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Evans"><span></span>Alex Evans</a></li> <li class="page_item page-item-9118"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/andrewpickering/" title="Andrew Pickering"><span></span>Andrew Pickering</a></li> <li class="page_item page-item-4743"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/charlieedwards/" title="Charlie Edwards"><span></span>Charlie Edwards</a></li> <li class="page_item page-item-11637"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/chris-abbott/" title="Chris Abbott"><span></span>Chris Abbott</a></li> <li class="page_item page-item-4748"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/danielkorski/" title="Daniel Korski"><span></span>Daniel Korski</a></li> <li class="page_item page-item-4750"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/davidsteven/" title="David Steven"><span></span>David Steven</a></li> <li class="page_item page-item-4758"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/elizabethsellwood/" title="Elizabeth Sellwood"><span></span>Elizabeth Sellwood</a></li> <li class="page_item page-item-4754"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/julesevans/" title="Jules Evans"><span></span>Jules Evans</a></li> <li class="page_item page-item-4756"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/leohorn/" title="Leo Horn"><span></span>Leo Horn</a></li> <li class="page_item page-item-4760"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/markweston/" title="Mark Weston"><span></span>Mark Weston</a></li> <li class="page_item page-item-10719"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/michaelharvey/" title="Michael Harvey"><span></span>Michael Harvey</a></li> <li class="page_item page-item-9124"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/peterhodge/" title="Peter Hodge"><span></span>Peter Hodge</a></li> <li class="page_item page-item-4762"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/richardgowan/" title="Richard Gowan"><span></span>Richard Gowan</a></li> </ul> </li> <li class="page_item page-item-30"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/articles-and-publications/" title="Publications"><span></span>Publications</a></li> <li class="page_item page-item-351"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/reading-list/" title="Reading"><span></span>Reading</a></li> </ul></div> </div>  <div id="topnavholding"> <div class="clearall"></div> </div> <div id="subnavholding"></div>  <div id="holding"> <div id="leftcolumn"> <div class="gd_writing"><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://www.globaldashboard.org/wp-content/themes/gd2/images/gd_writing.gif"/></div> <div class="post"> <h3><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/09/copenhagen-in-disarray-dont-believe-the-hype/" rel="bookmark">Copenhagen “in disarray”? Don’t believe the hype</a> <small><a href="/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/alexevans/">Alex Evans</a></small></h3> <p><p>The Guardian’s leading with a rather breathless <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/dec/08/copenhagen-climate-summit-disarray-danish-text">piece</a> this evening on how the Copenhagen talks are</p> <blockquote><p>… in disarray today after developing countries reacted furiously to leaked documents that show world leaders will next week be asked to sign an agreement that hands more power to rich countries and sidelines the UN’s role in all future climate change negotiations.</p> <p>The document is also being interpreted by developing countries as setting unequal limits on per capita carbon emissions for developed and developing countries in 2050; meaning that people in rich countries would be permitted to emit nearly twice as much under the proposals</p></blockquote> <p>The article’s author, John Vidal, also says he’s seen a “confidential analysis of the text by developing countries” , which he says argues that the draft text will “force developing countries to agree to specific emission cuts”, “divide poor countries further by creating a new category of developing countries called ‘the most vulnerable’”, and “not allow poor countries to emit more than 1.44 tonnes of carbon per person by 2050, while allowing rich countries to emit 2.67 tonnes”. Vidal continues that,</p> <blockquote><p>Developing countries that have seen the text are understood to be furious that it is being promoted by rich countries without their knowledge and without discussion in the negotiations.</p></blockquote> <p>But having read the full draft negotiating text (also on the Guardian site, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/dec/08/copenhagen-climate-change">here</a> - and n.b. there’s no proof it’s genuine) Vidal’s article seems weirdly off beam.</p> <p>For one thing, the text says nothing whatsoever about having different per capita allocations in 2050 for rich and poor countries. On the contrary, it explicitly says that “Parties’ contributions towards the goal [of limiting warming to 2 degrees C] should take into account … a long term convergence of per capita emissions”. Admittedly, the text doesn’t say anything about the convergence date, and it also falls into the trap of talking about convergence of emissions as opposed to convergence of emission <em>entitlements</em> (explanation <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/09/17/world-bank-unctad-climate-emissions/">here</a>) – but there is <em>no</em> reference to enshrining unequal allocations.</p> <p>As to the other stuff about “forcing” developing countries to take on emission cuts or “dividing” them by talking about the idea that some are more vulnerable than others: oh, come <em>on</em>. <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/09/copenhagen-in-disarray-dont-believe-the-hype/#more-12398" class="more-link">more »</a></p> </p> <span class="authreadmore">December 9, 2009 at 1:19 am | More on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/climate-and-resource-scarcity/" title="View all posts in Climate and resource scarcity" rel="category tag">Climate and resource scarcity</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/economics-and-development/" title="View all posts in Economics and development" rel="category tag">Economics and development</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/09/copenhagen-in-disarray-dont-believe-the-hype/#comments" title="Comment on Copenhagen “in disarray”? Don’t believe the hype">1 Comment</a></span>  <h3><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/07/mental-sickness-and-the-welfare-state/" rel="bookmark">Mental sickness and the welfare state</a> <small><a href="/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/julesevans/">Jules Evans</a></small></h3> <p><p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://neftriplecrunch.files.wordpress.com/2008/12/job_centre_plus2.jpg"><img style="margin: 0pt 0pt 10px 10px; width: 228px; float: right; height: 243px; cursor: pointer;" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://neftriplecrunch.files.wordpress.com/2008/12/job_centre_plus2.jpg" border="0" alt=""/></a>It’s interesting the way British public policy is beginning to bring together unemployment policy with mental health policy. The British government today <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.communitycare.co.uk/Articles/2009/12/07/113374/Government-launches-10-year-mental-health-strategy.htm">brought out a 10-year strategy</a> for dealing with depression, which includes the key strategy of doing more to get the mentally ill back into work. For example, under the new strategy, job centres will now have mental health advisors.</p> <p>The same day the government released its report, the Young Foundation – one of the main think-tanks behind the British ‘politics of wellbeing’, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.youngfoundation.org/general-/-all/news/sinking-and-swimming-understanding-britains-unmet-needs">released its own report</a>, suggesting that the welfare state needed to transform to be more focused on well-being, including helping the out of work cope with the emotional problems that often go with unemployment.</p> <p>The head of the think-tank, Geoff Mulgan, says: “The welfare state that was built up after the great economic crisis of the 1930s was designed to address Britain’s material needs – for jobs, homes, health care and pensions. It was assumed that people’s emotional needs would be met by close-knit families and communities. Sixty years later psychological needs have become as pressing as material ones – the risk of loneliness and isolation, the risk of mental illness, the risk of being left behind.”</p> <p>We already saw the beginning of the merger of unemployment policy with mental health policy in 2005, when Lord Layard, the government advisor, justified the government spending £173 million on training 3,000 new cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) professionals <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.blogger.com/cep.lse.ac.uk/textonly/.../DEPRESSION_REPORT_LAYARD.pd">by arguing it would pay for itself</a> by getting many of the 1 million people claiming incapacity benefits because of mental illness in the UK off the couch and back into work.</p> <p>You can criticise this shift in policy thinking from the Left or the Right. From a Leftist perspective, this is Thatcherism masquerading as therapy. The reason the government supported the Layard report’s 2005 report on depression, a Leftist sceptic could argue, is that the government hoped by spending a bit more on CBT, it could spend a lot less on incapacity benefits. You get people off the sofa, off Prozac, off the dole, and back into work. It’s Sigmund Freud meets Norman Tebbit.</p> <p>This fusion of therapy with ‘on your bike’ Thatcherism reduces therapy to a mere band-aid for capitalism, argue Left-leaning therapists like Oliver James: you patch people up, give them a pep talk, and send them off into mindless low-paid jobs. It’s somewhat comparable to the First World War psychologist W.H Rivers complaining that he was treating people for shell-shock only to send them right back to the front line to die, one could argue.</p> <p>Alternatively, you can criticize the new well-being state from the Right as the nanny state gone mad: it’s crazy to think the government can take the place of the family or the church, and can whisper sweet nothings into our ear until we feel happier. At best, it’s a huge waste of money. At worst, it’s Brave New World. <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/07/mental-sickness-and-the-welfare-state/#more-12388" class="more-link">more »</a></p> </p> <span class="authreadmore">December 7, 2009 at 4:31 pm | More on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/uk/" title="View all posts in UK" rel="category tag">UK</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/07/mental-sickness-and-the-welfare-state/#comments" title="Comment on Mental sickness and the welfare state">1 Comment</a></span>  <h3><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/06/environmental-ngos-peak-emissions-year/" rel="bookmark">Why are environmental NGOs pushing for a later peak emissions year than the IPCC?</a> <small><a href="/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/alexevans/">Alex Evans</a></small></h3> <p><p>As we’ve been arguing here since <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/03/02/peak-emissions-now/">March</a>, the year that policymakers select as the deadline for global emissions must peak is <em>the </em>key short-term variable to watch at Copenhagen. So what <em>is </em>the deadline, assuming we want to limit global average warming to 2 degrees C?</p> <p>Well, David and I would like to see policymakers agree that emissions should peak <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/09/23/emissions-have-peaked-shame-ngos-dont-call-for-them-to-do-so-til-2017/">right now</a>, given that emissions have <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/09/23/emissions-have-peaked-shame-ngos-dont-call-for-them-to-do-so-til-2017/">fallen</a> so much as a result of the credit crunch. The development NGOs who are most active on climate change – <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.oxfam.org.uk/resources/policy/climate_change/downloads/now_or_never_climate_change.pdf">Oxfam</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.christianaid.org.uk/images/signposts-essential-outcomes.pdf">Christian Aid</a> and <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://tilz.tearfund.org/webdocs/tilz/research/FirstCutIsDeepest.pdf">Tearfund</a>, as well as Avaaz - are a little more cautious than that, arguing that emissions should peak by 2015; but they’re still basically on the same page as the IPCC, which said in its last Assessment Report (<a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg3/ar4-wg3-spm.pdf">pdf </a>- see table at the foot of page 15) that to limit global average warming between 2.0 and 2.4 degrees Celsius, global emissions must peak between 2000 and 2015. Chair of the IPCC Rajendra Pachauri has also <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5izYrubhpeFvOKCRrZmWSYWCkPoRg">said</a> that 2015 is the deadline.