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href="/search/advanced?terms-0-term=Banerjee%2C+M&amp;terms-0-field=author&amp;size=50&amp;order=-announced_date_first">Advanced Search</a> </div> </div> <input type="hidden" name="order" value="-announced_date_first"> <input type="hidden" name="size" value="50"> </form> <div class="level breathe-horizontal"> <div class="level-left"> <form method="GET" action="/search/"> <div style="display: none;"> <select id="searchtype" name="searchtype"><option value="all">All fields</option><option value="title">Title</option><option selected value="author">Author(s)</option><option value="abstract">Abstract</option><option value="comments">Comments</option><option value="journal_ref">Journal reference</option><option value="acm_class">ACM classification</option><option value="msc_class">MSC classification</option><option value="report_num">Report number</option><option value="paper_id">arXiv identifier</option><option value="doi">DOI</option><option value="orcid">ORCID</option><option 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name="order"><option selected value="-announced_date_first">Announcement date (newest first)</option><option value="announced_date_first">Announcement date (oldest first)</option><option value="-submitted_date">Submission date (newest first)</option><option value="submitted_date">Submission date (oldest first)</option><option value="">Relevance</option></select> </span> </div> <div class="control"> <button class="button is-small is-link">Go</button> </div> </div> </form> </div> </div> <ol class="breathe-horizontal" start="1"> <li class="arxiv-result"> <div class="is-marginless"> <p class="list-title is-inline-block"><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.00365">arXiv:2404.00365</a> <span>&nbsp;[<a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/2404.00365">pdf</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/format/2404.00365">other</a>]&nbsp;</span> </p> <div class="tags is-inline-block"> <span class="tag is-small is-link tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Populations and Evolution">q-bio.PE</span> <span class="tag is-small is-grey tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Dynamical Systems">math.DS</span> </div> </div> <p class="title is-5 mathjax"> An age-distributed immuno-epidemiological model with information-based vaccination decision </p> <p class="authors"> <span class="search-hit">Authors:</span> <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Ghosh%2C+S">Samiran Ghosh</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Banerjee%2C+M">Malay Banerjee</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Volpert%2C+V">Vitaly Volpert</a> </p> <p class="abstract mathjax"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Abstract</span>: <span class="abstract-short has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2404.00365v1-abstract-short" style="display: inline;"> A new age-distributed immuno-epidemiological model with information-based vaccine uptake suggested in this work represents a system of integro-differential equations for the numbers of susceptible individuals, infected individuals, vaccinated individuals and recovered individuals. This model describes the influence of vaccination decision on epidemic progression in different age groups. We prove t&hellip; <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2404.00365v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'inline'; document.getElementById('2404.00365v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'none';">&#9661; More</a> </span> <span class="abstract-full has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2404.00365v1-abstract-full" style="display: none;"> A new age-distributed immuno-epidemiological model with information-based vaccine uptake suggested in this work represents a system of integro-differential equations for the numbers of susceptible individuals, infected individuals, vaccinated individuals and recovered individuals. This model describes the influence of vaccination decision on epidemic progression in different age groups. We prove the existence and uniqueness of a positive solution using the fixed point theory. In a particular case of age-independent model, we determine the final size of epidemic, that is, the limiting number of susceptible individuals at asymptotically large time. Numerical simulations show that the information-based vaccine acceptance can significantly influence the epidemic progression. Though the initial stage of epidemic progression is the same for all memory kernels, as the epidemic progresses and more information about the disease becomes available, further epidemic progression strongly depends on the memory effect. Short-range memory kernel appears to be more effective in restraining the epidemic outbreaks because it allows for more responsive and adaptive vaccination decisions based on the most recent information about the disease. <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2404.00365v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'none'; document.getElementById('2404.00365v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'inline';">&#9651; Less</a> </span> </p> <p class="is-size-7"><span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Submitted</span> 30 March, 2024; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">originally announced</span> April 2024. </p> <p class="comments is-size-7"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">MSC Class:</span> 92C60; 92D30 </p> </li> <li class="arxiv-result"> <div class="is-marginless"> <p