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Bhutan | Climate Action Tracker
<!DOCTYPE html> <html lang="en"> <head> <meta charset="utf-8"/> <meta http-equiv="X-UA-Compatible" content="IE=edge"/> <meta name="twitter:widgets:border-color" content="#ffffff"> <title> Bhutan | Climate Action Tracker </title> <link rel="dns-prefetch" href="https://www.google-analytics.com"> <link rel="dns-prefetch" href="https://fonts.googleapis.com"> <meta name="description" content=""/> <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1"/> <meta property="og:title" content=" Bhutan"> <meta property="og:image" content="https://climateactiontracker.org/media/images/CAT_2023-07u_Twitter_RatingBanner.2e16d0ba.fill-1200x630_rqBXeL3.png"> <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary_large_image"> <link rel="apple-touch-icon" sizes="180x180" href="/static/images/apple-touch-icon.png"> <link rel="icon" type="image/png" sizes="32x32" href="/static/images/favicon-32x32.png"> <link rel="icon" type="image/png" sizes="16x16" href="/static/images/favicon-16x16.png"> <link 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</ul> </li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".dropdown-menu" class="nav-item dropdown deep-dropdown active"> <a data-deep-toggle=".deep-dropdown" class="nav-link dropdown-toggle" href="#">Countries</a> <div class="dropdown-menu countries-menu-dropdown"> <ul class="countries-menu-dropdown__countries hidden-md hidden-lg"> <li class="dropdown-item"> <form data-vanilla-url-jump-form> <select name="url_selector" class="form-control"> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/">- Select a country -</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/argentina/" >Argentina</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/australia/" >Australia</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/bhutan/" selected="selected">Bhutan</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/brazil/" >Brazil</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/canada/" >Canada</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/chile/" >Chile</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/china/" >China</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/colombia/" >Colombia</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/costa-rica/" >Costa Rica</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/eu/" >EU</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/egypt/" >Egypt</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/ethiopia/" >Ethiopia</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/gabon/" >Gabon</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/germany/" >Germany</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/india/" >India</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/indonesia/" >Indonesia</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/iran/" >Iran (Islamic Republic of)</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/japan/" >Japan</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/kazakhstan/" >Kazakhstan</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/kenya/" >Kenya</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/mexico/" >Mexico</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/morocco/" >Morocco</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/nepal/" >Nepal</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/new-zealand/" >New Zealand</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/nigeria/" >Nigeria</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/norway/" >Norway</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/peru/" >Peru</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/philippines/" >Philippines</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/russian-federation/" >Russian Federation</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/saudi-arabia/" >Saudi Arabia</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/singapore/" >Singapore</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/south-africa/" >South Africa</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/south-korea/" >South Korea</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/switzerland/" >Switzerland</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/thailand/" >Thailand</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/gambia/" >The Gambia</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/turkey/" >Türkiye</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/uae/" >UAE</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/usa/" >USA</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/ukraine/" >Ukraine</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/uk/" >United Kingdom</option> <option class="dropdown-second__select-option" value="/countries/vietnam/" >Viet Nam</option> </select> </form> </li> </ul> <ul class="countries-menu-dropdown__links"> <li class="dropdown-item"><a href="/countries/overview/">Overview</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item"><a href="/countries/rating-system/">Rating system</a></li> </ul> <div class="countries-menu-dropdown__countries_wrapper"> <ul class="countries-menu-dropdown__countries hidden-xs