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Moonlit Misconceptions: A South Florida Veterans’ Hospital Perspective on Full Moon Emergency Room Visits | medRxiv
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This article is a US Government work. It is not subject to copyright under 17 USC 105 and is also made available for use under a CC0 license" /> <meta name="DC.AccessRights" content="restricted" /> <meta name="DC.Description" content="The belief that the full moon influences human behavior and health outcomes has persisted for centuries despite limited scientific evidence. This study examined whether there is a correlation between the lunar cycle and emergency department (ED) visits and hospital admissions among veterans in South Florida from 2013-2023. Data on 465,838 ED visits resulting in 110,640 admissions and moon illumination fraction data were analyzed. The results showed no significant difference in the mean number of ED visits, admissions, or percentage of visits resulting in admission across different moon illumination fractions, including full moons. While some past studies have suggested links between the lunar cycle and health conditions like seizures and psychiatric issues, this study found no association between the full moon and ED utilization patterns in the South Florida veteran population over an 11-year period. The findings contradict the long-standing belief about the lunar effect on hospital services and do not support adapting staffing or resources based on the moon's phase. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest. ### Funding Statement This material is the result of work supported by the resources and facilities at the James A. Haley Veterans Hospital; no external funding was utilized. ### Author Declarations I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained. Yes The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below: This project was submitted to the James A. Haley Veterans Hospital Research and Development Committee, which includes an ethics review, and was approved as a quality assurance project. I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals. Yes I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance). Yes I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable. Yes The data for the fractions of the moon illuminated is available at https://aa.usno.navy.mil/data/MoonFraction" /> <meta name="DC.Contributor" content="David J. VanMeter" /> <meta name="DC.Contributor" content="Timothy S. Strebel" /> <meta name="DC.Contributor" content="Stephen M. Mastorides" /> <meta name="DC.Contributor" content="Andrew A. Borkowski" /> <meta name="article:published_time" content="2024-10-23" /> <meta name="citation_title" content="Moonlit Misconceptions: A South Florida Veterans’ Hospital Perspective on Full Moon Emergency Room Visits" /> <meta name="citation_abstract" lang="en" content="<p>The belief that the full moon influences human behavior and health outcomes has persisted for centuries despite limited scientific evidence. This study examined whether there is a correlation between the lunar cycle and emergency department (ED) visits and hospital admissions among veterans in South Florida from 2013-2023. Data on 465,838 ED visits resulting in 110,640 admissions and moon illumination fraction data were analyzed. The results showed no significant difference in the mean number of ED visits, admissions, or percentage of visits resulting in admission across different moon illumination fractions, including full moons. While some past studies have suggested links between the lunar cycle and health conditions like seizures and psychiatric issues, this study found no association between the full moon and ED utilization patterns in the South Florida veteran population over an 11-year period. The findings contradict the long-standing belief about the lunar effect on hospital services and do not support adapting staffing or resources based on the moon9s phase.</p>" /> <meta name="citation_journal_title" content="medRxiv" /> <meta name="citation_publisher" content="Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press" /> <meta name="citation_publication_date" content="2024/01/01" /> <meta name="citation_mjid" content="medrxiv;2024.10.22.24315836v1" /> <meta name="citation_id" content="2024.10.22.24315836v1" /> <meta name="citation_public_url" content="https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.10.22.24315836v1" /> <meta name="citation_abstract_html_url" content="https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.10.22.24315836v1.abstract" /> <meta name="citation_full_html_url" content="https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.10.22.24315836v1.full" /> <meta name="citation_pdf_url" content="https://www.medrxiv.org/content/medrxiv/early/2024/10/23/2024.10.22.24315836.full.pdf" /> <meta name="citation_doi" content="10.1101/2024.10.22.24315836" /> <meta name="citation_num_pages" content="9" /> <meta name="citation_article_type" content="Article" /> <meta name="citation_firstpage" content="2024.10.22.24315836" /> <meta name="citation_author" content="David J. VanMeter" /> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="James