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All market data delayed 20 minutes. </p></div><div class="social-icons"><ul><li class="fb"><a href="//web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://www.facebook.com/FoxNews">Facebook</a></li><li class="tw"><a href="//web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://twitter.com/foxnews">Twitter</a></li><li class="gp"><a href="//web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://www.google.com/+FoxNews">Google+</a></li><li class="ig"><a href="//web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://www.instagram.com/foxnews">Instagram</a></li><li class="rss"><a href="/web/20200110161409/https://www.foxnews.com/about/rss/">RSS</a></li><li class="email"><a href="/web/20200110161409/https://www.foxnews.com/alerts/subscribe">Email</a></li></ul></div></div></div></div></header><div class="page"><div class="pre-content"><div class="ad-container desktop"><div data-ad-pos="desktop" data-ad-size="970x250,728x90,970x66" data-ad-lz="" class="ad gpt "></div><span class="advert-txt">ADVERTISEMENT</span></div></div></div><div class="page-content"><div class="row full"><main class="main-content"><article class="article-wrap has-video"><header organizationurl="http://www.foxnews.com/" class="article-header"><div class="article-meta article-meta-upper"><div class="eyebrow"><a href="/web/20200110161409/https://www.foxnews.com/category/fox-nation">Fox Nation</a></div><div class="article-date"><strong>Published</strong><time> 44 mins ago</time></div><!----></div><h1 class="headline">Former senior Obama adviser: Florida's vote in 2020 will look a lot like vote in 2016</h1><!----><!----><div class="article-meta article-meta-lower"><div class="author-byline"><!----><span> By <span><a href="/web/20200110161409/https://www.foxnews.com/person/l/matt-london">Matt London</a><!----><span class="article-source"><a target="_blank" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/http://www.foxnews.com/"> | Fox News</a></span></span></span><!----></div><div class="article-social"><div class="social-icons"><ul><li class="fb"><a href="#" rel="nofollow">Facebook</a></li><li class="tw"><a href="#" rel="nofollow">Twitter</a></li><li class="flipboard"><a rel="nofollow">Flipboard</a></li><li class="comments"><a href="#" rel="nofollow"><span>Comments</span></a></li><li class="print"><a href="/web/20200110161409/https://www.foxnews.com/media/trump-2020-election-florida-vote-2016.print" rel="nofollow">Print</a></li><li class="email"><a href="#" rel="nofollow">Email</a></li></ul></div></div></div></header><div class="article-content-wrap sticky-columns"><div class="article-content"><div class="article-body"><div class="featured featured-video video-ct" data-v-275a95fe><div class="contain" data-v-275a95fe><div class="control" data-v-275a95fe><a href="#" class="top" data-v-275a95fe></a><a href="#" class="close" data-v-275a95fe>close</a></div><div class="video-container" data-v-275a95fe><div data-widget-type="embed" data-video-id="6121444349001" data-video-domain="foxnews" class="m video-player" data-v-275a95fe><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/http://video.foxnews.com/v/6121444349001" data-v-275a95fe><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409im_/https://a57.foxnews.com/media2.foxnews.com/BrightCove/694940094001/2020/01/10/931/524/694940094001_6121445546001_6121444349001-vs.jpg?ve=1&tl=1" alt="Former senior Obama adviser: Florida's vote in 2020 will look a lot like vote in 2016" data-v-275a95fe><span class="overlay" data-v-275a95fe>Video</span></a></div></div><div class="info" data-v-275a95fe><div class="caption" data-v-275a95fe><h4 class="title" data-v-275a95fe><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/http://video.foxnews.com/v/6121444349001" data-v-275a95fe>Former senior Obama adviser: Florida's vote in 2020 will look a lot like vote in 2016</a></h4><p data-v-275a95fe></p></div></div></div></div><p