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Election Countdown: Ohio special election fight heats up | Takeaways from Georgia primaries | Key primaries ahead in August | Blankenship files for third-party bid in West Virginia | More Dem candidates say they won't back Pelosi | TheHill

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We'd love to hear from you, so feel free to reach out to Lisa at </em><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/mailto:LHagen@thehill.com"><em>LHagen@thehill.com</em></a><em> and Max at <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/mailto:MGreenwood@thehill.com">MGreenwood@thehill.com</a> with any questions, comments, criticisms or food recommendations (mostly the latter, please). </em></p><p><em> </em></p><p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://www.email.thehill.com/thehillreg/thehillreg/pref.action"><em>Click here to sign up for the newsletter</em></a><em>.</em></p><p> </p><p><em>We're 104 days until the 2018 midterm elections and 832 days until the 2020 elections.</em></p><p> </p><p>The money race is heating up in the final weeks before <strong>Ohio's special election</strong> on Aug. 7, where Democrats are trying once more to flip a GOP-leaning suburban House seat.</p><p>Both parties are pouring millions of dollars into the high-stakes fight between Democrat <strong>Danny O'Connor </strong>and Republican <strong>Troy Balderson</strong> to replace ex-Rep. <strong><span class="rollover-people" data-behavior="rolloverpeople"><a class="rollover-people-link" data-nid="189467" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/pat-tiberi">Pat Tiberi</a><span class="rollover-people-block" id="rollover-people-189467"><span class="rollover-block"><span><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="/web/20180726012454im_/http://thehill.com/sites/default/files/styles/thumb_100/public/tiberipat_051816gn_lead.jpg?itok=RmK45IY_" width="100" height="100" alt=""/><a class="name" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/pat-tiberi">Patrick (Pat) Joseph Tiberi</a><a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/398249-trump-endorses-ohio-candidate-in-special-election">Trump endorses Ohio candidate in special election</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/campaign-polls/397897-national-dems-make-play-in-ohio-special-election">National Dems make play in Ohio special election</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/397729-election-countdown-senate-dems-build-cash-advantage-2020-dems-slam-trump">Election Countdown: Senate, House Dems build cash advantage | 2020 Dems slam Trump over Putin presser | Trump has M in war chest | Republican blasts parents for donating to rival | Ocasio-Cortez, Sanders to campaign in Kansas</a> <a class="more" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/pat-tiberi">MORE<span></span></a></span></span></span></span></strong> (R-Ohio).</p><p><strong>Here's a spending breakdown</strong> (according to a source tracking the advertising market):</p><p>Republicans are still outspending Democrats. The <span class="rollover-people" data-behavior="rolloverpeople"><a class="rollover-people-link" data-nid="188074" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/paul-ryan">Paul Ryan</a><span class="rollover-people-block" id="rollover-people-188074"><span class="rollover-block"><span><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="/web/20180726012454im_/http://thehill.com/sites/default/files/styles/thumb_100/public/ryanpaul_111617gn_lead.jpg?itok=_a7697Wi" width="100" height="100" alt=""/><a class="name" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/paul-ryan">Paul Davis Ryan</a><a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/house/398700-problem-solvers-caucus-has-a-vision-a-bipartisan-house">Problem Solvers Caucus has a vision: a bipartisan House</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/policy/defense/overnights/398695-overnight-defense-trump-tells-veterans-he-will-stand-up-for-america">Overnight Defense: Trump tells veterans he will 'stand up for America' | McConnell, Ryan say Putin not welcome on Capitol Hill | Mattis tries to explain Trump's Iran tweet</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/business-a-lobbying/lobbying-hires/398689-lobbying-world">Lobbying world</a> <a class="more" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/paul-ryan">MORE<span></span></a></span></span></span></span>-aligned <strong>Congressional Leadership Fund</strong> (CLF) remains the race's biggest GOP spender, with $1.9 million spent or reserved. CLF has been a big player in each of the key House special elections this cycle. The <strong>National Republican Congressional Committee</strong> (NRCC) has also increased its spending to nearly $611,000. Balderson, a state senator, was endorsed by President <strong>Trump</strong> over the weekend.