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class="PageBannerCarousel_fullHeight__USu7g row"><div class="col-12 col-lg-6 offset-lg-1"><div class="qa-pagebanner-title PageBannerCarousel_inner__QPvbB"><h2 class="h1">Argus Fertilizer Africa Conference</h2><div class="qa-pagebanner-desc-text d-none d-lg-block h3">10-12 February 2025 | Cape Town, South Africa <br/> <br/>The super early bird discount expires next Friday, 4 October. Register your place to save $500 and join 350+ attendees from across the African fertilizer value chain at the Westin Cape Town hotel for high-level networking, business negotiations as well as the latest market trends shaping the African market.</div><a title="" target="" class="qa-pagebanner-cta PageBannerCarousel_cta__P0g2H cta" href="/en/events/conferences/fertilizer-africa-conference">Find out more</a></div></div></div></div></div><div class="PageBannerCarousel_slide__o8BZd qa-pagebanner-carousel "><img alt="Yellow flowers" loading="lazy" width="1600" height="577" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="qa-pagebanner-image PageBannerCarousel_image__YvtgO d-none d-lg-block" style="color:transparent" 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class="qa-pagebanner-image PageBannerCarousel_image__YvtgO d-block d-lg-none" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F02-oil-products%2Fmarket%2Fmobile%2Fherobanner390x620_biofuelsandfeedstockspage.jpg%3Fh%3D620%26iar%3D0%26w%3D390%26rev%3Dae55c1f647f2426594b3d05dff1f5b42%26hash%3D642A142C9CFF3AD9938E5591E6A59931&w=640&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F02-oil-products%2Fmarket%2Fmobile%2Fherobanner390x620_biofuelsandfeedstockspage.jpg%3Fh%3D620%26iar%3D0%26w%3D390%26rev%3Dae55c1f647f2426594b3d05dff1f5b42%26hash%3D642A142C9CFF3AD9938E5591E6A59931&w=828&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F02-oil-products%2Fmarket%2Fmobile%2Fherobanner390x620_biofuelsandfeedstockspage.jpg%3Fh%3D620%26iar%3D0%26w%3D390%26rev%3Dae55c1f647f2426594b3d05dff1f5b42%26hash%3D642A142C9CFF3AD9938E5591E6A59931&w=828&q=75"/><div 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class="Events_secondaryGroup__L8tac"><a class="qa-combinedfeed-secondary-item Events_link__fG2Qa white" target="_self" href="/en/events/conferences/coal-dubai"><div class="Events_inner__eThtb d-none d-lg-flex"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date undefined h5">4 - 5 December 2024</div><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title Events_title__MMPSB">Argus Coal for Power and Steel 2024</h3><hr class="Events_hr__Mj_28"/><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-location Events_location__umo8j h5">Dubai, UAE</div></div><div class="Events_inner__eThtb d-flex d-lg-none"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date undefined h3">4 - 5 December 2024</div><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title Events_title__MMPSB h4">Argus Coal for Power and Steel 2024</h3><hr class="Events_hr__Mj_28"/><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-location Events_location__umo8j h3">Dubai, UAE</div></div></a><a class="qa-combinedfeed-secondary-item Events_link__fG2Qa white" target="_self" 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because\nof escalations in the war between Russia and Ukraine.","Tags":null,"CreatedDate":"2024-11-25T13:22:51Z","PublishDate":"2024-11-25T13:22:51Z","SearchResultItemUrl":"/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2632197-escalation-in-ukraine-fuels-german-oil-product-demand","ThumbnailImageUrl":"/-/media/project/argusmedia/mainsite/images/14-generic-hero-banners/herobanner_390x620_generic-c.jpg?h=620\u0026iar=0\u0026w=390\u0026rev=1f6461bbf1f1417cb9ac37adf5126bb2\u0026hash=D27C33C4A19A3079C7BE43A393C45E0D"},{"ItemId":"2632902","Title":"Bangladesh receives DAP, TSP offers in tender","ExternalLink":"","Description":"London, 27 November (Argus) — Bangladesh's ministry of agriculture received\noffers for 60,000t of DAP at $685.30-691/t cfr and 115,000t of TSP at\n$567.80-600/t cfr in its latest private-sector tender, which closed today. The\nministry received two offers for DAP: Bulk Trade International offered 30,000t\nat $685.30/t cfr Saifullah Gulf offered 30,000t at $691/t cfr The ministry also\nreceived six offers for TSP: Bulk Trade International offered 25,000t at\n$567.80/t cfr Mounota Trade Index offered 20,000t at $573.50/t cfr Noapara\nTraders offered 30,000t at $573.50/t cfr Saifullah Gulf offered 26,000t at\n$574/t cfr Alif Trading offered 4,000t at $574/t cfr Noapara Trading offered\n10,000t at $600/t cfr Argus understands that much of the product offered in the\ntender will be shipped from Morocco. There were reports that one of the DAP\ncargoes offered will be shipped from China. The lowest offers in this latest\ntender are up compared with those under the ministry's 18 November\nprivate-sector tender , which received offers for 120,000t of DAP at\n$678.40-717/t cfr and 113,000t of TSP at $561.90-585/t cfr. The ministry likely\nawarded 40,000t of Moroccan DAP to Bulk Trade International