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Hall</a></span></span></h5><div class=""> <span class="_2xetH"><time class="_2_zR-" data-testid="datetime" dateTime="2024-12-02T10:30:00+10:00">December 2, 2024 — 10.30am</time></span></div></div></div><div class="_2CSKo noPrint"><div class="_1KqZ_"><div class="hLTvJ"><button aria-checked="false" aria-describedby="saveTooltip" aria-label="Save article to read later" class="_31ZN0" role="switch" type="button"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="QMY9O _11R7m" focusable="false" height="1em" width="1em"><use xlink:href="#icon-save"></use></svg><span class="_3-fU6">Save</span></button><div aria-hidden="true" class="_1lwFz uXbxr" id="saveTooltip" role="tooltip"><button>Log in</button>, <a data-testid="login-register" href="https://brisbanetimes.myfairfax.com.au/channel/7SMsQ6jjgIqPyo9XFzdzWg/members/signups/new?callback_uri=">register</a> or <a href="https://subscribe.brisbanetimes.com.au/?promote_channel=HI_HL_GNL">subscribe</a> to save articles for later.</div><div><div aria-hidden="true" class="_1lwFz WUf_a _1pHo1" id="onboardingTooltip" role="tooltip"><h3>Save articles for later</h3><p>Add articles to your saved list and come back to them any time.</p><button class="_2YSi8 _17BTN _3_hLE" data-ffx-event-action="cta click" data-ffx-event-category="save onboarding" data-ffx-event-label="got it - part 1" data-ffx-hittype="event">Got it</button></div></div></div><div class="_2Cn91"><div class="_2KkCz"><button class="_30X7v _2-NUy" data-ffx-event-action="cta click" data-ffx-event-category="component" data-ffx-event-label="font size normal" data-ffx-event-value="0" data-ffx-hittype="event">Normal text size</button><button class="_3Rq_0" data-ffx-event-action="cta click" data-ffx-event-category="component" data-ffx-event-label="font size large" data-ffx-event-value="0" data-ffx-hittype="event">Larger text size</button><button class="_3VkdU" data-ffx-event-action="cta click" data-ffx-event-category="component" data-ffx-event-label="font size extra large" 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Do you stay or do you go?</p><p>A project under development by Australia’s fire chiefs and scientists from universities across the country aims to make that decision easier by putting the information relied on by emergency services into the hands of the public.</p><figure class="_3ujPS _3x3-4 RMwbY _2XZQH" data-testid="image"><div aria-label="enlarge image" class="_1lwW_" role="button" tabindex="0"><picture class=""><source media="(min-width: 1024px)" srcSet="https://static.ffx.io/images/$zoom_0.252%2C$multiply_0.9788%2C$ratio_1.5%2C$width_756%2C$x_0%2C$y_0/t_crop_custom/q_86%2Cf_auto/dacf9627765125e0340376c3c5c202a6cbaa0eb8, https://static.ffx.io/images/$zoom_0.252%2C$multiply_1.9577%2C$ratio_1.5%2C$width_756%2C$x_0%2C$y_0/t_crop_custom/q_62%2Cf_auto/dacf9627765125e0340376c3c5c202a6cbaa0eb8 2x" height="494" width="740"/><source media="(min-width: 768px)" srcSet="https://static.ffx.io/images/$zoom_0.252%2C$multiply_1.0159%2C$ratio_1.5%2C$width_756%2C$x_0%2C$y_0/t_crop_custom/q_86%2Cf_auto/dacf9627765125e0340376c3c5c202a6cbaa0eb8, https://static.ffx.io/images/$zoom_0.252%2C$multiply_2.0317%2C$ratio_1.5%2C$width_756%2C$x_0%2C$y_0/t_crop_custom/q_62%2Cf_auto/dacf9627765125e0340376c3c5c202a6cbaa0eb8 2x" height="512" width="768"/><img alt="There’s an app for that: Dr Amy Griffin hopes the new technology will save lives in bushfires." src="https://static.ffx.io/images/$zoom_0.252%2C$multiply_0.7725%2C$ratio_1.5%2C$width_756%2C$x_0%2C$y_0/t_crop_custom/q_86%2Cf_auto/dacf9627765125e0340376c3c5c202a6cbaa0eb8" height="390" width="584" srcSet="https://static.ffx.io/images/$zoom_0.252%2C$multiply_0.7725%2C$ratio_1.5%2C$width_756%2C$x_0%2C$y_0/t_crop_custom/q_86%2Cf_auto/dacf9627765125e0340376c3c5c202a6cbaa0eb8, https://static.ffx.io/images/$zoom_0.252%2C$multiply_1.545%2C$ratio_1.5%2C$width_756%2C$x_0%2C$y_0/t_crop_custom/q_62%2Cf_auto/dacf9627765125e0340376c3c5c202a6cbaa0eb8 2x"/></picture></div><figcaption class="_3CZmy"><p><span class="_2Li3P">There’s an app for that: Dr Amy Griffin hopes the new technology will save lives in bushfires.</span><cite class="ojLwA"><span class="_30ROC">Credit: </span>Justin McManus</cite></p></figcaption></figure><p>Interactive, dynamic maps predicting bushfires’ spread and trajectory could be on mobile phones within years.</p><p>In the years since the Black Summer bushfires of 2019-20, repeated inquiries have identified poor mobile phone reception during catastrophic fires – and the timeliness of emergency warnings – as systemic issues.