class="list-title is-inline-block"><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.01648">arXiv:2311.01648</a> <span>&nbsp;[<a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/2311.01648">pdf</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/ps/2311.01648">ps</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/format/2311.01648">other</a>]&nbsp;</span> </p> <div class="tags is-inline-block"> <span class="tag is-small is-link tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Populations and Evolution">q-bio.PE</span> <span class="tag is-small is-grey tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Dynamical Systems">math.DS</span> </div> </div> <p class="title is-5 mathjax"> The Role of Soil Surface in a Sustainable Semiarid Ecosystem </p> <p class="authors"> <span class="search-hit">Authors:</span> <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Pal%2C+S">Swadesh Pal</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Banerjee%2C+M">Malay Banerjee</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Melnik%2C+R">Roderick Melnik</a> </p> <p class="abstract mathjax"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Abstract</span>: <span class="abstract-short has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2311.01648v2-abstract-short" style="display: inline;"> Patterns in a semiarid ecosystem are important because they directly and indirectly affect ecological processes, biodiversity, and ecosystem resilience. Understanding the causes and effects of these patterns is critical for long-term land surface management and conservation efforts in semiarid regions, which are especially sensitive to climate change and human-caused disturbances. It is known that&hellip; <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2311.01648v2-abstract-full').style.display = 'inline'; document.getElementById('2311.01648v2-abstract-short').style.display = 'none';">&#9661; More</a> </span> <span class="abstract-full has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2311.01648v2-abstract-full" style="display: none;"> Patterns in a semiarid ecosystem are important because they directly and indirectly affect ecological processes, biodiversity, and ecosystem resilience. Understanding the causes and effects of these patterns is critical for long-term land surface management and conservation efforts in semiarid regions, which are especially sensitive to climate change and human-caused disturbances. It is known that there is a regular connection between the vegetation and the living species in a habitat since some animals evolved to live in a semiarid ecosystem and rely on plants for food. In this work, we have constructed a coupled mathematical model to connect the water resource, vegetation and living organisms and have investigated how the soil surface affects the resulting patterns for the long term. This study contributes to a better understanding of ecological patterns and processes in semiarid environments by shedding light on the complex interaction mechanisms that depend on the structure of semiarid ecosystems. The findings provide further critical insight into the influence of efforts for improving ecosystem resilience and adjusting to the challenges posed by climate change and human activities. <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2311.01648v2-abstract-full').style.display = 'none'; document.getElementById('2311.01648v2-abstract-short').style.display = 'inline';">&#9651; Less</a> </span> </p> <p class="is-size-7"><span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Submitted</span> 4 December, 2023; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">v1</span> submitted 2 November, 2023; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">originally announced</span> November 2023. </p> <p class="comments is-size-7"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Comments:</span> <span class="has-text-grey-dark mathjax">21 pages, 6 figures, 1 table</span> </p> <p class="comments is-size-7"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">MSC Class:</span> 35K55; 37N25; 92D40 </p> </li> <li class="arxiv-result"> <div class="is-marginless"> <p class="list-title is-inline-block"><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.08752">arXiv:2306.08752</a> <span>&nbsp;[<a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/2306.08752">pdf</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/format/2306.08752">other</a>]&nbsp;</span> </p> <div class="tags is-inline-block"> <span class="tag is-small is-link tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Populations and Evolution">q-bio.PE</span> <span class="tag is-small is-grey tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Dynamical Systems">math.DS</span> </div> </div> <p class="title is-5 mathjax"> Dynamics of infectious diseases in predator-prey populations: a stochastic model, sustainability, and invariant measure </p> <p class="authors"> <span class="search-hit">Authors:</span> <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Gao%2C+Y">Yujie Gao</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Banerjee%2C+M">Malay Banerjee</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Ta%2C+T+V">Ton Viet Ta</a> </p> <p class="abstract mathjax"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Abstract</span>: <span class="abstract-short has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2306.08752v1-abstract-short" style="display: inline;"> This paper introduces an innovative model for infectious diseases in predator-prey populations. We not only prove the existence of global non-negative solutions but also establish