class="speakable">The man who helped lead President Barack <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://www.foxnews.com/category/person/barack-obama" target="_blank">Obama</a> to victory in <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://www.foxnews.com/category/us/us-regions/southeast/florida" target="_blank">Florida</a> in 2008 said he expects the next <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://www.foxnews.com/category/politics/2020-presidential-election" target="_blank">presidential</a> election in the Sunshine State will look a lot like the 2016 race -- when President Donald <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://www.foxnews.com/category/person/donald-trump" target="_blank">Trump</a> defeated Hillary Clinton by about 1 percentage point.</p><div class="ad-container tablet"><div data-ad-pos="tablet" data-ad-size="300x250" data-ad-lz="" class="ad gpt ad-h-250"></div><!----></div><div class="ad-container mobile"><div data-ad-pos="mobile" data-ad-size="300x250" data-ad-lz="" class="ad gpt ad-h-250"></div><!----></div><p class="speakable">"If you just look at the last five statewide elections -- the last two presidential and the last three governors' races -- all decided by one point. So I've got a feeling that Florida in 2020 is going be the same," former senior adviser to President Obama, Steve Schale, told <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/http://nation.foxnews.com/what-are-the-odds/?cmpid=org=NAT::ag=owned::mc=referral::src=FNC_web::cmp=article::add=WhatAreTheOdds_FNC_Platform" target="_blank">Fox Nation</a>'s Kristen Soltis Anderson on her new show, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/http://nation.foxnews.com/what-are-the-odds/?cmpid=org=NAT::ag=owned::mc=referral::src=FNC_web::cmp=article::add=WhatAreTheOdds_FNC_Platform" target="_blank">"What Are The Odds?"</a></p><div data-ad-pos="inread" data-ad-size="1x1" class="ad gpt ad-h-1"></div><p>In the 2016 presidential election, Trump bested Clinton by 1.2 percentage points in Florida. In 2012, the state went for Obama by a similar margin.</p><p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://www.foxnews.com/media/bizarre-political-bets-gamblers-2020" target="_blank"><strong>UNUSUAL BETS THAT POLITICAL GAMBLERS ARE MAKING IN 2020</strong></a></p><p>"Tell me what you think was responsible for Trump being able to flip Florida blue to red?" asked Soltis Anderson.</p><div class="ad-container mobile"><div data-ad-pos="mobile" data-ad-size="300x251" data-ad-lz="" class="ad gpt ad-h-250"></div><!----></div><p>"What's interesting is that the Clinton election and the Obama election were about the same," said Schale. "What really happened were those swing voters that live in those counties around the I-4 corridor went really hard for Trump."</p><p>The region of central Florida, known as the I-4 corridor, stretches from the Tampa Bay area on the west coast through Orlando to Daytona Beach on the east coast.</p><p>"Obama had won some of those places in 2008 -- pretty competitive in 2012," added Schale.</p><p>He noted that many of the people moving to that part of Florida are from states that also went for Trump in 2016.</p><div originalimageurl="https://media2.foxnews.com/BrightCove/694940094001/2019/12/31/694940094001_6119008145001_6119008666001-vs.jpg" class="embed-media fn-video"><div class="video-container"><div data-widget-type="embed" data-video-id="6119008666001" data-video-domain="foxnews" class="m video-player" style="width:100%;height:100%;"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/http://video.foxnews.com/v/6119008666001"><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409im_/https://media2.foxnews.com/BrightCove/694940094001/2019/12/31/694940094001_6119008145001_6119008666001-vs.jpg" alt="Will wave of Californians moving to Texas flip the state from red to blue in 2020?"