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href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://areena.yle.fi/podcastit/opas" data-testid="header-drawer-submenu-link"><span class="fck75q3">Radio-opas</span></a></li><li class=""><a class="_1bvm4mm2 eopu3j0" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/uutiset/rss" data-testid="header-drawer-submenu-link"><span class="fck75q3">RSS-syötteet</span></a></li></ul><div class="bqq79o0"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://areena.yle.fi/" class="_1m3quf81 eopu3j0" data-testid="header-areena-promo"><svg viewbox="0 0 120 18" fill="none" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="_1m3quf80"><title>Yle Areena</title><path d="M17.9106 0.83486V17.1651C17.9106 17.6102 17.5266 18 17.1058 18H0.840919C0.383949 17.9992 0 17.6102 0 17.1644V0.83486C0 0.371663 0.383949 0 0.840919 0H17.1058C17.5266 0 17.9106 0.371663 17.9106 0.83486ZM6.94249 6.4098H6.65355C6.33634 6.4098 6.22877 6.60944 6.15104 6.95191L5.34467 10.4752H5.20647C4.90968 10.4855 4.77463 10.4444 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11.5602H9.24697C9.64819 11.5602 9.70237 11.2769 9.70237 11V4.64697C9.70237 4.32818 9.70237 3.79633 9.11113 3.79633ZM14.7432 10.4239C14.667 10.4239 14.5901 10.4389 14.5006 10.4563L14.4668 10.4626C14.2862 10.4989 13.9831 10.5596 13.5042 10.5596C12.2636 10.5596 12.1176 10.349 12.0783 9.37285H14.4503C14.9976 9.37285 15.2418 9.15664 15.2418 8.67213C15.2418 7.64237 15.0266 6.27171 13.165 6.27171C11.5931 6.27171 10.8919 7.12946 10.8919 9.05247C10.8919 10.9297 11.5452 11.6281 13.3016 11.6281C14.0318 11.6281 14.6097 11.5152 14.8366 11.4111C14.9811 11.3495 15.1138 11.2572 15.1138 11V10.8122C15.113 10.5699 14.9748 10.4239 14.7432 10.4239Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M12.0846 8.41359C12.1301 7.57715 12.4701 7.20312 13.1831 7.20312H13.1838C13.8614 7.20312 14.1661 7.56532 14.1975 8.41202L12.0846 8.41359Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M31.4197 13.2932H25.348L23.7136 18.0002H20.0957L26.4898 0.198242H30.7749L37.0436 18.0002H33.1032L31.4197 13.2932ZM28.4689 3.60924L26.1405 10.5302H30.6719L28.4689 3.60924Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M49.178 18L45.1885 11.925H42.4616V18H38.9421V0.621C38.9421 0.621 41.1944 0 45.2332 0C49.8676 0 52.6393 1.62 52.6393 5.2515C52.6393 8.9595 50.3601 10.5525 48.7258 11.277L53.3826 18H49.178ZM42.466 9.1125H46.4556C48.1661 8.3925 48.9586 7.47 48.9586 5.6025C48.9586 3.6585 47.5706 2.889 45.2914 2.889C43.8541 2.889 42.466 3.1365 42.466 3.1365V9.1125Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M55.4691 17.9996V0.24707H67.5319V3.25757H59.0109V7.71257H66.3677V10.6016H59.0109V14.9846H67.7558V17.9996H55.4691Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M70.3842 17.9996V0.24707H82.4469V3.25757H73.926V7.71257H81.2828V10.6016H73.926V14.9846H82.6708V17.9996H70.3842Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M88.7872 17.9996H85.2947V0.24707H88.5633L97.1111 11.4746V0.24707H100.631V17.9996H97.9798L88.7872 6.20057V17.9996Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M113.831 13.2932H107.759L106.129 18.0002H102.511L108.901 0.198242H113.186L119.455 18.0002H115.514L113.831 13.2932ZM110.884 3.60924L108.556 10.5302H113.087L110.884 3.60924Z" fill="currentColor"></path></svg><p class="_1m3quf82 fck75q2">Sarjat. 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aria-disabled="false" id="sticky-share-menu-button" data-testid="sticky-share-menu-button" tabindex="-1" class="sc-ivxoEo sc-ixGGxD kNhfaK IRmth ShareButton__ActionMenu-sc-6994e1b5-0 hetDVh" aria-haspopup="true"><span class="sc-khLCKb sc-keTIit eHnKRV cMPAuC yds-button__icon"><svg width="24" height="24" fill="none" viewbox="0 0 24 24" aria-hidden="true"><path fill="currentColor" fill-rule="evenodd" d="M12.43 3.078a1 1 0 0 1 1.087.207l8.182 8a1 1 0 0 1 0 1.43l-8.182 8a1 1 0 0 1-1.7-.715v-3.855h-.008c-1.968.029-3.972.988-5.827 2.417L3.61 20.389a1 1 0 0 1-1.592-.981l.5-2.597.014-.062c.23-.883.58-1.911.986-2.865.4-.94.88-1.876 1.387-2.532.964-1.246 2.07-2.138 3.405-2.709 1.057-.45 2.219-.684 3.508-.76V4a1 1 0 0 1 .612-.922m1.388 3.298v3.48h-1c-1.529 0-2.727.202-3.722.627-.984.42-1.826 1.081-2.609 2.093-.351.454-.753 1.206-1.129 2.09a19.5 19.5 0 0 0-.874 2.525l.277-.213c2.023-1.559 4.445-2.798 7.028-2.833h2.029v3.479L19.57 12z" clip-rule="evenodd"></path></svg></span><span class="sc-dpBQxM hngLce yds-button__text">Jaa</span></button></div></div></header><div id="yle__contentAnchor" class="GridSystem-sc-613a840-2 iPZOUh"><div class="GridSystem__GridRow-sc-613a840-1 ArticlePage__ArticleRow-sc-3554359d-2 dpyhkz cyGsjj"><main class="ArticlePage__ArticlePageMainColumn-sc-3554359d-0 kLCmGi"><div class="GridSystem__GridCell-sc-613a840-0 ArticlePage__ArticleGridCell-sc-3554359d-1 hHPPba bLwVpH"><div class="ArticleWrapper__Wrapper-sc-5e8d6cad-0 evDXNu"><article class="yle__article arkki-theme-default" data-vrsproduct="uutiset"><header class="yle__article__header"><div class="sc-lbZXOw cAsZCO"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/t/18-204933/fi" aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Talous" class="sc-fIfZzT kEtXGR">Talous</a></div><h1 class="sc-enMaOJ wzCTD yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--1">Asiantuntijat: Suomen hallituksen jättisopeutus on oikean