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type="application/ld+json">{"@context":{"@vocab":"http://schema.org","articleId":{"@id":"Text","@type":"@id"},"topics":{"@id":"Text","@type":"@id"}},"@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"Trump’s ‘mandate’ stretch may snap back hard ","url":"https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/trump-election-mandate-policy-plans-rcna181361","thumbnailUrl":"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_social_share_1024x768_scale,f_auto,q_auto:best/rockcms/2024-11/241122-Donald-Trump-aa-1137a-f59a65.jpg","alternativeHeadline":"Trump’s ‘mandate’ stretch may snap back hard ","articleBody":"President-elect Donald Trump speaks in extremes. If he wants to distance himself from someone in his orbit, he’s “never heard of him.” When talking up the executive orders he plans to issue on his first day in office, he used a recent favorite tic of his, crowing that they’ll be “like nothing you’ve ever seen.” And when claiming his electoral win earlier this month, Trump declared that “America has given us an unprecedented and powerful mandate.” But the further we’ve gotten from Election Day, the less credible Trump’s claim to a historic win has become. Despite that increasing clarity (or perhaps because of it), his allies have gone into overdrive in claiming a massive mandate for Republicans to do whatever it is Trump wants to do over the next four years. The underlying message to Americans: Whatever comes next, it’s exactly what you asked for — so there’s no use in complaining. Trump’s campaign has been calling his popular vote win, the first for a Republican since 2004, a “landslide” that grants him a “historic mandate” from the masses. Instead, his popular vote lead has instead been shrinking as more votes have been tallied. He has not won a majority of the country’s votes, according to the most recent tally from NBC News. And much of the data available shows that Trump’s win likely had more to do with people opting to stay home this year than a massive swing in his favor. Moreover, Trump’s “unprecedented” win is in, in fact, very precedented. The New York Times’ Peter Baker rightly noted that his roughly 1.6% win over Vice President Kamala Harris is one of the smallest margins of victory since the 19th century. There’s nothing special about 2024’s results compared with Joe Biden’s 4.5% win in 2020, let alone Ronald Reagan’s double-digit blowout in 1984. Trump’s team prefers to compare his win to Bill Clinton’s victory in 1992, as they did in an email blasted out to reporters on Friday. Clinton benefited from a three-way race against incumbent President George H.W. Bush and eccentric billionaire Ross Perot that let him win the Electoral College with only a plurality of the votes cast. He then used his 43% popular win to claim a mandate for change, having toppled Bush and ending 12 years of Reaganite policies. Narratively speaking, Clinton’s claim makes total sense. But voters, in all their wisdom, have fallen into a strange cycle: They will support the presidential candidate deemed most likely to represent change, only to move quickly to punish them for any sign of hubris. Every new administration since Clinton has seen its party hold a trifecta in Washington during its first year in office and claim a mandate to shake things up. It has not fared well in most instances. Clinton’s attempts to enact major reforms to health care backfired to the point that he spent the next six years triangulating his way into serious cuts to the social safety net. President George W. Bush saw a wider margin of victory in his 2004 re-election campaign and held onto Congress. But he was still left reeling politically after attempting to privatize Social Security in 2005. President Barack Obama managed to push through the Affordable Care Act, but the public response to that success provided him with a hostile Republican Congress for the final two-thirds of his tenure. In each of those cases, the election winner won a larger margin in the popular vote than Trump did. Arguably, none of them had policy proposals — proposed or enacted — that did more to disrupt the status quo than what Trump has in the works. It’s a big bet on the idea that Trump (or Republicans generally) will face no repercussions for taking a hard turn to the right then flooring it to the far edges. Trump’s selection of Cabinet members offers sufficient evidence that he has no eye toward coming off as moderate or restrained. But the Pew Research Center’s polling hasn’t found a massive surge in support for his policies. A survey conducted in the week after the election found only a small majority — 53% total — are picking up what Trump is putting down. That includes 27% of respondents who say they “strongly approve of his plans and policies for the future” and 25% saying they somewhat approve. But when you drill down into the details of Trump’s plans on immigration, for example, the illusion of a “mandate” evaporates as the supposed popular support erodes. The muddled, middling nature of Trump’s claim to a mandate only exacerbates the uncertainty of how far he’ll be able to push the country without backlash. Political scientist Julia Azari recently wrote that presidential claims to a mandate aren’t always successful but have “historically been connected to unprecedented expansions of presidential power. This could be a recipe for overreach, as it often has been for modern presidents. Or it could be a way to give an unchecked executive the veneer of following the popular will.” The latter is surely what Trump’s incoming loyalists are counting on, as they prepare to enact any number of draconian budget cuts or human rights violations grounded in the supposed approval of a majority of Americans. The same goes for the Republican lawmakers who seem willing to cede all authority over spending or keeping the White House from overstepping its bounds. But the blank check from voters that Trump is trying to cash is a forgery that can’t be allowed to be deposited into our collective memory bank. The will of Donald Trump should never be confused for the will of all Americans.","dateModified":"2024-11-25T11:00:41.000Z","datePublished":"2024-11-25T11:00:41.000Z","articleSection":"opinion","articleId":"rcna181361","identifier":{"@type":"PropertyValue","propertyID":"uid","value":"rcna181361"},"topics":"","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_fit-1500w,f_auto,q_auto:best/rockcms/2024-11/241122-Donald-Trump-aa-1137a-f59a65.jpg","caption":"President-elect Donald Trump attends a viewing of the launch of the sixth test flight of the SpaceX Starship rocket on November 19, 2024 in Brownsville, Texas. "},"author":[{"@context":"https://schema.org/","@type":"Person","name":"Hayes Brown","image":"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_fit-1500w,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2020_44/3423879/hayes-brown-msnbc.png","jobTitle":"MSNBC