</p><p><strong>For O'Connor's campaign</strong>, the cavalry has arrived in the final stretch. The <strong>Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee</strong> (DCCC) has upped its spending to about $323,000. The <strong>DCCC</strong> jumped in for the first time last week with an initial $240,000 buy. And other national Democratic groups are coming to O'Connor's aid. <strong>House Majority PAC</strong>, <strong>Priorities USA Action </strong>and<strong> For Our Future</strong> are pumping $140,000 into a digital ad and ground campaign running through Election Day.</p><p><strong>O'Connor may need the extra boost</strong> – especially as he prepares to fend off what are sure to be more GOP attacks following a somewhat-forced acknowledgement that he could end up voting for House Minority Leader <strong><span class="rollover-people" data-behavior="rolloverpeople"><a class="rollover-people-link" data-nid="187954" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/nancy-pelosi">Nancy Pelosi</a><span class="rollover-people-block" id="rollover-people-187954"><span class="rollover-block"><span><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="/web/20180726012454im_/http://thehill.com/sites/default/files/styles/thumb_100/public/pelosinancy_111317cf_lead.jpg?itok=n0NoZXxa" width="100" height="100" alt=""/><a class="name" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/nancy-pelosi">Nancy Patricia D&#039;Alesandro Pelosi</a><a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/house/398690-house-gops-august-strategy-americans-better-off-now">House GOP’s August strategy: Americans ‘Better Off Now’</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/house/398699-ocasio-cortez-tiptoes-into-washington">Ocasio-Cortez tiptoes into Washington</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/business-a-lobbying/lobbying-hires/398689-lobbying-world">Lobbying world</a> <a class="more" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/nancy-pelosi">MORE<span></span></a></span></span></span></span></strong> (D-Calif.) if a Democratic speakership was on the line.</p><p>O'Connor campaigned for months on a call for new leadership in both parties. But when MSNBC's <strong>Chris Matthews</strong> repeatedly pressed him Tuesday night on whether he'd support Pelosi for Speaker in a pinch, he eventually conceded: "I would support whoever the Democratic Party put forward."</p><p>Less than 24 hours after the interview, CLF was already on the attack with a <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vml4P7KdIIk&amp;feature=youtu.be">new TV ad</a> claiming that O'Connor "would side with Nancy Pelosi, not you." And there's probably more ads like that on the horizon.</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Primary recap</u></strong></p><p><strong>Georgia held primary runoffs</strong> on Tuesday for several statewide and federal offices and here is the main takeaway: It was a good night for Trump-backed candidates and women.</p><p> </p><p>Georgia Secretary of State <strong>Brian Kemp</strong> (R) sailed to the GOP nomination over Lt. Gov. <strong>Casey Cagle</strong> (R), <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/398687-trump-backed-candidate-wins-georgia-governor-nomination">winning by nearly 40 points</a>. That's a huge comeback from the state's May primary when Cagle finished in first place. Kemp got a huge boost when Trump endorsed him.</p><p>Kemp now faces Democrat <strong>Stacey Abrams</strong>, a former minority leader in Georgia's state House and the first African-American woman to be nominated by a major party to run for governor.</p><p> </p><p>And in two key House races, female Democratic candidates won their respective runoffs, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/398621-2-women-win-georgia-dem-runoffs-extending-streak-for-female-candidates">continuing the winning streak</a> of women in congressional races this cycle. In the 6th District, gun-control activist <strong>Lucy McBath</strong> bested businessman <strong>Kevin Abel</strong>. And in the 7th District, professor <strong>Carolyn Bourdeaux</strong> defeated <strong>David Kim</strong>, the founder of a tutoring company.</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Race for the White House</u></strong></p><p>The Hill's <strong>Reid Wilson</strong> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/398102-dems-get-set-for-2020-starting-gun">explores when and how</a> potential 2020 hopefuls will announce their presidential campaigns. Expect a mad dash after November. "There will be a starting gun on the race as soon as this election is over," an adviser to a likely 2020 candidate predicted to Reid.