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</div> <div class="SG_connFoot"></div> </div> </div> <!--第一列end--> <!--第二列start--> <div id="column_2" class="SG_colW73"><div id="module_10001" class="SG_conn"> <div class="SG_connHead"> <span comp_title="博文" class="title">博文</span> <span class="edit"> </span> </div> <div class="SG_connBody"> <div class="bloglist"> <div class="blog_title_h"> <span class="img1"></span> <div id="t_10001_4c30308401033e0m" class="blog_title"> <a href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033e0m.html" target="_blank">B-b还是C-a马上见分晓!</a> </div> <span class="time SG_txtc">(2024-11-18 15:12)</span> <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn" action-type="reblog" action-data="{srcBlog:1, blogId:'4c30308401033e0m'}"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle">转载<em class="arrow">▼</em></cite></a></div> <!-- <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033e0m');return false;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle" />转载</cite></a></div> —--> </div> <div class="articalTag"> <table> <tr> <td class="blog_tag"> <span class="SG_txtb">标签:</span> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>财经</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>股票</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>时评</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>收藏</h3> </td> <td class="blog_class"> </td> </tr> </table> </div> <div class="content newfont_family"> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>前面讲了大盘的理想演变就是下探3370点一线后再行反弹,而上周末大盘下探3370点一线后直接击破到达3330点一线,今天高开后击破3330点后反弹冲高回落下午再创新低后,周末利好的破净股出现上涨,个股继续出现大面积的下跌,大盘已经出现连续的个股杀跌,明天也是3674点以来的小周期节点,本次下跌B浪反弹还没有结束还是已经进入了C浪下跌,未来三个交易日有望见分晓。</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>随着个股的连续杀跌,市场普遍认为这里已经进入了C浪下跌,但这里运行的B-b 还是 C-a还不能确认存在着以下二个原因:一是从时间上看,11月8日的下跌虽然已经基本符合前面讲的周线高点的条件,但从月线角度看,这里的周线下跌延续到春节前的话,前面的周线缺口回补牛市的氛围无疑得到破坏。</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>从这个角度看,这里进入C浪下跌的时间有点早;二是从技术上看,3509点以来的下跌没有留下任何跳空缺口,也没有跌破颈线位,在技术上没有明显的C浪下跌的特</font></div> </div> <div class="tagMore"> <div class="tag SG_txtc"> <a id="r_10001_4c30308401033e0m" href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033e0m.html" target="_blank">阅读</a> <!-- ┆ <a href="#" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033e0m');return false;">转载</a><a id="z_10001_4c30308401033e0m" href="#" onclick="scope.articleQuoteShow && scope.articleQuoteShow('4c30308401033e0m');return false;" class="zznum"></a> --> <a id="f_10001_4c30308401033e0m" href="javascript:;" onclick="return false;">收藏</a> </div> <div class="more"> <span class="SG_more"><a href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033e0m.html" target="_blank">查看全文</a>>></span> </div> </div> <div style="display: none;" class="blogzz_zzlist borderc" id="ff_4c30308401033e0m"></div> <div class="SG_j_linedot"></div> <div class="blog_title_h"> <span class="img1"></span> <div id="t_10001_4c30308401033e0i" class="blog_title"> <a href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033e0i.html" target="_blank">B浪反弹结束了吗?后市的理想演变!</a> </div> <span class="time SG_txtc">(2024-11-12 15:09)</span> <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn" action-type="reblog" action-data="{srcBlog:1, blogId:'4c30308401033e0i'}"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle">转载<em class="arrow">▼</em></cite></a></div> <!-- <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033e0i');return false;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle" />转载</cite></a></div> —--> </div> <div class="articalTag"> <table> <tr> <td class="blog_tag"> <span class="SG_txtb">标签:</span> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>财经</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>股票</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>时评</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>收藏</h3> </td> <td class="blog_class"> </td> </tr> </table> </div> <div class="content newfont_family"> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>前面讲了注意短周期时间点的冲高回落出现,而大盘在上周五的短时间点出现了冲高3509点后的回落,昨天在科技板块的大涨带动下出现了探低反弹,今天热点切换到医药等防守板块后出现了再次的冲高回落,个股也出现了大面积的退潮走势,那这里进入短周期的下跌后是否意味着前面讲的B浪反弹是否已经结束了呢。