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Higher education bubble in the United States - Wikipedia

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.mw-parser-output .sidebar:not(.notheme) .sidebar-title-with-pretitle{background:transparent!important}html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .sidebar:not(.notheme) .sidebar-title-with-pretitle a{color:var(--color-progressive)!important}}@media print{body.ns-0 .mw-parser-output .sidebar{display:none!important}}</style><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1129693374"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1129693374"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1129693374"><table class="sidebar nomobile vcard plainlist" style="width:22.0em; border: 4px double #d69d36;"><tbody><tr><td class="sidebar-pretitle"><b>This article is part of <a href="/wiki/Category:Education_in_the_United_States" title="Category:Education in the United States">a series</a> on</b></td></tr><tr><th class="sidebar-title-with-pretitle" style="background:#002868; border: 1px double #8C959A;"><a href="/wiki/Education_in_the_United_States" title="Education in the United States"><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"><small>Education in the</small><br />United States</span></a></th></tr><tr><th class="sidebar-heading" style="background:#bf0a30; color:#FFF; border: 1px double #8C959A;"> Summary</th></tr><tr><td class="sidebar-content"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Category:Education_in_the_United_States_by_state_or_territory" title="Category:Education in the United States by state or territory">By state</a> and <a href="/wiki/Category:Education_in_insular_areas_of_the_United_States" title="Category:Education in insular areas of the United States">in insular areas</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Category:Education_in_the_United_States_by_subject" title="Category:Education in the United States by subject">By subject area</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/History_of_education_in_the_United_States" title="History of education in the United States">History of education in the United States</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/History_of_education_in_Chicago" title="History of education in Chicago">History of education in Chicago</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/History_of_education_in_Kentucky" title="History of education in Kentucky">History of education in Kentucky</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/History_of_education_in_Massachusetts" title="History of education in Massachusetts">History of education in Massachusetts</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/History_of_education_in_Missouri" title="History of education in Missouri">History of education in Missouri</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/History_of_education_in_New_York_City" title="History of education in New York City">History of education in New York City</a></li></ul></td> </tr><tr><th class="sidebar-heading" style="background:#bf0a30; color:#FFF; border: 1px double #8C959A;"> Curriculum topics</th></tr><tr><td class="sidebar-content"> <div class="hlist"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Literacy_in_the_United_States" title="Literacy in the United States">Literacy</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Normal_schools_in_the_United_States" title="Normal schools in the United States">Normal schools</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Apprenticeship_degree" title="Apprenticeship degree">Apprenticeship degrees</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Art_education_in_the_United_States" title="Art education in the United States">Art education</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Civic_education_in_the_United_States" title="Civic education in the United States">Civic education</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Music_education_and_programs_within_the_United_States" title="Music education and programs within the United States">Music education</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Legal_education_in_the_United_States" title="Legal education in the United States">Legal education</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Law_school_in_the_United_States" title="Law school in the United States">Law school</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Medical_education_in_the_United_States" title="Medical education in the United States">Medical education</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Medical_school_in_the_United_States" title="Medical school in the United States">Medical school</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Nursing_degrees_in_the_United_States" title="Nursing degrees in the United States">Nursing degrees</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Environmental_education_in_the_United_States" title="Environmental education in the United States">Environmental education</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Language_education_in_the_United_States" title="Language education in the United States">Language education</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Mathematics_education_in_the_United_States" title="Mathematics education in the United States">Mathematics education</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Sex_education_in_the_United_States" title="Sex education in the United States">Sex education</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Vocational_education_in_the_United_States" title="Vocational education in the United States">Vocational education</a></li></ul> </div></td> </tr><tr><th class="sidebar-heading" style="background:#bf0a30; color:#FFF; border: 1px double #8C959A;"> <a href="/wiki/Education_policy_of_the_United_States" title="Education policy of the United States"><span style="color:white;">Education policy issues</span></a></th></tr><tr><td class="sidebar-content"> <div class="hlist"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Educational_accreditation" title="Educational accreditation">Accreditation</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Pre-tertiary-education_accreditation" title="Pre-tertiary-education accreditation">Primary and secondary</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Higher_education_accreditation_in_the_United_States" title="Higher education accreditation in the United States">Post-secondary</a></li></ul></li> <li><i><a href="/wiki/Category:Education_finance_in_the_United_States" title="Category:Education finance in the United States">Financing</a></i></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Educational_attainment_in_the_United_States" title="Educational attainment in the United States">Educational attainment</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Issues_in_higher_education_in_the_United_States" title="Issues in higher education in the United States">Post-secondary issues</a> <ul><li><a class="mw-selflink selflink">Bubble</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cost_and_financing_issues_facing_higher_education_in_the_United_States" class="mw-redirect" title="Cost and financing issues facing higher education in the United States">Cost and financing</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Educational_inflation" title="Educational inflation">Credentialism</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Elite_overproduction" title="Elite overproduction">Elite overproduction</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Graduate_unemployment#United_States" title="Graduate unemployment">Graduate unemployment</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Student_financial_aid_in_the_United_States" title="Student financial aid in the United States">Student financial aid</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Student_loans_in_the_United_States" title="Student loans in the United States">Student loans</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Education_reform##Contemporary_issues_(United_States)" title="Education reform">Reform</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Charter_schools_in_the_United_States" title="Charter schools in the United States">Charter schools</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Educational_inequality_in_the_United_States" title="Educational inequality in the United States">Inequality</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Achievement_gaps_in_the_United_States" title="Achievement gaps in the United States">Achievement gaps</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Racial_achievement_gap_in_the_United_States" title="Racial achievement gap in the United States">Racial achievement gap</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Desegregation_busing" title="Desegregation busing">Desegregation busing</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Sex_differences_in_education_in_the_United_States" title="Sex differences in education in the United States">Gender achievement gap</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Head_Start_(program)" title="Head Start (program)">Head Start</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/School_choice" title="School choice">School choice</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Racial_diversity_in_United_States_schools" title="Racial diversity in United States schools">Racial diversity</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/School_segregation_in_the_United_States" title="School segregation in the United States">School segregation</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Standards-based_education_reform_in_the_United_States" title="Standards-based education reform in the United States">Standards-based reform</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/School_corporal_punishment_in_the_United_States" title="School corporal punishment in the United States">School corporal punishment</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/School_meal_programs_in_the_United_States" title="School meal programs in the United States">School meals</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/School_violence_in_the_United_States" title="School violence in the United States">School violence</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Sexual_harassment_in_education_in_the_United_States" title="Sexual harassment in education in the United States">Sexual harassment</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Qatari_involvement_in_higher_education_in_the_United_States" title="Qatari involvement in higher education in the United States">Foreign involvement</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Special_education_in_the_United_States" title="Special education in the United States">Special education</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Apprenticeship_in_the_United_States" title="Apprenticeship in the United States">Apprenticeship</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/School-to-work_transition" title="School-to-work transition">School-to-work transition</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Community_colleges_in_the_United_States" title="Community colleges in the United States">Community colleges</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/For-profit_higher_education_in_the_United_States" title="For-profit higher education in the United States">For-profit higher education</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/For-profit_colleges_in_the_United_States" title="For-profit colleges in the United States">For-profit colleges</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/List_of_research_universities_in_the_United_States" title="List of research universities in the United States">Research universities</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Community_school_(United_States)" title="Community school (United States)">Community school</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Full-service_community_schools_in_the_United_States" title="Full-service community schools in the United States">Full-service community schools</a></li></ul></li></ul> </div></td> </tr><tr><th class="sidebar-heading" style="background:#bf0a30; color:#FFF; border: 1px double #8C959A;"> Levels of education</th></tr><tr><td class="sidebar-content"> <div class="hlist"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Early_childhood_education_in_the_United_States" title="Early childhood education in the United States">Early childhood</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/K%E2%80%9312_education_in_the_United_States" title="K–12 education in the United States">K–12</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Primary_education_in_the_United_States" title="Primary education in the United States">Primary</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Secondary_education_in_the_United_States" title="Secondary education in the United States">Secondary</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Higher_education_in_the_United_States" title="Higher education in the United States">Post-secondary</a></li></ul> </div> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Category:Educational_organizations_based_in_the_United_States" title="Category:Educational organizations based in the United States">Organizations</a></li></ul></td> </tr><tr><td class="sidebar-below" style="border-top:#aaa 1px solid; border-bottom:#aaa 1px solid;"> <span class="nowrap"><span class="noviewer" typeof="mw:File"><a href="/wiki/File:Diploma_icon.png" class="mw-file-description"><img alt="icon" src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/76/Diploma_icon.png/16px-Diploma_icon.png" decoding="async" width="16" height="16" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/76/Diploma_icon.png/24px-Diploma_icon.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/76/Diploma_icon.png/32px-Diploma_icon.png 2x" data-file-width="128" data-file-height="128" /></a></span> </span><a href="/wiki/Portal:Education" class="mw-redirect" title="Portal:Education">Education&#32;portal</a><br /><span class="nowrap"><span class="mw-image-border noviewer" typeof="mw:File"><span><img alt="flag" src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/a/a4/Flag_of_the_United_States.svg/16px-Flag_of_the_United_States.svg.png" decoding="async" width="16" height="8" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/a/a4/Flag_of_the_United_States.svg/24px-Flag_of_the_United_States.svg.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/a/a4/Flag_of_the_United_States.svg/32px-Flag_of_the_United_States.svg.png 2x" data-file-width="1235" data-file-height="650" /></span></span> </span><a href="/wiki/Portal:United_States" title="Portal:United States">United States&#32;portal</a></td></tr><tr><td class="sidebar-navbar"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1129693374"><style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1239400231">.mw-parser-output .navbar{display:inline;font-size:88%;font-weight:normal}.mw-parser-output .navbar-collapse{float:left;text-align:left}.mw-parser-output .navbar-boxtext{word-spacing:0}.mw-parser-output .navbar ul{display:inline-block;white-space:nowrap;line-height:inherit}.mw-parser-output .navbar-brackets::before{margin-right:-0.125em;content:"[ "}.mw-parser-output .navbar-brackets::after{margin-left:-0.125em;content:" ]"}.mw-parser-output .navbar li{word-spacing:-0.125em}.mw-parser-output .navbar a>span,.mw-parser-output .navbar a>abbr{text-decoration:inherit}.mw-parser-output .navbar-mini abbr{font-variant:small-caps;border-bottom:none;text-decoration:none;cursor:inherit}.mw-parser-output .navbar-ct-full{font-size:114%;margin:0 7em}.mw-parser-output .navbar-ct-mini{font-size:114%;margin:0 4em}html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .navbar li a abbr{color:var(--color-base)!important}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .navbar li a abbr{color:var(--color-base)!important}}@media print{.mw-parser-output .navbar{display:none!important}}</style><div class="navbar plainlinks hlist navbar-mini"><ul><li class="nv-view"><a href="/wiki/Template:Education_in_the_U.S." title="Template:Education in the U.S."><abbr title="View this template">v</abbr></a></li><li class="nv-talk"><a href="/wiki/Template_talk:Education_in_the_U.S." title="Template talk:Education in the U.S."><abbr title="Discuss this template">t</abbr></a></li><li class="nv-edit"><a href="/wiki/Special:EditPage/Template:Education_in_the_U.S." title="Special:EditPage/Template:Education in the U.S."