CINXE.COM
A Machine Learning Approach for Earthquake Prediction in Various Zones Based on Solar Activity
<!DOCTYPE html> <html lang="en" dir="ltr"> <head> <!-- Google tag (gtag.js) --> <script async src="https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtag/js?id=G-P63WKM1TM1"></script> <script> window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; function gtag(){dataLayer.push(arguments);} gtag('js', new Date()); gtag('config', 'G-P63WKM1TM1'); </script> <!-- Yandex.Metrika counter --> <script type="text/javascript" > (function(m,e,t,r,i,k,a){m[i]=m[i]||function(){(m[i].a=m[i].a||[]).push(arguments)}; m[i].l=1*new Date(); for (var j = 0; j < document.scripts.length; j++) {if (document.scripts[j].src === r) { return; }} k=e.createElement(t),a=e.getElementsByTagName(t)[0],k.async=1,k.src=r,a.parentNode.insertBefore(k,a)}) (window, document, "script", "https://mc.yandex.ru/metrika/tag.js", "ym"); ym(55165297, "init", { clickmap:false, trackLinks:true, accurateTrackBounce:true, webvisor:false }); </script> <noscript><div><img src="https://mc.yandex.ru/watch/55165297" style="position:absolute; left:-9999px;" alt="" /></div></noscript> <!-- /Yandex.Metrika counter --> <!-- Matomo --> <!-- End Matomo Code --> <title>A Machine Learning Approach for Earthquake Prediction in Various Zones Based on Solar Activity</title> <meta name="description" content="A Machine Learning Approach for Earthquake Prediction in Various Zones Based on Solar Activity"> <meta name="keywords" content="K-Nearest Neighbour, Support Vector Regression, Random Forest Regression, Long Short-Term Memory Network, earthquakes, solar activity, sunspot number, solar wind, solar flares."> <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1, minimum-scale=1, maximum-scale=1, user-scalable=no"> <meta charset="utf-8"> <meta name="citation_title" content="A Machine Learning Approach for Earthquake Prediction in Various Zones Based on Solar Activity"> <meta name="citation_author" content="Viacheslav Shkuratskyy"> <meta name="citation_author" content="Aminu Bello Usman"> <meta name="citation_author" content="Michael O’Dea"> <meta name="citation_author" content="Mujeeb Ur Rehman"> <meta name="citation_author" content="Saifur Rahman Sabuj"> <meta name="citation_publication_date" content="2024/07/11"> <meta name="citation_journal_title" content="International Journal of Computer and Information Engineering"> <meta name="citation_volume" content="18"> <meta name="citation_issue" content="7"> <meta name="citation_firstpage" content="380"> <meta name="citation_lastpage" content="387"> <meta name="citation_pdf_url" content="https://publications.waset.org/10013721/pdf"> <link href="https://cdn.waset.org/favicon.ico" type="image/x-icon" rel="shortcut icon"> <link href="https://cdn.waset.org/static/plugins/bootstrap-4.2.1/css/bootstrap.min.css" rel="stylesheet"> <link href="https://cdn.waset.org/static/plugins/fontawesome/css/all.min.css" rel="stylesheet"> <link href="https://cdn.waset.org/static/css/site.css?v=150220211555" rel="stylesheet"> </head> <body> <header> <div class="container"> <nav class="navbar navbar-expand-lg navbar-light"> <a class="navbar-brand" href="https://waset.org"> <img src="https://cdn.waset.org/static/images/wasetc.png" alt="Open Science Research Excellence" title="Open Science Research Excellence" /> </a> <button class="d-block d-lg-none navbar-toggler ml-auto" type="button" data-toggle="collapse" data-target="#navbarMenu" aria-controls="navbarMenu" aria-expanded="false" aria-label="Toggle navigation"> <span class="navbar-toggler-icon"></span> </button> <div class="w-100"> <div class="d-none d-lg-flex flex-row-reverse"> <form method="get" action="https://waset.org/search" class="form-inline my-2 my-lg-0"> <input class="form-control mr-sm-2" type="search" placeholder="Search Conferences" value="" name="q" aria-label="Search"> <button class="btn btn-light my-2 my-sm-0" type="submit"><i class="fas fa-search"></i></button> </form> </div> <div class="collapse navbar-collapse mt-1" id="navbarMenu"> <ul class="navbar-nav ml-auto align-items-center" id="mainNavMenu"> <li class="nav-item"> <a class="nav-link" href="https://waset.org/conferences" title="Conferences in 2024/2025/2026">Conferences</a> </li> <li class="nav-item"> <a class="nav-link" href="https://waset.org/disciplines" title="Disciplines">Disciplines</a> </li> <li class="nav-item"> <a class="nav-link" href="https://waset.org/committees" rel="nofollow">Committees</a> </li> <li class="nav-item dropdown"> <a class="nav-link dropdown-toggle" href="#" id="navbarDropdownPublications" role="button" data-toggle="dropdown" aria-haspopup="true" aria-expanded="false"> Publications </a> <div