essential criteria for the system&#39;s decline and sustainability. Furthermore, we demonstrate the presence of a Borel invariant measure, adding a new dimension to our understanding of the system. To illustrate the practica&hellip; <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2306.08752v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'inline'; document.getElementById('2306.08752v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'none';">&#9661; More</a> </span> <span class="abstract-full has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2306.08752v1-abstract-full" style="display: none;"> This paper introduces an innovative model for infectious diseases in predator-prey populations. We not only prove the existence of global non-negative solutions but also establish essential criteria for the system&#39;s decline and sustainability. Furthermore, we demonstrate the presence of a Borel invariant measure, adding a new dimension to our understanding of the system. To illustrate the practical implications of our findings, we present numerical results. With our model&#39;s comprehensive approach, we aim to provide valuable insights into the dynamics of infectious diseases and their impact on predator-prey populations. <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2306.08752v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'none'; document.getElementById('2306.08752v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'inline';">&#9651; Less</a> </span> </p> <p class="is-size-7"><span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Submitted</span> 14 June, 2023; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">originally announced</span> June 2023. </p> </li> <li class="arxiv-result"> <div class="is-marginless"> <p class="list-title is-inline-block"><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.08898">arXiv:2109.08898</a> <span>&nbsp;[<a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/2109.08898">pdf</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/format/2109.08898">other</a>]&nbsp;</span> </p> <div class="tags is-inline-block"> <span class="tag is-small is-link tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Populations and Evolution">q-bio.PE</span> </div> </div> <p class="title is-5 mathjax"> Bifurcation analysis of the predator-prey model with the Allee effect in the predator </p> <p class="authors"> <span class="search-hit">Authors:</span> <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Sen%2C+D">Deeptajyoti Sen</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Morozov%2C+A">Andrew Morozov</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Ghorai%2C+S">S. Ghorai</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Banerjee%2C+M">Malay Banerjee</a> </p> <p class="abstract mathjax"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Abstract</span>: <span class="abstract-short has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2109.08898v1-abstract-short" style="display: inline;"> The use of predator-prey models in theoretical ecology has a long history, and the model equations have largely evolved since the original Lotka-Volterra system towards more realistic descriptions of the processes of predation, reproduction and mortality. One important aspect is the recognition of the fact that the growth of a population can be subject to an Allee effect, where the per capita grow&hellip; <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2109.08898v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'inline'; document.getElementById('2109.08898v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'none';">&#9661; More</a> </span> <span class="abstract-full has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2109.08898v1-abstract-full" style="display: none;"> The use of predator-prey models in theoretical ecology has a long history, and the model equations have largely evolved since the original Lotka-Volterra system towards more realistic descriptions of the processes of predation, reproduction and mortality. One important aspect is the recognition of the fact that the growth of a population can be subject to an Allee effect, where the per capita growth rate increases with the population density. Including an Allee effect has been shown to fundamentally change predator-prey dynamics and strongly impact species persistence, but previous studies mostly focused on scenarios of an Allee effect in the prey population. Here we explore a predator-prey model with an ecologically important case of the Allee effect in the predator population where it occurs in the numerical response of predator without affecting its functional response. Biologically, this can result from various scenarios such as a lack of mating partners, sperm limitation and cooperative breeding mechanisms, among others. Unlike previous studies, we consider here a generic mathematical formulation of the Allee effect without specifying a concrete parameterisation of the functional form, and analyse the possible local bifurcations in the system. Further, we explore the global bifurcation structure of the model and its possible dynamical regimes for three different concrete parameterisations of the Allee effect. The model possesses a complex bifurcation structure: there can be multiple coexistence states including two stable limit cycles. Inclusion of the Allee effect in the predator generally has a destabilising effect on the coexistence equilibrium. We also show that regardless of the parametrisation of the Allee effect, enrichment of the environment will eventually result in extinction of the predator