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fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M49.178 18L45.1885 11.925H42.4616V18H38.9421V0.621C38.9421 0.621 41.1944 0 45.2332 0C49.8676 0 52.6393 1.62 52.6393 5.2515C52.6393 8.9595 50.3601 10.5525 48.7258 11.277L53.3826 18H49.178ZM42.466 9.1125H46.4556C48.1661 8.3925 48.9586 7.47 48.9586 5.6025C48.9586 3.6585 47.5706 2.889 45.2914 2.889C43.8541 2.889 42.466 3.1365 42.466 3.1365V9.1125Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M55.4691 17.9996V0.24707H67.5319V3.25757H59.0109V7.71257H66.3677V10.6016H59.0109V14.9846H67.7558V17.9996H55.4691Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M70.3842 17.9996V0.24707H82.4469V3.25757H73.926V7.71257H81.2828V10.6016H73.926V14.9846H82.6708V17.9996H70.3842Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M88.7872 17.9996H85.2947V0.24707H88.5633L97.1111 11.4746V0.24707H100.631V17.9996H97.9798L88.7872 6.20057V17.9996Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M113.831 13.2932H107.759L106.129 18.0002H102.511L108.901 0.198242H113.186L119.455 18.0002H115.514L113.831 13.2932ZM110.884 3.60924L108.556 10.5302H113.087L110.884 3.60924Z" fill="currentColor"></path></svg><p class="_1m3quf82 fck75q2">Sarjat. 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aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Valtiontalous" class="aw-l7odld jXfkxq">Valtiontalous</a></div><h1 class="sc-aXZVg cZXpWU yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--1">Orpo ehdotti velkakattoa lakiin – asiantuntijoiden mukaan maailmalta löytyy lähinnä huonoja esimerkkejä</h1><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-5vja16 jxdWmn eeXVLF yle__article__paragraph">Huono velkakatto jäykistää. Suomalainen versio tulisi tehdä riittävän laajassa poliittisessa yhteisymmärryksessä.</p><div class="aw-e30oo3 blLbha"></div><figure class="aw-u5oz0a clzEhy yle__article__figure"><script type="application/ld+json">{"@id":"74-20075950","@context":"https://web.archive.org/web/20240226045944/https://schema.org","video":{"@type":"VideoObject","description":"Pellervon taloustutkimuksen Markus Lahtinen kannattaa pääministeri Orpon valkakattoa – onnistumisen edellytys on riittävän laaja poliittinen yhteisymmärrys.","name":"PTT:n Lahtinen kannattaa velkakattoa","thumbnailUrl":"https://web.archive.org/web/20240226045944/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.7777777777777777,c_fill,g_faces,h_431,w_767/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-42973859c268d07fd2f","uploadDate":"2024-02-22T16:41:43+02:00"}}</script><div class="aw-1a00tic ircCun"></div><figcaption class="aw-kr26k0 iEoONW"><span>Pellervon taloustutkimuksen Markus Lahtinen kannattaa pääministeri Orpon valkakattoa – onnistumisen edellytys on riittävän laaja poliittinen yhteisymmärrys.</span></figcaption></figure><div class="aw-1wk2icm iaIVgA"><div class="aw-qww0lc eFtfQt"><div class="aw-x5rn7a iKNQRH"><span class="aw-z7z0zi hEWAhM">Juha-Matti Mäntylä</span><span class="aw-z7z0zi hEWAhM">, </span></div><div class="aw-x5rn7a iKNQRH"><span class="aw-z7z0zi hEWAhM">Antti Parviala</span></div></div></div><div class="aw-1hwlbbb iumvhG"><div class="aw-64d2lh cPAYLb"><div class="aw-kzjed4 dgiUVP yle__article__date"><time class="aw-lsqctp jPSFYl yle__article__date--published" datetime="2024-02-22T18:45:10+02:00">22.2. 18:45</time><span aria-hidden="true" class="aw-131q90r bsXkQk">•</span><time class="aw-lsqctp jPSFYl yle__article__date--modified" datetime="2024-02-23T11:59:50+02:00">Päivitetty 23.2. 