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What Trump's Win Could Mean for Housing | TIME
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content="#e90606"/><title>What Trump's Win Could Mean for Housing | TIME</title><meta name="description" content="From mass deportation to construction on federal land, here's how Trump's proposed plans could affect housing in America."/><meta name="application-name" content="nextgen"/><link rel="author" href="https://time.com/author/rebecca-schneid/"/><meta name="author" content="Rebecca Schneid"/><link rel="manifest" href="/manifest.webmanifest" crossorigin="use-credentials"/><meta name="creator" content="Rebecca Schneid"/><meta name="category" content="Politics"/><meta name="fb:app_id" content="991230477954201"/><meta name="fb:pages" content="10606591490"/><meta name="primary-tag" content="housing"/><meta name="article:opinion" content="false"/><meta name="article:content_tier" content="free"/><meta name="article:published_time" content="2024-11-14T18:37:45"/><meta name="pinterest:url" content="https://time.com/7176549/what-donald-trump-win-could-mean-for-housing/"/><meta 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justify-center self-center px-4 pb-6"><div class="group text-center font-roboto-condensed text-xs uppercase text-time-gray-3 opacity-0 transition-opacity has-[iframe[data-load-complete="true"]]:opacity-100 mb-1.5 h-16"><span class="hidden group-has-[iframe[data-load-complete="true"]]:block ">Presented By</span><div id="sponsorshiplogo1" class="ad flex min-h-[1px] w-full min-w-[1px] max-w-[100vw] items-center justify-center overflow-hidden bg-transparent text-center group-[.disable-ads]:hidden print:hidden flex " role="complementary" aria-label="Advertisement" data-native="false"></div></div><ul class="flex justify-center"><li class="font-roboto-condensed text-xs font-bold uppercase leading-4 tracking-wider after:mx-1.5 after:inline-block after:h-1 after:w-1 after:-translate-y-1/2 after:rounded-full after:bg-time-red"><a href="https://time.com/section/politics" aria-label="Politics">Politics</a></li><li class="font-roboto-condensed text-xs font-bold uppercase leading-4 tracking-wider "><a href="https://time.com/tag/housing" aria-label="housing">housing</a></li><li class="hidden">What Trump’s Win Could Mean for Housing</li></ul><div class="mb-4 mt-2 lg:mb-[1.4625rem]"><h1 class="text-center text-[1.75rem] font-medium leading-[1.875rem] tracking-0.5px lg:text-[2.4375rem] lg:leading-[2.9375rem] font-zilla-slab self-baseline">What Trump’s Win Could Mean for Housing</h1><div class="mt-2 text-center font-roboto-condensed text-sm font-bold uppercase tracking-[0.6px] text-time-gray-3 md:text-base ">7<!-- --> minute read</div></div></header></div><div id="article-content" class="flex w-full justify-center lg:justify-between lg:gap-5"><div id="article-content-main" class="flex w-full max-w-article-featured-media flex-col items-center"><div class="featured-media w-full max-w-full" data-type="video"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="w-full bg-time-black aspect-video"><div id="jwplayer-:R2pjt9btttsba:"></div></div></div></div><article id="article-body" class="flex w-full max-w-article-body-centered flex-col lg:max-w-article-body"><div class="my-6 w-full px-4 lg:pl-[6.5rem] lg:pr-14"><div class="font-zilla-slab text-xs uppercase leading-6 tracking-[0.01563em] text-time-gray-4 text-center lg:text-left"><div class="block lg:mr-3 lg:inline-block">By <a href="/author/rebecca-schneid/" class="font-bold">Rebecca Schneid</a></div><div class="block lg:inline-block"><time dateTime="2024-11-14T18:37:45.000Z">November 14, 2024 1:37 PM EST</time></div></div></div><div id="article-body-main" class="flex w-full flex-col gap-7 [&>*:not(.inline-image)]:px-4 [&>*:not(.inline-image)]:lg:pl-[6.5rem] [&>*:not(.inline-image)]:lg:pr-14 [&>.inline-image]:sm:px-4 [&>.inline-image]:lg:pl-[6.5rem] [&>.inline-image]:lg:pr-14"><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px"><span class="leading-7 float-left border-t-2 border-l-2 border-solid border-time-red text-5xl py-2 pr-0.5 pl-[0.3125rem] my-0.5 mr-2.5 font-zilla-slab">F</span>or many, housing was high on the docket of issues throughout the presidential election. During Vice President Kamala Harris and now President-elect Donald Trump’s <a href="https://time.com/7019747/harris-trump-debate-cover/">debate</a> in September, the first policy to come up was housing affordability. </p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">“Housing, for the first time ever has really, you know, been at the top of a presidential campaign. I'm not sure this has ever been the case,” Ayrianne