title="Phillipsin käyrä – finsk" lang="fi" hreflang="fi" data-title="Phillipsin käyrä" data-language-autonym="Suomi" data-language-local-name="finsk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Suomi</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-fr mw-list-item"><a href="https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Courbe_de_Phillips" title="Courbe de Phillips – fransk" lang="fr" hreflang="fr" data-title="Courbe de Phillips" data-language-autonym="Français" data-language-local-name="fransk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Français</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-he mw-list-item"><a href="https://he.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D7%A2%D7%A7%D7%95%D7%9E%D7%AA_%D7%A4%D7%99%D7%9C%D7%99%D7%A4%D7%A1" title="עקומת פיליפס – hebraisk" lang="he" hreflang="he" data-title="עקומת פיליפס" data-language-autonym="עברית" data-language-local-name="hebraisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>עברית</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-hi mw-list-item"><a href="https://hi.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E0%A4%AB%E0%A4%BF%E0%A4%B2%E0%A4%BF%E0%A4%AA%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%B8_%E0%A4%B5%E0%A4%95%E0%A5%8D%E0%A4%B0" title="फिलिप्स वक्र – hindi" lang="hi" hreflang="hi" data-title="फिलिप्स वक्र" data-language-autonym="हिन्दी" data-language-local-name="hindi" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>हिन्दी</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-hr mw-list-item"><a href="https://hr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillipsova_krivulja" title="Phillipsova krivulja – kroatisk" lang="hr" hreflang="hr" data-title="Phillipsova krivulja" data-language-autonym="Hrvatski" data-language-local-name="kroatisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Hrvatski</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-hu mw-list-item"><a href="https://hu.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillips-g%C3%B6rbe" title="Phillips-görbe – ungarsk" lang="hu" hreflang="hu" data-title="Phillips-görbe" data-language-autonym="Magyar" data-language-local-name="ungarsk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Magyar</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-hy mw-list-item"><a href="https://hy.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D5%96%D5%AB%D5%AC%D5%AB%D5%BA%D5%BD%D5%AB_%D5%AF%D5%B8%D6%80" title="Ֆիլիպսի կոր – armensk" lang="hy" hreflang="hy" data-title="Ֆիլիպսի կոր" data-language-autonym="Հայերեն" data-language-local-name="armensk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Հայերեն</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-is mw-list-item"><a href="https://is.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillipsk%C3%BArfan" title="Phillipskúrfan – islandsk" lang="is" hreflang="is" data-title="Phillipskúrfan" data-language-autonym="Íslenska" data-language-local-name="islandsk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Íslenska</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-it mw-list-item"><a href="https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curva_di_Phillips" title="Curva di Phillips – italiensk" lang="it" hreflang="it" data-title="Curva di Phillips" data-language-autonym="Italiano" data-language-local-name="italiensk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Italiano</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ja mw-list-item"><a href="https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%83%95%E3%82%A3%E3%83%AA%E3%83%83%E3%83%97%E3%82%B9%E6%9B%B2%E7%B7%9A" title="フィリップス曲線 – japansk" lang="ja" hreflang="ja" data-title="フィリップス曲線" data-language-autonym="日本語" data-language-local-name="japansk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>日本語</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-kn mw-list-item"><a href="https://kn.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E0%B2%AB%E0%B2%BF%E0%B2%B2%E0%B2%BF%E0%B2%AA%E0%B3%8D%E0%B2%B8%E0%B3%8D_%E0%B2%B0%E0%B3%87%E0%B2%96%E0%B3%86" title="ಫಿಲಿಪ್ಸ್ ರೇಖೆ – kannada" lang="kn" hreflang="kn" data-title="ಫಿಲಿಪ್ಸ್ ರೇಖೆ" data-language-autonym="ಕನ್ನಡ" data-language-local-name="kannada" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>ಕನ್ನಡ</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ko mw-list-item"><a href="https://ko.wikipedia.org/wiki/%ED%95%84%EB%A6%BD%EC%8A%A4_%EA%B3%A1%EC%84%A0" title="필립스 곡선 – koreansk" lang="ko" hreflang="ko" data-title="필립스 곡선" data-language-autonym="한국어" data-language-local-name="koreansk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>한국어</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-lt mw-list-item"><a href="https://lt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Filipso_kreiv%C4%97" title="Filipso kreivė – litauisk" lang="lt" hreflang="lt" data-title="Filipso kreivė" data-language-autonym="Lietuvių" data-language-local-name="litauisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Lietuvių</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-lv mw-list-item"><a href="https://lv.wikipedia.org/wiki/Filipsa_l%C4%ABkne" title="Filipsa līkne – lettisk" lang="lv" hreflang="lv" data-title="Filipsa līkne" data-language-autonym="Latviešu" data-language-local-name="lettisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Latviešu</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-mk mw-list-item"><a href="https://mk.