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(PDF) Decision-Making Process Under Uncertainty in International Investments in Petroleum Exploration and Production: Multicriteria Approach | Lucio Carpio - Academia.edu
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{"work":{"id":49399314,"created_at":"2021-06-26T09:00:01.780-07:00","from_world_paper_id":170416219,"updated_at":"2024-11-23T19:34:09.058-08:00","_data":{"publisher":"SAGE Publications","grobid_abstract":"This paper intends to present a contribution to the development of techniques of decision-making in international projects of exploration and production of petroleum. A case study of the Multi-Attribute Utility Theory (MAUT) was developed and applied to define priorities among ten offshore exploration investment opportunities around the world offered to a Brazilian petroleum multinational company, according to decision-makers' preferences. The MAUT model proposed shows for the first time a combination of operational, political and technological risks, resulting in a quite complete formulation to describe quantitatively the decision-making process. It is important to emphasize that this paper presents an unpublished model to evaluate political risks whose detailed analysis is currently of extreme importance for international investments in petroleum projects.","publication_date":"2007,,","publication_name":"Energy, Exploration \u0026 Exploitation","grobid_abstract_attachment_id":"67762932"},"document_type":"paper","pre_hit_view_count_baseline":null,"quality":"high","language":"en","title":"Decision-Making Process Under Uncertainty in International Investments in Petroleum Exploration and Production: Multicriteria Approach","broadcastable":true,"draft":null,"has_indexable_attachment":true,"indexable":true}}["work"]; window.loswp.workCoauthors = [20754107]; window.loswp.locale = "en"; window.loswp.countryCode = "SG"; window.loswp.cwvAbTestBucket = ""; window.loswp.designVariant = "ds_vanilla"; window.loswp.fullPageMobileSutdModalVariant = "full_page_mobile_sutd_modal"; window.loswp.useOptimizedScribd4genScript = false; window.loswp.appleClientId = 'edu.academia.applesignon';</script><script defer="" src="https://accounts.google.com/gsi/client"></script><div class="ds-loswp-container"><div class="ds-work-card--grid-container"><div class="ds-work-card--container js-loswp-work-card"><div class="ds-work-card--cover"><div class="ds-work-cover--wrapper"><div class="ds-work-cover--container"><button class="ds-work-cover--clickable js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"swp-splash-paper-cover","attachmentId":67762932,"attachmentType":"pdf"}"><img alt="First page of “Decision-Making Process Under Uncertainty in International Investments in Petroleum Exploration and Production: Multicriteria Approach”" class="ds-work-cover--cover-thumbnail" src="https://0.academia-photos.com/attachment_thumbnails/67762932/mini_magick20210626-31780-cnzde9.png?1624723305" /><img alt="PDF Icon" class="ds-work-cover--file-icon" src="//a.academia-assets.com/assets/single_work_splash/adobe.icon-574afd46eb6b03a77a153a647fb47e30546f9215c0ee6a25df597a779717f9ef.svg" /><div class="ds-work-cover--hover-container"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 20px" translate="no">download</span><p>Download Free PDF</p></div><div class="ds-work-cover--ribbon-container">Download Free PDF</div><div class="ds-work-cover--ribbon-triangle"></div></button></div></div></div><div class="ds-work-card--work-information"><h1 class="ds-work-card--work-title">Decision-Making Process Under Uncertainty in International Investments in Petroleum Exploration and Production: Multicriteria Approach</h1><div class="ds-work-card--work-authors ds-work-card--detail"><a class="ds-work-card--author js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="20754107" href="https://independent.academia.edu/LucioCarpio"><img alt="Profile image of Lucio Carpio" class="ds-work-card--author-avatar" src="//a.academia-assets.com/images/s65_no_pic.png" />Lucio Carpio</a></div><div class="ds-work-card--detail"><p class="ds-work-card--detail ds2-5-body-sm">2007, Energy, Exploration & Exploitation</p><div class="ds-work-card--work-metadata"><div class="ds-work-card--work-metadata__stat"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 20px" translate="no">visibility</span><p class="ds2-5-body-sm" id="work-metadata-view-count">…</p></div><div class="ds-work-card--work-metadata__stat"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 20px" translate="no">description</span><p class="ds2-5-body-sm">18 pages</p></div><div class="ds-work-card--work-metadata__stat"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 20px" translate="no">link</span><p class="ds2-5-body-sm">1 file</p></div></div><script>(async () => { const workId = 49399314; 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Schiozer</a></div><p class="ds-related-work--metadata ds2-5-body-xs">2008</p><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal","work_title":"Uncertainty and Risk Analysis in Petroleum Exploration and","attachmentId":89684364,"attachmentType":"pdf","work_url":"https://www.academia.edu/84778468/Uncertainty_and_Risk_Analysis_in_Petroleum_Exploration_and","alternativeTracking":true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/84778468/Uncertainty_and_Risk_Analysis_in_Petroleum_Exploration_and"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="1" data-entity-id="104755038" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/104755038/Investment_Decision_Making_in_the_Upstream_Oil_Industry_An_Analysis">Investment Decision Making in the Upstream Oil Industry: An Analysis</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="217527109" href="https://independent.academia.edu/MarhaendrataTavipIrwanto">Marhaendrata Tavip Irwanto</a></div><p class="ds-related-work--abstract ds2-5-body-sm">Oil is the world's biggest and most pervasive business, the greatest of the great industries that arose in the last decades of the nineteenth century.