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Mysteel周报：机械原材料价格监测（7.22-7.26）-我的钢铁网
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style='color:#3861ab'>钢坯</a>现象。库存方面，本周五大钢材总库存1757.23万吨，周环比降15.58万吨，降幅0.9%。本周五大品种总库存均有所下降：厂库周环比下降，降幅主要来自螺纹贡献。社库周环比下降，增幅同样主要来自螺纹贡献。消费方面，本周五大品种周消费量为899.58万吨，环比上升0.4%；其中建材消费环比增0.2%，板材消费环比增0.5%。本周五大品种表观消费呈现建材、板材双增的局面，显示淡季下需求仍有韧性。<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0201-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜</a>市方面：宏观方面，7月15日至18日，党的二十届三中全会在北京举行，全会审议通过了《中共中央关于进一步全面深化改革、推进中国式现代化的决定》。国家统计局公布的数据显示，初步核算，上半年国内生产总值616836亿元，按不变价格计算，同比增长5.0%。分季度看，一季度国内生产总值同比增长5.3%，二季度增长4.7%;从环比看，二季度国内生产总值增长0.7%。基本面方面，上周下游企业订单表现回升，尤其是在周五<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0201-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜价</a>下跌之际，下游企业点价积极性快速提升，诸如铜杆等产品订单达到了近一个月以来新高；尽管期间有部分为前期订单补点，但新增订单数量也是呈现增长趋势，在订单补充之后，铜材加工企业的生产延续性获得一定的保障。<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝</a>市方面：上周沪铝震荡偏弱运行，主力增仓下杀至19500 元/吨一线，价格重心继续下移。由于废铝市场货源偏紧，价格未跟随原铝调整，成本支撑下，ADC12价格小幅下跌。叠加各区域企业情况不一，低成本地区价格下至19100 元/吨，如江西、安徽。而重庆地区价格高企，企业库存低下，降价意愿较低，使得重庆 ADC12价格抗跌性比较强，仍处于 19500 元/吨成本线上。上周主流地区 ADC12 下跌 200元/吨，价格下降并未促使市场成交好转，散单零星成交，多以长单交付为主。</p> <p><strong>一、原材料品种价格监测</strong></p> <p>截止2024年7月19日，各原材料当日即时价格以及价格周环比情况如下：</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><img style="width: 600px; height: 272.601px;" src="//img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/07/22/1c6f2c3dc08346cd834defa1bebc4d54.png" width="600" height="272" /></p> <p><strong>二、机械行业原材料基本面分析——钢材篇</strong></p> <p><strong>主要内容摘要①——</strong><strong><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010102-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>中厚板</a>：上周中板价格震荡下跌,预计本周价格将窄幅震荡为主</strong></p> <p>本周全国中厚板市场价格震荡下跌，整体成交情况表现一般。全国中板库存总量为290.29吨，较上周下降3.95万吨，其中华北区域减量最多。上周开工率81.54%，周环比持平。钢厂周实际产量154.09万吨，周环比增加1.49万吨;钢厂产能利用率94.76%，周环比上升0.92%;钢厂库存78.32万吨，周环比减少0.7万吨。市场方面，受下游需求表现不佳的影响，整周多数商家中厚板成交维持不畅，加上盘面震荡下行，市场心态进一步转弱，其中部分产地资源议价空间较多。资源方面，由于目前去库速度偏慢，市场心态较差，多数商家维持积极出货。预计本周国内中厚板行情或将震荡偏弱运行。</p> <p><strong>主要内容摘要②——</strong><strong>热卷：<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010103-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>热轧</a>板卷库存继续增加 价格弱势运行</strong></p> <p>本周国内热轧板卷价格普遍下跌，全国24个主要市场3.0mm热轧板卷价格均价为3725元/吨，较上周下跌30元/吨；4.75mm热轧板卷均价为3663元/吨，较上周下跌29元/吨。