</p><p> </p><p>Sen. <strong><span class="rollover-people" data-behavior="rolloverpeople"><a class="rollover-people-link" data-nid="189619" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/cory-booker">Cory Booker</a><span class="rollover-people-block" id="rollover-people-189619"><span class="rollover-block"><span><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="/web/20180726012454im_/http://thehill.com/sites/default/files/styles/thumb_100/public/article_images/bookercory_011116gn.jpg?itok=h6oFo5vZ" width="100" height="100" alt=""/><a class="name" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/cory-booker">Cory Anthony Booker</a><a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/398681-booker-those-who-dont-oppose-kavanaugh-are-complicit-in-the-evil">Booker: Those who don't oppose Kavanaugh are 'complicit in the evil'</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/policy/defense/overnights/398474-overnight-defense-washington-works-to-interpret-trumps-iran-tweet">Overnight Defense: Questions mount over Trump's Iran tweet | House, Senate unveil compromise defense bill | Bill includes Russia sanctions waivers, limits on Turkey's access to F-35 | Endangered species measures dropped</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/overnights/398445-overnight-health-care-poll-majority-think-trumps-drug-plan-wont">Overnight Health Care: Drug price fight heats up | Skepticism over drug companies' pledges | Ads target HHS secretary over child separations | Senate confirms VA pick</a> <a class="more" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/cory-booker">MORE<span></span></a></span></span></span></span></strong> (D-N.J.) <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/398434-sen-booker-raises-nearly-11-mln-in-his-biggest-quarterly-haul">raked in nearly $1.1 million</a> between April and June, according to an FEC filing – his largest quarterly haul since the beginning of 2018. The rumored 2020 presidential contender ended June with $3.5 million in the bank. And he's continuing to help 2018 Democrats on the campaign trail, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2018/07/20/new-jersey-senator-says-mike-espy-put-people-before-party/810911002/">most recently endorsing</a> <strong>Mike Espy</strong>, a former congressman and Agriculture secretary running in Mississippi's special Senate election.</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Senate showdown</u></strong></p><p><strong>Senate fundraisers</strong>: As the battle for the Senate heats up, so does the money race. Vice President <strong>Pence</strong> raised money for Rep. <strong><span class="rollover-people" data-behavior="rolloverpeople"><a class="rollover-people-link" data-nid="186410" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/lou-barletta">Lou Barletta</a><span class="rollover-people-block" id="rollover-people-186410"><span class="rollover-block"><span><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="/web/20180726012454im_/http://thehill.com/sites/default/files/styles/thumb_100/public/article_images/barlettalou_112916_getty.jpg?itok=mkeOPM8F" width="100" height="100" alt=""/><a class="name" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/lou-barletta">Louis (Lou) James Barletta</a><a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/398460-handsmaids-tale-protesters-greet-pence-in-philly">'Handsmaid's Tale' protesters greet Pence in Philly</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/1230-report/398368-immunity-for-witnesses-manafort-trial-trump-all-caps-iran-threat">The Hill's 12:30 Report</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/398319-100-activists-will-dress-in-handmaids-tale-clothing-to-protest-pence">100 activists to participate in ‘Handmaid’s Tale’ protest of Pence in Philly</a> <a class="more" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/lou-barletta">MORE<span></span></a></span></span></span></span></strong>'s (R-Pa.) Senate bid in Philadelphia. <strong><span class="rollover-people" data-behavior="rolloverpeople"><a class="rollover-people-link" data-nid="365116" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/donald-don-trump">Donald Trump Jr.