‖ These words of Daniel Yergin in his book, The Prize (1991), which chronicles the development of the world's oil industry, highlight the importance of oil industry in the recent times. In an environment of growing competition, higher resource costs, and significant price uncertainty, ‗Investment Decision Making' is given top priority. There are many decision making techniques in academic literature. Some fundamental concepts were formulated more than two hundred years ago. But their application became apparent only in the 1950s and 1960s. Their application in practical decision making has been made recently. It is an acknowledged fact that the current practice techniques used for investment decision making in most industries lag behind the current decision theories.</p><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal","work_title":"Investment Decision Making in the Upstream Oil Industry: An Analysis","attachmentId":104399288,"attachmentType":"pdf","work_url":"https://www.academia.edu/104755038/Investment_Decision_Making_in_the_Upstream_Oil_Industry_An_Analysis","alternativeTracking":true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/104755038/Investment_Decision_Making_in_the_Upstream_Oil_Industry_An_Analysis"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="2" data-entity-id="102607258" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/102607258/Decision_Making_under_Risk_and_Uncertainty_in_the_Oil_and_Gas_Industry">Decision Making under Risk and Uncertainty in the Oil and Gas Industry</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="36605628" href="https://independent.academia.edu/CBoachie">Christopher Boachie</a></div><p class="ds-related-work--metadata ds2-5-body-xs">Tools and Techniques for Economic Decision Analysis</p><p class="ds-related-work--abstract ds2-5-body-sm">The energy system studies include a wide range of issues from short term to long term horizons. The decision making chain is fed by input parameters which are usually subject to uncertainties. The art of dealing with uncertainties has been developed in various directions and has recently become a focal point of interest. Decision making is certainly the most important task of Oil and Gas managers and it is often a very difficult one. The purpose of this chapter is to review and investigate the decision making processes under risk and uncertainty of Oil and Gas companies. Questionnaires were distributed to eight Oil and Gas companies in Ghana to solicit their view on decision making under risk and uncertainty. Results indicate that most managers use Maximax, Minimax Regret and Expected Value when making decisions under risk and uncertainty.</p><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal","work_title":"Decision Making under Risk and Uncertainty in the Oil and Gas Industry","attachmentId":102832899,"attachmentType":"pdf","work_url":"https://www.academia.edu/102607258/Decision_Making_under_Risk_and_Uncertainty_in_the_Oil_and_Gas_Industry","alternativeTracking":true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/102607258/Decision_Making_under_Risk_and_Uncertainty_in_the_Oil_and_Gas_Industry"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="3" data-entity-id="37993583" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/37993583/Non_technical_Risk_in_Exploration_and_Production_in_Brazil_an_Approach_to_Quantify_and_Manage_it">Non-technical Risk in Exploration and Production in Brazil: an Approach to Quantify and Manage it</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="15276078" href="https://independent.academia.edu/BrenoMedeiros">Breno Medeiros</a><span>, </span><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="100464717" href="https://independent.academia.edu/MateusTavares15">Mateus Tavares</a><span>, </span><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="99386438" href="https://independent.academia.edu/MatheusPereira148">Matheus Pereira</a></div><p class="ds-related-work--metadata ds2-5-body-xs">Rio Oil & Gas Conference 2018, 2018</p><p class="ds-related-work--abstract ds2-5-body-sm">The oil & gas (O&G) industry faces significant non-technical risks (NTRs) worldwide, because of its complex operating environment and multiple stakeholders, which can provide conflicting steer, affecting negatively the projects’ development. The NTRs can be related to regulatory, public, socio-economic, governmental and environmental matters, which affects projects, delaying their execution and generating cost overruns, thus affecting operations and eroding Net Present Value - NPV (Adekoya and Ekpenyong, 2016). The purpose of this work is to contextualize Brazil in the global scenario of NTRs in the upstream sector, present some of the key NTRs factors applicable to E&P operations in the Brazilian market, and highlight the importance of identifying and quantifying NTRs, and defining the best approach to manage these risks. To exemplify the quantification of NTRs and their financial impact, we modeled a hypothetical exploratory oil license in the offshore Foz do Amazonas basin. The economic simulation showed that NTRs can have a material adverse impact on O&G projects, impairing value not only for the oil companies, but also for the Government and the entire supply chain. 