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<a href="/web/20210926001546/https://www.nasdaq.com/news-and-insights/topic/markets/forex" class="eyebrow__link"> ForEx </a> </span> </div> <h1 class="article-header__headline"> <span>Is NZD/USD The Best Risk On Play in FX?</span> </h1> <div class="article-header__metadata"> <div class="byline "> <div class="byline__info"> <div class="byline__type">Contributor</div> <div class="byline__author"> <span class="byline__name" data-has-link="true"> <a href="/web/20210926001546/https://www.nasdaq.com/authors/boris-schlossberg">Boris Schlossberg</a> </span> </div> </div> </div> <div class="timestamp"> <div class="timestamp__label">Published</div> <time datetime="2020-11-11T08:03:33-0500" class="timestamp__date">Nov 11, 2020 8:03AM EST</time></div> </div> <figure class="article-header__image"></figure></div> <div style="position: relative; margin: 0;"> <div class="article-header__railAd"> <div class="ads__right-rail-ad"> <div id="js-dfp-tag-kGg" class="atf-rightrailbox"> <script type="text/javascript"> <![CDATA[// ><!]]> </script></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </section><div class="body"> <div class="body__left-rail"> <ul class="share share--vertical stickyfill "><li class="share__link"> <a class="share__anchor" aria-label="Facebook" data-network="Facebook" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20210926001546/https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/is-nzd-usd-the-best-risk-on-play-in-fx-2020-11-11" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"></a> </li> <li class="share__link"> <a class="share__anchor" aria-label="LinkedIn" data-network="LinkedIn" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20210926001546/https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/is-nzd-usd-the-best-risk-on-play-in-fx-2020-11-11&title=Is NZD/USD The Best Risk On Play in FX?&source=Nasdaq" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"></a> </li> <li class="share__link"> <a class="share__anchor" aria-label="Twitter" data-network="Twitter" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20210926001546/https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/is-nzd-usd-the-best-risk-on-play-in-fx-2020-11-11&text=Is%20NZD%2FUSD%20The%20Best%20Risk%20On%20Play%20in%20FX%3F%20%7C%20NASDAQ" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"></a> </li> <li class="share__link"> <a class="share__anchor" data-network="Email" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20210926001546/mailto:/?subject=Is NZD/USD The Best Risk On Play in FX?&body=From Nasdaq.com%0D%0A%0D%0AIt’s been a relatively quiet uneventful session in Asian and early European trade with equities firmer but FX flat as many markets had bank holidays due to Armistice Day.%0D%0A%0D%0Ahttps://www.nasdaq.com/articles/is-nzd-usd-the-best-risk-on-play-in-fx-2020-11-11" aria-label="Email"></a> </li> </ul></div> <div class="body__content"> <p><strong>Market Drivers November 11, 2020</strong></p> <ul><li>Equities firmer on the day</li> <li>RBNZ keeps rates steady</li> <li>Nikkei 1.78% Dax 0.40%</li> <li>UST 10Y 0.98</li> <li>Oil $42.71</li> <li>Gold $1879/oz.</li> <li>BTCUSD $15421/oz.</li> </ul><p><strong>Asia and the EU</strong></p> <ul><li>RBNZ on hold</li> </ul><p><strong>North America Open</strong></p> <ul><li>No Data</li> </ul><p>It’s been a relatively quiet uneventful session in Asian and early European trade with equities firmer but FX flat as many markets had bank holidays due to Armistice Day.</p> <div class="taboola-placeholder"> <div class="taboola-mid-article"></div> </div> <p>Stock index futures were higher by 1% but the continuing insistence by Trump that the election was a fraud and his refusal to enact a peaceful transfer of power is a risk that the market may be sorely underpricing.</p> <p>So far markets have followed the stoic amusement of President-elect Biden who has generally ignored the noise from the White House and has proceeded to move ahead with the transition plans. But Trump has already caused incalculable damage to the institutions of democracy and the rule of law and has shown no indication that he is willing to accept the results while at the same time offering no proof of any fraud.</p> <p>For now, the markets are content to ignore the theater out of Washington DC, but the longer the standoff lasts the greater the chance of a true constitutional crisis that could begin to weigh on investor sentiment. Combined with the rising hospitalization count of the COVID infections that could stress the healthcare system to the limit the two factors could create a sharp reversal in the equity rally as we approach the year-end.</p> <div class="ads__inline"> <div id="js-dfp-tag-zqw" class="btf-midpagetwothirdswidth-1"> <script type="text/javascript"> <![CDATA[// ><!]]