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If you have a Wikipedia account, please log in. </p><p>If you do not have any other way to edit Wikipedia, you will need to <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:IP_block_exemption#Requesting_and_granting_exemption" title="Wikipedia:IP block exemption">request an IP block exemption</a>. </p> <style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1214851843">.mw-parser-output .hidden-begin{box-sizing:border-box;width:100%;padding:5px;border:none;font-size:95%}.mw-parser-output .hidden-title{font-weight:bold;line-height:1.6;text-align:left}.mw-parser-output .hidden-content{text-align:left}@media all and (max-width:500px){.mw-parser-output .hidden-begin{width:auto!important;clear:none!important;float:none!important}}</style><div class="hidden-begin mw-collapsible mw-collapsed" style=""><div class="hidden-title skin-nightmode-reset-color" style="text-align:center;">How to appeal if you are confident that your connection does not use a colocation provider's IP address:</div><div class="hidden-content mw-collapsible-content" style=""> If you are confident that you are not using a web host, you may <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Appealing_a_block" title="Wikipedia:Appealing a block">appeal this block</a> by adding the following text on your <a href="/wiki/Help:Talk_pages" title="Help:Talk pages">talk page</a>: <code>&#123;&#123;<a href="/wiki/Template:Unblock" title="Template:Unblock">unblock</a>&#124;reason=Caught by a colocation web host block but this host or IP is not a web host. My IP address is _______. <i>Place any further information here.</i> &#126;&#126;&#126;&#126;&#125;&#125;</code>. <b>You must fill in the blank with your IP address for this block to be investigated.</b> Your IP address can be determined <span class="plainlinks"><b><a class="external text" href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Get_my_IP_address?withJS=MediaWiki:Get-my-ip.js">here</a></b></span>. Alternatively, if you wish to keep your IP address private you can use the <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Unblock_Ticket_Request_System" title="Wikipedia:Unblock Ticket Request System">unblock ticket request system</a>. There are several reasons you might be editing using the IP address of a web host or colocation provider (such as if you are using VPN software or a business network); please use this method of appeal only if you think your IP address is in fact not a web host or colocation provider.</div></div> <p><span class="sysop-show" style="font-size: 85%;"><span style="border:#707070 solid 1px;background-color:#ffe0e0;padding:2px"><b>Administrators:</b></span> The <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:IP_block_exemption" title="Wikipedia:IP block exemption">IP block exemption</a> user right should only be applied to allow users to edit using web host in exceptional circumstances, and requests should usually be directed to the functionaries team via email. If you intend to give the IPBE user right, a <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:CheckUser" title="Wikipedia:CheckUser">CheckUser</a> needs to take a look at the account. This can be requested most easily at <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:SPI#Quick_CheckUser_requests" class="mw-redirect" title="Wikipedia:SPI">SPI Quick Checkuser Requests</a>. <b>Unblocking</b> an IP or IP range with this template <b>is highly discouraged</b> without at least contacting the blocking administrator.</span> </p> </div></div> </div> <p>This block will expire on 18:23, 24 August 2026. Your current IP address is 8.222.208.146. </p> <div class="paragraphbreak" style="margin-top:0.5em"></div><div style="font-size: 16px;"> <p>Even when blocked, you will <i>usually</i> still be able to edit your <a href="/wiki/Special:MyTalk" title="Special:MyTalk">user talk page</a>, as well as <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Emailing_users" title="Wikipedia:Emailing users">email</a> administrators and other editors. </p> </div> <div class="paragraphbreak" style="margin-top:0.5em"></div><div style="font-size: 16px;"> <p>For information on how to proceed, please read the <b><a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Appealing_a_block#Common_questions" title="Wikipedia:Appealing a block">FAQ for blocked users</a></b> and the <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Appealing_a_block" title="Wikipedia:Appealing a block">guideline on block appeals</a>. The <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Guide_to_appealing_blocks" title="Wikipedia:Guide to appealing blocks">guide to appealing blocks</a> may also be helpful. </p> </div> <p>Other useful links: <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Blocking_policy" title="Wikipedia:Blocking policy">Blocking policy</a> &#183; <a href="/wiki/Help:I_have_been_blocked" title="Help:I have been blocked">Help:I have been blocked</a> </p> </div></li><li class="mw-permissionerror-globalblocking-blockedtext-range"> <div id="mw-blocked-text" style="border: 1px solid #AAA; background-color: var(--background-color-warning-subtle, ivory); color: inherit; padding: 1.5em; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box;"> <div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 26px;"><span typeof="mw:File"><a href="/wiki/File:Stop_hand_nuvola.svg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/f/f1/Stop_hand_nuvola.svg/50px-Stop_hand_nuvola.svg.png" decoding="async" width="50" height="50" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/f/f1/Stop_hand_nuvola.svg/75px-Stop_hand_nuvola.svg.