A. Haley Veterans’ Hospital" /> <meta name="citation_author" content="Timothy S. Strebel" /> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="Veteran Affairs National Artificial Intelligence Institute" /> <meta name="citation_author" content="Stephen M. Mastorides" /> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="James A. Haley Veterans’ Hospital" /> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="University of South Florida Morsani College of Medicine" /> <meta name="citation_author" content="Andrew A. Borkowski" /> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="James A. Haley Veterans’ Hospital" /> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="Veteran Affairs National Artificial Intelligence Institute" /> <meta name="citation_author_institution" content="University of South Florida Morsani College of Medicine" /> <meta name="citation_author_email" content="andrew.borkowski@va.gov" /> <meta name="citation_reference" content="Thompson DA, Adams SL. The full moon and ED patient volumes: Unearthing a myth. Am J Emerg Med. 1996;14(2):161–164. doi:10.1016/S0735-6757(96)90124-2" /> <meta name="citation_reference" content="Kung S, Mrazek DA. Psychiatric Emergency Department Visits on Full-Moon Nights. Psychiatr Serv. 2005;56(2):221–a. doi:10.1176/appi.ps.56.2.221-a" /> <meta name="citation_reference" content="Wang RR, Hao Y, Guo H, et al. Lunar cycle and psychiatric hospital admissions for schizophrenia: new findings from Henan province, China. Chronobiol Int. 2020;37(3):438–449. doi:10.1080/07420528.2019.1625054" /> <meta name="citation_reference" content="Drsquo A, Orazio-Bradfield Taylor J, et al. Perigee Full Moons (“Supermoons”) and its Effect on Emergency Department Behavioral Health Volume and Total Volume. Mathews J Emerg Med. 2023;8(2):1–5. doi:10.30654/MJEM.10054" /> <meta name="citation_reference" content="Onozuka D, Nishimura K, Hagihara A. Full moon and traffic accident-related emergency ambulance transport: A nationwide case-crossover study. Sci Total Environ. 2018;644:801–805. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.07.053" /> <meta name="citation_reference" content="Román EM, Soriano G, Fuentes M, Gálvez ML, Fernández C. The influence of the full moon on the number of admissions related to gastrointestinal bleeding. Int J Nurs Pract. 2004;10(6):292–296. doi:10.1111/j.1440-172x.2004.00492.x" /> <meta name="citation_reference" content="Fraction of the Moon Illuminated. Accessed April 25, 2024. https://aa.usno.navy.mil/data/MoonFraction" /> <meta name="citation_reference" content="Polychronopoulos P, Argyriou AA, Sirrou V, et al. Lunar phases and seizure occurrence: just an ancient legend? Neurology. 2006;66(9):1442–1443. doi:10.1212/01.wnl.0000210482.75864.e8" /> <meta name="citation_reference" content="Benbadis SR, Chang S, Hunter J, Wang W. The influence of the full moon on seizure frequency: myth or reality? Epilepsy Behav EB. 2004;5(4):596–597. doi:10.1016/j.yebeh.2004.04.001" /> <meta name="citation_reference" content="Eisenburger P, Schreiber W, Vergeiner G, et al. Lunar phases are not related to the occurrence of acute myocardial infarction and sudden cardiac death. Resuscitation. 2003;56(2):187–189. doi:10.1016/s0300-9572(02)00298-8" /> <meta name="citation_reference" content="Arliss JM, Kaplan EN, Galvin SL. The effect of the lunar cycle on frequency of births and birth complications. Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2005;192(5):1462–1464. doi:10.1016/j.ajog.2004.12.034" /> <meta name="citation_reference" content="Redelmeier DA, Shafir E. The full moon and motorcycle related mortality: population based double control study. BMJ. 2017;359:j5367. doi:10.1136/bmj.j5367" /> <meta name="twitter:title" content="Moonlit Misconceptions: A South Florida Veterans’ Hospital Perspective on Full Moon Emergency Room Visits" /> <meta name="twitter:site" content="@medrxivpreprint" /> <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary" /> <meta name="twitter:image" content="https://www.medrxiv.org/sites/default/files/images/medrxiv_logo_homepage7-5-small-test-up.png" /> <meta name="twitter:description" content="The belief that the full moon influences human behavior and health outcomes has persisted for centuries despite limited scientific evidence. This study examined whether there is a correlation between the lunar cycle and emergency department (ED) visits and hospital admissions among veterans in South Florida from 2013-2023. Data on 465,838 ED visits resulting in 110,640 admissions and moon illumination fraction data were analyzed. The results showed no significant difference in the mean number of ED visits, admissions, or percentage of visits resulting in admission across different moon illumination fractions, including full moons. While some past studies have suggested links between the lunar cycle and health conditions like seizures and psychiatric issues, this study found no association between the full moon and ED utilization patterns in the South Florida veteran population over an 11-year period. The findings contradict the long-standing belief about the lunar effect on hospital services and do not support adapting staffing or resources based on the moon's phase. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest. ### Funding Statement This material is the result of work supported by the resources and facilities at the James A. Haley Veterans Hospital; no external funding was utilized. ### Author Declarations I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained. Yes The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below: This project was submitted to the James A. Haley Veterans Hospital Research and Development Committee, which includes an ethics review, and was approved as a quality assurance project. I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals. Yes I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance). Yes I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable. Yes The data for the fractions of the moon illuminated is available at https://aa.usno.navy.mil/data/MoonFraction" /> <meta name="og-title" property="og:title" content="Moonlit Misconceptions: A South Florida Veterans’ Hospital Perspective on Full Moon Emergency Room Visits" /> <meta name="og-url" property="og:url" content="https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.10.22.24315836v1" /> <meta name="og-site-name" property="og:site_name" content="medRxiv" /> <meta name="og-description" property="og:description" content="The belief that the full moon influences human behavior and health outcomes has persisted for centuries despite limited scientific evidence. This study examined whether there is a correlation between the lunar cycle and emergency department (ED) visits and hospital admissions among veterans in South Florida from 2013-2023. Data on 465,838 ED visits resulting in 110,640 admissions and moon illumination fraction data were analyzed. The results showed no significant difference in the mean number of ED visits, admissions, or percentage of visits resulting in admission across different moon illumination fractions, including full moons. While some past studies have suggested links between the lunar cycle and health conditions like seizures and psychiatric issues, this study found no association between the full moon and ED utilization patterns in the South Florida veteran population over an 11-year period. The findings contradict the long-standing belief about the lunar effect on hospital services and do not support adapting staffing or resources based on the moon's phase. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest. ### Funding Statement This material is the result of work supported by the resources and facilities at the James A. Haley Veterans Hospital; no external funding was utilized. ### Author Declarations I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained. Yes The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below: This project was submitted to the James A. Haley Veterans Hospital Research and Development Committee, which includes an ethics review, and was approved as a quality assurance project. I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals. Yes I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance). Yes I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable. Yes The data for the fractions of the moon illuminated is available at https://aa.usno.navy.mil/data/MoonFraction" /> <meta name="og-type" property="og:type" content="article" /> <meta name="og-image" property="og:image" content="https://www.medrxiv.org/sites/default/files/images/medrxiv_logo_homepage7-5-small-test-up.png" /> <meta name="citation_date" content="2024-10-23" /> <link rel="alternate" type="text/plain" title="Full Text (Plain)" href="/content/10.1101/2024.10.22.24315836v1.full.txt" /> <link rel="alternate" type="application/vnd.ms-powerpoint" title="Powerpoint" href="/content/10.1101/2024.10.22.24315836v1.ppt" /> <link rel="alternate" type="application/pdf" title="Full Text (PDF)" href="/content/10.1101/2024.10.22.24315836v1.full.pdf" /> <meta name="description" content="medRxiv - The Preprint Server for Health Sciences" /> <meta name="generator" content="Drupal 7 (http://drupal.org)" /> <link rel="canonical" 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section-content"> <div id="zone-content" class="zone zone-content clearfix container-30"> <div class="grid-28 suffix-1 prefix-1 region region-content" id="region-content"> <div class="region-inner region-content-inner"> <a id="main-content"></a> <div class="block block-system block-main block-system-main odd block-without-title" id="block-system-main"> <div class="block-inner clearfix"> <div class="content clearfix"> <div class="panel-display panels-960-layout jcore-2col-layout" > <div class="panel-row-wrapper clearfix"> <div class="main-content-wrapper grid-17 suffix-1 alpha"> <div class="panel-panel panel-region-content"> <div class="inside"><div class="panel-pane pane-highwire-article-citation" > <div class="pane-content"> <div class="highwire-article-citation highwire-citation-type-highwire-article node888026" data-node-nid="888026" id="node-888026--21609999968" data-pisa="medrxiv;2024.10.22.24315836v1" data-pisa-master="medrxiv;2024.10.22.24315836" data-apath="/medrxiv/early/2024/10/23/2024.10.22.24315836.atom" data-hw-author-tooltip-instance=""><div class="highwire-cite highwire-cite-highwire-article highwire-citation-medrxiv-article-top clearfix has-author-tooltip" > <h1 class="highwire-cite-title" id="page-title">Moonlit Misconceptions: A South Florida Veterans’ Hospital Perspective on Full Moon Emergency Room Visits</h1> <div class="highwire-cite-authors" ><span class="highwire-citation-authors"><span class="highwire-citation-author first" data-delta="0"><span class="nlm-given-names">David J.