><span class="overlay">Video</span></a></div></div></div><p>"Florida tends to be reflective of the places where people come from," he said. "And if you look at the communities where Trump did really well, a lot of those folks moved from places like Wisconsin and Ohio and Michigan and Pennsylvania and such. And so I think those same kind of places that are going to be competitive in the 2020 election are going to make Florida competitive as well."</p><p>Political pundits and commentators have long predicted that changing demographics in the I-4 corridor would decisively tip Florida's electorate in the direction of Democrats -- leading some to predict that a 'blue wave' was set to hit the state.</p><p>In the summer of 2018, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://www.foxnews.com/politics/in-florida-battleground-puerto-ricans-fleeing-marias-destruction-reshape-electoral-landscape" target="_blank">roughly</a> 200,000 Puerto Ricans fled their island for Florida after the Category 4 storm hit the U.S. territory last September -- and a large number of them settled in the I-4 corridor.</p><p><strong><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://www.foxnews.com/media/2020-election-texas-trump-california" target="_blank">THE SURPRISING IMPACT THAT CALIFORNIANS FLOODING TEXAS MAY HAVE ON 2020 ELECTION</a></strong></p><p>"The blue wave might finally be showing up in Florida," said NBC news anchor Chuck Todd on his MSNBC show in September 2018, in the run-up to the Midterm elections. "66 of the 67 are in - the blue wave continues to grow," said a CNN anchor during their election coverage in November 2018.</p><p>But largely, the so-called 'blue wave' never materialized in Florida in 2018.</p><p>"It felt like Florida... was a little more resistant to the blue wave than some other places. Do you agree with that assessment?" asked Soltis Anderson.</p><div originalimageurl="https://media2.foxnews.com/BrightCove/694940094001/2020/01/02/694940094001_6119264563001_6119265711001-vs.jpg" class="embed-media fn-video"><div class="video-container"><div data-widget-type="embed" data-video-id="6119265711001" data-video-domain="foxnews" class="m video-player" style="width:100%;height:100%;"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/http://video.foxnews.com/v/6119265711001"><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409im_/https://media2.foxnews.com/BrightCove/694940094001/2020/01/02/694940094001_6119264563001_6119265711001-vs.jpg" alt="Most bizarre political bets that gamblers are making in 2020"><span class="overlay">Video</span></a></div></div></div><p>"Absolutely, I do," agreed Schale. "There's been so much money and so much effort spent in the state organizing around presidential elections the last few cycles. And I think the state has just become very stable."</p><p>"What's interesting is when you see trends that happened from a population standpoint that you think would benefit Democrats, things like Puerto Ricans moving into central Florida, the changing demographics in Dade [county], they get balanced out by other things. For example, Midwestern retirees moving into places like The Villages, so Florida kind of maintains a sort of equilibrium."</p><p>"Whether Trump does well or not in 2020 nationally," concluded Schale. "I feel pretty confident saying that if you put a bet on Florida that it's going to be inside two points -- you would be pretty safe to win that bet."</p><p><em>To watch all of Fox Nation's <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://nation.foxnews.com/what-are-the-odds/?cmpid=org=NAT::ag=owned::mc=referral::src=FNC_web::cmp=article::add=WhatAreTheOdds_FNC_Platform" target="_blank">"What Are The Odds?"</a> go to <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://nation.foxnews.com/what-are-the-odds/?cmpid=org=NAT::ag=owned::mc=referral::src=FNC_web::cmp=article::add=WhatAreTheOdds_FNC_Platform" target="_blank">Fox Nation</a> and sign up today.