population. <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2109.08898v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'none'; document.getElementById('2109.08898v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'inline';">&#9651; Less</a> </span> </p> <p class="is-size-7"><span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Submitted</span> 18 September, 2021; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">originally announced</span> September 2021. </p> </li> <li class="arxiv-result"> <div class="is-marginless"> <p class="list-title is-inline-block"><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2008.00375">arXiv:2008.00375</a> <span>&nbsp;[<a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/2008.00375">pdf</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/format/2008.00375">other</a>]&nbsp;</span> </p> <div class="tags is-inline-block"> <span class="tag is-small is-link tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Applications">stat.AP</span> <span class="tag is-small is-grey tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Physics and Society">physics.soc-ph</span> <span class="tag is-small is-grey tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Populations and Evolution">q-bio.PE</span> </div> </div> <p class="title is-5 mathjax"> Markovian And Non-Markovian Processes with Active Decision Making Strategies For Addressing The COVID-19 Pandemic </p> <p class="authors"> <span class="search-hit">Authors:</span> <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Eftekhari%2C+H">Hamid Eftekhari</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Mukherjee%2C+D">Debarghya Mukherjee</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Banerjee%2C+M">Moulinath Banerjee</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Ritov%2C+Y">Ya&#39;acov Ritov</a> </p> <p class="abstract mathjax"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Abstract</span>: <span class="abstract-short has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2008.00375v2-abstract-short" style="display: inline;"> We study and predict the evolution of Covid-19 in six US states from the period May 1 through August 31 using a discrete compartment-based model and prescribe active intervention policies, like lockdowns, on the basis of minimizing a loss function, within the broad framework of partially observed Markov decision processes. For each state, Covid-19 data for 40 days (starting from May 1 for two nort&hellip; <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2008.00375v2-abstract-full').style.display = 'inline'; document.getElementById('2008.00375v2-abstract-short').style.display = 'none';">&#9661; More</a> </span> <span class="abstract-full has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2008.00375v2-abstract-full" style="display: none;"> We study and predict the evolution of Covid-19 in six US states from the period May 1 through August 31 using a discrete compartment-based model and prescribe active intervention policies, like lockdowns, on the basis of minimizing a loss function, within the broad framework of partially observed Markov decision processes. For each state, Covid-19 data for 40 days (starting from May 1 for two northern states and June 1 for four southern states) are analyzed to estimate the transition probabilities between compartments and other parameters associated with the evolution of the epidemic. These quantities are then used to predict the course of the epidemic in the given state for the next 50 days (test period) under various policy allocations, leading to different values of the loss function over the training horizon. The optimal policy allocation is the one corresponding to the smallest loss. Our analysis shows that none of the six states need lockdowns over the test period, though the no lockdown prescription is to be interpreted with caution: responsible mask use and social distancing of course need to be continued. The caveats involved in modeling epidemic propagation of this sort are discussed at length. A sketch of a non-Markovian formulation of Covid-19 propagation (and more general epidemic propagation) is presented as an attractive avenue for future research in this area. <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2008.00375v2-abstract-full').style.display = 'none'; document.getElementById('2008.00375v2-abstract-short').style.display = 'inline';">&#9651; Less</a> </span> </p> <p class="is-size-7"><span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Submitted</span> 5 August, 2020; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">v1</span> submitted 1 August, 2020; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">originally announced</span> August 2020. </p> </li> <li class="arxiv-result"> <div class="is-marginless"> <p class="list-title is-inline-block"><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.14152">arXiv:2003.14152</a> <span>&nbsp;[<a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/2003.14152">pdf</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/ps/2003.14152">ps</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/format/2003.14152">other</a>]&nbsp;</span> </p> <div class="tags is-inline-block"> <span class="tag is-small is-link tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Populations and Evolution">q-bio.PE</span> <span class="tag is-small is-grey tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Dynamical Systems">math.DS</span> </div> </div> <p class="title is-5 mathjax"> Immuno-epidemiological model of two-stage epidemic growth </p> <p class="authors"> <span