11:59</time></div></div><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240226045944/https://yle.onelink.me/46xJ/07zyq6zz?deep_link_sub1=74-20075950" class="aw-pqa0kd GtYAc">Avaa Yle-sovelluksessa<svg width="24" height="24" viewbox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" aria-hidden="true"><path d="M15 2a1 1 0 1 0 0 2h3.586l-9.293 9.293a1 1 0 1 0 1.414 1.414L20 5.414V9a1 1 0 1 0 2 0V3a1 1 0 0 0-1-1h-6ZM5 7a1 1 0 0 0-1 1v11a1 1 0 0 0 1 1h11a1 1 0 0 0 1-1v-6a1 1 0 0 1 2 0v6a3 3 0 0 1-3 3H5a3 3 0 0 1-3-3V8a3 3 0 0 1 3-3h6a1 1 0 1 1 0 2H5Z" fill="currentColor"></path></svg></a><div class="aw-itub5i eehAxh"><div><button aria-label="Jaa artikkeli" aria-disabled="false" id="share-menu-button" aria-haspopup="true" class="Buttonstyles__ButtonBase-sc-17sr1bx-0 Buttonstyles__ButtonText-sc-17sr1bx-3 jrqhnK kvhUhF"><span class="Buttonstyles__iconSize-sc-17sr1bx-4 Buttonstyles__IconWrapper-sc-17sr1bx-6 cazOWd dPcqZv yds-button__icon"><svg width="24" height="24" viewbox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" aria-hidden="true" class="aw-wi5224 fZrvxl"><path fill-rule="evenodd" clip-rule="evenodd" d="M12.43 3.078a1 1 0 0 1 1.087.207l8.182 8a1 1 0 0 1 0 1.43l-8.182 8a1 1 0 0 1-1.7-.715v-3.855h-.008c-1.968.029-3.972.988-5.827 2.417L3.61 20.389a1 1 0 0 1-1.592-.981l.5-2.597.014-.062c.23-.883.58-1.911.986-2.865.4-.94.88-1.876 1.387-2.532.964-1.246 2.07-2.138 3.405-2.709 1.057-.45 2.219-.684 3.508-.76V4a1 1 0 0 1 .612-.922Zm1.388 3.298v3.48h-1c-1.529 0-2.727.202-3.722.627-.984.42-1.826 1.081-2.609 2.093-.351.454-.753 1.206-1.129 2.09a19.46 19.46 0 0 0-.874 2.525l.277-.213c2.023-1.559 4.445-2.798 7.028-2.833h2.029v3.479L19.57 12l-5.752-5.624Z" fill="currentColor"></path></svg></span><span class="Buttonstyles__TextWrapper-sc-17sr1bx-7 WDnuQ yds-button__text">Jaa</span></button></div></div></div></header><section class="yle__article__content"><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Pääministeri <strong class="aw-ak79eh hgoSon yle__article__strong">Petteri Orpo</strong> (kok.) ehdotti Uutissuomalaisen haastattelussa valtiolle lakiin säädettyä velkakattoa. Ylen haastattelemat talousasiantuntijat suhtautuvat ajatukseen varoen – ja osa myös myönteisesti.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Helsingin yliopiston poliittisen talouden tutkija <strong class="aw-ak79eh hgoSon yle__article__strong">Antti Ronkainen</strong> sanoo, että lailla voidaan pakottaa poliitikot tekemään tarpeellisia valintoja – mutta velkakatossa on myös riskinsä.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Lakiin kirjattu tavoite ei huomioi vallitsevaa taloudellista tai maailmanpoliittisia tilannetta. Se sitoo hallitusten talouspolitiikkaa ja estää niiden kykyä vastata ajankohtaisiin ongelmiin, Ronkainen sanoo.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Lopputulos voisi johtaa liian kireään finanssipolitiikkaan tällä tai tulevilla hallituskausilla.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Ronkaisen mukaan huono velkakatto estää <em class="aw-18vh2pl bZqHKZ yle__article__emphasis">tarkoituksenmukaista</em> talouspolitiikkaa. Se näkyy hänen mukaansa Yhdysvalloissa, jossa velkakatosta on tullut poliittinen lyömäase. Aina kun velkakatto ylittyy, liittovaltio keskeyttää palkanmaksun ja joutuu sulkemaan virastoja.