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src="http://www.casmita.com/file/ext/pdf.gif" width="16" height="14" title="PDF文档" align="absmiddle"/></span> 日期:2024-09-10&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 浏览:<span id="hits">211</span>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;下载:<span id="download">0</span>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 体积:1.41M&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href="http://www.casmita.com/comment/index.php?mid=15&itemid=91">评论:0</a>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</div> <div id="down"><br/><br/><br/><br/><br/><br/> <center><img src="http://www.casmita.com/skin/default/image/load.gif"/></center> <br/><br/><br/><br/><br/><br/> </div> <div class="content" id="content"><p>&nbsp;<span style="text-indent: 2em;">从周期角度看,今年以来电子行业景气度渐次复苏,需求企稳回升,带来业绩的显著改善。成长角度看,AI端侧模型兴起,AI终端硬件开始密集落地,云端融合成为产业发展的下一趋势。此外,折叠屏、AR/MR眼镜等消费电子创新也在积极引领需求、开创全新赛道。值此中报披露之际,我们梳理总结电子板块业绩情况如下:</span></p> <p>板块综述:复苏为主轴,稳健成长业绩回暖。2024年Q2,电子行业A股上市公司总营收为9109.5亿元,同比增长18.11%,环比增长14.12%。相较前期业绩表现,可明显看出电子板块正逐渐摆脱地缘政治及全球公共卫生事件的影响,从底部稳健复苏,同环比增速都表现上佳。电子板块Q2合计归母净利为460.81亿元,同比增长15.99%,同样表现亮眼。同时,伴随经济复苏,板块再度企稳回升,利润率也一定程度得到修复。库存方面,2024年Q2,电子行业A股上市公司总库存为6893.84亿元,同比增长11.05%,环比增长5.65%。电子板块Q2营收的同环比增速(YOY+18.11%,QOQ+14.12%),凸显板块库存水位正快速消化。同时,Q2电子板块库存周转天数已回落至71.56天,虽然距21年高景气时期的60天左右仍有差距,但相较1Q23景气度谷底的88.75天已有非常明显的改善。</p> <p>行业分析:复苏趋势明显,终端创新不止</p> <p>具体到电子的各细分板块分析,我们并未采用中信分类。而是自行梳理,选取了A+H股共285家上市公司,并将其分为13大板块,包括:芯片设计;功率半导体;半导体设备;半导体材料;半导体封测;电子品牌;电子代工;手机零部件、结构件和连接器等;光学;3C设备;PCB;面板;被动元件。</p> <p>半导体:芯片设计:板块2Q24收入新高,盈利能力显著改善;功率器件:库存持续去化,需求回暖涨价可期;半导体设备:订单旺盛,收入稳健释放,板块合同负债在4Q23短暂下行后重启增长;半导体材料:稼动率爬升带动业绩复苏,看好景气延续,板块公司在手订单强劲增长;半导体封测:行业景气复苏,业绩大幅回暖。</p> <p>电子终端:电子品牌:AI创新叠加自然换机周期,行业需求逐渐复苏;电子代工:否极泰来,AI全面赋能业务发展;手机零部件:消费电子市场回暖,产业链价值提升;光学:竞争放缓,终端创新不止;3C设备:创新+换机潮,设备新周期启动。</p> <p>其他板块:PCB:业绩逐季修复,把握AI结构性机会,2Q24PCB板块业绩持续修复,AI带来服务器及交换机PCB升级需求;汽车电动化智能化趋势不减,消费类PCB经过23年激烈的竞争后,价格有所修复;面板:LCD行业新秩序开启,行业龙头盈利显著改善;被动元件:行业触底反弹,业绩稳中有增。</p> <p>投资建议:我们坚定看好电子板块的长期投资机遇。周期方面,关注库存去化节奏和需求回暖趋势,建议关注:恒玄科技、北方华创、拓荆科技等。成长方面,继续推荐AI云端+终端的创新,以及折叠屏、AR/MR眼镜等新赛道,建议关注:立讯精密、领益智造、歌尔股份等。</p> <p>风险提示:电子行业周期复苏不及预期;行业竞争加剧;汇率波动。</p></div><div class="award"><div onclick="Go('http://www.casmita.com/member/award.php?mid=15&itemid=91');">打赏</div></div><div id="comment" style="display:;"> <div class="block-head"><a href="http://www.casmita.com/comment/index.php?mid=15&itemid=91"><b id="comment_count" class="px16 f_red">0</b> 条评论</a></div> <div id="comment_main"><div></div></div> </div> <script type="text/javascript" src="http://www.casmita.com/file/script/comment.js"></script> </div> <aside class="side"> <section class="ranking sec-rank"> <header class="rank-head"> <h3>本类推荐</h3> <div class="ca-tab rank-tab"> <div class="ca-tab-item on" data-show="" data-move="show-origin">全部</div><div class="ca-tab-item" data-show="show-origin" data-move="">原创</div> </div> </header> <div class="rank-list-wrap"> <ul class="rank-list"> <li class="rank-item"><i 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