</a><span class="rollover-people-block" id="rollover-people-365116"><span class="rollover-block"><span><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="/web/20180726012454im_/http://thehill.com/sites/default/files/styles/thumb_100/public/trumpjr-1.jpg?itok=s66UhAgs" width="100" height="100" alt=""/><a class="name" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/donald-don-trump">Donald (Don) John Trump</a><a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/398715-rand-paul-rails-against-bad-apples-comey-clapper-brennan">Rand Paul rails against 'bad apples' Comey, Clapper, Brennan</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/398707-rand-pauls-mention-of-mccain-draws-boos-at-turning-point-usa-event">Rand Paul's mention of McCain draws boos at conservative event</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/398639-bill-shine-denies-hes-discussing-sanders-replacement">Bill Shine denies he’s discussing Sanders replacement</a> <a class="more" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/donald-don-trump">MORE<span></span></a></span></span></span></span></strong> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/398277-trump-jr-to-hold-fundraiser-for-manchin-challenger">hosted a fundraiser on Monday</a> for West Virginia Attorney General <strong>Patrick Morrisey</strong> (R). And on Thursday, there will be a <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/398680-pair-of-dc-fundraisers-aims-to-boost-mccaskill-challenger">pair of fundraisers in D.C</a>. to raise money for Missouri Attorney General <strong>Josh Hawley </strong>(R). Trump was in Kansas City on Tuesday, where he reportedly held a fundraiser for Hawley. At a veterans event earlier in the day, he called the attorney general <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/398594-trump-tells-veterans-he-will-stand-up-for-america">up on stage</a> and touted his work in office.</p><p> </p><p>Republican <strong>Kevin Nicholson</strong>, who's challenging Sen. <strong><span class="rollover-people" data-behavior="rolloverpeople"><a class="rollover-people-link" data-nid="188201" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/tammy-baldwin">Tammy Baldwin</a><span class="rollover-people-block" id="rollover-people-188201"><span class="rollover-block"><span><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="/web/20180726012454im_/http://thehill.com/sites/default/files/styles/thumb_100/public/blogs/baldwintammy_041816getty.jpg?itok=xKCAneOC" width="100" height="100" alt=""/><a class="name" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/tammy-baldwin">Tammy Suzanne Baldwin</a><a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/policy/finance/overnights/398672-on-the-money-trump-offers-12b-in-aid-to-farmers-hit-by-tariffs">On The Money: Trump offers B in aid to farmers hit by tariffs | Lawmakers blast plan | GOP chair outlines phase two of tax cuts | New bipartisan Russia sanctions in the works | Fyre festival founder settles with feds</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/policy/finance/398542-trump-expected-to-announce-help-for-farms-hard-hit-by-tariffs">Trump planning B in aid to farmers hard hit by tariffs</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/healthcare/398384-congress-support-access-to-palliative-care-for-aging-americans">Congress: Support access to palliative care for aging Americans</a> <a class="more" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/tammy-baldwin">MORE<span></span></a></span></span></span></span></strong> (D-Wis.), worked as a consultant for companies that laid off nearly 1,900 workers since 2015, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/https://www.apnews.com/97fd6b53781e42c692168a641cacb1e7">the Associated Press reports</a>. A spokesperson for his campaign rejected the idea that Nicholson or the firm that he worked for, ghSMART, had any role in advising companies to lay off employees.</p><p> </p><p>Ex-coal CEO <strong>Don Blankenship</strong>, who lost a bid for the Republican nomination to challenge Sen. <strong><span class="rollover-people" data-behavior="rolloverpeople"><a class="rollover-people-link" data-nid="188276" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/joe-manchin">Joe Manchin</a><span class="rollover-people-block" id="rollover-people-188276"><span class="rollover-block"><span><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="/web/20180726012454im_/http://thehill.com/sites/default/files/styles/thumb_100/public/article_images/manchin_0.jpg?itok=xYaXUQ63" width="100" height="100" alt=""/><a class="name" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/joe-manchin">Joseph (Joe) Manchin</a><a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/398676-donnelly-becomes-second-dem-to-agree-to-meet-with-kavanaugh">Donnelly becomes second Dem to agree to meet with Kavanaugh</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/overnights/398675-overnight-energy-epa-signs-off-on-rule-exempting-farmers">Overnight Energy — Presented by the American Forest &amp; Paper Association — EPA eases emissions reporting for farmers</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/morning-report/398491-the-hills-morning-report">The Hill's Morning Report — Trump picks new fight with law enforcement, intelligence community</a> <a class="more" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/joe-manchin">MORE<span></span></a></span></span></span></span></strong> (D-W.Va.), <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/398432-blankenship-to-file-for-third-party-senate-candidacy-in-wva">filed paperwork on Tuesday</a> to run as the Constitution Party's Senate candidate. Blankenship could face a legal challenge to his third-party bid.