Opinion Writer/Editor","description":"Hayes Brown is a writer and editor for MSNBC Daily, where he helps frame the news of the day for readers. He was previously at BuzzFeed News and holds a degree in international relations from Michigan State University.","url":"https://www.msnbc.com/author/hayes-brown-ncpn1243020","sameAs":["https://x.com/hayesbrown"]}],"publisher":{"@type":"NewsMediaOrganization","name":"MSNBC","masthead":"https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/msnbccom-digital-contacts-rcna53317","url":"https://www.msnbc.com","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/newsgroup-logos/msnbc/logo-horizontal/default-black-424x60.png"},"sameAs":["https://x.com/msnbc","https://www.pinterest.com/msnbc/","https://www.facebook.com/msnbc","https://www.instagram.com/msnbc/","https://www.youtube.com/msnbc","https://www.snapchat.com/add/msnbc","https://www.tiktok.com/@msnbc?lang=en"]},"description":"President-elect Donald Trump claims that he won an electoral landslide that gives him a political mandate for his tariff and deportation plans.","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/trump-election-mandate-policy-plans-rcna181361"},"keywords":"MSNBC"}</script><script type="application/ld+json">{"@context":{"@vocab":"http://schema.org","pageType":{"@id":"Text","@type":"@id"},"vertical":{"@id":"Text","@type":"@id"},"subVertical":{"@id":"Text","@type":"@id"},"section":{"@id":"Text","@type":"@id"},"subSection":{"@id":"Text","@type":"@id"},"label":{"@id":"Text","@type":"@id"},"packageId":{"@id":"Text","@type":"@id"},"sponsor":{"@id":"Text","@type":"@id"},"ecommerceEnabled":{"@id":"Text","@type":"@id"},"videoPlayerCount":{"@id":"Text","@type":"@id"},"appVersion":{"@id":"Text","@type":"@id"},"tags":{"@id":"Text","@type":"@id"},"gatedContentEnabled":{"@id":"Text","@type":"@id"}},"@type":"Dataset","name":"additionalTaxonomy","description":"This is additional taxonomy that helps us with analytics","url":"https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/trump-election-mandate-policy-plans-rcna181361","pageType":"Article","vertical":"msnbc","subVertical":"","section":"opinion","subSection":"msnbc-opinion","label":"","packageId":"","sponsor":"","ecommerceEnabled":false,"videoPlayerCount":2,"appVersion":"5.553.0","tags":"","gatedContentEnabled":false}</script><meta name="socialCopy" content="Trump and his fellow Republicans are claiming a massive landslide victory that never happened. In the process, they're preparing to give Americans everything they never asked for, Hayes Brown explains"/><title>Trump’s ‘mandate’ stretch may snap back hard </title><meta name="description" content="President-elect Donald Trump claims that he won an electoral landslide that gives him a political mandate for his tariff and deportation plans."/><link rel="canonical" href="https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/trump-election-mandate-policy-plans-rcna181361"/><meta property="og:url" content="https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/trump-election-mandate-policy-plans-rcna181361"/><meta property="og:title" content="Opinion | Trump’s ‘mandate’ stretch may snap back hard "/><meta property="og:description" content="Other presidents have won with much larger margins of victory than Donald Trump and still failed to execute sweeping changes."/><meta property="og:image" 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class="article-hero__divider"></div><header class="article-hero__header mh0-print layout-grid-container"><aside class="article-hero__unibrow-grid layout-grid-item grid-col-2-l"><div data-testid="unibrow-container" class="unibrow articleTitleSection article-hero__tax-term article-hero__enhanced-opinion"><a href="https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/trump-election-mandate-policy-plans-rcna181361"><span data-testid="unibrow-text">Opinion</span></a></div></aside><div class="article-hero-headline layout-grid-item grid-col-10-l"><h1 class="article-hero-headline__htag lh-none-print black-print">Trump’s ‘mandate’ stretch may snap back hard </h1><div class="styles_articleDek__Icz5H styles_withImage__SSIip" data-testid="article-dek">Other presidents have won with much larger margins of victory than Donald Trump and still failed to execute sweeping changes.</div></div></header></div><div class="article-hero__media-holder layout-grid-container"><div class="article-hero__media-container layout-grid-item grid-col-10-xl grid-col-push-2-xl"><div class="article-hero__video"></div></div></div></section><div class="article-body" data-activity-map="article-article-body" data-taboola-target="read-more" data-testid="article-body"><div class="article-body__grid--container article-body__section-counter"><div class="article-body__section"><div class="article-body layout-grid-item layout-grid-item--with-gutter-s-only grid-col-10-m grid-col-push-1-m grid-col-6-xl grid-col-push-2-xl article-body--custom-column"></div></div><div class="article-body__section layout-grid-container article-body__last-section article-body__first-section"><div class="article-body layout-grid-item layout-grid-item--with-gutter-s-only grid-col-10-m grid-col-push-1-m grid-col-6-xl grid-col-push-2-xl article-body--custom-column"><section class="mb7"><div class="article-body__date-source" data-testid="article-body-timestamp"><time class="relative z-1" dateTime="2024-11-25T11:00:41.000Z" data-testid="timestamp__datePublished" content="2024-11-25T11:00:41.000Z">Nov. 25, 2024, 11:00 AM UTC</time></div><div class="article-body__byline"><div class="article-inline-byline" data-activity-map="inline-byline-article-top">By <span class="byline-name" data-testid="byline-name"><a href="https://www.msnbc.com/author/hayes-brown-ncpn1243020">Hayes Brown</a>, MSNBC Opinion Writer/Editor</span></div></div></section><div class="article-body__content"><p class="">President-elect Donald Trump speaks in extremes. If he wants to distance himself from someone in his orbit, he’s “never heard of him.” When talking up the executive orders he plans to issue on his first day in office, he used a <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/09/article-likes-which-nobody-has-ever-seen/679703/" target="_blank">recent favorite tic of his</a>, crowing that they’ll be <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-team-readies-flurry-executive-actions-day-1-rcna180898" target="_blank">“like nothing you’ve ever seen.”</a> And when claiming his electoral win earlier this month, Trump declared that “America has given us an unprecedented and powerful mandate.”</p><p class="">But the further we’ve gotten from Election Day, the less credible Trump’s claim to a historic win has become. Despite that increasing clarity (or perhaps because of it), his allies have gone into overdrive in <a href="https://www.msnbc.com/top-stories/latest/trump-mandate-win-agenda-rcna181039" target="_blank">claiming a massive mandate</a> for Republicans to do whatever it is Trump wants to do over the next four years. The underlying message to Americans: Whatever comes next, it’s exactly what you asked for — so there’s no use in complaining.