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Moderation is the Key for Oil Producers in 2018

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ubermenu-column-auto"><a class="ubermenu-target ubermenu-item-layout-default ubermenu-item-layout-text_only" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/contact-us/" tabindex="0"><span class="ubermenu-target-title ubermenu-target-text">Contact</span></a></li></ul></nav> <!-- End UberMenu --> </div><!-- end navigation --> </div><!-- end row --> </div><!-- end container --> </div><!-- end new header --><div id="rotatortwo"> <div class="container"> <div class="row"> <div class="col-md-12 margintoptwo"> <h1>Moderation is the Key for Oil Producers in 2018</h1> </div><!-- end col --> </div><!-- end row --> </div><!-- end container --> </div> <script type="text/javascript"> var imgCount = 8; var dir = 'https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/bgimages/'; var randomCount = Math.round(Math.random() * (imgCount - 1)) + 1; var images = new Array images[1] = "01.jpg", images[2] = "02.jpg", images[3] = "03.jpg", images[4] = "04.jpg", images[5] = "05.jpg", images[6] = "06.jpg", images[7] = "07.jpg", images[8] = "08.jpg", document.getElementById("rotatortwo").style.backgroundImage = "url(" + dir + images[randomCount] + ")"; </script> <div class="container content"> <div class="row"> <div class="col-lg-9 col-md-9 padright"> <p style="font-size:11px;margin-top:30px;">Tuesday, February 6th, 2018 and is filed under <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/category/oil-and-gas-current-events/" rel="category tag">Oil and Gas Current Events</a></p> <p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/wp-content/uploads/oil-production-moderation-41010194_s.png" data-rel="lightbox-image-0" data-rl_title="" data-rl_caption="" title=""><img loading="lazy" class="alignleft wp-image-17273" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740im_/https://www.arescotx.com/wp-content/uploads/oil-production-moderation-41010194_s.png" alt="Moderation is the key for oil production in 2018" width="375" height="248" srcset="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740im_/https://www.arescotx.com/wp-content/uploads/oil-production-moderation-41010194_s.png 450w, https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740im_/https://www.arescotx.com/wp-content/uploads/oil-production-moderation-41010194_s-300x199.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 375px) 100vw, 375px"/></a>Many shale producers entered 2018 <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/18/us-shale-oil-drillers-to-kick-off-new-year-with-big-production-gains.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">riding high</a>, a trend that appears to have some staying power. One factor that could upend this trend is overproduction. An over-abundance of oil could force pricing down and possibly erase the gains seen in recent months.</p> <p>US shale producers will have to figure out how to find their sweet spot, aligning production with demand signals while also managing shareholder expectations. Once they find it, they need to stay there, because going beyond that sweet spot could cause grief for the industry as a whole.</p> <p><strong>What Does Moderation Mean in the Gas and Oil Industry?</strong></p> <p>Prognosticators across the country agree production will <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.epmag.com/oil-gas-trends-watch-2018-1678896#p=full" target="_blank" rel="noopener">continue to increase</a> in the US. However, no one can seem to agree on just how much production will grow. The target remains largely a mystery, especially since shale producers aren&#8217;t playing by the old rules anymore. They are innovating, using new technology, taking different approaches, and even spending less to gain more.</p> <p>This year will likely see less focus on production and more focus on positive cashflow, shareholder returns, and debt repayment. That, in turn, means producers will spend even less on aggressive expansion.</p> <p>Instead, producers will, and should, start practicing moderation in their efforts. This will maintain their current rate of production at sustainable levels while they focus on creating more value with what they have.</p> <p><strong><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/http://www.txoilinvestments.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img loading="lazy" class="aligncenter wp-image-9280 size-full" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740im_/https://www.arescotx.com/wp-content/uploads/gulf-coast-oil-investment-opportunities.gif" alt="Gulf Coast Oil Investment Opportunities" width="728" height="40"></a></strong></p> <p><strong>Spending Less While Paying Out More </strong></p> <p>The phrase &#8220;<a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/http://www.valuewalk.com/2016/04/capital-discipline-there-is-a-fourth-great-stock-market-anomaly/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">capital discipline</a>&#8221; will almost certainly enter into any discussion of moderation. Many people assume capital discipline involves a purposeful lack of growth, but that&#8217;s not always the case.