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value="full_text">Full text</option></select> <input id="query" name="query" type="text" value="Shen, M Z"> <ul id="abstracts"><li><input checked id="abstracts-0" name="abstracts" type="radio" value="show"> <label for="abstracts-0">Show abstracts</label></li><li><input id="abstracts-1" name="abstracts" type="radio" value="hide"> <label for="abstracts-1">Hide abstracts</label></li></ul> </div> <div class="box field is-grouped is-grouped-multiline level-item"> <div class="control"> <span class="select is-small"> <select id="size" name="size"><option value="25">25</option><option selected value="50">50</option><option value="100">100</option><option value="200">200</option></select> </span> <label for="size">results per page</label>. </div> <div class="control"> <label for="order">Sort results by</label> <span class="select is-small"> <select id="order" name="order"><option selected value="-announced_date_first">Announcement date (newest first)</option><option 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mathjax"> Robust Path Recommendations During Public Transit Disruptions Under Demand Uncertainty </p> <p class="authors"> <span class="search-hit">Authors:</span> <a href="/search/math?searchtype=author&query=Mo%2C+B">Baichuan Mo</a>, <a href="/search/math?searchtype=author&query=Koutsopoulos%2C+H+N">Haris N. Koutsopoulos</a>, <a href="/search/math?searchtype=author&query=Shen%2C+M+Z">Max Zuo-Jun Shen</a>, <a href="/search/math?searchtype=author&query=Zhao%2C+J">Jinhua Zhao</a> </p> <p class="abstract mathjax"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Abstract</span>: <span class="abstract-short has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2201.01437v1-abstract-short" style="display: inline;"> When there are significant service disruptions in public transit systems, passengers usually need guidance to find alternative paths. This paper proposes a path recommendation model to mitigate the congestion during public transit disruptions. Passengers with different origin-destination and departure times are recommended with different paths such that the system travel time is minimized. We mode… <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2201.01437v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'inline'; document.getElementById('2201.01437v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'none';">▽ More</a> </span> <span class="abstract-full has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2201.01437v1-abstract-full" style="display: none;"> When there are significant service disruptions in public transit systems, passengers usually need guidance to find alternative paths. This paper proposes a path recommendation model to mitigate the congestion during public transit disruptions. Passengers with different origin-destination and departure times are recommended with different paths such that the system travel time is minimized. We model the path recommendation as an optimal flow problem with uncertain demand information. To tackle the non-analytical formulation of travel times due to left behind, we propose a simulation-based first-order approximation to transform the original problem into linear programming. Uncertainties in demand are modeled with robust optimization to protect the path recommendation strategies against inaccurate estimates. A real-world rail disruption scenario in the Chicago Transit Authority (CTA) system is used as a case study. Results show that even without considering uncertainty, the nominal model can reduce the system travel time by 9.1% (compared to the status quo), and outperforms the benchmark capacity-based path recommendation. The average travel time of passengers in the incident line (i.e., passengers receiving recommendations) is reduced more (-20.6% compared to the status quo). After incorporating the demand uncertainty, the robust model can further reduce the system travel time. The best robust model can decrease the average travel time of incident-line passengers by 2.91% compared to the nominal model. <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2201.01437v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'none'; document.getElementById('2201.01437v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'inline';">△ Less</a> </span> </p> <p class="is-size-7"><span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Submitted</span> 4 January, 2022; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">originally announced</span> January 2022. </p> </li> </ol> <div class="is-hidden-tablet"> <!-- feedback for mobile only --> <span class="help" style="display: inline-block;"><a href="https://github.com/arXiv/arxiv-search/releases">Search v0.5.6 released 2020-02-24</a> </span> </div> </div> </main> <footer> <div class="columns is-desktop" role="navigation" aria-label="Secondary"> <!-- MetaColumn 1 --> <div class="column"> <div class="columns"> <div 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