</span> <span class="nlm-surname">VanMeter</span></span>, <span class="highwire-citation-author" data-delta="1"><span class="nlm-given-names">Timothy S.</span> <span class="nlm-surname">Strebel</span></span>, <span class="highwire-citation-author" data-delta="2"><span class="nlm-given-names">Stephen M.</span> <span class="nlm-surname">Mastorides</span></span>, <span class="highwire-citation-author" data-delta="3"><span class="nlm-given-names">Andrew A.</span> <span class="nlm-surname">Borkowski</span></span></span></div> <div class="highwire-cite-metadata" ><span class="highwire-cite-metadata-doi highwire-cite-metadata"><span class="label">doi:</span> https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.10.22.24315836 </span></div> </div> <div id="hw-article-author-popups-node-888026--21609999968" style="display: none;"><div class="author-tooltip-0"><div class="author-tooltip-name">David J. VanMeter </div><div class="author-tooltip-affiliation"><span class="author-tooltip-text"><div class='author-affiliation'><span class='nlm-sup'>1</span><span class='nlm-institution'>James A. Haley Veterans’ Hospital</span>, Tampa, Florida, <span class='nlm-country'>USA</span></div></span></div><ul class="author-tooltip-find-more"><li class="author-tooltip-gs-link first"><a href="/lookup/google-scholar?link_type=googlescholar&gs_type=author&author%5B0%5D=David%2BJ.%2BVanMeter%2B" target="_blank" class="" data-icon-position="" data-hide-link-title="0">Find this author on Google Scholar</a></li><li class="author-tooltip-pubmed-link"><a href="/lookup/external-ref?access_num=VanMeter%20DJ&link_type=AUTHORSEARCH" target="_blank" class="" data-icon-position="" data-hide-link-title="0">Find this author on PubMed</a></li><li class="author-site-search-link last"><a href="/search/author1%3ADavid%2BJ.%2BVanMeter%2B" rel="nofollow" class="" data-icon-position="" data-hide-link-title="0">Search for this author on this site</a></li></ul></div><div class="author-tooltip-1"><div class="author-tooltip-name">Timothy S. Strebel </div><div class="author-tooltip-affiliation"><span class="author-tooltip-text"><div class='author-affiliation'><span class='nlm-sup'>2</span><span class='nlm-institution'>Veteran Affairs National Artificial Intelligence Institute</span>, Washington, DC, <span class='nlm-country'>USA</span></div></span></div><ul class="author-tooltip-find-more"><li class="author-tooltip-gs-link first"><a href="/lookup/google-scholar?link_type=googlescholar&gs_type=author&author%5B0%5D=Timothy%2BS.%2BStrebel%2B" target="_blank" class="" data-icon-position="" data-hide-link-title="0">Find this author on Google Scholar</a></li><li class="author-tooltip-pubmed-link"><a href="/lookup/external-ref?access_num=Strebel%20TS&link_type=AUTHORSEARCH" target="_blank" class="" data-icon-position="" data-hide-link-title="0">Find this author on PubMed</a></li><li class="author-site-search-link last"><a href="/search/author1%3ATimothy%2BS.%2BStrebel%2B" rel="nofollow" class="" data-icon-position="" data-hide-link-title="0">Search for this author on this site</a></li></ul></div><div class="author-tooltip-2"><div class="author-tooltip-name">Stephen M. Mastorides </div><div class="author-tooltip-affiliation"><span class="author-tooltip-text"><div class='author-affiliation'><span class='nlm-sup'>1</span><span class='nlm-institution'>James A. Haley Veterans’ Hospital</span>, Tampa, Florida, <span class='nlm-country'>USA</span></div><div class='author-affiliation'><span class='nlm-sup'>3</span><span class='nlm-institution'>University of South Florida Morsani College of Medicine</span>, Tampa, FL, <span class='nlm-country'>USA</span></div>MD</span></div><ul class="author-tooltip-find-more"><li class="author-tooltip-gs-link first"><a href="/lookup/google-scholar?link_type=googlescholar&gs_type=author&author%5B0%5D=Stephen%2BM.%2BMastorides%2B" target="_blank" class="" data-icon-position="" data-hide-link-title="0">Find this author on Google Scholar</a></li><li class="author-tooltip-pubmed-link"><a href="/lookup/external-ref?access_num=Mastorides%20SM&link_type=AUTHORSEARCH" target="_blank" class="" data-icon-position="" data-hide-link-title="0">Find this author on PubMed</a></li><li class="author-site-search-link last"><a href="/search/author1%3AStephen%2BM.