近期昆明市场焊管、镀锌管行情分析和预判-我的钢铁网

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style='color:#3861ab'>热轧</a>带钢年后价格涨幅较快，与焊管价差不断缩小。截止发稿时，昆明市场热轧带钢价格4750元/吨，较年初4400元/吨相比累计涨幅在350元/吨，较去年同期3660元/吨相比价差在1090元/吨；焊管价格5010元/吨，较年初4710元/吨相比累计涨幅在300元/吨，较去年同期4040元/吨相比价差在670元/吨。目前焊管带钢之间价差在260元/吨，较去年同期价差370元/吨相比收窄110元/吨。</p> <p><img alt="" src="//img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2021/03/18/204855.png" style="width: 600px; height: 532px;" /></p> <p><strong>2020-2021年昆明市场带钢、焊管价格走势图</strong></p> <p>来源：钢联数据</p> <p><strong>二、<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010905-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>镀锌管</a>涨幅慢于其他市场</strong></p> <p>截止发稿时，昆明市场友发牌镀<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0204-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>锌</a>管价格6110元/吨，较年初5590元/吨累计涨520元/吨，天津市场<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010501-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>镀锌</a>管价格5750元/吨，较年初5070元/吨累计涨680元/吨，西安市场镀锌管价格5950元/吨，较年初5150元/吨累计涨800元/吨，昆明镀锌管价格上涨幅度明显小于其他市场。另外昆明镀锌管本地品牌价格在5930元/吨，较年初上涨370元/吨，涨幅更小，与友发牌价差180元/吨，这也导致外地资源一定程度上上涨受阻。</p> <p><img alt="" src="//img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2021/03/18/204933.png" style="width: 600px; height: 486px;" /></p> <p><strong>昆明镀锌管价格与主产地价格对比</strong></p> <p><strong>来源：钢联数据</strong></p> <p></p> <p><img alt="" src="//img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2021/03/18/204952.png" style="width: 600px; height: 439px;" /></p> <p><strong>云南镀锌管不同品牌价格对比</strong></p> <p><strong>来源：钢联数据</strong></p> <p><strong>三、库存转折价格有支撑</strong></p> <p>从最新的样本企业库存结果显示，云南焊管企业社会库存目前在9.81万吨，较上周减少0.81万吨。<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>直缝焊管生产企业(29家)周度调研数据显示，本周焊管产量为44.66万吨，周环比增长0.52万吨，产能利用率为89.58%，周环比增长1.04%，开工率为96.73%，周环比增长0.98%，厂内库存为64.12万吨，周环比下降0.78万吨，原料库存为97.73万吨，周环比下降2.45万吨;镀锌管(28家)产量为3020万吨，周环比下降0.02万吨，产能利用率为89.28%，周环比下降0.06%，镀锌线开工率为96.57%，周环比增长1.14%，厂内库存为48.42万吨，周环比增长1.16万吨，周锌锭用量为9067.3吨，周环比下降10.8吨。</p> <p><img alt="" src="//img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2021/03/18/205125.png" style="width: 600px; height: 372px;" /></p> <p><img alt="" src="//img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2021/03/18/205212.png" style="width: 600px; height: 186px;" /></p> <p><strong>来源：钢联数据</strong></p> <p><strong>四、需求跟不上供给</strong></p> <p>从笔者调研了解，年后昆明焊管需求尚未完全启动，相较于往年需求减少一半。很多下游受目前高价位的影响，调整甚至延后采购计划，项目开工率不足，而且年后一个月商家多出售年前库存，年前资源的高利润和厂家新资源价格的高价位矛盾作用下，商家放缓了销售和采购进度，多按需补货为主，市场库存逐步减少。</p> <p><strong>总结：1、本地原料价格涨幅大于昆明市场焊管、镀锌管，目前有回调趋势（跌）；</strong></p> <p><strong>2、昆明镀锌管价格涨幅小于主产地，仍有一定上涨空间（涨）；</strong></p> <p><strong>3、下游需求尚未完全启动，价格短期上涨受阻(跌）；</strong></p> <p><strong>4、管厂和市场库存降低，原料库存减少，给价格形成一定支撑（涨）；</strong></p> <p style="margin-left:31.5000pt;"><strong>综上所述，昆明市场焊管、镀锌管价格将在震荡波动中整体呈现上扬态势。</strong></p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：李维维 13641967306 </br> 资讯监督：冯锦云 021-26093735 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel力求使用的信息准确、信息所述内容及观点的客观公正，但并不保证其是否需要进行必要变更。Mysteel提供的信息仅供客户决策参考，并不构成对客户决策的直接建议，客户不应以此取代自己的独立判断，客户做出的任何决策与Mysteel无关。本报告版权归Mysteel所有，为非公开资料，仅供Mysteel客户自身使用；本文为Mysteel编辑，如需使用，请联系021-26093490申请授权，未经Mysteel书面授权，任何人不得以任何形式传播、发布、复制本报告。Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖报告原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-4900-------------1.html" external>相关文章</a> </h2> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-4900-------------1.html" external class="more"> 查看更多<i 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