</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Survey says…</u></strong></p><p>Rep. <strong>Conor Lamb</strong> (D-Pa.) is leading Rep. <strong><span class="rollover-people" data-behavior="rolloverpeople"><a class="rollover-people-link" data-nid="188053" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/keith-rothfus">Keith Rothfus</a><span class="rollover-people-block" id="rollover-people-188053"><span class="rollover-block"><span><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="/web/20180726012454im_/http://thehill.com/sites/default/files/styles/thumb_100/public/rothfuskeith_100815gn_lead.jpg?itok=5gCCb-Ee" width="100" height="100" alt=""/><a class="name" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/keith-rothfus">Keith James Rothfus</a><a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign-polls/398557-poll-conor-lamb-holds-double-digit-advantage-over-rothfus">Poll: House Dem Conor Lamb holds double-digit advantage over GOP rival</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/394301-dem-gop-groups-prepare-spending-blitz-for-midterms">Dem, GOP groups prepare spending blitz for midterms</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/morning-report/393894-the-hills-morning-report">The Hill's Morning Report — Exploding immigration controversy vexes Washington</a> <a class="more" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/keith-rothfus">MORE<span></span></a></span></span></span></span></strong> (R-Pa.), 51-39 percent in <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_PA_072418/">Monmouth University's new poll</a>. Lamb's lead over Rothfus bodes well for the Democrat, who picked up widespread name recognition after he beat out Republican <strong>Rick Saccone</strong> in the March special election. The 17th district became more favorable for Democrats' under the state's new map.</p><p> </p><p>The poll also found that Massachusetts Democratic Rep. <strong>Mike Capuano</strong> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/398397-poll-massachusetts-dem-leads-primary-challenger-by-single-digits">holds a 9-point lead</a> over his primary challenger, Boston City Councilor <strong>Ayanna Pressley</strong>, a young African-American woman who has been dubbed "the <strong>Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez</strong> of Massachusetts." Worth noting: 33 percent of voters say they are still undecided.</p><p> </p><p>Voters think Democrats running for Congress are increasingly out of step with mainstream politics, according to a <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://media1.s-nbcnews.com/i/today/z_creative/18570NBCWSJJulyPoll7-22-18Release.pdf">Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll</a>. Fifty-six percent say Democrats are "out of step" with more common beliefs, compared to 33 percent who say they're "in the mainstream."</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Paper chase</u></strong></p><p><strong>Fundraising roundup</strong>: The <strong>Republican National Committee</strong> (RNC) posted strong fundraising figures in June, outraising the <strong>Democratic National Committee </strong>(DNC) by $6 million. The RNC raked in $14 million, compared to the DNC's $8 million. That leaves the RNC with $50.7 million cash on hand at the end of June – far more than the cash-strapped DNC, which reported $9 million cash on hand, with $6.3 million in debt.</p><p> </p><p>But it's not all bad news for Democrats. The <strong>DCCC</strong> brought in $15.2 million in June, while the <strong>NRCC</strong> raised roughly half as much, $7.7 million, in the same period. And during the month of June, the <strong>DSCC</strong> narrowly outraised the <strong>NRSC</strong>, $5.9 million to $5.7 million.</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>What we're watching for</u></strong></p><p>August is approaching and it'll be another busy month of primaries. You can check out the full list and breakdown <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/business-a-lobbying/398693-key-primaries-in-august-will-help-shape-midterms">from The Hill</a>.