</p> <p>Astonishingly, though, the main federation of <em>environmental </em>NGOs – the <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.climatenetwork.org/">Climate Action Network</a> - says that <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.climatenetwork.org/climate-change-basics/CAN_FAB_Essentials.pdf"><strong>any time up to 2017</strong></a> is fine. WWF International <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.panda.org/what_we_do/footprint/climate_carbon_energy/climate_deal/2009_climate_copenhagen/what_must_be_done/what_must_be_agreed/">agree</a>. TckTckTck used to say 2017 too (as I <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/08/28/ngos-and-climate-change-shall-we-all-just-go-home/">noted </a>when they published their policy position); they’ve subsequently revised their target to <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://tcktcktck.org/about/the-deal-we-need">2015</a>, but still have documents on their website <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://tcktcktck.org/files/RealDeal-ConceptNote-EN.pdf">using the old date</a>. (Nothing like a consistent message, eh?)</p> <p>Be very clear: this isn’t just hair-splitting. Once the peak date for emissions slides beyond 2015 and towards 2020, according to the IPCC, we’re heading for a world that’s not 2.0-2.4 degrees C warmer, but <strong>2.4-2.8</strong> degrees C. That is what the environmental NGOs are arguing for. Shortly before they spend a fortnight calling everyone else at the Copenhagen summit ”<a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://tcktcktck.org/files/RealDeal-ConceptNote-EN.pdf">fossil of the day</a>“. It’s <em>breathtaking</em>.</p> <p>So, if you can’t make it to the summit but still want a way to take action and make your voice heard ahead of Copenhagen, how about this. First thing on Monday, get in touch with any environmental NGOs you support. Ask them their position on the global peak emissions date. And if it’s any later than 2015, then <strong>cancel your subscription. </strong></p> <p>I’m not kidding. Policymakers aren’t the only ones at Copenhagen who need to be held to account. If the green NGOs can’t get their figures right on something this fundamental, this <em>basic (</em>even as the development NGOs manage it just fine) then they need to – what’s that phrase from the Bali summit? – “<a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AdP1sFCDlFQ">leave it to the rest of us; please, get out of the way</a>“.</p> </p> <span class="authreadmore">December 6, 2009 at 3:57 am | More on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/climate-and-resource-scarcity/" title="View all posts in Climate and resource scarcity" rel="category tag">Climate and resource scarcity</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/globalsystem/" title="View all posts in Global system" rel="category tag">Global system</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/influence-and-networks/" title="View all posts in Influence and networks" rel="category tag">Influence and networks</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/06/environmental-ngos-peak-emissions-year/#respond" title="Comment on Why are environmental NGOs pushing for a later peak emissions year than the IPCC?">Comment</a></span>  <h3><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/04/welcome-to-gropenhagen/" rel="bookmark">Welcome to Gropenhagen</a> <small><a href="/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/alexevans/">Alex Evans</a></small></h3> <p><p>Newsflash just in from <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.spiegel.de/international/zeitgeist/0,1518,665182,00.html">Der Spiegel</a>:</p> <blockquote> <p id="spIntroTeaser">Copenhagen Mayor Ritt Bjerregaard sent postcards to city hotels warning summit guests not to patronize Danish sex workers during the upcoming conference. Now, the prostitutes have struck back, offering free sex to anyone who produces one of the warnings.</p> <p>Copenhagen’s city council in conjunction with Lord Mayor Ritt Bjerregaard sent postcards out to 160 Copenhagen hotels urging COP15 guests and delegates to ‘Be sustainable – don’t buy sex’. “Dear hotel owner, we would like to urge you not to arrange contacts between hotel guests and prostitutes,” the approach to hotels says.</p> <p>Now, Copenhagen prostitutes are up in arms, saying that the council has no business meddling in their affairs. They have now offered free sex to anyone who can produce one of the offending postcards and their COP15 identity card, according to the Web site avisen.dk.</p></blockquote> <p>Full marks for feistiness, tactical judgement and PR aplomb <em>there</em>, then. If this is any indication of the kind of screw-you approach the Danes will be taking to chairing the summit, then we’re in good hands. So to speak.</p> </p> <span class="authreadmore">December 4, 2009 at 4:49 pm | More on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/climate-and-resource-scarcity/" title="View all posts in Climate and resource scarcity" rel="category tag">Climate and resource scarcity</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/off-topic/" title="View all posts in Off topic" rel="category tag">Off topic</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/04/welcome-to-gropenhagen/#comments" title="Comment on Welcome to Gropenhagen">1 Comment</a></span>  <h3><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/04/space-based-solar-plant-gets-go-ahead/" rel="bookmark">Space-based solar plant gets go-ahead</a> <small><a href="/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/alexevans/">Alex Evans</a></small></h3> <p><p>From the NYT’s <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://greeninc.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/12/03/solar-plant-in-space-gets-go-ahead/">Green Inc</a> blog: </p> <blockquote><p>California regulators on Thursday went where no regulators have gone before — approving a utility contract for the nation’s <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://docs.cpuc.ca.gov/PUBLISHED/NEWS_RELEASE/110678.htm">first space-based solar power plant</a>.</p> <p>The 200-megawatt orbiting solar farm would convert solar energy collected in space into radio frequency waves, which would be beamed to a ground station near Fresno, Calif. The radio waves would then be transformed back into electricity and fed into the power grid.</p> <p>A Southern California start-up called Solaren will loft components for the solar power plant into orbit and sell the electricity it generates to Pacific Gas and Electric, the major utility in Northern California, under a 15-year contract. The project is supposed to be turned on in 2016.</p></blockquote> </p> <span class="authreadmore">December 4, 2009 at 3:42 pm | More on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/climate-and-resource-scarcity/" title="View all posts in Climate and resource scarcity" rel="category tag">Climate and resource scarcity</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/04/space-based-solar-plant-gets-go-ahead/#respond" title="Comment on Space-based solar plant gets go-ahead">Comment</a></span>  <h3><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/04/a-rough-guide-to-copenfailure-part-2/" rel="bookmark">A rough guide to Copenfailure (part 2)</a> <small><a href="/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/alexevans/">Alex Evans</a></small></h3> <p><p>Yesterday I published a post looking at <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/03/a-rough-guide-to-copenfailure-part-1/">how </a>the Copenhagen climate summit might fail. Today: <em>why </em>it might fail. <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/davidsteven/">David</a> and I have identified seven main drivers that could potentially lead to breakdown at Copenhagen – either alone or in combination with each other – as follows:</p> <p><em><strong>The US runs out of time</strong>. </em>Suppose that other countries judge that Healthcare looks set to pass early in the new year, leaving the Senate clear to agree a climate bill not long afterwards. In this scenario, while a deal isn’t doable at Copenhagen, countries could still leave the summit believing prospects are good for a follow-up (a ’<em>bis’ </em>in the jargon) – with no need for significant changes of approach or tactics. (Conversely, if countries think that healthcare is far from being settled, they might judge that with mid-terms looming during 2010, US assurances of domestic climate legislation are not credible – leaving Obama looking weakened.)<em></em></p> <p><em><strong>There isn’t enough shared awareness</strong></em>. In this scenario, the problem is simply that Parties weren’t frank enough with each other ahead of Copenhagen. While an ambitious deal does remain feasible, <em>much</em> more robust engagement is needed to bash out the fundamentals – especially between the US and China. (An alternative variant of this scenario would be that Parties’ willingness to deal becomes drowned by the sheer level of detail, so that the summit concludes with little clarity on who supports each element of an eventual deal.)<em></em></p> <p><em><strong>The fundamentals unravel</strong></em>. The US does its best to kill Kyoto. China won’t budge on targets (however fuzzy). The EU is incoherent, weak or simply unable to impose clarity. The G77 continues to slow the pace of negotiations, staging boycotts or walking out. Every time one outstanding issue seems solved, another pops up elsewhere in the text. Delegates leave Denmark unable to see even the <em>outline</em> of a deal.<em></em></p> <p><em><strong>China yet to come of age</strong>.</em> China acts true to type as “a big power with a medium power mindset, and a small power chip on its shoulder” (the phrase is the <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.economist.com/opinion/displaystory.cfm?story_id=14548871">Economist</a>’s). It plays to the G77 gallery, while failing either to make the UNFCCC process work for it or to take on a leadership role that could prod the US towards a deal. Or, on a similar note…</p> <p><em><strong>The G77 turns toxic</strong></em>. The G77, which came close to an eleventh hour split at Bali, has a turbulent time at Copenhagen, with the ‘national survival’ faction and ‘economic growth’ factions at each others’ throats. Unity is maintained by lashing out at Annex 1 countries.<em></em></p> <p><em><strong>Blockers prevail</strong></em>. Saudi Arabia flies in under the radar to stop the talks reaching an endgame (the general suspicion in the climate process is that instructions from Riyadh tel negotiators to do as much as they can to undermine a deal without going so far as to be identified publicly as the cause of a failure). Or Russia plays its customary volatile role. Or Canada responds to the logic of its terrible domestic position on emissions.</p> <p>But here’s the one that’s arguably most likely, and maybe most worrying:</p> <p><strong><em>Neither the US nor China are ready to deal seriously</em></strong>. The US and China could agree between themselves to settle for a low-ambition deal, maybe based on national ‘pledge-and-review’ rather than on binding targets and timetables – in the process leaving Europe and other proponents of a serious deal outflanked and on the sidelines.</p> <p>More on that in the next post. But for now, here’s something to reflect on: </p> <p>According to the last IPCC report, stabilising global average warming at 2.0 – 2.4 degrees C means that CO2 concentrations must be limited to 350-400 ppm, and concentrations for <em>all </em>greenhouse gases at 445-490 ppm.</p> <p>In fact, though, as an <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.climateactiontracker.org/">analysis out this morning</a> from Climate Analytics and Ecofys shows, the emission commitments and pledges put forward by countries in the run-up to the summit put the world on track for CO2 concentrations of 650 ppm; total greenhouse gas concentrations of 800 ppm; and global warming of <strong>well over 3 degrees C</strong>.