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A4%D0%B8%D0%BB%D0%B8%D0%BF%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0_%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%B2%D0%B0" title="Филипсова крива – makedonsk" lang="mk" hreflang="mk" data-title="Филипсова крива" data-language-autonym="Македонски" data-language-local-name="makedonsk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Македонски</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-my mw-list-item"><a href="https://my.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E1%80%96%E1%80%AD%E1%80%9C%E1%80%85%E1%80%BA%E1%80%99%E1%80%BB%E1%80%89%E1%80%BA%E1%80%B8%E1%80%80%E1%80%BD%E1%80%B1%E1%80%B8" title="ဖိလစ်မျဉ်းကွေး – burmesisk" lang="my" hreflang="my" data-title="ဖိလစ်မျဉ်းကွေး" data-language-autonym="မြန်မာဘာသာ" data-language-local-name="burmesisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>မြန်မာဘာသာ</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-nl mw-list-item"><a href="https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillipscurve" title="Phillipscurve – nederlandsk" lang="nl" hreflang="nl" data-title="Phillipscurve" data-language-autonym="Nederlands" data-language-local-name="nederlandsk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Nederlands</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-no mw-list-item"><a href="https://no.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillipskurven" title="Phillipskurven – bokmål" lang="nb" hreflang="nb" data-title="Phillipskurven" data-language-autonym="Norsk bokmål" data-language-local-name="bokmål" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Norsk bokmål</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-pl mw-list-item"><a href="https://pl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Krzywa_Phillipsa" title="Krzywa Phillipsa – polsk" lang="pl" hreflang="pl" data-title="Krzywa Phillipsa" data-language-autonym="Polski" data-language-local-name="polsk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Polski</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-pt mw-list-item"><a href="https://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curva_de_Phillips" title="Curva de Phillips – portugisisk" lang="pt" hreflang="pt" data-title="Curva de Phillips" data-language-autonym="Português" data-language-local-name="portugisisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Português</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ro mw-list-item"><a href="https://ro.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curba_Phillips" title="Curba Phillips – rumænsk" lang="ro" hreflang="ro" data-title="Curba Phillips" data-language-autonym="Română" data-language-local-name="rumænsk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Română</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ru mw-list-item"><a href="https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%9A%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%B2%D0%B0%D1%8F_%D0%A4%D0%B8%D0%BB%D0%BB%D0%B8%D0%BF%D1%81%D0%B0" title="Кривая Филлипса – russisk" lang="ru" hreflang="ru" data-title="Кривая Филлипса" data-language-autonym="Русский" data-language-local-name="russisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Русский</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-simple mw-list-item"><a href="https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillips_curve" title="Phillips curve – Simple English" lang="en-simple" hreflang="en-simple" data-title="Phillips curve" data-language-autonym="Simple English" data-language-local-name="Simple English" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Simple English</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-sk mw-list-item"><a href="https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillipsova_krivka" title="Phillipsova krivka – slovakisk" lang="sk" hreflang="sk" data-title="Phillipsova krivka" data-language-autonym="Slovenčina" data-language-local-name="slovakisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Slovenčina</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-sl mw-list-item"><a href="https://sl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillipsova_krivulja" title="Phillipsova krivulja – slovensk" lang="sl" hreflang="sl" data-title="Phillipsova krivulja" data-language-autonym="Slovenščina" data-language-local-name="slovensk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Slovenščina</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-sv mw-list-item"><a href="https://sv.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillipskurvan" title="Phillipskurvan – svensk" lang="sv" hreflang="sv" data-title="Phillipskurvan" data-language-autonym="Svenska" data-language-local-name="svensk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Svenska</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ta mw-list-item"><a href="https://ta.