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Sehän on poliittisesti ja taloudellisesti erittäin epätarkoituksenmukaista, että maailman mahtavin valtio ei suoriudu sille säädetyistä velvollisuuksista, Ronkainen sanoo.</p><figure class="aw-d7wn69 dMVdkR yle__article__figure"><script type="application/ld+json">{"@id":"74-20075950","@context":"https://web.archive.org/web/20240226045944/https://schema.org","audio":{"@type":"AudioObject"}}</script><div class="aw-1fe49d7 gMIksm"><div class="aw-1io1lyd kPRuwh"><div class="aw-1txqavw hPwGAI"><strong class="aw-1bgq5a3 cIiQSU">Antti Ronkainen velkakaton vaikutuksista</strong></div></div><div class="aw-1wtbyt7 fGbgLq"><div></div></div></div></figure><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Toinen esimerkki epätarkoituksenmukaisuudesta on Ronkaisen mukaan Saksa. Siellä velkakatto – tai paremminkin 0,35 prosentin vuotuinen alijäämäjarru – kirjattiin viitisentoista vuotta sitten perustuslakiin.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Viime vuosina Saksa on kuitenkin joutunut moneen kertaan käyttämään poikkeusmenettelyjä voidakseen ratkoa esimerkiksi pandemiaongelmia. Ronkaisen mukaan rahoja on koronan varjolla käytetty myös vihreään siirtymään ja moniin energiapoliittisiin toimiin – kunnes perustuslakituomioistuin puuttui peliin.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Perustuslakituomioistuin katsoi, että näin ei voida toimia. Sen seurauksena Saksa joutuu tällä hetkellä tekemään erittäin kovia leikkaustoimia, hän sanoo.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Velkajarrun takia joudutaan tekemään liian kireää talouspolitiikkaa, eikä voida vastata Saksan syvempiin rakenteellisiin ongelmiin, eli erityisesti energiaomavaraisuuteen.</p><h2 class="sc-gEvEer kGTkjt yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--2">Vihriälä: EU:lla on jo velkakatto – ja kohta myös aikataulu sen saavuttamiseen</h2><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Myös pitkän linjan talousekonomisti <strong class="aw-ak79eh hgoSon yle__article__strong">Vesa Vihriälä</strong> pitää yhdysvaltalaistyyppistä velkakattoa huonona ajatuksena.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Se ei ole johtanut siellä mihinkään hyvään paitsi isoihin riitoihin. Ja kun niihin törmätään, on vaikea löytää kompromisseja. Velkaantumisen rajoittaminen kyllä on tarpeen.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Vihriälä muistuttaa, että yksi Suomea velvoittava velkakatto on jo olemassa. EU-jäsenyys edellyttää, ettei velan suhde bruttokansantuotteeseen saa nousta yli 60 prosentin.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Sen rajan Suomi ja moni muu valtio on jo ylittänyt. Vakaus- ja kasvusopimuksen valmistelussa oleva uusi versio puuttuu kuitenkin tilanteeseen. Maiden joiden valkaantumisaste on 60–90 prosenttia, tulee laskea sitä puoli prosenttiyksikköä vuodessa.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Voidaan toki kysyä, onko tämä kansallisen politiikkamme näkökulmasta riittävän vaativa tavoite. Tulisiko sopeutuksen olla vielä nopeampi, tai tulisiko meidän päästä tuon 60 prosentin alle ja lähemmäs pohjoismaisia verrokkeja?</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Vihriälän mukaan tällaiset päätökset edellyttävät kuitenkin parlamentaarista yli hallituskausien ja puoluerajojen ulottuvaa yhteisymmärrystä siitä, millaista velkaantumisen lasku-uraa Suomessa tavoitellaan.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Ja se voidaan sitten myös johonkin puitelakiin kirjata, mihin Suomi on sitoutunut. Ja jokainen hallitus voisi tuota tavoitetta sitten omalla tavallaan toteuttaa.