</p> <p>Growth for the sake of growth isn&#8217;t tenable at this point in time. Scaling back or practicing moderation will also help to slow down the equivalent of a production race happening across the globe. With the US producing more, pressure increases for other entities to start producing more as well to maintain market share.</p> <p>2018 is the perfect time to slow down and figure out ways to continue to increase efficiencies. Producers need to start taking advantage of new techniques and new information from studies and reports over the last few years. In fact, many producers have <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.platts.com/latest-news/oil/newyork/north-america-eampps-to-focus-on-capital-discipline-26876493" target="_blank" rel="noopener">already started</a> to focus more on payouts and downsizing extraneous assets.</p> <p><strong><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.facebook.com/arescolp/" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img loading="lazy" class="aligncenter wp-image-17060 size-full" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740im_/https://www.arescotx.com/wp-content/uploads/follow-aresco-on-facebook.png" alt="Follow Aresco on Facebook to Stay Up-to-Date on the Oil and Gas Industry" width="728" height="40" srcset="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740im_/https://www.arescotx.com/wp-content/uploads/follow-aresco-on-facebook.png 728w, https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740im_/https://www.arescotx.com/wp-content/uploads/follow-aresco-on-facebook-300x16.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 728px) 100vw, 728px"/></a></strong></p> <p><strong>There&#8217;s Still Room for Growth</strong></p> <p>With all this being said, there is still room for growth. Places like the Permian Basin, the Eagle Ford Shale, and the Bakken are still hotbeds of activity and growth. As even more exploration areas open, many producers will flock to these locales to stake their claims.</p> <div class="nextpages"></div> <div style="padding-top:30px;"> <ul class="pager"> <!-- for previous --> <li class="nav-previous"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/trump-tax-cuts-sparks-major-investments-in-oil-and-gas/" rel="next">Previous</a></li> <!-- for current --> <li class="nav-bloghome"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/latest-news/"><span class="icon"></span>All Posts</a></li> <!-- for next --> <li class="nav-next"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/aresco-makes-the-top-60-list-for-oil-gas-blogs-on-feedspot/" rel="prev">Next</a></li> </ul> </div> <ul class="pager"> <li></li> <li></li> </ul> </div><!-- end col --> <div class="col-lg-3 col-md-3 sidebar"> <p class="titles">Recent Posts</p> <ul> <li> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/eight-tax-advantages-available-for-direct-oil-gas-investments/">7 Tax Deductions and Advantages Available for Direct Oil and Gas Investments</a> </li> <li> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/eagle-ford-shale-production-shattering-records-in-texas/">Eagle Ford Shale Production Numbers Luring Investors to the Region</a> </li> <li> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/why-invest-in-north-american-energy-and-why-now/">Why invest in North American energy, and why now?</a> </li> <li> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/texas-tops-oil-and-gas-investments/">Texas Tops Oil and Gas Investments</a> </li> <li> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/vertical-wells-still-a-mainstay-of-oil-production-in-oklahoma/">Vertical Wells Still a Mainstay of Oil Production in Oklahoma</a> </li> </ul> <p class="titles">Categories</p> <ul> <li class="cat-item cat-item-14"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/category/new-mexico-oil-and-gas-investing/" title="New Mexico oil and gas investing news, blogs, and videos by Aresco LP. See why now is the time to invest in the oil and gas industry in New Mexico. ">New Mexico Oil and Gas Investing</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-6"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/category/oil-and-gas-current-events/" title="Aresco LP publishes oil and gas current events, technology news, and industry related news from around the world. Aresco is a privately held company. ">Oil and Gas Current Events</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-25"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/category/oil-and-gas-interesting-facts/" title="Oil and gas fun facts and interesting information. Each of these articles contain information sure to test your knowledge of the oil and gas industry. 