at the offered level\nof $678.40/t cfr, with negotiations ongoing for further cargoes, under the 18\nNovember tender. By Tom Hampson Send comments and request more information at\nfeedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights\nreserved.","Tags":null,"CreatedDate":"2024-11-27T11:16:37Z","PublishDate":"2024-11-27T11:16:37Z","SearchResultItemUrl":"/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2632902-bangladesh-receives-dap-tsp-offers-in-tender"},{"ItemId":"2632854","Title":"Australia on track for 2030 GHG emissions target","ExternalLink":"","Description":"Sydney, 27 November (Argus) — Australia is on track to reduce greenhouse gas\n(GHG) emissions by 42.6pc by 2030 from 2005 levels, nearly within the country's\n43pc target, climate change and energy minister Chris Bowen announced today. The\nforecast is based on the baseline scenario from the Department of Climate\nChange, Energy, the Environment and Water (DCCEEW)'s emissions projections 2024\nreport, which will be released on 28 November, according to Bowen. It compares\nto a 37pc reduction estimated in the 2023 report under the baseline scenario and\nis slightly above the previous report's 42pc projection under a scenario \"with\nadditional measures\", as those policies have now been incorporated into the\nbaseline assumptions. The inaugural emissions projections report, published at\nthe end of 2022 , showed forecast reductions of 32pc in the baseline scenario\nand 40pc in the additional measures scenario. The main policies incorporated are\nthe expanded Capacity Investment Scheme (CIS) and the fuel efficiency standards\nfor new passenger and light commercial vehicles, Bowen said. Under the CIS,\nAustralia will support 32GW of new capacity consisting of 23GW of renewable\ncapacity such as solar, wind and hydro, as well as 9GW of dispatchable capacity\nsuch as pumped hydro and grid-scale batteries. Tenders will run every six months\nuntil 2026-27 and winners will need to start operating their assets by 2030, in\ntime to help the Labor government meet its target of sourcing 82pc of\nelectricity from renewable sources by 2030. Bowen last month announced tender\nvolumes would be accelerated on the back of strong interest in the initial 6GW\ntender in May. NEM review The government separately announced the start of a\nreview of the National Electricity Market (NEM) wholesale market settings, which\nwill need to be changed following the conclusion of the CIS tenders in 2027 and\nas Australia transitions to more renewables from its aging coal-fired plants.\nThe tenders will give up to 15 years of support, but new settings will be needed\nto promote investment in firmed renewable generation and storage capacity into\nthe 2030s and beyond, especially as the Renewable Energy Target scheme will come\nto an end on 31 December 2030 . An expert independent panel will carry out\nwidespread consultation and make final recommendations to energy and climate\nministers in late 2025. The panel will need to consider the importance of\ndecarbonising Australia's electricity system to achieve the 43pc emissions\nreduction target by 2030 and net zero emissions by 2050, according to the\ngovernment. But the panel \"will not consider\" options that involve\nimplementation of carbon trading schemes or carbon markets, or that entail\ngovernments supporting new fossil fuel generation, it added. The federal\ngovernment will need to co-ordinate and introduce a \"clear and enduring\" carbon\nsignal in the energy sector to adapt the 25-year-old NEM to a \"post-coal era\" ,\ndomestic think-tank Grattan Institute said earlier this year. By Juan Weik Send\ncomments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright ©\n2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.","Tags":null,"CreatedDate":"2024-11-27T07:29:17Z","PublishDate":"2024-11-27T07:29:17Z","SearchResultItemUrl":"/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2632854-australia-on-track-for-2030-ghg-emissions-target"},{"ItemId":"2632857","Title":"Q\u0026A: AtJ learnings, mandate critical for Australian SAF","ExternalLink":"","Description":"Sydney, 27 November (Argus) — Australian bioenergy developer Jet Zero has\nreceived strong government backing for its proposed Project Ulysses, an\nalcohol-to-jet sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) project in the northern\nQueensland state city of Townsville. Argus spoke to chief executive Ed Mason on\nthe sidelines of the Townsville Summit on 27 November about the project's\ninitial engineering. Edited highlights follow: Regarding the proposed 102mn l/yr\nrefinery here in Townsville, what are some of the initial engineering study\nfindings? So with front-end engineering and design (FEED), what we're doing is\nvalue engineering, which you typically do at the end of FEED, we're doing it at\nthe front because we've seen so many opportunities to improve on the reference\nproject design in Georgia, US — they're just basically lessons learned from what\nLanzaJet have seen, as well as what we've identified as opportunities