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/f/f1/Stop_hand_nuvola.svg/100px-Stop_hand_nuvola.svg.png 2x" data-file-width="240" data-file-height="240" /></a></span><b> This IP address range has been <a href="https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Global_blocks" class="extiw" title="m:Global blocks">globally blocked</a>.</b></span><br /><span style="font-size: 18px;">This does not affect your ability to <i>read</i> Wikipedia pages.</span></div><div class="paragraphbreak" style="margin-top:0.5em"></div><b>Most people who see this message have done nothing wrong.</b> Some kinds of blocks restrict editing from specific service providers or telecom companies in response to recent abuse or vandalism, and can sometimes affect other users who are unrelated to that abuse. Review the information below for assistance if you do not believe that you have done anything wrong.<div class="paragraphbreak" style="margin-top:0.5em"></div><div class="paragraphbreak" style="margin-top:0.5em"></div> <p>This block affects editing on all Wikimedia wikis. </p><p>The IP address or range 8.222.128.0/17 has been globally <a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Blocking_policy" title="Wikipedia:Blocking policy">blocked</a> by <a href="/wiki/User:Jon_Kolbert" title="User:Jon Kolbert">‪Jon Kolbert‬</a> for the following reason(s): </p> <div style="padding:10px; background:var(--background-color-base, white); color:inherit; border:1px #666 solid;"> <p><a href="https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/NOP" class="extiw" title="m:Special:MyLanguage/NOP">Open proxy/Webhost</a>: See the <a href="https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/WM:OP/H" class="extiw" title="m:WM:OP/H">help page</a> if you are affected </p> </div> <p>This block will expire on 15:12, 27 August 2028. Your current IP address is 8.222.208.146. </p> <div class="paragraphbreak" style="margin-top:0.5em"></div><div style="font-size: 16px;"> <p>Even while globally blocked, you will <i>usually</i> still be able to edit pages on <a href="https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/" class="extiw" title="m:">Meta-Wiki</a>. </p> </div> <div class="paragraphbreak" style="margin-top:0.5em"></div><div style="font-size: 16px;"> <p>If you believe you were blocked by mistake, you can find additional information and instructions in the <a href="https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/No_open_proxies" class="extiw" title="m:Special:MyLanguage/No open proxies">No open proxies</a> global policy. Otherwise, to discuss the block please <a href="https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Steward_requests/Global" class="extiw" title="m:Steward requests/Global">post a request for review on Meta-Wiki</a>. You could also send an email to the <a href="https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/Stewards" class="extiw" title="m:Special:MyLanguage/Stewards">stewards</a> <a href="https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/VRT" class="extiw" title="m:Special:MyLanguage/VRT">VRT</a> queue at <kbd>stewards@wikimedia.org</kbd> including all above details. </p> </div> <p>Other useful links: <a href="https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Global_blocks" class="extiw" title="m:Global blocks">Global blocks</a> &#183; <a href="/wiki/Help:I_have_been_blocked" title="Help:I have been blocked">Help:I have been blocked</a> </p> </div></li></ul><hr /> <div id="viewsourcetext">You can view and copy the source of this page:</div><textarea readonly="" accesskey="," id="wpTextbox1" cols="80" rows="25" style="" class="mw-editfont-monospace" lang="en" dir="ltr" name="wpTextbox1">== Methods == The study of contemporary climates incorporates meteorological data accumulated over many years, such as records of rainfall, temperature and atmospheric composition. Knowledge of the atmosphere and its dynamics is also embodied in [[model (abstract)|models]], either [[statistical model|statistical]] or [[mathematical model|mathematical]], which help by integrating different observations and testing how well they match. Modeling is used for understanding past, present and potential future climates. Climate research is made difficult by the large scale, long time periods, and complex processes which govern climate. Climate is governed by physical principles which can be expressed as [[differential equations]]. These equations are coupled and nonlinear, so that approximate solutions are obtained by using numerical methods to create [[global climate model]]s. Climate is sometimes modeled as a [[stochastic process]] but this is generally accepted as an approximation to processes that are otherwise too complicated to analyze. === Climate data === The collection of a long record of climate variables is essential for the study of climate. Climatology deals with the aggregate data that meteorologists have recorded.