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Climate change freshwater impacts assessments | NIWA
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class="menu-link-content__heading">Climate & Weather</h1> </div> </div> <div> <div class="field field--name-description field--type-string field--label-hidden field__item"><div class="menu-link-content__description">Understanding our variable and changing climate is critical for managing resources and reducing risks.</div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="field field--name-link field--type-link field--label-hidden field__item menu-link-content__section-link"> <a href="/climate-and-weather"> Explore all </a> </div> </div> <div> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-topics view-id-menu_item_topics view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-7fc1a521e3dc20a2778d4521a82609242bd48095a49abdc7c3e9d8baa8149e6c"> <div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-topics view-id-menu_item_topics view-display-id-entity_view_2 js-view-dom-id-3b5d4ab8eccb9ab3b87ee17a5fa39c8a29bf01d398f5a3f3a11b12ba03acf011"> <div class="views-row"><div class="taxonomy-term 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href="/climate-and-weather/climate-change" hreflang="en">Climate change</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/climate-and-weather/climate-change-adaptation" hreflang="en">Climate change adaptation</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/climate-and-weather/climate-data" hreflang="en">Climate data</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/climate-and-weather/climate-modelling-and-projections" hreflang="en">Climate modelling and projections</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/climate-and-weather/weather-forecasting" hreflang="en">Weather forecasting</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/renewable-energy" hreflang="en">Renewable energy</a></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="field field--name-field-grouped-links field--type-entity-reference-revisions field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><div class="paragraph paragraph--type-grouped-links paragraph--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <h2><a href="https://niwa.co.nz/climate-and-weather?pt=10#filters">Research</a></h2> <div class="field field--name-field-links field--type-link field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate/research-projects/updated-national-climate-projections-for-aotearoa-new-zealand">Updated national climate projections</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate/research-projects/physics-and-ai-based-high-resolution-climate-projections">Physics + AI climate projections</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate-and-weather/nowcasting-and-short-medium-range-forecasting-solar-and-wind-energy">Nowcasting for solar and wind</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate/research-projects/climate-present-and-past">Climate present and past</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate/research-projects/providing-climate-change-advice-to-new-zealands-regions">Providing climate change advice for NZ</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate-and-weather/forecasting-weather-systems">Forecasting weather systems</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate/information-and-resources/citizen-science-new-zealand-rainfall-monitoring-network">Citizen science - rainfall monitoring</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate-and-weather/serious-games-tool-engage-people">Serious games as a tool to engage people</a></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="field__item"><div class="paragraph paragraph--type-grouped-links paragraph--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <h2><a href="https://niwa.co.nz/climate-and-weather?pt=13#filters">Tools & services</a></h2> <div class="field field--name-field-links field--type-link field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate-and-weather/climate-change-adaptation-toolbox">Climate change adaptation toolbox</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate-and-weather/weather-and-climate-forecasting-services">Weather and climate forecasting services</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="https://shiny.niwa.co.nz/drought-forecast/">Drought forecasting dashboard</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate-and-weather/niwa-can-help-you-leverage-updated-climate-projections">Leveraging updated climate projections</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate/our-services/obtaining-climate-data-from-niwa">Climate data</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate/our-services/virtual-climate-stations">Virtual Climate Stations</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate/our-services/climate-mapping">Climate mapping</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate-and-weather/daily-climate-maps">Daily climate maps</a></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="field__item"><div class="paragraph paragraph--type-grouped-links paragraph--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <h2><a href="https://niwa.co.nz/climate-and-weather?pt=All&sort_by=recent#filters">Understanding our climate</a></h2> <div class="field field--name-field-links field--type-link field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><a href="/seasonal-climate-outlook/seasonal-climate-outlook">Seasonal climate outlooks</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate-and-weather/climate-summaries-0">Climate summaries</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate-and-weather/sea-surface-temperature-update">Sea Surface Temperature Update</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate-and-weather/regional-climatologies">Regional