Mysteel朝闻铝市：美国PPI数据缓和通胀担忧预计短期铝价区间宽幅震荡-我的钢铁网

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class="time" style='margin-right: 0.5rem'>来源：我的钢铁网</span> </p> <article class="article-text article-text_1"> <div id="aplayer" style="margin:0px 0px 10px;"></div> <script> var ap = new APlayer({ container: document.getElementById('aplayer'), loop: 'none', preload: 'none', audio: [{ theme: '#666', name: '<span class="sub-t"><span class="merquee-txt">2月14日朝闻铝市</span></span><span class="size">10.17MB</span>', url: 'https://mfs.mysteelcdn.com/group1/M00/0C/36/rBL64GeunaOALUsJAKK67a0b-wI646.mp3', }] }); try { ap.audio.addEventListener('ended', function () { ap.audio.play() setTimeout(function () { ap.audio.currentTime = 0 ap.audio.pause() if ($('.merquee-txt').outerWidth() > $('.sub-t').outerWidth()) { $('.merquee-txt').addClass('merquee-move') } }, 400) }, false); } catch (error) { } try { document.addEventListener('visibilitychange', function () { if (document.hidden) { // 关闭背景音乐 ap.pause() } else { // 开启背景音乐 // ap.play() } }) } catch (err) { } if ($('.merquee-txt').outerWidth() > $('.sub-t').outerWidth()) { $('.merquee-txt').addClass('merquee-move') } </script> <div data-val="3409" id="article-content"> <div id="text"> <p><strong>【期货市场】</strong>国内市场：隔夜沪<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝</a>主力合约报收20575元/吨,跌30元/吨，跌幅0.15%。国际市场：LME铝3M报收2608美元/吨，跌18.5美元/吨，跌幅0.7%。</p> <p><strong>【现货市场】（2月13日）</strong>钢联A00铝锭无<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/xi/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>锡</a>现货<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝价</a>20490-20530元/吨，均价20510元/吨，跌30元/吨。早盘沪铝窄幅震荡，无锡现货市场维持弱稳运行，虽然累库格局延续，出货压力仍存，但持货商多选择继续挺价，交易途中偶有小幅下调，报价较前期变化不大，报价在贴10元/吨至均价，下游基本恢复正常生产，开始稳步入市补货，但量级尚未恢复至节前水平，整体交投数量仍相对有限。</p> <p>钢联A00铝锭佛山市场现货成交价在20520-20540元/吨，均价20530元/吨，较上个交易日跌40元/吨。市场早期报升水10元/吨为主，成交尚可；市场中期主流报价维持升水，但升水10元/吨成交一般；市场后期主流下调至平水出货，现货成交尚可。现货流通宽松，市场交投活跃度持续回温，现货成交尚可。</p> <p><strong>【宏观资讯】</strong>央行发布2024年第四季度中国货币政策执行报告。报告表示，下一阶段，实施好适度宽松的货币政策。综合运用多种货币政策工具，保持流动性充裕，使社会融资规模、货币供应量增长同经济增长、价格总水平预期目标相匹配。把促进物价合理回升作为把握货币政策的重要考量，推动物价保持在合理水平。畅通货币政策传导机制，更好把握存量与增量的关系，注重盘活存量金融资源，提高资金使用效率。</p> <p>据国家发改委，2025年要加大宏观政策逆周期调节，全方位扩大国内需求。实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策，打好政策“组合拳”，加强财政、货币、就业、投资、消费、产业、区域、价格、环保、监管等政策和改革开放举措的协调配合。把经济政策和非经济性政策统一纳入宏观政策取向一致性评估，提高政策整体效能。</p> <p>特朗普签署对等关税备忘录，他表示通过其他国家运送商品以避开关税的做法将不被接受；将考虑把采用增值税制度的国家作为关税对象；预计许多国家的关税将保持不变；不要期待任何豁免；短期价格有可能上升。