><abbr title="Edit this template">e</abbr></a></li></ul></div></td></tr></tbody></table> <p>There is concern that the possible <b>higher education bubble in the United States</b> could have negative repercussions in the broader economy. Although college <a href="/wiki/Tuition_payments" title="Tuition payments">tuition payments</a> are rising, the supply of college graduates in many fields of study is exceeding the demand for their skills, which aggravates <a href="/wiki/Graduate_unemployment" title="Graduate unemployment">graduate unemployment</a> and underemployment while increasing the burden of <a href="/wiki/Student_loan" title="Student loan">student loan</a> <a href="/wiki/Default_(finance)" title="Default (finance)">defaults</a> on <a href="/wiki/Financial_institution" title="Financial institution">financial institutions</a> and <a href="/wiki/Taxpayer" title="Taxpayer">taxpayers</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-1"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>1<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-2"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>2<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-3" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-3"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>3<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Moreover, the higher education bubble might be even more serious than load of student debts.<sup id="cite_ref-:11_4-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:11-4"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>4<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Without safeguards in place for funding and loans, the government risks creating a <a href="/wiki/Moral_hazard" title="Moral hazard">moral hazard</a> in which schools charge students expensive tuition fees without offering them marketable skills in return.<sup id="cite_ref-:10_5-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:10-5"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>5<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:12_6-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:12-6"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>6<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> The claim has generally been used to justify cuts to public higher education spending, <a href="/wiki/Tax_cut" title="Tax cut">tax cuts</a>, or a shift of government spending towards law enforcement and national security.<sup id="cite_ref-7" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-7"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>7<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-8" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-8"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>8<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-9" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-9"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>9<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-10" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-10"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>10<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> There is a further concern that having an excess supply of college graduates exacerbates political instability,<sup id="cite_ref-11" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-11"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>11<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-Smith_12-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Smith-12"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>12<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:32_13-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:32-13"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>13<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> historically linked to having a bulge in the number of young degree holders.<sup id="cite_ref-:27_14-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:27-14"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>14<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-15" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-15"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>15<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:15_16-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:15-16"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>16<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>Some economists reject the notion of a higher education bubble, noting that the returns on higher education vastly outweigh the cost,<sup id="cite_ref-Simkovic_17-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Simkovic-17"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>17<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-Thomas_Lemieux_2006_18-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Thomas_Lemieux_2006-18"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>18<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-chronicle.com_19-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-chronicle.com-19"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>19<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-20" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-20"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>20<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> while others believe that the number of institutions of higher education in the United States will fall in the 2020s and beyond, citing reasons of demographic decline, poor outcomes, economic problems, and changing public interests and attitudes.<sup id="cite_ref-:66_21-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:66-21"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>21<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:262_22-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:262-22"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>22<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:672_23-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:672-23"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>23<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:3_24-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:3-24"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>24<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:25_25-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:25-25"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>25<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> According to the U.S. <a href="/wiki/United_States_Department_of_Education" title="United States Department of Education">Department of Education</a>, by the late 2010s, people with technical or vocational trainings are slightly more likely to be employed than those with a bachelor's degree and significantly more likely to be employed in their fields of specialty. The United States currently suffers from a shortage of skilled tradespeople.<sup id="cite_ref-:112_26-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:112-26"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>26<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-27" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-27"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>27<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>The <a href="/wiki/Federal_Reserve_Bank_of_St._Louis" title="Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis">Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis</a> noted in 2019 that investment in higher education has reached a point of <a href="/wiki/Diminishing_returns" title="Diminishing returns">diminishing marginal returns</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-Emmons_Kent_&amp;_Ricketts_2019_28-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Emmons_Kent_&amp;_Ricketts_2019-28"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>28<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Undergraduate and graduate enrollments have both been in decline,<sup id="cite_ref-:60_29-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:60-29"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>29<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:0_30-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:0-30"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>30<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> while trade schools continue to attract growing numbers of students.<sup id="cite_ref-:18_31-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:18-31"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>31<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:14_32-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:14-32"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>32<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> White men are a major group opting for alternatives to higher education.<sup id="cite_ref-:262_22-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:262-22"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>22<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:29_33-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:29-33"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>33<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Many faculty members are leaving academia,<sup id="cite_ref-:1_34-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:1-34"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>34<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> especially those from the humanities.<sup id="cite_ref-:2_35-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:2-35"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>35<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> At the same time, university graduates are likely to regret having studied the humanities and liberal arts.<sup id="cite_ref-:6_36-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:6-36"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>36<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:7_37-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:7-37"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>37<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> While academics maintain that certain subjects are worth studying for their own sake, students are more concerned with increasing their earning potential.<sup id="cite_ref-:17_38-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:17-38"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>38<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:13_39-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:13-39"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>39<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> So far this century, numerous institutions of higher learning have permanently closed,<sup id="cite_ref-:5_40-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:5-40"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>40<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> especially rural liberal arts colleges,<sup id="cite_ref-:30_41-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:30-41"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>41<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> community colleges,<sup id="cite_ref-:9_42-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:9-42"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>42<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> and for-profit institutions.<sup id="cite_ref-:19_43-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:19-43"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>43<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:20_44-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:20-44"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>44<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>It is possible that the bubble will not burst, but rather deflate.<sup id="cite_ref-:19_43-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:19-43"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>43<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <meta property="mw:PageProp/toc" /> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Background">Background</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Higher_education_bubble_in_the_United_States&amp;action=edit&amp;section=1" title="Edit section: Background"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1236090951">.mw-parser-output .hatnote{font-style:italic}.mw-parser-output div.hatnote{padding-left:1.6em;margin-bottom:0.5em}.mw-parser-output .hatnote i{font-style:normal}.mw-parser-output .hatnote+link+.hatnote{margin-top:-0.5em}@media print{body.ns-0 .mw-parser-output .hatnote{display:none!important}}</style><div role="note" class="hatnote navigation-not-searchable">Further information: <a href="/wiki/Higher_education_in_the_United_States" title="Higher education in the United States">Higher education in the United States</a></div> <p>Due to the <a href="/wiki/GI_Bill" class="mw-redirect" title="GI Bill">GI Bill</a> and the population boom after World War II, demand for higher education grew significantly during the latter half of the twentieth century, making it one of the major growth sectors for the American economy.<sup id="cite_ref-:19_43-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:19-43"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>43<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:20_44-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:20-44"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>44<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Historically, high schools separated students on career tracks, but this changed in the late 1980s and early 1990s, when the mission of high schools shifted to preparing students for college.<sup id="cite_ref-45" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-45"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>45<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> In 1987, <a href="/wiki/U.S._Secretary_of_Education" class="mw-redirect" title="U.S. Secretary of Education">U.S. Secretary of Education</a> <a href="/wiki/William_Bennett" title="William Bennett">William Bennett</a> suggested that the availability of loans was fueling an increase in tuition prices and an education bubble.<sup id="cite_ref-46" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-46"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>46<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> The "Bennett hypothesis" claimed that readily available loans allow schools to increase tuition without regard to <a href="/wiki/Price_elasticity_of_demand" title="Price elasticity of demand">demand elasticity</a>. In addition, <a href="/wiki/College_and_university_rankings" title="College and university rankings">college rankings</a> were partially driven by spending levels,<sup id="cite_ref-47" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-47"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>47<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> and higher tuition was also correlated with increased public perceptions of <a href="https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/prestige" class="extiw" title="wikt:prestige">prestige</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-48" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-48"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>48<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> From the 1980s to the 2010s, demand for higher education increased, especially after the Great Recession of 2007–2009 when Americans flocked back to school in order to adapt to the new economy.<sup id="cite_ref-49" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-49"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>49<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:20_44-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:20-44"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>44<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>A 2011 study from the Labor Department found that a bachelor's degree "represents a significant advantage in the job market."<sup id="cite_ref-50" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-50"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>50<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> In 2011, <i><a href="/wiki/The_Chronicle_of_Higher_Education" title="The Chronicle of Higher Education">The Chronicle of Higher Education</a></i> ran an article which said that the future was bright for college graduates.<sup id="cite_ref-51" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-51"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>51<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> The data also suggested that, notwithstanding a slight increase in 2008–09, student <a href="/wiki/Default_(finance)" title="Default (finance)">loan default</a> rates had declined between the mid-1980s and 1990s and early 2010s.<sup id="cite_ref-phys.org_52-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-phys.org-52"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>52<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-Kirkham_53-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Kirkham-53"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>53<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> The management consulting firm <a href="/wiki/McKinsey_%26_Company" title="McKinsey &amp; Company">McKinsey &amp; Company</a> projected in 2011 that a shortage of college-educated workers and a surplus of workers without college degrees, which would cause the wage premium to increase and cause differences in unemployment rates to become even more dramatic.