climatologies</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/rainfall/southwest-pacific-tropical-cyclone-outlook">Southwest Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate-and-weather/island-climate-update">Island Climate Update</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/el-nino-and-la-nina">El Niño and La Niña</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate/information-and-resources/nz-temperature-record">NZ temperature record</a></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="layout__region layout__region--second"> <div> <div class="field field--name-field-promoted-page field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item"> <div class="layout layout--onecol"> <div class="layout__region layout__region--content"> <div class="card card--mega-menu"> <div class="field field--name-dynamic-token-fieldnode-link-to-source field--type-ds field--label-hidden field__item"><p class="card__link-to-source"><a class="card__link" href="/climate-and-weather/niwa-can-help-you-leverage-updated-climate-projections">Link to source page</a></p> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-promotion-image field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item"> <img loading="lazy" src="/sites/default/files/styles/card_mega_menu/public/2022_PHOTO_COMP_Skyline_Hookcropped.jpg?h=034a5371&itok=5geu_pYl" width="614" height="409" /> </div> <div class="field field--name-node-title field--type-ds field--label-hidden field__item"><h2> NIWA can help you leverage updated climate projections </h2> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-page-type field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item">Service</div> <div class="field field--name-node-post-date field--type-ds field--label-hidden field__item">29 August 2024</div> <div class="field field--name-field-description field--type-string-long field--label-hidden field__item">NIWA is using updated climate projections to help New Zealanders better understand climate-related risks.</div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-content view-id-menu_item_related_content view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-8937e95a8976cd04f401b7da5380a493645b5ef5df2de60c7db0a75ed73e4033"> <div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-content view-id-menu_item_related_content view-display-id-entity_view_2 js-view-dom-id-d643858ca814431792387d8001841038cc9ed80f0d0c0b5005553caedb5dcad6"> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </li> <li class="site__header__menu__item--primary"> <a href="/hazards" title="Nature can be a destructive force. Our science prevents property damage and saves lives." class="site__header__menu__link--primary">Hazards</a> <div class="menu_link_content menu-link-contentmain view-mode-default menu-dropdown menu-dropdown-0 menu-type-default"> <div class="layout layout--twocol-section layout--twocol-section--75-25"> <div class="layout__region layout__region--first"> <div> <div class="field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden field__item"><h1 class="menu-link-content__heading">Hazards</h1> </div> </div> <div> <div class="field field--name-description field--type-string field--label-hidden field__item"><div class="menu-link-content__description">Nature can be a destructive force. Our science prevents property damage and saves lives.</div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="field field--name-link field--type-link field--label-hidden field__item menu-link-content__section-link"> <a href="/hazards"> Explore all </a> </div> </div> <div> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-topics view-id-menu_item_topics view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-1c16b652da77f9585128a9b02cbf973ba6e713d6493255e7d79b8b299a11fec7"> <div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-topics view-id-menu_item_topics view-display-id-entity_view_2 js-view-dom-id-6b0c82ed502aae0ad990030499dd5aa117fee71607507b6d27b369394472050f"> <div class="views-row"><div class="taxonomy-term taxonomy-term--type-topic taxonomy-term--view-mode-topic-children-tags ds-1col clearfix"> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-topic-children view-id-topic_children view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-a2e400bf5563d0e7f2809adcd32d08fa219149c0c015c3ec00bd1ba3eb9396b5"> <div class="topic-tag"><a href="/hazards/coastal-hazards" hreflang="en">Coastal hazards</a></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-topics view-id-menu_item_related_topics view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-5d4769632c39ec18140ef359ac2ae1af6a9cfe3f35482f256b58631bfc10a518"> <div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-topics view-id-menu_item_related_topics view-display-id-entity_view_2 js-view-dom-id-f8c44ee2f0462190657123603ea68ab16199071f5529c65fb79aaa4597917023"> <div class="views-row"><div class="taxonomy-term taxonomy-term--type-topic taxonomy-term--view-mode-topic-related-tags ds-1col clearfix"> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/hazards/weather-hazards" hreflang="en">Weather hazards</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/hazards/geological-hazards" hreflang="en">Geological hazards</a></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="field field--name-field-grouped-links field--type-entity-reference-revisions field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><div class="paragraph paragraph--type-grouped-links paragraph--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <h2><a href="https://niwa.co.nz/hazards?pt=10">Research</a></h2> <div class="field field--name-field-links field--type-link field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><a href="/hazards/future-coasts-aotearoa">Future Coasts Aotearoa</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/hazards/identifying-rip-currents-using-artificial-intelligence">Identifying rip currents using AI</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/hazards/riskscape-software">Riskscape