</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>首先从时空点看,大盘下一个比较重要的月线时间点在2025年的1月,按目前的走势看这里最好出现低点,如果是这样,由于3152-3509运行了16个交易日,时间上有所不够,而这里也是周线时间点,这里的下跌还存在出现低点的可能,而从空间上看,3509点已经符合B浪反弹的要求,但由于几大指数的差异化表现,国证2000已经创出10月8日的新高,科创板今天也已经触及前面的新高位置,所以大盘后市还存在着继续强反的大B浪反弹的可能性,强势的话不排除出现新高的可能,然后再出现C浪下跌,这样既抑制了C浪下跌的力度保证前面周线调空缺口的安全,也能符合月线时间点的要求;</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> </div> <div class="tagMore"> <div class="tag SG_txtc"> <a id="r_10001_4c30308401033e0i" href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033e0i.html" target="_blank">阅读</a> <!-- ┆ <a href="#" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033e0i');return false;">转载</a><a id="z_10001_4c30308401033e0i" href="#" onclick="scope.articleQuoteShow && scope.articleQuoteShow('4c30308401033e0i');return false;" class="zznum"></a> --> <a id="f_10001_4c30308401033e0i" href="javascript:;" onclick="return false;">收藏</a> </div> <div class="more"> <span class="SG_more"><a href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033e0i.html" target="_blank">查看全文</a>>></span> </div> </div> <div style="display: none;" class="blogzz_zzlist borderc" id="ff_4c30308401033e0i"></div> <div class="SG_j_linedot"></div> <div class="blog_title_h"> <span class="img1"></span> <div id="t_10001_4c30308401033e0d" class="blog_title"> <a href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033e0d.html" target="_blank">大盘后市的理想演变及三个关键节点!</a> </div> <span class="time SG_txtc">(2024-10-28 15:28)</span> <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn" action-type="reblog" action-data="{srcBlog:1, blogId:'4c30308401033e0d'}"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle">转载<em class="arrow">▼</em></cite></a></div> <!-- <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033e0d');return false;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle" />转载</cite></a></div> —--> </div> <div class="articalTag"> <table> <tr> <td class="blog_tag"> <span class="SG_txtb">标签:</span> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>财经</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>股票</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>时评</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>收藏</h3> </td> <td class="blog_class"> </td> </tr> </table> </div> <div class="content newfont_family"> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>前面讲了目前B浪反弹还在进行中,上周三到达了3330点一线后回落但板块的轮动依旧保持着大盘振荡反弹的B浪反弹态势,那这里的B浪反弹何时结束,是否会出现C浪杀跌的走势,这里谈一下以下大盘后市的理想演变和几个关键节点。</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>首先从时空点的角度看,大盘下一个月线时间点在2025年初,而周线时间点在下月上中旬,所以从时间点的角度看,这里最好走出冲高振荡回落在下一个周线时间点见低点后再行反弹,从空间角度看,前面讲了这里B浪反弹最低目标位应在3350点一线,而目前连起码的空间位还没有到达,表明这里的反弹有以时间换空间的趋势;其次从技术形态来看,由于本月到目前为止走出了高开长阴,周线上在高开长阴后已经连续二根阳线来消化这里的顶部压力,那月线上也同样如此,一方面本月不能收出吊颈线这样大概率见顶的K线组合,那大盘最好收在3336点的下方。</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>从这个角度看,目前没有大幅反弹不见得是坏事,另一方</font></div> </div> <div class="tagMore"> <div class="tag SG_txtc"> <a id="r_10001_4c30308401033e0d" href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033e0d.html" target="_blank">阅读</a> <!-- ┆ <a href="#" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033e0d');return false;">转载</a><a id="z_10001_4c30308401033e0d" href="#" onclick="scope.articleQuoteShow && scope.articleQuoteShow('4c30308401033e0d');return false;" class="zznum"></a> --> <a id="f_10001_4c30308401033e0d" href="javascript:;" onclick="return false;">收藏</a> </div> <div class="more"> <span class="SG_more"><a href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033e0d.html" target="_blank">查看全文</a>>></span> </div> </div> <div style="display: none;" class="blogzz_zzlist borderc" id="ff_4c30308401033e0d"></div> <div class="SG_j_linedot"></div> <div class="blog_title_h"> <span class="img1"></span> <div id="t_10001_4c30308401033e0a" class="blog_title"> <a href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033e0a.html" target="_blank">如何看待这里的B浪反弹?