</p> </p> <span class="authreadmore">December 4, 2009 at 10:51 am | More on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/climate-and-resource-scarcity/" title="View all posts in Climate and resource scarcity" rel="category tag">Climate and resource scarcity</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/04/a-rough-guide-to-copenfailure-part-2/#comments" title="Comment on A rough guide to Copenfailure (part 2)">1 Comment</a></span>  <h3><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/04/climate-injustice/" rel="bookmark">Climate injustice</a> <small><a href="/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/leohorn/">Leo Horn</a></small></h3> <p><p style="text-align: left">Here’s what the world looks like if country sizes were proportional to their emissions (world map scaled to fossil-fuel carbon-dioxide emissions in 2002):</p> <p style="text-align: center"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-12366" title="UNFPA_1" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://www.globaldashboard.org/wp-content/uploads/UNFPA_1.jpg" alt="UNFPA_1" width="377" height="157"/></p> <p style="text-align: left">And here’s what the world looks like if countries were sized commensurately with the burden of climate change impacts (world map scaled by the World Health Organization’s regional estimates of per capita mortality from late 20th century climate change):</p> <p style="text-align: center"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-12367" title="UNFPA_2" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://www.globaldashboard.org/wp-content/uploads/UNFPA_2.jpg" alt="UNFPA_2" width="375" height="157"/></p> <p>These maps were drawn from the recently released UN Population Fund (UNFPA) <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.unfpa.org/swp/2009/en/pdf/EN_SOWP09.pdf ">‘State of World Population 2009′ report</a>, which focuses on the theme of women, population and climate change. While the developed countries have contributed the most to human-induced climate change up to now, people in poor countries—most dramatically in Africa—already are much more likely to die as a result of the climate change that occurred up to 2000.</p> <p>The picture is significantly more skewed if we were to take account of (i) historical emissions; (ii) the unequal burden of <em>future </em>climate impacts.</p> </p> <span class="authreadmore">December 4, 2009 at 3:57 am | More on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/climate-and-resource-scarcity/" title="View all posts in Climate and resource scarcity" rel="category tag">Climate and resource scarcity</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/economics-and-development/" title="View all posts in Economics and development" rel="category tag">Economics and development</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/04/climate-injustice/#comments" title="Comment on Climate injustice">5 Comments</a></span>  <h3><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/03/a-rough-guide-to-copenfailure-part-1/" rel="bookmark">A rough guide to Copenfailure (part 1)</a> <small><a href="/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/alexevans/">Alex Evans</a></small></h3> <p><p>With three days to go until Copenhagen begins, there’s increasing awareness that the likeliest scenario is that Copenhagen will fail to produce a robust deal on climate change. So here at Global Dashboard, we thought we’d run a series of posts that start us out on thinking about what comes next. If Copenhagen isn’t destined to succeed, then what are the ways in which it could fail? Which failure scenarios leave us in better shape for success at a later date? What does success actually look like? And how can we get there from where we are now?</p> <p>So let’s start with how it could go wrong. We think there are three ways that the summit itself could fail – and two additional ways in which it could fail over the longer term. Start with what could go wrong in Copenhagen:</p> <p>- First, we could see a <em><strong>Bali #2</strong> – </em>in other words, talks conclude with a high level political declaration that’s spun as a breakthrough, but that actually has little more content than the Bali Action Plan that negotiators agreed in 2007. All the tough issues would be deferred to a COP15 <em>bis</em> follow-up conference<em>, </em>or indeed to COP16 in December 2010 – or for that matter to an ongoing process like the Marrakech talks that followed Kyoto to hammer out the technical ‘rule book’.</p> <p>- Second, we could find ourselves facing a <em><strong>Bad Deal</strong></em> – a situation in which a headline deal (with actual numbers) is agreed, but ambition is far below what’s needed to put the world on track for average warming to stay below two degrees C.</p> <p>- Third, we could end up in a <em><strong>Car Crash</strong></em> – a scenario in which the talks end in outright collapse, with or without a commitment to keep talking.</p> <p>As important as how the summit itself could fail, though, is the question of what happens next. One possibility is that failure at Copenhagen leads to a breakthrough, which is then followed by smooth and successful implementation (<em>Good Deal</em>). But two rather less attractive scenarios are also possible:</p> <p>- First, the process could become the <em><strong>Multilateral Zombie</strong></em> that we talked about in our paper (<a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://globaldashboard.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/Institutional_architecture_climate_change.pdf">pdf</a>) on climate institutions earlier in the year: so despite efforts to resurrect the process at a COP15 <em>bis </em>(or later in the process), the requisite political will never materialises, and the UNFCCC process becomes a zombie – staggering on, never quite dying – just like the Doha trade round before it.</p> <p>- Alternatively, it could succumb to <em><strong>Death by Climatocracy</strong> – </em>in which<em> </em>an apparently ambitious deal fails during implementation, with inadequate attention paid to the supporting institutional infrastructure, and the deal slowly collapsing under the weight of its own complexity.</p> <p>In our next posts, we’ll look at what might prompt a slide into any of these scenarios, and at what policymakers and campaigners can do about it.</p> <p>But for now, one parting thought: <em>not all failures are equal</em>. Some outcomes boost the prospects of eventual success. Others, as discussed above, push the climate process towards semi-permanent dysfunction, an equilibrium that may only be shifted by future climate catastrophe. </p> <p>It’s time to start looking failure in the face – and asking which kind of failures could be used as the springboard for meaningful action, and how.</p> <p><em>Find Part 2 of this series <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/04/a-rough-guide-to-copenfailure-part-2/">here</a>.</em></p> </p> <span class="authreadmore">December 3, 2009 at 3:14 pm | More on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/climate-and-resource-scarcity/" title="View all posts in Climate and resource scarcity" rel="category tag">Climate and resource scarcity</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/influence-and-networks/" title="View all posts in Influence and networks" rel="category tag">Influence and networks</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/03/a-rough-guide-to-copenfailure-part-1/#comments" title="Comment on A rough guide to Copenfailure (part 1)">1 Comment</a></span>  <h3><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/03/the-ft-trashes-the-cdm-endorses-per-capita-convergence/" rel="bookmark">The FT trashes the CDM, endorses per capita convergence</a> <small><a href="/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/alexevans/">Alex Evans</a></small></h3> <p><p>The FT’s <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/1898e1c2-df77-11de-98ca-00144feab49a.html?nclick_check=1">leader </a>on Copenhagen this morning was <em>exactly </em>right. First it trashed the CDM (see <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/?s=clean+development+mechanism">here </a>for CDM-trashing here on Global Dashboard over the last two years):</p> <blockquote><p>The CDM inherits the UN’s suffocating bureaucracy, so smaller projects struggle to gain approval. But more important than what it keeps out is what it lets in. The criterion of “additionality” is supposed to rule out projects that would not be undertaken without CDM payments. Not only is this counterfactual approach utterly unverifiable; it is also an ideal target for gaming.</p></blockquote> <p>And then it suggests an approach based on a stabilisation target, a safe global emissions budget, and binding targets for all allocated on the basis of ultimate convergence to equal per capita entitlements as what we should be doing instead (<a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/?s=convergence+capita">ditto</a>):</p> <blockquote><p>…the solution to the CDM’s problems is more carbon trading, not less. It matters little for the climate where or what activities greenhouse gas emissions come from. But it matters enormously for the cost of cutting them. That is why the best solution is a global emissions cap and tradeable national quotas (ultimately based on equal per capita amounts) coupled with a scientific mechanism for measuring national emissions.</p></blockquote> <p><em>Bravo</em>, FT. Expect my subscription renewal forthwith.</p> </p> <span class="authreadmore">December 3, 2009 at 9:29 am | More on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/climate-and-resource-scarcity/" title="View all posts in Climate and resource scarcity" rel="category tag">Climate and resource scarcity</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/03/the-ft-trashes-the-cdm-endorses-per-capita-convergence/#respond" title="Comment on The FT trashes the CDM, endorses per capita convergence">Comment</a></span>  <h3><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/02/afghanistan-does-july-2011-mean-july-2011/" rel="bookmark">Afghanistan: does July 2011 mean July 2011?</a> <small><a href="/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/richardgowan/">Richard Gowan</a></small></h3> <p><p>Yesterday, President Obama announced the U.S. would start drawing down in Afghanistan by July 2011. Sounds pretty specific, huh? Or maybe not. Here are extracts from the <a title="NYT link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/12/02/gates-clinton-dire-danger-but-limited-goals/?hp" target="_blank"><em>NYT</em>’s (first-class) live blogging</a> of today’s Senate hearing on the plan, starring Hillary Clinton and Robert Gates plus Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, Admiral Mullen:</p> <blockquote><p><strong>9:55 a.m.</strong> Senator McCain sharply questions Admiral Mullen and Mr. Gates about the president’s announcement that a drawdown of troops would begin by July 2011. The senator grilled the military leaders, saying he found it contradictory that on the one hand, a decision to withdraw would depend on evaluating conditions on the ground and on the other, a withdrawal timeline was in place. “Which is it?” Mr. McCain asked, asserting “you can’t have both.”</p> <p>Mr. Gates told the senator that the military would do a thorough review in December of 2010 to evaluate whether the withdrawal objective could be met. But Mr. McCain, who has derided the idea of a withdrawal timetable at this juncture, said that a specific date – without clarifying that more evaluation will be needed before withdrawing – gave the “wrong impression” to the American public, soldiers and to the enemy.</p></blockquote> <p>Why July 2011 anyway?</p> <blockquote><p><strong>10:25 a.m.</strong> Secretary Gates interjects that the July 2011 withdrawal date was arrived at, in part, because it will then be two years since the Marines arrived in Helmand.</p></blockquote> <p>That feels just a bit arbitrary, doesn’t it?</p> <blockquote><p><strong>12:18 p.m.</strong> About that July 2011 target date for beginning to withdraw — how does it square with the idea that the actual conditions at the time will determine what happens? Several Senators have wanted to know that. Here are some of the answers from the witnesses. Mr. Gates: “I think the president, as commander in chief, always has the option to adjust his decisions.” Admiral Mullen: “The president has choices, as the president.” Mrs. Clinton: “It is the best assessment of our military experts — as evidenced by Secretary Gates and Admiral Mullen, General Petraeus, General McChrystal and others — that by July 2011, there can be the beginning of a responsible transition that will of course be based on conditions.” The real point of the target, she suggested, was to make sure that the Afghans know we don’t want to occupy their country.</p></blockquote> <p>This one could run and run…</p> </p> <span class="authreadmore">December 2, 2009 at 8:50 pm | More on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/conflict-and-security/" title="View all posts in Conflict and security" rel="category tag">Conflict and security</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/region/europe-and-central-asia/" title="View all posts in Europe and Central Asia" rel="category tag">Europe and Central Asia</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/region/north-america/" title="View all posts in North America" rel="category tag">North America</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/02/afghanistan-does-july-2011-mean-july-2011/#respond" title="Comment on Afghanistan: does July 2011 mean July 2011?">Comment</a></span>  <h3><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/02/obama-speaks-in-numbers/" rel="bookmark">Obama Speaks (in numbers)!