<sup id="cite_ref-54" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-54"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>54<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>As of 2018, 70% of high school graduates in the United States enrolled in <a href="/wiki/Tertiary_education" title="Tertiary education">tertiary education</a>. But only 60% of those students, that is 42% of high school graduates, will graduate within 6 years with at least a Bachelor's degree.<sup id="cite_ref-55" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-55"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>55<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Note that Bachelor's degrees in the United States are typically designed to be completed in four years of full-time study, and Master's programs in the US are normally two years (full-time) in length. </p> <table class="wikitable"> <caption>Educational attainment in the United States (2018)<sup id="cite_ref-56" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-56"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>56<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </caption> <tbody><tr> <th>Education </th> <th>Age 25 and over </th> <th>Age 25–30 </th></tr> <tr> <td>High school diploma or <a href="/wiki/General_Educational_Development" title="General Educational Development">GED</a> </td> <td align="right">89.80% </td> <td align="right">92.95% </td></tr> <tr> <td>Some college </td> <td align="right">61.28% </td> <td align="right">66.34% </td></tr> <tr> <td>Associate degree </td> <td align="right">45.16% </td> <td align="right">46.72% </td></tr> <tr> <td>Bachelor's degree </td> <td align="right">34.98% </td> <td align="right">36.98% </td></tr> <tr> <td>Master's degree </td> <td align="right">13.04% </td> <td align="right">9.01% </td></tr> <tr> <td>Professional degree </td> <td align="right">3.47% </td> <td align="right">2.02% </td></tr> <tr> <td>Doctorate </td> <td align="right">2.03% </td> <td align="right">1.12% </td></tr></tbody></table> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Discussion">Discussion</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Higher_education_bubble_in_the_United_States&amp;action=edit&amp;section=2" title="Edit section: Discussion"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <figure class="mw-default-size mw-halign-left" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:College_tuition_cpi.jpg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/29/College_tuition_cpi.jpg/220px-College_tuition_cpi.jpg" decoding="async" width="220" height="185" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/29/College_tuition_cpi.jpg/330px-College_tuition_cpi.jpg 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/29/College_tuition_cpi.jpg/440px-College_tuition_cpi.jpg 2x" data-file-width="564" data-file-height="475" /></a><figcaption>Cost of US college education relative to the <a href="/wiki/Consumer_price_index" title="Consumer price index">consumer price index</a> (inflation)</figcaption></figure><p>During the early 2010s, whether or not the "higher-education bubble" existed became a topic of debate among economists. Data has shown that although the wage premium (the difference in incomes between those with a four-year college degree and those with only a high school diploma) has increased dramatically since the 1970s, so has the 'debt load' incurred by students due to the tuition inflation.<sup id="cite_ref-Simkovic_17-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Simkovic-17"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>17<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-Thomas_Lemieux_2006_18-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Thomas_Lemieux_2006-18"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>18<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-chronicle.com_19-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-chronicle.com-19"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>19<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> By 2019, the total college debt exceeded US$1.5 trillion, and two out of three college graduates were saddled with debt.<sup id="cite_ref-:3_24-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:3-24"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>24<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> <a href="/wiki/Glenn_Reynolds" title="Glenn Reynolds">Glenn Reynolds</a> argued in his book, <i>The Higher Education Bubble</i> (2012), that higher education as a "product grows more and more elaborate—and more expensive—but the expense is offset by cheap credit provided by sellers who are eager to encourage buyers to buy."<sup id="cite_ref-57" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-57"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>57<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Reynolds called university degrees a marker of <a href="/wiki/Socioeconomic_status" title="Socioeconomic status">socioeconomic status</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-:21_58-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:21-58"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>58<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Economists <a href="/wiki/Michael_Spence" title="Michael Spence">Michael Spence</a> and <a href="/wiki/Joseph_Stiglitz" title="Joseph Stiglitz">Joe Stiglitz</a> suggest that much of the worth of a university degree lies not in the skills acquired, but rather <a href="/wiki/Signalling_(economics)" title="Signalling (economics)">market signaling</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-59" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-59"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>59<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Because a university degree still had considerable value, higher education might be an example of a <a href="/wiki/Veblen_good" title="Veblen good">Veblen good</a>, albeit a subtle rather than a <a href="/wiki/Conspicuous_consumption" title="Conspicuous consumption">conspicuous</a> one.<sup id="cite_ref-60" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-60"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>60<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-61" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-61"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>61<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-62" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-62"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>62<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><figure typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:US_Student_Loans_(FRED).png" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c2/US_Student_Loans_%28FRED%29.png/400px-US_Student_Loans_%28FRED%29.png" decoding="async" width="400" height="158" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c2/US_Student_Loans_%28FRED%29.png/600px-US_Student_Loans_%28FRED%29.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c2/US_Student_Loans_%28FRED%29.png/800px-US_Student_Loans_%28FRED%29.png 2x" data-file-width="1138" data-file-height="450" /></a><figcaption>Data from the Federal Reserve shows that student debt has risen steadily during the 2000s and 2010s.</figcaption></figure> <p>Research from the Center for Household Financial Stability of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis presented in 2018 predicted a positive albeit declining income premium for completing college but a declining wealth premium, which is almost indistinguishable from zero for the most recent cohort.<sup id="cite_ref-NYT42415_63-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-NYT42415-63"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>63<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Consequently, the average <a href="/wiki/Millennials_in_the_United_States" title="Millennials in the United States">Millennial</a> with a university degree earns 20% less than expected.<sup id="cite_ref-64" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-64"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>64<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> It was thought that people with college degrees are much less likely than those without to be unemployed, even though they are more expensive to employ (they earn higher wages).<sup id="cite_ref-Education_Pays_65-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Education_Pays-65"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>65<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> In 2019, a report from the <a href="/wiki/Federal_Reserve_Bank_of_St._Louis" title="Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis">Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis</a> using data from the 2016 <i><a href="/wiki/Survey_of_Consumer_Finances" title="Survey of Consumer Finances">Survey of Consumer Finances</a></i> concluded that after controlling for race and age cohort, families with heads of household with post-secondary education who were born before 1980 benefited from wealth and income premiums, while for families with heads of household with post-secondary education but born after 1980 the wealth premium has weakened to point of <a href="/wiki/Statistical_significance" title="Statistical significance">statistical insignificance</a> due in part to the <a href="/wiki/Cost_and_financing_issues_facing_higher_education_in_the_United_States" class="mw-redirect" title="Cost and financing issues facing higher education in the United States">rising cost of college</a>. Moreover, although the income premium remains positive, it had declined to historic lows with more pronounced downward trajectories with heads of household with <a href="/wiki/Postgraduate_education" title="Postgraduate education">postgraduate degrees</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-Emmons_Kent_&amp;_Ricketts_2019_28-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Emmons_Kent_&amp;_Ricketts_2019-28"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>28<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>However, this thesis came under stress in the 2010s, as institutions of higher education came under heightened skepticism due to high costs and disappointing results. People became increasingly concerned about debts and deficits, forcing institutions to prove their worth by clarifying how much money from which industry and company funded research, and how much it would cost to attend.<sup id="cite_ref-66" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-66"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>66<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> By the 2020s, graduating from a prestigious university no longer guaranteed gainful employment immediately after graduation.<sup id="cite_ref-67" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-67"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>67<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> According to Gallup, public confidence in higher education has declined "sharply" between 2015 and 2023; even those with bachelor's or advanced degrees were less approving than before.<sup id="cite_ref-:25_25-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:25-25"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>25<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>An alternative thesis has suggested that there is no general bubble in higher education because, on average, higher education really does boost income and employment by more than enough to make it a good investment. The problem is that degrees in some specific fields may be overvalued because they do little to boost income or improve job prospects, and degrees in other fields may in fact be <i>undervalued</i> because students do not appreciate the extent to which these degrees could benefit their employment prospects and future income. Proponents of this argument have noted that schools charge equal prices for tuition regardless of what students study, but the interest rate on federal student loans is not adjusted according to risk. They have further noted that there is evidence that undergraduate students in their first three years of college are not very good at predicting future wages by major.<sup id="cite_ref-Simkovic_17-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Simkovic-17"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>17<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Indeed, student interest has shifted away from low-paying programs towards those of greater value in the job market.<sup id="cite_ref-:17_38-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:17-38"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>38<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:10_5-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:10-5"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>5<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> (See chart below.) </p> <figure class="mw-halign-center" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:U.S._college_major_change_between_2011_and_2018.png" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/3/39/U.S._college_major_change_between_2011_and_2018.png/680px-U.S._college_major_change_between_2011_and_2018.png" decoding="async" width="680" height="383" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/3/39/U.S._college_major_change_between_2011_and_2018.png/1020px-U.S._college_major_change_between_2011_and_2018.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/39/U.S._college_major_change_between_2011_and_2018.png 2x" data-file-width="1214" data-file-height="683" /></a><figcaption>Healthcare and <a href="/wiki/Science,_technology,_engineering,_and_mathematics" title="Science, technology, engineering, and mathematics">STEM</a>, especially computer science, grew in popularity while the liberal arts and social studies, especially history, have declined due to market forces.<sup id="cite_ref-:81_68-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:81-68"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>68<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:13_39-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:13-39"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>39<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup></figcaption></figure> <p>Among graduates of the early 2020s, the most regretted majors include <a href="/wiki/Journalism" title="Journalism">journalism</a>, <a href="/wiki/Sociology" title="Sociology">sociology</a>, <a href="/wiki/Liberal_arts_education" title="Liberal arts education">liberal arts</a>/<a href="/wiki/Bachelor_of_General_Studies" title="Bachelor of General Studies">general studies</a>, <a href="/wiki/History" title="History">history</a>, <a href="/wiki/Communication" title="Communication">communications</a>, and <a href="/wiki/Education" title="Education">education</a>;<sup id="cite_ref-69" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-69"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>69<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> the least regretted majors include <a href="/wiki/Computer_science" title="Computer science">computer science</a> and <a href="/wiki/Information_technology" title="Information technology">information technology</a>, <a href="/wiki/Finance" title="Finance">finance</a>, <a href="/wiki/Engineering" title="Engineering">engineering</a>, <a href="/wiki/Nursing" title="Nursing">nursing</a>, and <a href="/wiki/Health_care" title="Health care">health</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-:6_36-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:6-36"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>36<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Music and the <a href="/wiki/Visual_arts" title="Visual arts">visual arts</a> are the most likely to offer a negative <a href="/wiki/Return_on_investment" title="Return on investment">return on investment</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-:13_39-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:13-39"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>39<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> At the same time, graduates with the highest expected income studied <a href="/wiki/Chemical_engineering" title="Chemical engineering">chemical engineering</a>, <a href="/wiki/Computer_engineering" title="Computer engineering">computer engineering</a>, <a href="/wiki/Aerospace_engineering" title="Aerospace engineering">aerospace engineering</a>, <a href="/wiki/Electrical_engineering" title="Electrical engineering">electrical engineering</a>, finance, and the <a href="/wiki/List_of_life_sciences" title="List of life sciences">life sciences</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-70" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-70"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>70<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:7_37-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:7-37"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>37<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Prospective employers and state governments have gotten pickier in the collegiate programs they are willing to finance.