class="search-hit">Authors:</span> <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Banerjee%2C+M">Malay Banerjee</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Tokarev%2C+A">Alexey Tokarev</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Volpert%2C+V">Vitaly Volpert</a> </p> <p class="abstract mathjax"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Abstract</span>: <span class="abstract-short has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2003.14152v1-abstract-short" style="display: inline;"> Epidemiological data on seasonal influenza show that the growth rate of the number of infected individuals can increase passing from one exponential growth rate to another one with a larger exponent. Such behavior is not described by conventional epidemiological models. In this work an immuno-epidemiological model is proposed in order to describe this two-stage growth. It takes into account that t&hellip; <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2003.14152v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'inline'; document.getElementById('2003.14152v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'none';">&#9661; More</a> </span> <span class="abstract-full has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2003.14152v1-abstract-full" style="display: none;"> Epidemiological data on seasonal influenza show that the growth rate of the number of infected individuals can increase passing from one exponential growth rate to another one with a larger exponent. Such behavior is not described by conventional epidemiological models. In this work an immuno-epidemiological model is proposed in order to describe this two-stage growth. It takes into account that the growth in the number of infected individuals increases the initial viral load and provides a passage from the first stage of epidemic where only people with weak immune response are infected to the second stage where people with strong immune response are also infected. This scenario may be viewed as an increase of the effective number of susceptible increasing the effective growth rate of infected. <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2003.14152v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'none'; document.getElementById('2003.14152v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'inline';">&#9651; Less</a> </span> </p> <p class="is-size-7"><span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Submitted</span> 31 March, 2020; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">originally announced</span> March 2020. </p> <p class="comments is-size-7"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Comments:</span> <span class="has-text-grey-dark mathjax">12 pages, 6 figures</span> </p> <p class="comments is-size-7"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">MSC Class:</span> 92D30 </p> </li> <li class="arxiv-result"> <div class="is-marginless"> <p class="list-title is-inline-block"><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.09444">arXiv:2003.09444</a> <span>&nbsp;[<a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/2003.09444">pdf</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/ps/2003.09444">ps</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/format/2003.09444">other</a>]&nbsp;</span> </p> <div class="tags is-inline-block"> <span class="tag is-small is-link tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Populations and Evolution">q-bio.PE</span> <span class="tag is-small is-grey tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Dynamical Systems">math.DS</span> </div> </div> <p class="title is-5 mathjax"> On a quarantine model of coronavirus infection and data analysis </p> <p class="authors"> <span class="search-hit">Authors:</span> <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Volpert%2C+V">Vitaly Volpert</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Banerjee%2C+M">Malay Banerjee</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Petrovskii%2C+S">Sergei Petrovskii</a> </p> <p class="abstract mathjax"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Abstract</span>: <span class="abstract-short has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2003.09444v1-abstract-short" style="display: inline;"> Attempts to curb the spread of coronavirus by introducing strict quarantine measures apparently have different effect in different countries: while the number of new cases has reportedly decreased in China and South Korea, it still exhibit significant growth in Italy and other countries across Europe. In this brief note, we endeavour to assess the efficiency of quarantine measures by means of math&hellip; <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2003.09444v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'inline'; document.getElementById('2003.09444v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'none';">&#9661; More</a> </span> <span class="abstract-full has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2003.09444v1-abstract-full" style="display: none;"> Attempts to curb the spread of coronavirus by introducing strict quarantine measures apparently have different effect in different countries: while the number of new cases has reportedly decreased in China and South Korea, it still exhibit significant growth in Italy and other countries across Europe. In this brief note, we endeavour to assess the efficiency of quarantine measures by means of mathematical modelling. Instead of the classical SIR model, we introduce a new model of infection progression under the assumption that all infected individual are isolated after the incubation period in such a way that they cannot infect other people. Disease progression in this model is determined by the basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$ (the number of newly infected individuals during the incubation period), which is different compared to that for the standard SIR model. If $\mathcal{R}_0 &gt;1$, then the number of latently infected individuals exponentially grows. However, if $\mathcal{R}_0 &lt;1$ (e.g.