M氓nadsprognoser - WeatherPal

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Allt fler vill ha l盲ngre och g盲rna detaljerade v盲derprognoser. En m氓nadsprognos eller varf枚r inte en s盲songsprognos. Men det 盲r egentligen en om枚jlig fr氓ga att svara p氓. - WeatherPal"/> <meta property="fb:app_id" content="242220949198695"/> <meta property="og:url" content="https://web.archive.org/web/20150710074708/http://www.weatherpal.se/artiklar/Manadsprognoser-8393"/> <meta property="og:type" content="website"/> <meta name="description" content="Intresset f枚r allt l盲ngre v盲derprognoser har 枚kat den senaste tiden. Allt fler vill ha l盲ngre och g盲rna detaljerade v盲derprognoser. En m氓nadsprognos eller varf枚r inte en s盲songsprognos. 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Allt fler vill ha l盲ngre och g盲rna detaljerade v盲derprognoser. En m氓nadsprognos eller varf枚r inte en s盲songsprognos. Men det 盲r egentligen en om枚jlig fr氓ga att svara p氓. </div> </div> <div class="newsBodyContainer"> <div class="newsItemDate"> <span class="latestText">Artikel senast uppdaterad</span> <span class="latestDate">31 oktober 2013</span> </div> <div class="newsBody"> <br/><span style="line-height: 1.22;">Vi p氓 SMHI g枚r m氓nadsprognoser som str盲cker sig 30 dagar fram氓t som l盲ngst. D氓 kan vi inte g枚ra detaljerade prognoser f枚r varje dag. Det man kan g枚ra 盲r att f枚ruts盲ga om perioden blir varmare eller kallare 盲n normalt. Eller om det blir mer eller mindre nederb枚rd 盲n normalt. Men man m氓ste ocks氓 t盲nka p氓 att os盲kerheten i dessa prognoser 盲r v盲ldigt stor. </span><br><br/>Det vi anv盲nder oss av f枚r att g枚ra l氓ngtidsprognoser 盲r ofta statistiska eller analoga metoder. Det vill s盲ga att vi j盲mf枚r med v盲derl盲gen som har f枚rekommit tidigare 氓r. I en datorprognos f枚r en m氓nad fram氓t m氓ste datorn r盲kna med f枚r盲ndringar i luftens m盲tv盲rden, havets temperatur och str枚mning eftersom dessa p氓verkar v盲dret p氓 l盲ngre sikt. Ur detta material kan vi presentera f枚rv盲ntade medelv盲rden. M氓nadsprognoserna kan vara b盲ttre 盲n rena gissningar men om prognosen inte 盲r b盲ttre 盲n de klimatologiska medelv盲rdena s氓 har den inget v盲rde. <br/>En del f枚rs枚ker g枚ra s盲songsprognoser p氓 1 till 3 m氓nader och ibland 盲ven 盲nnu l盲ngre. Dessa prognoser f氓r man ta med en nypa salt d氓 de ofta inte har st枚rre betydelse 盲n en ren gissning.<br> </div> <div class="line_divider"></div> <script type="text/javascript"> var adoc_width = document.body.offsetWidth; if(adoc_width >= 980) { document.write('<div class="center_ad_container">'); document.write('<div class="center_ad" id="WPRektangel1">'); document.write('<div class="ad_text text_grey">'); document.write('Annons'); document.write('</div>'); window.Fusion.space("k2a1"); document.write('</div>'); document.write('</div>'); } </script><div class="clear"></div> <div class="line_divider"></div> <div class="newsBody"> </div> <div class="fb_share"><a target="_blank" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20150710074708/https://www.facebook.com/dialog/feed?app_id=242220949198695&link=http://www.weatherpal.se/artiklar/Manadsprognoser-8393&redirect_uri=http://www.weatherpal.se/artiklar/Manadsprognoser-8393"><img id="shareicon" src="//web.archive.org/web/20150710074708im_/http://static2.weatherpal.se/assets/images/design/dela.png"/></a></div> <div class="line_divider"></div> <div id="cx-container">  <div id="MatchadTextAds_0000000160257454"></div> <script type="text/javascript"> if(adoc_width > 767) { var cX = cX || {}; cX.callQueue =cX.callQueue || []; cX.callQueue.push(['insertAdSpace', { adSpaceId: '0000000160257454', insertBeforeElementId: 'MatchadTextAds_0000000160257454', resizeToContentSize: true, renderTemplateUrl: 'https://web.archive.org/web/20150710074708/http://cdn.cxpublic.com/Matchad_Text_Weatherpal_Artikel_400x180.html' } ]); } </script> <script type="text/javascript"> (function() { try { var scriptEl = document.createElement('script'); scriptEl.type ='text/javascript'; scriptEl.async = 'async'; scriptEl.src = ('https:' == document.location.protocol) ? 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