Mysteel年报：2025年宁夏建筑钢材价格或者继续呈现震荡态势-我的钢铁网

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<p>1、宁夏建筑钢材市场全年整体弱势运行，长期处于低于全国价格洼地，第四季度区域钢企检修减产较多。</p> <p>2、受房地产行业下行以及基建见顶影响，宁夏区域建筑钢材需求大幅萎缩。</p> <p>3、供需矛盾突出，区域内建筑钢材年产量约500万吨，但市场需求量仅在130万吨。</p> <p><strong>二、202</strong><strong>4</strong><strong>年宁夏建筑</strong>钢材价格<strong>运行情况回顾</strong></p> <p><strong>价格高开低走常年价格洼地</strong></p> <p><strong><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/12/31/1603151.png" alt="<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>：宁夏建筑钢材2024年市场回顾与2025年展望" width="503" height="278" /></strong></p> <p>2024年开年以来，宁夏区域建筑钢材价格呈现震荡上扬态势，价格一度突破4000元/吨。但是随着需求不及预期，3月份之后区域内价格快速走低。本地市场商户为了减少亏损，加快冬储资源出货，竞相压价，市场价格加速下滑，市场悲观情绪弥漫，主导钢厂建筑钢材价格一度在9月初跌破3000元/吨。后期随着国家宏观利好政策以及房地产行业降低利率等一些列政策频出，市场价格震荡上扬，但依然维持时间较短，目前维持在3340元/吨，低于全国均价154元/吨。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/12/31/1603152.png" alt="" width="472" height="287" /></p> <p>与周边市场相比，以20mm<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010101-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>螺纹钢</a>为例，银川低于兰州市场49元/吨，低于包头市场21元/吨。相比去年，与兰州市场价差有所缩小，与包头市场相比扩大30元/吨。不论从全国还是周边市场来看，宁夏银川区域建筑钢材价格处于价格洼地。</p> <p><strong>冬储积极性一般库存增加缓慢</strong></p> <p><strong> <img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/12/31/1603153.png" alt="" width="484" height="287" /></strong></p> <p> 经历了2023年冬储以后，区域内贸易商面临了大面积亏损。直至今年，本地市场商家开始谨慎冬储存货，市场库存维持较低水平。据不完全统计，截止目前，宁夏区域建筑钢材库存约在2万吨，相比去年同期减少约0.4万吨。另一方面，则是由于今年春节较早，加之对于后市看法偏空，多数商家计划直接等春节后视价格情况再做春储。而如今由于天气气候原因，区域内大部分商家已经放假休息，春节前社会库存大幅增加可能性较低，整体增加缓慢。</p> <p><strong> </strong></p> <p><strong>供大于求竞争激烈</strong></p> <p><strong><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/12/31/1603154.png" alt="" width="476" height="274" /></strong></p> <p>从上图可以看出来，从2023年到2024年，宁夏区域建材产量经过高峰开始下降。2023年周均产量约7.65万吨到目前约7.1万吨，降幅达7.1%。虽然2024年需求下降以及亏损，区域内钢厂检修减产下降较多，但是整体产量依然高达400万吨以上。可是，今年宁夏区域建材总需求量仅在130万吨，供需矛盾突出。在有限需求量之下，本地市场竞争也更加激烈。从去年本地钢企多是西北周边市场发货，如今由于内蒙地区价格较高，开始外发，并且经由内蒙区域外发至京津冀等地。未来，随着本地市场需求继续下降，市场竞争更加激烈。</p> <p><strong>三、202</strong><strong>5</strong><strong>年宁夏市场展望</strong></p> <p>2024年已经即将结束，宁夏区域大部分贸易商也已经离开钢材市场，回家过年，整个市场非常冷清。目前除了部分贸易商冬储资源到货，其他钢厂也无太多新资源到货，市场基本无成交。展望2025年，从供给角度来看，区域内产能依然供大于求，预计2024年粗钢产量依然在500万吨左右。不过，好在区域内部分钢厂已经开始谋划转型，增加生产其他品种。从需求方面来看，宁夏区域基本依然以房建和部分基建为主，政府近期又公布一系列项目，加之去年尚未完工项目，预计需求量与去年相差不多。从价格方面来看，近期宁夏区域建筑钢材价格有价无市，整体价格相比周边市场偏高，后期市场销售压力偏大，预计春节后本地市场价格多是震荡调整态势。</p> <p><strong> </strong></p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：景薇 021-26093766 </br> 资讯监督：姜红 021-26093688 </br> 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p 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