Mysteel周报：铜价震荡运行沪粤升水价差拉大(10.18-10.25)-我的钢铁网

<!DOCTYPE html> <html lang="zh-CN"> <head> <meta charset="UTF-8"> <meta http-equiv="X-UA-Compatible" content="IE=edge"> <meta name="viewport" content="initial-scale=1, maximum-scale=1"> <meta name="mobile-web-app-capable" content="yes"> <meta name="format-detection" content="telephone=no" /> <meta name="apple-mobile-web-app-capable" content="yes"> <meta name="apple-mobile-web-app-status-bar-style" content="black"> <meta name="applicable-device" content="mobile"> <meta name="articleUrl" content="//youse.mysteel.com/a/24102519/8DA50014DC18F69D.html" /> <meta property="og:image" content="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/images/share_logo.png" /> <meta name="allow" content="0" /> <meta name="id" content="37817151" /> <meta name="channel" content="a,1948" /> <meta name="detailTit" content="Mysteel周报：铜价震荡运行沪粤升水价差拉大(10.18-10.25)" /> <meta name="denyReview" content="true" /> <title>Mysteel周报：铜价震荡运行沪粤升水价差拉大(10.18-10.25)-我的钢铁网</title> <meta name="Keywords" content="电解铜,铜价,Mysteel,铜,铝,我的钢铁网" /> <meta name="Description" content="一、市场预测铜价逐步进入区间震荡之中，近期宏观面影响逐步减弱，暂时性的价格影响事件时有，但整体尚未对铜价形成持续性的价格" /> <link rel="canonical" href="//m.mysteel.com/a/24102519/8DA50014DC18F69D_abc.html"> <link href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/libs/sui/sui.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/wsyCss.css?v=20221027" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/wsyCss20180930.css?v=17" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/permissions.css?v=11" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" /> <link rel="stylesheet" href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/css/common.css?v=20240905"> <link rel="stylesheet" href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/bxCss.css?v=201705190952"> <link rel="stylesheet" href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/addStyle.css?v=201704180942"> <link rel="stylesheet" href='//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/add.css?v=20181027'> <link rel="stylesheet" href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/css/whyStyle.css?v=201810261448"> <style type="text/css"> .banben a.edition { padding: 0.25rem 0.6rem;} .bar hgroup .loginBtn {position:relative; z-index:3; } .bar {padding-right: 0;} .bar .title {z-index:1;width: 38% !important;} .bar hgroup .loginBtn {margin-right: 0.4rem !important; margin-top:0.7rem !important;} .bar hgroup .app-enter { position:relative; z-index:3; margin-top:0.7rem; margin-right: 0.6rem; background: #1197db; width: 2.5rem; height: 1.2rem; border-radius: 0.2rem; line-height: 1.2rem; font-size: 0.7rem; color: #FFFFFF; text-align: center;} .xmteditor{display:block!important;} .related { margin-top: 1px; background: #fff; padding: 0.5rem 4%; font-size: 0.7rem } .related .related-title { line-height: 2.25rem; font-size: 0.8rem; font-family: 'PingFangSC-Regular'; font-weight: 600; } .related .related-list { width: 100%; overflow-y: hidden; margin-top: -0.5rem; transition: all 0.2s linear; } .related .related-list.maxHeight{ height: 7.5rem; overflow: hidden; } .related .related-list.related-list-heightAuto{ max-height: auto; height: auto; transition: all 0.3s linear; } .related .related-list a { display: block; width: 46%; height: 2rem; line-height: 2rem; padding: 0 4%; float: left; margin-right: 8%; margin-top: 0.5rem; background: #F6F6F6; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap; box-sizing: border-box; } .related .related-list a:nth-child(even) { margin-right: 0; } .related .related-more { width: 6rem; margin: 0.5rem auto; text-align: center; line-height: 1.8rem; cursor: pointer; } </style>  <link rel="stylesheet" href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/common/3.0/content/picture-carousel-wap.css"> <link