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This leads to the multi-criteria evaluation of a project. The advantage of multi-criteria methods is the ability to take into account all (not only financial) aspects of the attractiveness of an investment project. The selection of criteria of project assessment must take into account the specificity of organization that makes a decision. Along with traditional method this paper introduces new approach for risk assessment based on each criterion characterizing the investment project on hydrocarbon resources exploitation.</p><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal","work_title":"Risk Assessment of Investments with Fuzzy Efficiency Indicators for Oil and Gas Production Industry","attachmentId":81282915,"attachmentType":"pdf","work_url":"https://www.academia.edu/72301711/Risk_Assessment_of_Investments_with_Fuzzy_Efficiency_Indicators_for_Oil_and_Gas_Production_Industry","alternativeTracking":true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/72301711/Risk_Assessment_of_Investments_with_Fuzzy_Efficiency_Indicators_for_Oil_and_Gas_Production_Industry"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="5" data-entity-id="89171367" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/89171367/Identifying_and_Ranking_Environmental_Risks_of_Oil_and_Gas_Projects_Using_the_VIKOR_Method_for_Multi_Criteria_Decision_Making">Identifying and Ranking Environmental Risks of Oil and Gas Projects Using the VIKOR Method for Multi-Criteria Decision Making</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="2901525" href="https://amirkabir.academia.edu/MehdiRavanshadnia">Mehdi Ravanshadnia</a></div><p class="ds-related-work--metadata ds2-5-body-xs">2021</p><p class="ds-related-work--abstract ds2-5-body-sm">Naturally, any activity is associated with risk, and humans have understood this concept from very long times ago and seek to identify its factors and sources. On the one hand, proper risk management can cause problems such as delays and unforeseen costs in the development projects, temporary or permanent loss of services, getting lost or information theft, complexity and limitations in processes, unreliable information caused by rework, holes in the systems and many such problems.In the present study, a model has been presented to rank the environmental risks of oil and gas projects. The statistical population of the study consists of all executives active in the oil and gas fields that the statistical sample is selected randomly. In the framework of the proposed method, environmental risks of oil and gas projects were first extracted, then a questionnaire based on these indicators was designed based on Likert scale and distributed among the statistical sample. After assessing the ...</p><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal","work_title":"Identifying and Ranking Environmental Risks of Oil and Gas Projects Using the VIKOR Method for Multi-Criteria Decision Making","attachmentId":93019304,"attachmentType":"pdf","work_url":"https://www.academia.edu/89171367/Identifying_and_Ranking_Environmental_Risks_of_Oil_and_Gas_Projects_Using_the_VIKOR_Method_for_Multi_Criteria_Decision_Making","alternativeTracking":true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/89171367/Identifying_and_Ranking_Environmental_Risks_of_Oil_and_Gas_Projects_Using_the_VIKOR_Method_for_Multi_Criteria_Decision_Making"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="6" data-entity-id="34490582" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/34490582/SPE_187564_MS_Application_of_a_Multiple_Attribute_Decision_Making_Method_to_Improve_Oil_and_Gas_Field_Development_Projects">SPE-187564-MS Application of a Multiple Attribute Decision Making Method to Improve Oil and Gas Field Development Projects</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="40364237" href="https://independent.academia.edu/HerminioPassalacqua">Herminio Passalacqua</a></div><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal","work_title":"SPE-187564-MS Application of a Multiple Attribute Decision Making Method to Improve Oil and Gas Field Development Projects","attachmentId":54357902,"attachmentType":"pdf","work_url":"https://www.academia.edu/34490582/SPE_187564_MS_Application_of_a_Multiple_Attribute_Decision_Making_Method_to_Improve_Oil_and_Gas_Field_Development_Projects","alternativeTracking":true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/34490582/SPE_187564_MS_Application_of_a_Multiple_Attribute_Decision_Making_Method_to_Improve_Oil_and_Gas_Field_Development_Projects"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="7" data-entity-id="95081186" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/95081186/On_the_use_of_risk_and_uncertainty_analysis_in_conceptual_stage_of_petroleum_project">On