Mysteel周报：周内304不锈钢震荡趋弱，到货增多库存小增（12.2-12.6）-我的钢铁网

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class="article-text article-text_1"> <div data-val="3738" id="article-content"> <div id="text"> <p><strong>一、本周行情及下周展望</strong></p> <p><strong>1、周内304<a href='https://bxg.m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>不锈钢</a>震荡趋弱，钢厂到货增多，库存小幅增加</strong></p> <p>周初<a href='https://bxg.m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>不锈钢期货</a>盘面震荡偏弱，叠加钢厂盘价维持弱势，市场成交不畅，现货多稳价，成交有50元/吨左右的让利。周二200系钢厂集中1月减产消息提振，市场信心有所恢复，201价格有小幅上涨。随着不锈钢期货震荡上行，询单及成交氛围转好，市场商家多以积极出货为主，调涨意愿不强，<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010103-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>热轧</a>资源整体偏紧，个别规格报价有调涨。周中不锈钢期货冲高后，304部分贸易商上调现货价格，钢厂期货盘价小幅调涨，询单氛围有所好转，热轧资源整体偏紧，钢厂热轧期货接单较活跃，订单多接至1月。不锈钢期货回落后叠加钢厂高<a href='https://bxg.m.mysteel.com/nie/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>镍</a>铁采购价下移，悲观情绪升温，市场氛围有所转淡，下游采购谨慎观望情绪浓，成交转弱，不锈钢市场心态低迷。周尾受盘面震荡走跌叠加成交转冷影响，商家为促成交多下调304冷热轧现货价格。青山平板限价后，304部分热轧资源小幅上涨，<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010104-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>冷轧</a>销售压力较大，行情弱于热轧。</p> <p>不锈钢市场库存五周连降后首增，增量主要体现在无<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/xi/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>锡</a>200系资源上，主因部分在途资源抵达。本周在震荡偏弱行情下，下游采买偏谨慎，以低价散单出货为主，交投氛围偏平静。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/12/06/a7b5ccb208524567a12f551151dcaf91.png" width="559" height="216" /></p> <p><strong>2、预计下周<a href='https://bxg.m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>不锈钢价格</a>维持区间震荡走势</strong></p> <p>原料方面，不锈钢厂因原料库存较高，压价采购原料，本周高镍铁成交价低至950元/镍（到厂含税）。11月、12月钢厂供应增多，需求转弱，供需矛盾加剧，不锈钢价格趋弱运行，目前生产仍处于亏损边缘。钢厂到货增加，市场库存有小幅增加态势，不过304热轧资源偏紧，行情好于冷轧。预计下周不锈钢价格维持区间震荡走势。关注原料成交价格及市场库存消化情况。</p> <p><strong>二、价格预测</strong></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/12/06/848f2a11154b4ac2bb159088e27699df.png" width="569" height="729" /></p> <p><strong>三、不锈钢卷板市场</strong></p> <p><strong>1、无锡市场</strong></p> <p>200系方面，201 J1四尺冷轧主流价格7950元/吨，较上周持平；201J1五尺热轧主流价格至7550元/吨，较上周跌100元/吨。周中整体成交一般。周初受盘面弱势叠加成交持续较弱影响，市场冷热轧现货价格多有下调，周中受钢厂检修消息影响，叠加盘面提振市场信心有所恢复，冷轧商家上调现货价格，周尾商家多稳价观望，且华南钢厂再次进行卷板限价，价格整体持稳。</p> <p>300系方面，民营304冷轧毛基主流价格至13100元/吨，较上周跌100元/吨；热轧毛基主流资源价格至12550/吨，较上周跌50元/吨。周内成交一般，周中稍好，周初不锈钢期货盘面表现弱势，叠加钢厂压价原料，市场信心不足，冷热轧商家有所下调现货价格；周中盘面先抑后扬，市场情绪有所转好，冷热轧商家小幅探涨现货价格；周尾受盘面震荡走跌叠加成交转冷影响，商家为促成交继续下调冷热轧现货价格。</p> <p>400系方面，酒钢、太钢430冷轧切边主流价格报至7350元/吨，较上周跌0-50元/吨。热轧五尺毛边主流价格至7200元/吨，较上周持平。周初商家以稳价出货为主，受跌价行情氛围影响，市场成交反响不佳，周中成交以刚需为主，商家库存量不高，挺价心态较浓。周末行情趋稳，部分商家为促成交价格下调。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/12/06/f96c3285dd9541cc9af364273178a48c.png" width="566" height="387" /></p> <p><strong>2、佛山市场 </strong></p> <p>200系方面，201J2冷轧现货价格较上周涨50元/吨至7200元/吨，201J2热轧现货价格较上周持平至6700元/吨。本周200系价格小幅上调，上半周受钢厂减产检修消息影响，市场多趁势稳价接单，部分冷轧资源报价上涨，成交稍显回暖；下半周受整体行情转冷影响，部分贸易商让利出货，实单存有议价。周内库存总体变动不大，呈现冷轧降热轧增。</p> <p>300系方面，304冷轧现货价格较上周持平至13200元/吨，304热轧较上周持平至12600元/吨。本周300系价格窄幅震荡，上半周期货盘面震荡反弹，德龙新盘价调涨50元/吨，青山代理多持平报盘，贸易积极调涨，现货价格小幅探涨，下游商家采购情绪升温，成交情况转好；下半周随盘面回落下挫，代理报盘维持坚挺，贸易商多按规格暗跌现货价格，期货报盘再度走跌，市场整体交投转冷，成交反馈不佳。周内到货增加，库存消化减缓，整体呈增库，热轧增加较为明显。</p> <p>400系方面，430冷轧主流现货价格偏弱运行，430太钢、酒钢较上周跌50元/吨至7250元/吨。本周部分钢厂集中交货，代理商销售压力加大，部分贸易商在钢厂盘价持稳的情况下小幅让利出货，市场成交价格偏弱，整体成交氛围无明显好转，商家对后市行情较为悲观。库存方面，周内到货增多，现货消化缓慢，冷热轧资源均呈现增量。</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/12/06/62c19f6bf00b490abf92fdd6bd1c4395.png" width="566" height="368" /></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/mybxg/2024/12/06/2008241.png" alt="" width="315" height="720" /></p> <p><span style="color: #e10000;"><strong>详细内容欢迎来电订阅。</strong></span></p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：孙莉清 021-26093354 </br> 资讯监督：刘萍萍 021-26096562 </br> 资讯投诉：陈跃进 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