</a> </div> <span class="time SG_txtc">(2024-10-22 15:13)</span> <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn" action-type="reblog" action-data="{srcBlog:1, blogId:'4c30308401033e0a'}"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle">转载<em class="arrow">▼</em></cite></a></div> <!-- <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033e0a');return false;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle" />转载</cite></a></div> —--> </div> <div class="articalTag"> <table> <tr> <td class="blog_tag"> <span class="SG_txtb">标签:</span> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>财经</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>股票</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>时评</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>收藏</h3> </td> <td class="blog_class"> </td> </tr> </table> </div> <div class="content newfont_family"> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>前面讲了大盘打破强势模式后注意B浪反弹的出现,而大盘在上周末下探3152的缺口上沿后出现快速反弹,但尾盘出现回落没有有效站上3288点一线,本周连续二天的横盘振荡也没有向下击破3233点一线的强弱点,还属于强势振荡的B浪反弹的范畴,那这样横盘振荡的格局是否延续,如何看待这里的B浪反弹呢。</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>首先从时空点看,如果这里进入牛市短线时间点只能作为参考更多地关注空间得失,而从上周五的短线时间点演变为了低点,但快速冲高回落的走势也不能排除高点的出现,而今天是小时时间点也意味着连续振荡后超短线的变盘有望出现,而从空间点看,大盘连续8天出现了3153点到3303点一线的区间振荡,从空间角度看还处于横盘振荡式的反弹没有真正进入B浪反弹的范畴,而B浪反弹的最低目标位也在3352点一线,最大的压力位在3413点一线,所以从时空点而言,大盘的B浪反弹应还没有结束。</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>其次从操作层面来看,B浪反弹往往会带来个</font></div> </div> <div class="tagMore"> <div class="tag SG_txtc"> <a id="r_10001_4c30308401033e0a" href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033e0a.html" target="_blank">阅读</a> <!-- ┆ <a href="#" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033e0a');return false;">转载</a><a id="z_10001_4c30308401033e0a" href="#" onclick="scope.articleQuoteShow && scope.articleQuoteShow('4c30308401033e0a');return false;" class="zznum"></a> --> <a id="f_10001_4c30308401033e0a" href="javascript:;" onclick="return false;">收藏</a> </div> <div class="more"> <span class="SG_more"><a href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033e0a.html" target="_blank">查看全文</a>>></span> </div> </div> <div style="display: none;" class="blogzz_zzlist borderc" id="ff_4c30308401033e0a"></div> <div class="SG_j_linedot"></div> <div class="blog_title_h"> <span class="img1"></span> <div id="t_10001_4c30308401033e06" class="blog_title"> <a href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033e06.html" target="_blank">大盘强势模式被打破后该如何面对?</a> </div> <span class="time SG_txtc">(2024-10-15 15:08)</span> <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn" action-type="reblog" action-data="{srcBlog:1, blogId:'4c30308401033e06'}"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle">转载<em class="arrow">▼</em></cite></a></div> <!-- <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033e06');return false;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle" />转载</cite></a></div> —--> </div> <div class="articalTag"> <table> <tr> <td class="blog_tag"> <span class="SG_txtb">标签:</span> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>财经</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>股票</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>时评</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>收藏</h3> </td> <td class="blog_class"> </td> </tr> </table> </div> <div class="content newfont_family"> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>在大盘出现逼空上涨后只要关注空间得失即可,而大盘3700点附近的空间位出现了向下回打的动作,在上周五向下击破了3233点一线的牛市支撑位,也就意味着大盘的强势模式已经被打破,那昨天的反弹后今天的反复也就是强势模式不能维持的结果,那这样的反复后应该如何面对这里的盘面呢。