class="dropdown-menu" aria-labelledby="navbarDropdownPublications"> <a class="dropdown-item" href="https://publications.waset.org/abstracts">Abstracts</a> <a class="dropdown-item" href="https://publications.waset.org">Periodicals</a> <a class="dropdown-item" href="https://publications.waset.org/archive">Archive</a> </div> </li> <li class="nav-item"> <a class="nav-link" href="https://waset.org/page/support" title="Support">Support</a> </li> </ul> </div> </div> </nav> </div> </header> <main> <div class="container mt-4"> <div class="row"> <div class="col-md-9 mx-auto"> <form method="get" action="https://publications.waset.org/search"> <div id="custom-search-input"> <div class="input-group"> <i class="fas fa-search"></i> <input type="text" class="search-query" name="q" placeholder="Author, Title, Abstract, Keywords" value=""> <input type="submit" class="btn_search" value="Search"> </div> </div> </form> </div> </div> <div class="row mt-3"> <div class="col-sm-3"> <div class="card"> <div class="card-body"><strong>Commenced</strong> in January 2007</div> </div> </div> <div class="col-sm-3"> <div class="card"> <div class="card-body"><strong>Frequency:</strong> Monthly</div> </div> </div> <div class="col-sm-3"> <div class="card"> <div class="card-body"><strong>Edition:</strong> International</div> </div> </div> <div class="col-sm-3"> <div class="card"> <div class="card-body"><strong>Paper Count:</strong> 33093</div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="card publication-listing mt-3 mb-3"> <h5 class="card-header" style="font-size:.9rem">A Machine Learning Approach for Earthquake Prediction in Various Zones Based on Solar Activity</h5> <div class="card-body"> <p class="card-text"><strong>Authors:</strong> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/search?q=Viacheslav%20Shkuratskyy">Viacheslav Shkuratskyy</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/search?q=Aminu%20Bello%20Usman"> Aminu Bello Usman</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/search?q=Michael%20O%E2%80%99Dea"> Michael O’Dea</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/search?q=Mujeeb%20Ur%20Rehman"> Mujeeb Ur Rehman</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/search?q=Saifur%20Rahman%20Sabuj"> Saifur Rahman Sabuj</a> </p> <p class="card-text"><strong>Abstract:</strong></p> <p>This paper examines relationships between solar activity and earthquakes, it applied machine learning techniques: K-nearest neighbour, support vector regression, random forest regression, and long short-term memory network. Data from the SILSO World Data Center, the NOAA National Center, the GOES satellite, NASA OMNIWeb, and the United States Geological Survey were used for the experiment. The 23rd and 24th solar cycles, daily sunspot number, solar wind velocity, proton density, and proton temperature were all included in the dataset. The study also examined sunspots, solar wind, and solar flares, which all reflect solar activity, and earthquake frequency distribution by magnitude and depth. The findings showed that the long short-term memory network model predicts earthquakes more correctly than the other models applied in the study, and solar activity is more likely to effect earthquakes of lower magnitude and shallow depth than earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or larger with intermediate depth and deep depth</p>. <iframe src="https://publications.waset.org/10013721.pdf" style="width:100%; height:400px;" frameborder="0"></iframe> <p class="card-text"><strong>Keywords:</strong> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/search?q=K-Nearest%20Neighbour" title="K-Nearest Neighbour">K-Nearest Neighbour</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/search?q=Support%20Vector%20Regression" title=" Support Vector Regression"> Support Vector Regression</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/search?q=Random%20Forest%20Regression" title=" Random Forest Regression"> Random Forest Regression</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/search?q=Long%20Short-Term%20Memory%20Network" title=" Long Short-Term Memory Network"> Long Short-Term Memory Network</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/search?q=earthquakes" title=" earthquakes"> earthquakes</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/search?q=solar%20activity" title=" solar activity"> solar activity</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/search?q=sunspot%20number" title=" sunspot number"> sunspot number</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/search?q=solar%20wind" title=" solar wind"> solar wind</a>, <a href="https://publications.waset.org/search?q=solar%20flares." title=" solar flares."