</em></p><p><strong><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://nation.foxnews.com/?cmpid=org=NAT::ag=owned::mc=referral::src=FNC_web::cmp=article::add=fnc_dailyarticle" target="_blank">CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP FOR A FOX NATION FREE TRIAL</a></strong></p><p><em><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/http://nation.foxnews.com/?cmpid=org=NAT::ag=owned::mc=referral::src=FNC_web::cmp=article::add=fnc_dailyarticle">Fox Nation</a> programs are viewable on-demand and from your mobile device app, but only for Fox Nation subscribers. <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://nation.foxnews.com/?cmpid=org=NAT::ag=owned::mc=referral::src=FNC_web::cmp=article::add=fnc_dailyarticle">Go to Fox Nation</a> to start a free trial and watch the extensive library from Tomi Lahren, Pete Hegseth, Abby Hornacek, Laura Ingraham, Ainsley Earhardt, Greg Gutfeld, Judge Andrew Napolitano and many more of your favorite Fox News personalities.</em></p><p><i>Fox News' Emily DeCiccio contributed to this report.</i></p></div><div class="article-meta"><!----></div><footer class="article-footer"><!----><!----><div data-uid="ar-2" class="vendor-unit tablet-desktop"></div><div data-uid="ar-3" class="vendor-unit tablet-desktop"></div><div data-uid="ar-1" class="vendor-unit mobile"></div><div class="vendor-unit vendor-yieldmo"><div class="ad-container mobile-tablet yieldmo"><div id="cu_article_4" class="ad cu"></div></div></div><div class="vendor-unit vendor-yieldmo"><div id="cu_article_3" class="ad-container yieldmo"></div></div><div data-uid="ar-8" class="vendor-unit tablet-desktop"></div><!----><div id="commenting" class="article-comments"></div></footer></div><aside class="sidebar sidebar-article sidebar-primary desktop"><div class="sticky-region"><div class="sidebar-columns"><div class="ad-container desktop"><div data-ad-pos="desktop" data-ad-size="300x250,300x600" data-ad-lz="" class="ad gpt "></div><span class="advert-txt"></span></div><section class="collection collection-trending"><header class="heading"><h4 class="title">Trending in Media</h4></header><div class="content"><ul><li><article class="article"><div class="m"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409/https://www.foxnews.com/media/rep-doug-collins-pelosi-mcconnell-impeachment-articles-arena-disingenuous"><picture><img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20200110161409im_/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/01/270/152/DOUG-.jpg?ve=1&tl=1" alt="Rep. 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Nation","slug":"fox-nation","path":"fox-news\u002Ffox-nation","isa_value":"fox-nation"},{"title":"Fox Nation Opinion","slug":"fox-nation-opinion","path":"fox-news\u002Ftopic\u002Ffox-nation-opinion","isa_value":"fox-nation-opinion"},{"title":"OPINION","slug":"opinion","path":"fox-news\u002Fopinion","isa_value":"opinion"},{"title":"2020 Presidential Election","slug":"2020-presidential-election","path":"fox-news\u002Fpolitics\u002F2020-presidential-election","isa_value":"2020-presidential-election"}],"published":true,"publication_date":"2020-01-10T10:26:22-05:00","created_date":"2020-01-10T08:38:17-05:00","last_modified_date":"2020-01-10T10:26:24-05:00","last_published_date":"2020-01-10T10:26:22-05:00","dek":"The man, who helped lead President Barack Obama to victory in the state of Florida in 2008, said he expects the next presidential election in the Sunshine state will look a lot like the 2016 race -- when President Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by about 1 percentage point.","standfirst":"","fn__legacy_type":"article","fn__tags":[{"id":"b8e40b8b-0f4f-52ab-ab91-a35767bf8b28","path":"fox-news\u002Ffox-nation","isa_value":"fox-nation"},{"id":"06509841-a4e0-5639-9e43-cd7d5ae1f823","path":"fox-news\u002Ftopic\u002Ffox-nation-opinion","isa_value":"fox-nation-opinion"},{"id":"3fdccf0e-b93f-5e70-9ea9-d30dc4dda883","path":"fox-news\u002Fopinion","isa_value":"opinion"},{"id":"0b277daf-05bc-527a-b6a0-9659948add82","path":"fox-news\u002Fpolitics\u002F2020-presidential-election","isa_value":"2020-presidential-election"}],"fn__contributors":[{"id":"17e34f97-7ddf-55c2-86fc-5534b9657aa8","full_name":"Matt