<sup id="cite_ref-:17_38-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:17-38"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>38<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-71" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-71"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>71<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> As of 2023, seven states had passed legislation requiring the disclosure of data on the worth of a university degree, such as students' loan payment and post-graduation employment.<sup id="cite_ref-:12_6-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:12-6"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>6<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Another reason for the decline of interest in the humanities and liberal arts is the fact that many prospective students avoided them for fear of loss of parental support,<sup id="cite_ref-:16_72-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:16-72"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>72<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> and the perceived intolerance towards conservatives on college campuses, which tend to be dominated by left-wing faculty members,<sup id="cite_ref-:16_72-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:16-72"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>72<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> though the details are not as simple as they first appear.<sup id="cite_ref-73" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-73"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>73<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> On the other hand, in the life sciences, the number of students or researchers interested in a postdoctoral fellowship had plummeted thanks to a boom in the biotechnology industry, which has had an insatiable appetite for talents and is willing to pay much higher than universities.<sup id="cite_ref-74" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-74"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>74<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-75" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-75"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>75<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> In physics and engineering, which are traditionally male-dominated fields, enrollments had also fallen since 2020, as white men lost interest in higher education.<sup id="cite_ref-:29_33-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:29-33"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>33<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Due to these trends, public universities have also trimmed their STEM departments.<sup id="cite_ref-76" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-76"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>76<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>Colleges and universities have been criticized for offering degree programs that fail to provide students with relevant skills in the labor market after graduation,<sup id="cite_ref-77" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-77"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>77<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> as well as <a href="/wiki/Grade_inflation" title="Grade inflation">grade inflation</a> by lowering standards both for admission and coursework. Economist <a href="/wiki/Bryan_Caplan" title="Bryan Caplan">Bryan Caplan</a> has argued the combination of more college graduates and weaker learning outcomes has led to <a href="/wiki/Credential_inflation" class="mw-redirect" title="Credential inflation">credential inflation</a>, in which employers ask for college degrees for jobs that don’t need one and previously did not require one.<sup id="cite_ref-78" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-78"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>78<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> According to a Burning Glass Institute analysis of 2022 U.S. Census Bureau data, Bachelor’s degree holders in college-level jobs earn nearly 90% more than people with just a high-school diploma in their 20s, while 45% of college graduates are underemployed and earn 25% more than high-school graduates (not adjusting for any student loan debt of such graduates).<sup id="cite_ref-79" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-79"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>79<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Due to popular demand, the cost of higher education has grown at a rate faster than inflation between the late 20th and early 21st centuries.<sup id="cite_ref-:4_80-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:4-80"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>80<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Student housing costs have risen faster than even tuition fees.<sup id="cite_ref-81" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-81"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>81<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> From the 1990s to the 2010s, tuition and fees jumped 440%, as federal loans for students became more generous.<sup id="cite_ref-:21_58-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:21-58"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>58<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Student debt has correspondingly increased as a result.<sup id="cite_ref-82" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-82"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>82<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <figure class="mw-default-size" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:USA_Population_Pyramid.svg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/bd/USA_Population_Pyramid.svg/220px-USA_Population_Pyramid.svg.png" decoding="async" width="220" height="189" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/bd/USA_Population_Pyramid.svg/330px-USA_Population_Pyramid.svg.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/bd/USA_Population_Pyramid.svg/440px-USA_Population_Pyramid.svg.png 2x" data-file-width="2822" data-file-height="2418" /></a><figcaption>U.S. population pyramid in 2023. The number of Americans of college age will drop by the late 2020s,<sup id="cite_ref-:23_83-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:23-83"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>83<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> at a faster rate by the late 2030s.<sup id="cite_ref-:26_84-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:26-84"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>84<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup></figcaption></figure> <p>The 2010s were a turbulent period for higher education in the United States, as small private colleges from across the country faced deep financial trouble as they had to make high tuition discounts in order to attract students at a time when higher education costs were increasing, regulation was becoming more stringent, and <a href="/wiki/Aging_of_the_United_States" title="Aging of the United States">demographic challenges</a> were becoming more severe<sup id="cite_ref-:56_85-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:56-85"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>85<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:19_43-3" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:19-43"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>43<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> By the early 2020s, enrollments were declining at a growing rate as the number of high-school graduates continued to fall.<sup id="cite_ref-:26_84-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:26-84"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>84<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:30_41-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:30-41"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>41<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Pew Trusts projected in 2022 that most U.S. states will see a decline in grade-school enrollments during the 2020s, which would help curb of the cost of higher education going forward.<sup id="cite_ref-:44_86-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:44-86"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>86<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> A 2019 analysis by Moody's Investor Services estimated that about 20% of all small private liberal arts colleges in the United States were in serious financial trouble.<sup id="cite_ref-:672_23-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:672-23"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>23<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>Between the early 2000s and early 2020s, hundreds of institutions permanently closed their doors.<sup id="cite_ref-:5_40-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:5-40"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>40<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> In fact, they were closing at an accelerating rate, and for-profit institutions were the hardest hit, as they were targeted by stricter regulations from the Obama administration.<sup id="cite_ref-:19_43-4" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:19-43"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>43<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:20_44-3" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:20-44"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>44<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Public universities had to downsize or to merge.<sup id="cite_ref-:23_83-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:23-83"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>83<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Rural ones had closed majors across the board, from the humanities to the sciences.<sup id="cite_ref-87" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-87"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>87<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> More than half of the colleges and universities that remained saw substantial reductions in the number of students attending.<sup id="cite_ref-:19_43-5" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:19-43"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>43<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Such institutions have adapted to the new reality by dropping programs with low student interest, including many in the liberal arts and the humanities, like <a href="/wiki/Gender_studies" title="Gender studies">gender studies</a> and <a href="/wiki/Critical_race_theory" title="Critical race theory">critical race theory</a>,<sup id="cite_ref-:81_68-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:81-68"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>68<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> creating majors for emerging fields, such as <a href="/wiki/Artificial_intelligence" title="Artificial intelligence">artificial intelligence</a>,<sup id="cite_ref-:56_85-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:56-85"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>85<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> and professional programs, like <a href="/wiki/Law_enforcement_in_the_United_States" title="Law enforcement in the United States">law enforcement</a>,<sup id="cite_ref-:5_40-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:5-40"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>40<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> investing in online learning programs,<sup id="cite_ref-:56_85-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:56-85"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>85<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> and addressing untapped demands, such as mid-career training or <a href="/wiki/Continuing_education" title="Continuing education">continuing education</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-:23_83-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:23-83"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>83<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> By the early 2020s, the rate of growth of tuition fees had dropped, and some schools were freezing or even cutting theirs.<sup id="cite_ref-:23_83-3" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:23-83"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>83<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> If affordable or free online learning continued to grow, then non-elite institutions would struggle to justify their physical infrastructure.<sup id="cite_ref-:11_4-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:11-4"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>4<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Domestic undergraduate enrollment has been on the decline for some time.<sup id="cite_ref-:60_29-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:60-29"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>29<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-88" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-88"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>88<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> By 2022, only 62% of high-school graduates were heading for college compared to 70% in 2015.<sup id="cite_ref-:132_89-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:132-89"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>89<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> This trend is projected to accelerate in the 2030s.<sup id="cite_ref-:26_84-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:26-84"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>84<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> On the other hand, prestigious universities saw continued growth in the number of applicants and as such were in no danger of closing.<sup id="cite_ref-90" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-90"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>90<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> This was due partly to students sending their applications to more schools for a chance of getting admitted<sup id="cite_ref-91" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-91"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>91<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> and because (elite) institutions had not significantly expanded their capacities.<sup id="cite_ref-92" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-92"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>92<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading3"><h3 id="Impact_of_the_Coronavirus_Pandemic">Impact of the Coronavirus Pandemic</h3><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Higher_education_bubble_in_the_United_States&amp;action=edit&amp;section=3" title="Edit section: Impact of the Coronavirus Pandemic"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>The arrival of <a href="/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_the_United_States" title="COVID-19 pandemic in the United States">COVID-19 in the United States</a> in 2020 merely accelerated many of the previous trends at work.<sup id="cite_ref-:24_93-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:24-93"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>93<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> The coronavirus not only wrought havoc on the nation but also caused a severe economic downturn. Consequently, families either delayed or avoided sending their children to institutions of higher education altogether.<sup id="cite_ref-94" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-94"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>94<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Undergraduate enrollments dropped even after the return of in-person classes.<sup id="cite_ref-:8_95-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:8-95"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>95<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Worse still for colleges and universities, they had become dependent on foreign students for revenue because they pay full tuition fees and the international restrictions imposed to alleviate the spread of the pandemic meant that this stream of revenue shrank substantially.