Research @ BEA | U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

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class="media-left hidden-xs"><img alt="Photo of crowds grouped in the shape of mechanical gears." src="/system/files/researchers-fellowship-program.png" width="145" /> </div> <div class="media-body"> <h3 class="media-heading"><span>Research</span>Fellowship Program<i class="fa fa-arrow-circle-right" aria-hidden="true"></i></h3> <p>Read about BEA fellowship opportunities with the American Statistical Association and National Science Foundation.</p> </div> </div> </a>  </div> </div> </article> <section class="views-element-container block block-views block-views-blockpapers-v3-block-1 clearfix" id="block-views-block-papers-v3-block-1" data-block-plugin-id="views_block:papers_v3-block_1"> <h2 class="block-title">Latest Research</h2> <div region="content" class="form-group"><div class="view view-papers-v3 view-id-papers_v3 view-display-id-block_1 js-view-dom-id-b8f55cf009d01760076a92359c622091f4d41aa97f239d053485b695fbcde552"> <div class="view-header"> <p><strong>The views expressed in these papers are solely those of the authors and not necessarily those of the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis or the U.S. Department of Commerce.</strong></p> <hr> </div> <div class="view-content"> <div class="card card-document clearfix"><h2 class="paper-title"><a href="/research/papers/2024/consumer-learning-and-price-index-bias-how-diffusion-product-quality-knowledge" hreflang="en">Consumer Learning and Price Index Bias: How Diffusion of Product Quality Knowledge Impacts Measures of Price Change</a></h2><div class="presentation-note"><p> </p> <div id="UMS_TOOLTIP" style="position: absolute; cursor: pointer; z-index: 2147483647; background-color: transparent; top: -100000px; left: -100000px; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </div> </div><div class="paper-abstract"><p>There is a general consensus that the bias associated with the entry of new merchants has nontrivial implications for measuring inflation. However, quantifying the bias empirically has proven difficult in part because little is known about how much of the price differences in goods sold by new… <a href="/research/papers/2024/consumer-learning-and-price-index-bias-how-diffusion-product-quality-knowledge" class="views-more-link">Read more</a></div><div class="paper-author">By Daniel Ripperger-Suhler</div><div class="paper-publication-date"><span>Published</span><time datetime="2024-11-26T12:00:00Z">November 2024</time> </div></div> <div class="card card-document clearfix"><h2 class="paper-title"><a href="/research/papers/2024/nowcasting-distributional-national-accounts-united-states-machine-learning" hreflang="en">Nowcasting Distributional National Accounts for the United States: A Machine Learning Approach</a></h2><div class="presentation-note"><p> </p> <div id="UMS_TOOLTIP" style="position: absolute; cursor: pointer; z-index: 2147483647; background-color: transparent; top: -100000px; left: -100000px; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </div> </div><div class="paper-abstract"><p>Inequality statistics are usually calculated from high-quality, comprehensive survey or administrative microdata. Naturally, this data is typically available with a lag of at least 9 months from the reference period. In turbulent times, there is interest in knowing the distributional impacts of… <a href="/research/papers/2024/nowcasting-distributional-national-accounts-united-states-machine-learning" class="views-more-link">Read more</a></div><div class="paper-author">By Marina Gindelsky, Gary Cornwall</div><div class="paper-publication-date"><span>Published</span><time datetime="2024-09-11T12:00:00Z">September 2024</time> </div></div> <div class="card card-document clearfix"><h2 class="paper-title"><a href="/research/papers/2024/do-price-deflators-high-tech-goods-overstate-quality-change" hreflang="en">Do Price Deflators for High-Tech Goods Overstate Quality Change?</a></h2><div class="presentation-note"><p> </p> <div id="UMS_TOOLTIP" style="position: absolute; cursor: pointer; z-index: 2147483647; background-color: transparent; top: -100000px; left: -100000px; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </div> </div><div class="paper-abstract"><p>This paper studies chained price indexes for goods in high-tech sectors, how they handle quality change and whether they will likely suffer from chain drift issues. We argue that chained indexes do not handle quality change properly; though the underlying bilateral indexes hold quality constant… <a href="/research/papers/2024/do-price-deflators-high-tech-goods-overstate-quality-change" class="views-more-link">Read more</a></div><div