</p><p> </p><p>Trump will visit Dubuque, Iowa for a roundtable event on <strong>Thursday</strong> and will be hosted by Rep. <strong>Rod Blum </strong>(R-Iowa), who faces a tough reelection race in a top-targeted seat. The president will <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/398484-trump-to-hold-campaign-rally-in-tampa-on-july-31">hold a campaign rally</a> in Tampa, Fla. on <strong>July 31</strong>. Politico Florida reports that Gov. <strong>Rick Scott </strong>(R) <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/1021827967922696192">won't be at the rally</a>, but will appear with Trump at a school visit and at a Senate fundraiser.</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Coming to a TV near you</u></strong></p><p>Wisconsin Republican <strong>Leah Vukmir</strong>, who's faces <strong>Kevin Nicholson</strong> in the GOP primary in three weeks, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ijAQ37KAHcI&amp;feature=youtu.be">rolled out a new ad</a>. The ad folds in cartoony graphics, as Vukmir vows to stand with Trump to "cut wasteful spending, build the wall and finally drain the swamp." <strong>Restoration PAC</strong>, which is backing Nicholson and is largely funded by billionaire <strong>Richard Uihlein</strong>, went up with a <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AF6vFSoLJcU&amp;feature=youtu.be">new $750,000 TV ad buy</a> that touts the first-time candidate as a "new kind of leader."</p><p> </p><p>Sen. <strong><span class="rollover-people" data-behavior="rolloverpeople"><a class="rollover-people-link" data-nid="188255" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/dean-heller">Dean Heller</a><span class="rollover-people-block" id="rollover-people-188255"><span class="rollover-block"><span><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="/web/20180726012454im_/http://thehill.com/sites/default/files/styles/thumb_100/public/hellerdean_031417gn2_lead.jpg?itok=97j6p7xp" width="100" height="100" alt=""/><a class="name" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/dean-heller">Dean Arthur Heller</a><a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/398097-history-argues-for-democratic-senate-gains">History argues for Democratic Senate gains</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/397561-senate-dems-build-huge-cash-edge-in-battlegrounds">Senate Dems build huge cash edge in battlegrounds</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/396908-rosen-hits-heller-over-health-care-in-first-negative-ad">Jacky Rosen hits Dean Heller over health care in first negative ad</a> <a class="more" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/dean-heller">MORE<span></span></a></span></span></span></span></strong> (R-Nev.) is out with <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mHJo7QbuPIE&amp;feature=youtu.be">his first TV ad</a>, a positive spot that highlights his work on disability benefits for veterans. He'll face Rep. <strong><span class="rollover-people" data-behavior="rolloverpeople"><a class="rollover-people-link" data-nid="360942" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/jacklyn-jacky-rosen">Jacky Rosen</a><span class="rollover-people-block" id="rollover-people-360942"><span class="rollover-block"><span><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="/web/20180726012454im_/http://thehill.com/sites/default/files/styles/thumb_100/public/rosenjacky_120116gn_lead.jpg?itok=wEwdyOHv" width="100" height="100" alt=""/><a class="name" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/jacklyn-jacky-rosen">Jacklyn (Jacky) Sheryl Rosen</a><a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/397561-senate-dems-build-huge-cash-edge-in-battlegrounds">Senate Dems build huge cash edge in battlegrounds</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/396908-rosen-hits-heller-over-health-care-in-first-negative-ad">Jacky Rosen hits Dean Heller over health care in first negative ad</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/396569-election-countdown-latest-on-the-2018-senate-money-race-red-state-dems">Election Countdown: Latest on the 2018 Senate money race | Red-state Dems feeling the heat over Kavanaugh | Dem doubts about Warren | Ocasio-Cortez to visit Capitol Hill | Why Puerto Ricans in Florida could swing Senate race</a> <a class="more" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/jacklyn-jacky-rosen">MORE<span></span></a></span></span></span></span></strong> (D-Nev.) in a tough reelection race.