</a> <small><a href="/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/richardgowan/">Richard Gowan</a></small></h3> <p><p>So, we have <a title="BBC link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8389849.stm" target="_blank">the speech on Afghanistan</a>. The official text was, according to my computer, about 4,600 words. How many times did certain words appear?</p> <p><em><strong>Afghanistan:</strong> </em>44 times</p> <p><strong><em>America:</em> </strong>20 times</p> <p><strong><em>Terror and/or terrorism and/or terrorist:</em></strong> 3 times</p> <p><strong><em>NATO: </em></strong>3 times</p> <p><strong><em>China and/or India:</em></strong> 0</p> <p><strong><em>Europe:</em> </strong>0</p> <p><strong><em>Victory and/or exit:</em></strong> 0</p> </p> <span class="authreadmore">December 2, 2009 at 4:13 am | More on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/conflict-and-security/" title="View all posts in Conflict and security" rel="category tag">Conflict and security</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/cooperation-and-coherence/" title="View all posts in Cooperation and coherence" rel="category tag">Cooperation and coherence</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/region/europe-and-central-asia/" title="View all posts in Europe and Central Asia" rel="category tag">Europe and Central Asia</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/region/north-america/" title="View all posts in North America" rel="category tag">North America</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/02/obama-speaks-in-numbers/#respond" title="Comment on Obama Speaks (in numbers)!">Comment</a></span>  <h3><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/01/putting-the-eu-back-in-eurasia/" rel="bookmark">Putting the “EU” back in Eurasia?</a> <small><a href="/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/richardgowan/">Richard Gowan</a></small></h3> <p><p>Ninety minutes from now, Barack Obama will give his Afghanistan speech, and almost certainly say he wants NATO allies to send 10,000 more troops to match 30,000 new U.S. personnel. It’s a bit iffy, but my guess is that he’ll get about half that number from the Europeans. This will make everyone feel good about transatlantic cooperation after a few months of stories about how <a title="ECFR link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.ecfr.eu/content/entry/towards_a_post-american_europe_a_power_audit_of_eu-us_relations_shapiro_whi" target="_blank">America doesn’t love Europe any more</a>. </p> <p>But, as I argue in <a title="Pragati link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://http//pragati.nationalinterest.in/2009/12/battling-strategic-irrelevance/" target="_blank">a new piece for the Indian magazine <em>Pragati</em></a> this week, the fact that NATO will cough up a few more troops shouldn’t conceal the lack of a real strategic debate in Europe about Afghanistan:</p> <blockquote><p>The quality of strategic debate on Afghan affairs in EU capitals is far lower than that in Washington. “We ask what pulling out of Afghanistan would mean for the transatlantic alliance,” one respected French strategist admits, “but not what it’d do to Afghanistan.”</p> <p>He could go further. Although European commentators are typically well-informed about Pakistan’s instability, they rarely put “AfPak” in a wider strategic regional context.</p> <p>How would a NATO failure in Afghanistan affect relations between China and India? What impact would it have on Russia’s Central Asian ambitions, or Iran’s defiance of the West? These are not questions you are likely to hear seriously discussed in Europe.</p></blockquote> <p>Why so? Here are a few possible reasons:</p> <blockquote><p>Defence intellectuals and politicians share an underlying duty of care for soldiers in the field. If—as many European observers have concluded—those soldiers are being killed for a lost cause in Afghanistan, it would be immoral not to prioritise their welfare and sacrifices.</p> <p>But power politics has to be factored in too. And the Afghan case confronts Europeans with the harsh fact that their global power is diminished. Yes, they could fly more troops to Central Asia. But they would still be secondary players (by a very long distance) to the Americans—and China and India would still have far greater influence in the region.</p> <p>European analysts who see Afghanistan in transatlantic terms (“What does this do to NATO?”) are in denial on this point. The future of Afghanistan is clearly of far greater significance to the triangular strategic relationship between China, India and the United States than it is to European affairs. But no-one likes to admit they are a second-order issue.</p></blockquote> <p>I’m not the first person to argue that the EU should measure its global influence by Asian metrics. I’ve previously cited the work of James Rogers <a title="GD link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/06/02/can-the-eu-play-battleships/" target="_blank">here</a> – he focuses on maritime security, and the Indian Ocean in particular. James blogs at <a title="EG link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://europeangeostrategy.ideasoneurope.eu/" target="_blank">European Geostrategy</a> – a new outlet with lots of good contributors – and so does <a title="EG 2" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://europeangeostrategy.ideasoneurope.eu/luis-simon/" target="_blank">Luis Simon</a>, who has been thinking about <a title="EG link 3" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://europeangeostrategy.ideasoneurope.eu/2009/09/02/offshore-power-europe/" target="_blank">the EU’s place in Eurasia</a>. I recommend their stuff.</p> <p>But I also recommend <a title="TV link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.esharp.eu/Web-specials/The-EU-s-last-hurrah-on-Iran" target="_blank">another new piece by Tomas Valasek of CER on European policy towards Iran</a> – which obviously rivals Afghanistan as a test of Europe’s relevance in the Eurasian wilds. He has a warning for the EU’s new foreign policy chief:</p> <blockquote><p>Catherine Ashton, like Javier Solana before her, will be expected to maintain dialogue with Tehran while the UN debates sanctions, and after the Security Council agrees a new regime. But one wonders if this is the EU’s last hurrah on Iran. If the combination of sanctions and talks fails, and if Israel strikes Iran’s nuclear facilities, Tehran will certainly call off the EU-led talks. The other choice before the world is to start working on containing a nuclear Iran, by making its neighbours feel secure (so as to discourage them from building nuclear weapons themselves). But this will almost certainly be a job mainly for the US, rather than the EU. So while Baroness Ashton will spend a lot of time on Iran at the beginning of her term, the EU may gradually lose its leading role.</p></blockquote> <p>We can add that to the list of “scenarios we aren’t thinking enough about”…</p> </p> <span class="authreadmore">December 1, 2009 at 11:29 pm | More on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/conflict-and-security/" title="View all posts in Conflict and security" rel="category tag">Conflict and security</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/region/east-asia-and-pacific/" title="View all posts in East Asia and Pacific" rel="category tag">East Asia and Pacific</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/region/europe-and-central-asia/" title="View all posts in Europe and Central Asia" rel="category tag">Europe and Central Asia</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/region/north-america/" title="View all posts in North America" rel="category tag">North America</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/01/putting-the-eu-back-in-eurasia/#respond" title="Comment on Putting the “EU” back in Eurasia?">Comment</a></span>  <h3><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/01/wall-street-ready-for-war/" rel="bookmark">Wall Street ready for war</a> <small><a href="/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/richardgowan/">Richard Gowan</a></small></h3> <p><p>From <a title="Bloomberg link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&sid=ahD2WoDAL9h0" target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>…</p> <blockquote><p>“I just wrote my first reference for a gun permit,” said a friend, who told me of swearing to the good character of a Goldman Sachs Group Inc. banker who applied to the local police for a permit to buy a pistol. The banker had told this friend of mine that senior Goldman people have loaded up on firearms and are now equipped to defend themselves if there is a populist uprising against the bank.</p> <p>I called Goldman Sachs spokesman Lucas van Praag to ask whether it’s true that Goldman partners feel they need handguns to protect themselves from the angry proletariat. He didn’t call me back. The New York Police Department has told me that “as a preliminary matter” it believes some of the bankers I inquired about do have pistol permits.</p></blockquote> <p>Uh-oh. Next we’ll hear that Goldman partners are getting together at weekends to watch classic Kurt Russell movies…</p> <p style="text-align: center"><img class="aligncenter" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://img.listal.com/image/852/600full-escape-from-new-york-poster.jpg" alt="" width="267" height="385"/></p> </p> <span class="authreadmore">December 1, 2009 at 9:28 pm | More on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/conflict-and-security/" title="View all posts in Conflict and security" rel="category tag">Conflict and security</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/economics-and-development/" title="View all posts in Economics and development" rel="category tag">Economics and development</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/region/north-america/" title="View all posts in North America" rel="category tag">North America</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/off-topic/" title="View all posts in Off topic" rel="category tag">Off topic</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/12/01/wall-street-ready-for-war/#comments" title="Comment on Wall Street ready for war">2 Comments</a></span>  <h3><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/11/30/a-new-war-in-africa/" rel="bookmark">A new war in Africa – part 2</a> <small><a href="/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/markweston/">Mark Weston</a></small></h3> <p><p>The UN is pessimistic about the situation in Guinea. In Tambacounda last night, in the south-eastern wastes of Senegal, I met a World Food Programme employee from Dakar. Like everyone else in this one-horse town, he was on his way somewhere else, in this case to Kedougou, near the border with Guinea. He is going to investigate whether there are sufficient telecoms and internet facilities there, in case war breaks out in Guinea and a flood of refugees pours into Senegal. Similar preparations are taking place in Guinea-Bissau, Mali, Sierra Leone and Liberia.</p> <p>The UN’s caution may be well-founded. Guinea’s increasingly-unhinged leader, Dadis Camara, has recruited South African mercenaries to train his supporters in the art of war, in case the majority Peul population decides it has had enough of him and moves to unseat him from power. I asked the WFP man what the Senegalese government’s position is. He said that the president, Abdoulaye Wade, supported Camara when he took over last December, and has maintained a discreet silence since. “Guinea is rich in resources,” he explained. “It doesn’t pay to antagonise those who control them.”</p> </p> <span class="authreadmore">November 30, 2009 at 11:12 am | More on <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/region/africa/" title="View all posts in Africa" rel="category tag">Africa</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/conflict-and-security/" title="View all posts in Conflict and security" rel="category tag">Conflict and security</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/11/30/a-new-war-in-africa/#respond" title="Comment on A new war in Africa – part 2">Comment</a></span>  <br/> <p><div class="wp-pagenavi"> <span class="pages">Page 1 of 139</span><span class="current">1</span><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/page/2/" class="page" title="2">2</a><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/page/3/" class="page" title="3">3</a><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/page/2/">»</a><span class="extend">...