Mysteel：铁合金全品种分析师视点（2月20日）-我的钢铁网

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class="merquee-txt">2月20日Mysteel铁合金分析师视点</span></span><span class="size">10.99MB</span>', url: 'https://mfs.mysteelcdn.com/group1/M00/FF/1D/rBL632e32B-AXVFKAK_erb6YCGo454.mp3', }] }); try { ap.audio.addEventListener('ended', function () { ap.audio.play() setTimeout(function () { ap.audio.currentTime = 0 ap.audio.pause() if ($('.merquee-txt').outerWidth() > $('.sub-t').outerWidth()) { $('.merquee-txt').addClass('merquee-move') } }, 400) }, false); } catch (error) { } try { document.addEventListener('visibilitychange', function () { if (document.hidden) { // 关闭背景音乐 ap.pause() } else { // 开启背景音乐 // ap.play() } }) } catch (err) { } if ($('.merquee-txt').outerWidth() > $('.sub-t').outerWidth()) { $('.merquee-txt').addClass('merquee-move') } </script> <div data-val="5204" id="article-content"> <div id="text"> <p><img src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/02/21/0934271.jpg" alt="" width="600" height="160" /></p> <p align="justify">【北方<a href='https://thj.m.mysteel.com/meng/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>锰矿</a>】</p> <p align="justify">锰矿市场随盘面走势价格有所趋稳，港口库存下行叠加南非外盘报价高位，现货价格稳定后有小幅反弹趋势，目前矿价较周初上行0.5-1元/吨度，矿商低价出货意愿较低，硅锰厂内锰矿库存保持下行，预计对锰矿需求仍有待释放，锰矿需求仍保持。发运方面，目前市场消息了解到澳洲受天气影响发运节奏，目前影响周期以及数量仍在跟进，南非发运保持常量，加蓬前期大船发出后对国内发运维持低位，市场对锰矿库存的下行空间有一定信心，2月锰矿整体供应依旧低位，库存将继续有不同程度下行，短期市场还将保持观望情绪，锰矿价格震荡运行。</p> <p align="justify">【南方锰矿】</p> <p align="justify">近日钦州港锰矿价格弱稳运行，周初随着硅锰盘面翻红，锰矿经历一周阴跌后报价跟随盘面小幅上涨，市场询盘活跃度略增加，但实际成交依旧偏谨慎，半碳酸价格38-39元/吨度，澳籽45-46元/吨度，加蓬块48-49元/吨度。本月锰矿到港环比一月有所增加，整体库存尚可，但下游开工依旧低位，供需双弱格局。钦州港锰矿货源相对集中，短期价格保持弱稳，关注宏观政策预期向好给盘面带来的实际提振情况。</p> <p align="justify">【硅锰】</p> <p align="justify">内蒙硅锰：本周工厂前期新投产项目产量陆续正常，产区个别新炉子预计月底点火，但本周个别普硅厂存在转产动作，整体产量减少；成本端本周<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----050106-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>化工焦</a>价格下调一轮，锰矿价格维持坚挺，成本支撑尚可；目前厂家库存压力不大，基本以交付前期套保及钢厂订单为主，市场价格较混乱，多数厂家封盘不报，暂无低价出货情绪；钢厂端，主流钢招定价后部分北方钢厂按河钢价下浮价格陆续采购，个别钢厂1月定价根据2月价格走，后续观望矿端消息以及钢厂复产进度，预计短期内市场维持偏稳运行。</p> <p align="justify">宁夏硅锰：硅锰市场盘整偏弱运行，主流钢招定价，较为符合市场预期，周边钢厂参考其价格下浮100-150元/吨承兑进行采购，个别钢厂小幅减量采购。厂家端，开工方面，年后个别厂家高硅转普硅生产，西北普硅产量小幅抬升。