</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Wave watch</u></strong></p><p><strong>Democrats' Pelosi question</strong>: More Democratic House candidates are joining the growing chorus that they won't support Pelosi for speaker. The latest: Democrat <strong>Jason Crow,</strong> who's running to unseat Rep. <strong><span class="rollover-people" data-behavior="rolloverpeople"><a class="rollover-people-link" data-nid="187825" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/mike-coffman">Mike Coffman</a><span class="rollover-people-block" id="rollover-people-187825"><span class="rollover-block"><span><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="/web/20180726012454im_/http://thehill.com/sites/default/files/styles/thumb_100/public/coffmanmike_062117_gn.jpg?itok=9jMlkEMj" width="100" height="100" alt=""/><a class="name" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/mike-coffman">Michael (Mike) Howard Coffman</a><a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/house/398700-problem-solvers-caucus-has-a-vision-a-bipartisan-house">Problem Solvers Caucus has a vision: a bipartisan House</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/policy/technology/overnights/397521-hillicon-valley-trump-reverses-on-russian-election-meddling">Hillicon Valley: Trump tries to quell Russia furor | Sparks fly at hearing on social media | First House Republican backs net neutrality bill | Meet the DNC's cyber guru | Sinclair defiant after merger setback</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/1230-report/397429-how-trump-reacted-to-backlash-over-putin-press-conference-mlb-all-star-game-where-to-watch-food-and-drink-specials-metro-times-rain-delay-plan">The Hill's 12:30 Report — Trump faces bipartisan criticism over Putin presser, blames media for coverage</a> <a class="more" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/mike-coffman">MORE<span></span></a></span></span></span></span></strong> (R-Colo.), Crow <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/https://www.denverpost.com/2018/07/23/house-candidate-jason-crow-says-democrats-need-new-leaders/">tells the Denver Post</a>.</p><p> </p><p><strong>Speaking of the Speaker:</strong> The Democratic push to flip retiring Speaker <strong>Paul Ryan's</strong> (R-Wis.) seat may have hit a stumbling block this week, with Democratic candidate <strong>Cathy Myers</strong> alleging that primary rival <strong>Randy Bryce</strong> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/https://www.wispolitics.com/2018/myers-alleges-bryce-used-campaign-funds-for-personal-purposes-in-fec-complaint/">improperly used $7,000 in campaign funds</a> to settle a personal legal scuffle.</p><p>Meanwhile for Republicans, likely nominee <strong>Bryan Steil</strong> released his first <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eg5s-OXIHKo">TV ad</a> Tuesday. "I don't care much for Washington-style politics, but I do know they need Wisconsin Steil solutions."</p><p> </p><p>Democrat <strong>Perry Gershon</strong>, who's running against Rep. <strong><span class="rollover-people" data-behavior="rolloverpeople"><a class="rollover-people-link" data-nid="362491" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://origin-nyi.thehill.com/people/lee-zeldin">Lee Zeldin</a><span class="rollover-people-block" id="rollover-people-362491"><span class="rollover-block"><span><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="/web/20180726012454im_/http://thehill.com/sites/default/files/styles/thumb_100/public/zeldinlee_gregnash.jpg?itok=h3eTYMGX" width="100" height="100" alt=""/><a class="name" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://origin-nyi.thehill.com/people/lee-zeldin">Lee Zeldin</a><a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/398271-lee-zeldin-challenger-says-he-was-struck-by-the-parallels-between-trumps">Dem candidate 'struck by the parallels' between Trump's rise and Hitler's</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/house/397449-gop-rep-i-wasnt-duped-into-an-interview-by-borat">GOP rep: I wasn't 'duped into an interview by Borat'</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/news/396042-man-arrested-after-allegedly-threatening-to-kill-trump-supporters-gop-lawmaker">Man arrested after allegedly threatening to kill Trump supporters, GOP lawmaker</a> <a class="more" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://origin-nyi.thehill.com/people/lee-zeldin">MORE<span></span></a></span></span></span></span></strong> (R-N.Y.), said <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/398271-lee-zeldin-challenger-says-he-was-struck-by-the-parallels-between-trumps">he was motivated to run</a> for Congress because of the "parallels" he saw between Trump's political ascendance and Adolf Hitler's rise. Zeldin, who's been a fervent Trump supporter, is a top target for Democrats this cycle, despite Trump carrying the district by more than 12 points in 2016.