</span><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/page/139/" class="last" title="Last »">Last »</a></div> </p> </div> </div> <div id="midcolumn"> <div class="gd_reading"><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://www.globaldashboard.org/wp-content/themes/gd2/images/gd_reading.gif"/></div> <div class="subbox">  <div class="simplepie"><span class="date">06/12 19:52</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/dec/06/copenhagen-editorial">'Fourteen days to seal history's judgment on this generation' | Comment is free | The Guardian</a> "Today 56 newspapers in 45 countries take the unprecedented step of speaking with one voice through a common editorial. We do so because humanity faces a profound emergency."<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">06/12 19:45</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.ipcc-wg1.unibe.ch/WGIstatement_Final.html">IPCC statement on leaked UEA climate emails</a> "IPCC WGI firmly stands behind its unique procedures and behind the scientific community and their collective work which has been, and continues to be, the basis of unbiased, open and transparent asse. […]<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">06/12 18:49</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://ictsd.org/i/global-platform/bridges-copenhagen-updates/bridges-copenhagen-updates-english/64652/">ICTSD • Bridges Copenhagen Update | Copenhagen Curtain Raiser: The Perfect Storm</a> Helpful backgrounder from the excellent International Centre for Trade and Sustainable Development<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">03/12 10:33</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/guest_contributors/article6941566.ece">At last. Obama’s vision offers hope for all sides | The Times</a> Clare Lockhart: "Mr Obama’s speech balances nurturing Afghan governance at all levels with a tough stance on accountability."<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">02/12 07:58</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.huffingtonpost.com/nassim-nicholas-taleb/good-bye-the-reappointmen_b_374576.html">Nassim Nicholas Taleb bids farewell</a> A heartbreaking 'Goodbye Cruel World' from the world's favourite doomster. Seems we'll only be hearing from him in future when he has a book to market. (No change then.)<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">01/12 04:09</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2009/11/30/the_fp_top_100_global_thinkers?page=full">First Annual List of the 100 Top Global Thinkers | Foreign Policy magazine</a> Barack Obama (no. 2), David Kilcullen (no. 44), Gordon Brown (no. 74)<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">25/11 06:48</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/comments/a733s/iama_guy_who_dropped_out_from_the_rat_race_didnt/">More IAMA from Reddit...</a> "IAMA guy who dropped out from the rat race. Didn't have a job in about 5 years, and yet I keep a middle class facade. I am 90% self sufficient food-wise and energy-wise. Ask me anything"<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">25/11 05:32</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://thelede.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/11/25/qaddafi-selected-to-mediate-between-algeria-and-egypt/">Qaddafi to Mediate Between Algeria and Egypt - The Lede Blog - NYTimes.com</a> God help Algeria and Egypt<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">25/11 05:32</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/24/opinion/24iht-edcohen.html?_r=1&adxnnl=1&adxnnlx=1259074848-mzi9hjHGk9jwSrEqC2zLJQ">Obama in His Labyrinth - NYTimes.com</a> Kissinger: “[Obama] reminds me of a chess grandmaster who has played his opening in six simultaneous games. But he hasn’t completed a single game and I’d like to see him finish one.”<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">24/11 12:16</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.economist.com/sciencetechnology/displayStory.cfm?story_id=14952992&source=features_box_main">AIDS: Turning the screw some more | The Economist</a> New infections have dropped globally by 17% since 2001 (even if Africa, infections are down 15%); and the total of AIDS-relateed deaths is down 10% in 5 years.<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">24/11 10:30</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article6929750.ece">Chilcot Iraq Inquiry, day 1: best of the evidence - Times Online</a> “I remember conversations with my French and Russian colleagues saying ’You know, if you don’t agree to this, where this is going’. And each time they always agreed three months too late.”<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">23/11 06:23</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://beta.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/article48220.ece">A Nobel Prize for Political Science | The Hindu</a> Jorge Heine: "the analytical and methodological toolkit of economists is by no means the only one available to map out the road towards improving our comprehension of social problems. "<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">23/11 04:43</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/86a7ca6a-d794-11de-b578-00144feabdc0.html">Could sovereign debt be the new subprime? | FT</a> Gilian Tett: "as policymakers rush to implement reforms in response to one financial calamity, they are apt to create distortions that pave the way for the next disaster."<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">23/11 04:34</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/nov/22/maynard-keynes-wealth-economics">How much money is enough? | Guardian</a> Robert Skidelsky: "The accumulation of wealth, which should be a means to the 'good life,' becomes an end in itself because it destroys many of the things that make life worth living."<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">22/11 02:55</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://arstechnica.com/science/news/2009/11/ibm-makes-supercomputer-significantly-smarter-than-cat.ars?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss">IBM makes supercomputer significantly smarter than cat</a> But working out how to use such a massive simulation proves difficult.<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">21/11 09:36</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/politics/defence/6617358/Tories-to-pull-British-forces-out-of-Germany.html">Tories to pull British forces out of Germany - Telegraph</a> Did I miss something? Has the Cold War ended?<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">18/11 05:22</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://euobserver.com/9/29000">EU top jobs summit could drag on for days | EUobserver</a> Cecilia Malmstrom, Swedish EU affairs minister: "I wouldn't say it's a complete mess, but there's no agreement still"<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">18/11 05:04</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/?p=72148&preview=true">New Prospect poll: The rise of Britain’s liberal “twittering classes” | Prospect Magazine</a> Twitterers in Britain have a "strongly liberal and civil libertarian bias".<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">18/11 05:02</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2009/11/beyond_security.html">Schneier on Security: Beyond Security Theater</a> The incentives are lined up against the most effective responses to risk.<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">17/11 03:28</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://thelede.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/11/16/americas-first-cannabis-cafe-open/">America’s First Cannabis Cafe Open - The Lede Blog - NYTimes.com</a> Last Friday, the first coffee house in the United States allowing licensed users of medical marijuana to sit down and smoke, opened for business in Portland, Ore.<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">16/11 14:44</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://features.csmonitor.com/innovation/2009/11/16/modern-warfare-2-apparently-nixed-by-russian-authorities/">Modern Warfare 2 apparently nixed by Russian authorities | csmonitor.com</a> Russian government less than happy about videogame's "portrayal of Russia’s armed forces as terrorists who invade the US and erect statues of dead terrorists in Washington"<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">15/11 08:49</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b00nsgjf">BBC Radio 4 Programmes - Food Programme, 30th Anniversary</a> On which GD's Alex Evans rambles on about feeding the nine billion<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">13/11 03:48</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.prweek.com/uk/news/966228/Senior-Tories-look-exit-special-adviser-list-emerges/">Senior Tories look for exit as Francis Maude compiles special adviser list - PR and Public Relations news - PR Week</a> Cabinet Ministers will only get one special adviser each (rather than 2, as now) - focused only on policy, as all media special advisers will be based in No 10. That's the plan, anyway<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">13/11 03:36</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://ourworld.unu.edu/en/creative-energy-descent/">Creative energy descent: Not a collapse, more like evolution | OurWorld 2.0</a> UNU's Brendan Barrett sets out an excellent discussion of what lies on the other side of the peak<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">12/11 11:41</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://irishsoccerinsider.wordpress.com/">French and Irish fall out over ‘box’ incident</a> Sarkozy insulted. Major diplomatic incident brewing.<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">12/11 11:35</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.europeanvoice.com/article/imported/member-states-failing-to-meet-aid-targets/66388.aspx">Member states failing to meet aid targets | European Voice</a> Only five of the 27 EU member states are likely to meet their development aid targets for 2010.<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">12/11 11:31</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.newstatesman.com/economy/2009/11/160-uncertainty-crisis">Interview: Robert Skidelsky | New Statesman</a> "I don't think there is a fiscal crisis. I think it's an invention", argues Keynes' biographer<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">12/11 09:35</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/11/10/AR2009111017588.html">China hacked Obama campaign's computers</a> FBI told campaign: "You've got a problem. Somebody's trying to get inside your systems." McCain had same problem. Allegedly.<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">12/11 06:15</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.tnr.com/article/politics/the-should-we-stay-or-should-we-go-matrix?utm_source=TNR+Daily&utm_campaign=dafe10472f-TNR_Daily_11040911_4_2009&utm_medium=email">The 'Should We Stay Or Should We Go?' Matrix</a> Where top US opinion-makers stand on the Afghanistan question.<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">12/11 04:12</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.cup.cam.ac.uk/us/catalogue/catalogue.asp?isbn=9780521761734">Violence and Social Orders - Cambridge University Press</a> Current cult reading among development nerds<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">12/11 04:12</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.vanityfair.com/culture/features/2009/12/gladwell-200912">December 2009: Craig Brown on Malcolm Gladwell | vanityfair.com</a> As the FT's Clive Crook observes of this piece: perfect.<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">11/11 18:06</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://m.ft.com/maverecon/2009/11/gold-a-six-thousand-year-old-bubble?catid=145&SID=6e8ccb29f39e67e750e67774e4a4ce33">Gold - a six thousand year-old bubble - Willem Buiter</a> The wonders, mysteries and evils of gold.<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">11/11 14:53</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.informationisbeautiful.net/visualizations/2012-the-end-of-the-world/">2012: The End Of The World?</a> Whether or not you're interested in the 2012 apocalypse, this is a ravishing infographic.<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">11/11 13:04</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/worldnews/article-1226694/Russian-cannibal-ate-mother-given-lighter-sentence-judge-says-starving-needed-eat.html?ITO=1490">Russian cannibal who ate his mother</a> Apparently, the guy was given lighter sentence by judge who says 'he was starving, he needed to eat'.