> solar flares.</a> </p> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/10013721/a-machine-learning-approach-for-earthquake-prediction-in-various-zones-based-on-solar-activity" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">Procedia</a> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/10013721/apa" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">APA</a> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/10013721/bibtex" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">BibTeX</a> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/10013721/chicago" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">Chicago</a> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/10013721/endnote" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">EndNote</a> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/10013721/harvard" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">Harvard</a> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/10013721/json" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">JSON</a> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/10013721/mla" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">MLA</a> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/10013721/ris" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">RIS</a> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/10013721/xml" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">XML</a> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/10013721/iso690" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">ISO 690</a> <a href="https://publications.waset.org/10013721.pdf" target="_blank" class="btn btn-primary btn-sm">PDF</a> <span class="bg-info text-light px-1 py-1 float-right rounded"> Downloads <span class="badge badge-light">203</span> </span> <p class="card-text"><strong>References:</strong></p> <br>[1] N. Meyer-Vernet, Basics of the solar wind. Cambridge University Press, 2007. <br>[2] J. Gribbin, “Relation of sunspot and earthquake activity,” Science, vol. 173, no. 3996, p. 558–558, Aug 1971. (Online). Available: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.173.3996.558.b <br>[3] R. Wolf, “On the periodic return of the minimum of sun-sport; the agreement between those periods and the variations of magnetic dec- lination,” The London, Edinburgh, and Dublin Philosophical Magazine and Journal of Science, vol. 5, no. 29, pp. 67–67, 1853. <br>[4] A. Sytinskii, “Relation between seismic activity of the earth and solar activity.” Uspekhi Fizicheskih Nauk, vol. 111, no. 10, p. 367, 1973. (Online). Available: http://ufn.ru/ru/articles/1973/10/i/ <br>[5] S. D. Odintsov, G. S. Ivanov-Kholodnyi, and K. Georgieva, “Solar activity and global seismicity of the earth,” Bulletin of the Russian Academy of Sciences: Physics, vol. 71, no. 4, p. 593–595, Apr 2007. (Online). Available: http://link.springer.com/10.3103/S1062873807040466 <br>[6] J. J. Love and J. N. Thomas, “Insignificant solar-terrestrial triggering of earthquakes: Insignificant triggering,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 40, no. 6, p. 1165–1170, Mar 2013. (Online). Available: http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/grl.50211 <br>[7] M. Akhoondzadeh and A. De Santis, “Is the apparent correlation between solar-geomagnetic activity and occurrence of powerful earth- quakes a casual artifact?” Atmosphere, vol. 13, no. 7, p. 1131, 2022. <br>[8] E. L. Thorndike, “Animal intelligence: experimental studies. new brunswick,” 2000. <br>[9] V. Dunjko and H. J. Briegel, “Machine learning & artificial intelligence in the quantum domain: a review of recent progress,” Reports on Progress in Physics, vol. 81, no. 7, p. 074001, 2018. <br>[10] E. Alpaydin, Introduction to machine learning, third edition ed., ser. Adaptive computation and machine learning. Cambridge, Massachusetts: The MIT Press, 2014. <br>[11] A. J. Smola and B. Scholkopf, “A tutorial on support vector regression,” Statistics and Computing, vol. 14, no. 3, p. 199–222, Aug 2004. (Online). Available: http://link.springer.com/10.1023/B:STCO.0000035301.49549.88 <br>[12] L. Breiman, Machine Learning, vol. 45, no. 1, p. 5–32, 2001. (Online). Available: http://link.springer.com/10.1023/A:1010933404324 <br>[13] S. Hochreiter and J. Schmidhuber, “Long short-term memory,” Neural Computation, vol. 9, no. 8, p. 1735–1780, Nov 1997. (Online). Available: https://direct.mit.edu/neco/article/9/8/1735-1780/6109 <br>[14] T. Khan, F. Arafat, M. U. Mojumdar, A. Rajbongshi, S. M. T. Siddiquee, and N. R. Chakraborty, “A machine learning approach for predicting the sunspot of solar cycle,” in 2020 11th International Conference on