Parks, senior director of policy advocacy at Enterprise, a national<strong> </strong>nonprofit trying to address the shortage of affordable rental homes, tells TIME. </p><div class="component webflix-player-container block"><div class="webflix-reel" data-partner-key="1d483486-fd58-4aac-bfc2-d711b4ced387" data-property-key="68045ddd-9c78-4646-87d8-3858555b3f5f"></div></div><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">Voters considered <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/08/briefing/how-inflation-shaped-voting.html">inflation</a> at the ballot box on Nov. 5. Housing affordability is a part of this issue, and an NBC <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/data-graphics/housing-market-trump-win-2024-election-rcna179153">study shows</a> that the toughest housing markets had the greatest median shift in vote toward Trump compared to the 2020 election.</p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">With home prices having gone up, by some estimates, <a href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CSUSHPINSA">more than 50% since the COVID-19 pandemic</a>, it’s unsurprising that housing affordability and markets would be a key focus for many. </p><div class="native-ad flex w-full flex-col items-center justify-center"><div id="native-ad-inline-1" class="ad flex min-h-[1px] w-full min-w-[1px] max-w-[100vw] items-center justify-center overflow-hidden bg-transparent text-center group-[.disable-ads]:hidden print:hidden flex " role="complementary" aria-label="Advertisement" data-native="false"></div></div><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">Harris led <a href="https://time.com/7095175/down-payment-harris-plan-could-mean-for-first-time-homebuyers/">much of the national discussion</a> surrounding housing throughout the election, while Trump said very little about his housing policies during his campaign. In his policy platform, <a href="https://www.donaldjtrump.com/agenda47/agenda47-ending-veteran-homelessness-in-america">Agenda 47</a>, he vowed to “make it a personal mission to totally eradicate Veterans’ homelessness in America by the end of next term.” He <a href="https://www.donaldjtrump.com/agenda47/agenda47-ending-the-nightmare-of-the-homeless-drug-addicts-and-dangerously-deranged">also said he will </a>“rescue American cities from the scourge of homelessness, the drug addicted, and the dangerously deranged.”</p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">Now that Trump is set to return to the White House, housing advocates, experts, and economists are considering what his second term might mean for housing by gleaning information from what he tried to do, and successfully did, during the first Trump Administration. Although much remains to be seen, such as his nomination for director of the Department of Housing and Urban Development, now that he has gained a <a href="https://time.com/7174039/republican-house-majority-control-government-trifecta/">trifecta of Republican control</a>, Trump is likely to move quickly. </p><div id="inline-ad-1" class="ad flex min-h-[1px] w-full min-w-[1px] max-w-[100vw] items-center justify-center bg-transparent text-center group-[.disable-ads]:hidden print:hidden flex " role="complementary" aria-label="Advertisement" data-native="false"></div><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">“President Trump can be trusted to restore the American dream because he has a real plan to defeat inflation, bring down mortgage rates, and make purchasing a home dramatically more affordable,” Karoline Leavitt, the Trump campaign’s national press secretary (who is now serving as the Trump-Vance transition spokesperson) <a href="https://time.com/7020243/kamala-harris-donald-trump-housing-policy/">told TIME over email in September</a>, when asked about how Trump will address the housing crisis. “He will rein in federal spending, stop the unstainable [sic] invasion of illegal aliens which is driving up housing costs, cut taxes for American families, eliminate costly regulations, and free up appropriate portions of federal land for housing.”</p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">Here are three key areas in which Trump’s presidency could impact housing.