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Assessing the Value and Risk of Multiple PPA Structures

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e3098-e1 m2e2-0 m2e2-1"><div class="x-bg" aria-hidden="true"><div class="x-bg-layer-lower-image" style=" background-image: url(https://cquant.io/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/cQuant_banner-usecases-2.jpg); background-repeat: no-repeat; background-position: top; background-size: cover;"></div></div><div class="x-row x-container max width e3098-e2 m2e2-3 m2e2-4 m2e2-6"><div class="x-row-inner"><div class="x-col e3098-e3 m2e2-8 m2e2-9"><div class="x-text x-text-headline e3098-e4 m2e2-a m2e2-b headline"><div class="x-text-content"><div class="x-text-content-text"><h2 class="x-text-content-text-primary">Use Case</h2></div></div></div><hr class="x-line e3098-e5 m2e2-d"/><div class="x-text x-text-headline e3098-e6 m2e2-b m2e2-c tag"><div class="x-text-content"><div class="x-text-content-text"><h1 class="x-text-content-text-primary">Assessing the Value and Risk of Multiple PPA Structures</h1></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="x-section e3098-e7 m2e2-0 m2e2-2"><div class="x-row e3098-e8 m2e2-4 m2e2-5 m2e2-7"><div class="x-row-inner"><div class="x-col e3098-e9 m2e2-9"><div class="x-the-content entry-content"><div id="cs-content" class="cs-content"><div class="x-section e2908-e1 m28s-0 m28s-1 m28s-2 m28s-3 arrow-down-white"><div class="x-row x-container max width e2908-e2 m28s-9 m28s-a m28s-b m28s-c m28s-i m28s-j"><div class="x-row-inner"><div class="x-col e2908-e3 m28s-s m28s-t m28s-u m28s-v m28s-w"><span class="x-image e2908-e4 m28s-12 m28s-13"><img decoding="async" src="https://cquant.io/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/shutterstock_1309895221-..jpg" width="500" height="374" alt="Multiple PPA Structures" loading="lazy"></span></div></div></div><div class="x-row e2908-e5 m28s-9 m28s-c m28s-d m28s-e m28s-f m28s-i m28s-k"><div class="x-row-inner"><div class="x-col e2908-e6 m28s-s m28s-t m28s-u m28s-v m28s-w"><div class="x-text x-text-headline e2908-e7 m28s-15 m28s-16"><div class="x-text-content"><div class="x-text-content-text"><h3 class="x-text-content-text-primary">Business Questions</h3></div></div></div></div><div class="x-col e2908-e8 m28s-s m28s-v m28s-x m28s-y m28s-z"><div class="x-text x-content e2908-e9 m28s-18 m28s-19 m28s-1a m28s-1b m28s-1c"><p>I have several Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) offers, each with different prices, contractual terms, technologies, and geographic locations...</p></div></div><div class="x-col e2908-e10 m28s-s m28s-v m28s-x m28s-y m28s-z"><div class="x-text x-content e2908-e11 m28s-18 m28s-19 m28s-1a m28s-1b m28s-1c"><p>Which offer provides the best value?</p></div></div><div class="x-col e2908-e12 m28s-s m28s-v m28s-x m28s-y m28s-z"><div class="x-text x-content e2908-e13 m28s-18 m28s-19 m28s-1a m28s-1b m28s-1c"><p>Which offer most reduces our total energy portfolio risk?</p></div></div><div class="x-col e2908-e14 m28s-s m28s-v m28s-x m28s-y m28s-z"><div class="x-text x-content e2908-e15 m28s-18 m28s-19 m28s-1a m28s-1b m28s-1c"><p>Which offer, when added to our current portfolio, achieves our company&rsquo;s sustainability goals?</p></div></div><div class="x-col e2908-e16 m28s-s m28s-v m28s-x m28s-y m28s-z"><div class="x-text x-content e2908-e17 m28s-18 m28s-19 m28s-1a m28s-1b m28s-1c"><p>How can I easily track the mark-to-market (MtM) value of my PPAs over time as market conditions evolve?