hidden-sm"> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/argentina/">Argentina</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/australia/">Australia</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/bhutan/">Bhutan</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/brazil/">Brazil</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/canada/">Canada</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/chile/">Chile</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/china/">China</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/colombia/">Colombia</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/costa-rica/">Costa Rica</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/eu/">EU</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/egypt/">Egypt</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/ethiopia/">Ethiopia</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/gabon/">Gabon</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/germany/">Germany</a></li> </ul> <ul class="countries-menu-dropdown__countries hidden-xs hidden-sm"> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/india/">India</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/indonesia/">Indonesia</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/iran/">Iran (Islamic Republic of)</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/japan/">Japan</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/kazakhstan/">Kazakhstan</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/kenya/">Kenya</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/mexico/">Mexico</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/morocco/">Morocco</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/nepal/">Nepal</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/new-zealand/">New Zealand</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/nigeria/">Nigeria</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/norway/">Norway</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/peru/">Peru</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/philippines/">Philippines</a></li> </ul> <ul class="countries-menu-dropdown__countries hidden-xs hidden-sm"> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/russian-federation/">Russian Federation</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/saudi-arabia/">Saudi Arabia</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/singapore/">Singapore</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/south-africa/">South Africa</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/south-korea/">South Korea</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/switzerland/">Switzerland</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/thailand/">Thailand</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/gambia/">The Gambia</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/turkey/">Türkiye</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/uae/">UAE</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/usa/">USA</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/ukraine/">Ukraine</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/uk/">United Kingdom</a></li> <li class="dropdown-item hidden-xs hidden-sm"><a href="/countries/vietnam/">Viet Nam</a></li> </ul> </div> </div> </li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".dropdown-menu" class="nav-item dropdown deep-dropdown"> <a data-deep-toggle=".deep-dropdown" class="nav-link dropdown-toggle" href="#">Methodology</a> <ul class="dropdown-menu" aria-hidden="true"> <li class="dropdown-item"><a href="/methodology/">Introduction</a></li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".flyout__menu" class="dropdown-item flyout"> <a data-deep-toggle=".flyout" class="flyout__toggle" href="#">CAT rating methodology</a> <flyout-menu parent=".flyout" class="flyout__menu" aria-hidden="true"> <ul> <li class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/methodology/cat-rating-methodology/">Overview</a> </li> <li class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/methodology/cat-rating-methodology/fair-share/">Fair share</a> </li> <li class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/methodology/cat-rating-methodology/modelled-domestic-pathways/">Modelled domestic pathways</a> </li> <li class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/methodology/cat-rating-methodology/finance/">Finance</a> </li> <li class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/methodology/cat-rating-methodology/lulucf/">LULUCF</a> </li> </ul> </flyout-menu> </li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".flyout__menu" class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/methodology/global-pathways/">Global emissions and temperature</a> </li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".flyout__menu" class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/methodology/estimating-national-emissions/">Estimating national emissions</a> </li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".flyout__menu" class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/methodology/paris-temperature-goal/">Paris temperature