</p><h2 class="text-2xl font-bold tracking-0.5px font-zilla-slab self-baseline"><strong>Mass deportation of immigrants</strong></h2><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">Trump and his Vice President <a href="https://time.com/7024414/jd-vance-2024-interview/">J.D. Vance</a> told voters that they will carry out the largest deportation program in history and stated that this mass deportation will lower housing prices. </p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">“When you let 25 million illegal aliens…when you let those folks in your country at the level that we have, you got to put them somewhere…and that means those are homes that aren’t going to American citizens,” Vance said in a <a href="https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/2024-election/jd-vance-cuomo-townhall/">NewsNation town hall </a>hosted by Chris Cuomo. “That's going to drive the cost of housing through the roof too.”</p><div id="inline-ad-2" class="ad flex min-h-[1px] w-full min-w-[1px] max-w-[100vw] items-center justify-center bg-transparent text-center group-[.disable-ads]:hidden print:hidden flex " role="complementary" aria-label="Advertisement" data-native="false"></div><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">But many economists say there is <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/11/business/economy/trump-housing-crisis-deportations.html">no clear link</a> between undocumented immigration and housing affordability and recent studies have <a href="https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2024/trumps-deportation-plans-would-cause-lower-us-employment-and-gdp">actually found</a> that deportation could reduce U.S. employment and lower GDP.</p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">“If he’s true to his word about mass deportation, what it's going to do to the construction labor market…it's going to drive up costs and cause delays,” Alex Schwartz, a professor of urban policy at The New School in New York City, says. Currently, roughly 30% of the construction work force are immigrants, according to the <a href="https://immigrationforum.org/article/immigrant-construction-workers-in-the-united-states/">National Immigration Forum.</a></p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">For Rachel Fee, executive director of the New York Housing Conference, which advocates for affordable housing for New Yorkers, this mass deportation effort does not seem correlated to the housing issues in the city.</p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">“In New York, we have had an affordability crisis and tight rental vacancy before an influx of migrants. It's not impacted by that issue…so I don't really see that as any type of solution,” she says.</p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">In Agenda 47, Trump laid bare this plan specifically for veterans, stating that President Joe Biden “puts illegal aliens before homeless Veterans and we cannot let this happen any longer.”</p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">But Fee points to programs that already exist for homeless veterans, like the HUD-Veterans Affairs Supportive Housing <a href="https://www.hud.gov/program_offices/public_indian_housing/programs/hcv/vash">(HUD-VASH)</a> program.“If that was really the problem that you wanted to solve, we have had successful efforts in the past with federal programs that are still ongoing and underfunded,” she argues.</p><div id="inline-ad-3" class="ad flex min-h-[1px] w-full min-w-[1px] max-w-[100vw] items-center justify-center bg-transparent text-center group-[.disable-ads]:hidden print:hidden flex " role="complementary" aria-label="Advertisement" data-native="false"></div><h2 class="text-2xl font-bold tracking-0.5px font-zilla-slab self-baseline"><strong>Open federal land for construction to increase housing supply</strong></h2><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px"><a href="https://spectrumlocalnews.com/nys/central-ny/politics/2024/09/05/trump-calls-for-lower-corporate-taxes-on-american-made-goods">During a speech</a> in September, to the Economic Club of New York, Trump promised to reduce regulations and open swaths of federal land for large-scale housing construction. </p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">“Regulation costs 30% of a new home, and we will open up portions of federal land for large-scale housing construction,” he said. “These zones will be ultra-low tax and ultra-low regulations—one of the great small business job creation programs.”</p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">Biden called <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/07/16/fact-sheet-president-biden-announces-major-new-actions-to-lower-housing-costs-by-limiting-rent-increases-and-building-more-homes/">on federal agencies</a> in July to “to assess surplus federal land that can be repurposed to build more affordable housing across the country.”</p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">Though economists say this couldn’t hurt the housing crisis, how much it helps depends much on how such plans are implemented, and where these “federal lands” are actually located.