suuruinen</h1><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-hSyjfr fmZXof bRXxCP yle__article__paragraph">Valtaosa Ylen kyselyyn vastanneista ekonomisteista pitää hallituksen leikkauksia sopivan kokoisina. </p><figure class="sc-kJZLhT ersrhc yle__article__figure"><script type="application/ld+json">{"@id":"74-20113409","@context":"https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://schema.org","video":{"@type":"VideoObject","description":"Kolme ekonomistia arvioi hallituksen sopeutustoimia.","name":"Ekonomistit antavat tukensa hallituksen sopeutumiselle","thumbnailUrl":"https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/c_fill,g_faces,w_1200/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-135355566f3ca5ea560f","uploadDate":"2024-09-24T18:07:43+03:00"}}</script><div class="sc-bKXUjo juBWPl"><div><div data-testid="video-player" class="sc-eEVuZf caHjvh"></div></div></div><figcaption class="sc-gohMHu infMfp"><span>Kolme ekonomistia arvioi hallituksen sopeutustoimia.</span></figcaption></figure><div class="sc-bOdUTf iueKsP"><div class="sc-ePpfBx lizmxn"><div class="sc-txhaY kOAHoB"><span class="sc-iPHsxv ckWsUl">Virpi Hukkanen</span><span class="sc-iPHsxv ckWsUl">, </span></div><div class="sc-txhaY kOAHoB"><span class="sc-iPHsxv ckWsUl">Marja Mäki-Kuhna</span></div></div></div><div class="sc-feCMOb iQwgKi"><div class="sc-gYGZqq gdZOjj yle__article__date"><time class="sc-jGSdlx fxCtdH yle__article__date--published" datetime="2024-09-27T14:37:26+03:00">27.9. 14:37</time></div></div><div class="sc-jXpgWc joSncZ"><div class="sc-ddLvXF CaRJe"></div><div class="sc-bhcutL hIPcxY"></div></div></header><section class="yle__article__content"><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Suomen hallituksen yhdeksän miljardin euron menoleikkaukset ja muut sopeutustoimet saavat aikaan myönteistä hyrinää talousasiantuntijoiden joukossa. Menoleikkauksia on kauhisteltu julkisessa keskustelussa suuriksi. Ylen kyselyyn vastanneiden ääni on toinen.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Joukko arvostettuja ekonomisteja pitää sopeutusten kokoa oikeana. Tätä mieltä oli kolme neljästä Ylen perinteiseen ekonomistikyselyyn vastanneista talouden asiantuntijoista.</p><blockquote class="sc-izgFkT kilcIu"><svg aria-hidden="true" fill="var(--yds-color-text-default, #131415)" stroke="none" height="32" role="img" viewbox="0 0 31 19" width="32"><path d="M0.996094 18.9644L3.29009 0.982422H15.5741L10.3201 18.9644H0.996094ZM15.4261 18.9644L17.7201 0.982422H30.0041L24.7501 18.9644H15.4261Z"></path></svg><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-fCLUES fmZXof gLGAsC">Hallituksen sopeutussuunnitelma on oikeaa suuruusluokkaa ja ajoitukseltaankin onnekkaan osuvaa.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-bMamjt fmZXof iVsEqR">Juhana Brotherus, pääekonomisti, Suomen yrittäjät</p></blockquote><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Kysyimme talouskehitystä työkseen analysoivilta ekonomisteilta, ovatko hallituksen sopeutustoimet oikean suuruisia. Lähetimme kyselyn noin kahdellekymmenelle asiantuntijalle pankkeihin, tutkimuslaitoksiin ja järjestöihin. Yhdeksäntoista vastasi.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Ekonomistikysely toteutettiin viime viikolla, ennen valtiovarainministeriön <a class="sc-byRyzU bHmPz yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20112898" role="link">maanantaina julkaisemaa talousennustetta</a>. <a class="sc-byRyzU bHmPz yle__article__link" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20114076" role="link">Eilen torstaina</a> valtiovarainministeri <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Riikka Purra</strong> (ps.) kommentoi, että velkasuhteen vakauttamisen saavuttaminen tekee tiukkaa.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">– Olemme koko ajan hyvin hilkulla, ja koska haluamme pitää tästä tavoitteesta kiinni, niin on todennäköistä, että joudumme tekemään lisätoimia. Tällä hetkellä se ei ole ajankohtaista, valtiovarainministeri Purra sanoi torstaina.</p><div class="sc-ZVgAE gOnFTH yle__article__infogram"> <div class="infogram-embed" data-id="9ee99ab4-3801-4114-a007-aec85bdf87c1" data-type="interactive" data-title="Grafiikka näyttää valtion menot ja sopeutukset: menot vuonna 2025 ovat 88,5 miljardia euroa, josta lainan osuus on 12 miljardia euroa. Sopeutukset ovat yhdeksän miljardia euroa."></div> </div><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Yksikään Ylen kyselyyn vastannut talouden asiantuntija ei vaadi lisää leikkauksia, ainakaan välittömästi.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Julkisesti on epäilty myös menoleikkausten riittävyyttä. Sopeutustoimista huolimatta valtio velkaantuu ennakoitua enemmän. Ensi vuonna lisävelan määrä on 12 miljardia euroa.</p><blockquote class="sc-izgFkT kilcIu"><svg aria-hidden="true" fill="var(--yds-color-text-default, #131415)" stroke="none" height="32" role="img" viewbox="0 0 31 19" width="32"><path d="M0.996094 18.9644L3.29009 0.982422H15.5741L10.3201 18.9644H0.996094ZM15.4261 18.9644L17.7201 0.982422H30.0041L24.7501 18.9644H15.4261Z"></path></svg><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-fCLUES fmZXof gLGAsC">Sopeutus on sopivaa. Ensi vuonna talouskasvu piristyy, joten velkaantumista kannattaa taittaa.