rel="stylesheet" href='//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/css/hStyle.css?v=20240905'> <link rel="stylesheet" href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/libs/photoviewer/css/viewer.min.css" /> <link rel="stylesheet" href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/libs/aplayer/1.10.0/APlayer.min.css"> <link rel="stylesheet" href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/libs/aplayer/1.10.0/APlayer.configer.css?v=20210525"> <script src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/libs/jquery.min.js"></script> <script src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/libs/aplayer/1.10.0/APlayer.min.js?v=20210525"></script> <style> body{margin:0;padding:0;}p{margin:0;padding:0;} .suspend{display:none;position:fixed;bottom:0;left:0;width:100%;height:3rem;box-shadow:0.5rem 0.3rem 0.5rem 0.5rem #e4e4e4;background-color:#ffffff;z-index:99;} .suspend-container{position:relative;width:100%;height:3rem;} .suspend-container-close{position:absolute;left:0.75rem;bottom:1.1rem;width:0.75rem;height:0.75rem;margin-left:0.75rem;vertical-align:middle;}.suspend-container-logo{position:absolute;left:2.2rem;bottom:0.6rem;width:2.4rem;height:1.5rem;margin-left:0.75rem;vertical-align:middle;}.suspend-container-text{display:inline-block;width:9.4rem;margin-top:0.45rem;margin-left:5.8rem;vertical-align:middle;} .suspend-container-text p:nth-child(1){font-size:0.75rem;color:#333333;font-weight:500;} .suspend-container-text p:nth-child(2){margin-top:0.1rem;font-size:0.6rem;color:#999999;font-weight:400;} .suspend-container-button{position:absolute;bottom:0.85rem;right:0.75rem;width:2.5rem;height:1.3rem;line-height:1.3rem;text-align:center;font-size:0.75rem;color:#ffffff;background-color:#2d8ee7;border-radius:0.75rem;} .banben .back-top{bottom:11.35rem;} .banben .filter{bottom:8rem;} .banben .share{bottom:4.65rem;} .tip-text .text{margin:0;position:absolute;left:0;top:60px;} .list-block .news-title a{display:block;} .infor{padding:0 5% .5rem;} .expand{padding-bottom:1.5rem !important;} #mycity{display:none;position:fixed;top:2.5rem;width:100%;z-index:999;overflow:hidden;width:100%;height:1.7rem;background:#4f97ef;transition:all 0.2s;} #mycity li{float:left;list-style:none;margin-left:0.1rem;padding:0 0.2rem;font:0.7rem/1.7rem "Microsoft YaHei";}#mycity li a{display:block;color:#fff;} .article-text .aplayer-played,.aplayer-bar-wrap,.aplayer-bar,.aplayer-controller{overflow:unset !important;} </style> </head> <body data="//youse.mysteel.com" breed="020101"> <div class="page-group"> <div class="page page-current">  <header class="bar bar-nav"> <hgroup> <div class="pull-left logoCon"> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/" class="logo" external></a> <a href="//m.steelphone.com/xz/?fr=01163" class="app-enter-logo"></a> </div> <h1 class="title">周报</h1> <a href="//m.mysteel.com/nav.html" external class="app-search"></a> <a href="javascript:;" onclick="window.location.href='https://passport.mysteel.com/m/?site=abc&location='+encodeURIComponent('公用头部')+'&callback='+encodeURI(document.location.href)" external class="app-login calabash h-login">登录/注册</a> <a href="javascript:;" onclick="window.location.href='http://passport.mysteel.com/logout.jsp?site=mysteel&callback='+encodeURI(document.location.href)" external class="app-login" style="display:none;">退出</a> <a href="javascript:;" onclick="window.location.href='https://passport.mysteel.com/m/switch-account.html?site=mysteel&callback='+encodeURI(document.location.href)+'&location='+encodeURIComponent('公用头部')" external class="app-login" style="display:none;">切换账号</a> </hgroup> </header>  <div class="content"> <div class="a-banner"> <a external rel="nofollow" href="https://m.steelphone.com/share/invite/#/invite?userId=ge2dkn2xg55a&inviteSource=118&uniqueMark=&poster=&source=M站-文章详细页" class="swiper-slide-link" style="display: block; position: relative; width: 100%;"> <img src="//img01.mysteelcdn.com/gg/uploaded/M1_750x90app__20170425.jpg?v=202405281432" alt="" display: block; width: 100%; margin: 0;> </a> </div> <div id="mycity" class="clearfix"> <ul class="clearfix"> <li><a href="https://m.mymetal.net/market/p-968-----0201-0--------1.html" onclick="showLog('有色-文章详细页','铜')" external>铜价格</a></li> <li><a href="https://m.mymetal.net/market/p-968-----0202-0--------1.html" onclick="showLog('有色-文章详细页','铝')" external>铝价格</a></li> <li><a href="https://m.mymetal.net/market/p-968-----0203-0--------1.html" onclick="showLog('有色-文章详细页','铅')" external>铅价格</a></li> <li><a href="https://m.mymetal.net/market/p-968-----0204-0--------1.html" onclick="showLog('有色-文章详细页','锌')" external>锌价格</a></li> </ul> </div> <div class="h-nav"> <a href="https://m.mymetal.net" rel="nofollow" external>有色金属网</a> > Mysteel周报：铜价震荡运行沪粤升水价差拉大(10.18-10.25) </div> <h2 class="article-title" style="color:#000000">Mysteel周报：铜价震荡运行沪粤升水价差拉大(10.18-10.25)</h2> 2024-10-25 19:30 来源：我的钢铁网 <article class="article-text article-text_1"> <div data-val="33586" id="article-content"> <div id="text"> 一、市场预测 <a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/tong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜价</a>逐步进入区间震荡之中，近期宏观面影响逐步减弱，暂时性的价格影响事件时有，但整体尚未对<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/tong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜</a>价形成持续性的价格引导，下周重点关注美国就业数据的发布。基本面上也暂无明显的变化，国内冶炼产出依然处于较高的影响期内，但近期进口铜的持续流入带动了国内的库存回升，且下周这一趋势仍有延续的迹象；消费端表现略显乏力，尤其是终端的提货效率依然较慢，流动性减弱导致市场消费表现感受较差，预计下周国内库存仍有继续回升的趋势，现货升水也很难扭转。整体来看，铜价目前尚处于一个较为“安静”的状态，缺少明确的趋势性引导，预计下周铜仍将延续区间震荡局面，需要注意库存表现，下游消费能否改善将是现货市场的关键因素，尤其是提货情况。预计国内铜价运行区间在75200-77800元/吨，LME铜运行区间在9300-9810美元/吨。 表-1 <a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a><a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/dianjietong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>电解铜</a>一周价格 <table style="border-collapse: collapse; width: 412.95pt; border: medium; text-align: justify;" border="1" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td style="width: 61.6500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="82"> </td> <td style="width: 51.9000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="69"> 10.21 </td> <td style="width: 49.6000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="66"> 10.22 </td> <td style="width: 50.8000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="67"> 10.23 </td> <td style="width: 47.8500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="63"> 10.24 </td> <td style="width: 47.3500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="63"> 10.25 </td> <td style="width: 57.1000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="76"> 周均价 </td> <td style="width: 46.7000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="62"> 涨跌 </td> </tr> <tr style="height: 16.6000pt;"> <td style="width: 61.6500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="82"> 上海市场 </td> <td style="width: 51.9000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="69"> 77400 </td> <td style="width: 49.6000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="66"> 76650 </td> <td style="width: 50.8000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="67"> 76655 </td> <td style="width: 47.8500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="63"> 76415 </td> <td style="width: 47.3500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="63"> 76500 </td> <td style="width: 57.1000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="76"> 76724 </td> <td style="width: 46.7000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="62"> -139 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 61.6500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="82"> 