出货方面，厂家排单生产为主，交付期货套保订单及钢厂长协订单，实际利润较上一季度小幅增加。厂家原料备库周期对应排单周期，个别少量按需补库。</p> <p align="justify">整体来看，硅锰市场盘整偏弱运行，观望原料锰矿价格表现以及下游钢厂产量及利润情况。</p> <p align="justify">南方硅锰：本周南方硅锰市场偏弱运行，节后新一轮钢招较明朗，环比最高位时下跌幅度较大，市场情绪走低。开工方面，南方地区节后有部分工厂复产复工，产量有所增加，但因近期经历快速下跌，部分工厂仍处于停产状态，生产动力不强，因为矿价及电费均处于较高位置，南方生产较困难，产能仍然集中于北方产区。钢厂端，钢厂没有出现大规模复产，需求恢复缓慢，硅锰库存仍处于高位，支撑不足。短期来看，关注钢厂复产情况及锰矿库存变化情况</p> <p align="justify">【电解锰】</p> <p align="justify">电解锰市场偏强运行，随着新一轮钢招定价陆续上涨，为电解锰坚挺走势带来有利支撑，市场整体盼涨情绪进一步增加，现货市场主流价格多围绕在13500元/吨上下，高价者围绕在13500-14000元/吨附近，但高价实际成交仍需进一步跟进，且随着公仓收货同步进行，电解锰货源流通紧张，现货市场交投氛围仍偏谨慎，出口市场活跃度较低，需求端高价接受程度有限，询价后采买意愿较低，还需更多钢招及需求指引市场变更。</p> <p align="justify">【硫酸锰】</p> <p align="justify">硫酸锰市场盘整持稳运行，行情稍显回暖迹象，矿端及硫酸市场对高纯硫酸锰行情带来持稳支撑，虽成本端有所增高，终端市场订单量偏少，传导至下游市场需求表现动力不足，实单成交跟进缓慢，对硫酸锰需求有限，下游三元前驱体市场持稳运行，散单成交较为冷清，目前市场成交仍以长单为主，还需持续关注市场变化，今日电池级硫酸锰价格为5900-6100元/吨，<a href='https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/siliao/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>饲料</a>级硫酸锰价格在3000-3200元/吨。</p> <p align="justify">【富锰渣】</p> <p align="justify">富锰渣市场本周企稳回暖，报价目前持观望态度，厂家多以交付订单为主，厂内库存偏低，预计近期价格持稳回升，辽宁地区40度富锰渣报价52-55元/吨度，宁夏地区38度报价51-54元/吨度，山西地区40-42度报价52-56元/吨度。</p> <p align="justify">【<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----030301-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>硅铁</a>】</p> <p align="justify">硅铁市场弱稳运行，原料端<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----050103-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>兰炭</a>降价明显，成本支撑走弱，厂家复产检修均有，企业整体开工高位，同时厂家由于前期套保订单较多，整体报价较为坚挺，市场对于盘面预期仍有下跌可能。下游河钢招标定价符合预期，市场情绪稳定，短期来看硅铁市场弱稳为主。</p> <p align="justify">【工业硅】</p> <p align="justify">本周工业硅现货价格承压运行，市场询货渐多，但成交情况仍有待恢复。供应端来看，近期西北产区有部分增量，一方面为大厂复产计划陆续实施，另一方面为年前新增点火项目逐步开炉。西南产区开工低位保持，平水期前复产困难，四川产区通威广元项目点火试生产。本周下游多晶硅大厂仍有招标，但价格预期不高，粉厂多压价采购，预计短期硅块价格难有起色。</p> <p align="justify">【金属镁】</p> <p align="justify">本周国内镁合金市场延续弱稳态势发展。山西地区主流工厂报价维持在17600-17800元/吨，其他区域市场价格变化不大。供应端市场成交情况较为清淡，部分工厂小幅让价出货以促成交。目前供应端工厂基本都维持正常生产，当前市场整体供大于需。需求端下游部分客户采购用量较往年同期有所减少，且价格竞争比较激烈，下游需求仍无好转迹象。</p> <p align="justify">综上，从当前行情来看，一方面工厂有稳价意愿，但受累于镁锭价格及下游需求不济，部分工厂报价已有松动迹象，市场看空情绪有所增加。预计接下来镁合金市场在没有利好的情况下呈弱稳态势运行，价格在区间内窄幅波动。</p> <p align="justify">【钒】</p> <p align="justify">片钒散货市场成交围绕7.3万元/吨，下游采购积极性较低，但市场浮动空间暂且有限；偏钒酸铵厂家表示成交依旧偏淡，观望为主。