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E0%AE%AA%E0%AE%BF%E0%AE%B2%E0%AE%BF%E0%AE%AA%E0%AF%8D%E0%AE%B8%E0%AF%8D_%E0%AE%B5%E0%AE%B3%E0%AF%88%E0%AE%B5%E0%AF%81" title="பிலிப்ஸ் வளைவு – tamil" lang="ta" hreflang="ta" data-title="பிலிப்ஸ் வளைவு" data-language-autonym="தமிழ்" data-language-local-name="tamil" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>தமிழ்</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-tr mw-list-item"><a href="https://tr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillips_e%C4%9Frisi" title="Phillips eğrisi – tyrkisk" lang="tr" hreflang="tr" data-title="Phillips eğrisi" data-language-autonym="Türkçe" data-language-local-name="tyrkisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Türkçe</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-uk mw-list-item"><a href="https://uk.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%9A%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%B2%D0%B0_%D0%A4%D1%96%D0%BB%D0%BB%D1%96%D0%BF%D1%81%D0%B0" title="Крива Філліпса – ukrainsk" lang="uk" hreflang="uk" data-title="Крива Філліпса" data-language-autonym="Українська" data-language-local-name="ukrainsk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Українська</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-uz mw-list-item"><a href="https://uz.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fillips_egri_chizig%CA%BBi" title="Fillips egri chizigʻi – usbekisk" lang="uz" hreflang="uz" data-title="Fillips egri chizigʻi" data-language-autonym="Oʻzbekcha / ўзбекча" data-language-local-name="usbekisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Oʻzbekcha / ўзбекча</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-vi mw-list-item"><a href="https://vi.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C4%90%C6%B0%E1%BB%9Dng_cong_Phillips" title="Đường cong Phillips – vietnamesisk" lang="vi" hreflang="vi" data-title="Đường cong Phillips" data-language-autonym="Tiếng Việt" data-language-local-name="vietnamesisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Tiếng Việt</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-zh mw-list-item"><a href="https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E8%8F%B2%E5%88%A9%E6%99%AE%E6%96%AF%E6%9B%B2%E7%BA%BF" title="菲利普斯曲线 – kinesisk" lang="zh" hreflang="zh" data-title="菲利普斯曲线" data-language-autonym="中文" data-language-local-name="kinesisk" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>中文</span></a></li> </ul> <div class="after-portlet after-portlet-lang"><span class="wb-langlinks-edit wb-langlinks-link"><a href="https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Special:EntityPage/Q220841#sitelinks-wikipedia" title="Redigér sproglinks" class="wbc-editpage">Redigér links</a></span></div> </div> </div> </div> </header> <div class="vector-page-toolbar"> <div 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</div> <div id="contentSub"><div id="mw-content-subtitle"></div></div> <div id="mw-content-text" class="mw-body-content"><div class="mw-content-ltr mw-parser-output" lang="da" dir="ltr"><figure typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/Fil:Philipsus60.png" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d4/Philipsus60.png/300px-Philipsus60.png" decoding="async" width="300" height="212" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d4/Philipsus60.png/450px-Philipsus60.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d4/Philipsus60.png/600px-Philipsus60.png 2x" data-file-width="1123" data-file-height="794" /></a><figcaption>Phillipskurven i USA i 1960'erne</figcaption></figure> <p><b>Phillipskurven</b>, der blev fundet empirisk af <a href="/w/index.php?title=A.W._Phillips&action=edit&redlink=1" class="new" title="A.W. Phillips (ikke skrevet endnu)">A.W. Phillips</a> i 1958, viser i sin oprindelige form en sammenhæng mellem lønstigningstakten og <a href="/wiki/Arbejdsl%C3%B8shed" title="Arbejdsløshed">ledighedsprocenten</a> således, at falder ledigheden, så stiger <a href="/wiki/Inflation" title="Inflation">inflationen</a>. Phillipskurven er interessant, fordi den viser en sammenhæng mellem to af de vigtigste makroøkonomiske variable: inflation og ledighed. </p><p>Empirisk set har denne sammenhæng været meget ustabil. Ældre <a href="/wiki/Keynesianisme" title="Keynesianisme">keynesiansk teori</a> brugte Phillipskurven i sin oprindelige form som teoretisk grundlag, men efter <a href="/wiki/Stagflation" title="Stagflation">stagflationsperioden</a> i <a href="/wiki/1970%27erne" title="1970'erne">1970'erne</a> er det svært at fastholde, at Phillipskurven i sin oprindelige udgave giver mening. Nogle <a href="/wiki/Nykeynesianer" class="mw-redirect" title="Nykeynesianer">nykeynesianere</a> og <a href="/wiki/Monetarisme" title="Monetarisme">monetarister</a> antager normalt, at Phillipskurven er lodret på lang sigt, hvor niveauet markerer den strukturelle ledighed eller <a href="/w/index.php?title=NAIRU&action=edit&redlink=1" class="new" title="NAIRU (ikke skrevet endnu)">NAIRU</a> (Non Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment). Dog argumenterer de for, at kurven kan flyttes indad samtidig med, at inflationen holdes stabil. Dette sker ved at føre ekspansiv <a href="/wiki/Finanspolitik" title="Finanspolitik">finanspolitik</a> kombineret med at gennemføre strukturpolitiske tiltag, der påvirker strukturledighedens