software</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/hazards/ma-te-haumaru-o-nga-puna-wai-o-rakaihautu-ka-ora-mo-ake-tonu">Mā te haumaru ō te wai: Aotearoa flood resilience</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/hazards/research-projects/responding-to-and-preparing-for-extreme-weather-events">Responding to and preparing for extreme weather events</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate-and-weather/forecasting-weather-systems">Forecasting weather systems</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/hazards/tsunami-generated-underwater-volcanoes">Tsunami generated by underwater volcanoes</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/hazards/weather-hazards/river-flow-forecasting">River flow forecasting</a></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="field__item"><div class="paragraph paragraph--type-grouped-links paragraph--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <h2><a href="https://niwa.co.nz/our-services?subtree%5Btopic%5D=198">Tools & services</a></h2> <div class="field field--name-field-links field--type-link field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><a href="/hazards/coastal-hazards/extreme-coastal-flood-maps-aotearoa-new-zealand">Extreme coastal flood maps for Aotearoa New Zealand</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/coasts/physical-hazards-affecting-coastal-margins-and-continental-shelf/storm-tide-red-alert-days-2024">Storm-tide red-alert days 2024</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/coasts/tide-forecaster">Tide forecaster</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/hazards/sea-level-rise">Sea-level rise</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="https://shiny.niwa.co.nz/drought-forecast/">Drought dashboard</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/climate-and-weather/serious-games-tool-engage-people">Serious games as a tool to engage people</a></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="layout__region layout__region--second"> <div> <div class="field field--name-field-promoted-page field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item"> <div class="card card--mega-menu"> <div class="field field--name-dynamic-token-fieldnode-link-to-source field--type-ds field--label-hidden field__item"><p class="card__link-to-source"><a class="card__link" href="/news/tonga-eruption-confirmed-largest-ever-recorded">Link to source page</a></p> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-promotion-image field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item"> <img loading="lazy" src="/sites/default/files/styles/card_mega_menu/public/2022_10_3D_MODEL_HTHH_parsonskingDSC00900-web.jpg?h=f3f0a9e5&itok=gsi2rTI3" width="614" height="409" /> </div> <div class="field field--name-node-title field--type-ds field--label-hidden field__item"><h2> Tonga eruption confirmed as largest ever recorded </h2> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-page-type field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item">Media release</div> <div class="field field--name-node-post-date field--type-ds field--label-hidden field__item">21 November 2022</div> <div class="field field--name-field-description field--type-string-long field--label-hidden field__item">A New Zealand-led team has completed the fullest investigation to date into January’s eruption of the underwater Tongan volcano.</div> </div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-content view-id-menu_item_related_content view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-6015c1432b95dd4e528115752940cfe79e341c6d7ffcb60940b083497c0e8781"> <div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-content view-id-menu_item_related_content view-display-id-entity_view_2 js-view-dom-id-ca9249874dd4e3dc8e32558169f043cc695ef2b1bf9f599a4f6a10e77d809286"> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </li> <li class="site__header__menu__item--primary"> <a href="/coasts-and-oceans" title="NIWA aims to provide the knowledge needed for the sound environmental management of our marine resources." class="site__header__menu__link--primary">Coasts & Oceans</a> <div class="menu_link_content menu-link-contentmain view-mode-default menu-dropdown menu-dropdown-0 menu-type-default"> <div class="layout layout--twocol-section layout--twocol-section--75-25"> <div class="layout__region layout__region--first"> <div> <div class="field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden field__item"><h1 class="menu-link-content__heading">Coasts & Oceans</h1> </div> </div> <div> <div class="field field--name-description field--type-string field--label-hidden field__item"><div class="menu-link-content__description">NIWA aims to provide the knowledge needed for the sound environmental management of our marine resources.</div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="field field--name-link field--type-link field--label-hidden field__item menu-link-content__section-link"> <a href="/coasts-and-oceans"> Explore all </a> </div> </div> <div> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-topics view-id-menu_item_topics view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-df2e6e0885362ed91f6aa26c83c5d9fdda5f4feecf6457d13dc00897fcb8185f"> <div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-topics view-id-menu_item_topics view-display-id-entity_view_2 js-view-dom-id-1f6a0d1814042eb59d2e7f5c294fc2b25fd4fe2b10f093377b72347c3da583ab"> <div class="views-row"><div class="taxonomy-term taxonomy-term--type-topic taxonomy-term--view-mode-topic-children-tags ds-1col clearfix"> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-topic-children view-id-topic_children view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-51f672e0214b6fa8f4240883d96af509fd5188d13401eb7f4d612e456d5e0201"> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-topics view-id-menu_item_related_topics