</p><div class="liftout liftout--small" data-testid="liftout"><p class="liftout__text">The underlying message to Americans: Whatever comes next, it’s exactly what you asked for — so there’s no use in complaining.</p></div><p class="">Trump’s campaign has been calling his popular vote win, the first for a Republican since 2004, <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/11/22/trump-win-popular-vote-below-50-percent-00190793" target="_blank">a “landslide”</a> that grants him a <a href="https://nbcuni-my.sharepoint.com/personal/206797881_tfayd_com/Documents/Documents/President%20Donald%20J.%20Trump%20won%20the%202024%20presidential%20election%20with%20an%20historic%20mandate.%20As%20the%20first%20Republican%20to%20win%20the%20popular%20vote%20in%20two%20decades,%20President%20Trump%20did%20so%20by%20stitching%20together%20the%20broadest,%20most%20diverse%20coalition%20in%20modern%20history." target="_blank">“historic mandate”</a> from the masses. Instead, his popular vote lead has instead been shrinking as more votes have been tallied. He <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/president-results" target="_blank">has not won a majority</a> of the country’s votes, according to the most recent tally from NBC News. And much of <a href="https://election.lab.ufl.edu/2024-general-election-turnout/" target="_blank">the data available</a> shows that Trump’s win likely had more to do with people <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/12/what-numbers-actually-say-about-2024-election/" target="_blank">opting to stay home</a> this year than a massive swing in his favor.</p><div class="ad ad--text-alignment ad-container boxinlineAd dn-print" data-testid="ad__container"><div data-mps="true" data-slot="boxinline" data-sizes="[[[1000,1],[]],[[758,1],[[300,250],[700,50],[5,5],[728,90],[360,360]]],[[0,0],[[300,250],[700,50],[5,5],[360,360]]]]" data-render-on-view="true" data-targeting="{}" data-active-tab="true" data-offset-viewport="100" data-testid="ad__container__inner"></div></div><div id="taboolaReadMoreBelow"></div><p class="">Moreover, Trump’s “unprecedented” win is in, in fact, very precedented. The New York Times’ Peter Baker rightly noted that his roughly 1.6% win over Vice President Kamala Harris is <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/22/us/politics/trump-election-landslide.html" target="_blank">one of the smallest margins of victory</a> since the 19th century. There’s nothing special about 2024’s results compared with <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/president-results/" target="_blank">Joe Biden’s 4.5% win in 2020</a>, let alone Ronald Reagan’s <a href="https://www.270towin.com/1984_Election/" target="_blank">double-digit blowout in 1984</a>.</p><p class="">Trump’s team prefers to compare his win to Bill Clinton’s victory in 1992, as they did in <a href="https://djt.nucleusemail.com/amplify/v/hVAj4jF5fS?hids=%25recipient.hids%25&_nlid=aT62XQpDpu&_nhids=%25recipient.hids%25" target="_blank">an email blasted out to reporters</a> on Friday. Clinton benefited from a three-way race against incumbent President George H.W. Bush and eccentric billionaire Ross Perot that let him win the Electoral College with only a plurality of the votes cast. He then used his 43% popular win to <a href="https://content.time.com/time/magazine/0,9263,7601921116,00.html?_nlid=7uR9Pu52zP&_nhids=g4qXT53W" target="_blank">claim a mandate for change</a>, having toppled Bush and ending 12 years of Reaganite policies.</p><p class="">Narratively speaking, Clinton’s claim makes total sense. But voters, in all their wisdom, have fallen into a strange cycle: They will support the presidential candidate deemed most likely to represent change, only to move quickly to punish them for any sign of hubris. Every new administration since Clinton has seen its party hold a trifecta in Washington during its first year in office and claim a mandate to shake things up. It has not fared well in most instances.</p><div class="ad ad--text-alignment ad-container boxinlineAd dn-print" data-testid="ad__container"><div data-mps="true" data-slot="boxinline" data-sizes="[[[1000,1],[]],[[758,1],[[300,250],[700,50],[5,5],[728,90],[360,360]]],[[0,0],[[300,250],[700,50],[5,5],[360,360]]]]" data-render-on-view="true" data-targeting="{}" data-active-tab="true" data-offset-viewport="100" data-testid="ad__container__inner"></div></div><p class="">Clinton’s attempts to enact major reforms to health care backfired to the point that he spent the next six years <a href="https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/biden-trump-democrats-immigration-election-rcna151979" target="_blank">triangulating his way</a> into serious cuts to the social safety net. President George W. Bush saw a wider margin of victory in his 2004 re-election campaign and held onto Congress. But he was still left reeling politically after <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2017/1/9/13781088/social-security-privatization-why-failed" target="_blank">attempting to privatize Social Security</a> in 2005. President Barack Obama managed to push through the Affordable Care Act, but the public response to that success provided him with a hostile Republican Congress for the final two-thirds of his tenure.</p><div class="liftout liftout--small" data-testid="liftout"><p class="liftout__text">It’s a big bet on the idea that Trump (or Republicans generally) will face no repercussions for taking a hard turn to the right then flooring it to the far edges.</p></div><p class="">In each of those cases, the election winner won a larger margin in the popular vote than Trump did. Arguably, none of them had policy proposals — proposed or enacted — that did more to disrupt the status quo than what Trump has in the works. It’s a big bet on the idea that Trump (or Republicans generally) will face no repercussions for taking a hard turn to the right then flooring it to the far edges. Trump’s <a href="https://www.msnbc.com/top-stories/latest/trump-appointees-list-administration-cabinet-white-house-rcna179749" target="_blank">selection of Cabinet members</a> offers sufficient evidence that he has no eye toward coming off as moderate or restrained.</p><p class="">But <a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/11/22/public-narrowly-approves-of-trumps-plans-most-are-skeptical-he-will-unify-the-country/?utm_source=AdaptiveMailer&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=24-11-22%20Post-Election%20GEN%20DISTRO&org=982&lvl=100&ite=15064&lea=3986154&ctr=0&par=1&trk=" target="_blank">the Pew Research Center’s polling</a> hasn’t found a massive surge in support for his policies. A survey conducted in the week after the election found only a small majority — 53% total — are picking up what Trump is putting down. That includes 27% of respondents who say they “strongly approve of his plans and policies for the future” and 25% saying they somewhat approve. But when you drill down into <a href="https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/huge-problem-polls-trumps-mass-deportation-plan-rcna178065" target="_blank">the details of Trump’s plans on immigration</a>, for example, the illusion of a “mandate” evaporates as the supposed popular support erodes.