广东市场 </td> <td style="width: 51.9000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="69"> 77380 </td> <td style="width: 49.6000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="66"> 76630 </td> <td style="width: 50.8000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="67"> 76660 </td> <td style="width: 47.8500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="63"> 76480 </td> <td style="width: 47.3500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="63"> 76600 </td> <td style="width: 57.1000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="76"> 76750 </td> <td style="width: 46.7000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="62"> -98 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 61.6500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="82"> 天津市场 </td> <td style="width: 51.9000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="69"> 77350 </td> <td style="width: 49.6000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="66"> 76580 </td> <td style="width: 50.8000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="67"> 76590 </td> <td style="width: 47.8500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="63"> 76360 </td> <td style="width: 47.3500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="63"> 76470 </td> <td style="width: 57.1000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="76"> 76670 </td> <td style="width: 46.7000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="62"> -122 </td> </tr> <tr style="height: 14.2500pt;"> <td style="width: 61.6500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="82"> 重庆市场 </td> <td style="width: 51.9000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="69"> 77435 </td> <td style="width: 49.6000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="66"> 76665 </td> <td style="width: 50.8000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="67"> 76675 </td> <td style="width: 47.8500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="63"> 76465 </td> <td style="width: 47.3500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="63"> 76560 </td> <td style="width: 57.1000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="76"> 76760 </td> <td style="width: 46.7000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="62"> -101 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="width: 61.6500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="82"> 鹰潭市场 </td> <td style="width: 51.9000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="69"> 77400 </td> <td style="width: 49.6000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="66"> 76650 </td> <td style="width: 50.8000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="67"> 76660 </td> <td style="width: 47.8500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="63"> 76420 </td> <td style="width: 47.3500pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="63"> 76500 </td> <td style="width: 57.1000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="76"> 76726 </td> <td style="width: 46.7000pt; padding: 0.0000pt 5.4000pt 0.0000pt 5.4000pt; border-left: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-right: 1.0000pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; border-bottom: 1.0000pt solid windowtext;" valign="center" width="62"> -122 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> 二、市场成交 上海市场：由于近期进口窗口维持打开，本周进口铜到货流入量仍较为可观，市场进口流通货源较为充裕，且市场仓库入库增量基本以进口铜为主，国产品牌货源到货依旧相对有限，库存整体继续维持累库。截止周四，上海市场社会库存15.40万吨，较周一增加0.64万吨。周内铜价波动较为频繁，致使下游加工企业谨慎观望情绪仍存，且部分企业反馈目前盘面仍未达到其心理采购价位，日内维持刚需采购为主；同时下游新增订单表现一般，整体市场消费较为疲弱。本周铜价重心小幅上移，截止周五沪铜11合约盘面收于76410元/吨，上海市场1#电解铜现货均价76520元/吨，较上周五上涨30元/吨。由于周内进口铜到货增量仍存，且下游消费难有提升空间，虽市场国产品牌货源流通较少，叠加部分时间近月合约Contango月差走扩至100元/吨附近，但持货商挺价信心不足，同时少数贸易商积极甩货以促成交，现货升水承压偏弱运行于贴100~贴50元/吨附近。