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id="toc-Presidential_approval_tracking" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Presidential_approval_tracking"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3.1.1</span> <span>Presidential approval tracking</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Presidential_approval_tracking-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Generic_Congressional_Ballot" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Generic_Congressional_Ballot"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3.1.2</span> <span>Generic Congressional Ballot</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Generic_Congressional_Ballot-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Healthcare_reform" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Healthcare_reform"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3.1.3</span> <span>Healthcare reform</span> </div> </a> <ul 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id="toc-Elections-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> <li id="toc-Presidential" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Presidential"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3.2.1</span> <span>Presidential</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Presidential-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> <li id="toc-2000" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-4"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#2000"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3.2.1.1</span> <span>2000</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-2000-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-2004" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-4"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#2004"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3.2.1.2</span> <span>2004</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-2004-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-2008" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-4"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#2008"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3.2.1.3</span> <span>2008</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-2008-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-2012" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-4"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#2012"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3.2.1.4</span> <span>2012</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-2012-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-2016" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-4"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#2016"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3.2.1.5</span> <span>2016</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-2016-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-2020" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-4"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#2020"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3.2.1.6</span> <span>2020</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-2020-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-2024" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-4"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#2024"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3.2.1.7</span> <span>2024</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-2024-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Congressional_and_gubernatorial" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Congressional_and_gubernatorial"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3.2.2</span> <span>Congressional and gubernatorial</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Congressional_and_gubernatorial-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> <li id="toc-2018" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-4"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#2018"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3.2.2.1</span> <span>2018</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-2018-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> <li id="toc-2022" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-5"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#2022"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3.2.2.1.1</span> <span>2022</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-2022-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> </ul> </li> </ul> </li> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Business" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-2"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Business"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3.3</span> <span>Business</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Business-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Political_commentary" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Political_commentary"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">4</span> <span>Political commentary</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Political_commentary-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Evaluations_of_accuracy_and_performance" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Evaluations_of_accuracy_and_performance"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">5</span> <span>Evaluations of accuracy and performance</span> </div> </a> <button aria-controls="toc-Evaluations_of_accuracy_and_performance-sublist" class="cdx-button cdx-button--weight-quiet cdx-button--icon-only vector-toc-toggle"> <span class="vector-icon mw-ui-icon-wikimedia-expand"></span> <span>Toggle Evaluations of accuracy and performance subsection</span> </button> <ul id="toc-Evaluations_of_accuracy_and_performance-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> <li id="toc-Favorable" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-2"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Favorable"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">5.1</span> <span>Favorable</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Favorable-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Criticism" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-2"> <a class="vector-toc-link" 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class="vector-toc-numb">5.2.3</span> <span>Other</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Other_2-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> </ul> </li> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-See_also" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#See_also"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">6</span> <span>See also</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-See_also-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-References" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#References"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">7</span> <span>References</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-References-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-External_links" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#External_links"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">8</span> <span>External links</span> </div> </a> <ul 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For the nuclear reactor safety study, see <a href="/wiki/Rasmussen_Report" class="mw-redirect" title="Rasmussen Report">Rasmussen Report</a>.</div> <p class="mw-empty-elt"> </p> <style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1257001546">.mw-parser-output .infobox-subbox{padding:0;border:none;margin:-3px;width:auto;min-width:100%;font-size:100%;clear:none;float:none;background-color:transparent}.mw-parser-output .infobox-3cols-child{margin:auto}.mw-parser-output .infobox .navbar{font-size:100%}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .infobox-full-data:not(.notheme)>div:not(.notheme)[style]{background:#1f1f23!important;color:#f8f9fa}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .infobox-full-data:not(.notheme) div:not(.notheme){background:#1f1f23!important;color:#f8f9fa}}@media(min-width:640px){body.skin--responsive .mw-parser-output .infobox-table{display:table!important}body.skin--responsive .mw-parser-output .infobox-table>caption{display:table-caption!important}body.skin--responsive .mw-parser-output .infobox-table>tbody{display:table-row-group}body.skin--responsive .mw-parser-output .infobox-table tr{display:table-row!important}body.skin--responsive .mw-parser-output .infobox-table th,body.skin--responsive .mw-parser-output .infobox-table td{padding-left:inherit;padding-right:inherit}}</style><style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1242257876">.mw-parser-output .ib-company .infobox-label{padding-right:0.5em}.mw-parser-output .ib-company .infobox-data,.mw-parser-output .ib-company .infobox-below{line-height:1.35em}.mw-parser-output .ib-company-logo img{background-color:#f8f9fa}.mw-parser-output .ib-company-locality,.mw-parser-output .ib-company-country{display:inline}</style><table class="infobox ib-company vcard"><caption class="infobox-title fn org">Rasmussen Reports, LLC</caption><tbody><tr><td colspan="2" class="infobox-image ib-company-logo logo"><span class="mw-default-size" typeof="mw:File/Frameless"><a href="/wiki/File:Rasmussen_Logo.png" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/6/65/Rasmussen_Logo.png/220px-Rasmussen_Logo.png" decoding="async" width="220" height="55" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/6/65/Rasmussen_Logo.png/330px-Rasmussen_Logo.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/6/65/Rasmussen_Logo.png/440px-Rasmussen_Logo.png 2x" data-file-width="631" data-file-height="158" /></a></span></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label">Founded</th><td class="infobox-data">2003<span style="display:none">&#160;(<span class="bday dtstart published updated itvstart">2003</span>)</span></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label">Founder</th><td class="infobox-data agent"><a href="/wiki/Scott_Rasmussen" title="Scott Rasmussen">Scott Rasmussen</a></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label">Headquarters</th><td class="infobox-data adr"><div class="ib-company-locality locality"><a href="/wiki/Asbury_Park,_New_Jersey" title="Asbury Park, New Jersey">Asbury Park, New Jersey</a></div>, <div class="ib-company-country country-name">United States</div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label"><div style="display: inline-block; line-height: 1.2em; padding: .1em 0;">Key people</div></th><td class="infobox-data agent">Ted Carrol (Noson Lawen Partners)<sup id="cite_ref-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-1"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>1<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> <br />Fran Coombs (managing editor)<sup id="cite_ref-hill_2-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-hill-2"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>2<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> <br /><a href="/wiki/Amy_Holmes" title="Amy Holmes">Amy Holmes</a> (spokeswoman)</td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label">Products</th><td class="infobox-data"><a href="/wiki/Political_commentary" class="mw-redirect" title="Political commentary">Political commentary</a>, <a href="/wiki/Opinion_poll" title="Opinion poll">opinion polling</a></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label">Owner</th><td class="infobox-data">Noson Lawen Partners (majority investor)<sup id="cite_ref-huffpo_3-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-huffpo-3"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>3<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label">Website</th><td class="infobox-data"><span class="url"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.rasmussenreports.com/">www<wbr />.rasmussenreports<wbr />.com</a></span></td></tr></tbody></table> <p><b>Rasmussen Reports</b> <span class="rt-commentedText nowrap"><span class="IPA nopopups noexcerpt" lang="en-fonipa"><a href="/wiki/Help:IPA/English" title="Help:IPA/English">/<span style="border-bottom:1px dotted"><span title="/ˈ/: primary stress follows">ˈ</span><span title="&#39;r&#39; in &#39;rye&#39;">r</span><span title="/æ/: &#39;a&#39; in &#39;bad&#39;">æ</span><span title="&#39;s&#39; in &#39;sigh&#39;">s</span><span title="/ˌ/: secondary stress follows">ˌ</span><span title="&#39;m&#39; in &#39;my&#39;">m</span><span title="/ʌ/: &#39;u&#39; in &#39;cut&#39;">ʌ</span><span title="&#39;s&#39; in &#39;sigh&#39;">s</span><span title="/ə/: &#39;a&#39; in &#39;about&#39;">ə</span><span title="&#39;n&#39; in &#39;nigh&#39;">n</span></span>/</a></span></span><sup id="cite_ref-4" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-4"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>4<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> is an American polling company founded in 2003.