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href="#comment"><i class="icon icon-comments-anchor"></i><span>0</span></a> <a class="share-weibo" href="http://service.weibo.com/share/share.php?title=2018%E5%B9%B4%E5%8D%8A%E5%AF%BC%E4%BD%93%E7%85%A7%E6%98%8E%E4%BA%A7%E4%B8%9A%E5%8F%91%E5%B1%95%E8%93%9D%E7%9A%AE%E4%B9%A6&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.casmita.com%2Fdown%2F201901%2F01%2F6.html&pic=" target="_blank"><i class="icon icon-weibo"></i><span>微博</span></a> <a class="share-qzone" href="https://sns.qzone.qq.com/cgi-bin/qzshare/cgi_qzshare_onekey?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.casmita.com%2Fdown%2F201901%2F01%2F6.html&title=2018%E5%B9%B4%E5%8D%8A%E5%AF%BC%E4%BD%93%E7%85%A7%E6%98%8E%E4%BA%A7%E4%B8%9A%E5%8F%91%E5%B1%95%E8%93%9D%E7%9A%AE%E4%B9%A6" target="_blank"><i class="icon icon-qzone"></i><span>Qzone</span></a> <a class="share-wechat"><i class="icon icon-wechat"></i><span>微信</span></a> </div> <div class="content-box"> <h1 class="title" id="title">2018年半导体照明产业发展蓝皮书</h1> <div class="info"><span class="f_r"><img src="http://www.casmita.com/file/ext/pdf.gif" width="16" height="14" title="PDF文档" align="absmiddle"/></span> 日期:2019-01-01 浏览:<span id="hits">3536</span> 下载:<span id="download">2372</span> 体积:1.6M <a href="http://www.casmita.com/comment/index.php?mid=15&itemid=6">评论:0</a> </div> <div id="down"><br/><br/><br/><br/><br/><br/> <center><img src="http://www.casmita.com/skin/default/image/load.gif"/></center> <br/><br/><br/><br/><br/><br/> </div> <div class="content" id="content"> <strong>前言</strong> <div> </div> <div> <strong>2018年是世界经济格局大发展大变革大挑战的一个重要转折点。</strong>相较于2017年世界经济触底回升,实现相对强劲复苏,2018年全球经济在保持温和增长的同时,呈现动能放缓和分化加剧两大趋势。主要经济体增长态势、通胀水平和货币政策分化明显,美国经济表现超出市场预期。美联储持续加息,新兴经济体资本流出加剧,金融市场持续震荡。保护主义和单边主义抬头,美国、墨西哥和加拿大达成新的高标准贸易协定,WTO改革箭在弦上,国际经贸规则出现保守化、碎片化和高标准化调整趋势。与此同时,新技术、新产业、新业态、新模式正在给人类的社会生产、就业、消费和日常生活带来颠覆性变化。人工智能加速渗透,网络安全上升至国家和公共安全高度得以重视,物联网将科技深入万物内部,数字转型促使IT和业务紧密融合。</div> <div> </div> <div> <strong>2018年是中国经济最具挑战的一年。</strong>2018年中国宏观经济既没有“触底企稳”,也没有步入稳定复苏的“新周期”,反而在内部“攻坚战”与外部“贸易战”的叠加中全面步入新常态的新阶段。2018年,国民经济运行继续保持总体平稳、稳中有进、转型升级深化发展,全年经济社会发展主要目标任务较好完成。同时,上合组织峰会、中非合作论坛、进博会等重大国际活动成功举办,以“一带一路”建设为重点的全面开放新格局正在形成,坚持“两个毫不动摇”,支持民营经济繁荣发展,有力地回应了社会关切,释放出正本清源、增强信心的强大正能量。但我们也要看到,国内外环境依然错综复杂,经济运行稳中有变,稳中有缓,下行压力有所加大。具体表现如,国民经济整体增速趋缓,房地产市场继续严控,去杠杆背景下基础设施投资趋冷,股市下跌、金融去杠杆、挤泡沫,民营实体经济融资困难,生产价格指数(PPI)上涨,大宗商品、人力等成本持续上升,中美贸易摩擦引发市场信心不足等。</div> <div> </div> <div> <strong>2018年我国半导体照明产业负重前行。</strong>回顾《2017年中国半导体照明产业发展蓝皮书》在发展展望中提示业界由于宏观经济总体偏紧,照明需求放缓,加之LED上游产能供给大幅扩张,2018年国内照明市场增速将放缓,行业谨慎乐观,现在看来,行业运行较之预期更为忧虑。</div> <div> </div> <div> 与2017年行业一派繁荣景象相比,2018年内外形势严峻,国内半导体照明产业经受成本上涨、需求下滑、资金链短缺等多重压力,整体增速放缓,预计行业总产值达到7374亿元,增速下降至12.8%,较上年同期下降12.5个百分点。上游经过2017年扩产高峰,芯片库存高位、价格回调,需求趋冷,进入下调周期;中游发展放缓,上市公司转型和升级发展需求渐趋明显;下游在整体增速放缓,特别是房地产行业调控严厉,基础设施投资下降等影响下,通用照明市场承压,增长乏力,但特种照明和紫外LED、红外LED等新兴应用则受益不同利好,发展前景可期。技术方面,我国产业化白光LED光效稳步提升,2018年超过180 lm/W,硅基黄光(565nm @20 A/cm2)电光转换效率达到24.3%;硅基绿光(520nm @20 A/cm2)电光转换效率达到41.6%;全光谱或类太阳光LED产品广泛出现,高品质健康照明成为现实。