goal</a> </li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".flyout__menu" class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/methodology/land-use-and-forestry/">Land use, land-use change and forestry</a> </li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".flyout__menu" class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/methodology/net-zero-targets/">Net zero targets</a> </li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".flyout__menu" class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/methodology/rating-aviation-and-shipping/">Rating aviation and shipping</a> </li> </ul> </li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".dropdown-menu" class="nav-item dropdown deep-dropdown"> <a data-deep-toggle=".deep-dropdown" class="nav-link dropdown-toggle" href="#">Publications</a> <ul class="dropdown-menu" aria-hidden="true"> <li class="dropdown-item"><a href="/publications/">Reports</a></li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".flyout__menu" class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/publications/climate-governance/">Climate Governance Series</a> </li> </ul> </li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".dropdown-menu" class="nav-item "> <a class="nav-link" href="/blog/">Blog</a> </li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".dropdown-menu" class="nav-item dropdown deep-dropdown"> <a data-deep-toggle=".deep-dropdown" class="nav-link dropdown-toggle" href="#">Media</a> <ul class="dropdown-menu" aria-hidden="true"> <li class="dropdown-item"><a href="/press/">News releases</a></li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".flyout__menu" class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/press/media-contact/">Media Contact</a> </li> </ul> </li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".dropdown-menu" class="nav-item dropdown deep-dropdown"> <a data-deep-toggle=".deep-dropdown" class="nav-link dropdown-toggle" href="#">Data Explorer</a> <ul class="dropdown-menu dropdown-menu--last" aria-hidden="true"> <li class="dropdown-item"><a href="/cat-data-explorer/">Data Explorer</a></li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".flyout__menu" class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/cat-data-explorer/country-ratings/">Country ratings</a> </li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".flyout__menu" class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/cat-data-explorer/country-emissions/">Country emissions analysis</a> </li> <li data-deep-toggle-propagate-target=".flyout__menu" class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/cat-data-explorer/sector-indicators/">Sector indicators and 1.5°C benchmarks</a> </li> </ul> </li> <span data-component-nav-search class="nav-item nav-search"> <a href="#" class="nav-link d-block nav-search__link"> <span class="icon icon-icons_4"></span> <span class="nav-search__link-text">Search</span> </a> </span> </ul> </div> </nav> <main class="main-content"> <section class="headline--3" style="background-image: url('/static/images/slide-mask-3.png');"> <div class="container"> <div class="headline__first"> <div class="headline__flag"> <a href="/countries/bhutan/"><img class="img-fluid" src="/static/countries/flags/4x3/bt.svg" alt=""></a> </div> <div class="headline__info"> <h1 class="headline__title">Bhutan</h1> <form data-vanilla-url-jump-form class="headline__revisions"> <label for="url_selector" class="headline__revisions-label">Choose update to view</label> <select id="url_selector" name="url_selector" class="headline__revisions-select"> <option value="/countries/bhutan/" selected="selected"> 6 Jul 2023</option> <option value="/countries/bhutan/2021-07-09/" > 9 Jul 2021</option> <option value="/countries/bhutan/2020-11-30/" >30 Nov 2020</option> <option value="/countries/bhutan/2019-09-19/" >19 Sep 2019</option> <option value="/countries/bhutan/2019-06-17/" >17 Jun 2019</option> <option value="/countries/bhutan/2018-12-04/" > 4 Dec 2018</option> <option value="/countries/bhutan/2017-11-06/" > 6 Nov 2017</option> <option value="/media/documents/2018/4/CAT_2015-12-02_CountryAssessment_Bhutan.pdf" > 2 Dec 2015</option> <option value="/media/documents/2018/4/CAT_2014-12-08_CountryAssessment_Bhutan.pdf" > 8 Dec 2014</option> <option value="/media/documents/2018/4/CAT_2011_CountryAssessment_Bhutan.pdf" >24 Apr 2011</option> </select> </form> </div> </div> <div class="headline__second"> <div class="headline__social social hidden-xs hidden-sm"> <span class="social__label">Share</span> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?status=Bhutan%3A%20http%3A//climateactiontracker.org/countries/bhutan/" class="social__item" target="_blank"> <span class="icon icon-icons_31"></span> </a> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=http%3A//climateactiontracker.org/countries/bhutan/" class="social__item" target="_blank"> <span class="icon icon-icons_32"></span> </a> <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=http%3A//climateactiontracker.org/countries/bhutan/&title=Bhutan&summary=&source=" class="social__item" target="_blank"> <span class="icon icon-icons_36"></span> </a> </div> <div class="headline__social social hidden-md hidden-lg"> <div class="dropdown dropdown--blue