view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-f64d9a407120e4ff48dbcefdd7076d72fa85e9ff2eb787e7bd86af3639701639"> <div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-topics view-id-menu_item_related_topics view-display-id-entity_view_2 js-view-dom-id-32bc629e948a8d90dbd2a7f8c6622ce43ce99d7da266ee023293d5189de17484"> <div class="views-row"><div class="taxonomy-term taxonomy-term--type-topic taxonomy-term--view-mode-topic-related-tags ds-1col clearfix"> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/fisheries" hreflang="en">Fisheries</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/aquaculture" hreflang="en">Aquaculture</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/oceans" hreflang="en">Oceans</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/coasts" hreflang="en">Coasts</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/coasts/estuaries" hreflang="en">Estuaries</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/antarctica" hreflang="en">Antarctica</a></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="field field--name-field-grouped-links field--type-entity-reference-revisions field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><div class="paragraph paragraph--type-grouped-links paragraph--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <h2><a href="https://niwa.co.nz/research">Research</a></h2> <div class="field field--name-field-links field--type-link field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><a href="/antarctica?pt=10#filters">Antarctica</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/aquaculture?pt=10#filters">Aquaculture</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/coasts?pt=10#filters">Coasts </a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/research?subtree%5Btopic%5D=6145&subtree%5Bsubtopic%5D=158&created=All">Estuaries</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/fisheries?pt=10#filters">Fisheries </a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/oceans?pt=10#filters">Oceans</a></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="field__item"><div class="paragraph paragraph--type-grouped-links paragraph--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <h2><a href="https://niwa.co.nz/our-services">Tools & Services</a></h2> <div class="field field--name-field-links field--type-link field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><a href="/aquaculture?pt=13#filters">Aquaculture</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/coasts?pt=13#filters">Coasts</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/our-services?subtree%5Btopic%5D=6145&subtree%5Bsubtopic%5D=158">Estuaries</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/fisheries?pt=13#filters">Fisheries</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/oceans?pt=13#filters">Oceans</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/vessels/niwa-vessels">NIWA Vessels</a></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="field__item"><div class="paragraph paragraph--type-grouped-links paragraph--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <h2><a href="https://niwa.co.nz/coasts-and-oceans?pt=27">Frequently visited</a></h2> <div class="field field--name-field-links field--type-link field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><a href="/aquaculture/yellowtail-kingfish">Kingfish aquaculture</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/node/113711">Future Coasts Aotearoa</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/coasts/marine-biosecurity">Marine biosecurity</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/fisheries/ross-sea-toothfish-fishery">The Ross Sea toothfish fishery</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/fisheries/recreational-fishing">Recreational Fishing</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/coasts/marine-identification-guides-and-fact-sheets">Marine identification guides</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/vessels/voyages">Voyages</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/coasts/edna-research-and-services">eDNA research and services</a></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="layout__region layout__region--second"> <div> <div class="field field--name-field-promoted-page field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item"> <div class="layout layout--onecol"> <div class="layout__region layout__region--content"> <div class="card card--mega-menu"> <div class="field field--name-dynamic-token-fieldnode-link-to-source field--type-ds field--label-hidden field__item"><p class="card__link-to-source"><a class="card__link" href="/vessels/kaharoa-ii">Link to source page</a></p> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-promotion-image field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item"> <img loading="lazy" src="/sites/default/files/styles/card_mega_menu/public/2024-06/kaharoa_II_a25_2024-03-22%2017-50-53_JN_fx%20%28Custom%29.jpeg?h=cf677393&itok=3HCaj-r9" width="614" height="409" alt="Kaharoa II" /> </div> <div class="field field--name-node-title field--type-ds field--label-hidden field__item"><h2> Kaharoa II </h2> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-page-type field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item">Facility</div> <div class="field field--name-node-post-date field--type-ds field--label-hidden field__item">14 May 2024</div> <div class="field field--name-field-description field--type-string-long field--label-hidden field__item">Kaharoa II sets the standard of excellence for marine research vessels</div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-content view-id-menu_item_related_content view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-3082ea09f7af6175fb21c90af2c66e7d9acf966f7931760c90b9d16d11cc3a77"> <div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-content view-id-menu_item_related_content view-display-id-entity_view_2 