</p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">“It's also not, you know, necessarily located near transit or jobs where you want to build,” Fee says. “In the past, there have been a couple of successful infill projects on Veteran Affairs (VA) campuses of supportive housing built to help veterans who were formerly homeless and who need services to remain stably housed…but I could think of probably just two examples. We have a much broader challenge than that opportunity would serve.”</p><h2 class="text-2xl font-bold tracking-0.5px font-zilla-slab self-baseline"><strong>Interest rates, budgets, and taxes</strong></h2><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">On the campaign trail, Trump said that he would bring down interest rates, putting emphasis on the Federal Reserve, an independent entity, as a way to reduce the interest paid by consumers or businesses. This could affect mortgage prices. </p><div id="inline-ad-4" class="ad flex min-h-[1px] w-full min-w-[1px] max-w-[100vw] items-center justify-center bg-transparent text-center group-[.disable-ads]:hidden print:hidden flex " role="complementary" aria-label="Advertisement" data-native="false"></div><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">At a National Association of Black Journalists (NABJ) <a href="https://www.c-span.org/video/?537472-1/president-trump-speaks-nabj-conference">conference</a> on July 31, Trump addressed both housing and interest rates, promising to “drill, baby, drill,” once he is in office.</p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">“I bring energy way down, I bring interest rates [down], I bring inflation way down,” he said.</p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">During his first term, Trump <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/business/trump-heaps-pressure-on-fed-and-its-chairman-powell-to-cut-rates-idUSKCN1VB1I1/">pressured</a> the Fed to cut interest rates. Last week, Fed officials <a href="https://time.com/7173689/federal-reserve-interest-rates-trump-election/">reduced</a> their key interest rate for a second straight time, but officials see Trump’s proposed tariffs and deportations as potentials to increase inflation.</p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">“Trump's proposed economic measures could also elevate inflation which often results in increased mortgage rates. For instance, immediately after the election results, 30-year fixed mortgage rates<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/06/mortgage-rates-surge-on-trump-victory-housing-stocks-to-plummet.html#:~:text=The%20average%20rate%20on%20the,building%20material%20companies%20falling%20sharply."> jumped 9 basis points</a> suggesting that investors anticipate higher borrowing costs in the near future,” says Cynthia Seifert, a former Texas realtor and founder of real estate generation tool KeyLeads. "However, if the Federal Reserve decides to lower interest rates, as it did in September, mortgage rates could decrease regardless of Trump’s presidential policies.”</p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">As far as the budget goes, many experts say it is up in the air. “We saw pretty <a href="https://www.cbpp.org/research/trump-budget-deeply-cuts-health-housing-other-assistance-for-low-and-moderate-income">harmful cuts</a> being <a href="https://nlihc.org/resource/president-trump-proposes-drastic-cuts-affordable-housing-programs">proposed</a> in his budget <a href="https://www.americanbar.org/groups/crsj/publications/human_rights_magazine_home/vol--44--no-2--housing/the-trump-administration-s-impact-on-public-and-assisted-housing/">year</a> after year,” Fee says of the first Trump Administration’s attempts to cut things like housing choice voucher programs and funding for public housing repairs. But these cuts did not pass due to checks in Congress.</p><div id="inline-ad-5" class="ad flex min-h-[1px] w-full min-w-[1px] max-w-[100vw] items-center justify-center bg-transparent text-center group-[.disable-ads]:hidden print:hidden flex " role="complementary" aria-label="Advertisement" data-native="false"></div><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">Though she also has concerns for these kinds of cuts, especially with Republicans in control of both the <a href="https://time.com/7174039/republican-house-majority-control-government-trifecta/">House</a> and <a href="https://time.com/7176326/trump-john-thune-senate/">Senate</a>, Parks sees an opportunity, especially for the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit, which has bipartisan support. </p><p class="self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px">“You know, I think that is going to be a major push,” she says. “And, in fact, President-elect Trump has said that he wants to get tax done right away, within the first 100 days… We will be working with the presidential transition team, making sure that they understand the importance of these funding programs and hopefully also influencing those budgets that come out.”