</p><p class="">The muddled, middling nature of Trump’s claim to a mandate only exacerbates the uncertainty of how far he’ll be able to push the country without backlash. Political scientist Julia Azari <a href="https://theconversation.com/presidents-often-claim-mandates-especially-when-they-want-to-expand-their-power-or-are-on-the-defensive-243904" target="_blank">recently wrote</a> that presidential claims to a mandate aren’t always successful but have “<a href="https://www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/book/9780801452246/delivering-the-peoples-message/" target="_blank">historically been connected</a> to unprecedented expansions of presidential power. This could be a recipe for overreach, as it often has been for modern presidents. Or it could be a way to give an unchecked executive the veneer of following the popular will.”</p><p class="endmark">The latter is surely what Trump’s incoming loyalists are counting on, as they prepare to enact any number of <a href="https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/project-2025-russell-vought-trump-cabinet-management-budget-rcna181088" target="_blank">draconian budget cuts</a> or <a href="https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/trump-immigration-mass-deportation-rcna179816" target="_blank">human rights violations</a> grounded in the supposed approval of a majority of Americans. The <a href="https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/senate-republicans-confirm-trump-nominees-rcna180349" target="_blank">same goes for the Republican lawmakers</a> who seem willing to cede all authority over spending or keeping the White House from overstepping its bounds. But the blank check from voters that Trump is trying to cash is a forgery that can’t be allowed to be deposited into our collective memory bank. The will of Donald Trump should never be confused for the will of all Americans.</p></div><div class="article-body__content"><div class="expanded-byline-contributors articleBylineContainer"><div class="expanded-byline article-expanded-byline" data-activity-map="expanded-byline-article-bottom"><div class="byline-thumbnail byline-thumbnail--has-image expanded-byline__thumbnail" data-testid="byline-thumbnail"><a href="https://www.msnbc.com/author/hayes-brown-ncpn1243020"><picture data-testid="picture"><source media="(min-width: 320px)" srcSet="https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-60x60,f_avif,q_auto:eco,dpr_2/newscms/2020_44/3423879/hayes-brown-msnbc.png 2x, https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-60x60,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2020_44/3423879/hayes-brown-msnbc.png 1x"/><img loading="lazy" src="https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-60x60,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2020_44/3423879/hayes-brown-msnbc.png" alt="" height="48" width="48"/></picture></a></div><span class="byline-name expanded-byline__name" data-testid="byline-name"><a href="https://www.msnbc.com/author/hayes-brown-ncpn1243020">Hayes Brown</a></span><span class="byline-social expanded-byline__social"><a href="https://x.com/hayesbrown" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="byline-social--link"><span class="icon icon-twitter"></span></a><a href="mailto:hayes.brown@nbcuni.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="byline-social--link"><span class="icon icon-email"></span></a></span><div class="expanded-byline__bio-wrapper"><p class="byline-bio expanded-byline__bio">Hayes Brown is a writer and editor for MSNBC Daily, where he helps frame the news of the day for readers. He was previously at BuzzFeed News and holds a degree in international relations from Michigan State University.</p></div></div></div></div></div><div class="article-body--right-rail-container"><div data-testid="right-rail-container" class="article-body__right-rail layout-grid-item grid-col-4_5-l grid-col-3_5-xl grid-col-push-half-xl"><div class="article-body__right-rail--sticky"></div><div class="ad article-body__right-rail--ad ad--text-alignment ad-container dn-print" data-testid="ad__container"><div data-mps="true" data-slot="boxflex" data-sizes="[[[1000,1],[[300,250],[300,600],[360,360],[360,720]]],[[758,1],[]],[[0,0],[]]]" data-offset="10" data-render-on-view="true" data-targeting="{}" data-active-tab="true" data-testid="ad__container__inner"></div></div></div></div></div><div class="body-bottom-recommended" data-testid="body-bottom-recommended"><div class="ad ad--midresponsive ad-container dn-print" data-testid="ad__container"><div data-mps="true" data-slot="midresponsive" 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6.6633 20.3267C6.61106 20.5883 6.57511 20.819 6.55051 21.0072C6.61482 21.0495 6.685 21.0951 6.76052 21.1434C7.18956 21.4177 7.78323 21.7736 8.44718 22.1056C8.85247 22.3082 9.55081 22.549 10.3356 22.7327C10.8282 22.8481 11.3177 22.9322 11.7535 22.9739C11.9941 22.9908 12.237 22.9996 12.4818 23ZM4.77176 19.6081C4.96194 18.7705 5.28829 17.724 5.85023 16.6802C6.12186 16.1756 6.57668 15.8234 7.02833 15.5749C7.49093 15.3203 8.0368 15.1268 8.60997 14.9799C8.95702 14.891 9.32578 14.8163 9.70891 14.7553C8.38545 13.8592 7.51559 12.3437 7.51559 10.625C7.51559 7.87221 9.74718 5.64062 12.5 5.64062C15.2528 5.64062 17.4843 7.87221 17.4843 10.625C17.4843 12.3437 16.6145 13.8592 15.291 14.7553C15.6741 14.8163 16.0429 14.891 16.39 14.98C16.9631 15.1268 17.509 15.3203 17.9716 15.5749C18.4232 15.8234 18.878 16.1756 19.1497 16.6801C19.7117 17.7238 20.038 18.7704 20.2282 19.6081C21.9491 17.7381 23 15.2418 23 12.5C23 6.70101 18.299 2 12.5 2C6.70101 2 2 6.70101 2 12.5C2 15.2417 3.05085 17.7381 4.77176 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14.6719ZM19.5 22C19.5 22 19.4231 19.3596 18.2692 17.2166C17.1154 15.0737 7.88462 15.0734 6.73077 17.2167C5.57692 19.36 5.5 22 5.5 22L11.9849 23.8528C12.3216 23.949 12.6784 23.949 13.0151 23.8528L19.5 22Z\" fill=\"white\"/\u003e\u003cpath class=\"login__icon--border\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" clip-rule=\"evenodd\" d=\"M12.5 23C18.299 23 23 18.299 23 12.5C23 6.70101 18.299 2 12.5 2C6.70101 2 2 6.70101 2 12.5C2 18.299 6.70101 23 12.5 23ZM12.5 25C19.4036 25 25 19.4036 25 12.5C25 5.59644 19.4036 0 12.5 0C5.59644 0 0 5.59644 0 12.5C0 19.4036 5.59644 25 12.5 25Z\" fill=\"#82AEFF\"/\u003e\u003c/svg\u003e\u003c/button\u003e\u003c/div\u003e\u003c/div\u003e\u003cdiv class=\"headline-container\"\u003e\u003cdiv class=\"headline-wrap