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-bMamjt fmZXof iVsEqR">Aki Kangasharju, toimitusjohtaja, Etla</p></blockquote><blockquote class="sc-izgFkT kilcIu"><svg aria-hidden="true" fill="var(--yds-color-text-default, #131415)" stroke="none" height="32" role="img" viewbox="0 0 31 19" width="32"><path d="M0.996094 18.9644L3.29009 0.982422H15.5741L10.3201 18.9644H0.996094ZM15.4261 18.9644L17.7201 0.982422H30.0041L24.7501 18.9644H15.4261Z"></path></svg><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-fCLUES fmZXof gLGAsC">Karkeasti ottaen tähän mennessä päätettyjä toimia voi tässä suhdannetilanteessa pitää oikein mitoitettuina.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-bMamjt fmZXof iVsEqR">Pasi Kuoppamäki, pääekonomisti, Danske Bank</p></blockquote><h2 class="sc-fUEImY epOJmm yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--2">”Sopeutuksia tehty vain minimimäärä”</h2><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Yksi sopeutusten kokoa kiittävä asiantuntija on vieraileva tutkija <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Vesa Vihriälä</strong> Helsingin yliopistosta.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Vihriälä kirjoittaa sopeuttamisen mittakaavan olevan kutakuinkin paikallaan.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">– Se riittänee velkasuhteen kasvun pysäyttämiseen hallituskauden lopulla, mitä voi pitää minimitavoitteena, Vihriälä perustelee kantaansa.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Mittavasta yhdeksän miljardin menoleikkaus- ja verotustoimista huolimatta moni asiantuntija tosiaan arvioi sopeutuksen suuruuden täyttävän vain minimin.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Minimi tarkoittaa sitä, että sopeutukset riittävät ehkä muutaman vuoden ajaksi.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">OP:n pääekonomisti <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Reijo Heiskanen</strong> kirjoittaa sopeutustoimista seuraavasti:</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">– Ne riittävät toteutuessaan ennakoidusti arviomme mukaan vakauttamaan velkasuhteen lähivuosina ja täyttävät vakaan politiikan minimiedellytykset hallituskaudella.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Vastauksen perusteella vaikuttaa siltä, että hallituksen ei siis tarvitsisi tehdä juuri nyt lisää menojen karsintaa tai muita sopeutuksia.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Pidemmällä aikavälillä saattaa olla toisin.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Yleinen käsitys vastaajien joukossa on, että tulevina vuosina tulojen ja menojen säätäminen tasapainoon jatkuu.</p><blockquote class="sc-izgFkT kilcIu"><svg aria-hidden="true" fill="var(--yds-color-text-default, #131415)" stroke="none" height="32" role="img" viewbox="0 0 31 19" width="32"><path d="M0.996094 18.9644L3.29009 0.982422H15.5741L10.3201 18.9644H0.996094ZM15.4261 18.9644L17.7201 0.982422H30.0041L24.7501 18.9644H15.4261Z"></path></svg><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-fCLUES fmZXof gLGAsC">Luonnollisesti ei voi poissulkea sitä riskiä, että sopeutustoimia saatetaan tarvita lisää myöhemmin.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-bMamjt fmZXof iVsEqR">Janne Ronkanen, ekonomisti, S-Pankki</p></blockquote><h2 class="sc-fUEImY epOJmm yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--2">”Kaikki päätökset eivät säästä mitään”</h2><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Neljäsosa Ylen kyselyyn vastanneista ekonomisteista epäilee sopeutustoimien järkevyyttä. He epäilivät hallituksen tapaa tehdä sopeutukset tai ainakin sopeutusten ajankohtaa, osa hyvinkin kriittisesti.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">– Hallituksen sopeutusohjelma ei tule saavuttamaan kaikkia tavoitteitaan, sillä osa päätöksistä ei aikaansaa säästöä, Kuntaliiton pääekonomisti <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Minna Punakallio</strong> kirjoittaa.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Punakallio katsoo asioita kuntien näkökulmasta ja hän epäilee, että osa valtion säästöistä siirtyy niiden maksettavaksi.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Usea kriitikko on huolissaan siitä, syntyykö talouskasvua, kun leikataan paljon juuri nyt.</p><blockquote class="sc-izgFkT kilcIu"><svg aria-hidden="true" fill="var(--yds-color-text-default, #131415)" stroke="none" height="32" role="img" viewbox="0 0 31 19" width="32"><path d="M0.996094 18.9644L3.29009 0.982422H15.5741L10.3201 18.9644H0.996094ZM15.4261 18.9644L17.7201 0.982422H30.0041L24.7501 18.9644H15.4261Z"></path></svg><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-fCLUES fmZXof gLGAsC">Erityisesti matalasuhdanteessa on järkevämpää elvyttää kuin sopeuttaa, jotta matalasuhdanne ei pitkity tarpeettomasti.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-bMamjt fmZXof iVsEqR">Otto Kyyrönen, pääekonomisti, Soste</p></blockquote><h2 class="sc-fUEImY epOJmm yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--2">”Sopeutukset haittaavat talouskasvua”</h2><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Suuret sopeutukset saavat siunauksen myös toimitusjohtaja <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Mika Malirannalta</strong> Työn ja talouden tutkimuslaitoksesta Laboresta. Silti hän sanoo suhtautuvansa sopeutuksiin varauksella ja on huolissaan niistä nykyisessä taloustilanteessa.