<sup id="cite_ref-5" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-5"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>5<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-inside_6-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-inside-6"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>6<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> The company engages in political commentary and the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. Rasmussen Reports conducts nightly tracking, at national and state levels, of elections, politics, current events, <a href="/wiki/Consumer_confidence" title="Consumer confidence">consumer confidence</a>, business topics, and the <a href="/wiki/President_of_the_United_States" title="President of the United States">United States president</a>'s job approval ratings. Surveys by the company are conducted using a combination of automated public opinion polling involving pre-recorded telephone inquiries and an online survey. The company generates revenue by selling advertising and subscriptions to its polling survey data. </p><p>Rasmussen has been questioned for its methodology and for an apparent bias toward the <a href="/wiki/Republican_Party_(United_States)" title="Republican Party (United States)">Republican Party</a>. In 2024, <i><a href="/wiki/FiveThirtyEight" title="FiveThirtyEight">538</a></i> dropped Rasmussen from its polling averages and analysis, saying Rasmussen failed to meet <i>538</i><span class="nowrap" style="padding-left:0.1em;">&#39;</span>s standards for pollsters.<sup id="cite_ref-7" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-7"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>7<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <meta property="mw:PageProp/toc" /> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="History">History</h2></div> <p>Rasmussen Reports was founded in 2003 by <a href="/wiki/Scott_Rasmussen" title="Scott Rasmussen">Scott Rasmussen</a>, who served as the company's president from its founding until July 2013, when he left to found the digital media company Styrk.<sup id="cite_ref-huffpo_3-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-huffpo-3"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>3<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-wall_8-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-wall-8"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>8<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-bloomberg_9-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-bloomberg-9"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>9<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-10" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-10"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>10<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>Rasmussen founded his first polling company in 1994.<sup id="cite_ref-business_11-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-business-11"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>11<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> That company, Rasmussen Research, was bought by TownPagesNet.com for about $4.5 million in ordinary shares in 1999.<sup id="cite_ref-12" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-12"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>12<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Starting in 1999, Rasmussen's poll was called Portrait of America.<sup id="cite_ref-wired_13-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-wired-13"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>13<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> In 2003, Rasmussen founded Rasmussen Reports, based in <a href="/wiki/Asbury_Park,_New_Jersey" title="Asbury Park, New Jersey">Asbury Park, New Jersey</a>. In August 2009, <i><a href="/wiki/The_Washington_Post" title="The Washington Post">The Washington Post</a></i> reported that Rasmussen Reports had received a “major <a href="/wiki/Growth_capital" title="Growth capital">growth capital</a> investment.”<sup id="cite_ref-14" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-14"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>14<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> <i>New Jersey Business</i> magazine reported that the company increased the size of its staff later that year.<sup id="cite_ref-15" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-15"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>15<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Business_model_and_methodology">Business model and methodology</h2></div> <p>Rasmussen Reports engages in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information, tracking the political world, current events, consumer confidence, business topics, and the president's job approval ratings.<sup id="cite_ref-inside_6-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-inside-6"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>6<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Rasmussen Reports also conducts nightly national tracking polls and scheduled state surveys. The company provides commentary and political analysis through a daily email newsletter. In September 2012, Rasmussen Reports and Telco Productions launched a nationally syndicated television show called <i><a href="/wiki/What_America_Thinks_With_Scott_Rasmussen" class="mw-redirect" title="What America Thinks With Scott Rasmussen">What America Thinks With Scott Rasmussen</a></i>.<sup id="cite_ref-16" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-16"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>16<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>For surveys such as its daily Presidential Tracking Poll, Rasmussen's automated technology calls randomly selected phone numbers, ensuring geographic representation. Surveys can be targeted towards American adults or towards likely voters, which are determined through screening questions. In polling conducted as of 2010, Rasmussen utilized landline-only polling without attempting callbacks. In these polls, Rasmussen also did not conduct within-household selection methods, instead relying on weighting to compensate for the sample.<sup id="cite_ref-silverjuly_17-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-silverjuly-17"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>17<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-Methodology_18-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Methodology-18"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>18<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> To reach those who have abandoned <a href="/wiki/Landline" title="Landline">landlines</a>, Rasmussen has utilized online survey tool interviews with randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.<sup id="cite_ref-Methodology_18-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Methodology-18"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>18<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Rasmussen's automated surveys are conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, a firm that licensed methodology developed by <a href="/wiki/Scott_Rasmussen" title="Scott Rasmussen">Scott Rasmussen</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-19" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-19"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>19<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Polling data is weighted by adjusting for demographic variables, including age, gender, political affiliation, and race.<sup id="cite_ref-Methodology_18-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Methodology-18"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>18<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>Rasmussen Reports generates revenue by selling advertising and subscriptions.<sup id="cite_ref-about_20-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-about-20"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>20<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>According to <a href="/wiki/Nate_Silver" title="Nate Silver">Nate Silver</a> in 2010, automated polling methods like Rasmussen's have been found to be more favorable towards Republicans when compared to polls conducted with traditional methods involving live interviewers.<sup id="cite_ref-21" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-21"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>21<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> <a href="/wiki/FiveThirtyEight" title="FiveThirtyEight">FiveThirtyEight</a> gave Rasmussen a C+ rating before excluding Rasmussen from its poll tracking. Rasmussen is not a member of the National Council on Public Polls or a supporter of the <a href="/wiki/American_Association_for_Public_Opinion_Research" title="American Association for Public Opinion Research">American Association for Public Opinion Research</a>'s Transparency Initiative.<sup id="cite_ref-22" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-22"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>22<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Polling_topics">Polling topics</h2></div> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading3"><h3 id="Political_sentiment">Political sentiment</h3></div> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Presidential_approval_tracking">Presidential approval tracking</h4></div> <p>Rasmussen Reports conducts a daily Presidential Tracking Poll which measures the president's job approval rating.<sup id="cite_ref-daily_23-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-daily-23"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>23<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-24" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-24"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>24<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Rasmussen Reports notes that, "It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of <a href="/wiki/Likely_voters" class="mw-redirect" title="Likely voters">likely voters</a>. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. Obama's numbers were almost always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That's because some of the former president's most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote."<sup id="cite_ref-daily_23-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-daily-23"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>23<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-25" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-25"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>25<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> <i><a href="/wiki/Newsweek" title="Newsweek">Newsweek</a></i> also notes that polls of all adults produce results that are more favorable to Democrats than do polls of likely voters. Mark Blumenthal of <i>Pollster.com</i> notes that, "Rasmussen's Obama job approval ratings do tend to be lower than most other polls, but they are not the lowest."<sup id="cite_ref-26" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-26"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>26<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>In March 2009, a Rasmussen Reports poll was the first to show President Barack Obama's approval rating falling. Writing in <i><a href="/wiki/The_Wall_Street_Journal" title="The Wall Street Journal">The Wall Street Journal</a></i>, Scott Rasmussen, along with President <a href="/wiki/Bill_Clinton" title="Bill Clinton">Clinton's</a> pollster, <a href="/wiki/Douglas_Schoen" title="Douglas Schoen">Douglas Schoen</a>, said, "Polling data show that Mr. Obama's approval rating is dropping and is below where <a href="/wiki/George_W._Bush" title="George W. Bush">George W. Bush</a> was in an analogous period in 2001. Rasmussen Reports data shows that Mr. Obama's net presidential approval rating—which is calculated by subtracting the number who strongly disapprove from the number who strongly approve—is just six, his lowest rating to date."