</p> <p align="justify">钒氮合金招标价格窄幅震荡，围绕现金11.1-11.4万元/吨展开，钢厂虽陆续进场招标，但对市场提振有限，厂家面对当前行情出货心态有所差异；钒铁虽钢招价格处于偏低位，但厂家生产压力限制之下报价仍围绕8.3万元/吨，大厂货源高于8.3万元/吨成交较为困难。</p> <p align="justify">【钨】</p> <p align="justify">钨价承压整理，需求侧与供给侧协同性不强，实际成交行情小幅偏弱调整，观望下半月各钨企长单采购价格表现。65%黑钨精矿价格报14.4万元/标吨，因生产端陆续恢复，但下游终端消费能力和意愿并未有明显提升，市场情绪受到一定影响，现货行情松动。仲钨酸铵（APT）价格报21.2万元/标吨，成本端松动与消费端不温不火形势下，贸易商心态相对承压，对钨企的长单报价预期欠佳。钨粉价格报318元/公斤，碳化钨粉价格报313元/公斤，市场贸易担忧增加，一方面是国内有效需求潜力待释放，另一方面钨钼产品出口管控明显加码。70钨铁价格报21.8万元/吨，市场基本面与宏观面的多空信息复杂，厂商谨慎观望情绪占主导，场内刚需交投为主。</p> <p align="justify">【钛】</p> <p align="justify">国内钛精矿市场维持盘整运行，市场询盘及交投情况一般。<a href='https://tks.m.mysteel.com/gck/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>国产矿</a>方面，目前市场生产商仍多交付前期订单为主，攀西及承德地区节后钛矿价格均有上调，目前攀西地区46%钛精矿报价2080-2150元/吨，承德45%报价1650-1700元/吨，新单询单虽有增加，但买方多以节前价格进场采购，相较于往年相比价格与需求方面，仍显不佳。<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----0311-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>进口矿</a>方面，目前选厂开工仍表不足，持货商节后多以挺价心态入场，但综合表现不及预期，目前除长协保供外，客户多以现货销售消化库存为主，等待新一轮大厂定价，以及终端方面消化提升等利好因素，尼日利亚50%报价2400元/吨，塞拉55%报价2550元/吨。</p> <p align="justify">【铌】</p> <p align="justify">本周巴西铌铁市场延续弱势盘整格局，价格呈现小幅下行趋势。截至本周，巴西65铌铁主流报价维持在24.4-25万元/吨区间，市场报价稳中趋弱，部分贸易商为促进成交选择小幅让利。从市场交投情况来看，散货市场成交氛围较为清淡，新签订单数量有限，下游采购意愿不强，市场整体呈现供需偏弱的态势。考虑到当前市场环境及供需基本面，预计短期内巴西铌铁价格仍将维持弱势盘整走势，价格波动空间相对有限。建议市场参与者密切关注国际市场需求变化及汇率波动对价格的影响。</p> <p align="justify">【钼】</p> <p>本周钼市呈现小幅阴跌走势；原料方面，本周原料市场承压持续走弱，矿山端，周初大型代表性矿山定价出货，50%-55%品位钼精矿成交价格在3560-3580元/吨度（现金-承兑），铁厂接受度一般，散货市场与矿山价格差别较大，实单成交价格高低不一，40%-50%品位钼精矿议价在3490-3510元/吨度；钼铁方面，随着周初青山22.5万元/吨（现金）的定价，铁厂整体报价重心不断下移，当前钼铁主流现货现金报价处于 22.6 -22.8万元/吨区间，散货成交缓慢，贸易商较为谨慎，综合来看，短期钼市仍旧处于上下游博弈中，预计短期钼价弱稳盘整。</p> <p><img src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/02/21/0934272.png" alt="" width="600" height="337.5" /></p> <p> </p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：吴庆麟 021-66896715 </br> 资讯监督：查佐栋 021-26093218 </br> 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-665-------------1.html" external>相关文章</a> </h2> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-665-------------1.html" external class="more"> 查看更多<i class="arrow"></i> </a> 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