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">– Voimakkaan sopeutuksen riskinä on, että se syventää ja pidentää laskusuhdannetta, Maliranta kirjoittaa.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Hän epäilee, että yritykset vähentävät investointejaan sekä tutkimusta ja tuotekehitystä laskukauden pitkittyessä. Huonossa taloustilanteessa rahat eivät todennäköisesti riitä niihin.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">– Se puolestaan heikentää tulevaa talouskasvua ja vaikeuttaa julkisen talouden sopeuttamista.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Pääekonomisti <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Ilkka Kaukoranta</strong> ammattiliittojen keskusjärjestöstä SAK:sta haluaa puhua sopeutusten sisällöstä, ei niinkään mittaluokasta.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">– Pienituloisten ostovoimaan kohdistuvien leikkausten sijaan kotimaisen kulutuksen kannalta olisi parempi suunnata sopeutustoimet pääomien verotukseen.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Julkisten menojen leikkaaminen tuntuu siis eniten pienituloisilla. Kaukoranta tasapainottaisi valtion tuloja ja menoja enemmän esimerkiksi verottamalla listaamattomien yritysten maksamia osinkoja.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Kriitikoilta emme saaneet suoraa kannanottoa sopeutusten riittävyyteen.</p><aside class="sc-gGJNVN caIZnZ yle__article__aside" aria-label="Faktalaatikko"><div class="sc-dKpdpM TFETU"><h2 class="sc-fUEImY epOJmm yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--2">Näin juttu tehtiin</h2><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Ylen ekonomistikysely lähetettiin yli 20 arvostetulle ekonomistille tutkimuslaitoksissa, keskusjärjestöissä ja pankeissa.</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Tällä kertaa ekonomisteja pyydettiin arvioimaan talouden syksyn näkymiä. Pääkysymys kuului: ”Sopeuttaako hallitus liikaa vai liian vähän, kun velkaantuminen edelleen kasvaa?”</p><p class="sc-dwGkES sc-kUiVwB fmZXof jeOJHA yle__article__paragraph">Kysymyksiin vastasi yhteensä 20 ekonomistia: pääekonomisti <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Patrizio Lainà</strong> STTK:sta, vieraileva tutkija Vesa Vihriälä Helsingin yliopistosta, pääekonomisti <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Jukka Appelqvist</strong> Keskuskauppakamarista, toimitusjohtaja Aki Kangasharju Etlasta, pääekonomisti <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Juhana Brotherus</strong> Suomen yrittäjistä, pääekonomisti Juho Keskinen Suomen Hypoteekkiyhdistyksestä, pääekonomisti Reijo Heiskanen OP-ryhmä, pääekonomisti <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Penna Urrila</strong> EK:sta, pääekonomisti <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Maarit Lindstöm</strong> Metsäteollisuudesta, pääekonomisti <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Timo Vesala</strong> Kuntarahoituksesta, ekonomisti <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Juho Kostiainen</strong> Nordeasta, pääekonomisti <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Timo Hirvonen</strong> Handelsbankenista, pääekonomisti <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Ilkka Kaukoranta</strong> SAK:sta, pääekonomisti <strong class="sc-dRlUCX gZPRaT yle__article__strong">Pasi Sorjonen</strong> Akavasta, toimitusjohtaja Mika Maliranta Laboresta, pääekonomisti Minna Punakallio Kuntaliitosta, pääekonomisti Pasi Kuoppamäki Danske Bankista, pääekonomisti Otto Kyyrönen Sostesta ja ekonomisti Janne Ronkanen S-Pankista.</p></div></aside></section><footer class="yle__article__footer"><div><div class="sc-erSfwj efriDv"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/t/18-204933/fi" aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Talous" class="sc-fIfZzT bfxBjg">Talous</a><a 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class="DateTime___StyledTime-sc-f3193d7a-0 hORwkK MinimalHeadlines__Date-sc-a86400a0-4 bjDKrM" datetime="2024-10-02T07:57:26+0300">7:57</time><div class="MinimalHeadlines__ListLine-sc-a86400a0-2 fGcnrS"></div></div></div><div class="MinimalHeadlines__Texts-sc-a86400a0-1 lclBqm"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/t/18-205598/fi" data-testid="minimal-headline-tag" class="sc-fIfZzT kEtXGR">Jalkapallo</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 bZWmLC link-accent"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20115257" class="MinimalHeadlines__Title-sc-a86400a0-6 gBluDb visitable-link">Topi Keskinen valittiin viikon joukkueeseen</a></h3></div></li><li class="MinimalHeadlines__TriggeredItem-sc-a86400a0-0 kuOHCr"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletContainer-sc-a86400a0-7 frBTDL"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletCell-sc-a86400a0-8 cVdqqb"><time class="DateTime___StyledTime-sc-f3193d7a-0 hORwkK MinimalHeadlines__Date-sc-a86400a0-4 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datetime="2024-10-02T07:41:00+0300">7:41</time><div class="MinimalHeadlines__ListLine-sc-a86400a0-2 fGcnrS"></div></div></div><div class="MinimalHeadlines__Texts-sc-a86400a0-1 lclBqm"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/t/18-345335/fi" data-testid="minimal-headline-tag" class="sc-fIfZzT