<sup id="cite_ref-27" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-27"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>27<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>The Rasmussen polls are often viewed as outliers<sup id="cite_ref-28" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-28"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>28<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-29" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-29"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>29<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-30" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-30"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>30<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-31" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-31"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>31<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-32" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-32"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>32<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-33" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-33"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>33<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> due to their favorable <a href="/wiki/Donald_Trump" title="Donald Trump">Donald Trump</a> approval ratings. </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Generic_Congressional_Ballot">Generic Congressional Ballot</h4></div> <p>Each week, Rasmussen Reports updates a Generic Congressional Ballot Poll. The poll tracks what percentage of likely voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, and what percentage of likely voters would choose the Democrat instead.<sup id="cite_ref-34" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-34"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>34<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-35" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-35"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>35<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> In 2009, Rasmussen Reports produced the first poll that showed Democrats trailing on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the <a href="/wiki/United_States_elections,_2010" class="mw-redirect" title="United States elections, 2010">2010 midterm elections</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-36" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-36"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>36<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Healthcare_reform">Healthcare reform</h4></div> <p>Starting in 2009, Rasmussen Reports tracked attitudes about health care reform legislation on a weekly basis. Since the <a href="/wiki/Patient_Protection_and_Affordable_Care_Act" class="mw-redirect" title="Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act">Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act</a> became law in March 2010, Rasmussen Reports consistently measured double-digit support for repeal of the law in 100 polls taken from March 2010 to July 2012. Likely voters favored repeal by an average margin of 16 percentage points during that period.<sup id="cite_ref-37" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-37"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>37<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Political_Class/Mainstream_Index"><span id="Political_Class.2FMainstream_Index"></span>Political Class/Mainstream Index</h4></div> <p>Rasmussen Reports tracks the gap between what it labels "Mainstream Voters" and the "Political Class."<sup id="cite_ref-38" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-38"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>38<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> According to the <i><a href="/wiki/Wall_Street_Journal" class="mw-redirect" title="Wall Street Journal">Wall Street Journal</a></i>, "To figure out where people are, he [Rasmussen] asks three questions: Whose judgment do you trust more: that of the American people or America's political leaders? Has the federal government become its own special interest group? Do government and big business often work together in ways that hurt consumers and investors? Those who identify with the government on two or more questions are defined as the political class." </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Other">Other</h4></div> <p>Rasmussen Reports conducts a weekly tracking poll that asks voters whether they think the country is heading in the right direction or is on the wrong track.<sup id="cite_ref-39" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-39"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>39<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-40" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-40"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>40<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> The company also provides regular updates on topics including global warming and energy issues, housing, the war on terror, the mood of America, Congress and the Supreme Court, importance of issues, partisan trust, and trends in public opinion. In 2007, <a href="/wiki/Tony_Snow" title="Tony Snow">Tony Snow</a>, White House press secretary for President George W. Bush, attacked a Rasmussen poll that showed only 19% of Americans believed the <a href="/wiki/Iraq_War_troop_surge_of_2007" title="Iraq War troop surge of 2007">Iraq War troop surge of 2007</a> was a success.<sup id="cite_ref-41" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-41"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>41<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p><a href="/wiki/David_Weigel" title="David Weigel">David Weigel</a> wrote that, "where Rasmussen Reports really distinguishes itself, and the reason it’s so often cited by conservatives, is in its issue polling. Before the stimulus debate began, Rasmussen asked voters whether they’d favor stimulus plans that consisted entirely of tax cuts or entirely of spending. Tax cuts won every time, and Republicans began citing this when they argued for a tax-cut-only stimulus package."<sup id="cite_ref-weigel_42-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-weigel-42"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>42<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>In May 2012, a Rasmussen Reports poll found that "a solid majority of voters nationwide favor legalizing and regulating marijuana similar to the way alcohol and tobacco cigarettes are currently regulated.” Of those polled, 56% favored legalizing and regulating marijuana, while 36% were opposed to legalizing and regulating the drug.<sup id="cite_ref-43" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-43"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>43<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>In July 2012, a Rasmussen Reports poll found that over two-thirds of Americans would fire every member of Congress.<sup id="cite_ref-44" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-44"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>44<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> In January 2013, a Rasmussen Reports poll found record low levels of support for the <a href="/wiki/Tea_Party_movement" title="Tea Party movement">Tea Party movement</a>. Of those polled, 30% held a favorable view of the Tea Party, 49% held an unfavorable view, and only 8% identified as a part of the group.<sup id="cite_ref-45" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-45"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>45<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading3"><h3 id="Elections">Elections</h3></div> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Presidential">Presidential</h4></div> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading5"><h5 id="2000">2000</h5></div> <p>In the <a href="/wiki/2000_United_States_presidential_election" title="2000 United States presidential election">2000 presidential election</a>, Scott Rasmussen polled under the name Portrait of America, a predecessor to Rasmussen Reports.<sup id="cite_ref-wired_13-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-wired-13"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>13<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> The Portrait of America prediction for the <a href="/wiki/2000_United_States_presidential_election" title="2000 United States presidential election">2000 presidential election</a> was off by 4.5%,<sup id="cite_ref-lik_46-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-lik-46"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>46<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> compared to the average 1.1% margin of error most other national polls gave at the time. (Rasmussen's automated telephone poll had Gore beating Bush 49-40 in the national popular vote. Gore and Bush both received approximately 48% of the actual popular vote.)<sup id="cite_ref-47" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-47"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>47<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading5"><h5 id="2004">2004</h5></div> <p>In the <a href="/wiki/2004_United_States_presidential_election" title="2004 United States presidential election">2004 presidential election</a>, "Rasmussen...beat most of their human competitors in the battleground states, often by large margins," according to <i><a href="/wiki/Slate_(magazine)" title="Slate (magazine)">Slate</a></i> magazine.<sup id="cite_ref-audiotape_48-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-audiotape-48"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>48<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Rasmussen projected the 2004 presidential results within one percentage point of the actual vote totals earned by both <a href="/wiki/George_W._Bush" title="George W. Bush">George W. Bush</a> and <a href="/wiki/John_Kerry" title="John Kerry">John Kerry</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-caddell_49-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-caddell-49"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>49<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading5"><h5 id="2008">2008</h5></div> <p>According to <i><a href="/wiki/Politico_(newspaper)" class="mw-redirect" title="Politico (newspaper)">Politico</a></i>, "Rasmussen's final poll of the 2008 general election—showing Obama defeating Arizona Sen. <a href="/wiki/John_McCain" title="John McCain">John McCain</a> 52 percent to 46 percent—closely mirrored the election's outcome."<sup id="cite_ref-50" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-50"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>50<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> In reference to the 2008 presidential election, a <i><a href="/wiki/Talking_Points_Memo" title="Talking Points Memo">Talking Points Memo</a></i> article said, "Rasmussen's final polls had Obama ahead 52–46%, which was nearly identical to Obama's final margin of 53–46%, and made him one of the most accurate pollsters out there."<sup id="cite_ref-tpm_51-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-tpm-51"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>51<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> An analysis by <a href="/wiki/Costas_Panagopoulos" title="Costas Panagopoulos">Costas Panagopoulos</a> in 2009 ranked 23 survey research organizations on the accuracy of their final, national pre-election polls based upon Obama's 7.2% margin of victory; the analysis determined that Rasmussen Reports was tied for 9th-most accurate. Democracy Corps, Fox News/Opinion Dynamic, CNN/Opinion Research, and Ipsos/McClatchy all predicted an accurate seven-point spread. </p><p>Rasmussen Reports polls predicted the correct winner in 46 states. Its final polls of Florida, Indiana and North Carolina all showed leads for McCain. Obama went on to win all three of these states. Rasmussen's poll of Ohio on November 2, 2008, showed a tied race there. Obama went on to win the state by 4 percentage points.<sup id="cite_ref-52" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-52"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>52<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-53" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-53"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>53<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading5"><h5 id="2012">2012</h5></div> <p>The final 2012 <a href="/wiki/Electoral_College_(United_States)" class="mw-redirect" title="Electoral College (United States)">Electoral College</a> projection by Rasmussen Reports showed 237 safe electoral votes for <a href="/wiki/Barack_Obama" title="Barack Obama">Barack Obama</a>, 206 safe electoral votes for <a href="/wiki/Mitt_Romney" title="Mitt Romney">Mitt Romney</a>, and eight toss-up states with a total of 95 electoral votes.<sup id="cite_ref-54" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-54"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>54<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-55" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-55"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>55<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-56" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-56"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>56<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> The final Rasmussen Reports daily tracking poll showed Mitt Romney with a 49–48% lead over President Obama.