<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">11/11 11:29</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/nov/10/brazil-emissions">Brazil pledges deep emission cuts in 'political gesture' to rich nations | Environment | guardian.co.uk</a> Brazil offers 40% below 2020 business as usual scenario - though don't fall into the trap of comparing that with the EU's 30% offer (which is below 1990 rather than 2020 levels)<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">11/11 08:15</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/article6911956.ece">Millions left in the dark as massive power failure strikes Brazil - Times Online</a> How critical infrastructure is vulnerable to climate impacts (in this case, a severe storm that uprooted trees and caused a massive hydro dam to go off-line)<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">11/11 08:14</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/nov/09/peak-oil-international-energy-agency">Key oil figures were distorted by US pressure, says whistleblower | Environment | The Guardian</a> Anonymous senior IEA officials say we're already in peak oil zone<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">11/11 04:06</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/daniel_finkelstein/article6911602.ece">You created this job, David Miliband. You should do it | Times</a> Daniel Finkelstein: "The Lisbon treaty is your work as much as anyone’s. You pushed it through and you told everyone that it really mattered."<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">10/11 17:57</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.technologyreview.com/TR35/Profile.aspx?Cand=T&TRID=764">Expensive chips from Shrinky Dinks</a> A wonderful tale of bodging.<div class="postspace"></div><span class="date">10/11 05:51</span> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/datablog/2009/nov/10/energy-statistics-oil-coal">Are we running out of oil? The world in energy statistics</a> The amount of proven oil reserves awaiting to be exploited fell last year for the first time in a decade, according to the BP figures.<div class="postspace"></div> <span class="date">Source: <img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://pipes.yahoo.com/favicon.ico" alt="GLOABL Dashboard Reading List" title="GLOABL Dashboard Reading List"/> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://pipes.yahoo.com/pipes/pipe.info?_id=1767d9ae65091ded5f7471431ed2535e" title="Web pages that have caught our eye...">Pipes</a></span> </div> </div> <div class="subbox">  <div class="gd_reading"><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://www.globaldashboard.org/wp-content/themes/gd2/images/gd_articles.gif" alt="Articles & Publications"/></div> <div class="toppost"> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/08/26/scarcity-security-and-institutional-reform/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Scarcity, security and institutional reform"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/08/26/scarcity-security-and-institutional-reform/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Scarcity, security and institutional reform" class="title"> Scarcity, security and institutional reform</a></h5> <p><p>Presentation by Alex Evans to a seminar organised for the UN Department of Political Affairs by the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (August 2009)</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/07/09/the-resilience-doctrine/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to The Resilience Doctrine"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/07/09/the-resilience-doctrine/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to The Resilience Doctrine" class="title"> The Resilience Doctrine</a></h5> <p><p>Article on risk and resilience – part of a special in World Politics Review on risk and resilience in a globalized age (July 2009)</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/05/10/an-institutional-architecture-for-climate-change/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to An Institutional Architecture for Climate Change"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/05/10/an-institutional-architecture-for-climate-change/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to An Institutional Architecture for Climate Change" class="title"> An Institutional Architecture for Climate Change</a></h5> <p><p>Report exploring the future international institutional requirements for managing climate change, and including three scenarios for climate institutions between now and 2030. Commissioned by the UK Department for International Development. (May 2009)</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/02/17/risks-resilience-new-global-era/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Risks and Resilience in the New Global Era"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/02/17/risks-resilience-new-global-era/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Risks and Resilience in the New Global Era" class="title"> Risks and Resilience in the New Global Era</a></h5> <p><p>Article exploring resilience as a political agenda – part of a special edition of Renewal on the transformation of foreign policy (February 2009)</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/01/30/climate-cities/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to A Tale of Two Cities"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/01/30/climate-cities/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to A Tale of Two Cities" class="title"> A Tale of Two Cities</a></h5> <p><p>Climate and cities think piece, co-authored by David Steven and the British Council’s Peter Upton (29 January 2009)</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/01/26/the-feeding-of-the-nine-billion/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to The Feeding of the Nine Billion"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/01/26/the-feeding-of-the-nine-billion/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to The Feeding of the Nine Billion" class="title"> The Feeding of the Nine Billion</a></h5> <p><p>Chatham House pamphlet by Alex Evans on how scarcity issues will shape the outlook for global food production, and the actions that policymakers need to take at the international level and in developing countries to ensure food security in the 21st century</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/01/21/2009-a-year-for-international-reform/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to 2009 – A Year for International Reform"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/01/21/2009-a-year-for-international-reform/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to 2009 – A Year for International Reform" class="title"> 2009 – A Year for International Reform</a></h5> <p><p>Paper by David Steven, presented to “Reforming International Institutions – Meeting the Challenges of the 21st Century,” a conference organized by the United Nations University and the British Embassy in Tokyo (Jan 2009).</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/11/25/food-prices-what-next/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Food prices: what next?"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/11/25/food-prices-what-next/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Food prices: what next?" class="title"> Food prices: what next?</a></h5> <p><p>Speech by Alex Evans at the Tomorrow Network (25 November 2008)</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/11/15/a-bretton-woods-ii-worthy-of-the-name/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to A Bretton Woods II Worthy of the Name"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/11/15/a-bretton-woods-ii-worthy-of-the-name/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to A Bretton Woods II Worthy of the Name" class="title"> A Bretton Woods II Worthy of the Name</a></h5> <p><p>Paper by Alex Evans and David Steven on financial reform and wider multilateralism, published ahead of the G20 ‘Bretton Woods II’ Summit (November 2008).</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/10/08/the-future-of-resilience/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to The Future of Resilience"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/10/08/the-future-of-resilience/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to The Future of Resilience" class="title"> The Future of Resilience</a></h5> <p><p>Speech by David Steven to RUSI Conference on UK Resilience (8 October 2008)</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/07/11/towards-a-theory-of-influence/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Towards a Theory of Influence"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/07/11/towards-a-theory-of-influence/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Towards a Theory of Influence" class="title"> Towards a Theory of Influence</a></h5> <p><p>Chapter by Alex Evans and David Steven in the Foreign & Commonwealth Office publication, ‘Engagement: public diplomacy in a globalised world’ (July 2008).<br/> Download Chapter</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/07/10/multilateralism-for-an-age-of-scarcity/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Multilateralism for an Age of Scarcity"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/07/10/multilateralism-for-an-age-of-scarcity/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Multilateralism for an Age of Scarcity" class="title"> Multilateralism for an Age of Scarcity</a></h5> <p><p>Draft report by Alex Evans exploring multilateral system reforms needed in order to manage resource scarcity issues more effectively. The final version will be published in early 2010 (July 2008)</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/07/08/scarcity-issues-and-conflict-in-africa/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Scarcity issues and conflict in Africa"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/07/08/scarcity-issues-and-conflict-in-africa/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Scarcity issues and conflict in Africa" class="title"> Scarcity issues and conflict in Africa</a></h5> <p><p>Speech by Alex Evans at UK Parliament (8 July 2008)</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/07/04/a-low-carbon-world-pathways-to-a-global-deal/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to A Low Carbon World – Pathways to a Global Deal"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/07/04/a-low-carbon-world-pathways-to-a-global-deal/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to A Low Carbon World – Pathways to a Global Deal" class="title"> A Low Carbon World – Pathways to a Global Deal</a></h5> <p><p>Speech by David Steven at the UNU G8 Symposium (4 July 2008)</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/06/07/climate-scarcity-and-multilateralism/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Climate, scarcity and multilateralism"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/06/07/climate-scarcity-and-multilateralism/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Climate, scarcity and multilateralism" class="title"> Climate, scarcity and multilateralism</a></h5> <p><p>Speech by Alex Evans to United Nations Association UK (7 June 2008)</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/06/04/the-new-public-diplomacy-and-afghanistan/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to The new public diplomacy and Afghanistan"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/06/04/the-new-public-diplomacy-and-afghanistan/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to The new public diplomacy and Afghanistan" class="title"> The new public diplomacy and Afghanistan</a></h5> <p><p>Speech by David Steven to the UK Defence Academy’s Advanced Research and Assessment Group seminar on Strategic Communications, Public Diplomacy and Afghanistan (4 June 2008).</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/04/30/technology-and-public-diplomacy/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Technology and Public Diplomacy"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/04/30/technology-and-public-diplomacy/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Technology and Public Diplomacy" class="title"> Technology and Public Diplomacy</a></h5> <p><p>Speech by David Steven to the University of Westminster Symposium on Transformational Public Diplomacy (30 April 2008).</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/04/30/rising-food-prices-drivers-and-implications-for-development/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Rising Food Prices: Drivers and Implications for Development"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/04/30/rising-food-prices-drivers-and-implications-for-development/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Rising Food Prices: Drivers and Implications for Development" class="title"> Rising Food Prices: Drivers and Implications for Development</a></h5> <p><p>Briefing paper by Alex Evans, published through Chatham House’s food programme (April 2008).