<sup id="cite_ref-:24_93-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:24-93"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>93<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-96" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-96"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>96<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Several colleges permanently closed their doors by the end of the 2019–20 academic year.<sup id="cite_ref-97" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-97"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>97<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Numerous institutions, including elite ones, suspended graduate programs in the humanities and liberal arts due to low student interest and dim employment prospects.<sup id="cite_ref-98" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-98"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>98<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-Smith_12-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Smith-12"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>12<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Various polls indicated that a growing number of Americans became skeptical of the value of higher education relative to the cost<sup id="cite_ref-99" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-99"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>99<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-100" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-100"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>100<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> and said they wanted to see K–12 education be less focused on college preparation.<sup id="cite_ref-101" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-101"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>101<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Having witnessed the Millennials accumulating large amounts of student debts, members of <a href="/wiki/Generation_Z_in_the_United_States" title="Generation Z in the United States">Generation Z</a> also tended to be more skeptical of the value of higher education<sup id="cite_ref-102" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-102"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>102<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> and have been more open to alternative educational routes and career options.<sup id="cite_ref-:40_103-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:40-103"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>103<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Young men, especially whites, have increasingly looked elsewhere due to the hostility of identity politics on campus directed towards them.<sup id="cite_ref-:262_22-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:262-22"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>22<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Meanwhile, the number of <a href="/wiki/Women%27s_colleges_in_the_United_States" title="Women&#39;s colleges in the United States">women's colleges</a> continued to fall, following a decades-long trend.<sup id="cite_ref-104" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-104"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>104<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> But <a href="/wiki/Community_colleges_in_the_United_States" title="Community colleges in the United States">community colleges</a> have fared the worst of all, losing 37% of enrollments between 2010 and 2023. Prospective students have been shunning them in large numbers due to the low quality of education and student services.<sup id="cite_ref-:9_42-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:9-42"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>42<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-105" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-105"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>105<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> As of 2024, American institutions of higher learning were closing at a rate of one per week.<sup id="cite_ref-106" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-106"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>106<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>Some employers have now been hiring graduates directly from high school,<sup id="cite_ref-:0_30-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:0-30"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>30<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> offering them generous bonuses, high wages, and (paid) apprenticeship programs in order to offset the ongoing labor shortage.<sup id="cite_ref-:8_95-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:8-95"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>95<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-107" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-107"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>107<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Trade schools and apprenticeship programs have seen significant increases in enrollment<sup id="cite_ref-:18_31-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:18-31"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>31<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:14_32-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:14-32"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>32<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:28_108-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:28-108"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>108<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> while about a third of college graduates, including 38% of recent graduates, worked in jobs that did not require a university degree, according to data from the <a href="/wiki/Federal_Reserve_Bank_of_New_York" title="Federal Reserve Bank of New York">Federal Reserve Bank of New York</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-109" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-109"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>109<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Although the previous Democratic administrations of <a href="/wiki/Bill_Clinton" title="Bill Clinton">Bill Clinton</a> and <a href="/wiki/Barack_Obama" title="Barack Obama">Barack Obama</a> focused on higher education and high-skilled jobs, the <a href="/wiki/Joe_Biden" title="Joe Biden">Joe Biden</a> government has been emphasizing <a href="/wiki/Blue-collar_worker" title="Blue-collar worker">blue-collar jobs</a> that do not require a college degree, as part of its <a href="/wiki/Build_Back_Better_Plan" title="Build Back Better Plan">economic plan</a> to modernize public infrastructure and to rejuvenate the manufacturing sector.<sup id="cite_ref-110" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-110"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>110<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Before Biden, President Donald Trump signed a 2017 executive order expanding federal funding for apprenticeship programs which had bipartisan support.<sup id="cite_ref-:28_108-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:28-108"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>108<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> In 2022, President Biden announced an initiative aimed at expanding apprenticeship and work-based training programs in K–12 public schools in order to create a competitive and skilled workforce.<sup id="cite_ref-111" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-111"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>111<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> On the other hand, Biden's student loan relief plan worth $400 billion was struck down by the Supreme Court of the United States.<sup id="cite_ref-112" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-112"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>112<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>In the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, colleges and universities saw an increase in the number of faculty members leaving academia, citing low pay, stressful work environments, heavy workloads, lack of administrative support, and <a href="/wiki/Occupational_burnout" title="Occupational burnout">occupational burnout</a> as reasons for their decisions. Non-tenure track professors now make up three-quarters of college faculty, up from a quarter in 1975.<sup id="cite_ref-:1_34-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:1-34"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>34<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Moreover, lecturers and professors in the humanities face a highly precarious job market.<sup id="cite_ref-:2_35-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:2-35"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>35<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Graduates who majored in the humanities and the liberal arts in the 2010s were most likely to regret having done so and had lower expected incomes than their counterparts in STEM.<sup id="cite_ref-113" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-113"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>113<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>Between the early 2000s and the late 2010s, the number of students from emerging economies going abroad for higher education increased,<sup id="cite_ref-:80_114-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:80-114"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>114<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> and the United States was the most popular destination for international students, many of whom were from mainland China.<sup id="cite_ref-:78_115-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:78-115"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>115<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:22_116-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:22-116"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>116<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> In fact, the United States was the single most popular destination for Chinese students; among children of the Chinese ruling class ("<a href="/wiki/Princelings" title="Princelings">princelings</a>"), attending elite institutions in the United States was commonplace and seen as a status symbol,<sup id="cite_ref-:22_116-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:22-116"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>116<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> but the deterioration in the bilateral relationship as exemplified by President Donald Trump's <a href="/wiki/Proclamation_10043" title="Proclamation 10043">entry restrictions on Chinese students</a> in addition to the travel complications produced by the COVID-19 pandemic reduced the number of Chinese students enrolling in many American colleges and universities.<sup id="cite_ref-117" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-117"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>117<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:80_114-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:80-114"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>114<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> A 2023 report produced by the <a href="/wiki/Institute_of_International_Education" title="Institute of International Education">Institute of International Education</a> said that international student enrollment for the 2022–2023 academic year in American higher education institutions had exceeded pre-pandemic levels, with strong growth coming from India and sub-Saharan Africa and overall enrollment growing at its fastest rate in 40 years.<sup id="cite_ref-118" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-118"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>118<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Nevertheless, dependency on foreign students threatened the future of many American schools, which had hitherto been assuming that the number of international applicants would keep growing.<sup id="cite_ref-119" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-119"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>119<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Falling demand for higher education in the United States will force this industry to become more innovative, which is something it has not been traditionally good at. Moreover, as the <a href="/wiki/Teenage_pregnancy_in_the_United_States" title="Teenage pregnancy in the United States">birth rates of teenagers</a> and the lower classes continues to fall while women with higher incomes and education are having more children, students in the future will be less likely to have to rely on loans.<sup id="cite_ref-:23_83-4" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:23-83"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>83<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Controversy">Controversy</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Higher_education_bubble_in_the_United_States&amp;action=edit&amp;section=4" title="Edit section: Controversy"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <figure class="mw-default-size" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:College_Degree_Returns_by_Annual_Cost.png" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/3/31/College_Degree_Returns_by_Annual_Cost.png/220px-College_Degree_Returns_by_Annual_Cost.png" decoding="async" width="220" height="177" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/3/31/College_Degree_Returns_by_Annual_Cost.png/330px-College_Degree_Returns_by_Annual_Cost.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/3/31/College_Degree_Returns_by_Annual_Cost.png/440px-College_Degree_Returns_by_Annual_Cost.png 2x" data-file-width="724" data-file-height="582" /></a><figcaption>College Degree Returns by Average 2011 Annual Out-of-Pocket Costs, from B. Caplan's The Case Against Education</figcaption></figure> <figure class="mw-default-size" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:First-year_College_Degree_Returns_by_Major.png" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/2c/First-year_College_Degree_Returns_by_Major.png/220px-First-year_College_Degree_Returns_by_Major.png" decoding="async" width="220" height="221" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/2c/First-year_College_Degree_Returns_by_Major.png/330px-First-year_College_Degree_Returns_by_Major.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/2c/First-year_College_Degree_Returns_by_Major.png/440px-First-year_College_Degree_Returns_by_Major.png 2x" data-file-width="479" data-file-height="481" /></a><figcaption>First-year U.S. college degree returns for select majors, by type of student</figcaption></figure> <figure class="mw-default-size" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:College_Tuition_State_Funding.svg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/18/College_Tuition_State_Funding.svg/220px-College_Tuition_State_Funding.svg.png" decoding="async" width="220" height="153" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/18/College_Tuition_State_Funding.svg/330px-College_Tuition_State_Funding.svg.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/18/College_Tuition_State_Funding.svg/440px-College_Tuition_State_Funding.svg.png 2x" data-file-width="557" data-file-height="388" /></a><figcaption>Study comparing college revenue per student by tuition and state funding in 2008 dollars<sup id="cite_ref-DeltaCost_120-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-DeltaCost-120"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>120<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup></figcaption></figure> <p>The view that higher education is a bubble is debated. Some <a href="/wiki/Economists" class="mw-redirect" title="Economists">economists</a> do not think that <a href="/wiki/Rate_of_return" title="Rate of return">returns</a> to a college education are falling but instead believe that the benefits far outweigh the costs.<sup id="cite_ref-Simkovic_17-3" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Simkovic-17"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>17<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-Thomas_Lemieux_2006_18-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Thomas_Lemieux_2006-18"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>18<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-chronicle.com_19-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-chronicle.com-19"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>19<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Others argue that <a href="/wiki/Survivorship_bias" title="Survivorship bias">survival bias</a> is not accounted for, given those who <a href="/wiki/Dropping_out" title="Dropping out">dropped out</a> did not receive a degree but may have student loans to pay off, and that the benefits are only for those who graduate.