<sup id="cite_ref-57" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-57"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>57<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Obama won the election by <a href="/wiki/2012_United_States_presidential_election#Results" title="2012 United States presidential election">close to 4 percentage points</a>. Rasmussen Reports predicted Obama winning Nevada and New Hampshire, tying Romney in Ohio and Wisconsin, and losing in the other five swing states, including North Carolina. Obama won in the swing states of Ohio, Wisconsin, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, and Virginia, while Romney took North Carolina.<sup id="cite_ref-58" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-58"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>58<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>A <a href="/wiki/Fordham_University" title="Fordham University">Fordham University</a> study by Dr. Costas Panagopoulos compared pre-election polling with the results from election day. The study ranked Rasmussen Reports 24th out of 28 polls in accuracy, one slot above <a href="/wiki/The_Gallup_Organization" class="mw-redirect" title="The Gallup Organization">Gallup</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-59" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-59"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>59<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> An analysis by <a href="/wiki/Nate_Silver" title="Nate Silver">Nate Silver</a> on <a href="/wiki/FiveThirtyEight" title="FiveThirtyEight">FiveThirtyEight</a> ranked Rasmussen 20th out of 23 pollsters for accuracy in the 2012 elections, with an average error of 4.2 points.<sup id="cite_ref-60" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-60"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>60<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> After the election, James Rainey of the <i><a href="/wiki/Los_Angeles_Times" title="Los Angeles Times">Los Angeles Times</a></i> wrote that "Some conservative media outlets used the Rasmussen polling to prop up a narrative in the final days of the campaign that Romney had momentum and a good chance of winning the White House."<sup id="cite_ref-61" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-61"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>61<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>On November 7, Scott Rasmussen told <i><a href="/wiki/Slate_(magazine)" title="Slate (magazine)">Slate</a></i><span class="nowrap" style="padding-left:0.1em;">&#39;</span>s <a href="/wiki/David_Weigel" title="David Weigel">David Weigel</a>, "In general, the projections were pretty good. The two differences I noted were share of white vote falling to 72 percent. That's what the Obama campaign, to their credit, said all along. We showed it just over 73 percent. Also, youth turnout higher and senior turnout lower than expected. That’s a pretty big deal given the size of the generation gap. I think it showed clearly that the Obama team had a great game plan for identifying their vote and getting it to the polls."<sup id="cite_ref-62" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-62"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>62<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>On November 8, Rasmussen Reports stated that "The 2012 election was very likely the last presidential election of the telephone polling era. While the industry did an excellent job of projecting the results, entirely new techniques will need to be developed before 2016. The central issue is that phone polling worked for decades because that was how people communicated. In the 21st century, that is no longer true."<sup id="cite_ref-63" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-63"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>63<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading5"><h5 id="2016">2016</h5></div> <p>Rasmussen Reports’ final White House Watch survey showed Democrat <a href="/wiki/Hillary_Clinton" title="Hillary Clinton">Hillary Clinton</a> with a 1.7% popular-vote lead over Republican Donald Trump.<sup id="cite_ref-64" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-64"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>64<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> After all 136+ million U.S. votes were counted, Clinton led the popular vote by 2.1% in her loss to Trump.<sup id="cite_ref-65" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-65"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>65<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> As in 2012, a Fordham University study by Dr. Panagopoulos<sup id="cite_ref-66" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-66"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>66<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> compared pre-election polling with the results from election day. The study ranked 14 organizations but, unlike 2012, chose to omit the results of Rasmussen Reports.<sup id="cite_ref-67" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-67"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>67<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading5"><h5 id="2020">2020</h5></div> <p>For the <a href="/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election" title="2020 United States presidential election">2020 United States presidential election</a>, Rasmussen Reports' final White House Watch survey of likely U.S. voters showed Democrat Joe Biden with a 1% lead over Republican Donald Trump, stating that "President Trump and Democrat Joe Biden are in a near tie."<sup id="cite_ref-68" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-68"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>68<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Ultimately, Biden won the election by 4.5 percentage points. FiveThirtyEight found that Rasmussen was the third most accurate pollster of the 2020 presidential election, with an average error of 2.8 points for polls taken in the final 21 days before the election.<sup id="cite_ref-69" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-69"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>69<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>After Trump lost the election, Rasmussen suggested that <a href="/wiki/Attempts_to_overturn_the_2020_United_States_presidential_election#Pressure_on_Pence" title="Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election">Vice President Mike Pence should overturn the election results</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-70" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-70"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>70<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-71" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-71"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>71<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading5"><h5 id="2024">2024</h5></div> <p>For the <a href="/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election" title="2024 United States presidential election">2024 United States presidential election</a>, Rasmussen Reports' final national poll put Trump with a 3-point lead over <a href="/wiki/Kamala_Harris" title="Kamala Harris">Kamala Harris</a>,<sup id="cite_ref-72" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-72"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>72<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> despite most pollsters predicting a tight race.<sup id="cite_ref-73" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-73"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>73<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Trump ultimately led the popular vote by a margin of about 1.7%, or around 2.5 million votes.<sup id="cite_ref-74" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-74"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>74<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-75" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-75"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>75<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Congressional_and_gubernatorial">Congressional and gubernatorial</h4></div> <p>In the <a href="/wiki/New_Jersey_gubernatorial_election,_2009" class="mw-redirect" title="New Jersey gubernatorial election, 2009">2009 New Jersey gubernatorial race</a>, Rasmussen Reports' final poll predicted that <a href="/wiki/Chris_Christie" title="Chris Christie">Chris Christie</a> would beat <a href="/wiki/Jon_Corzine" title="Jon Corzine">Jon Corzine</a> by a margin of 3 points. Christie won the race with a spread of 4.3 points.<sup id="cite_ref-76" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-76"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>76<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> In December 2009, <a href="/wiki/Alan_Abramowitz" title="Alan Abramowitz">Alan Abramowitz</a> wrote that if Rasmussen's data was accurate, Republicans would gain 62 seats in the <a href="/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives" title="United States House of Representatives">House</a> during the <a href="/wiki/United_States_elections,_2010" class="mw-redirect" title="United States elections, 2010">2010 midterm elections</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-77" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-77"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>77<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> In a column written the week before the <a href="/wiki/United_States_elections,_2010" class="mw-redirect" title="United States elections, 2010">2010 midterm elections</a>, Rasmussen stated his belief that Republicans would gain at least 55 seats in the <a href="/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives" title="United States House of Representatives">House</a> and end up with 48 or 49 <a href="/wiki/United_States_Senate" title="United States Senate">Senate</a> seats.<sup id="cite_ref-78" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-78"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>78<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Republicans ended up gaining 63 seats in the House, and coming away with 47 Senate seats.<sup id="cite_ref-79" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-79"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>79<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>In 2010, Rasmussen Reports was the first to show Republican <a href="/wiki/Scott_Brown_(politician)" title="Scott Brown (politician)">Scott Brown</a> had a chance to defeat <a href="/wiki/Martha_Coakley" title="Martha Coakley">Martha Coakley</a> in the Massachusetts Senate race. Just after Brown's upset win, <a href="/wiki/Ben_Smith_(journalist)" title="Ben Smith (journalist)">Ben Smith</a> at <i>Politico</i> reported, "The overwhelming conventional wisdom in both parties until a Rasmussen poll showed the race in single digits in early January was that Martha Coakley was a lock. (It's hard to recall a single poll changing the mood of a race quite that dramatically.)"<sup id="cite_ref-80" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-80"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>80<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> A study by Boston University and the <a href="/wiki/Pew_Research_Center" title="Pew Research Center">Pew Research Center's</a> Project for Excellence in Journalism about how the Massachusetts Senate race was covered in the media concluded that "a Rasmussen Report's [<i>sic</i>] poll that showed the overwhelming Republican underdog, Scott Brown, climbing to within single digits (nine points) of Martha Coakley. That poll, perhaps more than anything else, signaled that a possible upset was brewing and galvanized both the media and political worlds."<sup id="cite_ref-81" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-81"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>81<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> The <i><a href="/wiki/New_York_Times_Magazine" class="mw-redirect" title="New York Times Magazine">New York Times Magazine</a></i> opened a March 14 cover story with a scene highlighting the impact of that poll in an internal White House meeting involving President Obama's chief of staff <a href="/wiki/Rahm_Emanuel" title="Rahm Emanuel">Rahm Emanuel</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-rahmism_82-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-rahmism-82"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>82<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> However, Rasmussen's polls all showed Coakley with the lead, including the final poll showing Coakley with a two-point lead, when she in fact lost by five points.