企业方面,整体效益下滑,增速放缓,盈利能力下降,融资困难,杠杆率攀升,财务风险增大。资本热度有所下降,行业并购量额双降,增资扩产下滑,凸显企业信心不足。市场日趋成熟,渗透率持续提升,2018年,我国国内LED照明产品产量约135亿只(套),</div> <div> </div> <div> 前言........................................................................................................................I</div> <div> </div> <div> 一、产业:步入下行周期,行业深化调整........................................................1</div> <div> </div> <div> 1. 增速大幅下降,规模超7300亿............................................................1</div> <div> </div> <div> 2. 上游高集中寡占,价格存货承压..........................................................3</div> <div> </div> <div> 3. 中游增长放缓,产品价格微调..............................................................5</div> <div> </div> <div> 4. 下游需求萎缩,集约程度提高..............................................................6</div> <div> </div> <div> 二、技术:稳步提升发展,新应用承厚望......................................................7</div> <div> </div> <div> 1. 核心技术稳步提升..................................................................................7</div> <div> </div> <div> 2. 前沿技术有所突破..................................................................................8</div> <div> </div> <div> 3. 显示技术竞争激烈..................................................................................8</div> <div> </div> <div> 4. 创新应用初具规模..................................................................................9</div> <div> </div> <div> 5. 标准支撑应用发展................................................................................10</div> <div> </div> <div> 三、企业:效益出现下滑,财务风险增大....................................................11</div> <div> </div> <div> 1. 上市公司效益下滑,盈利压力加大....................................................11</div> <div> </div> <div> 2. 新三板加速淘换,科创板提供机遇....................................................14</div> <div> </div> <div> 3. 财务风险增大,融资难成最大困扰....................................................11</div> <div> </div> <div> 四、资本:热度逐步下降,并购量额双降....................................................20</div> <div> </div> <div> 1. 并购量额双降,资本转向他业............................................................20</div> <div> </div> <div> 2. 投资下滑显着,企业信心不足............................................................22</div> <div> </div> <div> 五、市场:渐步入成熟期,出口信心不足....................................................24</div> <div> </div> <div> 1. 照明渗透近50%,步入成熟期...........................................................24</div> <div> </div> <div> 2. 出口微增,贸易摩擦影响信心............................................................25</div> <div> </div> <div> 3. 新兴应用市场未来可期........................................................................29</div> <div> </div> <div> 六、2019年展望:冬深不语静待春来.........................................................32</div> <div> </div> <div> 致谢..……………….…………………………………………………………...36</div> <div style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://www.casmita.com/file/upload/202005/19/154632751.png" width="539" height="630" 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