据调研了解，下周仍有不少进口铜陆续到货流入，同时临近月底，受制于企业资金压力影响，下游企业接货需求难有回升空间，消费预计仍表现较为一般，叠加市场贸易商同样存出货换现需求，因此下周现货升水仍将表现承压贴水运行为主，或维持贴150~升0元/吨区间波动。 上海洋山港现货市场：上海洋山港到货较上周有所增加，主要原因是前期的延误抵港贷源集中到港，进口铜周内清关流入量较为明显，从美金铜溢价来看，环比上周五下跌，截止至本周五仓单升贴水43~63美元/吨，均价53美元/吨，环比下跌3美元/吨；截止至本周五提单升贴水37~53美元/吨，均价45美元/吨，环比下跌11美元/吨。 佛山市场：广东市场库存继续表现下降，国内冶炼厂发货不多，加之进口有限，市场上到货较少；需求上长单对下游消费有较为明显支撑，因此出库大于入库；由于四季度华南区域内部分冶炼厂即将进入检修期，对产量影响较大，市场到货有限，加之目前下游消费有所支撑，因此预计后续库存维持去库趋势。本周铜价震荡回调运行为主，库存表现去库，加之市场上到货有限，持货商低价出货意愿不高，并表现积极挺价，现货升水也因此持续表现上涨；下游企业长单消费为主，提货速度较快，但零单成交较为有限，询价较为积极，周内大多维持刚需采购为主。铜价进入到震荡回调阶段，但市场到货减少，现货供应有限，对价格市场歧义较大，因此市场参与者采购较为谨慎，大多保持观望为主。近期市场上宏观扰动减弱，铜价维持区间震荡运行为主，但市场内对供应紧张预期升温，现货升水也因此上涨。下游消费支撑较强，虽零单成交不多，但长单提货速度尚可；整体来看，铜价进入区间震荡之中，等待进一步的市场指引，现货库存或将持续去库，预计广东现货升贴水运行区间在贴80-升80元/吨。 天津市场：本周天津市场现货均价在76620元/吨左右，较上周均价76770元/吨下跌150元/吨，表现震荡下行趋势，市场现货升贴水报价在贴220-贴20元/吨区间，较上周下调。近期天津市场电解铜现货供应暂无紧张表现，仓库有部分货源以长单流出，整体变化不大，市场交易流通的现货品牌无紧缺现象，供应略为充足。由于周内铜价偏强震荡，下游需求表现不佳，部分企业采购意愿减弱，仅以长单提货为主；而持货商纷纷加大升贴水下调力度以出货，也未能刺激消费好转，仅市场刚需补库仍在继续；时至周五，加工企业备货周末，需求才略有提升。近期铜价走势反复，且临近月底，大部分企业均谨慎观望，整体周度成交表现一般。本周美元走强压制铜价，国内利好政策又带来支撑，导致铜价震荡运行，实际市场消费未有好转迹象，关注下周美大选以及国内政策落地情况；价格方面，下周铜价或继续震荡运行，预计在76000-78000元/吨之间。 重庆市场：本周重庆市场电解铜价格走势以高位震荡为主，截止2024年10月25日电解铜中间价报76560元/吨，较上周五中间价上涨75元/吨。从供应来看，周内川渝社会库存先增后减，截止至10月24日两地社库库存为2800吨，环比减少200吨；从具体情况来看，本周炼厂往重庆与成都发货量正常，但周末出库较少，周一累库较多，但周二至周四长单出库表现尚可，故整体周内库存小幅下降。从需求来看，首先，本周川渝现货升贴水波动有限，截止至本周五持货商升贴水均价在贴水40元/吨，环比下跌5元/吨。此外，本周零单成交有所回暖，上半周由于前一个周末累库较多，部分头部持货商有意持续下调升贴水以促进促进，在周三至周四整体成交有所回升，当日成交量多在200-300吨不等，叠加在铜价回调阶段，尤其是76200-76300区间下游铜厂点价动作增加，且完价订单提货节奏有所加快，周内长单执行情况较为不错。后市来看，宏观方面，目前国内社库整体变化取决于进口到货量，目前沪粤两地的库存走势分化明显，但整体以小幅累库为主，叠加四季度长单谈判期即将来临，以及成本方面的支撑，笔者对10月剩余交易日走势仍维持高位盘整的观点。消费方面，西南本土消费在铜价高位盘整的背景下难有明显增长点，但在价格的回落阶段消费或有集中性的成交体现，但实际需求依旧偏弱。升贴水方面，本周库存小幅去库，部分头部持货商现货库存不多，预计下周西南现货升贴水或将有回升可能性，或将在贴30--升150区间调整。 三、电解铜库存变化分析 本周（10.17~10.24）国内市场电解铜现货库存21.70万吨，较17日降0.39万吨，较21日增0.14万吨；本周上海市场库存维持累库趋势，周内进口铜到货仍有增量，且下游消费较为疲软，部分仓库出库下滑；后续来看，据调研了解，下周仍有一定进口铜增量流入，且临近月底，料下游消费回升空间相对有限，因此下周社库预计继续表现累库，但值得注意的是目前国产到货依旧较少，短期库存增量仍以进口铜入库为主。广东市场库存继续表现下降，国内冶炼厂发货不多，加之进口有限，市场上到货较少；需求上长单对下游消费有较为明显支撑，因此出库大于入库；由于四季度华南区域内部分冶炼厂即将进入检修期，对产量影响较大，市场到货有限，加之目前下游消费有所支撑，因此预计后续库存维持去库趋势。 <img src="//img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/10/25/262e4a2507284030b6f76a4c9e25916a.png" width="522" height="295" /> 数据来源：Mysteel 保税区库存 本周上海、广东两地保税区电解铜现货库存累计4.61万吨，较17日降0.48万吨，较21日降0.23万吨；保税区库存再度表现下降，其中周内进口比价回升，上海市场部分仓库货源继续出库清关进口，同时入库偏少，库存因此下降；广东市场同样下降，主因周内下游企业陆续提货出库；展望后市，目前进口盈利窗口维持打开，料后续仓库货源仍将有所进口流入国内，同时到船抵港货源基本清关进口为主，入库偏少，因此下周库存预计仍将小幅去库。 <img src="//img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/10/25/5e2284452ffe4b3cb7e0f29b5c69aecb.png" width="522" height="295" /> 数据来源：Mysteel 四、市场总结 本周铜价重心小幅上移，周内整体表现高位震荡运行为主，市场消费较为一般，加工企业基本日内维持刚需采购生产，且由于沪粤库存走势分化，现货升水价差有所拉大，同时上海市场进口铜到货流入量较多，导致国内整体社会库存再度表现垒库；后续来看，下周临近月底，受制于企业资金压力影响，市场消费提振空间受限，现货成交氛围预计难以改善。 五、一周热点 1.六部门：符合要求的再生铜<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝</a>原料不属于固体废物，可自由进口 为推动再生金属产业高质量发展，规范再生铜及铜合金原料、再生铝及铝合金原料（以下简称再生铜铝原料）的进口管理，现将有关事项公告如下。 一、符合附表要求的再生铜铝原料不属于固体废物，可自由进口。附表中不同种类的再生铜铝原料不允许混装，报关时同一报关单下不允许申报不同种类的再生铜铝原料；不同类别的散装再生铜铝原料不允许混装，当不同类别的再生铜铝原料有独立包装时可以混装，但应分类放置。 二、再生铜原料的海关商品编号为7404000030、7404000050；再生铜合金原料的海关商品编号为7404000020、7404000040；再生纯铝原料的海关商品编号为7602000040；再生变形铝合金原料的海关商品编号为7602000050；再生铸造铝合金原料的海关商品编号为7602000020、7602000030。海关商品编号仅供通关申报参考。 三、除放射性污染检验应符合海关专门检验要求外，再生铜铝原料的检验首先采用感官检验，当不能确定是否符合附表指标要求时按照海关行业技术规范或国家标准GB/T 38470、GB/T 38471、GB/T 38472、GB/T 40382、GB/T 40386的相应检验方法进行检验。 四、进口的再生铜铝原料应符合本公告要求。海关发现进口再生铜铝原料疑似固体废物的，可以委托专业机构开展属性鉴别，并根据鉴别结论依法管理。 五、本公告自2024年11月15日起实施，《关于规范再生黄铜原料、再生铜原料和再生铸造铝合金原料进口管理有关事项的公告》（生态环境部海关总署商务部工业和信息化部公告2020年第43号）同时废止。 2.英美资源Q3铜产量同比下降，维持全年产量目标不变 10月24日，全球矿商英美资源集团（Anglo American）公布，其第三季度铜产量录得两位数下降，但维持2024年铜产量目标不变。英美资源表示，7月至9月当季铜产量同比下降13%至18.1万吨。2024年前九个月，铜产量同比下降4%至57.5万吨。该集团仍预期今年铜产量在73-79万吨。 3.国家统计局：9月中国铜材产量201.3万吨，同比降2.6% 国家统计局最新数据显示，2024年9月中国<a href="https://tong.mysteel.com/">铜</a>材产量201.3万吨，同比下降2.6%；1-9月累计产量1632.9万吨，同比下降2.3%。