Computing, Communication and Networking Technologies (ICCCNT). IEEE, 2020, pp. 1–4. <br>[15] U. Feldman, “On the sources of fast and slow solar wind,” Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 110, no. A7, p. A07109, 2005. (Online). Available: http://doi.wiley.com/10.1029/2004JA010918 <br>[16] K. M. Asim, F. Mart´ınez-A´ lvarez, A. Basit, and T. Iqbal, “Earthquake magnitude prediction in hindukush region using machine learning techniques,” Natural Hazards, vol. 85, no. 1, p. 471–486, Jan 2017. (Online). Available: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-016-2579-3 <br>[17] S. Odintsov, K. Boyarchuk, K. Georgieva, B. Kirov, and D. Atanasov, “Long-period trends in global seismic and geomagnetic activity and their relation to solar activity,” Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C, vol. 31, no. 1-3, pp. 88–93, 2006. <br>[18] V. Novikov, Y. Ruzhin, V. Sorokin, and A. Yaschenko, “Space weather and earthquakes: possible triggering of seismic activity by strong solar flares,” Annals of Geophysics, vol. 63, no. 5, pp. PA554–PA554, 2020. <br>[19] V. Marchitelli, P. Harabaglia, C. Troise, and G. De Natale, “On the correlation between solar activity and large earthquakes worldwide,” Scientific reports, vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 1–10, 2020. <br>[20] R. Nishii, P. Qin, and R. Kikuyama, “Solar activity is one of triggers of earthquakes with magnitudes less than 6,” in IGARSS 2020 - 2020 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium. Waikoloa, HI, USA: IEEE, Sep 2020, p. 377–380. (Online). Available: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9323381/ <br>[21] S. Asaly, L.-A. Gottlieb, N. Inbar, and Y. Reuveni, “Using support vector machine (svm) with gps ionospheric tec estimations to potentially predict earthquake events,” Remote Sensing, vol. 14, no. 12, p. 2822, 2022. <br>[22] “Earthquakes.” (Online). Available: https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards <br>[23] “Silso: World data center for the production, preservation and dissemination of the international sunspot number.” (Online). Available: https://www.sidc.be/silso/ <br>[24] B. E. Wood, R. A. Howard, A. Thernisien, and D. G. Socker, “The three-dimensional morphology of a corotating interaction region in the inner heliosphere,” The Astrophysical Journal, vol. 708, no. 2, p. L89–L94, Jan 2010. (Online). Available: https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2041-8205/708/2/L89 <br>[25] “Spdf-omniweb service.” (Online). Available: https://omniweb.gsfc.nasa.gov/ <br>[26] E. R. Priest, Magnetohydrodynamics of the Sun. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press, 2014. <br>[27] N. G. D. Center, “Solar flare data — solar terrestrial physics.” (Online). Available: https://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/solar/solarflares.html <br>[28] N. C. for Environmental Information (NCEI), “Goes-r series: Ncei.” (Online). Available: https://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/satellite/goes-r.html <br>[29] V. N. G. Raju, K. P. Lakshmi, V. M. Jain, A. Kalidindi, and V. Padma, “Study the influence of normalization/transformation process on the accuracy of supervised classification,” in 2020 Third International Conference on Smart Systems and Inventive Technology (ICSSIT). Tirunelveli, India: IEEE, Aug 2020, p. 729–735. (Online). Available: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9214160/ <br>[30] T. Chai and R. R. Draxler, “Root mean square error (RMSE) or mean absolute error (MAE)? – arguments against avoiding RMSE in the literature,” Geoscientific Model Development, vol. 7, no. 3, p. 1247–1250, Jun 2014. (Online). Available: https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/7/1247/2014/ <br>[31] M. V. Shcherbakov, A. Brebels, N. L. Shcherbakova, A. P. Tyukov, T. A. Janovsky, V. A. Kamaev et al., “A survey of forecast error measures,” World applied sciences journal, vol. 24, no. 24, pp. 171–176, 2013. <br>[32] “Supervised learning.” (Online). Available: https://scikit- learn.org/stable/supervised learning.html (accessed Feb. 2, 2021) <br>[33] “Keras: the python deep learning api.” (Online). Available: https://keras.io/ (accessed: Aug 29 2021) <br>[34] T. M. Oshiro, P. S. Perez, and J. A. Baranauskas, “How many trees in a random forest?” in International workshop on machine learning and data mining in pattern recognition. Springer, 2012, pp. 154–168. <br>[35] V. Verdhan and E. Y. Kling, Supervised learning with Python: concepts and practical implementation using Python, ser. For professionals by professionals. New York, NY: Apress, 2020. <br>[36] J. Kim, S. Kim, H. Wimmer, and H. Liu, “A cryptocurrency