js-view-dom-id-6f20f28bfb8d20a0e0307b9c20a02880a930f4890906f28ca61e3c0b9c33c18e"> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </li> <li class="site__header__menu__item--primary"> <a href="/freshwater" title="We provide public information on river, lake, and groundwater conditions across New Zealand including water quantity and quality." class="site__header__menu__link--primary" data-drupal-link-system-path="node/114353">Freshwater</a> <div class="menu_link_content menu-link-contentmain view-mode-default menu-dropdown menu-dropdown-0 menu-type-default"> <div class="layout layout--twocol-section layout--twocol-section--75-25"> <div class="layout__region layout__region--first"> <div> <div class="field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden field__item"><h1 class="menu-link-content__heading">Freshwater</h1> </div> </div> <div> <div class="field field--name-description field--type-string field--label-hidden field__item"><div class="menu-link-content__description">We provide public information on river, lake, and groundwater conditions across New Zealand including water quantity and quality.</div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="field field--name-link field--type-link field--label-hidden field__item menu-link-content__section-link"> <a href="/freshwater"> Explore all </a> </div> </div> <div> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-topics view-id-menu_item_topics view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-ce233703a2e4d8b8f3beb657ccf1f549c69363dc11b32667805f3fd74077fc7b"> <div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-topics view-id-menu_item_topics view-display-id-entity_view_2 js-view-dom-id-70e777f855a99bc4d9b88b01d37bb2a008d9c62106b7ce611ecb8dcc7d782813"> <div class="views-row"><div class="taxonomy-term taxonomy-term--type-topic taxonomy-term--view-mode-topic-children-tags ds-1col clearfix"> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-topic-children view-id-topic_children view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-103555cf1466d8c47a9f53d24850c3f5a09fd8725e8c24fc5623881e65d6197b"> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-topics view-id-menu_item_related_topics view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-0cff24d43787b323ecc3b2a3feb76741c543bab6797700d33f3c74c414634acc"> <div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-topics view-id-menu_item_related_topics view-display-id-entity_view_2 js-view-dom-id-be4bb702a4d576df2c5171f80f040f524631edcf1684bf2b44a1f0fa6afc7626"> <div class="views-row"><div class="taxonomy-term taxonomy-term--type-topic taxonomy-term--view-mode-topic-related-tags ds-1col clearfix"> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/freshwater/ecological-monitoring" hreflang="en">Ecological monitoring</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/freshwater/ecotoxicology" hreflang="en">Ecotoxicology</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/freshwater/freshwater-fish" hreflang="en">Freshwater fish</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/freshwater/freshwater-invertebrates" hreflang="en">Freshwater invertebrates</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/freshwater/freshwater-quality" hreflang="en">Freshwater quality</a></div> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/freshwater/freshwater-restoration" hreflang="en">Freshwater restoration</a></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="field field--name-field-grouped-links field--type-entity-reference-revisions field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><div class="paragraph paragraph--type-grouped-links paragraph--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <h2><a href="https://niwa.co.nz/freshwater?pt=10">Research</a></h2> <div class="field field--name-field-links field--type-link field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/research-projects/investigating-ecological-impacts-on-freshwater-insects-from-led-streetlight-conversions">Investigating ecological impacts on freshwater insects from LED streetlights</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/research-projects/effective-mitigation-systems-to-manage-contaminant-losses">Effective mitigation systems to manage contaminant losses</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/te-kuwaha/research-projects/cultural-keystone-species-co-management-and-restoration-of-our-freshwater-taonga-species">Cultural Keystone Species</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/research-projects/freshwater-bioremediation-using-native-mussels-focussed-on-shallow-eutrophic-lakes">Freshwater bioremediation using native mussels</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/research-projects/hauraki-integrated-land-water-modelling">Hauraki Integrated Land-Water Modelling</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/research-projects/snow-and-ice-network">Snow and Ice Network</a></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="field__item"><div class="paragraph paragraph--type-grouped-links paragraph--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <h2><a href="https://niwa.co.nz/freshwater?pt=13">Services</a></h2> <div class="field field--name-field-links field--type-link field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/our-services/climate-change-freshwater-impacts-assessments">Climate change freshwater impacts assessments</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/our-science/freshwater/our-services/specialist-analytical-services">Specialist analytical services</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/our-services/flow-assessment-and-management">Flow assessment and management</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/our-services/freshwater-data-online">Freshwater databases online</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/our-services/freshwater-species-and-habitat-management">Freshwater species and habitat