9月精炼铜（<a href="https://dianjietong.mysteel.com/">电解铜</a>）产量113.8万吨，同比增长0.4%；1-9月累计产量1004.4万吨，同比增长5.4%。  </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：叶木根 021-26096694 资讯监督：全长煜 021-26093852 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> 免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。 展开 </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a href="https://m.mymetal.net/article/p-1948-------------1.html" external>相关文章</a> </h2> <a href="https://m.mymetal.net/article/p-1948-------------1.html" external class="more"> 查看更多 </a> </div> <div class="list-block recommend-list"> <ul> <li class="item"> <div class="news-title"> <a data-url="m.mysteel.com" href="//m.mysteel.com/a/24102517/1072EFE434A42661_abc.html" external> Mysteel周报：精铜杆市场间形成交易差异再生铜杆贸易商交易为主（10.18-10.25） </a> </div> <div class="news-time">2024-10-25</div> </li> <li class="item"> <div class="news-title"> <a data-url="m.mysteel.com" href="//m.mysteel.com/a/24101818/4EE2395E92E5D681_abc.html" external> Mysteel周报：铜价重心回落社库延续累库趋势(10.11-10.18) </a> </div> <div class="news-time">2024-10-18</div> </li> <li class="item"> <div class="news-title"> <a data-url="m.mysteel.com" href="//m.mysteel.com/a/24101119/D6D1B6DD3153D0B9_abc.html" external> Mysteel周报：铜价高位回调社会库存表现累库(10.8-10.11) </a> </div> <div class="news-time">2024-10-11</div> </li> <li class="item"> <div class="news-title"> <a data-url="m.mysteel.com" href="//m.mysteel.com/a/24092718/A2336B43AFF248D5_abc.html" external> Mysteel周报：铜价重心上移明显现货升水承压回落(9.20-9.27) </a> </div> <div class="news-time">2024-09-27</div> </li> <li class="item"> <div class="news-title"> <a data-url="m.mysteel.com" href="//m.mysteel.com/a/24092018/B8CDAE1A676D2FCB_abc.html" external> Mysteel周报：铜价重心延续上抬社会库存大幅去库(9.13-9.20) </a> </div> <div class="news-time">2024-09-20</div> </li> </ul> </div> <div class="suspend"> <div class="suspend-container"> <img class="suspend-container-close" src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/images/foot_close.png"> <img class="suspend-container-logo" src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/images/foot_logo.png"> <div class="suspend-container-text"> 最新行情免费看 注册即可查看，5大产业价格信息！ </div> 注册 </div> </div> <script> function getCookie(c) { var a = document.cookie.lastIndexOf(c + "="); if (a == -1) { return null; } var d = document.cookie.substring(a + c.length + 1); var b = d.indexOf(";"); if (b == -1) { b = d.length; } d = d.substring(0, b); d = unescape(d); return d; } if (!getCookie("_login_token")) { $(".suspend").show() } $(".suspend-container-close").click(function () { $(".suspend").hide() }) $(".suspend-container-button").click(function () { window.location.href = "https://passport.mysteel.com/mjoin.jsp?site=m.mysteel.com/dibugg&location="+encodeURIComponent('底部广告')+"&callback=" + encodeURIComponent(window.location.href) }) </script> <div class="related"> <div class="related-title">相关热搜词</div> <div class="related-list"> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/19285.html" title="08f钢板价格" external target="_blank">08f钢板价格</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1443548.html" title="安国椰子油价格" external target="_blank">安国椰子油价格</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1252651.html" title="全球小麦价格" external target="_blank">全球小麦价格</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/17512.html" title="长春脚手架管" external target="_blank">长春脚手架管</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1033811.html" title="通辽无烟煤" external target="_blank">通辽无烟煤</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/64.html" title="q5l选装" external target="_blank">q5l选装</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1508527.html" title="开封水泥砂浆" external target="_blank">开封水泥砂浆</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1508520.html" title="海口水泥砂石" external