class="paper-author">By Ana M. Aizcorbe, Daniel Ripperger-Suhler</div><div class="paper-publication-date"><span>Published</span><time datetime="2024-09-10T12:00:00Z">September 2024</time> </div></div> <div class="card card-document clearfix"><h2 class="paper-title"><a href="/research/papers/2024/expanding-frontier-economic-statistics-using-big-data-case-study-regional" hreflang="en"> Expanding the Frontier of Economic Statistics Using Big Data: A Case Study of Regional Employment</a></h2><div class="presentation-note"><p> </p> <div id="UMS_TOOLTIP" style="position: absolute; cursor: pointer; z-index: 2147483647; background-color: transparent; top: -100000px; left: -100000px; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </div> </div><div class="paper-abstract"><p>Big data offers potentially enormous benefits for improving economic measurement, but it also presents challenges (e.g., lack of representativeness and instability), implying that their value is not always clear. We propose a framework for quantifying the usefulness of these data sources for… <a href="/research/papers/2024/expanding-frontier-economic-statistics-using-big-data-case-study-regional" class="views-more-link">Read more</a></div><div class="paper-author">By Abe C. Dunn, Eric English, Kyle K. Hood, Lowell Mason, Brian Quistorff</div><div class="paper-publication-date"><span>Published</span><time datetime="2024-08-02T12:00:00Z">August 2024</time> </div></div> </div> </div> </div> </section> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="full-width"> <div class="container"> <div class="row last-modified"> <div class="col-xs-12 col-sm-6"> <div class="download-link"><a href="http://get.adobe.com/reader/">Download Acrobat Reader</a></div> </div> <div class="col-xs-12 col-sm-6"> <div class="date-info">Page last modified on 2/16/21</div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <footer class="footer container" role="contentinfo"> <div class="region region-footer"> <section id="block-beagovfooter" data-block-plugin-id="block_content:aa0d67fd-5738-4477-83ce-e17e948518e8" class="block block-block-content block-block-contentaa0d67fd-5738-4477-83ce-e17e948518e8 clearfix"> <div class="field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field--item"><div class="container"> <div class="row"> <div class="col-lg-12"> <h4>Bureau of Economic Analysis <span> 4600 Silver Hill Road • Suitland, MD 20746 </span></h4> </div> </div> <div class="row"> <div class="col-sm-4"> <ul class="footer-links"> <li class="text-large"><a href="//www.bea.gov/contact-us">Contact Us</a></li> <li class="text-large"><a href="//www.bea.gov/about/working-at-bea">Working at BEA</a></li> <li class="text-large"><a href="//www.bea.gov/help/faq">Frequently Asked Questions</a></li> <li class="text-large"><a href="//www.bea.gov/about/policies-and-information">Our Policies</a></li> <li class="text-large"><a href="/privacy">Privacy</a></li> </ul> </div> <div class="col-sm-4"> <ul class="footer-links"> <li><a href="//www.bea.gov/statement-commitment-scientific-integrity-principal-statistical-agencies">Commitment to Scientific Integrity</a></li> <li><a href="//www.bea.gov/about/policies-and-information/data-dissemination">Data Dissemination Practices</a></li> <li><a href="//www.bea.gov/open-data">Open Data</a></li> <li><a href="https://www.usa.gov/">USA.gov</a></li> <li><a href="https://business.usa.gov">Business USA</a></li> <li><a href="http://www.osec.doc.gov/ocr/nofear/nofear.htm">No FEAR Act</a></li> <li><a href="http://osec.doc.gov/opog/FOIA/default.html">FOIA</a></li> <li><a href="https://www.commerce.gov/">U.S. Department of Commerce</a></li> <li><a href="https://apps.bea.gov/status/">Emergency Status </a></li> </ul> </div> <div class="col-sm-4"> <ul class="footer-links"> <li><a href="//www.bea.gov/news/blog">The BEA Wire | BEA's Official Blog</a></li> <li><a href="https://apps.bea.gov/rss/rss.xml" title="BEA's RSS Feeds">News Release Feed (RSS)</a></li> <li><a href="/_subscribe/" title="Email Subscription Service">Sign up for Email Notifications</a></li> </ul> <div class="footer-links-toolbar"> <a class="footer-icon-social-instagram" href="https://www.instagram.com/usbeagov/"></a> <a class="footer-icon-social-twitter" href="https://x.com/bea_news"></a> <a class="footer-icon-social-facebook" href="https://www.facebook.com/usbeagov"></a> <a class="footer-icon-social-linkedin" href="https://www.linkedin.com/company/bureau-of-economic-analysis"></a> <a class="footer-icon-social-youtube" href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCCP9QD1x_z__duUivA6Yb5w"></a> </div> </div> </div> </div> <style> footer ul li[class*="footer-icon-social"] a { color: rgba(255,255,255,1) !important; 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