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Теренната работа е извършена от Алфа Рисърч в края на 2024 г. въз основа на методология, разработена от Боян Захариев от Институт „Отворено общество – София“ и Николай Маринов от Университета в Гьотеборг, които са автори на анализа. Изследването оценява възприятията на българските избиратели за хипотетична намеса от страна на Европейския съюз (ЕС) и Русия в демократичния процес.</p> <p>Две трети от анкетираните възприемат чуждестранната намеса в изборите като негативна. Около една трета обаче смятат, че влиянието на подобна намеса варира в зависимост от източника и намеренията.</p> <p>Голяма част от гражданите <strong>(80 %</strong>) вярват, че политическата система е уязвима на външно влияние, като малцина <strong>(6 %</strong>) смятат, че няма засегнати политически сили.</p> <p>Наблюдава се известна асиметрия в отношението към потенциалната намеса на ЕС спрямо тази на Русия. Докато 32% смятат, че ЕС трябва да протестира срещу потвърдена руска намеса, 15% смятат, че Русия трябва да реагира по подобен начин, докато <strong>70% </strong>от анкетираните смятат, че Русия не трябва да предприема никакви действия, ако ЕС се намеси в изборите. Половината от анкетираните смятат, че ЕС не трябва да предприема никакви действия в случай на руска намеса. Сред респондентите с висше образование <strong>42%</strong> подкрепят протеста на ЕС в сравнение с <strong>20% </strong>от тези с по-ниско образование.</p> <p>На фона на различията в историческите и институционалните връзки на България с ЕС и Русия общественото възприемане на влиянието остава по-нюансирано, отколкото може да се очаква.</p> <p>Информацията за чуждестранна намеса оказва минимално влияние върху избирателната активност. Докато 61% от анкетираните посочват, че това няма да промени тяхната готовност да гласуват, 20% заявяват, че това ще я увеличи, а 10% – че ще я намали.</p> <p>По-високото ниво на образование е свързано с повишена мотивация да се гласува срещу външно влияние, особено когато то идава от Русия.</p> <p>Възгледите за чуждото влияние често се припокриват с политическите предпочитания. Например, избирателите на партии като БСП и „Възраждане“ по-често смятат, че ЕС не трябва да реагира на руската намеса.</p> <p>По-младите и по-възрастните гласоподаватели са по-малко склонни да подкрепят активни мерки на ЕС срещу руска намеса в сравнение с групите на средна възраст.</p> <p>Макар че нетният ефект върху избирателната активност е малък, намесата може значително да повлияе на изборните резултати, особено ако мобилизира конкретни групи избиратели – <strong>10%</strong> от гласоподавателите заявяват, че намесата би могла да повлияе на избора им на политическа партия.</p> <p>Макар директните ефекти върху избирателната активност да са ограничени, потенциалното въздействие върху резултатите и доверието в демократичните институции е значително. Необходимостта от по-силни защити и повишена информираност за предотвратяване на намеса е ключов извод от анализа.</p> <p>Пълен текст на доклада <a href="https://osis.bg/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/ForeignInfluenceBG_BZandNM.pdf">Външна (чуждестранна) намеса в изборите в България през погледа на избирателите</a></p> </div> <footer> <div class="td-post-source-tags"> <ul class="td-tags td-post-small-box clearfix"><li><span>Ключови думи</span></li><li><a href="https://osis.bg/?tag=%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B6%D0%B4%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%BE-%D0%BE%D0%B1%D1%89%D0%B5%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B2%D0%BE">гражданско общество</a></li></ul> </div> <div class="td-post-sharing-bottom"><div id="td_uid_3_67bd9c8823f4b" class="td-post-sharing td-ps-bg td-ps-notext td-post-sharing-style1 "><div class="td-post-sharing-visible"><div class="td-social-sharing-button td-social-sharing-button-js td-social-handler td-social-share-text"> <div class="td-social-but-icon"><i class="td-icon-share"></i></div> <div 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rel="noopener">Activecitizensfund.bg</a><br /> <a href="https://romapolicylab.org/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Romapolicylab.org</a><br /> <a href="https://proeuvalues.osis.bg" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Proeuvalues.osis.bg</a><br /> <a href="https://osis.bg/?p=1968" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ngogrants.bg</a><br /> <a href="https://osis.bg/?p=875" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bridgetobusiness.eu</a><br /> <a href="http://Thecatchupindex.eu" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Thecatchupindex.eu</a><br /> <a href="http://rsvu.mon.bg" target="_blank" rel="noopener">rsvu.mon.bg</a><br /> <a href="http://Opendata.bg" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Opendata.bg</a><br /> <a href="https://pgbg.eu/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">pgbg.eu</a></p> <p><a href="https://www.opensocietyfoundations.org/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Opensocietyfoundations.org</a></p> </div> </aside> </div> <div class="td-pb-span4"> <aside class="td_block_template_1 widget widget_tag_cloud"><h4 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class="tag-cloud-link tag-link-209 tag-link-position-10" style="font-size: 11pt;">обществено мнение</a> <a href="https://osis.bg/?tag=%D0%BE%D1%82%D0%B2%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B8-%D0%B4%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%BD%D0%B8" class="tag-cloud-link tag-link-207 tag-link-position-11" style="font-size: 11pt;">отворени данни</a> <a href="https://osis.bg/?tag=%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B2%D0%BD%D0%B0-%D0%BF%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%89" class="tag-cloud-link tag-link-196 tag-link-position-12" style="font-size: 11pt;">правна помощ</a> <a href="https://osis.bg/?tag=%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B9%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%BD%D0%B3-%D0%BD%D0%B0-%D1%83%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%80%D1%81%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%B5%D1%82%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%B5" class="tag-cloud-link tag-link-198 tag-link-position-13" style="font-size: 11pt;">рейтинг на университетите</a> <a href="https://osis.bg/?tag=%D1%80%D0%B5%D1%87-%D0%BD%D0%B0-%D0%BE%D0%BC%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%B0" class="tag-cloud-link tag-link-230 tag-link-position-14" style="font-size: 11pt;">реч на 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