kEtXGR">Yhdysvaltain presidentinvaalit 2024</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 bZWmLC link-accent"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20115250" class="MinimalHeadlines__Title-sc-a86400a0-6 gBluDb visitable-link">Analyysi: Amerikkalaiset odottivat raivoa, mutta saivat Keskilännen kohteliaisuuksia</a></h3></div></li><li class="MinimalHeadlines__TriggeredItem-sc-a86400a0-0 kuOHCr"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletContainer-sc-a86400a0-7 frBTDL"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletCell-sc-a86400a0-8 cVdqqb"><time class="DateTime___StyledTime-sc-f3193d7a-0 hORwkK MinimalHeadlines__Date-sc-a86400a0-4 bjDKrM" datetime="2024-10-02T07:32:37+0300">7:32</time><div class="MinimalHeadlines__ListLine-sc-a86400a0-2 fGcnrS"></div></div></div><div class="MinimalHeadlines__Texts-sc-a86400a0-1 lclBqm"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/t/18-213332/fi" data-testid="minimal-headline-tag" class="sc-fIfZzT kEtXGR">Kansainvälinen politiikka</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 bZWmLC link-accent"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20115254" class="MinimalHeadlines__Title-sc-a86400a0-6 gBluDb visitable-link">Kanadan pääministeri Trudeau selvisi jo toisesta epäluottamusäänestyksestä viikon sisään</a></h3></div></li><li class="MinimalHeadlines__TriggeredItem-sc-a86400a0-0 kuOHCr"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletContainer-sc-a86400a0-7 frBTDL"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletCell-sc-a86400a0-8 cVdqqb"><time class="DateTime___StyledTime-sc-f3193d7a-0 hORwkK MinimalHeadlines__Date-sc-a86400a0-4 bjDKrM" datetime="2024-10-02T07:31:31+0300">7:31</time><div class="MinimalHeadlines__ListLine-sc-a86400a0-2 fGcnrS"></div></div></div><div class="MinimalHeadlines__Texts-sc-a86400a0-1 lclBqm"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/t/18-212557/fi" data-testid="minimal-headline-tag" class="sc-fIfZzT kEtXGR">Koulutus</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 bZWmLC link-accent"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20110980" class="MinimalHeadlines__Title-sc-a86400a0-6 gBluDb visitable-link">Tämän luokan eturivissä istuu robotti, jonka avulla syöpäsairas Väinö Aho voi käydä koulua</a></h3></div></li><li class="MinimalHeadlines__TriggeredItem-sc-a86400a0-0 kuOHCr"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletContainer-sc-a86400a0-7 frBTDL"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletCell-sc-a86400a0-8 cVdqqb"><time class="DateTime___StyledTime-sc-f3193d7a-0 hORwkK MinimalHeadlines__Date-sc-a86400a0-4 bjDKrM" datetime="2024-10-02T07:22:37+0300">7:22</time><div class="MinimalHeadlines__ListLine-sc-a86400a0-2 fGcnrS"></div></div></div><div class="MinimalHeadlines__Texts-sc-a86400a0-1 lclBqm"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/t/18-215452/fi" data-testid="minimal-headline-tag" class="sc-fIfZzT kEtXGR">Luonto</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 bZWmLC link-accent"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20115248" class="MinimalHeadlines__Title-sc-a86400a0-6 gBluDb visitable-link">Taiwan sulkeutui taifuunin lähestyessä</a></h3></div></li><li class="MinimalHeadlines__TriggeredItem-sc-a86400a0-0 kuOHCr"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletContainer-sc-a86400a0-7 frBTDL"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletCell-sc-a86400a0-8 cVdqqb"><time class="DateTime___StyledTime-sc-f3193d7a-0 hORwkK MinimalHeadlines__Date-sc-a86400a0-4 bjDKrM" datetime="2024-10-02T07:21:15+0300">7:21</time><div class="MinimalHeadlines__ListLine-sc-a86400a0-2 fGcnrS"></div></div></div><div class="MinimalHeadlines__Texts-sc-a86400a0-1 lclBqm"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/t/18-204660/fi" data-testid="minimal-headline-tag" class="sc-fIfZzT kEtXGR">Harrastukset</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 bZWmLC link-accent"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20115172" class="MinimalHeadlines__Title-sc-a86400a0-6 gBluDb visitable-link">Kokemäelle suunnitellaan ”unelmien drifting-rataa” – puuhamiehen mukaan pelko meluhaitasta on ylimitoitettu</a></h3></div></li><li class="MinimalHeadlines__TriggeredItem-sc-a86400a0-0 kuOHCr"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletContainer-sc-a86400a0-7 frBTDL"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletCell-sc-a86400a0-8 cVdqqb"><time class="DateTime___StyledTime-sc-f3193d7a-0 hORwkK MinimalHeadlines__Date-sc-a86400a0-4 bjDKrM" datetime="2024-10-02T07:15:21+0300">7:15</time><div class="MinimalHeadlines__ListLine-sc-a86400a0-2 fGcnrS"></div></div></div><div class="MinimalHeadlines__Texts-sc-a86400a0-1 lclBqm"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/t/18-214216/fi" data-testid="minimal-headline-tag" class="sc-fIfZzT kEtXGR">Tutkimus</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 bZWmLC link-accent"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20115247" class="MinimalHeadlines__Title-sc-a86400a0-6 gBluDb visitable-link">Tutkijat keksivät, miten fosforia saadaan talteen saastuneista jätteistä – läpimurto suuressa ympäristöhaasteessa</a></h3></div></li><li class="MinimalHeadlines__TriggeredItem-sc-a86400a0-0 kuOHCr"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletContainer-sc-a86400a0-7 