h-h\"\u003e\u003cdiv class=\"headline-title h-h\"\u003e\u003cp class=\"headline-title-text h-lh js-headline-text\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c/div\u003e\u003cdiv class=\"share-list h-h share-has-dropdown\"\u003e\u003cdiv class=\"share-inner\"\u003e\u003cul class=\"share-ul 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srcset=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-200x300,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_33/2532536/rachel_maddow.jpg\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-120x180,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_33/2532536/rachel_maddow.jpg\" alt=\"The Rachel Maddow Show\" loading=\"lazy\" /\u003e\u003c/picture\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-title\"\u003eThe Rachel Maddow Show\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-time\"\u003eMondays 9PM ET\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/a\u003e\u003c/li\u003e\u003cli class=\"menu-list-item\"\u003e\u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbc.com/morning-joe\" class=\"menu-list-item-link\"\u003e\u003cpicture\u003e\u003csource media=\"(min-width: 1240px)\" srcset=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-240x360,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_33/2532516/morning_joe.jpg\"\u003e\u003csource media=\"(min-width: 758px)\" srcset=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-200x300,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_33/2532516/morning_joe.jpg\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-120x180,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_33/2532516/morning_joe.jpg\" alt=\"Morning Joe\" loading=\"lazy\" /\u003e\u003c/picture\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-title\"\u003eMorning Joe\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-time\"\u003eWeekdays 6am ET\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/a\u003e\u003c/li\u003e\u003cli class=\"menu-list-item\"\u003e\u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbc.com/deadline-white-house\" class=\"menu-list-item-link\"\u003e\u003cpicture\u003e\u003csource media=\"(min-width: 1240px)\" srcset=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-240x360,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_33/2532491/deadline_whitehouse.jpg\"\u003e\u003csource media=\"(min-width: 758px)\" srcset=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-200x300,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_33/2532491/deadline_whitehouse.jpg\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-120x180,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_33/2532491/deadline_whitehouse.jpg\" alt=\"Deadline: White House with Nicolle Wallace\" loading=\"lazy\" /\u003e\u003c/picture\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-title\"\u003eDeadline: White House with Nicolle Wallace\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-time\"\u003eWeekdays 4PM ET\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/a\u003e\u003c/li\u003e\u003cli class=\"menu-list-item\"\u003e\u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbc.com/the-beat-with-ari-melber\" class=\"menu-list-item-link\"\u003e\u003cpicture\u003e\u003csource media=\"(min-width: 1240px)\" srcset=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-240x360,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_33/2532546/the_beat.jpg\"\u003e\u003csource media=\"(min-width: 758px)\" srcset=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-200x300,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_33/2532546/the_beat.jpg\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-120x180,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_33/2532546/the_beat.jpg\" alt=\"The Beat with Ari Melber\" loading=\"lazy\" /\u003e\u003c/picture\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-title\"\u003eThe Beat with Ari Melber\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-time\"\u003eWeeknights 6PM ET\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/a\u003e\u003c/li\u003e\u003cli class=\"menu-list-item\"\u003e\u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbc.com/reidout\" class=\"menu-list-item-link\"\u003e\u003cpicture\u003e\u003csource media=\"(min-width: 1240px)\" srcset=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-240x360,f_auto,q_auto:best/rockcms/2024-02/joy-reid-msnbc-hamburger-2023-copy-2b20e7.jpg\"\u003e\u003csource media=\"(min-width: 758px)\" srcset=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-200x300,f_auto,q_auto:best/rockcms/2024-02/joy-reid-msnbc-hamburger-2023-copy-2b20e7.jpg\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-120x180,f_auto,q_auto:best/rockcms/2024-02/joy-reid-msnbc-hamburger-2023-copy-2b20e7.jpg\" alt=\"The ReidOut with Joy Reid\" loading=\"lazy\" /\u003e\u003c/picture\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-title\"\u003eThe ReidOut with Joy Reid\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-time\"\u003eWeeknights 7PM ET\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/a\u003e\u003c/li\u003e\u003cli class=\"menu-list-item\"\u003e\u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbc.com/all\" class=\"menu-list-item-link\"\u003e\u003cpicture\u003e\u003csource media=\"(min-width: 1240px)\" srcset=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-240x360,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_33/2532471/all_in_with_chris_hayes.jpg\"\u003e\u003csource media=\"(min-width: 758px)\" srcset=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-200x300,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_33/2532471/all_in_with_chris_hayes.jpg\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-120x180,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_33/2532471/all_in_with_chris_hayes.jpg\" alt=\"All In with Chris Hayes\" loading=\"lazy\" /\u003e\u003c/picture\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-title\"\u003eAll In with Chris Hayes\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-time\"\u003eTUESDAY-FRIDAY 8PM ET\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/a\u003e\u003c/li\u003e\u003cli class=\"menu-list-item\"\u003e\u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbc.com/the-last-word\" class=\"menu-list-item-link\"\u003e\u003cpicture\u003e\u003csource media=\"(min-width: 1240px)\" srcset=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-240x360,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_33/2532511/last_word_card.jpg\"\u003e\u003csource media=\"(min-width: 758px)\" 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srcset=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-200x300,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2022_09/3538347/11th-hour-sr.png\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-120x180,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2022_09/3538347/11th-hour-sr.png\" alt=\"The 11th Hour with