London","name_id":"matt-london","person_id":"content\u002Ffox-news\u002Fperson\u002Fl\u002Fmatt-london"}],"fn__additional_authors":[],"fn__story_type":"Original","fn__footer":"Fox News' Emily DeCiccio contributed to this report.","fn__sources":[{"id":"da0f7f21-6535-5be9-82c4-469d7c765f30","label":"Fox 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senior Obama adviser: Florida's vote in 2020 will look a lot like vote in 2016","caption":"","videoId":"6121444349001","imageUrl":"https:\u002F\u002Fweb.archive.org\u002Fweb\u002F20200110161409\u002Fhttps:\u002F\u002Fmedia2.foxnews.com\u002FBrightCove\u002F694940094001\u002F2020\u002F01\u002F10\u002F694940094001_6121445546001_6121444349001-vs.jpg","originalImageUrl":"https:\u002F\u002Fweb.archive.org\u002Fweb\u002F20200110161409\u002Fhttps:\u002F\u002Fmedia2.foxnews.com\u002FBrightCove\u002F694940094001\u002F2020\u002F01\u002F10\u002F694940094001_6121445546001_6121444349001-vs.jpg","url":"https:\u002F\u002Fweb.archive.org\u002Fweb\u002F20200110161409\u002Fhttp:\u002F\u002Fvideo.foxnews.com\u002Fv\u002F6121444349001","videoDomain":"foxnews"}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":"The man who helped lead President Barack \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.foxnews.com\u002Fcategory\u002Fperson\u002Fbarack-obama\" target=\"_blank\"\u003EObama\u003C\u002Fa\u003E to victory in \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.foxnews.com\u002Fcategory\u002Fus\u002Fus-regions\u002Fsoutheast\u002Fflorida\" target=\"_blank\"\u003EFlorida\u003C\u002Fa\u003E in 2008 said he expects the next \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.foxnews.com\u002Fcategory\u002Fpolitics\u002F2020-presidential-election\" target=\"_blank\"\u003Epresidential\u003C\u002Fa\u003E election in the Sunshine State will look a lot like the 2016 race -- when President Donald \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.foxnews.com\u002Fcategory\u002Fperson\u002Fdonald-trump\" target=\"_blank\"\u003ETrump\u003C\u002Fa\u003E defeated Hillary Clinton by about 1 percentage point."}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":""If you just look at the last five statewide elections -- the last two presidential and the last three governors' races -- all decided by one point. So I've got a feeling that Florida in 2020 is going be the same," former senior adviser to President Obama, Steve Schale, told \u003Ca href=\"http:\u002F\u002Fnation.foxnews.com\u002Fwhat-are-the-odds\u002F?cmpid=org=NAT::ag=owned::mc=referral::src=FNC_web::cmp=article::add=WhatAreTheOdds_FNC_Platform\" target=\"_blank\"\u003EFox Nation\u003C\u002Fa\u003E's Kristen Soltis Anderson on her new show, \u003Ca href=\"http:\u002F\u002Fnation.foxnews.com\u002Fwhat-are-the-odds\u002F?cmpid=org=NAT::ag=owned::mc=referral::src=FNC_web::cmp=article::add=WhatAreTheOdds_FNC_Platform\" target=\"_blank\"\u003E"What Are The Odds?"\u003C\u002Fa\u003E"}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":"In the 2016 presidential election, Trump bested Clinton by 1.2 percentage points in Florida. In 2012, the state went for Obama by a similar margin."}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":"\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.foxnews.com\u002Fmedia\u002Fbizarre-political-bets-gamblers-2020\" target=\"_blank\"\u003E\u003Cstrong\u003EUNUSUAL BETS THAT POLITICAL GAMBLERS ARE MAKING IN 2020\u003C\u002Fstrong\u003E\u003C\u002Fa\u003E"}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":""Tell me what you think was responsible for Trump being able to flip Florida blue to red?" asked Soltis Anderson."