niveau. </p><p>Den oprindelige Phillipskurve er blevet kritiseret for ikke at inddrage inflationsforventninger. Hvis disse inddrages, vil Phillipskurven forskydes således, at samme ledighedsprocent kan hænge sammen med forskellige inflationsprocenter. Herved gives, at Phillipskurven på lang sigt er lodret. <a href="/wiki/Fortr%C3%A6ngning_(%C3%B8konomi)" title="Fortrængning (økonomi)">Fortrængningsmekanismer</a> forårsager også, at Phillips-kurven på lang sigt er lodret. Det er i dag almindeligt at tale om <b>den forventningsudvidede Phillipskurve</b>, der som navnet siger, inddrager inflationsforventninger som en selvstændig forklarende variabel for den faktiske inflation, og desuden tager højde for, at <a href="/wiki/Udbud" class="mw-redirect" title="Udbud">udbudsstød</a> også kan påvirke sammenhængen mellem inflation og ledighed.<sup id="cite_ref-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-1"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>1<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Phillipskurven_og_AD-AS-modellen">Phillipskurven og AD-AS-modellen</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Phillipskurven&veaction=edit&section=1" title="Redigér afsnit: Phillipskurven og AD-AS-modellen" class="mw-editsection-visualeditor"><span>redigér</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-divider"> | </span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Phillipskurven&action=edit&section=1" title="Edit section's source code: Phillipskurven og AD-AS-modellen"><span>rediger kildetekst</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Phillipskurven kan relateres direkte til <a href="/wiki/AD-AS-model" class="mw-redirect" title="AD-AS-model">AD-AS-modellen</a>. (1) Positivt efterspørgselsstød får AD-kurven til at rykke til højre. (2) Prisniveauet og produktionen stiger. (3) Dvs. at inflationen og beskæftigelsen stiger (det samme som at arbejdsløsheden falder). Her får vi altså <i>demand pull</i>-<a href="/wiki/Inflation" title="Inflation">inflation</a>. </p><p>Stød til AS-kurven derimod påvirker, at selve Phillipskurven rykker sig, da trade-off’et mellem inflation og arbejdsløshed er blevet strukturelt anderledes. Her får vi altså <i>cost push</i>-<a href="/wiki/Inflation" title="Inflation">inflation</a>. </p> <figure class="mw-halign-center" typeof="mw:File"><a href="/wiki/Fil:Adasphillip.JPG" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d1/Adasphillip.JPG/600px-Adasphillip.JPG" decoding="async" width="600" height="634" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d1/Adasphillip.JPG/900px-Adasphillip.JPG 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d1/Adasphillip.JPG/1200px-Adasphillip.JPG 2x" data-file-width="1527" data-file-height="1614" /></a><figcaption></figcaption></figure> <p>Dette viser også nogle afgørende ting om Phillipskurven på lang sigt. Hvis <a href="/w/index.php?title=Centralbanken&action=edit&redlink=1" class="new" title="Centralbanken (ikke skrevet endnu)">centralbanken</a> eksempelvis pumper <a href="/wiki/Penge" title="Penge">penge</a> ud i samfundet, bevæger man sig i første omgang til venstre langs Phillipskurven – det giver højere inflation, men lavere arbejdsløshed. Denne højere inflation vil virksomhederne og arbejderne dog tage højde for, og gradvist vil den kortsigtede AS-kurve i AD-AS-diagrammet rykke med venstre. Herved rykker Phillipskurven mod højre og afvejningen bliver dårligere. Dette viser sig også i, at man kan opstille følgende formel for Phillipskurven: </p><p>Arbejdsløshedsrate = strukturelt ledighedsniveau – a (aktuel inflation – forventet inflation) </p><p>På lang sigt er aktuel inflation = forventet inflation, og på lang sigt er Phillipskurven altså lodret. Spørgsmålet har dog været, hvor hurtigt man kommer til det lange sigt. Især inden for inflationsbekæmpelse har dette spillet en rolle. I figuren nedenfor kan spørgsmålet stilles som, hvor hurtigt bevægelsen går fra A over B til C, når man laver det kontraktive indgreb (rykker AD-kurven mod venstre) gennem pengepolitikken. <a href="/wiki/Nyklassisk_%C3%B8konomi" title="Nyklassisk økonomi">Nyklassiske</a> teoretikere såsom <a href="/wiki/Robert_Lucas" class="mw-redirect" title="Robert Lucas">Robert Lucas</a>, <a href="/wiki/Thomas_Sargent" class="mw-redirect" title="Thomas Sargent">Thomas Sargent</a> og <a href="/wiki/Robert_Barro" title="Robert Barro">Robert Barro</a> siger i teorien om <a href="/wiki/Rationelle_forventninger" title="Rationelle forventninger">rationelle forventninger</a>, at denne tilpasning kan gå meget hurtigt, og i teorien være øjeblikkelig, hvis befolkningen på forhånd er overbevist om, at indgrebet kommer. </p> <figure class="mw-halign-center" typeof="mw:File"><a href="/wiki/Fil:Inflationogtilpasning.JPG" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/62/Inflationogtilpasning.JPG/600px-Inflationogtilpasning.JPG" decoding="async" width="600" height="318" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/62/Inflationogtilpasning.JPG/900px-Inflationogtilpasning.JPG 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/62/Inflationogtilpasning.JPG/1200px-Inflationogtilpasning.JPG 