<sup id="cite_ref-83" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-83"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>83<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>According to <a href="/wiki/Nate_Silver" title="Nate Silver">Nate Silver's</a> assessment of 2010 pollster accuracy, the 105 polls released in senatorial and gubernatorial races by Rasmussen/Pulse Opinion Research missed the final margin between the candidates by 5.8 points.<sup id="cite_ref-nytimes1_84-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-nytimes1-84"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>84<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Nate Silver described Rasmussen as "biased and inaccurate", saying Rasmussen "badly missed the margin in many states, and also exhibited a considerable bias toward Republican candidates."<sup id="cite_ref-nytimes1_84-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-nytimes1-84"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>84<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading5"><h5 id="2018">2018</h5></div> <p>In 2018, Rasmussen Reports predicted that Republicans would win the generic ballot by 1 percentage point while the actual election results had Democrats winning by nearly 9 percentage points. This error of nearly 10 percentage points was the largest polling error out of major firms who polled the national generic ballot.<sup id="cite_ref-85" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-85"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>85<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Rasmussen pushed back against critics after their miss, saying "the midterm result was relatively poor for Democrats compared to other midterms". </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading6"><h6 id="2022">2022</h6></div> <p>Four months after the 2022 election for Arizona governor – which <a href="/wiki/Kari_Lake" title="Kari Lake">Kari Lake</a> lost and unsuccessfully attempted to overturn in court – Rasmussen said there had been a 92% voter turnout rate and an 8-point victory for Lake. They based this conclusion on polling 1,001 people in Arizona. Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports’ lead pollster, said on <a href="/wiki/Steve_Bannon" title="Steve Bannon">Steve Bannon</a>'s show that the poll suggested election "irregularities and cheating".<sup id="cite_ref-86" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-86"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>86<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading3"><h3 id="Business">Business</h3></div> <p>In the business realm, Rasmussen Reports releases daily updates of Consumer and Investor Confidence with daily tracking back to 2002. The broad trends are similar to measures produced by the Conference Board and University of Michigan, but Rasmussen is the only consumer confidence measure updated daily.<sup class="noprint Inline-Template Template-Fact" style="white-space:nowrap;">&#91;<i><a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Citation_needed" title="Wikipedia:Citation needed"><span title="This claim needs references to reliable sources. (August 2014)">citation needed</span></a></i>&#93;</sup> The firm also releases a monthly Rasmussen Employment Index, a U.S. Consumer Spending Index, Small Business Watch, and a Financial Security Index. </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Political_commentary">Political commentary</h2></div> <p>In addition to polling, Rasmussen Reports publishes political commentary on its website.<sup id="cite_ref-87" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-87"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>87<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>Founder Scott Rasmussen is the author of the book <i>In Search of Self-Governance</i><sup id="cite_ref-88" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-88"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>88<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> and was a featured guest on a cruise by the conservative media outlet <i><a href="/wiki/National_Review" title="National Review">National Review</a></i>.<sup id="cite_ref-89" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-89"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>89<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Evaluations_of_accuracy_and_performance">Evaluations of accuracy and performance</h2></div> <p>The accuracy of Rasmussen's polling has varied considerably in recent U.S. presidential elections (2000–2016). Some poll watchers, including <a href="/wiki/Patrick_Caddell" title="Patrick Caddell">Patrick Caddell</a>, have lauded Rasmussen Reports, while others, such as <a href="/wiki/Chris_Cillizza" title="Chris Cillizza">Chris Cillizza</a>, have questioned its accuracy. <i><a href="/wiki/FiveThirtyEight" title="FiveThirtyEight">FiveThirtyEight</a></i> gave the firm an overall rating of "B", reporting it had a 1.5-point bias in favor of the <a href="/wiki/Republican_Party_(United_States)" title="Republican Party (United States)">Republican Party</a>. </p><p>For the <a href="/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election" title="2020 United States presidential election">2020 United States presidential election</a>, Rasmussen Reports' final White House Watch survey of likely U.S. voters showed Democrat Joe Biden with a 1% lead over Republican Donald Trump, stating that "President Trump and Democrat Joe Biden are in a near tie."<sup id="cite_ref-90" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-90"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>90<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Ultimately, Biden won the election by 4.5 percentage points. In 2018, Rasmussen Reports predicted that Republicans would win the generic ballot by 1 percentage point while the actual election results had Democrats winning by nearly 9 percentage points. This error of nearly 10 percentage points was the largest polling error out of major firms who polled the national generic ballot.<sup id="cite_ref-91" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-91"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>91<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Rasmussen pushed back against critics after their miss, saying "the midterm result was relatively poor for Democrats compared to other midterms". </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading3"><h3 id="Favorable">Favorable</h3></div> <p>Caddel and <a href="/wiki/Douglas_Schoen" title="Douglas Schoen">Doug Schoen</a> wrote in 2010 that Rasmussen has an "unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy".<sup id="cite_ref-caddell_49-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-caddell-49"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>49<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> <i><a href="/wiki/Slate_(magazine)" title="Slate (magazine)">Slate magazine</a></i> and <i><a href="/wiki/The_Wall_Street_Journal" title="The Wall Street Journal">The Wall Street Journal</a></i> reported that Rasmussen Reports was one of the most accurate polling firms for the <a href="/wiki/2004_United_States_presidential_election" title="2004 United States presidential election">2004 United States presidential election</a> and <a href="/wiki/United_States_general_elections,_2006" class="mw-redirect" title="United States general elections, 2006">2006 United States general elections</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-audiotape_48-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-audiotape-48"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>48<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-92" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-92"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>92<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup class="noprint Inline-Template" style="white-space:nowrap;">&#91;<i><a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Verifiability" title="Wikipedia:Verifiability"><span title="The material near this tag failed verification of its source citation(s). (July 2010)">failed verification</span></a></i>&#93;</sup> In 2004 <i>Slate</i> "publicly doubted and privately derided" Rasmussen's use of recorded voices in electoral polls. However, after the election, they concluded that Rasmussen’s polls were among the most accurate in the 2004 presidential election.<sup id="cite_ref-audiotape_48-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-audiotape-48"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>48<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> According to <i><a href="/wiki/Politico.com" class="mw-redirect" title="Politico.com">Politico</a></i>, Rasmussen's 2008 presidential-election polls "closely mirrored the election's outcome".<sup id="cite_ref-alex_93-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-alex-93"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>93<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>At the end of the <a href="/wiki/2008_United_States_presidential_election" title="2008 United States presidential election">2008 presidential election</a>, there were eight national tracking polls and many other polls conducted on a regular basis. Polling analyst <a href="/wiki/Nate_Silver" title="Nate Silver">Nate Silver</a> reviewed the tracking polls and said that while none were perfect, and Rasmussen was "frequently reputed to have a Republican lean", the "house effect" in their tracking poll was small and "with its large sample size and high pollster rating [it] would probably be the one I'd want with me on a desert island";<sup id="cite_ref-94" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-94"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>94<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-95" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-95"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>95<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> however, in 2010 Silver concluded Rasmussen was the least accurate of the major pollsters<sup id="cite_ref-nytimes1_84-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-nytimes1-84"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>84<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> which he attributed to the "house effect" of Rasmussen's polling methodology.<sup id="cite_ref-HouseEffects_96-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-HouseEffects-96"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>96<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading3"><h3 id="Criticism">Criticism</h3></div> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="FiveThirtyEight">FiveThirtyEight</h4></div> <p>In 2010, Nate Silver wrote an article titled "Is Rasmussen Reports biased?" in which he mostly defended Rasmussen from allegations of bias.<sup id="cite_ref-97" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-97"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>97<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> However, later in the year, Rasmussen's polling results diverged notably from those of other mainstream pollsters, which Silver labeled a "house effect", Silver's term for bias in polls that correlates with the organization doing the polling.<sup id="cite_ref-HouseEffects_96-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-HouseEffects-96"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>96<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> He went on to explore other factors that may have explained the effect, such as the use of a likely voter model,<sup id="cite_ref-98" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-98"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>98<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> and said that Rasmussen conducted its polls in a way that excluded the majority of the population from answering.<sup id="cite_ref-99" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-99"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>99<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>After the <a href="/wiki/United_States_elections,_2010" class="mw-redirect" title="United States elections, 2010">2010 midterm elections</a>, Silver concluded that Rasmussen's polls were the least accurate of the major pollsters in 2010, having an average error of 5.8 points and a pro-Republican bias of 3.9 points according to Silver's model.<sup id="cite_ref-nytimes1_84-3" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-nytimes1-84"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>84<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>In 2024, after Silver was replaced by <a href="/wiki/G._Elliott_Morris" title="G. Elliott Morris">G. Elliott Morris</a>, Rasmussen was dropped entirely from FiveThirtyEight's polling averages and analysis. A spokesperson said that Rasmussen failed to meet FiveThirtyEight's recently updated standards for pollsters.