</p><h2 class="sc-gEvEer kGTkjt yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--2">”Tehdään itse parempi”</h2><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Pellervon taloustutkimus PTT:n toimitusjohtaja <strong class="aw-ak79eh hgoSon yle__article__strong">Markus Lahtinen</strong> kannattaa Orpon ehdotusta lakiin kirjatusta velkakatosta. Suomen velkaantuminen on painettava alle 60 prosentin tason.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Mutta sovitaan mikä tahansa taso, niin tässä pitää sopia usean vaalikauden pituisesta sopeutusurasta, hän sanoo.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Missään nimessä kevään kehysriihessä ei pidä sopia vielä mitään.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Lahtinenkin näkee myös riskejä – kuten talouden rakenteiden jäykistymisen.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Yhdysvallat on juuri esimerkki huonosta valmistelusta ja jäykkyydestä. Saksan alijäämäkonseptiin liittyy siihenkin vakavia ongelmia. Meidän ei missään nimessä pidä kopioida muilta vaan tehdä itse parempi.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Suomen velkakaton tulisi Lahtisen mukaan huomioida koronan kaltaiset poikkeustilat, kotimaan maanpuolustuksen tarpeet ja monet muut asiat, joita EU ei ota huomioon.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Toisaalta niiden vastapainoksi tämän kotimaisen velkakaton tulisi olla riittävän kunnianhimoinen – vähintään pari piirua EU:n minimivaatimuksia tiukempi.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Tässä tarvitaan huolellinen valmistelu ja parlamentaarinen prosessi, johon kaikki puolueet ovat sitoutuneet, Lahtinen sanoo.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph"><em class="aw-18vh2pl bZqHKZ yle__article__emphasis">Keskustelu on suljettu tavanomaista aiemmin moderoinnin ruuhkautumisen vuoksi.</em></p></section><footer class="yle__article__footer"><div><div class="aw-1n3c5tg lkXQTI"><a href="/web/20240226045944/https://yle.fi/t/18-619/fi" aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Valtiontalous" class="aw-1viu5l0 ihpQdr">Valtiontalous</a><a href="/web/20240226045944/https://yle.fi/t/18-3684/fi" aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Valtionvelka" class="aw-1viu5l0 ihpQdr">Valtionvelka</a><a href="/web/20240226045944/https://yle.fi/t/18-39892/fi" aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Hallituksen talouspolitiikka" class="aw-1viu5l0 ihpQdr">Hallituksen talouspolitiikka</a><div class="aw-cf4nb3 caaAug"><button aria-label="Näytä kaikki aiheet" aria-disabled="false" class="Buttonstyles__ButtonBase-sc-17sr1bx-0 Buttonstyles__ButtonText-sc-17sr1bx-3 bcVPDV kvhUhF"><span class="Buttonstyles__iconSize-sc-17sr1bx-4 Buttonstyles__IconWrapper-sc-17sr1bx-6 cazOWd dPcqZv yds-button__icon"><svg width="24" height="24" viewbox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" aria-hidden="true" class="aw-1933nkp cwQFrH"><path 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class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletContainer-sc-50e5ed09-7 jplnXj"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletCell-sc-50e5ed09-8 fXnPjX"><div aria-hidden="true" class="MinimalHeadlines__Index-sc-50e5ed09-5 ifdyhB">3</div><div class="MinimalHeadlines__ListLine-sc-50e5ed09-4 bKztAW"></div></div></div><div