2x" data-file-width="1543" data-file-height="819" /></a><figcaption></figcaption></figure> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Referencer">Referencer</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Phillipskurven&veaction=edit&section=2" title="Redigér afsnit: Referencer" class="mw-editsection-visualeditor"><span>redigér</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-divider"> | </span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Phillipskurven&action=edit&section=2" title="Edit section's source code: Referencer"><span>rediger kildetekst</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r11780210">.mw-parser-output .reflist{font-size:90%;margin-bottom:0.5em;list-style-type:decimal}.mw-parser-output .reflist .references{font-size:100%;margin-bottom:0;list-style-type:inherit}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns-2{column-width:30em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns-3{column-width:25em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns{margin-top:0.3em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns ol{margin-top:0}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns li{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .reflist-upper-alpha{list-style-type:upper-alpha}.mw-parser-output .reflist-upper-roman{list-style-type:upper-roman}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-alpha{list-style-type:lower-alpha}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-greek{list-style-type:lower-greek}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-roman{list-style-type:lower-roman}</style><div class="reflist"> <div class="mw-references-wrap"><ol class="references"> <li id="cite_note-1"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-1">^</a></span> <span class="reference-text"> Mankiw, N. G. og M. P. Taylor (2008): Macroeconomics, European Edition, kapitel 13. Worth Publishers, New York</span> </li> </ol></div></div> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Eksterne_henvisninger">Eksterne henvisninger</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Phillipskurven&veaction=edit&section=3" title="Redigér afsnit: Eksterne henvisninger" class="mw-editsection-visualeditor"><span>redigér</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-divider"> | </span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Phillipskurven&action=edit&section=3" title="Edit section's source code: Eksterne henvisninger"><span>rediger kildetekst</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://altandetlige.dk/blog/henrikjensen/alban-doed%2C-kurve-lever-449">Henrik Jensen: Alban er død, men hans kurve lever - blog på altandetlige.dk</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20130908093808/http://altandetlige.dk/blog/henrikjensen/alban-doed%2C-kurve-lever-449">Arkiveret</a> 8. september 2013 hos <a href="/wiki/Wayback_Machine" title="Wayback Machine">Wayback Machine</a></li></ul> <p><br /> </p> <div class="navbox-styles"><style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r11759279">.mw-parser-output .hlist dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist ul{margin:0;padding:0}.mw-parser-output .hlist dd,.mw-parser-output .hlist dt,.mw-parser-output .hlist li{margin:0;display:inline}.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline,.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline ul,.mw-parser-output .hlist dl dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist dl ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist dl ul,.mw-parser-output .hlist ol dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist ol ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist ol ul,.mw-parser-output .hlist ul dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist ul ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist ul ul{display:inline}.mw-parser-output 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style="width:1%;text-align:left;background-color:#d0f0c0;color:#000000;">Emner</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0;background:transparent; text-align:left/center;"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Mikro%C3%B8konomi" title="Mikroøkonomi">Mikroøkonomi</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Makro%C3%B8konomi" title="Makroøkonomi">Makroøkonomi</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Erhvervs%C3%B8konomi" title="Erhvervsøkonomi">Erhvervsøkonomi</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Finansiel_%C3%B8konomi" title="Finansiel økonomi">Finansiel økonomi</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Arbejdsmarkeds%C3%B8konomi" title="Arbejdsmarkedsøkonomi">Arbejdsmarkedsøkonomi</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/International_%C3%B8konomi" title="International økonomi">International økonomi</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Velf%C3%A6rds%C3%B8konomi" title="Velfærdsøkonomi">Velfærdsøkonomi</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Politisk_%C3%B8konomi" title="Politisk økonomi">Politisk 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style="width:1%;text-align:left;background-color:#d0f0c0;color:#000000;">Metoder</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0;background:transparent; text-align:left/center;"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/%C3%98konomisk_model" title="Økonomisk