</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>首先先看大盘强势模式被打破的几个表现特征,一是成交量出现明显的萎缩,昨天的反弹也没有到达5日均量,二是技术上5天均线没有形成明显的支撑直接跌破后再有反抽的动作,而今天开始考验十天线后明天大盘开盘就在十天线以下,这样的均线状态使得大盘走出类似519的后续走势的概率几乎消失,三是热点的快速消退,不光是券商为代表的金融板块出现了低迷的状态,科技等板块的热点也出现快速消退,以上几个表现特征也意味着中短线操作已经进入观望期,不宜重仓操作。</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>其次再看大盘的时空状态,大盘在上周五进入了短线时间点,由于盘面的</font></div> </div> <div class="tagMore"> <div class="tag SG_txtc"> <a id="r_10001_4c30308401033e06" href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033e06.html" target="_blank">阅读</a> <!-- ┆ <a href="#" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033e06');return false;">转载</a><a id="z_10001_4c30308401033e06" href="#" onclick="scope.articleQuoteShow && scope.articleQuoteShow('4c30308401033e06');return false;" class="zznum"></a> --> <a id="f_10001_4c30308401033e06" href="javascript:;" onclick="return false;">收藏</a> </div> <div class="more"> <span class="SG_more"><a href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033e06.html" target="_blank">查看全文</a>>></span> </div> </div> <div style="display: none;" class="blogzz_zzlist borderc" id="ff_4c30308401033e06"></div> <div class="SG_j_linedot"></div> <div class="blog_title_h"> <span class="img1"></span> <div id="t_10001_4c30308401033dzu" class="blog_title"> <a href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033dzu.html" target="_blank">5.19行情重现?</a> </div> <span class="time SG_txtc">(2024-09-26 15:41)</span> <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn" action-type="reblog" action-data="{srcBlog:1, blogId:'4c30308401033dzu'}"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle">转载<em class="arrow">▼</em></cite></a></div> <!-- <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033dzu');return false;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle" />转载</cite></a></div> —--> </div> <div class="articalTag"> <table> <tr> <td class="blog_tag"> <span class="SG_txtb">标签:</span> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>财经</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>股票</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>时评</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>收藏</h3> </td> <td class="blog_class"> </td> </tr> </table> </div> <div class="content newfont_family"> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>三天站上3000点,目前的走势对于老股民来讲已经看到519行情的影子,起始连续四根长阳突破年线,大盘短短一个多月从1050点涨到1756点,大盘目前三天站上年线从气势上已经有点519的意思,而由于目前市场的体量与1999年不可同日而语,后市能否向519靠拢就看二点:一是量能的堆量是否跟上,今天站上3000点的量能还有点勉强;</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>二是519由网路科技股这一明确的主线带动,而目前金融地产消费等权重板块的上涨带动大盘冲上3000点,后面能否出现明确的领涨主线。而明天开始进入短线时间点的范畴,突破年线后注意冲高振荡的强弱。</font></div> </div> <div class="tagMore"> <div class="tag SG_txtc"> <a id="r_10001_4c30308401033dzu" href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033dzu.html" target="_blank">阅读</a> <!-- ┆ <a href="#" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033dzu');return false;">转载</a><a id="z_10001_4c30308401033dzu" href="#" onclick="scope.articleQuoteShow && scope.articleQuoteShow('4c30308401033dzu');return false;" class="zznum"></a> --> <a id="f_10001_4c30308401033dzu" href="javascript:;" onclick="return false;">收藏</a> </div> <div class="more"> <span class="SG_more"><a href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033dzu.html" target="_blank">查看全文</a>>></span> </div> </div> <div style="display: none;" class="blogzz_zzlist borderc" id="ff_4c30308401033dzu"></div> <div class="SG_j_linedot"></div> <div class="blog_title_h"> <span class="img1"></span> <div id="t_10001_4c30308401033dzt" class="blog_title"> <a href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033dzt.html" target="_blank">持股还是持币过节?