美国官员表示相关政策研究将在4月1日前完成，不排除全球统一关税的可能性；关税将考虑其他国家的汇率、税收、关税、非关税壁垒以及任何“不公平限制”。特朗普解释对等关税：意味着无论其他国家向美国征收多少关税，我们也将向他们征收相同的关税，不多不少。</p> <p>美国1月PPI同比增幅为近两年新高，但与PCE通胀相关部分显温和。继昨日CPI数据超预期后，美国1月PPI也坚挺，数据大幅降低了美联储降息次数的预期。不过，由于构成美联储最青睐的个人消费支出（PCE）价格指数的PPI成分——金融和医疗保健服务在1月表现疲软，“新美联储通讯社”预计，核心PCE的涨幅将远低于CPI。市场对这份PPI报告反应鸽派。</p> <p>“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos：由于构成PCE指数（金融和医疗服务分项）的PPI组成部分在1月份表现疲软，美国1月核心PCE指数月率预计将远低于昨日CPI月率的大幅涨幅。而1月份核心PCE若环比上升0.27%，将使核心PCE年率从2.8%降至2.6%。</p> <p><strong>【行业追踪】</strong>据<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>了解，2月13日河南地区氧化铝现货成交2笔，其中一笔3320元/吨成交0.3万吨，贸易商出电解铝厂，流向四川；另一笔3320元/吨成交0.5万吨，氧化铝厂出电解铝厂，流向四川。</p> <p>兴仁市25万吨<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/tong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜</a>镁铝铝基电子电池新材料建设项目总投资10.1亿元，预计2026年全面建成达产，年产值预计超过50亿元。据介绍，该项目主要生产高精铝基材料，产品广泛应用于新能源电池、电子基板、汽车零部件以及航空航天设备等。</p> <p>2月12日，阳新县人民政府发布山东一凡金属科技有限公司新增年产32万吨再生铝合金材料项目（一期）竣工环境保护验收信息公示说明，本项目在山东一凡金属科技有限公司年产15万吨再生铝合金材料的基础上进行扩建，利用已建成的1座再生铝生产车间（含原料及成品仓库、生产附房等）、1座研发检测中心、1座废品仓库、配套的公辅工程及生产设备，在此基础上启动备用核心设备，扩建完成后共计8条再生铝合金生产线。采用外购铝水、废铝带铝板（带）、轮毂、铝型材（含涂层）为主要原料，以熔化-调质精炼-结晶-过滤-成型工艺，新增年产32万吨再生铝合金材料，扩建项目建成后可实现总产能47万吨/年再生铝合金材料，包括43万吨高品质铝合金棒及4万吨高品质铝合金锭。目前4万吨高品质铝合金锭尚未生产，43万吨高品质铝合金棒正常生产。本次验收仅针对43万吨/年高品质铝合金棒进行，作为项目的一期工程。</p> <p>昆明阳宗海风景区2025年发展目标：突出中铝铝箔新能源高精板带箔项目的重大引领作用，全力做好项目的服务保障，确保年产17万吨铝箔生产线2026年建成投产。围绕其辐射作用发挥，提前布局“上下游”，鼓励辖区内铝铜精深加工企业在现有基础上进行技术创新，确保年内<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----02-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>有色金属</a>加工业产值增速不低于6%，产值达235亿元以上。</p> <p>2024年，南南铝加工有限公司产品销量首次突破20万吨，同比增长14％；其中，专项产品订单量同比增长204％，销量同比增长9％，实现了量价齐升的良好局面。</p> <p>2月12日，广西壮族自治区生态环境厅发布关于广西隆安和泰新材料有限公司绿色新材料产业链生产基地项目环境影响报告书的批复。氧化铝系统主要建设120万吨/年氧化铝生产线，以海外进口铝土矿为原料，采用拜耳法生产工艺，铝土矿经脱硅、溶出、分解分级后结晶产物氢氧化铝部分经烘干生产氢氧化铝产品，部分经焙烧生产氧化铝产品；产品规模为氧化铝100万吨/年，氢氧化铝30万吨/年。</p> <p><strong>【要点小结】</strong>宏观方面：美国PPI缓和市场对美联储关注的PCE通胀的担忧，10年期美债收益率一度跳水10个基点。关税落地滞后，黄金刷新日高，美元指数创两周新低。中国央行：择机调整优化政策力度和节奏，促进物价合理回升，密切关注海外主要央行货币政策变化，防范资金空转，增强外汇市场韧性。基本面方面，电解铝供应端相对稳定，随着周边下游复工复产，铸锭量开始下滑，物流已全面恢复，铝锭社库继续垒库，电解铝厂内库存降幅明显。国内铝型材企业复工整体情况超出年前预期，开工较假期前预期有所上升。综合来看，待关税政策落地后，海外价格上涨将拉动国内铝价同步上涨。近期下游消费逐步复苏中，华东相对快于华南，后续继续关注复工复产进度，以及垒库周期，预计铝价短期维持区间宽幅震荡。</p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：付易文 021-26093912 </br> 资讯监督：王宏飞 010-57930636 </br> 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p 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