~due to quarantine measures and contact restrictions imposed by public authorities), then the number of infected decays exponentially. We then consider the available data on the disease development in different countries to show that there are three possible patterns: growth dynamics, growth-decays dynamics, and patchy dynamics (growth-decay-growth). Analysis of the data in China and Korea shows that the peak of infection (maximum of daily cases) is reached about 10 days after the restricting measures are introduced. During this period of time, the growth rate of the total number of infected was gradually decreasing. However, the growth rate remains exponential in Italy. Arguably, it suggests that the introduced quarantine is not sufficient and stricter measures are needed. <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2003.09444v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'none'; document.getElementById('2003.09444v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'inline';">&#9651; Less</a> </span> </p> <p class="is-size-7"><span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Submitted</span> 20 March, 2020; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">originally announced</span> March 2020. </p> <p class="comments is-size-7"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Comments:</span> <span class="has-text-grey-dark mathjax">&amp; pages, 4 figures</span> </p> <p class="comments is-size-7"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">MSC Class:</span> 92Bxx; 92D30 </p> </li> <li class="arxiv-result"> <div class="is-marginless"> <p class="list-title is-inline-block"><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1603.08712">arXiv:1603.08712</a> <span>&nbsp;[<a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/1603.08712">pdf</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/ps/1603.08712">ps</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/format/1603.08712">other</a>]&nbsp;</span> </p> <div class="tags is-inline-block"> <span class="tag is-small is-link tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Cell Behavior">q-bio.CB</span> <span class="tag is-small is-grey tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems">nlin.AO</span> </div> </div> <p class="title is-5 mathjax"> Modelling of cell choice between differentiation and apoptosis on the basis of intracellular and extracellular regulations and stochasticity </p> <p class="authors"> <span class="search-hit">Authors:</span> <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Banerjee%2C+M">Malay Banerjee</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Volpert%2C+V">Vitaly Volpert</a> </p> <p class="abstract mathjax"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Abstract</span>: <span class="abstract-short has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="1603.08712v1-abstract-short" style="display: inline;"> The work is devoted to the analysis of cell population dynamics where cells make a choice between differentiation and apoptosis. This choice is based on the values of intracellular proteins whose concentrations are described by a system of ordinary differential equations with bistable dynamics. Intracellular regulation and cell fate are controlled by the extracellular regulation through the number&hellip; <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('1603.08712v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'inline'; document.getElementById('1603.08712v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'none';">&#9661; More</a> </span> <span class="abstract-full has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="1603.08712v1-abstract-full" style="display: none;"> The work is devoted to the analysis of cell population dynamics where cells make a choice between differentiation and apoptosis. This choice is based on the values of intracellular proteins whose concentrations are described by a system of ordinary differential equations with bistable dynamics. Intracellular regulation and cell fate are controlled by the extracellular regulation through the number of differentiated cells. Initial intracellular protein concentrations are considered for each cell as random variables with a given area of variation. Intracellular regulation, extracellular regulation and random initial conditions work together to produce differentiated cells and to control their number. The role of intracellular regulation is to provide a possible choice between differentiation and apoptosis, extracellular regulation controls the number of differentiated cells, stochastic initial conditions can suppress oscillations and provide stability of the system. <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('1603.08712v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'none'; document.getElementById('1603.08712v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'inline';">&#9651; Less</a> </span> </p> <p class="is-size-7"><span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Submitted</span> 29 March, 2016; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">originally announced</span> March 2016. </p> <p class="comments is-size-7"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Comments:</span> <span