the use of risk and uncertainty analysis in conceptual stage of petroleum project</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="245035210" href="https://independent.academia.edu/SupriyadiRicky">Ricky Supriyadi</a></div><p class="ds-related-work--metadata ds2-5-body-xs">2013</p><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal","work_title":"On the use of risk and uncertainty analysis in conceptual stage of petroleum project","attachmentId":97361723,"attachmentType":"pdf","work_url":"https://www.academia.edu/95081186/On_the_use_of_risk_and_uncertainty_analysis_in_conceptual_stage_of_petroleum_project","alternativeTracking":true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/95081186/On_the_use_of_risk_and_uncertainty_analysis_in_conceptual_stage_of_petroleum_project"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span 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js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal","work_title":"A multi-criteria decision support tool for projet portfolio management of the Sonatrach oil upstream","attachmentId":111143048,"attachmentType":"pdf","work_url":"https://www.academia.edu/114447250/A_multi_criteria_decision_support_tool_for_projet_portfolio_management_of_the_Sonatrach_oil_upstream","alternativeTracking":true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/114447250/A_multi_criteria_decision_support_tool_for_projet_portfolio_management_of_the_Sonatrach_oil_upstream"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="9" data-entity-id="41514134" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/41514134/A_LITERATURE_REVIEW_OF_MULTI_CONFLICTING_DECISION_MAKING_IN_STATE_OWNED_OIL_and_GAS_BUSINESS_DEVELOPMENT">A LITERATURE REVIEW OF MULTI CONFLICTING DECISION MAKING IN STATE-OWNED OIL & GAS BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="140297517" href="https://itb.academia.edu/HantoYananto">Hanto Yananto</a></div><p class="ds-related-work--metadata ds2-5-body-xs">2019</p><p class="ds-related-work--abstract ds2-5-body-sm">This study aims at developing a multi-conflicting criteria decision-making conceptual model to achieve an optimum allocation of resource to a portfolio of oil&gas industries based on many criteria that pertain to the technical and contextual characteristics. This new methodology is also expected can resolve the long bureaucracy of decision making for capital investment in oil&gas state-owned enterprise. An Action Research approach is selected to ensure the new methodology can be implemented and changes the capital investment decision-making process into a better result. The literature review was performed to understand the criteria for decision making from previous studies. The research approach will use mixed methods with Pragmatic philosophical worldview. The research design is Explanatory Sequential Mixed Methods design which appeals to individuals with a strong quantitative background or form field relatively new to qualitative approaches. This study also expected may answer all the research questions such as criteria in the decision making in oil&gas industries and the interaction within criteria, future challenge on the organization, and the implementation of the new methodology itself.</p><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal","work_title":"A LITERATURE REVIEW OF MULTI CONFLICTING DECISION MAKING IN STATE-OWNED OIL \u0026 GAS BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT","attachmentId":61681325,"attachmentType":"pdf","work_url":"https://www.academia.edu/41514134/A_LITERATURE_REVIEW_OF_MULTI_CONFLICTING_DECISION_MAKING_IN_STATE_OWNED_OIL_and_GAS_BUSINESS_DEVELOPMENT","alternativeTracking":true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/41514134/A_LITERATURE_REVIEW_OF_MULTI_CONFLICTING_DECISION_MAKING_IN_STATE_OWNED_OIL_and_GAS_BUSINESS_DEVELOPMENT"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div></div></div><div class="ds-sticky-ctas--wrapper js-loswp-sticky-ctas hidden"><div class="ds-sticky-ctas--grid-container"><div class="ds-sticky-ctas--container"><button class="ds2-5-button js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"continue-reading-button--sticky-ctas","attachmentId":67762932,"attachmentType":"pdf","workUrl":null}">See full PDF</button><button class="ds2-5-button ds2-5-button--secondary js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"download-pdf-button--sticky-ctas","attachmentId":67762932,"attachmentType":"pdf","workUrl":null}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 20px" translate="no">download</span>Download PDF</button></div></div></div><div class="ds-below-fold--grid-container"><div class="ds-work--container js-loswp-embedded-document"><div class="attachment_preview" data-attachment="Attachment_67762932" style="display: none"><div class="js-scribd-document-container"><div class="scribd--document-loading js-scribd-document-loader" style="display: block;"><img alt="Loading..." src="//a.academia-assets.com/images/loaders/paper-load.gif" /><p>Loading Preview</p></div></div><div style="text-align: center;"><div class="scribd--no-preview-alert js-preview-unavailable"><p>Sorry, preview is currently unavailable. 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