</p></div></article><div class="mt-11 flex w-full max-w-article-body-centered flex-col gap-8 px-4 lg:max-w-article-body lg:pl-[6.5rem] lg:pr-14"><div class="inline-article-recirc md:relative"><h2 class="left-0 top-[-0.813rem] bg-white pb-1 text-center font-roboto-condensed text-xl font-bold uppercase md:absolute md:pr-2.5">More Must-Reads from TIME</h2><ul class="list-outside list-disc border-t border-t-time-gray-7 pl-5 pt-2 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-relaxed tracking-0.5px md:pt-6"><li><span>Why </span><a href="https://time.com/7175758/hispanic-men-us-election-trump/?utm_source=roundup&utm_campaign=20230202" class="font-bold">Trump’s Message </a><span>Worked on Latino Men</span></li><li><span>What Trump’s Win Could </span><a 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[\u0026\u003e.inline-image]:sm:px-4 [\u0026\u003e.inline-image]:lg:pl-[6.5rem] [\u0026\u003e.inline-image]:lg:pr-14\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"\u003cspan class=\\\"leading-7 float-left border-t-2 border-l-2 border-solid border-time-red text-5xl py-2 pr-0.5 pl-[0.3125rem] my-0.5 mr-2.5 font-zilla-slab\\\"\u003eF\u003c/span\u003eor many, housing was high on the docket of issues throughout the presidential election. During Vice President Kamala Harris and now President-elect Donald Trump’s \u003ca href=\\\"https://time.com/7019747/harris-trump-debate-cover/\\\"\u003edebate\u003c/a\u003e in September, the first policy to come up was housing affordability. \"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"“Housing, for the first time ever has really, you know, been at the top of a presidential campaign. I'm not sure this has ever been the case,” Ayrianne Parks, senior director of policy advocacy at Enterprise, a national\u003cstrong\u003e \u003c/strong\u003enonprofit trying to address the shortage of affordable rental homes, tells TIME. \"}}],[\"$\",\"$L45\",\"block-webflix-player-2\",{\"block\":{\"name\":\"webflix-player\"},\"index\":2}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"Voters considered \u003ca href=\\\"https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/08/briefing/how-inflation-shaped-voting.html\\\"\u003einflation\u003c/a\u003e at the ballot box on Nov. 5. Housing affordability is a part of this issue, and an NBC \u003ca href=\\\"https://www.nbcnews.com/data-graphics/housing-market-trump-win-2024-election-rcna179153\\\"\u003estudy shows\u003c/a\u003e that the toughest housing markets had the greatest median shift in vote toward Trump compared to the 2020 election.\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"With home prices having gone up, by some estimates, \u003ca href=\\\"https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CSUSHPINSA\\\"\u003emore than 50% since the COVID-19 pandemic\u003c/a\u003e, it’s unsurprising that housing affordability and markets would be a key focus for many. \"}}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"className\":\"native-ad flex w-full flex-col items-center justify-center\",\"children\":[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"id\":\"native-ad-inline-1\",\"className\":\"ad flex min-h-[1px] w-full min-w-[1px] max-w-[100vw] items-center justify-center overflow-hidden bg-transparent text-center group-[.disable-ads]:hidden print:hidden flex \",\"role\":\"complementary\",\"aria-label\":\"Advertisement\",\"data-native\":false}]}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"Harris led \u003ca href=\\\"https://time.com/7095175/down-payment-harris-plan-could-mean-for-first-time-homebuyers/\\\"\u003emuch of the national discussion\u003c/a\u003e surrounding housing throughout the election, while Trump said very little about his housing policies during his campaign. In his policy platform, \u003ca href=\\\"https://www.donaldjtrump.com/agenda47/agenda47-ending-veteran-homelessness-in-america\\\"\u003eAgenda 47\u003c/a\u003e, he vowed to “make it a personal mission to totally eradicate Veterans’ homelessness in America by the end of next term.” He \u003ca href=\\\"https://www.donaldjtrump.com/agenda47/agenda47-ending-the-nightmare-of-the-homeless-drug-addicts-and-dangerously-deranged\\\"\u003ealso said he will \u003c/a\u003e“rescue American cities from the scourge of homelessness, the drug addicted, and the dangerously deranged.”