<sup id="cite_ref-121" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-121"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>121<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> As of 2012, 29% of student debtors never graduated, and those who did could take decades to pay back the money they owed.<sup id="cite_ref-:21_58-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:21-58"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>58<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Also, the returns for marginal students or students in certain majors, especially at costly private universities, may not justify the investment.<sup id="cite_ref-122" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-122"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>122<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> It has been suggested that the returns to education should be compared to the returns to other forms of investment such as the stock market, bonds, real estate, and private equity. A higher return would suggest underinvestment in higher education, but lower returns would suggest a bubble.<sup id="cite_ref-123" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-123"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>123<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Studies have typically found a causal relationship between growth and education, although the <i>quality</i> and type of education matters, and not just the number of years of schooling.<sup id="cite_ref-124" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-124"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>124<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-125" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-125"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>125<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-126" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-126"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>126<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-127" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-127"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>127<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>In a <a href="/wiki/Financial_bubble" class="mw-redirect" title="Financial bubble">financial bubble</a>, assets like houses are sometimes purchased with a view to reselling at a higher price, and this can produce rapidly escalating prices as people speculate on future prices. An end to the spiral can provoke abrupt selling of the assets, resulting in an abrupt collapse in price&#160;&#8211;&#32; the bursting of the bubble. Because the asset acquired through college attendance&#160;&#8211;&#32; a higher education&#160;&#8211;&#32; cannot be sold but only rented through wages, there is no similar mechanism that would cause an abrupt collapse in the value of existing degrees. For this reason, this analogy could be misleading. However, one rebuttal to the claims that a bubble analogy is misleading is the observation that the 'bursting' of the bubble are the negative effects on students who incur student debt, for example, as the <a href="/wiki/American_Association_of_State_Colleges_and_Universities" title="American Association of State Colleges and Universities">American Association of State Colleges and Universities</a> reports that "Students are deeper in debt today than ever before.... The trend of heavy debt burdens threatens to limit access to higher education, particularly for low-income and first-generation students, who tend to carry the heaviest debt burden. Federal student aid policy has steadily put resources into student loan programs rather than need-based grants, a trend that straps future generations with high debt burdens. Even students who receive federal grant aid are finding it more difficult to pay for college."<sup id="cite_ref-128" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-128"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>128<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>However, the data actually show that notwithstanding a slight increase in 2008–2009, student loan default rates have declined since the mid-1980s and 1990s.<sup id="cite_ref-phys.org_52-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-phys.org-52"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>52<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-Kirkham_53-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Kirkham-53"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>53<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> During both periods of growth and recession, those with college degrees are much less likely than those without to be unemployed, even though they earn higher wages.<sup id="cite_ref-Education_Pays_65-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Education_Pays-65"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>65<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p><a href="/wiki/Ohio_University" title="Ohio University">Ohio University</a> economist <a href="/wiki/Richard_Vedder" title="Richard Vedder">Richard Vedder</a> has written in <i><a href="/wiki/The_Wall_Street_Journal" title="The Wall Street Journal">The Wall Street Journal</a></i> that: </p> <style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1244412712">.mw-parser-output .templatequote{overflow:hidden;margin:1em 0;padding:0 32px}.mw-parser-output .templatequotecite{line-height:1.5em;text-align:left;margin-top:0}@media(min-width:500px){.mw-parser-output .templatequotecite{padding-left:1.6em}}</style><blockquote class="templatequote"><p>A key measure of the benefits of a degree is the college graduate's earning potential&#160;&#8211;&#32; and on this score, their advantage over high-school graduates is deteriorating. Since 2006, the gap between what the <a href="/wiki/Median" title="Median">median</a> college graduate earned compared with the median high-school graduate has narrowed by $1,387 for men over 25 working full time, a 5% fall. Women in the same category have fared worse, losing 7% of their income advantage ($1,496). A college degree's declining value is even more pronounced for younger Americans. According to data collected by the <a href="/wiki/College_Board" title="College Board">College Board</a>, for those in the 25–34 age range, the differential between college graduate and high school graduate earnings fell 11% for men, to $18,303 from $20,623. The decline for women was an extraordinary 19.7%, to $14,868 from $18,525. Meanwhile, the cost of college has increased 16.5% in 2012 dollars since 2006, according to the <a href="/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics" title="Bureau of Labor Statistics">Bureau of Labor Statistics</a>' higher education tuition-fee index.<sup id="cite_ref-129" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-129"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>129<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup></p></blockquote> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading3"><h3 id="Alternatives_to_bubble_hypothesis">Alternatives to bubble hypothesis</h3><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Higher_education_bubble_in_the_United_States&amp;action=edit&amp;section=5" title="Edit section: Alternatives to bubble hypothesis"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>A different explanation for rising tuition is the reduction of state and federal appropriations to colleges, making them more reliant on student tuition. Thus, it is not a bubble but a form of <a href="/wiki/Cost-shifting" title="Cost-shifting">shifting costs</a> away from state and federal funding over to students.<sup id="cite_ref-24tuition_130-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-24tuition-130"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>130<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> This has mostly applied to public universities which in 2011 for the first time have taken in more in tuition than in state funding<sup id="cite_ref-24tuition_130-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-24tuition-130"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>130<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> and had the greatest increases in tuition.<sup id="cite_ref-DeltaCost_120-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-DeltaCost-120"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>120<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Implied from this shift away from public funding to tuition is <a href="/wiki/Privatization" title="Privatization">privatization</a>, although <i><a href="/wiki/The_New_York_Times" title="The New York Times">The New York Times</a></i> reported that such claims are exaggerated.<sup id="cite_ref-24tuition_130-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-24tuition-130"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>130<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>A second hypothesis claims that as a result of federal law that severely restricts the ability of students to discharge their federally guaranteed student loans in bankruptcy, lenders and colleges know that students are on the hook for any amount that they borrow, including late fees and interest (which can be capitalized and increase the principal loan amount), thus removing the incentive to only provide students loans that the students can be reasonably expected to repay.<sup id="cite_ref-131" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-131"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>131<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-132" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-132"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>132<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> As evidence for this hypothesis, it has been suggested that returning bankruptcy protections (and other standard consumer protections) to student loans would cause lenders to be more cautious, thereby causing a sharp decline in the availability of student loans, which, in turn, would decrease the influx of dollars to colleges and universities, who, in turn, would have to sharply decrease tuition to match the lower availability of funds.<sup id="cite_ref-Why_College_Prices_Keep_Rising_133-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Why_College_Prices_Keep_Rising-133"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>133<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>Economic and social commentator <a href="/wiki/Gary_North_(economist)" title="Gary North (economist)">Gary North</a> has remarked at <i><a href="/wiki/LewRockwell.com" class="mw-redirect" title="LewRockwell.com">LewRockwell.com</a></i>, "To speak of college as a bubble is silly. A bubble does not pop until months or years after the funding ceases. There is no indication that the funding for college education will cease."<sup id="cite_ref-north_134-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-north-134"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>134<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p><a href="/wiki/Azar_Nafisi" title="Azar Nafisi">Azar Nafisi</a>, <a href="/wiki/Johns_Hopkins_University" title="Johns Hopkins University">Johns Hopkins University</a> professor and bestselling author of <i><a href="/wiki/Reading_Lolita_in_Tehran" title="Reading Lolita in Tehran">Reading Lolita in Tehran</a></i>, has stated on the <i><a href="/wiki/PBS_NewsHour" class="mw-redirect" title="PBS NewsHour">PBS NewsHour</a></i> that a purely economic analysis of a higher education bubble is incomplete: </p> <link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1244412712"><blockquote class="templatequote"><p>Universities become sort of like canaries in the mine for a culture. They become the sort of standard of where culture is going. The dynamism, the originality of these entrepreneurial experiences, the fact that society allows people to be original, to take risks, all of it comes from a passionate love of knowledge. And universities represent all the different areas and fields within a society. And the students and faculty come from all these fields. This is a community that represents the best that a society has to offer. And there was a mention of our universities being the best in the world.<sup id="cite_ref-newshour_135-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-newshour-135"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>135<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup></p></blockquote> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="See_also">See also</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Higher_education_bubble_in_the_United_States&amp;action=edit&amp;section=6" title="Edit section: See also"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1239009302">.mw-parser-output .portalbox{padding:0;margin:0.5em 0;display:table;box-sizing:border-box;max-width:175px;list-style:none}.mw-parser-output .portalborder{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#a2a9b1);padding:0.1em;background:var(--background-color-neutral-subtle,#f8f9fa)}.mw-parser-output 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title="EdFund">EdFund</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Elite_overproduction" title="Elite overproduction">Elite overproduction</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Free_education" title="Free education">Free education</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Higher_Education_Price_Index" title="Higher Education Price Index">Higher Education Price Index</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Higher_education_in_China#Challenges" title="Higher education in China">Higher education problems in China</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Education_in_South_Korea#Controversy_and_criticism" title="Education in South Korea">Higher education problems in South Korea</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Neijuan" title="Neijuan">Neijuan</a></li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="References">References</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Higher_education_bubble_in_the_United_States&amp;action=edit&amp;section=7" title="Edit section: References"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1239543626">.mw-parser-output .reflist{margin-bottom:0.5em;list-style-type:decimal}@media screen{.mw-parser-output .reflist{font-size:90%}}.mw-parser-output .reflist .references{font-size:100%;margin-bottom:0;list-style-type:inherit}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns-2{column-width:30em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns-3{column-width:25em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns{margin-top:0.3em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns ol{margin-top:0}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns li{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .reflist-upper-alpha{list-style-type:upper-alpha}.mw-parser-output .reflist-upper-roman{list-style-type:upper-roman}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-alpha{list-style-type:lower-alpha}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-greek{list-style-type:lower-greek}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-roman{list-style-type:lower-roman}</style><div class="reflist 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a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg")right 0.1em center/9px no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .cs1-ws-icon a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4c/Wikisource-logo.svg")right 0.1em center/12px no-repeat}body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-free a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-limited a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-registration a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-subscription a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .cs1-ws-icon a{background-size:contain;padding:0 1em 0 0}.mw-parser-output .cs1-code{color:inherit;background:inherit;border:none;padding:inherit}.mw-parser-output .cs1-hidden-error{display:none;color:var(--color-error,#d33)}.mw-parser-output .cs1-visible-error{color:var(--color-error,#d33)}.mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{display:none;color:#085;margin-left:0.3em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-left{padding-left:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-right{padding-right:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .citation .mw-selflink{font-weight:inherit}@media screen{.mw-parser-output .cs1-format{font-size:95%}html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{color:#18911f}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{color:#18911f}}</style><cite id="CITEREFArchibaldFeldman2006" class="citation journal cs1">Archibald, Robert B.; Feldman, David (David H.) 