&lt;ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.climate.gov/maps-data/primer/processing-climate-data|title=How do weather observations become climate data? {{!}} NOAA Climate.gov|website=www.climate.gov|access-date=13 January 2020|archive-date=13 January 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200113094222/https://www.climate.gov/maps-data/primer/processing-climate-data|url-status=live}}&lt;/ref> Scientists use both direct and indirect observations of the climate, from [[Earth observation satellite|Earth observing satellites]] and scientific instrumentation such as a global network of [[thermometer]]s, to [[Prehistory|prehistoric]] ice extracted from [[glacier]]s.&lt;ref>{{Cite web|url=https://climate.nasa.gov/faq/34/what-kinds-of-data-do-scientists-use-to-study-climate|title=What kinds of data do scientists use to study climate?|website=Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet|access-date=13 January 2020|archive-date=13 January 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200113094223/https://climate.nasa.gov/faq/34/what-kinds-of-data-do-scientists-use-to-study-climate/|url-status=live}}&lt;/ref> As measuring technology changes over time, records of data often cannot be compared directly. As cities are generally warmer than the areas surrounding, [[urbanization]] has made it necessary to constantly correct data for this [[urban heat island]] effect.{{sfn|Rohli|Vega|2011|p=8}} === Models === {{Main|Climate models}} Climate models use quantitative methods to simulate the interactions of the atmosphere, oceans, land surface, and ice. They are used for a variety of purposes from study of the dynamics of the weather and climate system to projections of future climate. All climate models balance, or very nearly balance, incoming energy as short wave (including visible) electromagnetic radiation to the Earth with outgoing energy as long wave (infrared) electromagnetic radiation from the Earth. Any unbalance results in a change of the average temperature of the Earth. Most climate models include the radiative effects of [[greenhouse gas]]es such as [[carbon dioxide]]. These models predict a trend of increase of [[Instrumental temperature record|surface temperatures]], as well as a more rapid increase of temperature at higher latitudes. Models can range from relatively simple to complex: * A simple radiant heat transfer model that treats the Earth as a single point and averages outgoing energy. * This can be expanded vertically (radiative-convective models), or horizontally. * Coupled atmosphere–ocean–[[sea ice]] [[General circulation model|global climate models]] discretise and solve the full equations for mass and energy transfer and radiant exchange. * Earth system models further include the biosphere. Additionally, they are available with different resolutions ranging from >100&amp;nbsp;km to 1&amp;nbsp;km. High resolutions in global climate models are computational very demanding and only few global datasets exists. Examples are ICON &lt;ref>{{cite journal |last1=Dipankar |first1=A. |last2=Heinze |first2=Rieke |last3=Moseley |first3=Christopher |last4=Stevens |first4=Bjorn |last5=Zängl |first5=Günther |last6=Brdar |first6=Slavko |title=A Large Eddy Simulation Version of ICON (ICOsahedral Nonhydrostatic): Model Description and Validation |journal=Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems |date=2015 |volume=7}}&lt;/ref> or mechanistically downscaled data such as CHELSA (Climatologies at high resolution for the Earth's land surface areas).&lt;ref>{{cite journal |last1=Karger |first1=D.N. |last2=Conrad |first2=O. |last3=Böhner |first3=J. |last4=Kawohl |first4=T. |last5=Kreft |first5=H. |last6=Soria-Auza |first6=R.W. |last7=Zimmermann |first7=N.E. |last8=Linder |first8=P. |last9=Kessler |first9=M. |title=Climatologies at high resolution for the Earth land surface areas |journal=Scientific Data |date=2017 |volume=4 |issue=170122|page=170122 |doi=10.1038/sdata.2017.122|pmid=28872642 |pmc=5584396 }}&lt;/ref>&lt;ref>{{cite journal |last1=Karger |first1=D.N. |last2=Lange |first2=S. |last3=Hari |first3=C. |last4=Reyer |first4=C.P.O. |last5=Zimmermann |first5=N.E. |title=CHELSA-W5E5 v1.0: W5E5 v1.0 downscaled with CHELSA v2.0 |journal=ISIMIP Repository |date=2021 |doi=10.48364/ISIMIP.836809}}&lt;/ref> </textarea><div class="templatesUsed"></div><p id="mw-returnto">Return to <a href="/wiki/Climatology" title="Climatology">Climatology</a>.</p> <!--esi <esi:include src="/esitest-fa8a495983347898/content" /> --><noscript><img src="https://login.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:CentralAutoLogin/start?type=1x1" alt="" width="1" height="1" style="border: none; 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