</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/04/16/looking-forward-how-do-we-build-resilience/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Looking Forward: how do we build resilience?"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/04/16/looking-forward-how-do-we-build-resilience/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Looking Forward: how do we build resilience?" class="title"> Looking Forward: how do we build resilience?</a></h5> <p><p>Speech by David Steven to RUSI Conference on Critical National Infrastructure (16 April 2008).</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/04/05/shooting-the-rapids-multilateralism-and-global-risks/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Shooting the Rapids: multilateralism and global risks"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/04/05/shooting-the-rapids-multilateralism-and-global-risks/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Shooting the Rapids: multilateralism and global risks" class="title"> Shooting the Rapids: multilateralism and global risks</a></h5> <p><p>Paper by Alex Evans and David Steven, commissioned by Gordon Brown and presented to heads of state at the Progressive Governance Summit (April 2008).</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/03/30/beyond-a-zero-sum-game-on-climate-change/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Beyond a Zero-Sum Game on Climate Change"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/03/30/beyond-a-zero-sum-game-on-climate-change/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Beyond a Zero-Sum Game on Climate Change" class="title"> Beyond a Zero-Sum Game on Climate Change</a></h5> <p><p>Chapter by Alex Evans and David Steven, as part of the British Council’s Transatlantic Network 2020 book ‘Talking Trans-Atlantic’ (March 2008).</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/01/30/from-bali-to-copenhagen-towards-an-endgame-for-global-climate-policy/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to From Bali to Copenhagen: towards an endgame for global climate policy?"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2008/01/30/from-bali-to-copenhagen-towards-an-endgame-for-global-climate-policy/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to From Bali to Copenhagen: towards an endgame for global climate policy?" class="title"> From Bali to Copenhagen: towards an endgame for global climate policy?</a></h5> <p><p>Article by Alex Evans for the Environmental Policy & Law Journal (January 2008).</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2007/12/30/climate-change-the-state-of-the-debate-2/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Climate Change: The State of the Debate"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2007/12/30/climate-change-the-state-of-the-debate-2/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Climate Change: The State of the Debate" class="title"> Climate Change: The State of the Debate</a></h5> <p><p>Report by Alex Evans and David Steven, written for the London Accord (December 2007).</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2007/10/30/the-post-kyoto-bidding-war-bringing-developing-countries-into-the-fold/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to The Post-Kyoto Bidding War: bringing developing countries into the fold"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2007/10/30/the-post-kyoto-bidding-war-bringing-developing-countries-into-the-fold/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to The Post-Kyoto Bidding War: bringing developing countries into the fold" class="title"> The Post-Kyoto Bidding War: bringing developing countries into the fold</a></h5> <p><p>New paper by Alex Evans on climate policy after 2012 from the Center on International Cooperation (October 2007).</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2007/09/30/alternative-csr-the-foreign-commonwealth-office/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Alternative CSR: the Foreign & Commonwealth Office"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2007/09/30/alternative-csr-the-foreign-commonwealth-office/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Alternative CSR: the Foreign & Commonwealth Office" class="title"> Alternative CSR: the Foreign & Commonwealth Office</a></h5> <p><p>Chapter on the FCO from Manchester University Press’s Alternative Comprehensive Spending Review, by David Steven (September 2007).</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2007/04/30/fixing-the-uk%e2%80%99s-foreign-policy-apparatus-a-memo-to-gordon-brown/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Fixing the UK’s Foreign Policy Apparatus: A Memo to Gordon Brown"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2007/04/30/fixing-the-uk%e2%80%99s-foreign-policy-apparatus-a-memo-to-gordon-brown/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Fixing the UK’s Foreign Policy Apparatus: A Memo to Gordon Brown" class="title"> Fixing the UK’s Foreign Policy Apparatus: A Memo to Gordon Brown</a></h5> <p><p>Note by Alex Evans and David Steven about how to restructure the UK’s foreign policy system in order to manage trans-boundary global risks better (April 2007).</p> </p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <div class="postspace"></div> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2007/03/30/evaluation-and-the-new-public-diplomacy/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Evaluation and the New Public Diplomacy"></a> <h5><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2007/03/30/evaluation-and-the-new-public-diplomacy/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Evaluation and the New Public Diplomacy" class="title"> Evaluation and the New Public Diplomacy</a></h5> <p><p>Talk given by David Steven at the Wilton Park conference: The Future of Public Diplomacy. 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href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/tag/oil/" class="tag-link-97" title="11 topics" rel="tag" style="font-size: 8.07368421053pt;">oil</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/tag/pakistan/" class="tag-link-135" title="111 topics" rel="tag" style="font-size: 15.4421052632pt;">Pakistan</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/tag/president-bush/" class="tag-link-111" title="87 topics" rel="tag" style="font-size: 13.6736842105pt;">President Bush</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/tag/resilience/" class="tag-link-17" title="96 topics" rel="tag" style="font-size: 14.3368421053pt;">Resilience</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/tag/russia/" class="tag-link-248" title="55 topics" rel="tag" style="font-size: 11.3157894737pt;">russia</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/tag/sudan/" class="tag-link-290" title="30 topics" rel="tag" style="font-size: 9.47368421053pt;">Sudan</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/tag/twitter/" class="tag-link-160" title="27 topics" rel="tag" style="font-size: 9.25263157895pt;">Twitter</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/tag/unfccc/" class="tag-link-294" title="25 topics" rel="tag" style="font-size: 9.10526315789pt;">UNFCCC</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/tag/united-nations/" class="tag-link-271" title="63 topics" rel="tag" style="font-size: 11.9052631579pt;">United Nations</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/tag/world-bank/" class="tag-link-293" title="122 topics" rel="tag" style="font-size: 16.2526315789pt;">World Bank</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/tag/zimbabwe/" class="tag-link-114" title="14 topics" rel="tag" style="font-size: 8.29473684211pt;">Zimbabwe</a></div> <div class="subbox"> <div class="gd_watching"><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://www.globaldashboard.org/wp-content/themes/gd2/images/gd_keyposts.gif" alt="Key Posts"/></div> <div class="toppost"> <h6><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/11/19/how-we-talk-about-climate-change/" rel="bookmark">How we talk about climate change</a></h6> <p><p>We’re kidding ourselves if we think that “green collar jobs” will persuade people to take serious action on climate change. A deeper narrative is required.</p> </p> <div class="readmore"><p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/11/19/how-we-talk-about-climate-change/" rel="bookmark">Read more »</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/11/19/how-we-talk-about-climate-change/#comments" title="Comment on How we talk about climate change">2 Comments</a></p></div> <h6><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/11/11/oil-food-price-crisis/" rel="bookmark">The window of opportunity on scarcity issues starts to close (updated x3)</a></h6> <p><p>With oil and food prices already back to July 07 levels, have policymakers missed the window of opportunity to take action when prices eased after the credit crunch?</p> </p> <div class="readmore"><p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/11/11/oil-food-price-crisis/" rel="bookmark">Read more »</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/11/11/oil-food-price-crisis/#comments" title="Comment on The window of opportunity on scarcity issues starts to close (updated x3)">3 Comments</a></p></div> <h6><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/10/19/the-pentagons-new-spiritual-fitness-programme/" rel="bookmark">The Pentagon’s new spiritual fitness programme</a></h6> <p><p>Exclusive interview with Brigadier-General Rhonda Cornum on the Pentagon’s new spiritual fitness training programme, which uses Stoic techniques.</p> </p> <div class="readmore"><p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/10/19/the-pentagons-new-spiritual-fitness-programme/" rel="bookmark">Read more »</a> | <span>Comments Off</span></p></div> <h6><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/09/10/down-with-collapse/" rel="bookmark">Down with collapse!</a></h6> <p><p>Enough already with all the talk of ‘collapse’, ‘descent’, ‘powerdown’. How about talking about ‘renewal’, ‘transformation’, ‘renaissance’?</p> </p> <div class="readmore"><p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/09/10/down-with-collapse/" rel="bookmark">Read more »</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/09/10/down-with-collapse/#comments" title="Comment on Down with collapse!">2 Comments</a></p></div> <h6><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/07/07/dfid-conflict-prevention/" rel="bookmark">DFID: the department for conflict prevention?</a></h6> <p><p>DFID’s new White Paper is a big step forward on conflict prevention – but not necessarily for a joint approach across government</p> </p> <div class="readmore"><p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/07/07/dfid-conflict-prevention/" rel="bookmark">Read more »</a> | <span>Comments Off</span></p></div> <h6><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/06/22/the-new-protectionism/" rel="bookmark">The new protectionism</a></h6> <p><p>Leaders’ pledges not to go protectionist may be true as far as tariffs and quotas go – but take finance into account, and the rhetoric is harder to square with the reality</p> </p> <div class="readmore"><p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/06/22/the-new-protectionism/" rel="bookmark">Read more »</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/06/22/the-new-protectionism/#comments" title="Comment on The new protectionism">1 Comment</a></p></div> <h6><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/06/02/pakistan-kilcullen-evans-a-reply-to-david-miliband/" rel="bookmark">Pakistan, Kilcullen, Evans – a reply to David Miliband</a></h6> <p><p>Do we know what we’re trying to achieve in Pakistan?