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Science X network.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.jtitle=Phys.org&amp;rft.atitle=Student+loan+default+rates+jump&amp;rft.date=2011-09-12&amp;rft.aulast=Pope&amp;rft.aufirst=Justin&amp;rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fphys.org%2Fnews%2F2011-09-student-loan-default.html&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AHigher+education+bubble+in+the+United+States" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-Kirkham-53"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">^ <a href="#cite_ref-Kirkham_53-0"><sup><i><b>a</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-Kirkham_53-1"><sup><i><b>b</b></i></sup></a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFKirkham2011" class="citation news cs1">Kirkham, Chris (September 12, 2011). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/09/12/for-profit-colleges-student-loan-_n_959058.html">"Led By For-Profit Colleges, Student Loan Defaults At Highest Level In A Decade"</a>. <i>Huffington Post</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=article&amp;rft.jtitle=Huffington+Post&amp;rft.atitle=Led+By+For-Profit+Colleges%2C+Student+Loan+Defaults+At+Highest+Level+In+A+Decade&amp;rft.date=2011-09-12&amp;rft.aulast=Kirkham&amp;rft.aufirst=Chris&amp;rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.huffingtonpost.com%2F2011%2F09%2F12%2Ffor-profit-colleges-student-loan-_n_959058.html&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AHigher+education+bubble+in+the+United+States" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-54"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-54">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">McKinsey Global Institute, <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.mckinsey.com/Insights/MGI/Research/Labor_Markets/An_economy_that_works_for_US_job_creation">An Economy that Works: Job Creation and America's Future</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20130118102036/http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/mgi/research/labor_markets/an_economy_that_works_for_us_job_creation">Archived</a> January 18, 2013, at the <a href="/wiki/Wayback_Machine" title="Wayback Machine">Wayback Machine</a>, June 2011</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-55"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-55">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFBelkinMoriarty2018" class="citation web cs1">Belkin, Douglas; Moriarty, Dylan (December 19, 2018). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.wsj.com/graphics/calculating-risk-of-college/?mod=article_inline">"Calculating the Risk of College"</a>. <i>The Wall Street Journal</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.jtitle=The+Wall+Street+Journal&amp;rft.atitle=Calculating+the+Risk+of+College&amp;rft.date=2018-12-19&amp;rft.aulast=Belkin&amp;rft.aufirst=Douglas&amp;rft.au=Moriarty%2C+Dylan&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.wsj.com%2Fgraphics%2Fcalculating-risk-of-college%2F%3Fmod%3Darticle_inline&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AHigher+education+bubble+in+the+United+States" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-56"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-56">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">Note that these add up to more than 100% because they are cumulative; e.g. it is assumed that all people with doctorates also have undergraduate and high school degrees, and are thus counted twice in the "lower" categories. Age 25 is used rather than age 18 because there are few people aged 18 or over with advanced degrees. <link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.census.gov/data/tables/2018/demo/education-attainment/cps-detailed-tables.html">"Educational Attainment in the United States: 2018"</a>. U.S. Census Bureau<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">June 23,</span> 2018</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.btitle=Educational+Attainment+in+the+United+States%3A+2018&amp;rft.pub=U.S.+Census+Bureau&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.census.gov%2Fdata%2Ftables%2F2018%2Fdemo%2Feducation-attainment%2Fcps-detailed-tables.html&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AHigher+education+bubble+in+the+United+States" class="Z3988"></span> Percentages are calculated based on census data by counting people that had attained that level or higher.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-57"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-57">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFReynolds2012" class="citation book cs1">Reynolds, Glenn H. (2012). <i>The higher education bubble</i>. New York: Encounter Books. p.&#160;1. <a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a>&#160;<a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/978-1594036651" title="Special:BookSources/978-1594036651"><bdi>978-1594036651</bdi></a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&amp;rft.genre=book&amp;rft.btitle=The+higher+education+bubble&amp;rft.place=New+York&amp;rft.pages=1&amp;rft.pub=Encounter+Books&amp;rft.date=2012&amp;rft.isbn=978-1594036651&amp;rft.aulast=Reynolds&amp;rft.aufirst=Glenn+H.&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AHigher+education+bubble+in+the+United+States" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-:21-58"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">^ <a href="#cite_ref-:21_58-0"><sup><i><b>a</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-:21_58-1"><sup><i><b>b</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-:21_58-2"><sup><i><b>c</b></i></sup></a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFWill2012" class="citation news cs1">Will, George F. (June 8, 2012). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://archive.today/20230507192848/https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/george-will-subprime-college-educations/2012/06/08/gJQA4fGiOV_story.html">"Subprime college educations"</a>. <i>The Washington Post</i>. Archived from <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/george-will-subprime-college-educations/2012/06/08/gJQA4fGiOV_story.html">the original</a> on May 7, 2023<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">May 7,</span> 2023</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=article&amp;rft.jtitle=The+Washington+Post&amp;rft.atitle=Subprime+college+educations&amp;rft.date=2012-06-08&amp;rft.aulast=Will&amp;rft.aufirst=George+F.&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonpost.com%2Fopinions%2Fgeorge-will-subprime-college-educations%2F2012%2F06%2F08%2FgJQA4fGiOV_story.html&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AHigher+education+bubble+in+the+United+States" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-59"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-59">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFForoohar2020" class="citation news cs1">Foroohar, Rana (April 26, 2020). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://archive.today/20200426155925/https://www.ft.com/content/e5d50e86-861a-11ea-b872-8db45d5f6714">"Coronavirus bursts the US college education bubble"</a>. <i>Financial Times</i>. Archived from <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.ft.com/content/e5d50e86-861a-11ea-b872-8db45d5f6714">the original</a> on April 26, 2020<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">May 5,</span> 2023</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=article&amp;rft.jtitle=Financial+Times&amp;rft.atitle=Coronavirus+bursts+the+US+college+education+bubble&amp;rft.date=2020-04-26&amp;rft.aulast=Foroohar&amp;rft.aufirst=Rana&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcontent%2Fe5d50e86-861a-11ea-b872-8db45d5f6714&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AHigher+education+bubble+in+the+United+States" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-60"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-60">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFCampos2015" class="citation news cs1">Campos, Paul (January 8, 2015). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://archive.today/20230506031434/https://theweek.com/articles/450341/how-louis-vuitton-bag-explain-higher-education-bubble">"How a Louis Vuitton bag can explain the higher education bubble"</a>. <i>The Week</i>. Archived from <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://theweek.com/articles/450341/how-louis-vuitton-bag-explain-higher-education-bubble">the original</a> on May 6, 2023<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">May 5,</span> 2023</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=article&amp;rft.jtitle=The+Week&amp;rft.atitle=How+a+Louis+Vuitton+bag+can+explain+the+higher+education+bubble&amp;rft.date=2015-01-08&amp;rft.aulast=Campos&amp;rft.aufirst=Paul&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Ftheweek.com%2Farticles%2F450341%2Fhow-louis-vuitton-bag-explain-higher-education-bubble&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AHigher+education+bubble+in+the+United+States" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-61"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-61">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation news cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://archive.today/20190509002300/https://www.economist.com/books-and-arts/2017/08/05/modern-american-elites-have-come-to-favour-inconspicuous-consumption">"Modern American elites have come to favour inconspicuous consumption"</a>. <i>The Economist</i>. August 5, 2017. Archived from <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.economist.com/books-and-arts/2017/08/05/modern-american-elites-have-come-to-favour-inconspicuous-consumption">the original</a> on May 9, 2019<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">September 11,</span> 2021</span>. <q>Rather than filling garages with flashy cars, the data show, today's rich devote their budgets to less visible but more valuable ends. Chief among them is education for their children: the top 10% now allocate almost four times as much of their spending to school and university as they did in 1996, whereas for other groups the figure has hardly budged.</q></cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=article&amp;rft.jtitle=The+Economist&amp;rft.atitle=Modern+American+elites+have+come+to+favour+inconspicuous+consumption&amp;rft.date=2017-08-05&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.economist.com%2Fbooks-and-arts%2F2017%2F08%2F05%2Fmodern-american-elites-have-come-to-favour-inconspicuous-consumption&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AHigher+education+bubble+in+the+United+States" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-62"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-62">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFCurrid-Halkett2017" class="citation news cs1"><a href="/wiki/Elizabeth_Currid-Halkett" title="Elizabeth Currid-Halkett">Currid-Halkett, Elizabeth</a> (June 14, 2017). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.bbc.com/worklife/article/20170614-the-new-subtle-ways-the-rich-signal-their-wealth">"The new, subtle ways the rich signal their wealth"</a>. <i>BBC Future</i><span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">September 11,</span> 2021</span>. <q>Inconspicuous consumption – whether breastfeeding or education – is a means to a better quality of life and improved social mobility for one's own children, whereas conspicuous consumption is merely an end in itself – simply ostentation. For today's aspirational class, inconspicuous consumption choices secure and preserve social status, even if they do not necessarily display it.</q></cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=article&amp;rft.jtitle=BBC+Future&amp;rft.atitle=The+new%2C+subtle+ways+the+rich+signal+their+wealth&amp;rft.date=2017-06-14&amp;rft.aulast=Currid-Halkett&amp;rft.aufirst=Elizabeth&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.com%2Fworklife%2Farticle%2F20170614-the-new-subtle-ways-the-rich-signal-their-wealth&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AHigher+education+bubble+in+the+United+States" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-NYT42415-63"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-NYT42415_63-0">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFWilliam_R._EmmonsAna_H._KentLowell_R._Ricketts2019" class="citation web cs1">William R. Emmons; Ana H. Kent; Lowell R. Ricketts (January 7, 2019). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.stlouisfed.org/~/media/files/pdfs/hfs/is-college-worth-it/emmons_kent_ricketts_college_still_worth_it.pdf?la=en">"Is College Still Worth It? The New Calculus of Falling Returns"</a> <span class="cs1-format">(PDF)</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.btitle=Is+College+Still+Worth+It%3F+The+New+Calculus+of+Falling+Returns&amp;rft.date=2019-01-07&amp;rft.au=William+R.+Emmons&amp;rft.au=Ana+H.+Kent&amp;rft.au=Lowell+R.+Ricketts&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.stlouisfed.org%2F~%2Fmedia%2Ffiles%2Fpdfs%2Fhfs%2Fis-college-worth-it%2Femmons_kent_ricketts_college_still_worth_it.pdf%3Fla%3Den&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AHigher+education+bubble+in+the+United+States" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-64"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-64">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFLowrey2021" class="citation news cs1">Lowrey, Anne (May 13, 2021). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://archive.today/20210526191731/https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/05/millennial-grandparents-unequal-generation/618859/">"Why Millennials Can't Grow Up"</a>. <i>The Atlantic</i>. 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Retrieved <span class="nowrap">November 15,</span> 2011</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.btitle=College%3A+Why+It+Is+Not+a+Bubble&amp;rft.pub=LewRockwell.com&amp;rft.date=2011-05-02&amp;rft.au=Gary+North&amp;rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Farchive.lewrockwell.com%2Fnorth%2Fnorth975.html&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AHigher+education+bubble+in+the+United+States" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-newshour-135"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-newshour_135-0">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation news cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/jan-june11/college_05-27.html">"Is a College Diploma Worth the Soaring Student Debt?"</a>. <a href="/wiki/PBS_NewsHour" class="mw-redirect" title="PBS NewsHour">PBS NewsHour</a>. May 27, 2011<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">November 16,</span> 2011</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=article&amp;rft.atitle=Is+a+College+Diploma+Worth+the+Soaring+Student+Debt%3F&amp;rft.date=2011-05-27&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.pbs.org%2Fnewshour%2Fbb%2Fbusiness%2Fjan-june11%2Fcollege_05-27.html&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AHigher+education+bubble+in+the+United+States" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> </ol></div> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Further_reading">Further reading</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Higher_education_bubble_in_the_United_States&amp;action=edit&amp;section=8" title="Edit section: Further reading"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li>Angulo, A. (2016). <i><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://books.google.com/books?id=jcqnCwAAQBAJ">Diploma Mills: How For-profit Colleges Stiffed Students, Taxpayers, and the American Dream</a>.</i> Johns Hopkins University Press.</li> <li>Armstrong, E. and Hamilton, L. (2015). <i>Paying for the Party: How College Maintains Inequality.</i> Harvard University Press.</li> <li>Bennett, W. and Wilezol, D. (2013). <i><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://books.google.com/books?id=AZ9aFGUH-t0C">Is College Worth It?: A Former United States Secretary of Education and a Liberal Arts Graduate Expose the Broken Promise of Higher Education</a>.</i> Thomas Nelson.</li> <li>Best, J. and Best, E. (2014) <i><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://books.google.com/books?id=cWznAgAAQBAJ">The Student Loan Mess: How Good Intentions Created a Trillion-Dollar Problem</a>.</i> Atkinson Family Foundation.</li> <li>Caplan, B. (2018). <i><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://books.google.com/books?id=Mws8DwAAQBAJ">The Case Against Education: Why the Education System Is a Waste of Time and Money</a>.</i> Princeton University Press.