to\neliminate, reduce, simplify costs. We've got hydroprocessed esters and fatty\nacids (HEFA), that's the kind of space rocket that can get you to the moon,\nwe've now got alcohol-to-jet commercialised, which is like the space shuttle —\nslightly better, which can do more. But we really need to see a SpaceX type of\nsystem where you can go up and down and make it more efficient, so it's making\nthose technologies far more capital efficient and better, so that's what we're\nfocused on. W here are negotiations at with refiners Wilmar and Manildra, the\ntwo main producers of ethanol in Australia? We basically have constructive\ndiscussions in particular with Wilmar, they have surplus capacity, they're vocal\nsupporters of development of the ethanol market, as you know, for many years.\nWe've got ample supply (183mn l/yr) and confidence about what we need for SAF\nand importantly, assisting that supplier getting that feedstock RSB and Corsia\ncertified. Looking at the regulatory situation at the moment, a low-carbon fuel\nstandard. How critical is that to building a project like yours to final\ninvestment? We made a submission on the [low-carbon liquid fuel paper]. We're\nadvocating both supply and demand measures and were fairly aligned with the\nwider industry submission. We believe a modest mandate, 1-2pc, supports and is\nahead of what the project pipeline is, so you're not putting a mandate that\ncan't be achieved by the projects at our stage but that sends a strong signal,\nlike other countries have already sent. Secondly, supply measures around\nfinancing like other types of mechanisms you've seen with Hydrogen Headstart ,\njust to get the industry going. How tight is the window for Australia to catch\nup with the rest of the world? It's very tight. I think we've got to move in the\nnext two years — there is a wall of demand from 2030 and these projects take\nfive years to develop from start to finish. If we don't move in this in the next\nfew years, we'll end up seeing the feedstock develop that market, but not the\nproduction of SAF and we'll lose out on those jobs. A standard size plant has\nbeen proposed in Townsville, how much room do you have to grow that capacity in\nTownsville? We'd very much like to be bigger if the market was there for\nethanol. We've sized it at the minimum size that we feel can deliver commercial\nvolumes of SAF at a price that's in line with benchmark, but the bigger you go,\nthe bigger economies of scale you get. These are modules, we can increase and\nadd another train to Townsville quite easily, so a huge opportunity to grow\nthat. The actual plant construction timeframe, what does that look like? The\nlongest lead item is 14 months, but I'd assume two years. So if we are at final\ninvestment decision in the second half of next year, we could conceivably see\nthis project start producing SAF by the second half of 2027. Is sugarcane going\nto be sufficient for growing AtJ SAF, or will we need other feedstock in the\nfuture? The sugarcane industry has theoretically got the biggest contributing\nopportunity, particularly short to medium term with this industry. But you've\ngot agave, you've got other types of crops that can produce like sorghum and\nother types of sources of ethanol that can be used, and they are a potentially\nmedium-to-long-term supply opportunity. [Farming lobby] Canegrowers ran a fairly\nextensive campaign around the potential of biofuels in the last Queensland state\nelection, and we've seen other bodies in the sugar industry run similar\ncampaigns so the industry, from grower to miller, is supportive of developing\nthe industry. We've only seen sugar mills close in north Queensland over the\nlast decade, I think ultimately the rest of the world's sugar industry has\nalready moved on [biofuels]. By Tom Major Send comments and request more\ninformation at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All\nrights reserved.","Tags":null,"CreatedDate":"2024-11-27T07:29:12Z","PublishDate":"2024-11-27T07:29:12Z","SearchResultItemUrl":"/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2632857-q-a-atj-learnings-mandate-critical-for-australian-saf"},{"ItemId":"2632853","Title":"Australia's BOM forecasts severe cyclone season","ExternalLink":"","Description":"Sydney, 27 November (Argus) — Australia's Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) expects\nthe country to experience 11 tropical storms over the next few months,\nthreatening the country's mineral-rich Pilbara region and coal infrastructure in\nQueensland. The number of storms is in line with historical averages, but BOM\nwarns that rising ocean temperatures could increase their severity. The state\nweather agency believes that four of these storms will make landfall from late\nDecember, and that a La Nina event could start later this year, although it may\nnot last very long. La Nina events are associated with high levels of cyclonic\nactivity. BOM's forecasts suggest that five of the storms are likely to form\naround Western Australia's mineral-rich Pilbara region, which houses more than\n40 operating iron ore mines and two lithium mines. Over the last three months,\nsea surface temperatures around Pilbara have exceeded historical averages by\n1.2–2°C, warming more than in any of the country's other cyclone-prone regions.