frBTDL"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletCell-sc-a86400a0-8 cVdqqb"><time class="DateTime___StyledTime-sc-f3193d7a-0 hORwkK MinimalHeadlines__Date-sc-a86400a0-4 bjDKrM" datetime="2024-10-02T07:02:24+0300">7:02</time><div class="MinimalHeadlines__ListLine-sc-a86400a0-2 fGcnrS"></div></div></div><div class="MinimalHeadlines__Texts-sc-a86400a0-1 lclBqm"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/t/18-209306/fi" data-testid="minimal-headline-tag" class="sc-fIfZzT kEtXGR">Terveys</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 bZWmLC link-accent"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20115199" class="MinimalHeadlines__Title-sc-a86400a0-6 gBluDb visitable-link">Lohjan kaupunki vaatii HUS-yhtymää kumoamaan synnytysosaston lakkauttamisen</a></h3></div></li><li class="MinimalHeadlines__TriggeredItem-sc-a86400a0-0 kuOHCr"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletContainer-sc-a86400a0-7 frBTDL"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletCell-sc-a86400a0-8 cVdqqb"><time class="DateTime___StyledTime-sc-f3193d7a-0 hORwkK MinimalHeadlines__Date-sc-a86400a0-4 bjDKrM" datetime="2024-10-02T06:51:01+0300">6:51</time><div class="MinimalHeadlines__ListLine-sc-a86400a0-2 fGcnrS"></div></div></div><div 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lclBqm"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/t/18-189456/fi" data-testid="minimal-headline-tag" class="sc-fIfZzT kEtXGR">Jääkiekko</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 bZWmLC link-accent"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20115239" class="MinimalHeadlines__Title-sc-a86400a0-6 gBluDb visitable-link">Oliver Kapanen maalasi – NHL-pelipaikka lähellä?</a></h3></div></li><li class="MinimalHeadlines__TriggeredItem-sc-a86400a0-0 kuOHCr"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletContainer-sc-a86400a0-7 frBTDL"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletCell-sc-a86400a0-8 cVdqqb"><time class="DateTime___StyledTime-sc-f3193d7a-0 hORwkK MinimalHeadlines__Date-sc-a86400a0-4 bjDKrM" datetime="2024-10-02T06:31:51+0300">6:31</time><div class="MinimalHeadlines__ListLine-sc-a86400a0-2 fGcnrS"></div></div></div><div class="MinimalHeadlines__Texts-sc-a86400a0-1 lclBqm"><a 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href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/t/18-204933/fi" data-testid="minimal-headline-tag" class="sc-fIfZzT kEtXGR">Talous</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 bZWmLC link-accent"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20115241" class="MinimalHeadlines__Title-sc-a86400a0-6 gBluDb visitable-link">Hongkongin pörssissä kurssiralli jatkuu, öljy kallistuu</a></h3></div></li><li class="MinimalHeadlines__TriggeredItem-sc-a86400a0-0 kuOHCr"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletContainer-sc-a86400a0-7 frBTDL"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletCell-sc-a86400a0-8 cVdqqb"><time class="DateTime___StyledTime-sc-f3193d7a-0 hORwkK MinimalHeadlines__Date-sc-a86400a0-4 bjDKrM" datetime="2024-10-02T06:14:56+0300">6:14</time></div></div><div class="MinimalHeadlines__Texts-sc-a86400a0-1 iQtvwk"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/t/18-207943/fi" data-testid="minimal-headline-tag" class="sc-fIfZzT kEtXGR">Kunnat</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 bZWmLC link-accent"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20113967" class="MinimalHeadlines__Title-sc-a86400a0-6 gBluDb visitable-link">Seinäjokelainen Virpi Aronen rohkaistui perustamaan yrityksen – ”Parasta on vapauden tunne, saan tehdä niin kuin haluan”</a></h3></div></li></ol></aside><aside class="GridSystem__GridCell-sc-613a840-0 SidebarLayout__SidebarItemContainer-sc-a2d46c0f-1 ibVaqt cccaIC"><h2 id="sb-most-commented" class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 bANfEy SidebarLayout__SidebarItemHeader-sc-a2d46c0f-0 bikhBe">Kommentoiduimmat</h2><ol aria-labelledby="sb-most-commented"><li class="MinimalHeadlines__TriggeredItem-sc-a86400a0-0 kuOHCr"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletContainer-sc-a86400a0-7 frBTDL"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletCell-sc-a86400a0-8 cVdqqb"><div aria-hidden="true" class="MinimalHeadlines__Index-sc-a86400a0-3 kVlpdl">1</div><div class="MinimalHeadlines__ListLine-sc-a86400a0-2 fGcnsc"></div></div></div><div class="MinimalHeadlines__Texts-sc-a86400a0-1 lclBqm"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/t/18-211188/fi" data-testid="minimal-headline-tag" class="sc-fIfZzT kEtXGR">Vapaa-aika</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 bZWmLC link-accent"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20115147" class="MinimalHeadlines__Title-sc-a86400a0-6 gBluDb visitable-link">Olli Rehn nostaa esiin syyn Euroopan ongelmiin: Ihmiset haluavat liikaa vapaa-aikaa</a><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20115147#comments" class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 StoryCommentsCount__CommentsLink-sc-68d056a3-0 JkPTY hnQTfY MinimalHeadlines__StyledStoryCommentsCount-sc-a86400a0-5 cjdsqC"><svg width="16" height="16" fill="none" viewbox="0 0 24 24" aria-hidden="true" class="StoryCommentsCount__StyledMessageSquare-sc-68d056a3-1 