}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":""What's interesting is that the Clinton election and the Obama election were about the same," said Schale. "What really happened were those swing voters that live in those counties around the I-4 corridor went really hard for Trump.""}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":"The region of central Florida, known as the I-4 corridor, stretches from the Tampa Bay area on the west coast through Orlando to Daytona Beach on the east coast."}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":""Obama had won some of those places in 2008 -- pretty competitive in 2012," added Schale."}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":"He noted that many of the people moving to that part of Florida are from states that also went for Trump in 2016."}},{"is":"video-inline","props":{"type":"video","title":"Will wave of Californians moving to Texas flip the state from red to blue in 2020?","caption":"","videoId":"6119008666001","imageUrl":"https:\u002F\u002Fweb.archive.org\u002Fweb\u002F20200110161409\u002Fhttps:\u002F\u002Fmedia2.foxnews.com\u002FBrightCove\u002F694940094001\u002F2019\u002F12\u002F31\u002F694940094001_6119008145001_6119008666001-vs.jpg","originalImageUrl":"https:\u002F\u002Fweb.archive.org\u002Fweb\u002F20200110161409\u002Fhttps:\u002F\u002Fmedia2.foxnews.com\u002FBrightCove\u002F694940094001\u002F2019\u002F12\u002F31\u002F694940094001_6119008145001_6119008666001-vs.jpg","url":"https:\u002F\u002Fweb.archive.org\u002Fweb\u002F20200110161409\u002Fhttp:\u002F\u002Fvideo.foxnews.com\u002Fv\u002F6119008666001","videoDomain":"foxnews"}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":""Florida tends to be reflective of the places where people come from," he said. "And if you look at the communities where Trump did really well, a lot of those folks moved from places like Wisconsin and Ohio and Michigan and Pennsylvania and such. And so I think those same kind of places that are going to be competitive in the 2020 election are going to make Florida competitive as well.""}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":"Political pundits and commentators have long predicted that changing demographics in the I-4 corridor would decisively tip Florida's electorate in the direction of Democrats -- leading some to predict that a 'blue wave' was set to hit the state."}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":"In the summer of 2018, \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.foxnews.com\u002Fpolitics\u002Fin-florida-battleground-puerto-ricans-fleeing-marias-destruction-reshape-electoral-landscape\" target=\"_blank\"\u003Eroughly\u003C\u002Fa\u003E 200,000 Puerto Ricans fled their island for Florida after the Category 4 storm hit the U.S. territory last September -- and a large number of them settled in the I-4 corridor."}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":"\u003Cstrong\u003E\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.foxnews.com\u002Fmedia\u002F2020-election-texas-trump-california\" target=\"_blank\"\u003ETHE SURPRISING IMPACT THAT CALIFORNIANS FLOODING TEXAS MAY HAVE ON 2020 ELECTION\u003C\u002Fa\u003E\u003C\u002Fstrong\u003E"}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":""The blue wave might finally be showing up in Florida," said NBC news anchor Chuck Todd on his MSNBC show in September 2018, in the run-up to the Midterm elections. "66 of the 67 are in - the blue wave continues to grow," said a CNN anchor during their election coverage in November 2018."}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":"But largely, the so-called 'blue wave' never materialized in Florida in 2018."}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":""It felt like Florida... was a little more resistant to the blue wave than some other places. Do you agree with that assessment?" asked Soltis Anderson."