\nOn the other side of the country, four tropical storms could form around\nQueensland's cattle and coking coal producing regions, although these are likely\nto be less severe than the Pilbara storms. Temperatures across most of\nQueensland are forecast to exceed historical averages by 0.4–1.2°C in\nOctober-December. Cyclonic weather in Pilbara could disrupt iron shipping and\nmining activity in the region. Australia's three largest iron export ports sit\nalong the region's coast. In 2019, Cyclone Veronica forced the closure of\nPilbara's three major ports and multiple mines operated by mining company Rio\nTinto, prompting the firm to cut its production forecasts for the year. Harsh\nstorms in Queensland have previously damaged vital coal transport links in the\nstate, hampering exports. In 2017, Cyclone Debbie damaged rail lines linking\ncoal mines to the ports of Gladstone, Hay Point, Dalrymple Bay, and Abbott\nPoint, which handle most of the state's coking coal exports. More recently,\nsevere weather also halted deliveries to Mackay port . Queensland and Pilbara\nare also home to major LNG terminals at Dampier and Gladstone ports that sit\nwithin cyclone-prone zones. The two terminals together export over 3mn t/month\nof LNG . By Avinash Govind Send comments and request more information at\nfeedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights\nreserved.","Tags":null,"CreatedDate":"2024-11-27T06:35:09Z","PublishDate":"2024-11-27T06:35:09Z","SearchResultItemUrl":"/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2632853-australia-s-bom-forecasts-severe-cyclone-season"},{"ItemId":"2632806","Title":"Traders expect Opec+ to delay output increase","ExternalLink":"","Description":"London, 26 November (Argus) — Vitol, Trafigura and Gunvor representatives today\nsuggested that Opec+ members would probably continue to delay their plan to\nstart increasing crude production. The comments from three of the world's\nbiggest trading firms come just days before the Opec+ alliance is set to hold a\nministerial meeting on 1 December to decide its output policy for next year. At\nthe top of the agenda is whether eight members will begin returning 2.2mn b/d of\n\"voluntary\" production cuts over a 12-month period starting in January — three\nmonths later than originally planned. \"I think there's no room for them to\nincrease,\" Gunvor chief executive Torbjorn Tornqvist said at the Energy\nIntelligence Forum in London today. \"So far they've been very disciplined and\nthey've made the right call not to add any oil,\" he said. Most forecasters\npredict weak oil demand next year, with the market flipping into a surplus. \"I\nsuspect that the barrels coming back will again be deferred,\" Trafigura's global\nhead of oil Ben Luckock said. \"Exactly how long? Probably not that far, but they\nhave the choice to be able to continue to [delay] and they probably don't enjoy\nthe price right now.\" The front-month Ice Brent crude futures is currently\ntrading around $73/bl, around $20/bl below where prices were before Opec+\nannounced its initial output cut in October 2022. The alliance has reduced\noutput by about 4mn b/d since then, Argus estimates. \"The likelihood is that\nOpec will try to manage the market through the next two to three months to wait\nto see how some of these geopolitical aspects solve themselves,\" Vitol chief\nexecutive Russell Hardy said. All three executives pointed to geopolitical\nuncertainties such as the incoming US administration's Iran sanctions policy,\nthe trajectory of the Ukraine-Russia war and the conflict in the Middle East as\npotential market movers in 2025. Luckock also stressed the importance of\ncompliance for the Opec+ alliance. \"I think compliance is a huge deal, because a\ncheating Opec doesn't yield higher prices.\" Members including Iraq, Kazakhstan\nand Russia have tended to exceed their production targets this year, tarnishing\nthe credibility of the alliance. But a long-running Saudi-led effort to get\nthese countries to comply and compensate appears to be bearing fruit. The three\nexecutives also gave their traditional forecasts for what the oil price would be\nin 12 months. Tornqvist said he expected prices to be similar to today's levels\nat $70/bl, which he described as \"fair\" given the world's large spare production\ncapacity and declining production costs. Luckock said it was a \"mug's game\"\nforecasting 12-months out, particularly given the range of geopolitical\nuncertainties on the horizon. When pressed for a number he settled on $75/bl,\nbut said this was not particularly useful to anyone. Hardy stuck with his\nprevious forecast of $70-80/bl. By Aydin Calik Send comments and request more\ninformation at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . 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