cCeslE"><path 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href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20113848" class="MinimalHeadlines__Title-sc-a86400a0-6 gBluDb visitable-link">Henkilökortti uudistui tavalla, joka vaikeuttaa sen käyttöä – ”Tuntuu huijaukselta”, sanoo kortin hankkinut</a><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20113848#comments" class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 StoryCommentsCount__CommentsLink-sc-68d056a3-0 JkPTY hnQTfY MinimalHeadlines__StyledStoryCommentsCount-sc-a86400a0-5 cjdsqC"><svg width="16" height="16" fill="none" viewbox="0 0 24 24" aria-hidden="true" class="StoryCommentsCount__StyledMessageSquare-sc-68d056a3-1 cCeslE"><path fill="currentColor" fill-rule="evenodd" d="M5 6a1 1 0 0 0-1 1v13.586l2.293-2.293A1 1 0 0 1 7 18h12a1 1 0 0 0 1-1V7a1 1 0 0 0-1-1zM2.879 4.879A3 3 0 0 1 5 4h14a3 3 0 0 1 3 3v10a3 3 0 0 1-3 3H7.414l-3.707 3.707A1 1 0 0 1 2 23V7a3 3 0 0 1 .879-2.121" clip-rule="evenodd"></path></svg>289 kommenttia</a></h3></div></li><li 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0 1-1V7a1 1 0 0 0-1-1zM2.879 4.879A3 3 0 0 1 5 4h14a3 3 0 0 1 3 3v10a3 3 0 0 1-3 3H7.414l-3.707 3.707A1 1 0 0 1 2 23V7a3 3 0 0 1 .879-2.121" clip-rule="evenodd"></path></svg>236 kommenttia</a></h3></div></li><li class="MinimalHeadlines__TriggeredItem-sc-a86400a0-0 kuOHCr"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletContainer-sc-a86400a0-7 frBTDL"><div class="MinimalHeadlines__BulletCell-sc-a86400a0-8 cVdqqb"><div aria-hidden="true" class="MinimalHeadlines__Index-sc-a86400a0-3 kVlpdl">5</div></div></div><div class="MinimalHeadlines__Texts-sc-a86400a0-1 iQtvwk"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/t/18-35057/fi" data-testid="minimal-headline-tag" class="sc-fIfZzT kEtXGR">Media</a><h3 class="Typography-sc-d683ebd5-0 bZWmLC link-accent"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20241002052728/https://yle.fi/a/74-20113825" class="MinimalHeadlines__Title-sc-a86400a0-6 gBluDb visitable-link">Kari Enqvistin kolumni: Meitä säikytellään kuvitelluilla katastrofeilla</a><a 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","mainMedia":[{"playbackBehaviour":"autoplay","caption":"Kolme ekonomistia arvioi hallituksen sopeutustoimia.","type":"video","id":"1-71939253","programResponse":{"publications":[{"tags":["archive"],"service":{"type":"Service","id":"yle-areena"},"publisher":{"type":"Service","id":"yle-areena"},"startTime":"2024-09-24T18:07:43+03:00","geoRestriction":"None","type":"Publication","id":"4-71939254","kind":"Ondemand","protectionLevel":{"key":"none","type":"ContentProtectionPolicy","id":"22-0"},"media":{"videoTrack":{"format":"HD","aspectRatio":"16:9","type":"VideoTrack","duration":"PT68S"},"captionTracks":[{"type":"CaptionTrack","language":"fin","kind":"hardOfHearing"}],"downloadable":false,"type":"Video","duration":"PT68S","id":"67-dff167615795474a9504306c4c83b512","available":true}}],"title":{"main":{"fin":"Ekonomistit antavat tukensa hallituksen sopeutumiselle"}},"id":"1-71939253","image":{"main":{"fin":{"type":"Image","id":"39-135355566f3ca5ea560f","version":1727266702}}}}}],"authors":[{"organization":"Yle","id":"56-74-823","name":"Virpi Hukkanen","type":"Person"},{"organization":"Yle","id":"56-74-674","name":"Marja Mäki-Kuhna","type":"Person"}],"datePublished":"2024-09-27T14:37:26+0300","dateContentModified":"2024-09-27T14:37:26+0300","dateJsonModified":"2024-09-27T23:19:33+0300","publisher":{"name":"Yle Uutiset"},"publication":"uutiset","coverage":"national","content":[{"level":1,"text":"Asiantuntijat: Suomen hallituksen jättisopeutus on oikean suuruinen","type":"heading"},{"playbackBehaviour":"autoplay","caption":"Kolme ekonomistia arvioi hallituksen sopeutustoimia.","type":"video","id":"1-71939253","programResponse":{"publications":[{"tags":["archive"],"service":{"type":"Service","id":"yle-areena"},"publisher":{"type":"Service","id":"yle-areena"},"startTime":"2024-09-24T18:07:43+03:00","geoRestriction":"None","type":"Publication","id":"4-71939254","kind":"Ondemand","protectionLevel":{"key":"none","type":"ContentProtectionPolicy","id":"22-0"},"media":{"videoTrack":{"format":"HD","aspectRatio":"16:9","type":"VideoTrack","duration":"PT68S"},"captionTracks":[{"type":"CaptionTrack","language":"fin","kind":"hardOfHearing"}],"downloadable":false,"type":"Video","duration":"PT68S","id":"67-dff167615795474a9504306c4c83b512","available":true}}],"title":{"main":{"fin":"Ekonomistit antavat tukensa hallituksen sopeutumiselle"}},"id":"1-71939253","image":{"main":{"fin":{"type":"Image","id":"39-135355566f3ca5ea560f","version":1727266702}}}}},{"text":"Valtaosa Ylen kyselyyn vastanneista ekonomisteista pitää hallituksen leikkauksia sopivan kokoisina.","type":"text"},{"text":"Suomen hallituksen yhdeksän miljardin euron menoleikkaukset ja muut sopeutustoimet saavat aikaan myönteistä hyrinää talousasiantuntijoiden joukossa. Menoleikkauksia on kauhisteltu julkisessa keskustelussa suuriksi. Ylen kyselyyn vastanneiden ääni on toinen.","type":"text"},{"text":"Joukko arvostettuja ekonomisteja pitää sopeutusten kokoa oikeana. Tätä mieltä oli kolme neljästä Ylen perinteiseen ekonomistikyselyyn vastanneista talouden asiantuntijoista.","type":"text"},{"style":"short","source":"Juhana Brotherus, pääekonomisti, Suomen yrittäjät","text":"Hallituksen sopeutussuunnitelma on oikeaa suuruusluokkaa ja ajoitukseltaankin onnekkaan osuvaa.","type":"quote"},{"text":"Kysyimme talouskehitystä työkseen analysoivilta ekonomisteilta, ovatko hallituksen sopeutustoimet oikean suuruisia. Lähetimme kyselyn noin kahdellekymmenelle asiantuntijalle pankkeihin, tutkimuslaitoksiin ja järjestöihin. Yhdeksäntoista vastasi.","type":"text"},{"text":"Ekonomistikysely toteutettiin viime viikolla, ennen valtiovarainministeriön [maanantaina julkaisemaa talousennustetta](https:\u002F\u002Fyle.fi\u002Fa\u002F74-20112898). [Eilen torstaina](https:\u002F\u002Fyle.fi\u002Fa\u002F74-20114076) valtiovarainministeri **Riikka Purra** (ps.) kommentoi, että velkasuhteen vakauttamisen saavuttaminen tekee tiukkaa.