\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"Now that Trump is set to return to the White House, housing advocates, experts, and economists are considering what his second term might mean for housing by gleaning information from what he tried to do, and successfully did, during the first Trump Administration. Although much remains to be seen, such as his nomination for director of the Department of Housing and Urban Development, now that he has gained a \u003ca href=\\\"https://time.com/7174039/republican-house-majority-control-government-trifecta/\\\"\u003etrifecta of Republican control\u003c/a\u003e, Trump is likely to move quickly.\u0026nbsp;\"}}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"id\":\"inline-ad-1\",\"className\":\"ad flex min-h-[1px] w-full min-w-[1px] max-w-[100vw] items-center justify-center bg-transparent text-center group-[.disable-ads]:hidden print:hidden flex \",\"role\":\"complementary\",\"aria-label\":\"Advertisement\",\"data-native\":false}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"“President Trump can be trusted to restore the American dream because he has a real plan to defeat inflation, bring down mortgage rates, and make purchasing a home dramatically more affordable,” Karoline Leavitt, the Trump campaign’s national press secretary (who is now serving as the Trump-Vance transition spokesperson) \u003ca href=\\\"https://time.com/7020243/kamala-harris-donald-trump-housing-policy/\\\"\u003etold TIME over email in September\u003c/a\u003e, when asked about how Trump will address the housing crisis. “He will rein in federal spending, stop the unstainable [sic] invasion of illegal aliens which is driving up housing costs, cut taxes for American families, eliminate costly regulations, and free up appropriate portions of federal land for housing.”\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"Here are three key areas in which Trump’s presidency could impact housing.\"}}],[\"$\",\"h2\",null,{\"className\":\"text-2xl font-bold tracking-0.5px font-zilla-slab self-baseline\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"\u003cstrong\u003eMass deportation of immigrants\u003c/strong\u003e\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"Trump and his Vice President \u003ca href=\\\"https://time.com/7024414/jd-vance-2024-interview/\\\"\u003eJ.D. Vance\u003c/a\u003e told voters that they will carry out the largest deportation program in history and stated that this mass deportation will lower housing prices.\u0026nbsp;\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"“When you let 25 million illegal aliens…when you let those folks in your country at the level that we have, you got to put them somewhere…and that means those are homes that aren’t going to American citizens,” Vance said in a \u003ca href=\\\"https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/2024-election/jd-vance-cuomo-townhall/\\\"\u003eNewsNation town hall \u003c/a\u003ehosted by Chris Cuomo. “That's going to drive the cost of housing through the roof too.”\"}}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"id\":\"inline-ad-2\",\"className\":\"ad flex min-h-[1px] w-full min-w-[1px] max-w-[100vw] items-center justify-center bg-transparent text-center group-[.disable-ads]:hidden print:hidden flex \",\"role\":\"complementary\",\"aria-label\":\"Advertisement\",\"data-native\":false}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"But many economists say there is \u003ca href=\\\"https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/11/business/economy/trump-housing-crisis-deportations.html\\\"\u003eno clear link\u003c/a\u003e between undocumented immigration and housing affordability and recent studies have \u003ca href=\\\"https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2024/trumps-deportation-plans-would-cause-lower-us-employment-and-gdp\\\"\u003eactually found\u003c/a\u003e that deportation could reduce U.S. employment and lower GDP.\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"“If he’s true to his word about mass deportation, what it's going to do to the construction labor market…it's going to drive up costs and cause delays,” Alex Schwartz, a professor of urban policy at The New School in New York City, says. Currently, roughly 30% of the construction work force are immigrants, according to the \u003ca href=\\\"https://immigrationforum.org/article/immigrant-construction-workers-in-the-united-states/\\\"\u003eNational Immigration Forum.