target="_blank">海口水泥砂石</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/5726.html" title="贵阳pvc板厂家" external target="_blank">贵阳pvc板厂家</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/93.html" title="六棱套筒扳手" external target="_blank">六棱套筒扳手</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1506638.html" title="衡阳螺纹钢圆钢" external target="_blank">衡阳螺纹钢圆钢</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/301.html" title="拉丝拉丝嗨" external target="_blank">拉丝拉丝嗨</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/5969.html" title="7225模具钢" external target="_blank">7225模具钢</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1379722.html" title="商砼板报" external target="_blank">商砼板报</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1602.html" title="洛阳金属硅3303#" external target="_blank">洛阳金属硅3303#</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1506634.html" title="衡阳水泥混凝土" external target="_blank">衡阳水泥混凝土</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/467.html" title="长葛钢构" external target="_blank">长葛钢构</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1506703.html" title="德州螺纹钢材" external target="_blank">德州螺纹钢材</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1379669.html" title="商砼市场调查报告" external target="_blank">商砼市场调查报告</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1508590.html" title="安庆水泥砂石" external target="_blank">安庆水泥砂石</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1379685.html" title="彩色商砼" external target="_blank">彩色商砼</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1379677.html" title="商砼厂区" external target="_blank">商砼厂区</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1506633.html" title="衡阳钢筋水泥" external target="_blank">衡阳钢筋水泥</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1557791.html" title="贵阳混凝土今日报价表" external target="_blank">贵阳混凝土今日报价表</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1506714.html" title="赤峰水泥混凝土" external target="_blank">赤峰水泥混凝土</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/317.html" title="直齿圆柱齿轮国标" external target="_blank">直齿圆柱齿轮国标</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1557777.html" title="常州中厚板今日报价表" external target="_blank">常州中厚板今日报价表</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/343.html" title="附近钢筋网片厂" external target="_blank">附近钢筋网片厂</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/136.html" title="湖北耐力板厂家" external target="_blank">湖北耐力板厂家</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/hot/1557851.html" title="广州冷轧板卷今日报价表" external target="_blank">广州冷轧板卷今日报价表</a> </div> <div class="related-more">查看更多&or;</div> </div> <a class="hot-city-tit" href="https://m.mysteel.com/nav.html" external>热门品种：</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010101-0--------1.html" external>螺纹钢</a>、 <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010103-0--------1.html" external>热卷</a>、 <a href="https://m.mybxg.com/" external>不锈钢</a>、 <a href="https://m.mymetal.net/market/p-968-----0222-0--------1.html" external>镍</a>、 <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----0306-0--------1.html" external>废钢</a> <a class="hot-city-tit" href="https://m.mysteel.com/nav.html" external>热门推荐：</a> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----0311-0--------1.html" external>铁矿石</a>、 <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----050202-0--------1.html" external>焦煤</a>、 <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----0501-0--------1.html" external>焦炭</a>、 <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----0303-0--------1.html" external>铁合金</a>、 <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----03030202-0--------1.html" external>硅锰</a> <link rel="stylesheet" href="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/css/max750.css?v=202302201842"> <div