<sup id="cite_ref-100" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-100"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>100<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Bias_in_questions">Bias in questions</h4></div> <p><a href="/wiki/Jonathan_Chait" title="Jonathan Chait">Jonathan Chait</a> of the <i>New Republic</i> said that Rasmussen is perceived in the "conservative world" as "the gold standard"<sup id="cite_ref-101" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-101"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>101<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> and suggested the polling company asks the questions specifically to show public support for the conservative position. He cited an example<sup id="cite_ref-102" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-102"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>102<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> in which Rasmussen asked "Should the government set limits on how much salt Americans can eat?" when the issue was actually whether to limit the amount of salt only in pre-processed food. </p><p>Rasmussen Reports has frequently claimed that <a href="/wiki/COVID-19" title="COVID-19">COVID-19</a> <a href="/wiki/Vaccine" title="Vaccine">vaccines</a> are lethal,<sup id="cite_ref-huffpost_103-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-huffpost-103"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>103<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> election denialism,<sup id="cite_ref-huffpost_103-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-huffpost-103"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>103<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-arizona_104-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-arizona-104"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>104<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-105" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-105"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>105<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-106" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-106"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>106<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> stated that a poll held 4 months after the <a href="/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_elections" title="2020 United States Senate elections">2020 United States Senate elections</a> was representative of the results on the election day,<sup id="cite_ref-arizona_104-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-arizona-104"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>104<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> merged 3 topics into the same question, released the results 11 months later and claimed that the outcome of the poll was representative of COVID-19 vaccines' mortality rate.<sup id="cite_ref-107" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-107"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>107<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Other_2">Other</h4></div> <p>The <a href="/wiki/Center_for_Public_Integrity" title="Center for Public Integrity">Center for Public Integrity</a> listed "Scott Rasmussen Inc" as a <a href="/wiki/Political_consulting" title="Political consulting">paid consultant</a> for the 2004 <a href="/wiki/George_W._Bush" title="George W. Bush">George W. Bush</a> campaign.<sup id="cite_ref-108" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-108"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>108<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> <i><a href="/wiki/The_Washington_Post" title="The Washington Post">The Washington Post</a></i> reported that <a href="/wiki/George_W._Bush_presidential_campaign,_2004" class="mw-redirect" title="George W. Bush presidential campaign, 2004">the 2004 Bush re-election campaign</a> had used a feature on the Rasmussen Reports website that allowed customers to program their own polls, and that Rasmussen asserted that he had not written any of the questions nor assisted Republicans.<sup id="cite_ref-post_109-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-post-109"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>109<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>In 2009 <i><a href="/wiki/Time_(magazine)" title="Time (magazine)">Time</a></i> magazine described Rasmussen Reports as a "conservative-leaning polling group".<sup id="cite_ref-110" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-110"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>110<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> <a href="/wiki/John_Zogby" title="John Zogby">John Zogby</a> said in 2010 that Scott Rasmussen had a "conservative constituency".<sup id="cite_ref-111" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-111"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>111<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> In 2012 <i>The Washington Post</i> called Rasmussen a "polarizing pollster".<sup id="cite_ref-112" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-112"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>112<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>Rasmussen has received criticism over the wording in its polls.<sup id="cite_ref-113" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-113"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>113<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-washingtonmonthly1_114-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-washingtonmonthly1-114"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>114<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Asking a polling question with different wording can affect the results of the poll;<sup id="cite_ref-115" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-115"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>115<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> the commentators in question allege that the questions Rasmussen ask in polls are skewed in order to favor a specific response. For instance, when Rasmussen polled whether Republican voters thought <a href="/wiki/Rush_Limbaugh" title="Rush Limbaugh">Rush Limbaugh</a> was the leader of their party, the specific question they asked was: "Agree or Disagree: 'Rush Limbaugh is the leader of the Republican Party—he says jump and they say how high.<span style="padding-right:.15em;">'</span>"<sup id="cite_ref-washingtonmonthly1_114-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-washingtonmonthly1-114"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>114<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p><i><a href="/wiki/Talking_Points_Memo" title="Talking Points Memo">Talking Points Memo</a></i> has questioned the methodology of Rasmussen's Presidential Approval Index, which takes into account only those who "strongly" approve or disapprove of the President's job performance. <i>TPM</i> noted that this inherently skews negative, and reported that multiple polling experts were critical of the concept.<sup id="cite_ref-tpm_51-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-tpm-51"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>51<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> A <i><a href="/wiki/New_York_Times" class="mw-redirect" title="New York Times">New York Times</a></i> article says Rasmussen Reports research has a "record of relying on dubious sampling and weighting techniques".<sup id="cite_ref-116" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-116"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>116<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> Rasmussen has also been criticized for only polling Likely Voters which, according to Politico, "potentially weeds out younger and minority voters".<sup id="cite_ref-117" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-117"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>117<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>A 2017 article by <a href="/wiki/Chris_Cillizza" title="Chris Cillizza">Chris Cillizza</a> for <a href="/wiki/CNN" title="CNN">CNN</a> raised doubts about Rasmussen's accuracy, drawing attention specifically to potential <a href="/wiki/Sampling_bias" title="Sampling bias">sampling biases</a> such as the exclusion of calls to cell phones (which, Cillizza argued, tended to exclude younger voters), and also more generally to a lack of methodological disclosure. Cillizza did, however, note in the same piece that Rasmussen was one of the more accurate polling organizations during the <a href="/wiki/2016_United_States_presidential_election" title="2016 United States presidential election">2016 United States presidential election</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-118" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-118"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>118<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>A December 2018 article by political writer and analyst <a href="/wiki/Harry_Enten" title="Harry Enten">Harry Enten</a> called Rasmussen the least accurate pollster in the <a href="/wiki/2018_United_States_elections" title="2018 United States elections">2018 midterm elections</a> after stating Rasmussen had projected the Republicans to come ahead nationally by one point, while at the time Democrats were actually winning the national House vote by 8.6 points—an error of nearly 10 points.<sup id="cite_ref-119" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-119"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>119<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>The <a href="/wiki/Associated_Press" title="Associated Press">Associated Press</a> has also addressed Rasmussen's methodology. In 2018, AP journalists noted that Rasmussen's telephone methodology systematically omits adults, many of them young people, without landlines. The AP also noted that Rasmussen does not provide details regarding its online-panel methodology.<sup id="cite_ref-120" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-120"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>120<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>In an article for <a href="/wiki/The_Hill_(newspaper)" title="The Hill (newspaper)"><i>The Hill</i></a> titled "Rasmussen Research has a pro-GOP bias", panelist discussed Rasmussen's practice of adjusting results by party identification. In addition to providing professional criticism from <a href="/wiki/Ipsos" title="Ipsos">Ipsos</a>, the article cited methodological concerns from Frank Newport of <a href="/wiki/Gallup_(company)" class="mw-redirect" title="Gallup (company)">Gallup</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-hill_2-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-hill-2"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>2<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>In 2024, <i>The Washington Post'</i>s <a href="/wiki/Fact-checking" title="Fact-checking">fact checker</a> determined that Rasmussen had spread false information about the accuracy and reliability of <a href="/wiki/Dominion_Voting_Systems" title="Dominion Voting Systems">Dominion Voting Systems</a>'s voting machines.<sup id="cite_ref-121" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-121"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>121<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>In 2024, American Muckrakers alleged that Rasmussen shared polling results with members of the <a href="/wiki/Donald_Trump_2024_presidential_campaign" title="Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign">Trump presidential campaign</a> before public release.<sup id="cite_ref-122" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-122"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>122<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p><a href="/wiki/Split_Ticket_(website)" title="Split Ticket (website)">Split Ticket</a> also does not include Rasmussen in its polling averages.