prediction model using LSTM and GRU algorithms,” in 2021 IEEE/ACIS 6th International Conference on Big Data, Cloud Computing, and Data Science (BCD). Zhuhai, China: IEEE, Sep 2021, p. 37–44. (Online). Available: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9581397/ <br>[37] M. A. Istiake Sunny, M. M. S. Maswood, and A. G. Alharbi, “Deep learning-based stock price prediction using lstm and bi-directional lstm model,” in 2020 2nd Novel Intelligent and Leading Emerging Sciences Conference (NILES). Giza, Egypt: IEEE, Oct 2020, p. 87–92. (Online). Available: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9257950/ </div> </div> </div> </main> <footer> <div id="infolinks" class="pt-3 pb-2"> <div class="container"> <div style="background-color:#f5f5f5;" class="p-3"> <div class="row"> <div class="col-md-2"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> About <li><a href="https://waset.org/page/support">About Us</a></li> <li><a href="https://waset.org/page/support#legal-information">Legal</a></li> <li><a target="_blank" rel="nofollow" href="https://publications.waset.org/static/files/WASET-16th-foundational-anniversary.pdf">WASET celebrates its 16th foundational anniversary</a></li> </ul> </div> <div class="col-md-2"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> Account <li><a href="https://waset.org/profile">My Account</a></li> </ul> </div> <div class="col-md-2"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> Explore <li><a href="https://waset.org/disciplines">Disciplines</a></li> <li><a href="https://waset.org/conferences">Conferences</a></li> <li><a href="https://waset.org/conference-programs">Conference Program</a></li> <li><a href="https://waset.org/committees">Committees</a></li> <li><a href="https://publications.waset.org">Publications</a></li> </ul> </div> <div class="col-md-2"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> Research <li><a href="https://publications.waset.org/abstracts">Abstracts</a></li> <li><a href="https://publications.waset.org">Periodicals</a></li> <li><a href="https://publications.waset.org/archive">Archive</a></li> </ul> </div> <div class="col-md-2"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> Open Science <li><a target="_blank" rel="nofollow" href="https://publications.waset.org/static/files/Open-Science-Philosophy.pdf">Open Science Philosophy</a></li> <li><a target="_blank" rel="nofollow" href="https://publications.waset.org/static/files/Open-Science-Award.pdf">Open Science Award</a></li> <li><a target="_blank" rel="nofollow" href="https://publications.waset.org/static/files/Open-Society-Open-Science-and-Open-Innovation.pdf">Open Innovation</a></li> <li><a target="_blank" rel="nofollow" href="https://publications.waset.org/static/files/Postdoctoral-Fellowship-Award.pdf">Postdoctoral Fellowship Award</a></li> <li><a target="_blank" rel="nofollow" href="https://publications.waset.org/static/files/Scholarly-Research-Review.pdf">Scholarly Research Review</a></li> </ul> </div> <div class="col-md-2"> <ul class="list-unstyled"> Support <li><a href="https://waset.org/page/support">Support</a></li> <li><a href="https://waset.org/profile/messages/create">Contact Us</a></li> <li><a href="https://waset.org/profile/messages/create">Report Abuse</a></li> </ul> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="container text-center"> <hr style="margin-top:0;margin-bottom:.3rem;"> <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank" class="text-muted small">Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License</a> <div id="copy" class="mt-2">© 2024 World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology</div> </div> </footer> <a href="javascript:" id="return-to-top"><i class="fas fa-arrow-up"></i></a> <div class="modal" id="modal-template"> <div class="modal-dialog"> <div class="modal-content"> <div class="row m-0 mt-1"> <div class="col-md-12"> <button type="button" class="close" data-dismiss="modal" aria-label="Close"><span aria-hidden="true">×</span></button> </div> </div> <div class="modal-body"></div> </div> </div> </div> <script src="https://cdn.waset.org/static/plugins/jquery-3.3.1.min.js"></script> <script src="https://cdn.waset.org/static/plugins/bootstrap-4.2.1/js/bootstrap.bundle.min.js"></script> <script src="https://cdn.waset.org/static/js/site.js?v=150220211556"></script> <script> jQuery(document).ready(function() { /*jQuery.get("https://publications.waset.org/xhr/user-menu", function (response) { jQuery('#mainNavMenu').append(response); });*/ jQuery.get({ url: "https://publications.waset.org/xhr/user-menu", cache: false }).then(function(response){ jQuery('#mainNavMenu').append(response); }); }); </script> </body> </html>