model">Økonomiske modeller</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Matematik" title="Matematik">Matematik</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Statistik" title="Statistik">Statistik</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/%C3%98konometri" title="Økonometri">Økonometri</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Spilteori" title="Spilteori">Spilteori</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Eksperiment" title="Eksperiment">Eksperimenter</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Nationalregnskab" title="Nationalregnskab">Nationalregnskab</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Operationsanalyse" title="Operationsanalyse">Operationsanalyse</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%;text-align:left;background-color:#d0f0c0;color:#000000;">Problemstillinger</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0;background:transparent; text-align:left/center;"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Konjunktur" title="Konjunktur">Konjunktur</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Arbejdsl%C3%B8shed" title="Arbejdsløshed">Arbejdsløshed</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/%C3%98konomisk_v%C3%A6kst" title="Økonomisk vækst">Vækst</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Efficiens" title="Efficiens">Efficiens</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Markedsfejl" title="Markedsfejl">Markedsfejl</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Indkomstfordeling" title="Indkomstfordeling">Indkomstfordeling</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Inflation" title="Inflation">Inflation</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Deflation" title="Deflation">Deflation</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stagflation" title="Stagflation">Stagflation</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Likviditetsf%C3%A6lde" title="Likviditetsfælde">Likviditetsfælde</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Offentlig_g%C3%A6ld" title="Offentlig gæld">Offentlig gæld</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Offentlig_saldo" title="Offentlig saldo">Offentlig saldo</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Finanspolitik" title="Finanspolitik">Finanspolitik</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Finanspolitisk_holdbarhed" title="Finanspolitisk holdbarhed">Finanspolitisk holdbarhed</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Penge" title="Penge">Penge</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Pengem%C3%A6ngde" title="Pengemængde">Pengemængde</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Pengeskabelse" title="Pengeskabelse">Pengeskabelse</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Pengepolitik" title="Pengepolitik">Pengepolitik</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Konkurrenceevne" title="Konkurrenceevne">Konkurrenceevne</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Betalingsbalance" title="Betalingsbalance">Betalingsbalance</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Skat" title="Skat">Skat</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Finanskrise" title="Finanskrise">Finanskriser</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Valutapolitik" title="Valutapolitik">Valutapolitik</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/%C3%98konomisk_politik" title="Økonomisk politik">Økonomisk politik</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/%C3%98konomisk_ulighed" title="Økonomisk ulighed">Økonomisk ulighed</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%;text-align:left;background-color:#d0f0c0;color:#000000;">Specifikke modeller</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0;background:transparent; text-align:left/center;"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Keynesianske_kryds" title="Keynesianske kryds">Keynesianske kryds</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/IS-LM-modellen" title="IS-LM-modellen">IS-LM-modellen</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/AD-AS-modellen" title="AD-AS-modellen">AD-AS-modellen</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Kvantitetsteorien" title="Kvantitetsteorien">Kvantitetsteorien</a></li> <li><a class="mw-selflink selflink">Phillipskurven</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Annual_Danish_Aggregate_Model" title="Annual Danish Aggregate Model">ADAM</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/DREAM" title="DREAM">DREAM</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/HEIMDAL" title="HEIMDAL">HEIMDAL</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/MAKRO_(%C3%B8konomisk_model)" title="MAKRO (økonomisk model)">MAKRO</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%;text-align:left;background-color:#d0f0c0;color:#000000;">Teorihistorie</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0;background:transparent; text-align:left/center;"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Skolastik" title="Skolastik">Skolastik</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Merkantilisme" title="Merkantilisme">Merkantilisme</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Fysiokrater" title="Fysiokrater">Fysiokrater</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Klassisk_%C3%B8konomi" title="Klassisk