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"https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0204/11/_blank">钢</a><a href="https://gc.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0204/11/_blank">市场</a><a href="https://gc.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0204/11/_blank">价</a>格窄幅震荡运行，受下游需求不佳及原料价格下行等因素影响，型钢价格震荡趋弱，中旬受消息面利好刺激，价格上涨后逐步回落，截至9月24日，以西安地区型<a href="https://gc.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0204/11/_blank">钢</a><a href="https://gc.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0204/11/_blank">市场</a><a href="https://gc.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0204/11/_blank">价</a>格较9月初比较，其中角<a href="https://gc.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0204/11/_blank">钢价</a>格同比下降120元/吨。对于“金九”而言，需求与价格都应处于上升阶段，但西北型钢市场价格及成交量双弱，考虑到“国庆”假期较长，预计十月出货量或难有明显改善，价格或难以上涨。</p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="//img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/09/24/e80b038189204c7187ee072a7cd90a7e.png" alt="1727139607541" width="600" height="288" /></p> <p><strong>二、<a href="https://gangpi.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0928/15/_blank">钢坯</a>价格以及利润情况</strong></p> <p>从<a href="https://gangpi.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0928/15/_blank">钢坯</a>价格来看，截至9月23日，<a href="https://tangshan.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0928/15/_blank">唐山</a><a href="https://gangpi.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0928/15/_blank">钢坯</a>出厂价格2830元/吨，较9月初价格下调130元/吨。目前<a href="https://gangpi.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0928/15/_blank">钢坯</a>整体外卖量处于正常的水平，加之其他区域<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----0307-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>钢坯</a>流入，钢坯社库本月持续上升，较去年同期处于高位水平，但调坯轧钢厂受利润及销售等因素影响，轧钢厂断续生产，或将制约<a href="https://gangpi.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0928/15/_blank">钢坯</a>库存的消化，<a href="https://gangpi.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0928/15/_blank">钢坯</a>由下游传导来的价格压力或逐步增加。</p> <p>从坯料的估算利润来看，截止9月23日，<a href="https://tangshan.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0928/15/_blank">唐山</a><a href="https://gangpi.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0928/15/_blank">钢坯</a>测算利润-39元/吨，较月初相比上升25元/吨。整体9月份坯料利润处于窄幅震荡走势，并且目前看焦煤价格上调，坯料利润恐将继续压缩。</p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="//img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/09/24/359f48cc5ffd4cfdb99846549c31b226.png" alt="1727139827644" width="600" height="268" /></p> <p><strong>三、供应情况情况</strong></p> <p>（1）工角槽品种</p> <p>据<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>同口径数据调研，9月份西北市场型钢主要产地北方大区样本企业工角槽产能利用率26.56%，环比上升1.71%。工角槽产量变化主要原因是型钢主产地唐山部分调坯轧钢厂断断续续生产，但唐山短流程型钢企业基本全力运行，加之其他区域型钢企业基本正常运行情况下，北方区域型钢产量无明显变化。</p> <p>（2）<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010705-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>H型钢</a>方面</p> <p>据Mysteel同口径数据调研，9月份北方区域样本企业H型钢产线平均产能利用率39.52%，环比下降12.51%。产量减少主要原因利润倒挂及下游需求较弱，钢厂铁水向其他品种倾斜。</p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="//img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/09/24/fd30d9db27b744d0afe2cd748b163bed.png" alt="1727140768742" width="600" height="321" /></p> <p><strong>四、市场情况</strong></p> <p>9月份西北型<a href="https://gc.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0204/11/_blank">钢价</a>格整体震荡趋弱，一方面，由于供应端供应量整体变化不大，下游需求无明显改善，供大于求的格局仍无改变；另一方面，期螺跌宕起伏，加之出货缓慢，商家谨慎操作为主，库存维持低位运行。据Mysteel调研西北地区<a href="https://xinggang.mysteel.com/" \t "https://gc.mysteel.com/21/0204/11/_blank">型钢</a>市场重点商户仓储库存，整体社库较平时处于正常水平50%-70%。</p> <p><strong>总结</strong></p> <p>综合来看，首先，目前西北型钢价格处于年内相对低位，但考虑到当前市场供应充足，且下游需求表现依旧无明显改善，供需矛盾逐渐加大，后期去库存压力较大，同时由于商家资金周转，或有企业低价出货促使资金回笼；其次，由于型钢厂利润偏低且原材料价格支撑，对于型钢价格有一定支撑。因此预计国庆节后西北型钢市场价格下跌空间有限，或将稳中趋弱运行。</p> <!--指标说明附件--> <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：毛立冬 021-66896765 </br> 资讯监督：陈业亮 021-26094203 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p 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