class="has-text-grey-dark mathjax">22 pages, 10 figures</span> </p> <p class="comments is-size-7"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">MSC Class:</span> 34F05; 92C37 </p> </li> <li class="arxiv-result"> <div class="is-marginless"> <p class="list-title is-inline-block"><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1504.08261">arXiv:1504.08261</a> <span>&nbsp;[<a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/1504.08261">pdf</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/format/1504.08261">other</a>]&nbsp;</span> </p> <div class="tags is-inline-block"> <span class="tag is-small is-link tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Populations and Evolution">q-bio.PE</span> <span class="tag is-small is-grey tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Statistical Mechanics">cond-mat.stat-mech</span> </div> <div class="is-inline-block" style="margin-left: 0.5rem"> <div class="tags has-addons"> <span class="tag is-dark is-size-7">doi</span> <span class="tag is-light is-size-7"><a class="" href="https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/638/1/012004">10.1088/1742-6596/638/1/012004 <i class="fa fa-external-link" aria-hidden="true"></i></a></span> </div> </div> </div> <p class="title is-5 mathjax"> Spatiotemporal pattern formation in a prey-predator model under environmental driving forces </p> <p class="authors"> <span class="search-hit">Authors:</span> <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Sirohi%2C+A+K">Anuj Kumar Sirohi</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Banerjee%2C+M">Malay Banerjee</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&amp;query=Chakraborti%2C+A">Anirban Chakraborti</a> </p> <p class="abstract mathjax"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Abstract</span>: <span class="abstract-short has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="1504.08261v1-abstract-short" style="display: inline;"> Many existing studies on pattern formation in the reaction-diffusion systems rely on deterministic models. However, environmental noise is often a major factor which leads to significant changes in the spatiotemporal dynamics. In this paper, we focus on the spatiotemporal patterns produced by the predator-prey model with ratio-dependent functional response and density dependent death rate of preda&hellip; <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('1504.08261v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'inline'; document.getElementById('1504.08261v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'none';">&#9661; More</a> </span> <span class="abstract-full has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="1504.08261v1-abstract-full" style="display: none;"> Many existing studies on pattern formation in the reaction-diffusion systems rely on deterministic models. However, environmental noise is often a major factor which leads to significant changes in the spatiotemporal dynamics. In this paper, we focus on the spatiotemporal patterns produced by the predator-prey model with ratio-dependent functional response and density dependent death rate of predator. We get the reaction-diffusion equations incorporating the self-diffusion terms, corresponding to random movement of the individuals within two dimensional habitats, into the growth equations for the prey and predator population. In order to have to have the noise added model, small amplitude heterogeneous perturbations to the linear intrinsic growth rates are introduced using uncorrelated Gaussian white noise terms. For the noise added system, we then observe spatial patterns for the parameter values lying outside the Turing instability region. With thorough numerical simulations we characterize the patterns corresponding to Turing and Turing-Hopf domain and study their dependence on different system parameters like noise-intensity, etc. <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('1504.08261v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'none'; document.getElementById('1504.08261v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'inline';">&#9651; Less</a> </span> </p> <p class="is-size-7"><span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Submitted</span> 30 April, 2015; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">originally announced</span> April 2015. </p> <p class="comments is-size-7"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Comments:</span> <span class="has-text-grey-dark mathjax">11 pages, 6 figures. Uses style files of Journal of Physics: Conference Series (IOPSCIENCE). Submitted for the Proceedings of the Statphys-Kolkata VIII held during December 1-5, 2014 at Kolkata, India</span> </p> </li> </ol> <div class="is-hidden-tablet"> <!-- feedback for mobile only --> <span class="help" style="display: inline-block;"><a href="https://github.com/arXiv/arxiv-search/releases">Search v0.5.6 released 2020-02-24</a>&nbsp;&nbsp;</span> </div> </div> </main> <footer> <div class="columns is-desktop" role="navigation" aria-label="Secondary"> <!-- MetaColumn 1 --> <div class="column"> <div class="columns"> <div class="column"> <ul class="nav-spaced"> <li><a href="https://info.arxiv.org/about">About</a></li> <li><a href="https://info.arxiv.org/help">Help</a></li> </ul> </div> <div class="column"> <ul class="nav-spaced"> <li> <svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 512 512" class="icon filter-black" role="presentation"><title>contact arXiv</title><desc>Click here to contact arXiv</desc><path d="M502.3 190.8c3.9-3.1 9.7-.2 9.7 4.7V400c0 26.5-21.5 48-48 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