management</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/our-services/stormwater-management">Stormwater management</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/our-services/catchment-modelling">Catchment modelling</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/our-services/water-quality-monitoring-and-advice">Water quality monitoring and advice</a></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="field__item"><div class="paragraph paragraph--type-grouped-links paragraph--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <h2><a href="https://niwa.co.nz/freshwater?pt=13">Tools & Resources</a></h2> <div class="field field--name-field-links field--type-link field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/management-tools/riparian-buffer-design-guide">Riparian Buffer Design Guide</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/management-tools/restoration-tools/constructed-wetland-guidelines">Constructed wetland guidelines</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/freshwater-update/freshwater-update-80-march-2019/the-new-zealand-water-model-nzwam-%E2%80%93-a-new-water-modelling-approach">The New Zealand Water Model (NZWaM) </a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/tools/biosecurity">Biosecurity tools</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/management-tools/environmental-flow-tools">Environmental flow tools</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/management-tools/fish-passage-assessment-tool">Fish Passage Assessment Tool</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/management-tools/environmental-flow-tools/new-zealand-streamflow-depletion-model">New Zealand streamflow depletion model</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/our-services/catchment-modelling/clues-catchment-land-use-for-environmental-sustainability-model">CLUES – Catchment Land Use for Environmental Sustainability model</a></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="field__item"><div class="paragraph paragraph--type-grouped-links paragraph--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <h2><a href="https://niwa.co.nz/freshwater/freshwater-programme-overview">Programmes</a></h2> <div class="field field--name-field-links field--type-link field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/programme-overview/freshwater-species-ecology-and-management">Freshwater species ecology and management</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/programme-overview/Hydrological-observations-and-predictions">Hydrological observations and predictions</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/programme-overview/environmental-flows">Environmental flows</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/programme-overview/causes-and-effects-of-water-quality-degradation">Causes and effects of water quality degradation</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater-biosecurity">Freshwater biosecurity</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/freshwater/programme-overview/mitigation-systems">Mitigation systems</a></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="layout__region layout__region--second"> <div> <div class="field field--name-field-promoted-page field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item"> <div class="layout layout--onecol"> <div class="layout__region layout__region--content"> <div class="card card--mega-menu"> <div class="field field--name-dynamic-token-fieldnode-link-to-source field--type-ds field--label-hidden field__item"><p class="card__link-to-source"><a class="card__link" href="/freshwater/freshwater-invertebrate-identification-and-e-guides">Link to source page</a></p> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-promotion-image field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item"> <img loading="lazy" src="/sites/default/files/styles/card_mega_menu/public/2023-02/Mayfly-image-NIWA.jpg?h=999433cf&itok=sCEv1D1n" width="614" height="409" alt="Image of mayflies [from NIWA Benthic Macroinvertebrates Field Identification Guide]" /> </div> <div class="field field--name-node-title field--type-ds field--label-hidden field__item"><h2> Freshwater invertebrate identification and e-guides </h2> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-page-type field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item">Education Resource</div> <div class="field field--name-node-post-date field--type-ds field--label-hidden field__item">06 February 2023</div> <div class="field field--name-field-description field--type-string-long field--label-hidden field__item">Downloadable and printable guides on identification of common freshwater invertebrates found in New Zealand waterways and lakes.</div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-content view-id-menu_item_related_content view-display-id-entity_view_1 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class="menu-link-content__heading">Te Kūwaha</h1> </div> </div> <div> <div class="field field--name-description field--type-string field--label-hidden field__item"><div class="menu-link-content__description">Working together with hapū, iwi, Māori communities and Māori business to deliver tailored science.