</p></div><div class="_1lC_G"></div><div class="_1665V _2q-Vk" data-testid="body-content"><p>Authorities have warned of increased bushfire risks this summer, especially in NSW, Victoria, South Australia, Northern Territory and Western Australia.</p><p>Conditions in western Victoria have been compared with those at the start of Black Summer, but there are low soil moisture levels and dry vegetation across the southern flank of the mainland.</p><div class="_6ebFV noPrint"><div class="_15gOL AkZ3C"><iframe class="_16-Dw AkZ3C LntZY" data-testid="embed-iframe" frameBorder="0" height="157" data-src="https://www.smh.com.au/interactive/modules/graphic-embed/?resizable=true&v=4&configUrl=https://www.smh.com.au/interactive/hub/configs/graphic-embed/37383.json&v=0.948521956986" title="Embedded iFrame"></iframe></div></div><p>The need for clear and dynamic maps that show the spread and behaviour of large bushfires was thrown into stark relief during Black Summer, when 24.3 million hectares were burnt and 34 people died (another 443 people died from smoke inhalation and other bushfire-related causes).</p><p>As separate fires began to merge and create a megafire, the Rural Fire Service grew increasingly concerned that residents and holidaymakers in NSW didn’t appreciate the dangers of the situation.</p></div></div></div></section><div class="_1FVfK"><div class="container"><div class="adWrapper _2UMq- noPrint" data-testid="ad"><small class="_3ToRr">Advertisement</small><div class="" id="adspot-728x90_970x250-pos3-desktop"></div></div></div></div><section class="vPaWe" data-testid="article-body-bottom"><div class="_1ysFk"><div><div class="_1665V _2q-Vk" data-testid="body-content"><p>The RFS took a novel approach and began publishing predictive maps as the tragedy unfolded. Once the last of the fires were out, fire and emergency services agencies across the country reflected on how the predictive maps could be developed to give communities not only real-time information about bushfires’ spread but predictions about where they could go next.</p><div class="ymInT _3uJpn _3by58 noPrint"><span class="_2wzgv D5idv _3lVFK"><span class="_29Qt8"></span><span class="_3qqDc">Loading</span></span></div><p>For the past two years, researchers from RMIT, Deakin University and QUT, as well as emergency management personnel from every fire agency in the country, have been working to build dynamic predictive maps.</p><p>Given the high stakes, with people’s lives on the line, the testing has been rigorous.</p><p>Researcher <a href="https://bit.ly/vicfiremapstudy">Dr Amy Griffin from RMIT University</a>, who works on the project, said the most recent testing involved eye-tracking technology to monitor how people looked at the maps, and whether more detailed maps created confusion and indecision. They hope to have the final design complete by 2026.</p></div><div class="_1lC_G"></div><div class="_1665V _2q-Vk" data-testid="body-content"><p>Asked whether researchers had considered the possibility of people relying on incorrect bushfire predictions, Griffin poses a different scenario.</p><p>During the Beaufort fires in Victoria in February, authorities published a static map that predicted the bushfire spread.</p><div class="ymInT _3uJpn _3by58 noPrint"><span class="_2wzgv D5idv _3lVFK"><span class="_29Qt8"></span><span class="_3qqDc">Loading</span></span></div><p>“In that particular case, the prediction went in all directions, and their point there was really to just make people aware of the intensity of the risk and the fact that they couldn’t predict accurately which direction it was going to go,” she said.</p><p>“Until we have a crystal ball about weather prediction, we can’t actually solve that problem. But what we can do is we can help people understand that uncertainty, and in times when we have great uncertainty, they need to recognise that and adapt their behaviour to account for the fact that there’s more uncertainty than usual.”</p></div><div class="_1lC_G"></div><div class="_1665V _2q-Vk" data-testid="body-content"><p>Climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of bushfires.</p><p>Last month, the CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology released new climate data showing Australia’s average temperatures have risen by 1.5 degrees since records began, while the average number of extreme bushfire days has risen by as many as 25 days a year in parts of the country.</p><p><b><i>Start the day with a summary of the day’s most important and interesting stories, analysis and insights. <a href="/link/follow-20170101-p57ogt">Sign up for our Morning Edition newsletter</a>. </i></b></p></div></div><div class="noPrint"><div></div><div></div></div><div id="embedded-feedback"></div><div 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change\"],\"categoryId\":22,\"asset\":{\"about\":\"If you could predict how a bushfire was moving and whether it was likely to come in your direction, would it convince you to leave your home earlier?