\u003c/a\u003e\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"For Rachel Fee, executive director of the New York Housing Conference, which advocates for affordable housing for New Yorkers, this mass deportation effort does not seem correlated to the housing issues in the city.\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"“In New York, we have had an affordability crisis and tight rental vacancy before an influx of migrants. It's not impacted by that issue…so I don't really see that as any type of solution,” she says.\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"In Agenda 47, Trump laid bare this plan specifically for veterans, stating that President Joe Biden “puts illegal aliens before homeless Veterans and we cannot let this happen any longer.”\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"But Fee points to programs that already exist for homeless veterans, like the HUD-Veterans Affairs Supportive Housing \u003ca href=\\\"https://www.hud.gov/program_offices/public_indian_housing/programs/hcv/vash\\\"\u003e(HUD-VASH)\u003c/a\u003e program.“If that was really the problem that you wanted to solve, we have had successful efforts in the past with federal programs that are still ongoing and underfunded,” she argues.\"}}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"id\":\"inline-ad-3\",\"className\":\"ad flex min-h-[1px] w-full min-w-[1px] max-w-[100vw] items-center justify-center bg-transparent text-center group-[.disable-ads]:hidden print:hidden flex \",\"role\":\"complementary\",\"aria-label\":\"Advertisement\",\"data-native\":false}],[\"$\",\"h2\",null,{\"className\":\"text-2xl font-bold tracking-0.5px font-zilla-slab self-baseline\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"\u003cstrong\u003eOpen federal land for construction to increase housing supply\u003c/strong\u003e\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"\u003ca href=\\\"https://spectrumlocalnews.com/nys/central-ny/politics/2024/09/05/trump-calls-for-lower-corporate-taxes-on-american-made-goods\\\"\u003eDuring a speech\u003c/a\u003e in September, to the Economic Club of New York,\u0026nbsp; Trump promised to reduce regulations and open swaths of federal land for large-scale housing construction.\u0026nbsp;\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"“Regulation costs 30% of a new home, and we will open up portions of federal land for large-scale housing construction,” he said. “These zones will be ultra-low tax and ultra-low regulations—one of the great small business job creation programs.”\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"Biden called \u003ca href=\\\"https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/07/16/fact-sheet-president-biden-announces-major-new-actions-to-lower-housing-costs-by-limiting-rent-increases-and-building-more-homes/\\\"\u003eon federal agencies\u003c/a\u003e in July to “to assess surplus federal land that can be repurposed to build more affordable housing across the country.”\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"Though economists say this couldn’t hurt the housing crisis, how much it helps depends much on how such plans are implemented, and where these “federal lands” are actually located.\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"“It's also not, you know, necessarily located near transit or jobs where you want to build,” Fee says. “In the past, there have been a couple of successful infill projects on Veteran Affairs (VA) campuses of supportive housing built to help veterans who were formerly homeless and who need services to remain stably housed…but I could think of probably just two examples. We have a much broader challenge than that opportunity would serve.”\"}}],[\"$\",\"h2\",null,{\"className\":\"text-2xl font-bold tracking-0.5px font-zilla-slab self-baseline\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"\u003cstrong\u003eInterest rates, budgets, and taxes\u003c/strong\u003e\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"On the campaign trail, Trump said that he would bring down interest rates, putting emphasis on the Federal Reserve, an independent entity, as a way to reduce the interest paid by consumers or businesses. This could affect mortgage prices. \"}}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"id\":\"inline-ad-4\",\"className\":\"ad flex min-h-[1px] w-full min-w-[1px] max-w-[100vw] items-center justify-center bg-transparent text-center group-[.disable-ads]:hidden print:hidden flex \",\"role\":\"complementary\",\"aria-label\":\"Advertisement\",\"data-native\":false}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"At a National Association of Black Journalists (NABJ) \u003ca href=\\\"https://www.c-span.org/video/?537472-1/president-trump-speaks-nabj-conference\\\"\u003econference\u003c/a\u003e on July 31, Trump addressed both housing and interest rates, promising to “drill, baby, drill,” once he is in office.