dropdown--right"> <button class="dropdown-toggle social__label social__dropdown-toggle" type="button" id="shareButton" data-toggle="dropdown" aria-haspopup="true" aria-expanded="false"> Share </button> <div class="dropdown-menu dropdown-menu-right" aria-labelledby="shareButton"> <div 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class="ratings-matrix__second-row"> <div class="ratings-matrix__second-row-cell ratings-matrix__tile--GREEN"> <dl> <dt><p>Policies and action <br><i>against fair share</i></p></dt> <dd><b>1.5°C compatible</b></dd> <dd><i>< 1.5°C World</i></dd> </dl> </div> <div class="ratings-matrix__second-row-cell ratings-matrix__tile--GREEN"> <dl> <dt><p>CAT estimate<br> <i>against modelled domestic pathways</i></p></dt> <dd><b>1.5°C global least cost</b></dd> <dd><i>< 1.5°C World</i></dd> </dl> </div> <div class="ratings-matrix__second-row-cell ratings-matrix__tile--YELLOW"> <dl> <dt><p>CAT estimate<br> <i>against fair share</i></p></dt> <dd><b>Almost Sufficient</b></dd> <dd><i>< 2°C World</i></dd> </dl> </div> <div class="ratings-matrix__second-row-cell ratings-matrix__tile--GRAY"> <dl> <dt>Climate finance</dt> <dd><b>Not applicable</b></dd> </dl> </div> </div> <div class="ratings-matrix__third-row"> <div class="ratings-matrix__third-row-cell ratings-matrix__third-row-cell--GRAY"> <dl class="ratings-matrix__net_zero_target"> <dt>Net zero target</dt> <dd> <p>year</p> <b>2050</b> </dd> <dd> <p>Comprehensiveness not rated as</p> <b class="ratings-matrix__label ratings-matrix__label--GRAY"> Information incomplete </b> </dd> </dl> </div> <div class="ratings-matrix__third-row-cell ratings-matrix__third-row-cell--GREEN"> <dl class="ratings-matrix__land_use_forestry"> <dt>Land use & forestry</dt> <dd> <p>historically considered a</p> <b class="ratings-matrix__label ratings-matrix__label--GREEN"> Sink </b> </dd> </dl> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </section> <section class="country-tabs"> <div class="container"> <h3 class="country-tabs__header bottom-line bottom-line--primary bottom-line--130"> Country summary</h3> <ul class="nav nav-pills"> <li class="nav-item"> <a class="nav-link active" href="/countries/bhutan/">Summary</a> </li> <li class="nav-item"> <a class="nav-link" href="/countries/bhutan/targets/">Targets</a> </li> <li class="nav-item"> <a class="nav-link" href="/countries/bhutan/policies-action/">Policies & action</a> </li> <li class="nav-item"> <a class="nav-link" href="/countries/bhutan/net-zero-targets/">Net zero targets</a> </li> <li class="nav-item"> <a class="nav-link" href="/countries/bhutan/assumptions/">Assumptions</a> </li> <li class="nav-item"> <a class="nav-link" href="/countries/bhutan/sources/">Sources</a> </li> </ul> </div> </section> <div class="container b-padding--3"> <div data-component-graph-embed data-props-footnotes="" data-props-graph-image-url="/media/images/CAT_2023-07u_Graph_SplitSummary_Bhutan.width-1110.png" data-props-graph-hires-image-url="/media/images/CAT_2023-07u_Graph_SplitSummary_Bhutan.original.png" data-props-scenario-data-url="/documents/1147/202307_CAT_AssessmentData_BTN.xlsx" data-props-fair-share-data-url="" data-props-how-to-url="/countries/cat-graphs/" > </div> </div> <section data-vanilla-collapsible-sections class="b-padding--3"> <div class="content-section content-section--has-left-side"> <div class="container"> <div class="content-section__left-side"> <h3 id="section__overview"> Overview </h3> </div> <div class="content-section__content"> <div class="content-block"><p data-block-key="674nl"><b>With Bhutan being a carbon negative country due to its large land sink, it is already compliant with its NDC target of remaining carbon (and GHG) neutral. While the COVID-19 pandemic caused a temporary drop in its emissions, we project that Bhutan's emissions will resume increasing over the course of the decade without additional policies. If allowed to increase unchecked, especially in the industry and transport sectors, they could exceed the level that is sequestered by forests. We rate Bhutan as ‘Almost sufficient’ overall.</b></p><p data-block-key="c6i5b"><b>In its second NDC, Bhutan reiterates its carbon neutrality goal, has developed sectoral emission reduction plans for all sectors, and has begun implementing measures on its transport and agriculture sectors. The full implementation of these measures falls within our 1.5°C compatible category for the level of emissions reductions needed within Bhutan’s borders. Bhutan needs international support to fully implement all of these measures.</b></p><p data-block-key="2pbsk">Recent developments include:</p><ul><li data-block-key="esthm">Construction of the country’s first utility-scale solar plant, which is set to begin in the first half of 2023. The 17 MW plant is part of a broader government initiative to install 300 MW of solar over the next three years. These efforts will help diversify the largely hydropower-based grid and reduce reliance on winter energy imports.</li><li data-block-key="a8ihs">Geological uncertainties are delaying operations of under-construction hydro power projects, resulting in an escalation of project costs and mounting national debt. This calls for a diversification towards non-hydro renewable energy.