</div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="field field--name-link field--type-link field--label-hidden field__item menu-link-content__section-link"> <a href="/te-kuwaha-and-maori"> Explore all </a> </div> </div> <div> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-topics view-id-menu_item_topics view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-9e953d85e5b92a6f47a98cb19ae636b3738a0567b1587264ce956573c6c1733a"> <div class="views-row"><div class="taxonomy-term taxonomy-term--type-topic taxonomy-term--view-mode-topic-children-tags ds-1col clearfix"> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-topic-children view-id-topic_children 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field--type-ds field--label-hidden field__item">19 January 2023</div> <div class="field field--name-field-description field--type-string-long field--label-hidden field__item">NIWA’s Te Kūwaha Graduate Internship programme has been established to help support and create tangible pathways for the next generation of Māori researchers. </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-content view-id-menu_item_related_content view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-ee032b1cae969e147572e4ef28a95f2ce8a35b8414d085550eb71f9d0d63f233"> <div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-content view-id-menu_item_related_content view-display-id-entity_view_2 js-view-dom-id-4b139599e0d381cd4866a896521875249f512d91d34d8a278227384e63264bde"> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </li> <li class="site__header__menu__item--primary"> <a href="/pacific" title="We provide applied science and environmental 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class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-topics view-id-menu_item_related_topics view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-ca896907ad1e4442dce6b9759fe3b77c221c3b0c0bcee1515ea66aab2f0fbbed"> <div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-topics view-id-menu_item_related_topics view-display-id-entity_view_2 js-view-dom-id-777932b944a6ec699ba40df72a29747d7fac66c163f03e6ecccc8e2444aca58c"> <div class="views-row"><div class="taxonomy-term taxonomy-term--type-topic taxonomy-term--view-mode-topic-related-tags ds-1col clearfix"> <div class="topic-tag topic-tag--related"><a href="/pacific/pacific-rim-partnerships" hreflang="en">Pacific Rim partnerships</a></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="field field--name-field-grouped-links field--type-entity-reference-revisions field--label-hidden field__items"> <div class="field__item"><div class="paragraph paragraph--type-grouped-links paragraph--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <h2><a 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field--name-node-post-date field--type-ds field--label-hidden field__item">30 January 2023</div> <div class="field field--name-field-description field--type-string-long field--label-hidden field__item">NIWA will be determining the impact of fisheries on the aquatic environment. This will inform an ecosystem-based approach to fisheries management and the development methods to mitigate this impact.</div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div> <div class="views-element-container"><div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-content view-id-menu_item_related_content view-display-id-entity_view_1 js-view-dom-id-b9c8f531382ec592b7ec2d46830bdde8f3e40949499bd555e56ee8d5a86aae6b"> <div class="view view-eva view-menu-item-related-content view-id-menu_item_related_content view-display-id-entity_view_2 js-view-dom-id-5bbf3ba29ce5ad443060d5b6dc9cdd40077d4f213dd5d35a6217f79f2ba3d675"> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </li> </ul> </nav> <nav role="navigation" aria-labelledby="block-niwa-secondarymenublock-menu" id="block-niwa-secondarymenublock"> <h2 class="visually-hidden" id="block-niwa-secondarymenublock-menu">Secondary menu</h2> <ul class="site__header__menu__list--secondary"> <li data-disable-flyout="0" class="site__header__menu__item--secondary"> <a href="/about-niwa" title="Decision makers at all levels are seeking evidence-based analysis and advice from environmental experts. 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class="page__title-banner__text-box"> <div class="page__title"> <h1 class="page__title__text"> Climate change freshwater impacts assessments </h1> </div> <div class="page__summary"> <p class="page__summary__text">New Zealand’s climate is changing – and so are our freshwaters. </p> </div> <nav class="page__title-banner__icon-menu"> <a href="/freshwater" class="field-group-link icon-menu__button" title="Freshwater" hreflang="en"> <svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" version="1.1" x="0px" y="0px" viewBox="0 0 509.3 520.2" style="enable-background:new 0 0 509.3 520.2;" xml:space="preserve"> <style type="text/css"> .st0{display:none;} .st1{display:inline;} .st2{display:none;fill:#FFFFFF;} </style> <g id="Layer_1" class="st0"> <g id="Layer_5"> <path class="st1" d="M186.3,74.1c7.8-3.6,12.2-12.2,10.5-20.7L191.1,25L236.5,59c2.9,2.2,6.3,3.4,9.9,3.7 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field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item"> <p class="has-lede-font-size">New Zealand’s climate is changing – and so are our freshwaters. </p> <p>These changes reflect a global pattern of increasing temperatures and shifting precipitation regimes, and are likely to alter freshwater supply and demand, aquatic ecosystems and natural hazards. This means we can no longer rely solely on the past to guide freshwater management into the future; we must account for potential climate-change impacts.</p> <p>Many of the decisions water users and planners make now will have implications for decades to come. The National Policy Statement for Freshwater Management requires regional councils to take account of “reasonably foreseeable impacts of climate change".</p> <p><a href="http://mfe.govt.nz/rma/central/nps/freshwater-management.html">Read the National Policy Statement for Freshwater Management</a>.</p> <p>NIWA is leading the way in understanding and helping New Zealanders prepare for these changes.</p> <h3 class="intro">NIWA's climate change impacts assessments</h3> <p>Climate change impact assessments are the product of a series of linked computer models that encapsulate the physics, chemistry and biology of the atmosphere and water cycle. They start with representative scenarios of global climate change, ranging from slight to extreme warming. Using the global climate models that have been vetted for New Zealand, we downscale the projected climatic conditions to provide high-resolution projections across the country. These, in turn, are used to drive hydrological models of snow, glaciers, rivers, soil and groundwater. Projections can be made over different time periods, allowing us to chart the impact of climate change over time.