<sup id="cite_ref-123" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-123"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>123<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="See_also">See also</h2></div> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Trafalgar_Group" title="Trafalgar Group">Trafalgar Group</a></li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="References">References</h2></div> <style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1239543626">.mw-parser-output .reflist{margin-bottom:0.5em;list-style-type:decimal}@media screen{.mw-parser-output .reflist{font-size:90%}}.mw-parser-output .reflist .references{font-size:100%;margin-bottom:0;list-style-type:inherit}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns-2{column-width:30em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns-3{column-width:25em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns{margin-top:0.3em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns ol{margin-top:0}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns li{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .reflist-upper-alpha{list-style-type:upper-alpha}.mw-parser-output .reflist-upper-roman{list-style-type:upper-roman}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-alpha{list-style-type:lower-alpha}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-greek{list-style-type:lower-greek}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-roman{list-style-type:lower-roman}</style><div class="reflist"> <div class="mw-references-wrap mw-references-columns"><ol class="references"> <li id="cite_note-1"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-1">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1238218222">.mw-parser-output cite.citation{font-style:inherit;word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation q{quotes:"\"""\"""'""'"}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}.mw-parser-output .id-lock-free.id-lock-free a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/6/65/Lock-green.svg")right 0.1em center/9px no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .id-lock-limited.id-lock-limited a,.mw-parser-output .id-lock-registration.id-lock-registration a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/d6/Lock-gray-alt-2.svg")right 0.1em center/9px no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .id-lock-subscription.id-lock-subscription a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg")right 0.1em center/9px no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .cs1-ws-icon a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4c/Wikisource-logo.svg")right 0.1em center/12px no-repeat}body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-free a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-limited a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-registration a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-subscription a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .cs1-ws-icon a{background-size:contain;padding:0 1em 0 0}.mw-parser-output .cs1-code{color:inherit;background:inherit;border:none;padding:inherit}.mw-parser-output .cs1-hidden-error{display:none;color:var(--color-error,#d33)}.mw-parser-output .cs1-visible-error{color:var(--color-error,#d33)}.mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{display:none;color:#085;margin-left:0.3em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-left{padding-left:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-right{padding-right:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .citation .mw-selflink{font-weight:inherit}@media screen{.mw-parser-output .cs1-format{font-size:95%}html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{color:#18911f}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{color:#18911f}}</style><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_ray_fitzgerald/rasmussen_reports_delivers_unbiased_accurate_surveys">"Rasmussen Reports Delivers Unbiased &amp; Accurate Surveys - Rasmussen Reports®"</a>. <i>www.rasmussenreports.com</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.jtitle=www.rasmussenreports.com&amp;rft.atitle=Rasmussen+Reports+Delivers+Unbiased+%26+Accurate+Surveys+-+Rasmussen+Reports%C2%AE&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.rasmussenreports.com%2Fpublic_content%2Fpolitical_commentary%2Fcommentary_by_ray_fitzgerald%2Frasmussen_reports_delivers_unbiased_accurate_surveys&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-hill-2"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">^ <a href="#cite_ref-hill_2-0"><sup><i><b>a</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-hill_2-1"><sup><i><b>b</b></i></sup></a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/405965-pollster-rasmussen-research-has-a-pro-gop-bias/">"Rasmussen Research has a pro-GOP bias"</a>. <i><a href="/wiki/The_Hill_(newspaper)" title="The Hill (newspaper)">The Hill</a></i>. 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Archived from <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.huffpost.com/entry/scott-rasmussen_n_3798379">the original</a> on August 25, 2013<span class="reference-accessdate">. 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Rasmussen Reports. 2010.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.btitle=About+Us&amp;rft.pub=Rasmussen+Reports&amp;rft.date=2010&amp;rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.rasmussenreports.com%2Fpublic_content%2Fabout_us&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-21"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-21">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFSilver2010" class="citation web cs1">Silver, Nate (October 28, 2010). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/robopolls-significantly-more-favorable-to-republicans-than-traditional-surveys/">"<span class="cs1-kern-left"></span>'Robopolls' Significantly More Favorable to Republicans Than Traditional Surveys"</a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.btitle=%27Robopolls%27+Significantly+More+Favorable+to+Republicans+Than+Traditional+Surveys&amp;rft.date=2010-10-28&amp;rft.aulast=Silver&amp;rft.aufirst=Nate&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Ffivethirtyeight.com%2Ffeatures%2Frobopolls-significantly-more-favorable-to-republicans-than-traditional-surveys%2F&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-22"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-22">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFSilver2016" class="citation web cs1">Silver, Nate (June 2, 2016). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/">"Pollster Ratings"</a>. <i>FiveThirtyEight</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.jtitle=FiveThirtyEight&amp;rft.atitle=Pollster+Ratings&amp;rft.date=2016-06-02&amp;rft.aulast=Silver&amp;rft.aufirst=Nate&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fprojects.fivethirtyeight.com%2Fpollster-ratings%2F&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-daily-23"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">^ <a href="#cite_ref-daily_23-0"><sup><i><b>a</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-daily_23-1"><sup><i><b>b</b></i></sup></a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll">"Daily Presidential Tracking Poll"</a>. Rasmussen Reports. July 10, 2012<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">July 10,</span> 2012</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.btitle=Daily+Presidential+Tracking+Poll&amp;rft.pub=Rasmussen+Reports&amp;rft.date=2012-07-10&amp;rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.rasmussenreports.com%2Fpublic_content%2Fpolitics%2Fobama_administration%2Fdaily_presidential_tracking_poll&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-24"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-24">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/polls/118560-rasmussen-obama-gets-polling-bump-from-high-court-health-ruling/">"Rasmussen: Obama gets polling bump from high court health ruling"</a>. <i><a href="/wiki/The_Hill_(newspaper)" title="The Hill (newspaper)">The Hill</a></i>. June 30, 2012<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">July 10,</span> 2012</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.jtitle=The+Hill&amp;rft.atitle=Rasmussen%3A+Obama+gets+polling+bump+from+high+court+health+ruling&amp;rft.date=2012-06-30&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fthehill.com%2Fblogs%2Fballot-box%2Fpolls%2F118560-rasmussen-obama-gets-polling-bump-from-high-court-health-ruling%2F&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-25"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-25">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.huffpost.com/entry/so_whats_a_likely_voter_answer_b_725951">"So What's a Likely Voter? Answers from Rasmussen and PPP"</a>. HuffPost Pollster. November 17, 2009<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">July 12,</span> 2012</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.btitle=So+What%27s+a+Likely+Voter%3F+Answers+from+Rasmussen+and+PPP&amp;rft.pub=HuffPost+Pollster&amp;rft.date=2009-11-17&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.huffpost.com%2Fentry%2Fso_whats_a_likely_voter_answer_b_725951&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-26"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-26">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.huffpost.com/entry/why_is_rasmussen_so_different_b_724655">"Why Is Rasmussen So Different?"</a>. HuffPost Pollster. December 1, 2009<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">July 12,</span> 2012</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.btitle=Why+Is+Rasmussen+So+Different%3F&amp;rft.pub=HuffPost+Pollster&amp;rft.date=2009-12-01&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.huffpost.com%2Fentry%2Fwhy_is_rasmussen_so_different_b_724655&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-27"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-27">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB123690358175013837">"Obama's Poll Numbers Are Falling to Earth"</a>. <i><a href="/wiki/Wall_Street_Journal" class="mw-redirect" title="Wall Street Journal">Wall Street Journal</a></i>. March 13, 2009<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">July 12,</span> 2012</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.jtitle=Wall+Street+Journal&amp;rft.atitle=Obama%27s+Poll+Numbers+Are+Falling+to+Earth&amp;rft.date=2009-03-13&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.wsj.com%2Farticles%2FSB123690358175013837&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-28"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-28">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFWigglesworth" class="citation web cs1">Wigglesworth, Alex. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.mcall.com/la-pol-updates-everything-president-trump-shares-favorable-poll-results-1492473700-htmlstory.html">"Trump tweets: Shares favorable poll results, though others differ"</a>. <i>mcall.com</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.jtitle=mcall.com&amp;rft.atitle=Trump+tweets%3A+Shares+favorable+poll+results%2C+though+others+differ&amp;rft.aulast=Wigglesworth&amp;rft.aufirst=Alex&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.mcall.com%2Fla-pol-updates-everything-president-trump-shares-favorable-poll-results-1492473700-htmlstory.html&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-29"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-29">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFNelsonShepard" class="citation web cs1">Nelson, Louis; Shepard, Steven. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.politico.com/story/2017/12/29/trump-approval-rating-compared-to-obama-319626">"Trump: My approval rating is the same as Obama's was in his first year"</a>. <i>Politico</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.jtitle=Politico&amp;rft.atitle=Trump%3A+My+approval+rating+is+the+same+as+Obama%27s+was+in+his+first+year&amp;rft.aulast=Nelson&amp;rft.aufirst=Louis&amp;rft.au=Shepard%2C+Steven&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.com%2Fstory%2F2017%2F12%2F29%2Ftrump-approval-rating-compared-to-obama-319626&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-30"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-30">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFKilgore2019" class="citation web cs1">Kilgore, Ed (June 12, 2019). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/06/trump-cant-stop-lying-about-his-unpopularity.html">"Trump Can't Stop Lying About His Unpopularity"</a>. <i>Intelligencer</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.jtitle=Intelligencer&amp;rft.atitle=Trump+Can%27t+Stop+Lying+About+His+Unpopularity&amp;rft.date=2019-06-12&amp;rft.aulast=Kilgore&amp;rft.aufirst=Ed&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fnymag.com%2Fintelligencer%2F2019%2F06%2Ftrump-cant-stop-lying-about-his-unpopularity.html&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-31"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-31">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFRupar2019" class="citation web cs1">Rupar, Aaron (June 11, 2019). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.vox.com/2019/6/11/18661072/trump-campaign-internal-polling-denial">"Trump is reportedly in denial about his campaign's bleak internal polling"</a>. <i>Vox</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.jtitle=Vox&amp;rft.atitle=Trump+is+reportedly+in+denial+about+his+campaign%27s+bleak+internal+polling&amp;rft.date=2019-06-11&amp;rft.aulast=Rupar&amp;rft.aufirst=Aaron&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.vox.com%2F2019%2F6%2F11%2F18661072%2Ftrump-campaign-internal-polling-denial&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-32"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-32">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFBump" class="citation web cs1">Bump, Philip. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/politics/wp/2018/04/16/five-things-to-keep-in-mind-whenever-trump-tweets-about-polling/">"Analysis &#124; Five things to keep in mind whenever Trump tweets about polling"</a> &#8211; via www.washingtonpost.com.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.btitle=Analysis+%26%23124%3B+Five+things+to+keep+in+mind+whenever+Trump+tweets+about+polling&amp;rft.aulast=Bump&amp;rft.aufirst=Philip&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonpost.com%2Fnews%2Fpolitics%2Fwp%2F2018%2F04%2F16%2Ffive-things-to-keep-in-mind-whenever-trump-tweets-about-polling%2F&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-33"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-33">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFFord2020" class="citation magazine cs1">Ford, Matt (May 20, 2020). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://newrepublic.com/article/157765/donald-trumps-never-ending-war-numbers">"Donald Trump's Never-Ending War on Numbers"</a>. <i>The New Republic</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=article&amp;rft.jtitle=The+New+Republic&amp;rft.atitle=Donald+Trump%27s+Never-Ending+War+on+Numbers&amp;rft.date=2020-05-20&amp;rft.aulast=Ford&amp;rft.aufirst=Matt&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fnewrepublic.com%2Farticle%2F157765%2Fdonald-trumps-never-ending-war-numbers&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-34"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-34">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot/">"Generic Congressional Ballot"</a>. Rasmussen Reports. July 9, 2012<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">July 10,</span> 2012</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.btitle=Generic+Congressional+Ballot&amp;rft.pub=Rasmussen+Reports&amp;rft.date=2012-07-09&amp;rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.rasmussenreports.com%2Fpublic_content%2Fpolitics%2Fmood_of_america%2Fgeneric_congressional_ballot%2F&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-35"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-35">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/patrickmichaels/2012/06/29/obamacare-is-it-2010-again/">"The Silver Lining In the SCOTUS Ruling? A Restrained EPA"</a>. <i><a href="/wiki/Forbes" title="Forbes">Forbes</a></i>. June 29, 2012<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">July 10,</span> 2012</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.jtitle=Forbes&amp;rft.atitle=The+Silver+Lining+In+the+SCOTUS+Ruling%3F+A+Restrained+EPA&amp;rft.date=2012-06-29&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.forbes.com%2Fsites%2Fpatrickmichaels%2F2012%2F06%2F29%2Fobamacare-is-it-2010-again%2F&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-36"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-36">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/generic-ballot-blues/">"Generic Ballot Blues"</a>. <a href="/wiki/FiveThirtyEight" title="FiveThirtyEight">FiveThirtyEight</a>. March 29, 2009<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">July 12,</span> 2012</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.btitle=Generic+Ballot+Blues&amp;rft.pub=FiveThirtyEight&amp;rft.date=2009-03-29&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Ffivethirtyeight.com%2Ffeatures%2Fgeneric-ballot-blues%2F&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-37"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-37">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/weekly-standard/for-100th-consecutive-time-voters-back-obamacares-repeal">"For 100th Consecutive Time, Voters Back Obamacare's Repeal"</a>. <a href="/wiki/Weekly_Standard" class="mw-redirect" title="Weekly Standard">Weekly Standard</a>. July 9, 2012<span class="reference-accessdate">. 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CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform. <a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a>&#160;<a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/9781449593544" title="Special:BookSources/9781449593544"><bdi>9781449593544</bdi></a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&amp;rft.genre=book&amp;rft.btitle=In+Search+of+Self-Governance&amp;rft.pub=CreateSpace+Independent+Publishing+Platform&amp;rft.date=2010-01-22&amp;rft.isbn=9781449593544&amp;rft.aulast=Rasmussen&amp;rft.aufirst=Scott+W.&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Farchive.org%2Fdetails%2Finsearchofselfgo0000rasm&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-89"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-89">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation news cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.salon.com/2010/07/12/rasmussen_national_review/">"Pollster Scott Rasmussen to speak on National Review cruise — for free"</a>. <i>Salon</i>. July 12, 2010<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">December 30,</span> 2017</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=article&amp;rft.jtitle=Salon&amp;rft.atitle=Pollster+Scott+Rasmussen+to+speak+on+National+Review+cruise+%E2%80%94+for+free&amp;rft.date=2010-07-12&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.salon.com%2F2010%2F07%2F12%2Frasmussen_national_review%2F&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-90"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-90">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">November 02, 2020. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_nov02">White House Watch / Biden 48%, Trump 47%</a> <i>Rasmussen Reports.</i> Retrieved: November 26, 2020.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-91"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-91">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html">"2018 Generic Congressional Vote"</a>. <a href="/wiki/RealClearPolitics" title="RealClearPolitics">RealClearPolitics</a><span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">November 20,</span> 2018</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.btitle=2018+Generic+Congressional+Vote&amp;rft.pub=RealClearPolitics&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.realclearpolitics.com%2Fepolls%2Fother%2F2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-92"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-92">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFBialik2006" class="citation news cs1"><a href="/wiki/Carl_Bialik" title="Carl Bialik">Bialik, Carl</a> (November 16, 2006). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB116360961928023945">"Grading the Pollsters"</a>. <i><a href="/wiki/The_Wall_Street_Journal" title="The Wall Street Journal">The Wall Street Journal</a></i>. <a href="/wiki/Dow_Jones_%26_Company" title="Dow Jones &amp; Company">Dow Jones</a><span class="reference-accessdate">. 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FiveThirtyEight<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">March 26,</span> 2012</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.btitle=Tracking+Poll+Primer&amp;rft.pub=FiveThirtyEight&amp;rft.date=2008-10-21&amp;rft.aulast=Silver&amp;rft.aufirst=Nate&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Ffivethirtyeight.com%2Ffeatures%2Ftracking-poll-primer%2F&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-95"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-95">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFAlexander2010" class="citation book cs1">Alexander, Jeffrey C. 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class="mw-cite-backlink">^ <a href="#cite_ref-HouseEffects_96-0"><sup><i><b>a</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-HouseEffects_96-1"><sup><i><b>b</b></i></sup></a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFSilver2010" class="citation news cs1">Silver, Nate (March 12, 2010). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/house-effects-render-poll-reading/">"House Effects Render Poll-Reading Difficult"</a>. <i>FiveThirtyEight</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=article&amp;rft.jtitle=FiveThirtyEight&amp;rft.atitle=House+Effects+Render+Poll-Reading+Difficult&amp;rft.date=2010-03-12&amp;rft.aulast=Silver&amp;rft.aufirst=Nate&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Ffivethirtyeight.com%2Ffeatures%2Fhouse-effects-render-poll-reading%2F&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-97"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-97">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFSilver2010" class="citation news cs1">Silver, Nate (January 3, 2010). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-rasmussen-reports-biased/">"Is Rasmussen Reports Biased?"</a>. <i>FiveThirtyEight</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=article&amp;rft.jtitle=FiveThirtyEight&amp;rft.atitle=Is+Rasmussen+Reports+Biased%3F&amp;rft.date=2010-01-03&amp;rft.aulast=Silver&amp;rft.aufirst=Nate&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Ffivethirtyeight.com%2Ffeatures%2Fis-rasmussen-reports-biased%2F&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-98"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-98">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFSilver2010" class="citation news cs1">Silver, Nate (April 17, 2010). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/use-of-likely-voter-model-does-not/">"Use of Likely Voter Model Does Not Explain Rasmussen "House Effect"<span class="cs1-kern-right"></span>"</a>. <i>FiveThirtyEight</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=article&amp;rft.jtitle=FiveThirtyEight&amp;rft.atitle=Use+of+Likely+Voter+Model+Does+Not+Explain+Rasmussen+%22House+Effect%22&amp;rft.date=2010-04-17&amp;rft.aulast=Silver&amp;rft.aufirst=Nate&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Ffivethirtyeight.com%2Ffeatures%2Fuse-of-likely-voter-model-does-not%2F&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-99"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-99">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFSilver2010" class="citation news cs1">Silver, Nate (July 19, 2010). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-poll-scientific-if-it-excludes-more/">"Is a Poll Scientific if it Excludes More Than Half the Population?"</a>. <i>The New York Times</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=article&amp;rft.jtitle=The+New+York+Times&amp;rft.atitle=Is+a+Poll+Scientific+if+it+Excludes+More+Than+Half+the+Population%3F&amp;rft.date=2010-07-19&amp;rft.aulast=Silver&amp;rft.aufirst=Nate&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Ffivethirtyeight.com%2Ffeatures%2Fis-poll-scientific-if-it-excludes-more%2F&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-100"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-100">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFBump2024" class="citation web cs1">Bump, Phillip (March 8, 2024). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/08/rasmussen-538-polling/">"538 drops Rasmussen Reports from its analysis"</a>. <i>Washington Post</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=unknown&amp;rft.jtitle=Washington+Post&amp;rft.atitle=538+drops+Rasmussen+Reports+from+its+analysis&amp;rft.date=2024-03-08&amp;rft.aulast=Bump&amp;rft.aufirst=Phillip&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonpost.com%2Fpolitics%2F2024%2F03%2F08%2Frasmussen-538-polling%2F&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-101"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-101">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFChait" class="citation magazine cs1">Chait, Jonathan. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20120731004315/http://www.tnr.com:80/blog/jonathan-chait/75161/the-rasmussen-problem">"The Rasmussen Problem"</a>. <i>The New Republic</i>. 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Retrieved <span class="nowrap">February 26,</span> 2023</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=article&amp;rft.jtitle=The+New+Republic&amp;rft.atitle=The+Rasmussen+Problem&amp;rft.aulast=Chait&amp;rft.aufirst=Jonathan&amp;rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fnewrepublic.com%2Farticle%2F75161%2Fthe-rasmussen-problem&amp;rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3ARasmussen+Reports" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-102"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-102">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFBlumenthal2010" class="citation web cs1">Blumenthal, Mark (April 28, 2010). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20160820125323/http://www.pollster.com/blogs/a_question_thats_too_salty.html">"A Question That's Too Salty"</a>. <i><a href="/wiki/The_Huffington_Post" class="mw-redirect" title="The Huffington Post">Pollster.com</a></i>. 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