class="MinimalHeadlines__Texts-sc-50e5ed09-2 bFUWKB"><a href="/web/20240226045944/https://yle.fi/t/18-213947/fi" class="Tag__Label-sc-10f4ee8e-0 dpErSM MinimalHeadlines__StyledTag-sc-50e5ed09-3 jYHdjA">Poliisi</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-8c75a913-0 dpUGfc link-accent"><a href="/web/20240226045944/https://yle.fi/a/74-20075920" class="MinimalHeadlines__Link-sc-50e5ed09-9 gQOvyQ visitable-link">Sukista sakot? ”Voi kuulostaa älyttömälle, mutta se on laitonta”, sanoo poliisi miekkatunnuksen neulomisesta</a></h3></div></li><li class="MinimalHeadlines__Item-sc-50e5ed09-1 gqBDHz"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletContainer-sc-50e5ed09-7 jplnXj"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletCell-sc-50e5ed09-8 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class="Tag__Label-sc-10f4ee8e-0 dpErSM MinimalHeadlines__StyledTag-sc-50e5ed09-3 jYHdjA">Rakennukset</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-8c75a913-0 dpUGfc link-accent"><a href="/web/20240226045944/https://yle.fi/a/74-20076335" class="MinimalHeadlines__Link-sc-50e5ed09-9 gQOvyQ visitable-link">Miten Mäntyniemen remontti voi maksaa 55 miljoonaa euroa, ihmettelee somekansa – asiantuntijakin hämmästyi</a></h3></div></li></ol></div></aside><aside class="GridSystem__GridCell-sc-39885cb3-0 SidebarLayout__SidebarItemContainer-sc-3eb74ea9-1 cLQCdE jHMrFX"><h2 id="sb-most-recent" class="Typography-sc-8c75a913-0 bULHrI SidebarLayout__SidebarItemHeader-sc-3eb74ea9-0 cQMpdn SidebarLayout__SidebarItemHeader-sc-3eb74ea9-0 cQMpdn">Tuoreimmat</h2><div class="MinimalHeadlines__Container-sc-50e5ed09-0 iOwQHi"><ol aria-labelledby="sb-most-recent"><li class="MinimalHeadlines__Item-sc-50e5ed09-1 gqBDHz"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletContainer-sc-50e5ed09-7 jplnXj"><div 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Suomalainen versio tulisi tehdä riittävän laajassa poliittisessa yhteisymmärryksessä.","type":"text"},{"text":"Pääministeri **Petteri Orpo** (kok.) ehdotti Uutissuomalaisen haastattelussa valtiolle lakiin säädettyä velkakattoa. Ylen haastattelemat talousasiantuntijat suhtautuvat ajatukseen varoen – ja osa myös myönteisesti.","type":"text"},{"text":"Helsingin yliopiston poliittisen talouden tutkija **Antti Ronkainen** sanoo, että lailla voidaan pakottaa poliitikot tekemään tarpeellisia valintoja – mutta velkakatossa on myös riskinsä.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Lakiin kirjattu tavoite ei huomioi vallitsevaa taloudellista tai maailmanpoliittisia tilannetta. 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Meidän ei missään nimessä pidä kopioida muilta vaan tehdä itse parempi.","type":"text"},{"text":"Suomen velkakaton tulisi Lahtisen mukaan huomioida koronan kaltaiset poikkeustilat, kotimaan maanpuolustuksen tarpeet ja monet muut asiat, joita EU ei ota huomioon.","type":"text"},{"text":"Toisaalta niiden vastapainoksi tämän kotimaisen velkakaton tulisi olla riittävän kunnianhimoinen – vähintään pari piirua EU:n minimivaatimuksia tiukempi.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Tässä tarvitaan huolellinen valmistelu ja parlamentaarinen prosessi, johon kaikki puolueet ovat sitoutuneet, Lahtinen sanoo.","type":"text"},{"text":"*Keskustelu on suljettu tavanomaista aiemmin moderoinnin ruuhkautumisen vuoksi.*","type":"text"}],"subjects":[{"description":{"fi":"julkinen talous","sv":"offentlig 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