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Olemme koko ajan hyvin hilkulla, ja koska haluamme pitää tästä tavoitteesta kiinni, niin on todennäköistä, että joudumme tekemään lisätoimia. Tällä hetkellä se ei ole ajankohtaista, valtiovarainministeri Purra sanoi torstaina.","type":"text"},{"alt":"Grafiikka näyttää valtion menot ja sopeutukset: menot vuonna 2025 ovat 88,5 miljardia euroa, josta lainan osuus on 12 miljardia euroa. Sopeutukset ovat yhdeksän miljardia euroa.","infogramId":"9ee99ab4-3801-4114-a007-aec85bdf87c1","type":"infogram"},{"text":"Yksikään Ylen kyselyyn vastannut talouden asiantuntija ei vaadi lisää leikkauksia, ainakaan välittömästi.","type":"text"},{"text":"Julkisesti on epäilty myös menoleikkausten riittävyyttä. Sopeutustoimista huolimatta valtio velkaantuu ennakoitua enemmän. Ensi vuonna lisävelan määrä on 12 miljardia euroa.","type":"text"},{"style":"short","source":"Aki Kangasharju, toimitusjohtaja, Etla","text":"Sopeutus on sopivaa. Ensi vuonna talouskasvu piristyy, joten velkaantumista kannattaa taittaa.","type":"quote"},{"style":"short","source":"Pasi Kuoppamäki, pääekonomisti, Danske Bank","text":"Karkeasti ottaen tähän mennessä päätettyjä toimia voi tässä suhdannetilanteessa pitää oikein mitoitettuina.","type":"quote"},{"text":"”Sopeutuksia tehty vain minimimäärä”","level":2,"type":"heading"},{"text":"Yksi sopeutusten kokoa kiittävä asiantuntija on vieraileva tutkija **Vesa Vihriälä** Helsingin yliopistosta.","type":"text"},{"text":"Vihriälä kirjoittaa sopeuttamisen mittakaavan olevan kutakuinkin paikallaan.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Se riittänee velkasuhteen kasvun pysäyttämiseen hallituskauden lopulla, mitä voi pitää minimitavoitteena, Vihriälä perustelee kantaansa.","type":"text"},{"text":"Mittavasta yhdeksän miljardin menoleikkaus- ja verotustoimista huolimatta moni asiantuntija tosiaan arvioi sopeutuksen suuruuden täyttävän vain minimin.","type":"text"},{"text":"Minimi tarkoittaa sitä, että sopeutukset riittävät ehkä muutaman vuoden ajaksi.","type":"text"},{"text":"OP:n pääekonomisti **Reijo Heiskanen** kirjoittaa sopeutustoimista seuraavasti:","type":"text"},{"text":"– Ne riittävät toteutuessaan ennakoidusti arviomme mukaan vakauttamaan velkasuhteen lähivuosina ja täyttävät vakaan politiikan minimiedellytykset hallituskaudella.","type":"text"},{"text":"Vastauksen perusteella vaikuttaa siltä, että hallituksen ei siis tarvitsisi tehdä juuri nyt lisää menojen karsintaa tai muita sopeutuksia.","type":"text"},{"text":"Pidemmällä aikavälillä saattaa olla toisin.","type":"text"},{"text":"Yleinen käsitys vastaajien joukossa on, että tulevina vuosina tulojen ja menojen säätäminen tasapainoon jatkuu.","type":"text"},{"style":"short","source":"Janne Ronkanen, ekonomisti, S-Pankki","text":"Luonnollisesti ei voi poissulkea sitä riskiä, että sopeutustoimia saatetaan tarvita lisää myöhemmin.","type":"quote"},{"text":"”Kaikki päätökset eivät säästä mitään”","level":2,"type":"heading"},{"text":"Neljäsosa Ylen kyselyyn vastanneista ekonomisteista epäilee sopeutustoimien järkevyyttä. He epäilivät hallituksen tapaa tehdä sopeutukset tai ainakin sopeutusten ajankohtaa, osa hyvinkin kriittisesti.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Hallituksen sopeutusohjelma ei tule saavuttamaan kaikkia tavoitteitaan, sillä osa päätöksistä ei aikaansaa säästöä, Kuntaliiton pääekonomisti **Minna Punakallio** kirjoittaa.","type":"text"},{"text":"Punakallio katsoo asioita kuntien näkökulmasta ja hän epäilee, että osa valtion säästöistä siirtyy niiden maksettavaksi.","type":"text"},{"text":"Usea kriitikko on huolissaan siitä, syntyykö talouskasvua, kun leikataan paljon juuri nyt.","type":"text"},{"style":"short","source":"Otto Kyyrönen, pääekonomisti, Soste","text":"Erityisesti matalasuhdanteessa on järkevämpää elvyttää kuin sopeuttaa, jotta matalasuhdanne ei pitkity tarpeettomasti.","type":"quote"},{"text":"”Sopeutukset haittaavat talouskasvua”","level":2,"type":"heading"},{"text":"Suuret sopeutukset saavat siunauksen myös toimitusjohtaja **Mika Malirannalta** Työn ja talouden tutkimuslaitoksesta Laboresta. Silti hän sanoo suhtautuvansa sopeutuksiin varauksella ja on huolissaan niistä nykyisessä taloustilanteessa.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Voimakkaan sopeutuksen riskinä on, että se syventää ja pidentää laskusuhdannetta, Maliranta kirjoittaa.","type":"text"},{"text":"Hän epäilee, että yritykset vähentävät investointejaan sekä tutkimusta ja tuotekehitystä laskukauden pitkittyessä. 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