> </script></div> </div> <p>In FX the action was generally subdued with EURUSD starting to feel some pain from the rising COVID count in Europe as the pair slipped below the 1.1800 figure while cable remained above 1.3250 but was off session highs.</p> <p>The biggest event of the night was the RBNZ rate decision which kept rates on hold and scaled back its plans to move to negative rates for now. The news helped push the kiwi higher on the day with the pair rising by more than 65 pips towards the .6900 figure.</p> <p>NZDUSD is perhaps the most emblematic risk-on currency in FX right now as the country has managed to avoid the worst of the COVID infections and has also managed to maintain civil relations with China unlike its bigger neighbor across the Tasmanian sea. If the bullish scenario of broad vaccine adoption and return to global growth takes place – kiwi stands to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the trend and the pair could trade well above the .7200 figure if the risk-on flows take off.</p> <div class="ads__inline"> <div class="video-placeholder"> </div> </div> <p class="body__disclaimer">The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.</p> </div> <aside role="complementary" class="body__right-rail"><section class="trending trending-topics" role="region"><h3 class="trending__title"> Trending Topics </h3> <ul class="trending__items"><li class="trending__item"> <a href="" title=""> <span class="trending__item__title"></span> <span class="trending__item__bar" aria-hidden="true" data-view-count=""> <span class="trending__item__bar__gradient"></span> </span> </a> </li> </ul></section><section class="trending trending-articles" role="region" article-topic-data="trending_articles"><h3 class="trending__title"> Trending Articles </h3> <ul class="trending__items"><li class="trending__item"> <a href="" title=""> <span class="trending__item__title"></span> <time class="trending__item__date"></time><span class="trending__item__bar" aria-hidden="true" data-view-count=""> <span class="trending__item__bar__gradient"></span> </span> </a> </li> </ul></section><div class="inside-container"> <div class="ads__right-rail-ad--2-up"> <div class="ads__right-rail-ad--2-up__button"> <div id="js-dfp-tag-52A" class="atf-rightrail2upbutton-1"> <script type="text/javascript"> <![CDATA[// ><!]]> </script></div> </div> <div class="ads__right-rail-ad--2-up__button"> <div id="js-dfp-tag-szo" class="atf-rightrail2upbutton-2"> <script type="text/javascript"> <![CDATA[// ><!]]> </script></div> </div> </div> <div class="ads__right-rail-ad"> <div id="js-dfp-tag-qFs" class="btf-rightrailbox-1"> <script type="text/javascript"> <![CDATA[// ><!]]> </script></div> </div> </div> </aside></div> <div class="body body--no-ads"> <div class="body__content"> <section class="author-card"><div class="author-card__content"> <section class="person-card"><header class="person-card__header"><div class="person-card__image-container"> <figure class="person-card__image"><a href="/web/20210926001546/https://www.nasdaq.com/authors/boris-schlossberg"> <picture class="picture"><source srcset="" media="all and (min-width: 1200px)" type="image/jpeg" data-srcset="/web/20210926001546im_/https://www.nasdaq.com/sites/acquia.prod/files/styles/355x355/public/image/fcd3b6950c68ba16343145ca762b96b13ebcf0c6_thumb_c8330_u_1106boris.jpg?itok=J7fwxOek 1x"></source><source srcset="" media="all and (min-width: 768px)" type="image/jpeg" data-srcset="/web/20210926001546im_/https://www.nasdaq.com/sites/acquia.prod/files/styles/355x355/public/image/fcd3b6950c68ba16343145ca762b96b13ebcf0c6_thumb_c8330_u_1106boris.jpg?itok=J7fwxOek 1x"></source><source srcset="" type="image/jpeg" data-srcset="/web/20210926001546im_/https://www.nasdaq.com/sites/acquia.prod/files/styles/460x460/public/image/fcd3b6950c68ba16343145ca762b96b13ebcf0c6_thumb_c8330_u_1106boris.jpg?itok=FhfV4DZ7 1x"></source><img class="media__image media__element b-lazy b-responsive" data-src="/sites/acquia.prod/files/styles/355x355/public/image/fcd3b6950c68ba16343145ca762b96b13ebcf0c6_thumb_c8330_u_1106boris.jpg?itok=J7fwxOek" src="/web/20210926001546im_/https://www.nasdaq.com/sites/acquia.prod/files/styles/355x355/public/image/fcd3b6950c68ba16343145ca762b96b13ebcf0c6_thumb_c8330_u_1106boris.jpg?itok=J7fwxOek" title="Boris Schlossberg" typeof="foaf:Image"/></picture></a> </figure></div> </header><div class="person-card__info"> <h2 class="person-card__name"> <a href="/web/20210926001546/https://www.nasdaq.com/authors/boris-schlossberg"> Boris Schlossberg </a> </h2> <h3 class="person-card__subhead"> </h3> <ul class="share "><li class="share__link"> <a class="share__anchor" aria-label="Twitter" data-network="Twitter" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20210926001546/https://twitter.com/Fxflow" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-profile-links="true"></a> </li> </ul><p class="person-card__description">Mr. Schlossberg is a regular contributor to CNBC's Squawk Box and a commentator for CNBC Asia and CNBC Europe. His daily currency research is widely quoted by Reuters, Dow Jones and Agence France Presse newswires and appears in numerous newspapers worldwide. Mr. Schlossberg has written for SFO magazine, Active Trader and Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities. 