</p></div></div></div></div></div><div class="x-section e2908-e18 m28s-0 m28s-3 m28s-4 m28s-5 m28s-6"><div class="x-row x-container max width e2908-e19 m28s-9 m28s-a m28s-c m28s-f m28s-i m28s-l"><div class="x-row-inner"><div class="x-col e2908-e20 m28s-s m28s-t m28s-u m28s-v m28s-w m28s-10"><div class="x-text x-text-headline e2908-e21 m28s-15 m28s-16"><div class="x-text-content"><div class="x-text-content-text"><h3 class="x-text-content-text-primary">The Need for Analysis</h3></div></div></div><div class="x-text x-content e2908-e22 m28s-18 m28s-19 m28s-1a m28s-1c m28s-1d"><p>The landscape for renewable procurement is becoming increasingly competitive &amp; overwhelming. With Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) on the forefront of every Chief Financial Officer鈥檚 mind, transitioning to carbon free, or even carbon negative, is critical. This new paradigm delivers a complex set of decisions, opportunities and risk.</p> <p>During the clean energy procurement process, corporate buyers are tasked with evaluating dozens or even hundreds of RFP responses. These responses include PPA contracts with varying terms, geographies, energy shapes, storage options, etc. If their value and risk are not properly understood from the date of signing through the life of the contract, PPA/VPPAs can result in <span style="text-decoration: underline;">significant negative cash flow</span> for the company (Figure 1).</p> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "TechArticle", "mainEntityOfPage": { "@type": "WebPage", "id": " https://cquant.io/2021/07/14/assessing-multiple-ppa-structures/" }, "headline": " Assessing the Value and Risk of Multiple PPA Structures", "description": " The landscape for renewable procurement is becoming increasingly competitive & overwhelming. With Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) on the forefront of every Chief Financial Officer鈥檚 mind, transitioning to carbon free, or even carbon negative, is critical. This new paradigm delivers a complex set of decisions, opportunities and risk.", "image": [ "https://cquant.io/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/shutterstock_1309895221-..jpg.webp" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "cQuant", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": " https://cquant.io/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/cQuant-Logo-Color-White-300.png.webp" } }, "isAccessibleForFree": "True", "hasPart": { "@type": "SoftwareApplication", "name": "cQuant", "applicationCategory": "BusinessApplication", "offers": { "@type": "Offer", "availability": "https://schema.org/InStock" } } } </script> </div><span class="x-image e2908-e23 m28s-12 m28s-14"><img decoding="async" src="https://cquant.io/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/Total-Portfolio-View-Contribution-of-VPPAs-towards-Carbon-Free-Goal.png" width="752" height="490" alt="PPA" loading="lazy"></span><div class="x-text x-content e2908-e24 m28s-18 m28s-1a m28s-1c m28s-1d m28s-1e"><p><strong>Figure 1. Holistic view of a company&rsquo;s growing energy portfolio against their carbon reduction goal over time.</strong></p></div><div class="x-text x-content e2908-e25 m28s-18 m28s-19 m28s-1a m28s-1c m28s-1d"><p>The value and risk of a PPA is derived from two main sources: contractual terms and geographic realities. To properly value a PPA, it is important to accurately model terms such as the contracted price, price settlement floors or ceilings, and price escalation clauses. In addition, a PPA&rsquo;s value and risk is very sensitive to the geographic realities of the underlying renewable asset. Geographic drivers of risk include basis risk between the node and hub settled price, the intermittency of generation, and the covariance between renewable generation and market price. As renewable energy increases across the grid, it is important to understand the covariance risk attached to any new renewable VPPA (Figure 2).