økonomi">Klassisk</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Neoklassisk_%C3%B8konomi" title="Neoklassisk økonomi">Neoklassisk</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Keynesianisme" title="Keynesianisme">Keynesiansk</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Kapitalkontroversen" title="Kapitalkontroversen">Kapitalkontroversen</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Monetarisme" title="Monetarisme">Monetaristisk</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Nyklassisk_%C3%B8konomi" title="Nyklassisk økonomi">Nyklassisk</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Nykeynesiansk_%C3%B8konomi" title="Nykeynesiansk økonomi">Nykeynesiansk</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Mainstream-%C3%B8konomi" title="Mainstream-økonomi">Mainstream</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%;text-align:left;background-color:#d0f0c0;color:#000000;"><a href="/wiki/Heterodoks_%C3%B8konomi" title="Heterodoks økonomi">Heterodoks økonomi</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0;background:transparent; text-align:left/center;"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/%C3%98konofysik" title="Økonofysik">Fysisk</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Georgisme" title="Georgisme">Georgistisk</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Marxistisk_%C3%B8konomi" title="Marxistisk økonomi">Marxistisk</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Post-keynesiansk_%C3%B8konomi" title="Post-keynesiansk økonomi">Post-keynesiansk</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/%C3%98kologisk_%C3%B8konomi" title="Økologisk økonomi">Økologisk</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Den_%C3%B8strigske_skole" title="Den østrigske skole">Østrigsk</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%;text-align:left;background-color:#d0f0c0;color:#000000;">Lister</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0;background:transparent; text-align:left/center;"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/JEL-klassificering" title="JEL-klassificering">JEL-klassificering af økonomiske emner</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Sveriges_Riksbanks_pris_i_%C3%B8konomi" title="Sveriges Riksbanks pris i økonomi">Nobelprisvindere</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/John_Bates_Clark-medaljen" title="John Bates Clark-medaljen">John Bates Clark-medaljen</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%;text-align:left;background-color:#d0f0c0;color:#000000;">Andre emner</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0;background:transparent; text-align:left/center;"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Abenomics" title="Abenomics">Abenomics</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Kvantitativ_lempelse" title="Kvantitativ lempelse">Kvantitativ lempelse</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Elasticitet_(%C3%B8konomi)" title="Elasticitet (økonomi)">Elasticiteter</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><td class="navbox-abovebelow" colspan="3" style="text-align:center;background-color:#d0f0c0;color:#000000;"><div>Relaterede kategorier: <a href="/wiki/Kategori:%C3%98konomi" title="Kategori:Økonomi">Økonomi</a></div></td></tr></tbody></table></div> <div class="navbox-styles"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r11759279"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r11752089"></div><div role="navigation" class="navbox" aria-labelledby="Autoritetsdata" style="padding:3px"><table class="nowraplinks hlist navbox-inner" style="border-spacing:0;background:transparent;color:inherit"><tbody><tr><th id="Autoritetsdata" scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Autoritetsdata" title="Autoritetsdata">Autoritetsdata</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Library_of_Congress_Control_Number" title="Library of Congress Control Number">LCCN</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100811">sh85100811</a></span></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Gemeinsame_Normdatei" title="Gemeinsame Normdatei">GND</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://d-nb.info/gnd/4174269-2">4174269-2</a></span></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Biblioth%C3%A8que_nationale_de_France" title="Bibliothèque nationale de France">BNF</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://catalogue.bnf.fr/ark:/12148/cb11972114r">cb11972114r</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://data.bnf.fr/ark:/12148/cb11972114r">(data)</a></span></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Den_Store_Danske_Encyklop%C3%A6di" title="Den Store Danske Encyklopædi">DSD</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="//denstoredanske.lex.dk/Phillipskurve">Phillipskurve</a></span></li></ul> </div></td></tr></tbody></table></div> <!-- NewPP limit report Parsed by 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