</li><li data-block-key="f2dev">Advancing on its electric vehicle (EV) policies, as the government has started setting up EV charging stations and supporting a shift to EVs in the taxi industry. These actions build on other efforts taken in the transport sector last year to strengthen vehicle emission standards, though some initiatives, like the rapid mass transit system, have not advanced.</li><li data-block-key="4fvbp">Expansion of its biogas production. Bhutan will establish a biogas plan as part of a new landfill in its capital city this year. It is promoting domestic biogas production in both its agriculture and waste management sectors.</li><li data-block-key="1q2l0">Bhutan has recently embarked on a strategy to develop its industrial parks and emissions are expected to grow significantly in this sector. The government has identified a number of mitigation measures it could take, with support, in its low-emissions industry strategy, but we could not find any evidence that it has begun to implement these.</li></ul></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="content-section content-section--has-left-side"> <div class="container"> <div class="content-section__left-side"> <div class="section-header" id="section__almost-sufficient"> <div class="ratings-section-header ratings-matrix__tile--YELLOW"> <dl> <dt>Overall rating</dt> <dd>Almost Sufficient</dd> </dl> </div> </div> </div> <div class="content-section__content"> <div class="content-block"><p data-block-key="674nl">The CAT rates Bhutan’s climate targets and policies as “Almost sufficient”. The “Almost sufficient” rating indicates that Bhutan’s climate commitments and policies are not yet consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C, but could be with moderate improvements. This rating is based on a modification of the CAT’s standard approach to reflect the fact that Bhutan is already carbon neutral and to provide a more accurate picture of Bhutan’s emissions trajectory and actions. Details are provided under the <a href="/countries/bhutan/2023-07-06/targets/">targets page</a>. Bhutan is close to a 1.5°C compatible rating, but would need to slow its emissions growth to achieve this rating. Bhutan will need international support to fully implement its policies and action.</p></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="content-section content-section--has-left-side"> <div class="container"> <div class="content-section__left-side"> <div class="section-header" id="section__15c-compatible"> <div class="ratings-section-header ratings-matrix__tile--GREEN"> <dl> <dt><p>Policies and action <br><i>against fair share</i></p></dt> <dd>1.5°C compatible</dd> </dl> </div> </div> </div> <div class="content-section__content"> <div class="content-block"><p data-block-key="674nl">We rate Bhutan’s current policies and action as “1.5°C compatible” compared to its fair share contribution. The “1.5°C compatible” rating indicates that Bhutan’s climate policies and action are consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C. However, there is significant potential for mitigation actions to go beyond Bhutan’s fair share if the needed international support is provided.</p><p data-block-key="7cfj0">Bhutan’s economy-wide emissions dropped by around 40% between 2019-2021 due to the COVID-19 pandemic-induced slowing down of economic activity. We project that emissions will resume increasing over the course of the decade, reaching around 2.8-3.0 MtCO<sub>2</sub>e/year in 2030 - an increase of 76-85% from 2010 level.</p><p data-block-key="9eneg">Bhutan has developed sectoral low-emission development plans, but the exact status of implementation of these plans can be difficult to determine. Bhutan is expanding its solar capacity to diversify its power generation. Electrification of the transport sector with increasing number of electric taxis and private vehicle is part of government plan along with expansion of charging infrastructure. In 2019, Bhutan adopted its Energy Efficiency and Conservation Roadmap. Mitigation potential for some of these measures is included in our assessment of current policies and action. Other sectoral policy actions include forest conservation and management under the National REDD+ Strategy.</p><p data-block-key="bgflg">Bhutan will remain compliant with its NDC target of staying carbon (and GHG) neutral with currently implemented policies.</p></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="content-section content-section--has-left-side"> <div class="container"> <div class="content-section__left-side"> <div class="section-header" id="section__15c-global-least-cost"> <div class="ratings-section-header ratings-matrix__tile--GREEN"> <dl> <dt><p>CAT estimate<br> <i>against modelled domestic pathways</i></p></dt> <dd>1.5°C global least cost</dd> </dl> </div> </div> </div> <div class="content-section__content"> <div class="content-block"><p data-block-key="674nl">As Bhutan has already achieved its carbon neutral NDC target, rating this NDC target level (excluding the contribution of the forestry sector) based on the current net emissions produces misleading results, thus we have adopted an alternative method.