从各区域的库存数据看，降幅最大的区域是西北地区，较上周降1.75万吨，增幅最大的区域是华南地区，较上周增加4万吨。本周市场库存继续增库，主要集中在华东、华南，其余地区增幅较小。目前高供给高库存情况依旧严峻。重要会议释放政策力度不足，市场价格继续弱势，目前来看市场对后市预期不强，预计下周价格或将继续震荡运行为主。</p> <p><strong>主要内容摘要③</strong><strong>——</strong><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010107-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>型钢</a>：上周全国型钢价格整体趋弱运行，本周国内型钢市场价格或窄幅偏弱运行</p> <p>上周全国型钢价格整体趋弱运行，200*200<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010705-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>H型钢</a>全国均价3594元/吨，周环比下跌17元/吨；588*300H型钢3715元/吨，周环比下跌26元/吨；5＃角钢3796元/吨，周环比上涨1元/吨；16＃槽钢为3803元/吨，周环比下跌5元/吨；25＃工字钢为3875元/吨，周环比下跌3元/吨。</p> <p>供应方面，上周全国工角槽产量30.89万吨，周环比增加0.94万吨；在H型钢中，钢厂周实际产量31.46万吨，周环比增加3.49%。上周开工率和产能利用率小幅增加，高库存压力下，厂家仍以去库化为主。个别钢厂仍就处于主动去库停产的状态，预计本周供应水平变化不大。</p> <p>需求方面，型材现货市场交投主要体现在低价刚需资源，高价资源市场接受度依旧偏弱，下游需求受季节性以及项目资金方面的影响，补库需求动力不足。</p> <p>综合来看，当前厂商库存压力偏大，部分钢厂依旧处于主动停产检修，主力销售现有库存。型材底部支撑减弱，型材商贸心态多观望。叠加未有政策性利好因素提振，短期型材价格或难改善。综合预计，本周国内型钢市场价格或窄幅偏弱运行。</p> <p><strong>三、机械行业原材料基本面分析——有色篇</strong></p> <p><strong>主要内容摘要④——铜：</strong></p> <p>宏观方面，7月15日至18日，党的二十届三中全会在北京举行，全会审议通过了《中共中央关于进一步全面深化改革、推进中国式现代化的决定》。国家统计局公布的数据显示，初步核算，上半年国内生产总值616836亿元，按不变价格计算，同比增长5.0%。分季度看，一季度国内生产总值同比增长5.3%，二季度增长4.7%;从环比看，二季度国内生产总值增长0.7%。基本面方面，上周下游企业订单表现回升，尤其是在周五铜价下跌之际，下游企业点价积极性快速提升，诸如铜杆等产品订单达到了近一个月以来新高；尽管期间有部分为前期订单补点，但新增订单数量也是呈现增长趋势，在订单补充之后，铜材加工企业的生产延续性获得一定的保障。</p> <p><strong>四、机械行业动态信息一览</strong></p> <p><strong>1</strong><strong>、2024</strong><strong>年1-6</strong><strong>月31</strong><strong>种主要机械产品产量21</strong><strong>增10</strong><strong>降</strong></p> <p>2024年1-6月，国家统计局公布的31种主要机械产品中，21种产品累计产量实现同比增长，占比67.7%。</p> <p>2024年1-6月，发电机组（发电设备）产量11109万千瓦，同比增长14.4%；金属切削机床产量33万台，增长5.7%；工业机器人产量28.3万套，增长9.6%。</p> <p><strong>2</strong><strong>、海关总署：上半年中国主要机电产品进出口数据出炉</strong></p> <p>海关总署数据显示，2024年上半年，我国出口机电产品7.14万亿元，同比增长8.2%，占出口总值的58.9%。</p> <p>主要机电产品出口方面：</p> <p>2024年6月，中国出口机床162万台，同比增长4.1%。2024年上半年，累计出口机床866万台，同比增长4.2%。</p> <p>2024年6月，中国出口拖拉机14382台，同比下降0.7%。2024年上半年，累计出口拖拉机80507台，同比增长6.3%。</p> <!--指标说明附件--> <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：刘儒 021-26096617 </br> 资讯监督：胡赛男 021-26093781 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a 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