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中美投资差异思考|金融界|美股|A股_新浪财经_新浪网
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src="http://d5.sina.com.cn/litong/zhitou/sinaads/release/sinaads.js"></script> <!--$$ 20140801 00:00:00-20140801 12:00:00 张飞 zhangfei1.sina.com.cn 开始 $--> <!--$$ 窄通广告 pdps: 1188672F3595 $--> <ins class="sinaads" data-ad-pdps="1188672F3595B"></ins> <script>(sinaads = window.sinaads || []).push({});</script> <!--$$ 20140801 00:00:00-20140801 12:00:00 张飞 zhangfei1.sina.com.cn 结束 $--> <!-- 正文块 begin --> <div class="blkContainerPblk" id="J_Article_Wrap"> <!-- 微博名片 --> <script type="text/javascript" src="http://news.sina.com.cn/js/87/20110714/205/sinalib.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript" src="http://ent.sina.com.cn/js/20120914/weibocard.js"></script> <!-- /微博名片 --> <div class="blkContainerSblk"> <h1 id="artibodyTitle" pid="31" tid="1" did="17896073" fid="1554">中美投资差异思考</h1> <div class="artInfo"> <span id="pub_date">2014年01月09日 10:02</span> <span class="art_author" id="author_ename">作者:<a href="http://zhuanlan.sina.com.cn/author/wuguoping/index.shtml" target="_blank">吴国平</a></span> <a class="support_fun" id="J_To_Support" href="javascript:;" title="赞一个" action-type="to_support">(<em>0</em>)<span class="support_tip">+1</span></a> <a id="media_comment" href="#J_Comment_Wrap" rel="我有话说" class="J_Comment_Count_Txt" style="display:none;" action-type="anchorGo" data-sudaclick="media_comment">我有话说</a> <div class="font_change" id="J_Font_Zoomer" data-sudaclick="font_change"> <span font-size="14"><a class="J_Font_Zoomer_Trigger icon font_down font_down_disable" action-type="fontZoom" action-data="type=down" href="javascript:void(0);" title="减小字号"></a><a class="J_Font_Zoomer_Trigger icon font_up" action-type="fontZoom" action-data="type=up" href="javascript:void(0);" title="加大字号"></a></span> </div> </div> <div id="art-subscribe" class="art-subscribe"></div> <!-- 正文内容 begin --> <div class="blkContainerSblkCon BSHARE_POP" id="artibody"> <!--视频轮播start--> <!--视频轮播end--> <!--单图 start--> <div class="moduleSingleImg01"> </div> <!--单图 end--> <!-- publish_helper name='原始正文' p_id='31' t_id='1' d_id='17896073' f_id='45' --> <p> 文/新浪财经专栏作家 吴国平<a class="wt_article_link" onmouseover="WeiboCard.show(1168504694, 'finance' , this)" href="http://weibo.com/234536335?zw=finance" target="_blank">[微博]</a> </p> <p> <span style="font-family: KaiTi_GB2312,KaiTi;">国外把握机会着重在挖掘个股策略为大波段；国内把握机会着重在把握阶段性机会策略为小波段。差异的本质在于两者目前运行的大环境格局。 </span></p> <p> 2013年底，有投资美股的朋友很兴奋告诉我，你重点让我买的金融界，在美国翻了有三倍多，短短几个月时间而已。</p> <p> 是的，从2013年十月初到2014年1月1日，大概也就是3个月左右，美国市场，本身牛市背景下，疯狂下，就是3倍多的利润，1块多美金不到2美金，上涨至6块多美金。</p> <p> 记得12月初我在我博客中谈到过金融界，当时翻的倍数也才2倍多点，现在又多了一个月，就多了一倍，美国市场只要把握好，做大波段还是比较容易赚钱的，关键是挖掘好品种。</p> <p> 这品种机会的把握说白了其实也就是运用了对比法，2013年10月初，中国股市网络股行情是处于阶段性高潮阶段，当时<span id=stock_sz300059><a href=http://finance.sina.com.cn/realstock/company/sz300059/nc.shtml class="keyword" target=_blank>东方财富</a></span><span id=quote_sz300059></span>这财经门户股票市值都已经逼近200亿。可那时候，金融界在美国的市值则才不到3亿人民币。</p> <p> 不比不知道，一比会吓一跳。如此低廉，在中国，这样的市值，随便都炒疯了，尤其是还具有相当业务的背景下，还在正常经营的背景下。当然，当时金融界股价如此低廉，关键也是因为阶段性亏损的缘故，但事实上当时东方财富不也亏损吗？最重要的是，那么低的市值，对于我们国内而言，随便一家想进军互联网金融的企业，那点市值全部买下来都是随随便便的事情。</p> <p> 这就有点像过去我们三大门户网中网易一度跌破1美元一样，有时候市场就是会出现给你捡到便宜的机会。</p> <p> 所以美国的市场，投资逻辑有些其实并不复杂，因为其大环境是牛市，价值真的低估的品种，就算阶段性有一定回撤，但也很难阻碍其大趋势。</p> <p> 做美股关键就是选股，选好了，剩下最好的策略就是吃大波段。金融界就是一个非常典型的案例。未来金融界这样的品种，如果出现更多疯狂，我也不会太意外的。因为，有投资逻辑在里面。</p> <p> 反过来，我们看国内市场做波段非常重要，就拿东方财富来说，2013年10月初最高触及25元，目前2013年12月底，最低跌破14元，差点就是拦腰斩半的结局。对比金融界，过去市值一度多了差不多70倍，现在回撤到30多倍左右完全合理。</p> <p> 但是，就投资而言却是万万不能死拿的，做波段就显得尤为重要了。事实上，我们很多机会都是短线机会，更多更是涨停板敢死队那样的机会。</p> <p> 说白了，大环境处于熊市状态，很多资金习惯了炒一把走人。</p> <p> 因此，对于我们的市场而言，把握机会的难度无疑要比美国大很多。</p> <p> 不过话说回来，美国市场体现风险的能力也是比国内要强的，比如兰亭集序这股票，一度就因为业绩增长不符合预期，短短2天时间就可以让你市值减半。这就是美国大牛市运行格局中的牛熊生态。</p> <p> 国内，这短期杀跌至少有跌停板制度保护下，2天顶多也就20%多点，类似<span id=stock_sh600228><a href=http://finance.sina.com.cn/realstock/company/sh600228/nc.shtml class="keyword" target=_blank>昌九生化</a></span><span id=quote_sh600228></span>这样的品种，也是属于非常罕见的案例。只要没有过度的赌徒心理，这样的地雷都是可以回避的。</p> <p> 由于我们短线资金盛行，换手这块，具体股票而言，我们大部分都是远超美国的，尤其是中小板和创业板不少个股，一天换手超过20%，都不是什么稀奇的事情。这也就注定，我们在机会和风险回避上一定要快。</p> <p> 当然，我们也有慢牛的品种，适合美国那种挖掘机会的投资模式，这样的机会，非常稀少，也正是如此，我们的市场才会跟美国市场走出截然相反的波动走势出来。</p> <p> 不过，我们在中国，中国股市才是真正属于我们的市场，因为爱所以爱，在这市场能够磨炼出来的优秀投资者，未来必然，也能在其他市场游刃有余。当然前提是，你一定要好好去感知和熟悉新的市场游戏规则和运作模式。</p> <p> 所以，总结来说，国外把握机会着重在挖掘个股策略为大波段；国内把握机会着重在把握阶段性机会策略为小波段。差异的本质在于两者目前运行的大环境格局，不同的环境进一步凸显了我们市场的磨炼人之处，什么时候，我们跟逐步跟随美国呢？我想，那一天，不远了吧，美国梦如此精彩，中国梦也该到来了，买在折磨时也是一种眼光了，就好像金融界在美国的波动一样，一度2美元以下，那也是要买在折磨时才有后面的精彩呀……</p><!-- news_keyword_pub,stock,sh600228&sz300059 --> <!-- publish_helper_end --> <p> (本文作者介绍：财经评论家、阳光私募基金经理、财经类畅销书作家、广东煜融投资管理有限公司董事长。更多精彩尽在新浪微博 @吴国平财经 及微信公号：cjtgping) </p><p><span style="font-family: KaiTi_GB2312,KaiTi;"> 本文为作者独家授权新浪财经使用，请勿转载。所发表言论不代表本站观点。</span></p> </div> <script type="text/javascript"> //分享到微博 单张图片分享 jsLoader(ARTICLE_JSS.sinalib). jsLoader(ARTICLE_JSS.shareOnWeibo,function(){ WeiboShare.config({ source: 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