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block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="//img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/09/27/7ec7e40c20df4a0a83d997c579cdcef1.png" alt="" width="600" height="341.3400758533502" /></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="//img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/09/27/051cad312b594c6699b23dbe4e9f7dc6.png" alt="" width="600" height="360.4806408544726" /></p> <p align="justify">今年以来，宁夏市场建筑钢材价格持续震荡下挫。以主要市场银川为例，主导钢厂20mm<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010101-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>螺纹钢</a>价格从年初3840元/吨下跌至3020元/吨，累计走低820元/吨。虽然期间价格也稍有反弹，但是整体反弹幅度较小，整体基调依然是弱势下跌态势。一方面，主要是随着房地产行业下行，对于建筑用钢需求大大下降。另一方面则是，目前区域内建筑钢材供给较多，仍然呈现供大于求状态，导致市场价格整体弱势下行。</p> <p align="justify">与周边市场相比，截止目前银川市场螺纹钢价格平均低于包头市场22元/吨，低于兰州市场38元/吨。从数据上看，与去年同期价差相比，银川与包头市场价差扩大35元/吨，与兰州市场缩小22元/吨，整体市场价格水平虽然有所提升，但是依然处于低位。</p> <p><strong>区域内钢厂开始复产 厂库压力较大</strong></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="//img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/09/27/cb9885056a2247b0b49f8e4ac8e6d609.png" alt="" width="600" height="356.8" /></p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="//img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/09/27/7af2aab4c8f04483abb86f033ac887f8.png" alt="" width="600" height="359.5206391478029" /></p> <p align="justify">从年初到现在，由于全国建筑钢材价格都是呈现弱势下行态势，钢企普遍面临亏损。截止8月底，对全国部分样本高炉生产企业盈利情况进行调查，螺纹钢样本平均利润-170元/吨，较上月盈利增加79元/吨，热卷样本平均盈利-250元/吨，较上月盈利减少100元/吨，<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010102-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>中厚板</a>样本平均盈利-218元/吨，盈利较上月盈利减少128元/吨。如此一来，今年区域内钢厂或多或少都处于检修减产当中，产能利用率一直维持在74%左右。随着8月底开始，宁夏区域建筑钢材价格反弹，本地钢企亏损减少甚至于开始略有盈余，前期检修减产钢企逐步开始复产，产量增加。</p> <p align="justify">另外，由于目前宁夏区域交易模式的改变，区域内贸易商销售均以钢厂直发为主，加之由于市场行情不景气，大部分商家已经没有备货做库存意愿，市场库存降到低点，不足2千吨。但是同时，今年以来区域内钢厂库存一直居高不下，截止目前约在10万吨。因此，目前本地钢厂销售压力依然较大。</p> <p><strong>供需矛盾依然存在 钢厂陆续转型</strong></p> <p align="justify">近几年来，随着建筑钢材需求日益下降以及钢厂利润下降，区域内主要钢厂已经开始寻求转型其他品种，如板卷、<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010104-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>冷轧</a>、<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010501-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>镀锌</a>产品等。虽然部分建筑钢材产能已经转移，但是整体宁夏区域建筑钢材产能依然较大。据不完全统计，宁夏区域建筑钢材产能约在500万吨，去年产量约在440万吨，但是需求却仅有约130万吨。因此，在本地难以消化目前这么多资源情况下，区域内主要钢厂资源多是分流到西北其他区域以及西南区域。</p> <p align="justify">但是，今年在整体大环境趋弱时候，西北其他区域以及西南价格也是偏低，导致资源多是亏本分流，难以持续。目前已经进入9月底，临近十一小长假，由于西北地理位置即将迎来传统销售淡季。在这样市场情况下，10月份区域内钢企竞争也更加激烈，价格将难以维持目前水平。</p> <p align="justify">展望节后，目前随着央行降准以及国家对于存量房贷利率计划下调等一系列利好政策实施，黑色系期货价格震荡偏强，宁夏区域建筑钢材价格节前一直呈现震荡偏强态势。但是，随着季节性淡季来临，目前市场需求依然无太多支撑点。种种迹象表明，宁夏银川市场建筑钢材价格节后还存在一定调整空间，不能盲目乐观。另外，再看外围市场大环境，近期以来钢厂产量上升，厂库累积，北方冬季来临之前，下游终端并未有积极赶工，后期市场行情依旧需持谨慎态度。</p> <!--指标说明附件--> <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：景薇 021-26093766 </br> 资讯监督：姜红 021-26093688 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> 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