</p> <p>We can also estimate when the future changes in the freshwater system are likely to become detectable in hydrological records by comparing the modelled trend with natural variability. In a similar way, we can also estimate when the changes may become significant in terms of freshwater management. This is an important consideration in adaptive management and long-term planning or investment decisions.</p> <h3>Applications of climate-change impact assessments include:</h3> <div class="wp-block-columns"> <div class="wp-block-column"> <ul><li>water allocation limit setting</li><li>flood and drought mitigation</li><li>water storage siting and sizing</li></ul> </div> <div class="wp-block-column"> <ul><li>conservation management</li><li>municipal water supply</li><li>hydropower potential.</li></ul> </div> </div> <h3>NIWA’s modelling tools can be tailored to provide the following assessments:</h3> <div class="wp-block-columns"> <div class="wp-block-column"> <ul><li>mean monthly and annual river flows</li><li>groundwater recharge and base flow</li><li>low flows and reliability of supply</li><li>mean annual flood and flood percentiles</li></ul> </div> <div class="wp-block-column"> <ul><li>extreme rainfalls and precipitation deficits</li><li>frequency of ecological disturbance</li><li>timing of freshwater impacts and detectability</li><li>uncertainty and risk</li></ul> </div> </div> <h3>Communicating the science</h3> <p>Working with you, we can provide tailor-made solutions addressing your needs. These include technical reports for specific locations, regional or policy contexts and implications, stakeholder summaries designed for different communication channels, or assistance in direct community outreach.</p> <h3>Examples of NIWA modelling tool outputs:</h3> <div class="wp-block-columns"> <div class="wp-block-column"><figure class="wp-block-drupalmedia-drupal-media-entity"><div class="media media--type-image media--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <div class="field--image"> <a href="/sites/default/files/Climate%20change%20impacts%20assessment.gif"><img src="/sites/default/files/styles/portrait/public/Climate%20change%20impacts%20assessment.gif?itok=ZWCORUbd" width="600" height="782" loading="lazy" /> </a> </div> </div> <figcaption>Precipitation change projections. Precipitation annual average change 2080-2099, using average of 12 GCMs A1B emission scenario (MfE 2008). Click on the image to enlarge it.</figcaption> </figure> </div> <div class="wp-block-column"><figure class="wp-block-drupalmedia-drupal-media-entity"><div class="media media--type-image media--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <div class="field--image"> <a href="/sites/default/files/Flow-change-by-2090-Revised2017.png"><img src="/sites/default/files/styles/portrait/public/Flow-change-by-2090-Revised2017.png?itok=so2JtNt1" width="600" height="849" loading="lazy" /> </a> </div> <div class="field--license"> <a class="license-badge license-badge--by-nc-nd" title="Attribution, Non-Commercial, No Derivative Work" href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0 " > <span class="visually-hidden">Attribution, Non-Commercial, No Derivative Work</span> <span class="license-icon license-icon--by"> </span> <span class="license-icon license-icon--nc"> </span> <span class="license-icon license-icon--nd"> </span> </a> </div> </div> <figcaption>Analytical results showing one river's monthly flows. Change in mean monthly flows for the period 2080-2099 using average of 12 GCMs A1B emission scenario. Reference taken as mean monthly flow over the period 1980-1999.</figcaption> </figure> </div> </div> <div class="wp-block-drupalmedia-drupal-media-entity"><div class="media media--type-image media--view-mode-default ds-1col clearfix"> <div class="field--image"> <a href="/sites/default/files/AwanuiRiverCCProjections.fw_.png"><img src="/sites/default/files/styles/portrait/public/AwanuiRiverCCProjections.fw_.png?itok=hhDfZn7x" width="600" height="321" loading="lazy" /> </a> </div> </div> </div> <h5><em> </em></h5> </div> </div> </div> <div class="field field--name-dynamic-block-fieldnode-book-pages field--type-ds field--label-hidden field__item"><div class="views-element-container"><div class="book-cards card-grid js-view-dom-id-1e8df97e6a1763b064f7bb407884d072e3e0c381ec7f4067fdd9bf0777b933b0"> <header> <div class="js-view-dom-id-78dcd07c1c18ddd0e097e72af26fc46f7060b7ba7f17a92d75b7da64864911c1"> </div> </header> </div> </div> </div> <div class="contacts"> <h2 class="contacts__label">NIWA Contacts</h2> <div > <div class="views-element-container"><div class="contacts--items contacts__items js-view-dom-id-a355a717f9a64b243b702ed821b1c26f86284519b05ee59f1d0130d9a57c7832"> <div> <div class="layout layout--onecol"> <div class="layout__region layout__region--content"> <div class="contact"> <a href="/people/christian-zammit" class="field-group-link contact__link" hreflang="en"> <div class="contact__picture-wrapper"> <img loading="lazy" src="/system/files/styles/card_contact/private/staff-profile-photos/2024-09/christian_zammit_DSC6874_credit_dave_allen_NIWA-crop.jpg?h=94ea1b63&itok=7EXN_d1b" width="727" height="485" alt="Profile picture for Christian Zammit" /> </div> <h3 class="contact__full-name">Dr Christian Zammit</h3> <div class="contact__job-title">Hydrologist</div> </a> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="site__main__related"> </div> </main> <footer class="site__footer"> <a href="#main-content" class="site__footer__back-to-top"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 384 512" height="21" width="21"><title>Back to top</title><!--! 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