</p></div><span class="x-image e2908-e26 m28s-12 m28s-14"><img decoding="async" src="https://cquant.io/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/Expected-Value-and-Risk-of-RFP-VPPA-Responses.png" width="750" height="473" alt="PPA" loading="lazy"></span><div class="x-text x-content e2908-e27 m28s-18 m28s-1a m28s-1c m28s-1d m28s-1e"><p><strong>Figure 2. The expected value and downside risk (P5) of three VPPA structures: solar, wind, and solar + storage. </strong></p></div></div></div></div></div><div class="x-section e2908-e28 m28s-0 m28s-5 m28s-7"><div class="x-row x-container max width e2908-e29 m28s-9 m28s-a m28s-b m28s-c m28s-i m28s-m"><div class="x-row-inner"><div class="x-col e2908-e30 m28s-s m28s-t m28s-u m28s-v m28s-w m28s-10"><div class="x-text x-text-headline e2908-e31 m28s-15 m28s-17"><div class="x-text-content"><div class="x-text-content-text"><h3 class="x-text-content-text-primary">The cQuant.io Solution</h3></div></div></div><div class="x-text x-content e2908-e32 m28s-18 m28s-19 m28s-1a m28s-1d m28s-1f"><p>cQuant.io enables renewable buyers that operate outside of the traditional energy sector to use the same analytic tools being used by large energy companies. cQuant enables your team to manage the existing energy portfolio, evaluate new VPPA/PPAs and the financial risks associated with these energy contracts. cQuant's analytical process includes Monte Carlo simulations of market prices (forward, spot, basis and ancillary services), simulation of resource intermittency for both wind and solar assets, and an overall quantification of their combined effect on contract value. Additionally, battery storage assets can be modeled alongside renewable assets, and the entire portfolio of renewable energy contracts can be viewed holistically or sliced at any desired user-defined aggregation level.</p> <p>Our cloud-native tools are developed and supported by a large team of quantitative analysts, energy experts and model developers. As results of this detailed and impartial analytics, cQuant users have noted improved negotiations with contracting counterparties as well as visibility into their portfolio&rsquo;s value and risk within the wholesale electricity market.</p></div></div></div></div></div><div class="x-section e2908-e33 m28s-0 m28s-3 m28s-4 m28s-5"><div class="x-bg" aria-hidden="true"><div class="x-bg-layer-lower-image" style=" background-image: url(https://cquant.io/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/usecases_seperator.jpg); background-repeat: no-repeat; background-position: top; background-size: contain;"></div></div><div class="x-row x-container max width e2908-e34 m28s-9 m28s-c m28s-f m28s-g m28s-i m28s-n"><div class="x-row-inner"><div class="x-col e2908-e35 m28s-s m28s-t m28s-u m28s-v m28s-w"><div class="x-text x-text-headline e2908-e36 m28s-15 m28s-16"><div class="x-text-content"><div class="x-text-content-text"><h3 class="x-text-content-text-primary">cQuant.io Users Can:</h3></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="x-row x-container max width e2908-e37 m28s-9 m28s-a m28s-b m28s-h m28s-o"><div class="x-row-inner"><div class="x-col e2908-e38 m28s-s m28s-t m28s-v m28s-w m28s-y"><div class="x-row e2908-e39 m28s-9 m28s-a m28s-c m28s-d m28s-f m28s-i m28s-p"><div class="x-row-inner"><div class="x-col e2908-e40 m28s-s m28s-v m28s-x m28s-y m28s-z m28s-11"><div class="x-text x-content e2908-e41 m28s-18 m28s-19 m28s-1b m28s-1c m28s-1g"><p>Model all types of PPA contract structures, generation variability, co-sited battery storage assets, and dynamics of geographic location.</p></div></div><div class="x-col e2908-e42 m28s-s m28s-t m28s-v m28s-y m28s-z m28s-11"><div class="x-text x-content e2908-e43 m28s-18 m28s-19 m28s-1b m28s-1c m28s-1g"><p>Determine the value and risk of PPA options based on hundreds of simulations of intermittent generation and market prices.</p></div></div><div class="x-col e2908-e44 m28s-s m28s-t m28s-v m28s-y m28s-z m28s-11"><div 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