</p><p data-block-key="5rsjp">We rate where Bhutan’s emissions will be in 2030 if its sectoral measures from NDC are fully implemented against where its emissions would need to be based on a global least cost modelled domestic pathway for 1.5°C. The “1.5°C global least cost” rating indicates that Bhutan’s emissions in 2030 are consistent with modelled domestic pathways limiting warming to 1.5°C.</p></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="content-section content-section--has-left-side"> <div class="container"> <div class="content-section__left-side"> <div class="section-header" id="section__almost-sufficient"> <div class="ratings-section-header ratings-matrix__tile--YELLOW"> <dl> <dt><p>CAT estimate<br> <i>against fair share</i></p></dt> <dd>Almost Sufficient</dd> </dl> </div> </div> </div> <div class="content-section__content"> <div class="content-block"><p data-block-key="674nl">We rate where Bhutan’s emissions will be in 2030 under a business-as-usual trajectory (not current policies) against Bhutan’s fair share contribution level. Our rating is based on the top end of this range and is "Almost sufficient". The “Almost sufficient” rating indicates that Bhutan’s emissions in 2030 are not yet consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C but could be, with moderate improvements. If all countries were to follow Bhutan's approach, warming could be held below—but not well below—2°C. Bhutan has the potential to achieve a 1.5°C compatible rating if it manages to slow its emissions growth.</p></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="content-section content-section--has-left-side"> <div class="container"> <div class="content-section__left-side"> <div class="section-header" id="section__sink"> <div class="ratings-section-header ratings-matrix__tile--GREEN"> <dl> <dt>Land use & forestry</dt> <dd>Sink</dd> </dl> </div> </div> </div> <div class="content-section__content"> <div class="content-block"><p data-block-key="674nl">In 2020, Bhutan had a net carbon sink capacity of 8.9 MtCO<sub>2</sub>e which is pivotal for its carbon neutrality pledge. Bhutan implemented the REDD+ readiness programme and produced Bhutan’s National REDD+ Strategy and implementation framework. Forests currently cover 70% of Bhutan’s land, and it has a constitutional mandate to maintain this share above 60%.</p></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="content-section content-section--has-left-side"> <div class="container"> <div class="content-section__left-side"> <div class="section-header" id="section__information-incomplete"> <div class="ratings-section-header ratings-matrix__tile--GRAY"> <dl> <dt>Net zero target</dt> <dd>Information incomplete</dd> </dl> </div> </div> </div> <div class="content-section__content"> <div class="content-block"><p data-block-key="674nl">Bhutan first committed to remaining carbon neutral during COP15, in Copenhagen in 2009. In its second NDC, Bhutan adopted a net zero emissions by 2050 goal, which is essentially an extension of its carbon neutrality target and which it has already achieved. Bhutan is currently developing its long-term strategy which will be important to develop sectoral policies particularly for the energy and industry sector to curb the emissions. Until that strategy is released, we classify Bhutan’s net zero target as “information incomplete”.</p></div> </div> </div> </div> </section> <section class="latest-publications b-padding--3"> <div class="container"> <h3 class="bottom-line bottom-line--primary bottom-line--130">Further analysis</h3> <div class="row-listing"> <a class="row-listing__item" href="/countries/bhutan/targets/"> <div class="row-listing__item-image"> <img alt="Targets" class="img-fluid" src=" /media/images/Icon-PledgesTargets.2e16d0ba.fill-128x128.png"> </div> <div class="row-listing__item-title">Targets</div> </a> <a class="row-listing__item" href="/countries/bhutan/policies-action/"> <div class="row-listing__item-image"> <img alt="Policies & action" class="img-fluid" src=" /media/images/Icon-CurrentPolicies.2e16d0ba.fill-128x128.png"> </div> <div class="row-listing__item-title">Policies & action</div> </a> <a class="row-listing__item" href="/countries/bhutan/net-zero-targets/"> <div class="row-listing__item-image"> <img alt="Net zero targets" class="img-fluid" src=" /media/images/Icon-MitigationOptions.2e16d0ba.fill-128x128.png"> </div> <div class="row-listing__item-title">Net zero targets</div> </a> <a class="row-listing__item" href="/countries/bhutan/assumptions/"> <div class="row-listing__item-image"> <img alt="Assumptions" class="img-fluid" src=" /media/images/Icon-Assumtions.2e16d0ba.fill-128x128.png"> </div> <div class="row-listing__item-title">Assumptions</div> </a> <a class="row-listing__item" href="/countries/bhutan/sources/"> <div class="row-listing__item-image"> <img alt="Sources" class="img-fluid" src=" /media/images/Icon-Sources.2e16d0ba.fill-128x128.png"> </div> <div class="row-listing__item-title">Sources</div> </a> </div> </div> </section> <section class="latest-news b-padding--3"> <div class="container"> <h3 class="bottom-line bottom-line--primary bottom-line--130">Latest publications</h3> </div> <div class="slider"> <div class="container"> <div 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