</p> </p> <div class="readmore"><p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/06/02/pakistan-kilcullen-evans-a-reply-to-david-miliband/" rel="bookmark">Read more »</a> | <span>Comments Off</span></p></div> <h6><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/05/13/african-land-deals/" rel="bookmark">More on African land deals</a></h6> <p><p>Article on rich-country land acquisitions in Africa</p> </p> <div class="readmore"><p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/2009/05/13/african-land-deals/" rel="bookmark">Read more »</a> | <span>Comments Off</span></p></div> </div> </div> <div class="subbox"> <div class="gd_watching"><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://www.globaldashboard.org/wp-content/themes/gd2/images/gd_authors.gif" alt="Authors"/></div> <ul class="nomargins"> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/alex-r-evans/">Alex Evans</a> (820) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/chris-abbott/">Chris Abbott</a> (2) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/jules-evans/">Jules Evans</a> (100) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/leo-horn/">Leo Horn</a> (14) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/richard-gowan/">Richard Gowan</a> (231) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/mark-weston/">Mark Weston</a> (75) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/david-steven/">David Steven</a> (435) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/michael-harvey/">Michael Harvey</a> (23) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/alanna-shaikh/">Alanna Shaikh</a> (2) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/lizzie-sellwood/">Elizabeth Sellwood</a> (6) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/charlie-edwards/">Charlie Edwards</a> (248) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/andrew-pickering/">Andrew Pickering</a> (11) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/peter-hodge/">Peter Hodge</a> (9) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/daniel-korski/">Daniel Korski</a> (95) </li></ul> </div> <div class="subbox"> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://tweepml.org/Global-Dashboard-Authors/" title="Follow Global Dashboard Authors on Twitter"><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://tweepml.org/s/tweepml_bib.png" border="0"></a> </div> <div class="subbox"> <div class="gd_watching"><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://www.globaldashboard.org/wp-content/themes/gd2/images/gd_categories.gif" alt="Browse Categories"/></div> <ul class="nomargins"><li><ul class="browse-cat"> <li class="cat-item cat-item-5"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/climate-and-resource-scarcity/" title="View all posts filed under Climate and resource scarcity">Climate and resource scarcity</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-15"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/conflict-and-security/" title="View all posts filed under Conflict 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<li class="cat-item cat-item-259"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/london-summit/" title="View all posts filed under London Summit">London Summit</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-27"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/off-topic/" title="View all posts filed under Off topic">Off topic</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-218"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/region/" title="View all posts filed under Region">Region</a> <ul class="children"> <li class="cat-item cat-item-30"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/region/africa/" title="View all posts filed under Africa">Africa</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-74"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/region/east-asia-and-pacific/" title="View all posts filed under East Asia and Pacific">East Asia and Pacific</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-32"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/region/europe-and-central-asia/" title="View all posts filed under Europe and Central Asia">Europe and Central Asia</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-81"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/region/latin-america-and-caribbean/" title="View all posts filed under Latin America and the Caribbean">Latin America and the Caribbean</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-19"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/category/region/middle-east-and-north-africa/" title="View all posts filed under Middle East and North Africa">Middle East and North Africa</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-21"><a 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href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.bloggingsbyboz.com/">Bloggings by boz</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://chrisblattman.com/">Chris Blattman</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.cic.nyu.edu/" title="Center on International Cooperation">CIC</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.climatechangeecon.net/index.php">Climate Change Economics</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.contingencytoday.com/">Contingency Today</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.cooperationcommons.org/">Cooperation Commons</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.danieldrezner.com/blog/">Dan Drezner</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.state-of-the-world.com/">Dan Smith</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://blog.wired.com/defense/" title="Wired Magazine’s blog on national security">Danger Room</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://rodrik.typepad.com/">Dani Rodrik</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/" title="The Economist’s US Blog">Democracy in America</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.demos.co.uk/">Demos</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://blogs.dfid.gov.uk/">DFID blogs</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.ecfr.eu/">ECFR</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.enviroblog.org/bio.htm">ENVIROBLOG</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://blogs.fco.gov.uk/roller/">FCO blogs</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://blog.foreignpolicy.com/">ForeignPolicy.com blog</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://blogs.ft.com/rachmanblog/">Gideon Rachman</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://globalguerrillas.typepad.com/">Global Guerrillas</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.guyyeomans.com/">Guy Yeomans</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://timesonline.typepad.com/inside_iraq_weblog/" title="A blog by Deborah Haynes, Baghdad Correspondent for The Times">Inside Iraq</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.iftf.org/">Institute for the Future</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/">Kevin Drum</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.kk.org/kk/">Kevin Kelly</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://latinocambio.blogspot.com/" title="A blog on Latin America ">Latino Cambio</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://many.corante.com/">Many to Many</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://cartegic.typepad.com/mapping_strategy/">Mapping Strategy</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/">Naked Capitalism</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.networkweaving.com/blog/">Network Weaving</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://newsecuritybeat.blogspot.com/">New Security Beat</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.openthefuture.com/">Open the Future</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://ourworld.unu.edu/en/">Our World 2.0</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.owen.org/">Owen Barder</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.oxfamblogs.org/fp2p/" title="Oxfam’s From Poverty to Power">Oxfam’s From Poverty to Power</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.schneier.com/blog/">Schneier on Security</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.silobreaker.com/">Silobreaker</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://smallprecautions.blogspot.com/">Small Precautions</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://smallwarsjournal.com/blog/">Small Wars Journal</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/">Steven Benen</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.sustainablecitiesnet.com/">Sustainable Cities Net</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com/">The Carpetbagger Report</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.lowyinterpreter.org/default.aspx">The Interpreter</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.thepoliticsofwellbeing.com/" title="Jules Evans’ blog looking at the interface between psychology, economics, and politics">The Politics of Wellbeing</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://kotare.typepad.com/thestrategist/">The Strategist</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/">The Washington Note</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.worldometers.info/">Worldometers</a></li> </ul> </div> <div id="sidebar"> <ul id="sidelist"> </ul> </div> <div class="subboxbottom"></div> </div> <div class="clearall"></div> </div>   <div id="footer"> <div class="subfooter"><h3>About Global Dashboard</h3> <p>Global Dashboard explores global risks and international affairs, bringing together authors who work on foreign policy in think tanks, government, academia and the media. It was set up in 2007 and is edited from the UK by <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/alexevans/">Alex Evans</a> and <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/authors/davidsteven/">David Steven</a>. Global Dashboard encourages debate and feedback - through comments on recent posts or by email to either <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/MAILTO:david@riverpath.com">David</a> or <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/MAILTO:alex.evans@nyu.edu">Alex</a>.</p> <script src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857js_/http://stats.wordpress.com/e-200950.js" type="text/javascript"></script> <script type="text/javascript"> st_go({blog:'1173657',v:'ext',post:'0'}); var load_cmc = function(){linktracker_init(1173657,0,2);}; if ( typeof addLoadEvent != 'undefined' ) addLoadEvent(load_cmc); else load_cmc(); </script> <p>© 2009 <span class="url fn org"> Global Dashboard | Powered by <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://wordpress.org/" target="_blank">WordPress</a><br/> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/feed/">Entries (RSS)</a> | <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/comments/feed/">Comments (RSS)</a><br/>GD2 theme by <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.tobyjamescreative.com/" target="_blank">TobyJamesCreative.com</a></span> </p> </div> <div class="subfooter"><h3>Follow us</h3> <p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://delicious.com/tag/globaldashboard" target="_blank"><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://www.globaldashboard.org/wp-content/themes/gd2/images/icons/delicious_32x32_b.png" class="icon"/> Delicious</a><br/> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://globaldashboard.org/feed" target="_blank"><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://www.globaldashboard.org/wp-content/themes/gd2/images/icons/Feed_32x32_b.png" class="icon"/> Rss</a><br/> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.twitter.com/davidsteven" target="_blank"><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://www.globaldashboard.org/wp-content/themes/gd2/images/icons/Twitter_32x32.png" class="icon"/> Twitter - David Steven</a><br/> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.twitter.com/alexevansuk" target="_blank"><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857im_/http://www.globaldashboard.org/wp-content/themes/gd2/images/icons/Twitter_32x32.png" class="icon"/> Twitter - Alex Evans</a><br/>  </p> </div> <div class="subfooter"> <h3>Authors</h3> <ul> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/alex-r-evans/">Alex Evans</a> (820) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/david-steven/">David Steven</a> (435) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/charlie-edwards/">Charlie Edwards</a> (248) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/richard-gowan/">Richard Gowan</a> (231) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/jules-evans/">Jules Evans</a> (100) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/daniel-korski/">Daniel Korski</a> (95) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/mark-weston/">Mark Weston</a> (75) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/michael-harvey/">Michael Harvey</a> (23) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/leo-horn/">Leo Horn</a> (14) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/andrew-pickering/">Andrew Pickering</a> (11) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/peter-hodge/">Peter Hodge</a> (9) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/lizzie-sellwood/">Elizabeth Sellwood</a> (6) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/alanna-shaikh/">Alanna Shaikh</a> (2) </li><li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857/http://www.globaldashboard.org/author/chris-abbott/">Chris Abbott</a> (2) </li></ul> </div> <div class="clearall"></div></div></div>  <script language="javascript" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20091209162857js_/http://script.retaggr.com/Script/GetScript.ashx?siteID=wqrHyKXux0CXsYj7tvSYVw"></script> </body> </html>