}},{"is":"video-inline","props":{"type":"video","title":"Most bizarre political bets that gamblers are making in 2020","caption":"","videoId":"6119265711001","imageUrl":"https:\u002F\u002Fweb.archive.org\u002Fweb\u002F20200110161409\u002Fhttps:\u002F\u002Fmedia2.foxnews.com\u002FBrightCove\u002F694940094001\u002F2020\u002F01\u002F02\u002F694940094001_6119264563001_6119265711001-vs.jpg","originalImageUrl":"https:\u002F\u002Fweb.archive.org\u002Fweb\u002F20200110161409\u002Fhttps:\u002F\u002Fmedia2.foxnews.com\u002FBrightCove\u002F694940094001\u002F2020\u002F01\u002F02\u002F694940094001_6119264563001_6119265711001-vs.jpg","url":"https:\u002F\u002Fweb.archive.org\u002Fweb\u002F20200110161409\u002Fhttp:\u002F\u002Fvideo.foxnews.com\u002Fv\u002F6119265711001","videoDomain":"foxnews"}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":""Absolutely, I do," agreed Schale. "There's been so much money and so much effort spent in the state organizing around presidential elections the last few cycles. And I think the state has just become very stable.""}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":""What's interesting is when you see trends that happened from a population standpoint that you think would benefit Democrats, things like Puerto Ricans moving into central Florida, the changing demographics in Dade [county], they get balanced out by other things. For example, Midwestern retirees moving into places like The Villages, so Florida kind of maintains a sort of equilibrium.""}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":""Whether Trump does well or not in 2020 nationally," concluded Schale. "I feel pretty confident saying that if you put a bet on Florida that it's going to be inside two points -- you would be pretty safe to win that bet.""}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":"\u003Cem\u003ETo watch all of Fox Nation's \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fnation.foxnews.com\u002Fwhat-are-the-odds\u002F?cmpid=org=NAT::ag=owned::mc=referral::src=FNC_web::cmp=article::add=WhatAreTheOdds_FNC_Platform\" target=\"_blank\"\u003E"What Are The Odds?"\u003C\u002Fa\u003E go to \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fnation.foxnews.com\u002Fwhat-are-the-odds\u002F?cmpid=org=NAT::ag=owned::mc=referral::src=FNC_web::cmp=article::add=WhatAreTheOdds_FNC_Platform\" target=\"_blank\"\u003EFox Nation\u003C\u002Fa\u003E and sign up today.\u003C\u002Fem\u003E"}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":"\u003Cstrong\u003E\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fnation.foxnews.com\u002F?cmpid=org=NAT::ag=owned::mc=referral::src=FNC_web::cmp=article::add=fnc_dailyarticle\" target=\"_blank\"\u003ECLICK HERE TO SIGN UP FOR A FOX NATION FREE TRIAL\u003C\u002Fa\u003E\u003C\u002Fstrong\u003E"}},{"is":"paragraph","props":{"text":"\u003Cem\u003E\u003Ca href=\"http:\u002F\u002Fnation.foxnews.com\u002F?cmpid=org=NAT::ag=owned::mc=referral::src=FNC_web::cmp=article::add=fnc_dailyarticle\"\u003EFox Nation\u003C\u002Fa\u003E programs are viewable on-demand and from your mobile device app, but only for Fox Nation subscribers. \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fnation.foxnews.com\u002F?cmpid=org=NAT::ag=owned::mc=referral::src=FNC_web::cmp=article::add=fnc_dailyarticle\"\u003EGo to Fox Nation\u003C\u002Fa\u003E to start a free trial and watch the extensive library from Tomi Lahren, Pete Hegseth, Abby Hornacek, Laura Ingraham, Ainsley Earhardt, Greg Gutfeld, Judge Andrew Napolitano and many more of your favorite Fox News personalities.\u003C\u002Fem\u003E"}}],"short_urls":["https:\u002F\u002Fweb.archive.org\u002Fweb\u002F20200110161409\u002Fhttps:\u002F\u002Ffxn.ws\u002F39XaLfL"],"wp__category":{"title":"Media","slug":"media","path":"fox-news\u002Fmedia","isa_value":""},"fn__sections":[{"id":"dd2cb318-4e18-5021-87ca-cb8d6fd513a2","path":"fox-news\u002Fmedia","isa_value":""}],"isAMP":false,"originalCanonical_url":"\u002Fmedia\u002Ftrump-2020-election-florida-vote-2016","header":{"headline":"Former senior Obama adviser: Florida's vote in 2020 will look a lot like vote in 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