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}); </script> </div> </div> </div> </ul> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="watchlist-tabs__panel js-tabs-panel" id="watchlist-tab-3" aria-labelledby="watchlist-tab-button-3"> <div class="watchlist-tabs__body is-empty"> <div class="watchlist__message"> <div class="text-passage"> Outsmart the market with Smart Portfolio analytical tools powered by TipRanks. <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20210926001546/https://portfolio.nasdaq.com/">Go to Smart Portfolio</a> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="watchlist__loader" aria-hidden="true"> <div class="svg-loader" style="width: 120px;"> <div class="svg-loader__container"> <svg version="1.1" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" x="0px" y="0px" viewbox="0 0 70 60" xml:space="preserve"> <style type="text/css"> .st0 { fill: #0090BA; } </style> <defs> <lineargradient id="mask-gradient-1143388410" gradientunits="userSpaceOnUse" x2="0" y2="100%"> <stop offset="10%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="0"/> <stop offset="20%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="1"/> <stop offset="100%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="1"/> <stop offset="110%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="0"/> </lineargradient> <lineargradient id="mask-gradient-739036370" gradientunits="userSpaceOnUse" x2="0" y2="100%"> <stop offset="20%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="0"/> <stop offset="25%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="1"/> <stop offset="75%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="1"/> <stop offset="80%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="0"/> </lineargradient> <lineargradient id="mask-gradient-1385629851" gradientunits="userSpaceOnUse" x2="0" y2="100%"> <stop offset="-10%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="0"/> <stop offset="0%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="1"/> <stop offset="80%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="1"/> <stop offset="90%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="0"/> </lineargradient> <mask id="mask-1143388410"> <rect class="rect-mask__first" x="0" y="-1" width="35" height="75" fill="url(#mask-gradient-1143388410)"/> </mask> <mask id="mask-739036370"> <rect class="rect-mask__second" x="27" y="10" width="16" height="40" fill="url(#mask-gradient-739036370)"/> </mask> <mask id="mask-1385629851"> <rect class="rect-mask__third" x="35" y="-10" width="35" height="75" fill="url(#mask-gradient-1385629851)"/> </mask> </defs> <path class="st0" mask="url(#mask-1143388410)" d="M34.9,14.9L34.9,14.9c-1.2,0.1-2.3,0.9-2.7,2L16.7,59.6H0l15.5-42.7c0.4-1.1,1.5-2,2.8-2H34.9"/> <path class="st0" mask="url(#mask-739036370)" d="M33.6,44c-1.2,0-2.1-0.7-2.6-1.7l-3.3-9.2l5.7-15.7c0.1-0.3,0.3-0.6,0.4-0.7c0.5-0.7,1.3-1.2,2.3-1.2 c1.2,0,2.2,0.7,2.6,1.7l3.3,9.1l-5.7,15.7c-0.1,0.4-0.3,0.6-0.4,0.7C35.4,43.5,34.6,44,33.6,44z"/> <path class="st0" mask="url(#mask-1385629851)" d="M35,44.6L35,44.6c1.2-0.1,2.1-0.9,2.5-2L53,0h16.7L54.1,42.7c-0.4,1.1-1.5,2-2.8,2H35"/> </svg> </div> </div> </div> </div> </section> <section class="watchlist-add-overlay" aria-hidden="true"> <div class="watchlist-add-overlay__content"> <header class="watchlist-add-overlay__header"> <button class="watchlist-add-overlay__back" aria-label="Back"><span class="watchlist-add-overlay__back-text">Back</span></button> <button class="watchlist-add-overlay__close" aria-label="Close Watchlist"></button> </header> <form class="watchlist-add-overlay__form"> <label class="watchlist-add-overlay__label">Add a symbol to your watchlist</label> <div class="watchlist-add-overlay__input-wrapper"> <input class="watchlist-add-overlay__input" placeholder="Enter Symbol"> </div> </form> <div class="watchlist-add-overlay__unavailable"> <button class="watchlist-add-overlay__unavailable-close"></button> <span class="watchlist-add-overlay__unavailable-text"></span> </div> <div class="watchlist-add-overlay__results watchlist-add-overlay__results"> <header class="watchlist-add-overlay__results-header">Most Active</header> <ul class="watchlist-add-overlay__results-items"></ul> <li class="watchlist-add-overlay__results-item