%2BMastorides%2B" rel="nofollow" class="" data-icon-position="" data-hide-link-title="0">Search for this author on this site</a></li></ul></div><div class="author-tooltip-3"><div class="author-tooltip-name">Andrew A. Borkowski </div><div class="author-tooltip-affiliation"><span class="author-tooltip-text"><div class='author-affiliation'><span class='nlm-sup'>1</span><span class='nlm-institution'>James A. Haley Veterans’ Hospital</span>, Tampa, Florida, <span class='nlm-country'>USA</span></div><div class='author-affiliation'><span class='nlm-sup'>2</span><span class='nlm-institution'>Veteran Affairs National Artificial Intelligence Institute</span>, Washington, DC, <span class='nlm-country'>USA</span></div><div class='author-affiliation'><span class='nlm-sup'>3</span><span class='nlm-institution'>University of South Florida Morsani College of Medicine</span>, Tampa, FL, <span class='nlm-country'>USA</span></div>MD</span></div><ul class="author-tooltip-find-more"><li class="author-tooltip-gs-link first"><a href="/lookup/google-scholar?link_type=googlescholar&gs_type=author&author%5B0%5D=Andrew%2BA.%2BBorkowski%2B" target="_blank" class="" data-icon-position="" data-hide-link-title="0">Find this author on Google Scholar</a></li><li class="author-tooltip-pubmed-link"><a href="/lookup/external-ref?access_num=Borkowski%20AA&link_type=AUTHORSEARCH" target="_blank" class="" data-icon-position="" data-hide-link-title="0">Find this author on PubMed</a></li><li class="author-site-search-link"><a href="/search/author1%3AAndrew%2BA.%2BBorkowski%2B" rel="nofollow" class="" data-icon-position="" data-hide-link-title="0">Search for this author on this site</a></li><li class="author-corresp-email-link last"><span>For correspondence: <a href="mailto:andrew.borkowski@va.gov" class="" data-icon-position="" data-hide-link-title="0">andrew.borkowski@va.gov</a></span></li></ul></div></div></div> </div> </div> <div class="panel-separator"></div><div class="panel-pane pane-highwire-panel-tabs pane-panels-ajax-tab-tabs" > <div class="pane-content"> <div class="item-list"><ul class="tabs inline panels-ajax-tab"><li class="first"><a href="/content/10.1101/2024.10.22.24315836v1" class="panels-ajax-tab-tab" data-panel-name="biorxiv_tab_art" data-target-id="highwire_article_tabs" data-entity-context="node:888026" data-trigger="" data-url-enabled="1">Abstract</a><a 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data-highwire-cite-ref-tooltip-instance="highwire_reflinks_tooltip" class="content-block-markup" xmlns:xhtml="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><div class="article abstract-view "><span class="highwire-journal-article-marker-start"></span><div class="section abstract" id="abstract-1"><h2 class="">ABSTRACT</h2><p id="p-2">The belief that the full moon influences human behavior and health outcomes has persisted for centuries despite limited scientific evidence. This study examined whether there is a correlation between the lunar cycle and emergency department (ED) visits and hospital admissions among veterans in South Florida from 2013-2023. Data on 465,838 ED visits resulting in 110,640 admissions and moon illumination fraction data were analyzed. The results showed no significant difference in the mean number of ED visits, admissions, or percentage of visits resulting in admission across different moon illumination fractions, including full moons. While some past studies have suggested links between the lunar cycle and health conditions like seizures and psychiatric issues, this study found no association between the full moon and ED utilization patterns in the South Florida veteran population over an 11-year period. The findings contradict the long-standing belief about the lunar effect on hospital services and do not support adapting staffing or resources based on the moon’s phase.</p></div><h3>Competing Interest Statement</h3><p id="p-3">The authors have declared no competing interest.</p><h3>Funding Statement</h3><p id="p-4">This material is the result of work supported by the resources and facilities at the James A. Haley Veterans Hospital; no external funding was utilized.</p><h3>Author Declarations</h3><p id="p-5">I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.</p><p id="p-6">Yes</p><p id="p-7">The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:</p><p id="p-8">This project was submitted to the James A. Haley Veterans Hospital Research and Development Committee, which includes an ethics review, and was approved as a quality assurance project.</p><p id="p-9">I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals.</p><p id="p-10">Yes</p><p id="p-11">I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).</p><p id="p-12">Yes</p><p id="p-13">I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable.</p><p id="p-14">Yes</p><div class="section data-availability" id="sec-6"><h2 class="">Data Availability</h2><p id="p-38">The data for the fractions of the moon illuminated is available at https://aa.usno.navy.mil/data/MoonFraction</p></div><span class="highwire-journal-article-marker-end"></span></div><span class="related-urls"></span></div></div> </div> </div> <div class="panel-separator"></div><div class="panel-pane pane-biorxiv-copyright" > <div class="pane-content"> <div class="field field-name-field-highwire-copyright field-type-text field-label-inline clearfix"><div class="field-label">Copyright </div><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.<span class="license-type"> This article is a US Government work. 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