\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"“I bring energy way down, I bring interest rates [down], I bring inflation way down,” he said.\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"During his first term, Trump \u003ca href=\\\"https://www.reuters.com/article/business/trump-heaps-pressure-on-fed-and-its-chairman-powell-to-cut-rates-idUSKCN1VB1I1/\\\"\u003epressured\u003c/a\u003e the Fed to cut interest rates. Last week, Fed officials \u003ca href=\\\"https://time.com/7173689/federal-reserve-interest-rates-trump-election/\\\"\u003ereduced\u003c/a\u003e their key interest rate for a second straight time, but officials see Trump’s proposed tariffs and deportations as potentials to increase inflation.\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"“Trump's proposed economic measures could also elevate inflation which often results in increased mortgage rates. For instance, immediately after the election results, 30-year fixed mortgage rates\u003ca href=\\\"https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/06/mortgage-rates-surge-on-trump-victory-housing-stocks-to-plummet.html#:~:text=The%20average%20rate%20on%20the,building%20material%20companies%20falling%20sharply.\\\"\u003e jumped 9 basis points\u003c/a\u003e suggesting that investors anticipate higher borrowing costs in the near future,” says Cynthia Seifert, a former Texas realtor and founder of real estate generation tool KeyLeads. \\\"However, if the Federal Reserve decides to lower interest rates, as it did in September, mortgage rates could decrease regardless of Trump’s presidential policies.”\"}}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"As far as the budget goes, many experts say it is up in the air. “We saw pretty \u003ca href=\\\"https://www.cbpp.org/research/trump-budget-deeply-cuts-health-housing-other-assistance-for-low-and-moderate-income\\\"\u003eharmful cuts\u003c/a\u003e being \u003ca href=\\\"https://nlihc.org/resource/president-trump-proposes-drastic-cuts-affordable-housing-programs\\\"\u003eproposed\u003c/a\u003e in his budget \u003ca href=\\\"https://www.americanbar.org/groups/crsj/publications/human_rights_magazine_home/vol--44--no-2--housing/the-trump-administration-s-impact-on-public-and-assisted-housing/\\\"\u003eyear\u003c/a\u003e after year,” Fee says of the first Trump Administration’s attempts to cut things like housing choice voucher programs and funding for public housing repairs. But these cuts did not pass due to checks in Congress.\"}}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"id\":\"inline-ad-5\",\"className\":\"ad flex min-h-[1px] w-full min-w-[1px] max-w-[100vw] items-center justify-center bg-transparent text-center group-[.disable-ads]:hidden print:hidden flex \",\"role\":\"complementary\",\"aria-label\":\"Advertisement\",\"data-native\":false}],[[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"Though she also has concerns for these kinds of cuts, especially with Republicans in control of both the \u003ca href=\\\"https://time.com/7174039/republican-house-majority-control-government-trifecta/\\\"\u003eHouse\u003c/a\u003e and \u003ca href=\\\"https://time.com/7176326/trump-john-thune-senate/\\\"\u003eSenate\u003c/a\u003e, Parks sees an opportunity, especially for the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit, which has bipartisan support.\u0026nbsp;\"}}],[\"$\",\"$L46\",\"deepdive\",{\"postID\":7176549,\"variant\":\"inline\"}]],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"className\":\"self-baseline px-0 font-pt-serif text-17px leading-7 tracking-0.5px\",\"dangerouslySetInnerHTML\":{\"__html\":\"“You know, I think that is going to be a major push,” she says. “And, in fact, President-elect Trump has said that he wants to get tax done right away, within the first 100 days… We will be working with the presidential transition team, making sure that they understand the importance of these funding programs and hopefully also influencing those budgets that come out.”\"}}]]}]]}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"className\":\"mt-11 flex w-full max-w-article-body-centered flex-col gap-8 px-4 lg:max-w-article-body lg:pl-[6.5rem] lg:pr-14\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"className\":\"inline-article-recirc md:relative\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"h2\",null,{\"className\":\"left-0 top-[-0.813rem] bg-white pb-1 text-center font-roboto-condensed text-xl 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