watchlist-add-overlay__results-item--clone" aria-hidden="true"> <span class="watchlist-add-overlay__symbol"></span> <span class="watchlist-add-overlay__name"></span> <button class="watchlist-add-overlay__add" aria-label="Add to Watchlist" data-symbol=""></button> </li> <div class="watchlist-add-overlay__loader" aria-hidden="true"> <div class="svg-loader" style="width: 120px;"> <div class="svg-loader__container"> <svg version="1.1" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" x="0px" y="0px" viewbox="0 0 70 60" xml:space="preserve"> <style type="text/css"> .st0 { fill: #0090BA; 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When the symbol you want to add appears, add it to My Quotes by selecting it and pressing Enter/Return.</li> <li>Copy and paste multiple symbols separated by spaces. </ul> <p>These symbols will be available throughout the site during your session.</p> </div> </div> <button class="c-btn ">Save data</button> </form> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="modal modal--narrow" id="watchlist-success-modal" role="dialog" hidden> <div class="loader-overlay"> <div class="svg-loader" style="width: 140px;"> <div class="svg-loader__container"> <svg version="1.1" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" x="0px" y="0px" viewbox="0 0 70 60" xml:space="preserve"> <style type="text/css"> .st0 { fill: #0090BA; } </style> <defs> <lineargradient id="mask-gradient-1358649025" gradientunits="userSpaceOnUse" x2="0" y2="100%"> <stop offset="10%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="0"/> <stop offset="20%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="1"/> <stop offset="100%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="1"/> <stop offset="110%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="0"/> </lineargradient> <lineargradient id="mask-gradient-1052070859" gradientunits="userSpaceOnUse" x2="0" y2="100%"> <stop offset="20%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="0"/> <stop offset="25%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="1"/> <stop offset="75%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="1"/> <stop offset="80%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="0"/> </lineargradient> <lineargradient id="mask-gradient-1731469864" gradientunits="userSpaceOnUse" x2="0" y2="100%"> <stop offset="-10%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="0"/> <stop offset="0%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="1"/> <stop offset="80%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="1"/> <stop offset="90%" stop-color="white" stop-opacity="0"/> </lineargradient> <mask id="mask-1358649025"> <rect class="rect-mask__first" x="0" y="-1" width="35" height="75" fill="url(#mask-gradient-1358649025)"/> </mask> <mask id="mask-1052070859"> <rect class="rect-mask__second" x="27" y="10" width="16" height="40" fill="url(#mask-gradient-1052070859)"/> </mask> <mask id="mask-1731469864"> <rect class="rect-mask__third" x="35" y="-10" width="35" height="75" fill="url(#mask-gradient-1731469864)"/> </mask> </defs> <path class="st0" mask="url(#mask-1358649025)" d="M34.9,14.9L34.9,14.9c-1.2,0.1-2.3,0.9-2.7,2L16.7,59.6H0l15.5-42.7c0.4-1.1,1.5-2,2.8-2H34.9"/> <path class="st0" mask="url(#mask-1052070859)" d="M33.6,44c-1.2,0-2.1-0.7-2.6-1.7l-3.3-9.2l5.7-15.7c0.1-0.3,0.3-0.6,0.4-0.7c0.5-0.7,1.3-1.2,2.3-1.2 c1.2,0,2.2,0.7,2.6,1.7l3.3,9.1l-5.7,15.7c-0.1,0.4-0.3,0.6-0.4,0.7C35.4,43.5,34.6,44,33.6,44z"/> <path class="st0" mask="url(#mask-1731469864)" d="M35,44.6L35,44.6c1.2-0.1,2.1-0.9,2.5-2L53,0h16.7L54.1,42.7c-0.4,1.1-1.5,2-2.8,2H35"/> </svg> </div> </div> <div class="error-state">Data is currently not available</div> </div> <div class="modal__container"> <div class="modal__flex"> <div class="modal__body"> <div class="modal__controls"> <button class="modal__close" aria-label="Click to close" data-modal-close> <svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="16" viewbox="1 1 24 24"> <path stroke="#000000" stroke-width="2" stroke-miterlimit="10" d="M2 2 L24 24 M2 24 L24 2"></path> </svg> </button> </div> <div class="modal__content"> <h1>Your symbols have been updated</h1> <div class="text-passage u-margin-bottom-large"> You'll now be able to see real-time price and activity for your symbols on the My Quotes of Nasdaq.com. </div> <button class="c-btn js-success-modal-close">Continue</button> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="modal modal--narrow" id="watchlist-modal-2" role="dialog" hidden> <div class="loader-overlay"> <div class="svg-loader" style="width: 140px;"> <div class="svg-loader__container"> <svg version="1.1" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" x="0px" y="0px" viewbox="0 0 70 60" xml:space="preserve"> <style type="text/css"> .st0 { fill: #0090BA; 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