</p><p> </p><p>Rep. <strong><span class="rollover-people" data-behavior="rolloverpeople"><a class="rollover-people-link" data-nid="359171" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/jason-lewis">Jason Lewis</a><span class="rollover-people-block" id="rollover-people-359171"><span class="rollover-block"><span><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="/web/20180726012454im_/http://thehill.com/sites/default/files/styles/thumb_100/public/lewisjason_120116gn_lead.jpg?itok=1bVVY54B" width="100" height="100" alt=""/><a class="name" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/jason-lewis">Jason Mark Lewis</a><a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/398425-media-frenzy-stirs-up-violence-against-minnesota-congressman">Media frenzy stirs up violence against Minnesota congressman</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/398115-gop-lawmaker-said-black-people-have-entitlement-mentality">GOP lawmaker pushed claims of 'racial war,' said blacks had 'entitlement mentality': CNN</a> <a class="people-articles" href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/397941-gop-lawmaker-stands-by-sluts-comments-i-was-paid-to-be">GOP lawmaker stands by 'sluts' comments: 'I was paid to be provocative'</a> <a class="more" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/people/jason-lewis">MORE<span></span></a></span></span></span></span></strong> (R-Minn.) has come under fire again after audio resurfaced last week of comments he made in 2012 that African Americans have an "entitlement mentality" and see themselves as victims. Lewis, who also drew ire for derogatory comments about women, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/https://www.twincities.com/2018/07/20/lewis-strikes-back-after-more-radio-comments-surface-including-racial-observations/">dismissed the report</a> as an "attack" on his campaign.</p><p> </p><p><em>Election Countdown was written by Lisa Hagen, Max Greenwood and Jesus Rodriguez.</em></p></div></div></div> <div class="article-tags"> <span>Tags</span> <a href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/person/donald-trump-jr" title="Donald Trump Jr.">Donald Trump Jr.</a> <a href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/person/tammy-baldwin" title="Tammy Baldwin">Tammy Baldwin</a> <a href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/person/keith-rothfus" title="Keith Rothfus">Keith Rothfus</a> <a href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/person/lou-barletta" title="Lou Barletta">Lou Barletta</a> <a href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/person/nancy-pelosi" title="Nancy Pelosi">Nancy Pelosi</a> <a href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/person/mike-coffman" title="Mike Coffman">Mike Coffman</a> <a href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/person/donald-trump" title="Donald Trump">Donald Trump</a> <a href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/person/cory-booker" title="Cory Booker">Cory Booker</a> <a href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/person/dean-heller" title="Dean Heller">Dean Heller</a> <a href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/person/jason-lewis" title="Jason Lewis">Jason Lewis</a> <a href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/person/jacky-rosen" title="Jacky Rosen">Jacky Rosen</a> <a href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/person/joe-manchin" title="Joe Manchin">Joe Manchin</a> <a href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/person/lee-zeldin" title="Lee Zeldin">Lee Zeldin</a> <a href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/person/pat-tiberi" title="Pat Tiberi">Pat Tiberi</a> <a href="/web/20180726012454/http://thehill.com/person/paul-ryan" title="Paul Ryan">Paul Ryan</a> </div> <div id="bottom-story-socials" class="blogs-social-wrp"> <div class="addthis_inline_share_toolbox_ru82"></div> <div class="share-additional"> <div class="share-linkedin"> <script> ;(function(){ var linkedinScriptEl = document.querySelector('script[src="//web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://platform.linkedin.com/in.js"]'); if (linkedinScriptEl == null) { var shareLinkedinEl = document.querySelector('.share-linkedin'); var scriptEl = document.createElement('script'); scriptEl.src = "//web.archive.org/web/20180726012454/http://platform.linkedin.com/in.js"; scriptEl.async = true; scriptEl.innerHTML = " lang: en_US"; shareLinkedinEl.appendChild(scriptEl); } })(); </script> <script type="IN/Share"></script> </div> <div class="share-stumbleupon"> <su:badge layout="6"></su:badge> <script type="text/javascript"> (function() { var li = document.createElement('script'); li.type = 'text/javascript'; li.async = true; li.src = ('https:' == document.location.protocol ? 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