Stephanie Ruhle\" loading=\"lazy\" /\u003e\u003c/picture\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-title\"\u003eThe 11th Hour with Stephanie Ruhle\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-time\"\u003eWeeknights 11PM ET\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/a\u003e\u003c/li\u003e\u003cli class=\"menu-list-item\"\u003e\u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbc.com/alex-wagner-tonight\" class=\"menu-list-item-link\"\u003e\u003cpicture\u003e\u003csource media=\"(min-width: 1240px)\" srcset=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-240x360,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2022_33/3566778/msnbc-hamburger-alex-wagner.png\"\u003e\u003csource media=\"(min-width: 758px)\" srcset=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-200x300,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2022_33/3566778/msnbc-hamburger-alex-wagner.png\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_focal-120x180,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2022_33/3566778/msnbc-hamburger-alex-wagner.png\" alt=\"Alex Wagner Tonight\" loading=\"lazy\" /\u003e\u003c/picture\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-title\"\u003eAlex Wagner Tonight\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-time\"\u003eTuesday-Friday 9PM ET\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/a\u003e\u003c/li\u003e\u003c/ul\u003e\u003c/div\u003e\u003cdiv class=\"menu-section menu-section-live\"\u003e\u003cp class=\"menu-section-heading\"\u003eMSNBC TV\u003c/p\u003e\u003cul class=\"menu-list\"\u003e\u003cli class=\"menu-list-item\"\u003e\u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbc.com/live\" class=\"menu-list-item-link\"\u003e\u003cspan class=\"menu-list-item-title\"\u003eWatch Live\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan 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28.3983L29.5214 28.8448C29.388 28.8969 29.2487 28.9082 29.1174 28.8847C29.0459 29.2238 28.7447 29.4783 28.3841 29.4783H27.7687C27.3548 29.4783 27.0192 29.143 27.0192 28.7294V23.5692C27.0192 23.1556 27.3548 22.8203 27.7687 22.8203H28.3841C28.7446 22.8203 29.0457 23.0747 29.1174 23.4136C29.16 23.4061 29.2039 23.4022 29.2487 23.4022C29.342 23.4022 29.4345 23.4196 29.5214 23.4535L29.7677 23.5496C29.7676 23.1211 29.7674 22.7463 29.7673 22.734C29.7196 19.0967 26.6455 15.8208 22.9001 15.8208C19.1547 15.8208 16.0732 19.0966 16.0253 22.7338C16.0252 22.7461 16.0251 23.1211 16.025 23.5496Z\" fill=\"white\"/\u003e\u003c/svg\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/a\u003e\u003c/li\u003e\u003c/ul\u003e\u003c/div\u003e\u003cdiv class=\"menu-section menu-section-more\"\u003e\u003cp class=\"menu-section-heading\"\u003eMore\u003c/p\u003e\u003cul class=\"menu-list\"\u003e\u003cli class=\"menu-list-item\"\u003e\u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbcevents.com/\" class=\"menu-list-item-link\"\u003e\u003cspan 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presidents have won with much larger margins of victory than Donald Trump and still failed to execute sweeping changes.","content":{"text":["President-elect Donald Trump speaks in extremes. If he wants to distance himself from someone in his orbit, he’s “never heard of him.” When talking up the executive orders he plans to issue on his first day in office, he used a recent favorite tic of his, crowing that they’ll be “like nothing you’ve ever seen.” And when claiming his electoral win earlier this month, Trump declared that “America has given us an unprecedented and powerful mandate.”","But the further we’ve gotten from Election Day, the less credible Trump’s claim to a historic win has become. Despite that increasing clarity (or perhaps because of it), his allies have gone into overdrive in claiming a massive mandate for Republicans to do whatever it is Trump wants to do over the next four years. The underlying message to Americans: Whatever comes next, it’s exactly what you asked for — so there’s no use in complaining.","Trump’s campaign has been calling his popular vote win, the first for a Republican since 2004, a “landslide” that grants him a “historic mandate” from the masses. Instead, his popular vote lead has instead been shrinking as more votes have been tallied. He has not won a majority of the country’s votes, according to the most recent tally from NBC News. And much of the data available shows that Trump’s win likely had more to do with people opting to stay home this year than a massive swing in his favor.","Moreover, Trump’s “unprecedented” win is in, in fact, very precedented. The New York Times’ Peter Baker rightly noted that his roughly 1.6% win over Vice President Kamala Harris is one of the smallest margins of victory since the 19th century. There’s nothing special about 2024’s results compared with Joe Biden’s 4.5% win in 2020, let alone Ronald Reagan’s double-digit blowout in 1984.","Trump’s team prefers to compare his win to Bill Clinton’s victory in 1992, as they did in an email blasted out to reporters on Friday. Clinton benefited from a three-way race against incumbent President George H.W. Bush and eccentric billionaire Ross Perot that let him win the Electoral College with only a plurality of the votes cast. He then used his 43% popular win to claim a mandate for change, having toppled Bush and ending 12 years of Reaganite policies.","Narratively speaking, Clinton’s claim makes total sense. But voters, in all their wisdom, have fallen into a strange cycle: They will support the presidential candidate deemed most likely to represent change, only to move quickly to punish them for any sign of hubris. Every new administration since Clinton has seen its party hold a trifecta in Washington during its first year in office and claim a mandate to shake things up. It has not fared well in most instances.","Clinton’s attempts to enact major reforms to health care backfired to the point that he spent the next six years triangulating his way into serious cuts to the social safety net. President George W. Bush saw a wider margin of victory in his 2004 re-election campaign and held onto Congress. But he was still left reeling politically after attempting to privatize Social Security in 2005. President Barack Obama managed to push through the Affordable Care Act, but the public response to that success provided him with a hostile Republican Congress for the final two-thirds of his tenure.","In each of those cases, the election winner won a larger margin in the popular vote than Trump did. Arguably, none of them had policy proposals — proposed or enacted — that did more to disrupt the status quo than what Trump has in the works. It’s a big bet on the idea that Trump (or Republicans generally) will face no repercussions for taking a hard turn to the right then flooring it to the far edges. Trump’s selection of Cabinet members offers sufficient evidence that he has no eye toward coming off as