</a> </div> <span class="time SG_txtc">(2024-09-23 15:09)</span> <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn" action-type="reblog" action-data="{srcBlog:1, blogId:'4c30308401033dzt'}"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle">转载<em class="arrow">▼</em></cite></a></div> <!-- <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033dzt');return false;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle" />转载</cite></a></div> —--> </div> <div class="articalTag"> <table> <tr> <td class="blog_tag"> <span class="SG_txtb">标签:</span> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>财经</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>股票</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>时评</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>收藏</h3> </td> <td class="blog_class"> </td> </tr> </table> </div> <div class="content newfont_family"> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>前面讲了出现极端走势后的面对,大盘上周跌破2700点后出现了探低反弹的走势,今天开始回补2865点一线的缺口,回补一半后出现冲高回落的走势,大盘探低后出现四连阳的走势使得市场对这里的底部期待有所升温,而离开十一长假还有五个交易日,大盘是否已经见底企稳,本次长假是持股还是持币过节呢。</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>先看2689点是否具备时空低点的条件,前面讲了下一个周线时间点就在国庆节前后,而周三是短线时间点,那上周三开始的反弹从时间上还与中线时间点有所偏差,属于标准的短线时间点的短线反弹的概率比较大。</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>而从空间上看,跌破2720点一线后大盘2635点上方的支撑在2663点一线,2689点还稍有不够,所以2689点出现中线时空点从时空上还有所欠缺,那后市从时空点上就应关注二点:一是从时间上看国庆节前后的高低点性质;二是从空间上看2788点一线是否有效突破才有空间上反转的可能,那是持股还是持币过节就变得比较简单:如</font></div> </div> <div class="tagMore"> <div class="tag SG_txtc"> <a id="r_10001_4c30308401033dzt" href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033dzt.html" target="_blank">阅读</a> <!-- ┆ <a href="#" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033dzt');return false;">转载</a><a id="z_10001_4c30308401033dzt" href="#" onclick="scope.articleQuoteShow && scope.articleQuoteShow('4c30308401033dzt');return false;" class="zznum"></a> --> <a id="f_10001_4c30308401033dzt" href="javascript:;" onclick="return false;">收藏</a> </div> <div class="more"> <span class="SG_more"><a href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033dzt.html" target="_blank">查看全文</a>>></span> </div> </div> <div style="display: none;" class="blogzz_zzlist borderc" id="ff_4c30308401033dzt"></div> <div class="SG_j_linedot"></div> <div class="blog_title_h"> <span class="img1"></span> <div id="t_10001_4c30308401033dzp" class="blog_title"> <a href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033dzp.html" target="_blank">出现了前面讲的极端走势后该如何面对?</a> </div> <span class="time SG_txtc">(2024-09-09 15:16)</span> <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn" action-type="reblog" action-data="{srcBlog:1, blogId:'4c30308401033dzp'}"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle">转载<em class="arrow">▼</em></cite></a></div> <!-- <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033dzp');return false;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle" />转载</cite></a></div> —--> </div> <div class="articalTag"> <table> <tr> <td class="blog_tag"> <span class="SG_txtb">标签:</span> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>财经</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>股票</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>时评</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>收藏</h3> </td> <td class="blog_class"> </td> </tr> </table> </div> <div class="content newfont_family"> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>前文讲了注意上周四的探低反弹的力度,而上周四的反弹仅仅到达2800点一线就出现了冲高后的反杀,今天更是直接低开低走留下周日线跳空缺口击破2740点到达2720点上下的支撑,这样就走出了前面契型整理时讲的向下突破后的跌破2740点的极端走势出现,除了前面所讲的银行板块带动的补跌外国证2000的再次探低使得个股也面临着再次杀跌的格局,这里走出了前面8.27讲的注意极端走势出现的可能性,那该如何面对呢?