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">Texas Oil and Gas Investing</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-1"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/category/uncategorized/" title="General blog category on Aresco LP's Oil and Gas Current Events blog.">Uncategorized</a> </li> </ul> <style scoped type="text/css">.utcw-b1fq2ep {word-wrap:break-word}.utcw-b1fq2ep span,.utcw-b1fq2ep a{border-width:0px}.utcw-b1fq2ep span:hover,.utcw-b1fq2ep a:hover{border-width:0px}</style><p class="titles">Tag Cloud</p><div class="utcw-b1fq2ep tagcloud"><a class="tag-link-43 utcw-tag utcw-tag-bakken-shale" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/bakken-shale/" style="font-size:10.512820512821px" title="9 topics">Bakken Shale</a> <a class="tag-link-95 utcw-tag utcw-tag-crude-oil" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/crude-oil/" style="font-size:30px" title="47 topics">Crude Oil</a> <a class="tag-link-70 utcw-tag utcw-tag-crude-oil-export-ban" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/crude-oil-export-ban/" style="font-size:10px" title="8 topics">Crude Oil Export Ban</a> <a class="tag-link-105 utcw-tag utcw-tag-crude-oil-exports" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/crude-oil-exports/" style="font-size:10.512820512821px" title="9 topics">Crude Oil Exports</a> <a class="tag-link-7 utcw-tag utcw-tag-crude-oil-prices" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/crude-oil-prices/" style="font-size:14.615384615385px" title="17 topics">Crude Oil Prices</a> <a class="tag-link-39 utcw-tag utcw-tag-domestic-oil-production" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/domestic-oil-production/" style="font-size:15.641025641026px" title="19 topics">Domestic Oil Production</a> <a class="tag-link-101 utcw-tag utcw-tag-donald-j-trump" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/donald-j-trump/" style="font-size:10px" title="8 topics">Donald J Trump</a> <a class="tag-link-5 utcw-tag utcw-tag-drilling-technology" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/drilling-technology/" style="font-size:13.589743589744px" title="15 topics">Drilling Technology</a> <a class="tag-link-10 utcw-tag utcw-tag-eagle-ford-shale" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/eagle-ford-shale/" style="font-size:20.769230769231px" title="29 topics">Eagle Ford Shale</a> <a class="tag-link-33 utcw-tag utcw-tag-eagle-ford-shale-production" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/eagle-ford-shale-production/" style="font-size:10.512820512821px" title="9 topics">Eagle Ford Shale Production</a> <a class="tag-link-100 utcw-tag utcw-tag-energy-independence" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/energy-independence/" style="font-size:10.512820512821px" title="9 topics">Energy Independence</a> <a class="tag-link-16 utcw-tag utcw-tag-energy-information-administration-eia" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/energy-information-administration-eia/" style="font-size:14.102564102564px" title="16 topics">Energy Information Administration (EIA)</a> <a class="tag-link-42 utcw-tag utcw-tag-fracking" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/fracking/" style="font-size:11.538461538462px" title="11 topics">Fracking</a> <a class="tag-link-34 utcw-tag utcw-tag-horizontal-drilling" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/horizontal-drilling/" style="font-size:12.051282051282px" title="12 topics">Horizontal Drilling</a> <a class="tag-link-8 utcw-tag utcw-tag-hydraulic-fracturing" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/hydraulic-fracturing/" style="font-size:17.692307692308px" title="23 topics">Hydraulic Fracturing</a> <a class="tag-link-29 utcw-tag utcw-tag-investing-in-texas-oil" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/investing-in-texas-oil/" style="font-size:11.025641025641px" title="10 topics">Investing in Texas Oil</a> <a class="tag-link-13 utcw-tag utcw-tag-oil-and-gas-investing" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/oil-and-gas-investing/" style="font-size:14.615384615385px" title="17 topics">Oil and Gas Investing</a> <a class="tag-link-19 utcw-tag utcw-tag-oil-exploration" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/oil-exploration/" style="font-size:10px" title="8 topics">Oil Exploration</a> <a class="tag-link-84 utcw-tag utcw-tag-oil-market" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/oil-market/" style="font-size:11.025641025641px" title="10 topics">Oil Market</a> <a class="tag-link-17 utcw-tag utcw-tag-oil-production" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/oil-production/" style="font-size:18.205128205128px" title="24 topics">Oil Production</a> <a class="tag-link-32 utcw-tag utcw-tag-opec" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/opec/" style="font-size:15.641025641026px" title="19 topics">OPEC</a> <a class="tag-link-11 utcw-tag utcw-tag-permian-basin" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/permian-basin/" style="font-size:28.461538461538px" title="44 topics">Permian Basin</a> <a class="tag-link-57 utcw-tag utcw-tag-shale-oil" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20211027163740/https://www.arescotx.com/tag/shale-oil/" style="font-size:10px" title="8 topics">Shale Oil</a> <a 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