moderate or restrained.","But the Pew Research Center’s polling hasn’t found a massive surge in support for his policies. A survey conducted in the week after the election found only a small majority — 53% total — are picking up what Trump is putting down. That includes 27% of respondents who say they “strongly approve of his plans and policies for the future” and 25% saying they somewhat approve. But when you drill down into the details of Trump’s plans on immigration, for example, the illusion of a “mandate” evaporates as the supposed popular support erodes.","The muddled, middling nature of Trump’s claim to a mandate only exacerbates the uncertainty of how far he’ll be able to push the country without backlash. Political scientist Julia Azari recently wrote that presidential claims to a mandate aren’t always successful but have “historically been connected to unprecedented expansions of presidential power. This could be a recipe for overreach, as it often has been for modern presidents. Or it could be a way to give an unchecked executive the veneer of following the popular will.”","The latter is surely what Trump’s incoming loyalists are counting on, as they prepare to enact any number of draconian budget cuts or human rights violations grounded in the supposed approval of a majority of Americans. The same goes for the Republican lawmakers who seem willing to cede all authority over spending or keeping the White House from overstepping its bounds. But the blank check from voters that Trump is trying to cash is a forgery that can’t be allowed to be deposited into our collective memory bank. The will of Donald Trump should never be confused for the will of all Americans."]},"documentTracing":{"currentMessageId":{"id":"edc80aba-7a97-4b81-afcf-be757a3025c8","updatedDate":"Mon Nov 25 2024 17:30:18 GMT+0000 (UTC)"},"correlationID":"f7f99e44-cf2b-4386-8391-38b80f960ced","type":"article"},"flag":null,"unibrow":{"logo":null,"taxonomyPath":"msnbc/section/opinion/msnbc-opinion","text":"Opinion","url":{"primary":"https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/trump-election-mandate-policy-plans-rcna181361"}},"primaryMedia":{"autoplay":true,"disablePlaylistAutoplay":false,"presentation":{"alignment":"left","size":"medium","style":"default","byline":null,"hideRecommendations":false,"hideProductRecommendations":false},"type":"embeddedVideo","video":{"id":"mmvo225002053522","taxonomy":{"additionalTerms":[],"primaryVertical":{"name":"MSNBC","taxonomyType":"vertical"},"primarySection":null,"primaryTopic":null},"unibrow":{"logo":null,"taxonomyPath":null,"text":"Chris Jansing 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If he wants to distance himself from someone in his orbit, he’s “never heard of him.” When talking up the executive orders he plans to issue on his first day in office, he used a \u003ca href=\"https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/09/article-likes-which-nobody-has-ever-seen/679703/\" target=\"_blank\"\u003erecent favorite tic of his\u003c/a\u003e, crowing that they’ll be \u003ca href=\"https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-team-readies-flurry-executive-actions-day-1-rcna180898\" target=\"_blank\"\u003e“like nothing you’ve ever seen.”\u003c/a\u003e And when claiming his electoral win earlier this month, Trump declared that “America has given us an unprecedented and powerful mandate.”","elementId":null},{"type":"markup","element":"p","html":"But the further we’ve gotten from Election Day, the less credible Trump’s claim to a historic win has become. Despite that increasing clarity (or perhaps because of it), his allies have gone into overdrive in \u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbc.com/top-stories/latest/trump-mandate-win-agenda-rcna181039\" target=\"_blank\"\u003eclaiming a massive mandate\u003c/a\u003e for Republicans to do whatever it is Trump wants to do over the next four years. The underlying message to Americans: Whatever comes next, it’s exactly what you asked for — so there’s no use in complaining.","elementId":null},{"elementId":null,"type":"embeddedWidget","presentation":{"alignment":"left","size":"small","style":"default","byline":null,"hideRecommendations":false,"hideProductRecommendations":false},"widget":{"id":"ncwd000999","type":"widget","name":"CUSTOM_EMBED","baseline":"","mobileBaseline":"","fallbackUrl":"","properties":{"embed":{"text":"The underlying message to Americans: Whatever comes next, it’s exactly what you asked for — so there’s no use in complaining.","type":"LIFT_OUT"},"presentation":{"size":"SMALL","alignment":"LEFT","style":""}},"publisher":{"name":"nbcnews"}}},{"type":"markup","element":"p","html":"Trump’s campaign has been calling his popular vote win, the first for a Republican since 2004, \u003ca href=\"https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/11/22/trump-win-popular-vote-below-50-percent-00190793\" target=\"_blank\"\u003ea “landslide”\u003c/a\u003e that grants him a \u003ca href=\"https://nbcuni-my.sharepoint.com/personal/206797881_tfayd_com/Documents/Documents/President%20Donald%20J.%20Trump%20won%20the%202024%20presidential%20election%20with%20an%20historic%20mandate.%20As%20the%20first%20Republican%20to%20win%20the%20popular%20vote%20in%20two%20decades,%20President%20Trump%20did%20so%20by%20stitching%20together%20the%20broadest,%20most%20diverse%20coalition%20in%20modern%20history.\" target=\"_blank\"\u003e“historic mandate”\u003c/a\u003e from the masses. Instead, his popular vote lead has instead been shrinking as more votes have been tallied. He \u003ca href=\"https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/president-results\" target=\"_blank\"\u003ehas not won a majority\u003c/a\u003e of the country’s votes, according to the most recent tally from NBC News. And much of \u003ca href=\"https://election.lab.ufl.edu/2024-general-election-turnout/\" target=\"_blank\"\u003ethe data available\u003c/a\u003e shows that Trump’s win likely had more to do with people \u003ca href=\"https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/12/what-numbers-actually-say-about-2024-election/\" target=\"_blank\"\u003eopting to stay home\u003c/a\u003e this year than a massive swing in his favor.","elementId":null},{"type":"markup","element":"p","html":"Moreover, Trump’s “unprecedented” win is in, in fact, very precedented. The New York Times’ Peter Baker rightly noted that his roughly 1.6% win over Vice President Kamala Harris is \u003ca href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/22/us/politics/trump-election-landslide.html\" target=\"_blank\"\u003eone of the smallest margins of victory\u003c/a\u003e since the 19th century. There’s nothing special about 2024’s results compared with \u003ca href=\"https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/president-results/\" target=\"_blank\"\u003eJoe Biden’s 4.5% win in 2020\u003c/a\u003e, let alone Ronald Reagan’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.270towin.com/1984_Election/\" target=\"_blank\"\u003edouble-digit blowout in 1984\u003c/a\u003e.","elementId":null},{"type":"markup","element":"p","html":"Trump’s team prefers to compare his win to Bill Clinton’s victory in 1992, as they did in \u003ca href=\"https://djt.nucleusemail.com/amplify/v/hVAj4jF5fS?hids=%25recipient.hids%25\u0026_nlid=aT62XQpDpu\u0026_nhids=%25recipient.hids%25\" target=\"_blank\"\u003ean email blasted out to reporters\u003c/a\u003e on Friday. Clinton benefited from a three-way race against incumbent President George H.W. Bush and eccentric billionaire Ross Perot that let him win the Electoral College with only a plurality of the votes cast. 