</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>首先从时间点看,下一个周线时间点就在国庆节前后,理论上这里是最有可能出现的大盘的波段低点的,而下一个短线时间点在周三,今天是小时时间点,也就是说下午出现了分时上的空间反弹,明天最好不出现强力的反弹否则周三还有出现短线高点的可能;其次从空间上来看,理论上这里即使出现极端的走势也不会跌破2635点的,2720上下就是理论上的下跌目标位,那就看本周三左右的时间节点是否会出现共振的走势,虽然还只能看作为空间上的反弹,但有望进入反复筑底的阶段,所以空间上关注2720上下的得失,短线是否能够出现空间上</font></div> </div> <div class="tagMore"> <div class="tag SG_txtc"> <a id="r_10001_4c30308401033dzp" href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033dzp.html" target="_blank">阅读</a> 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action-type="reblog" action-data="{srcBlog:1, blogId:'4c30308401033dzn'}"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle">转载<em class="arrow">▼</em></cite></a></div> <!-- <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033dzn');return false;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle" />转载</cite></a></div> —--> </div> <div class="articalTag"> <table> <tr> <td class="blog_tag"> <span class="SG_txtb">标签:</span> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>财经</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>股票</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>时评</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>收藏</h3> </td> <td class="blog_class"> </td> </tr> </table> </div> <div class="content newfont_family"> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>前面讲了本周几大指数能否出现空间突破将关系到九月市场的强弱,而周一大盘直接低开后的反复再次创出新低,昨天更是击破了2800点一线只是国证2000和创业板等指数的反弹保持着个股的大面积反弹,减缓了这里指数再创新低的动作对个股的杀伤力,而随着今天指数的再创新低和个股的反复,明天大盘将再次进入日线时间点,可注意这里探低反弹的力度。</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>从时间点看,明天大盘将再次进入短线时间点,大盘本周出现直接反复的走势使得这里出现探低反弹的概率在增加,只是由于下一个周线时间点在9月末,这里出现重要低点的概率比较小,但存在进入短周期反弹的要求,可关注这里探低反弹的力度。</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>而从空间点看,前面已经讲了出现契型向下变盘后的空间位在2740点附近,但这里大盘的连续下跌已经到达了分时上的支撑位2770-80点一线,已经具备小空间反弹的条件,所以从时空点看,大盘已经具备短线反弹的条件,理论上这里短线反弹后</font></div> </div> <div class="tagMore"> <div class="tag SG_txtc"> <a id="r_10001_4c30308401033dzn" href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033dzn.html" target="_blank">阅读</a> <!-- ┆ <a href="#" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033dzn');return false;">转载</a><a 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src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle">转载<em class="arrow">▼</em></cite></a></div> <!-- <div class="turnBoxzz"><a href="javascript:;" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033dzl');return false;" class="SG_aBtn SG_aBtn_ico SG_turn"><cite><img class="SG_icon SG_icon111" src="//simg.sinajs.cn/blog7style/images/common/sg_trans.gif" width="15" height="15" align="absmiddle" />转载</cite></a></div> —--> </div> <div class="articalTag"> <table> <tr> <td class="blog_tag"> <span class="SG_txtb">标签:</span> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>财经</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>股票</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>时评</h3> <!--<h3><a href="" target="_blank"></a></h3>--> <h3>收藏</h3> </td> <td class="blog_class"> </td> </tr> </table> </div> <div class="content newfont_family"> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>前面讲了注意极端走势出现的可能性,关键在于率先逼近2635点的创业板、科创板是否能够出现率先止跌,而大盘在银行等板块的补跌下继续创出新低,但创业板和国证2000昨天创出新低后出现反弹,今天更是出现中阳反弹的走势使得个股出现了大面积的反弹,但大盘在上攻前低点2865点一线后冲高回落没有出现空间突破的标志性阳线,今天是八月收官日,那下周能否出现突破的走势将关系到九月的强弱。</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>首先从时间点看,昨天是日线时间点创业板国证2000均出现低点后的反弹,大盘今天没有击破昨天的低点而出现反弹,这里已经具备短线低点的要求,由于八月下旬在周线时间点的范畴,这里必须要成立波段低点,否则下一个周线时间点在九月底,整个九月走势就不会太好。</font></div> <div><font style='font-size: 16px;'><br /></font></div> <div><font style= 'font-size: 16px;'>其次从空间点来看,昨天的2815点再次考验了契型下跌的下轨而出现反弹,那大盘这里能否出现空间突破,今天的2865点一线是基本的反弹压力位,这里要成立中线的时空</font></div> </div> <div class="tagMore"> <div class="tag SG_txtc"> <a id="r_10001_4c30308401033dzl" href="//blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c30308401033dzl.html" target="_blank">阅读</a> <!-- ┆ <a href="#" onclick="scope.articel_quote_alert && scope.articel_quote_alert('4c30308401033dzl');return false;">转载</a><a id="z_10001_4c30308401033dzl" href="#" onclick="scope.articleQuoteShow && 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