</li> <li>Cappelli, P. (2015). <i><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://books.google.com/books?id=DtM_CQAAQBAJ">Will College Pay Off?: A Guide to the Most Important Financial Decision You'll Ever Make</a>.</i> Public Affairs.</li> <li>Golden, D. (2006). <i>The Price of Admission: How America’s Ruling Class Buys its Way into Elite Colleges — and Who Gets Left Outside the Gates.</i></li> <li>Goldrick-Rab, S. (2016). <i><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://books.google.com/books?id=Us3CDAAAQBAJ">Paying the Price: College Costs, Financial Aid, and the Betrayal of the American Dream</a>.</i></li> <li>Reynolds, G. (2012). <i>The Higher Education Bubble.</i> Encounter Books.</li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="External_links">External links</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Higher_education_bubble_in_the_United_States&amp;action=edit&amp;section=9" title="Edit section: External links"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.highereddive.com/news/how-many-colleges-and-universities-have-closed-since-2016/539379/">A look at trends in college consolidation since 2016</a>. Higher Ed Dive. Last updated June 18, 2024.</li></ul> <div class="navbox-styles"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1129693374"><style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1236075235">.mw-parser-output .navbox{box-sizing:border-box;border:1px solid #a2a9b1;width:100%;clear:both;font-size:88%;text-align:center;padding:1px;margin:1em auto 0}.mw-parser-output .navbox .navbox{margin-top:0}.mw-parser-output .navbox+.navbox,.mw-parser-output .navbox+.navbox-styles+.navbox{margin-top:-1px}.mw-parser-output .navbox-inner,.mw-parser-output .navbox-subgroup{width:100%}.mw-parser-output .navbox-group,.mw-parser-output .navbox-title,.mw-parser-output .navbox-abovebelow{padding:0.25em 1em;line-height:1.5em;text-align:center}.mw-parser-output .navbox-group{white-space:nowrap;text-align:right}.mw-parser-output .navbox,.mw-parser-output .navbox-subgroup{background-color:#fdfdfd}.mw-parser-output .navbox-list{line-height:1.5em;border-color:#fdfdfd}.mw-parser-output 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href="/wiki/Stock_market_bubble" title="Stock market bubble">Stock market bubble</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Commercial_revolution" title="Commercial revolution">Commercial revolution</a><br />(1000–1760)</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Tulip_mania" title="Tulip mania">Tulip mania</a> (1634–1637)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Mississippi_Company" title="Mississippi Company">Mississippi bubble</a> (1684–1720)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/South_Sea_Company" title="South Sea Company">South Sea bubble</a> (1711–1720)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Bengal_Bubble_of_1769" title="Bengal Bubble of 1769">Bengal Bubble of 1769</a> (1757–1769)</li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Industrial_Revolution" title="Industrial Revolution">1st Industrial Revolution</a><br />(1760–1840)</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Canal_Mania" title="Canal Mania">Canal Mania</a> (c. 1790–c. 1810)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Carolina_gold_rush" title="Carolina gold rush">Carolina gold rush</a> (1802–1825)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Alabama_real_estate_bubble_of_the_1810s" title="Alabama real estate bubble of the 1810s">1810s Alabama real estate bubble</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Georgia_Gold_Rush" title="Georgia Gold Rush">Georgia Gold Rush</a> (1828–c. 1840)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Chicago_real_estate_bubble_of_the_1830s" title="Chicago real estate bubble of the 1830s">1830s Chicago real estate bubble</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Chilean_silver_rush" title="Chilean silver rush">Chilean silver rush</a> (1830–1850)</li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">1840–1870</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Railway_Mania" title="Railway Mania">Railway Mania</a> (c. 1840–c. 1850)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/California_gold_rush" title="California gold rush">California gold rush</a> (1848–1855)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Queen_Charlottes_Gold_Rush" title="Queen Charlottes Gold Rush">Queen Charlottes Gold Rush</a> (1851)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Victorian_gold_rush" title="Victorian gold rush">Victorian gold rush</a> (1851–c. 1870)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/New_South_Wales_gold_rush" title="New South Wales gold rush">New South Wales gold rush</a> (1851–1880)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Australian_gold_rushes" title="Australian gold rushes">Australian gold rushes</a> (1851–1914)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Fraser_Canyon_Gold_Rush" title="Fraser Canyon Gold Rush">Fraser Canyon Gold Rush</a> (1858)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Pike%27s_Peak_gold_rush" title="Pike&#39;s Peak gold rush">Pike's Peak gold rush</a> (1858–1861)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Rock_Creek_Gold_Rush" title="Rock Creek Gold Rush">Rock Creek Gold Rush</a> (1859)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Pennsylvania_oil_rush" title="Pennsylvania oil rush">Pennsylvania oil rush</a> (1859–1891)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Similkameen_Gold_Rush" title="Similkameen Gold Rush">Similkameen Gold Rush</a> (1860)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stikine_Gold_Rush" title="Stikine Gold Rush">Stikine Gold Rush</a> (1861)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Steamboats_of_the_Colorado_River" title="Steamboats of the Colorado River">Colorado River mining boom</a> (1861–1864)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Otago_gold_rush" title="Otago gold rush">Otago gold rush</a> (1861–1864)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cariboo_Gold_Rush" title="Cariboo Gold Rush">Cariboo Gold Rush</a> (1861–1867)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Gold_mining_in_Nova_Scotia" title="Gold mining in Nova Scotia">First Nova Scotia Gold Rush</a> (1861–1874)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/West_Coast_gold_rush" title="West Coast gold rush">West Coast gold rush</a> (1864–1867)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Big_Bend_Gold_Rush" title="Big Bend Gold Rush">Big Bend Gold Rush</a> (c. 1865)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Vermilion_Lake_gold_rush" title="Vermilion Lake gold rush">Vermilion Lake gold rush</a> (1865–1867)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Kildonan_Gold_Rush" title="Kildonan Gold Rush">Kildonan Gold Rush</a> (1869)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Omineca_Gold_Rush" title="Omineca Gold Rush">Omineca Gold Rush</a> (1869)</li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Second_Industrial_Revolution" title="Second Industrial Revolution">2nd Industrial Revolution</a><br />(1870–1914)</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Lapland_gold_rush" title="Lapland gold rush">1870s Lapland gold rush</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Coromandel_Gold_Rushes" title="Coromandel Gold Rushes">Coromandel Gold Rushes</a> (c. 1870–c. 1890)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cassiar_Country" title="Cassiar Country">Cassiar Gold Rush</a> (c. 1870–c. 1890)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Black_Hills_gold_rush" title="Black Hills gold rush">Black Hills gold rush</a> (1874–1880)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Colorado_Silver_Boom" title="Colorado Silver Boom">Colorado Silver Boom</a> (1879–1893)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Western_Australian_gold_rushes" title="Western Australian gold rushes">Western Australian gold rushes</a> (c. 1880–c. 1900)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Indiana_gas_boom" title="Indiana gas boom">Indiana gas boom</a> (c. 1880–1903)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Petroleum_industry_in_Ohio" title="Petroleum industry in Ohio">Ohio oil rush</a> (c. 1880–c. 1930)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Tierra_del_Fuego_gold_rush" title="Tierra del Fuego gold rush">Tierra del Fuego gold rush</a> (1883–1906)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cayoosh_Gold_Rush" title="Cayoosh Gold Rush">Cayoosh Gold Rush</a> (1884)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Witwatersrand_Gold_Rush" title="Witwatersrand Gold Rush">Witwatersrand Gold Rush</a> (1886)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Encilhamento" title="Encilhamento">Encilhamento</a> (1886–1890)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cripple_Creek_Gold_Rush" title="Cripple Creek Gold Rush">Cripple Creek Gold Rush</a> (c. 1890–c. 1910)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Klondike_Gold_Rush" title="Klondike Gold Rush">Klondike Gold Rush</a> (1896–1899)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Gold_mining_in_Nova_Scotia" title="Gold mining in Nova Scotia">Second Nova Scotia Gold Rush</a> (1896–1903)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Kobuk_River_Stampede" title="Kobuk River Stampede">Kobuk River Stampede</a> (1897–1899)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Mount_Baker_gold_rush" title="Mount Baker gold rush">Mount Baker gold rush</a> (1897–c. 1925)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Nome_Gold_Rush" title="Nome Gold Rush">Nome Gold Rush</a> (1899–1909)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Fairbanks_Gold_Rush" title="Fairbanks Gold Rush">Fairbanks Gold Rush</a> (c. 1900–1918)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Texas_oil_boom" title="Texas oil boom">Texas oil boom</a> (1901–1918)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cobalt_silver_rush" title="Cobalt silver rush">Cobalt silver rush</a> (1903–1918)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Porcupine_Gold_Rush" title="Porcupine Gold Rush">Porcupine Gold Rush</a> (1909–1918)</li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Interwar_period" title="Interwar period">Interwar period</a><br />(1918–1939)</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Florida_land_boom_of_the_1920s" title="Florida land boom of the 1920s">1920s Florida land boom</a> (c. 1920–1925)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Fairbanks_Gold_Rush" title="Fairbanks Gold Rush">Fairbanks Gold Rush</a> (1918–c. 1930)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Texas_oil_boom" title="Texas oil boom">Texas oil boom</a> (1918–1945)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cobalt_silver_rush" title="Cobalt silver rush">Cobalt silver rush</a> (1918–c. 1930)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Porcupine_Gold_Rush" title="Porcupine Gold Rush">Porcupine Gold Rush</a> (1918–1945)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Kakamega_gold_rush" title="Kakamega gold rush">1930s Kakamega gold rush</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Gold_mining_in_Nova_Scotia" title="Gold mining in Nova Scotia">Third Nova Scotia Gold Rush</a> (1932–1942)</li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Post%E2%80%93World_War_II_economic_expansion" title="Post–World War II economic expansion">Post–WWII expansion</a><br />(1945–1973)</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Texas_oil_boom" title="Texas oil boom">Texas oil boom</a> (1945–c. 1950)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Porcupine_Gold_Rush" title="Porcupine Gold Rush">Porcupine Gold Rush</a> (1945–c. 1960)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Poseidon_bubble" title="Poseidon bubble">Poseidon bubble</a> (1969–1970)</li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Stagflation" title="Stagflation">The Great Inflation</a><br />(1973–1982)</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/1970s_commodities_boom" title="1970s commodities boom">1970s commodities boom</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Mexican_oil_boom" title="Mexican oil boom">Mexican oil boom</a> (1977–1981)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Silver_Thursday" title="Silver Thursday">Silver Thursday</a> (1980)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/New_Zealand_property_bubble" title="New Zealand property bubble">New Zealand property bubble</a> (c. 1980–1982)</li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Great_Moderation" title="Great Moderation">Great Moderation</a>/<br /><a href="/wiki/Great_Regression" class="mw-redirect" title="Great Regression">Great Regression</a><br />(1982–2007)</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/1980s_oil_glut" title="1980s oil glut">1980s oil glut</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/New_Zealand_property_bubble" title="New Zealand property bubble">New Zealand property bubble</a> (1982–)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Spanish_property_bubble" title="Spanish property bubble">Spanish property bubble</a> (1985–2008)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Japanese_asset_price_bubble" title="Japanese asset price bubble">Japanese asset price bubble</a> (1986–1990)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Dot-com_bubble" title="Dot-com bubble">Dot-com bubble</a> (1995–2000)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Baltic_states_housing_bubble" title="Baltic states housing bubble">Baltic states housing bubble</a> (2000–2006)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Irish_property_bubble" title="Irish property bubble">Irish property bubble</a> (c. 2000–2007)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/2000s_commodities_boom" title="2000s commodities boom">2000s commodities boom</a> (2000–2008)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Danish_property_bubble_of_2000s" title="Danish property bubble of 2000s">2000s Danish property bubble</a> (2001–2006)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/2000s_United_States_housing_bubble" title="2000s United States housing bubble">United States housing bubble</a> (2002–2006)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Romanian_property_bubble" title="Romanian property bubble">Romanian property bubble</a> (2002–2007)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Polish_property_bubble" title="Polish property bubble">Polish property bubble</a> (2002–2008)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Canadian_property_bubble" title="Canadian property bubble">Canadian property bubble</a> (2002–)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Chinese_property_bubble_(2005%E2%80%932011)" title="Chinese property bubble (2005–2011)">Chinese property bubble</a> (2005–2011)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Lebanese_housing_bubble" title="Lebanese housing bubble">Lebanese housing bubble</a> (2005–2008)</li></ul> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Chinese_stock_bubble_of_2007" title="Chinese stock bubble of 2007">Chinese stock bubble of 2007</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Uranium_bubble_of_2007" title="Uranium bubble of 2007">Uranium bubble of 2007</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Information_Age" title="Information Age">Information Age</a><br />(2007–present)</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/2000s_commodities_boom" title="2000s commodities boom">2000s commodities boom</a> (2008–2014)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Lebanese_housing_bubble" title="Lebanese housing bubble">Lebanese housing bubble</a> (2008–)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Corporate_debt_bubble" title="Corporate debt bubble">Corporate debt bubble</a> (2008–)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Australian_property_bubble" title="Australian property bubble">Australian property bubble</a> (2010–)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cryptocurrency_bubble" title="Cryptocurrency bubble">Cryptocurrency bubble</a> (2011–)</li> <li><a href="/wiki/Everything_bubble" title="Everything bubble">Everything bubble</a> (2020–21)</li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><td class="navbox-abovebelow" colspan="2"><div> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Carbon_bubble" title="Carbon bubble">Carbon bubble</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Green_bubble" title="Green bubble">Green bubble</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Social_media_stock_bubble" title="Social media stock bubble">Social media stock bubble</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Unicorn_bubble" title="Unicorn bubble">Unicorn bubble</a></li> <li><a class="mw-selflink selflink">U.S. higher education bubble</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr></tbody></table></div> <!-- NewPP limit report Parsed by 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