class="buttons-tab banben" style="background:#fff !important;"> <a target="_blank" id="pc" class="external edition"> PC端 </a> <a href="//www.steelphone.com/xz/?fr=01047" target="_blank" class="external edition"> 手机版 </a> <a href="//m.mysteel.com/abc_dxqjs.html" target="_blank" class="external edition border-r"> 官方微信 </a> </div> <div class="buttons-tab banben banben2" style="background:#fff !important;"> <a href="//m.mysteel.com/nav.html" class="external edition"> 导航 </a> <a onclick="location.href='//m.mysteel.com/feedback.html?from='+location.href" class="external edition feedbackA"> 意见反馈 </a> <a href="//m.mysteel.com/" class="border-r external edition"> 返回首页 </a>  <a href="javascript:scroll(0,0)" class="external back-top back-top-new"></a> <a href="//m.mysteel.com/so.html" class="external filter "></a> <a class="external share"></a> <a class="external message"></a> <div class="h-share"> <div class="h-share-content"> <div class="h-share-content-board"> 分享到 <img src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/images/link.png" alt="android"> 复制链接 <img src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/images/weibo.png" alt="android"> 微博 <img src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/images/zone.png" alt="android"> QQ空间 <img src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/images/weixin.png" alt="android"> 微信 </div> 取消 </div> <div class="h-share-browser"> <div class="h-share-browser-content"> 点击确定复制下方链接，去粘贴发送给好友或者朋友圈： </div> 确定 </div> <div class="h-share-weixin"> <img src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/images/line.png" alt=""> <div class="h-share-weixin-content"> 分享给好友 1. 点击右上···分享给好友 2. 点击下方确定按钮即可复制链接，分享链接给好友或发朋友圈 </div> 确定 </div> </div> </div> <div class="custom-service"> 客服热线 <a href="tel:400-671-1818">400-671-1818</a> 沪ICP备15006920号-8 </div> <div class="toast-wrap"> </div> <script src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/libs/jquery.min.js" charset="gbk"></script> <script src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/libs/require.min.js" charset="gbk"></script> <script> var getQueryString = function (parme) { var reg = new RegExp("(^|&)" + parme + "=([^&]*)(&|$)", "i"); var r = window.location.search.substr(1).match(reg); if (r != null) return unescape(r[2]); return null; }; require(['//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/js/detailShare.js?v=20241024'], function (share) { share.init(); }) </script> </div> </div> </div> <script src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/libs/require.min.js"></script> <script src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/js/whyConfig.js?v=201612221505"></script> <script src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/js/whyapp/cookie.v202209.js?v=20240905" charset="gb2312"></script>  <script src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/libs/picture-carousel-wap.js?v=20240409" charset="gbk"></script> <script src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/js/article-content.js?v=20240905" charset="utf-8"></script> <script> jQuery(function(jQuery) { var text = $('.bar-nav .title').text() if(text.length > 6){ $('.bar-nav .title').text(text.substring(0, 6)+'...') } }) </script> <script src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/wap/ydz/v2/js/seo_keyword.js" charset="utf-8"></script> <script src="https://s9.cnzz.com/z_stat.php?id=1280674193&web_id=1280674193"></script>  <script src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/mysteel_public/js/statistics.js?v=20231225" defer charset="gbk"></script> <script src="//a.mysteelcdn.com/common/permissions/copyRight.js" charset="utf-8"></script> </body> </html>

CINXE.COM

Mysteel周报：铜价震荡运行 沪粤升水价差拉大(10.18-10.25)-我的钢铁网

Mysteel周报：铜价震荡运行沪粤升水价差拉大(10.18-10.25)-我的钢铁网