Mysteel解读：10月锡精矿与精锡进口数量双增-我的钢铁网

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id="text"> <p>据最新海关总署数据显示，中国2024年10月<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/xi/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>锡</a>矿砂及其精矿进口量为15015.579吨（折合5860.532金属吨）同比下降40.64%，环比增加90.73%。10月从缅甸的进口量为6145.944吨（折合1528.198属吨）同比下降40.23%，环比增长340.07%；除缅甸外10月从其他国家合计进口量为8849.635吨（折合4332.43金属吨）同比下降40.58%，环比增加36.74%。10月从玻利维亚，尼日利亚、委内瑞拉等国进口锡矿沙及其精矿的数量均有不同程度的增长，其中从玻利维亚当地进口数量增长幅度达255.85%以上，尼日利亚进进口数量增长幅度也达到174.57%，刚果（金）进口和澳大利亚为我国主要锡矿进口国之一，10月进口量虽然小有下滑，但整体进口数量仍居前列。2024年1-10月中国累计进口锡矿沙及其精矿约13.87万实物吨（折合4.7886万金属吨）累计同比减少11.21%，缅甸占比26.08%，截至10月，海外锡矿总进口量占比也有所增加，同比增加20.7%，表明国内向海外探索的力度逐步加大（本段涉及到的比例均为实物吨的比例）。</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><strong>图一：中国锡精矿进口统计（实物吨）</strong></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/20/1853451.png" width="522" height="295" /></p> <p style="text-align: right;">数据来源：上海钢联、海关总署</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><strong>表一：2024年10月中国锡精矿进口细分 </strong></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 232.548px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/20/1853452.png" width="600" height="232" /></p> <p style="text-align: right;">数据来源：上海钢联、海关总署</p> <p>2024年10月中国精锡进口量为3050.684吨，同比下降8.17%，环比增加55.11%；10月进口量环比大幅增长,主要是由于前期进口贸易商锁定盘面预定货源逐步到港。中国10月出口精锡1551.147吨，环比增长56.8%，同比增加47.13%。其中由于贸易方式的不同，可看出10月份精锡出口量主要来自进料加工贸易，出口量环比增幅达到288.43%。进料加工贸易本月大幅增长，主要销往新加坡、韩国、日本等国家和地区，主要还是销往精锡消费地。2024年1-10月累计出口精锡1.37万吨，累计同比增加33.75%；中国2024年1-10月累计进口精锡1.51万吨，累计同比减少34.81%；累计净进口口精锡1424吨，10月中国精锡进出口情况已转成净进口情况。</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><strong>图二：中国精炼锡进出口统计（吨）</strong></p> <p><br /><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/20/1853453.png" width="522" height="295" /></p> <p style="text-align: right;">数据来源：上海钢联、海关总署</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><strong>表二：2024年10月中国精锡进出口细分 </strong></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 278.781px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/20/1853454.png" width="600" height="278" /></p> <p style="text-align: right;">数据来源：上海钢联、海关总署</p> <p>总结：10月缅甸锡矿进口数量环比大幅增长主要源于佤邦地区10月部分在选洞口尾矿经过审批运输到国内，且本批次尾矿<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-458-------------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>原矿</a>品位相对偏低一些，精矿品位大概在15%左右，缅甸南部本月进口量相对稳定，且锡矿品位偏高，未有明显减量；从其他国家进口锡矿实物吨环比有所增加，其中海外增量项目正常投产后带来部分增量，以及类似于尼日利亚等非洲国家开发程度不断提高，后续有望带来新的增量。</p> <p>由于海外矿产资源的不断开发和贸易，海外矿的进口数量也在逐步上升，尤其是非洲地区已经不仅仅是刚果（金），尼日利亚的锡矿开发程度也在逐步提升；但四季度下旬，随着传统雨季到来，道路运输受阻影响仍需重点关注，尤其是主要进口来源非洲地区；10月份缅甸锡矿进口数量环比大幅增加，主要源于9月佤邦进口量几乎为零，而10月佤邦地区尾矿洗选带来大量增量，然而佤邦地区复产依旧暂未明确，后续不开矿的情况下，缅甸进口锡矿量或将维持低位；综合来看，预计11月中国进口锡矿沙及其精矿的数量或将小幅减少。</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><strong>图三：2024年1-10月中国锡精矿进口来源国（金属吨比）</strong></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/20/1853455.png" width="522" height="295" /></p> <p style="text-align: right;">数据来源：上海钢联</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><strong>图四：进口锡进口盈亏及沪伦比值（主力合约）</strong></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/20/1853456.png" width="522" height="298" /></p> <p style="text-align: right;">数据来源：上海钢联</p> <p>中国锡锭现货进口窗口依旧处于持续关闭状态，但远期合约最近已有开启状态，部分贸易商已开始锁定盘面订货。据<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>调研，部分贸易商反馈已有远期的进口锡船期已经敲定，且从11月市场进口锡的报价情况看，11月大部分的进口锡在月中到货，但大部分已提前预售，市场上现货已较少，部分贸易商远期精锡已提前预售，且由于临近年底，部分企业需要年终封账，到港量或有下降，11月份依旧有部分远期合约进口窗口有开启，不少外贸商有锁盘面拿货。当前中国精锡现货进口窗口较前期已在逐步缩窄，若后期国内精锡进口窗口能够开启时间足够的话，国内进口精锡数量或将逐步抬升。</p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：熊若男 021-26090055 </br> 资讯监督：丁文强 021-26094121 </br> 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p 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