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But voters, in all their wisdom, have fallen into a strange cycle: They will support the presidential candidate deemed most likely to represent change, only to move quickly to punish them for any sign of hubris. Every new administration since Clinton has seen its party hold a trifecta in Washington during its first year in office and claim a mandate to shake things up. It has not fared well in most instances.","elementId":null},{"type":"markup","element":"p","html":"Clinton’s attempts to enact major reforms to health care backfired to the point that he spent the next six years \u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/biden-trump-democrats-immigration-election-rcna151979\" target=\"_blank\"\u003etriangulating his way\u003c/a\u003e into serious cuts to the social safety net. President George W. Bush saw a wider margin of victory in his 2004 re-election campaign and held onto Congress. But he was still left reeling politically after \u003ca href=\"https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2017/1/9/13781088/social-security-privatization-why-failed\" target=\"_blank\"\u003eattempting to privatize Social Security\u003c/a\u003e in 2005. President Barack Obama managed to push through the Affordable Care Act, but the public response to that success provided him with a hostile Republican Congress for the final two-thirds of his tenure.","elementId":null},{"elementId":null,"type":"embeddedWidget","presentation":{"alignment":"left","size":"small","style":"default","byline":null,"hideRecommendations":false,"hideProductRecommendations":false},"widget":{"id":"ncwd000999","type":"widget","name":"CUSTOM_EMBED","baseline":"","mobileBaseline":"","fallbackUrl":"","properties":{"embed":{"text":"It’s a big bet on the idea that Trump (or Republicans generally) will face no repercussions for taking a hard turn to the right then flooring it to the far edges.","type":"LIFT_OUT"},"presentation":{"size":"SMALL","alignment":"LEFT","style":""}},"publisher":{"name":"nbcnews"}}},{"type":"markup","element":"p","html":"In each of those cases, the election winner won a larger margin in the popular vote than Trump did. Arguably, none of them had policy proposals — proposed or enacted — that did more to disrupt the status quo than what Trump has in the works. It’s a big bet on the idea that Trump (or Republicans generally) will face no repercussions for taking a hard turn to the right then flooring it to the far edges. Trump’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbc.com/top-stories/latest/trump-appointees-list-administration-cabinet-white-house-rcna179749\" target=\"_blank\"\u003eselection of Cabinet members\u003c/a\u003e offers sufficient evidence that he has no eye toward coming off as moderate or restrained.","elementId":null},{"type":"markup","element":"p","html":"But \u003ca href=\"https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/11/22/public-narrowly-approves-of-trumps-plans-most-are-skeptical-he-will-unify-the-country/?utm_source=AdaptiveMailer\u0026utm_medium=email\u0026utm_campaign=24-11-22%20Post-Election%20GEN%20DISTRO\u0026org=982\u0026lvl=100\u0026ite=15064\u0026lea=3986154\u0026ctr=0\u0026par=1\u0026trk=\" target=\"_blank\"\u003ethe Pew Research Center’s polling\u003c/a\u003e hasn’t found a massive surge in support for his policies. A survey conducted in the week after the election found only a small majority — 53% total — are picking up what Trump is putting down. That includes 27% of respondents who say they “strongly approve of his plans and policies for the future” and 25% saying they somewhat approve. But when you drill down into \u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/huge-problem-polls-trumps-mass-deportation-plan-rcna178065\" target=\"_blank\"\u003ethe details of Trump’s plans on immigration\u003c/a\u003e, for example, the illusion of a “mandate” evaporates as the supposed popular support erodes.","elementId":null},{"type":"markup","element":"p","html":"The muddled, middling nature of Trump’s claim to a mandate only exacerbates the uncertainty of how far he’ll be able to push the country without backlash. Political scientist Julia Azari \u003ca href=\"https://theconversation.com/presidents-often-claim-mandates-especially-when-they-want-to-expand-their-power-or-are-on-the-defensive-243904\" target=\"_blank\"\u003erecently wrote\u003c/a\u003e that presidential claims to a mandate aren’t always successful but have “\u003ca href=\"https://www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/book/9780801452246/delivering-the-peoples-message/\" target=\"_blank\"\u003ehistorically been connected\u003c/a\u003e to unprecedented expansions of presidential power. This could be a recipe for overreach, as it often has been for modern presidents. Or it could be a way to give an unchecked executive the veneer of following the popular will.”","elementId":null},{"type":"markup","element":"p","html":"The latter is surely what Trump’s incoming loyalists are counting on, as they prepare to enact any number of \u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/project-2025-russell-vought-trump-cabinet-management-budget-rcna181088\" target=\"_blank\"\u003edraconian budget cuts\u003c/a\u003e or \u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/trump-immigration-mass-deportation-rcna179816\" target=\"_blank\"\u003ehuman rights violations\u003c/a\u003e grounded in the supposed approval of a majority of Americans. The \u003ca href=\"https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/senate-republicans-confirm-trump-nominees-rcna180349\" target=\"_blank\"\u003esame goes for the Republican lawmakers\u003c/a\u003e who seem willing to cede all authority over spending or keeping the White House from overstepping its bounds. But the blank check from voters that Trump is trying to cash is a forgery that can’t be allowed to be deposited into our collective memory bank. The will of Donald Trump should never be confused for the will of all Americans.","elementId":null}],"datePublished":"Mon Nov 25 2024 11:00:41 GMT+0000 (UTC)","dateModified":"Mon Nov 25 2024 17:30:16 GMT+0000 (UTC)","dateCreated":"Mon Nov 25 2024 11:00:41 GMT+0000 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