\",\"allowComments\":false,\"body\":\"<p>A bushfire is bearing down on the sleepy seaside town where your family is spending the summer holidays. Do you stay or do you go?</p><p>A project under development by Australia\\u2019s fire chiefs and scientists from universities across the country aims to make that decision easier by putting the information relied on by emergency services into the hands of the public.</p><x-placeholder id=\\\"2c74bf156c32d5cafaac15d65720c8b729b11188\\\"></x-placeholder><p>Interactive, dynamic maps predicting bushfires\\u2019 spread and trajectory could be on mobile phones within years.</p><p>In the years since the Black Summer bushfires of 2019-20, repeated inquiries have identified poor mobile phone reception during catastrophic fires \\u2013 and the timeliness of emergency warnings \\u2013 as systemic issues.</p><p>Authorities have warned of increased bushfire risks this summer, especially in NSW, Victoria, South Australia, Northern Territory and Western Australia.</p><p>Conditions in western Victoria have been compared with those at the start of Black Summer, but there are low soil moisture levels and dry vegetation across the southern flank of the mainland.</p><x-placeholder id=\\\"0e3bde6d9cdaa71af2232855dd3225c5fd959ae0\\\"></x-placeholder><p>The need for clear and dynamic maps that show the spread and behaviour of large bushfires was thrown into stark relief during Black Summer, when 24.3 million hectares were burnt and 34 people died (another 443 people died from smoke inhalation and other bushfire-related causes).</p><p>As separate fires began to merge and create a megafire, the Rural Fire Service grew increasingly concerned that residents and holidaymakers in NSW didn\\u2019t appreciate the dangers of the situation.</p><p>The RFS took a novel approach and began publishing predictive maps as the tragedy unfolded. Once the last of the fires were out, fire and emergency services agencies across the country reflected on how the predictive maps could be developed to give communities not only real-time information about bushfires\\u2019 spread but predictions about where they could go next.</p><x-placeholder id=\\\"890516ef53c3bf3210815d46fe83520003f26b54\\\"></x-placeholder><p>For the past two years, researchers from RMIT, Deakin University and QUT, as well as emergency management personnel from every fire agency in the country, have been working to build dynamic predictive maps.</p><p>Given the high stakes, with people\\u2019s lives on the line, the testing has been rigorous.</p><p>Researcher <x-placeholder id=\\\"d1dd55942915faa8d40fffb12ab0005d09fe3d05\\\"></x-placeholder>, who works on the project, said the most recent testing involved eye-tracking technology to monitor how people looked at the maps, and whether more detailed maps created confusion and indecision. They hope to have the final design complete by 2026.</p><p>Asked whether researchers had considered the possibility of people relying on incorrect bushfire predictions, Griffin poses a different scenario.</p><p>During the Beaufort fires in Victoria in February, authorities published a static map that predicted the bushfire spread.</p><x-placeholder id=\\\"1234abf4561ce70a2ad49fd575531442f6e01118\\\"></x-placeholder><p>\\u201CIn that particular case, the prediction went in all directions, and their point there was really to just make people aware of the intensity of the risk and the fact that they couldn\\u2019t predict accurately which direction it was going to go,\\u201D she said.</p><p>\\u201CUntil we have a crystal ball about weather prediction, we can\\u2019t actually solve that problem. But what we can do is we can help people understand that uncertainty, and in times when we have great uncertainty, they need to recognise that and adapt their behaviour to account for the fact that there\\u2019s more uncertainty than usual.\\u201D</p><p>Climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of bushfires.</p><p>Last month, the CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology released new climate data showing Australia\\u2019s average temperatures have risen by 1.5 degrees since records began, while the average number of extreme bushfire days has risen by as many as 25 days a year in parts of the country.</p><p><b><i>Start the day with a summary of the day\\u2019s most important and interesting stories, analysis and insights. <x-placeholder id=\\\"8c94f0744f70ee1678cf592fa1f2abc46d3e5895\\\"></x-placeholder>. 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