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Scholz to Trump: Hold my beer – POLITICO

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[{"bidder":"appnexus","params":{"placementId":21779750}},{"bidder":"openx","params":{"delDomain":"politicoeu-d.openx.net","unit":"541195082"}},{"bidder":"openx","params":{"delDomain":"politicoeu-d.openx.net","unit":"541195092"}},{"bidder":"openx","params":{"delDomain":"politicoeu-d.openx.net","unit":"541195088"}},{"bidder":"rubicon","params":{"accountId":"16408","siteId":"123778","zoneId":"584530"}},{"bidder":"ix","params":{"siteId":"678629","size":[728,90]}},{"bidder":"ix","params":{"siteId":"678629","size":[720,500]}},{"bidder":"ix","params":{"siteId":"678629","size":[300,250]}}] },{ code: 'div-gpt-ad-instory-5', mediaTypes: { banner: { sizes: [[728,90], [720,500], [300,250]] } }, bids: [{"bidder":"appnexus","params":{"placementId":21779750}},{"bidder":"openx","params":{"delDomain":"politicoeu-d.openx.net","unit":"541195082"}},{"bidder":"openx","params":{"delDomain":"politicoeu-d.openx.net","unit":"541195092"}},{"bidder":"openx","params":{"delDomain":"politicoeu-d.openx.net","unit":"541195088"}},{"bidder":"rubicon","params":{"accountId":"16408","siteId":"123778","zoneId":"584530"}},{"bidder":"ix","params":{"siteId":"678640","size":[728,90]}},{"bidder":"ix","params":{"siteId":"678640","size":[720,500]}},{"bidder":"ix","params":{"siteId":"678640","size":[300,250]}}] }]; var apsAdUnits = [{ slotID: 'div-gpt-ad-leaderboard', slotName: '52224093/Leaderboard', sizes: [[970,250], [970,90], [728,90]] },{ slotID: 'div-gpt-ad-rectangle-1', slotName: '52224093/Rectangle-1', sizes: [[300,250], [300,600]] },{ slotID: 'div-gpt-ad-rectangle-2', slotName: '52224093/Rectangle-2', sizes: [[300,250], [300,600]] },{ slotID: 'div-gpt-ad-rectangle-3', slotName: '52224093/Rectangle-3', sizes: [[300,250], [300,600]] },{ slotID: 'div-gpt-ad-rectangle-4', slotName: '52224093/Rectangle-4', sizes: [[300,250], [300,600]] },{ slotID: 'div-gpt-ad-rectangle-5', slotName: '52224093/Rectangle-5', sizes: [[300,250], [300,600]] },{ slotID: 'div-gpt-ad-instream-1', slotName: '52224093/Instream-1', sizes: [[970,250], [970,90], [728,90], [300,250]] },{ slotID: 'div-gpt-ad-instream-2', slotName: '52224093/Instream-2', sizes: [[970,250], [970,90], [728,90], [300,250]] },{ slotID: 'div-gpt-ad-instream-3', slotName: '52224093/Instream-3', sizes: [[970,250], [970,90], [728,90], [300,250]] },{ slotID: 'div-gpt-ad-instory-1', slotName: '52224093/Instory-1', sizes: [[728,90], [720,500], [300,250]] },{ slotID: 'div-gpt-ad-instory-2', slotName: '52224093/Instory-2', sizes: [[728,90], [720,500], [300,250]] },{ slotID: 'div-gpt-ad-instory-3', slotName: '52224093/Instory-3', sizes: [[728,90], [720,500], [300,250]] },{ slotID: 'div-gpt-ad-instory-4', slotName: '52224093/Instory-4', sizes: [[728,90], [720,500], [300,250]] },{ slotID: 'div-gpt-ad-instory-5', slotName: '52224093/Instory-5', sizes: [[728,90], [720,500], [300,250]] }]; window.googletag = window.googletag || {cmd: []}; var FAILSAFE_TIMEOUT = 2000; var googletag = googletag || {}; googletag.cmd = googletag.cmd || []; googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.pubads().disableInitialLoad(); }); var pbjs = pbjs || {}; pbjs.que = pbjs.que || []; var requestManager = { adserverRequestSent: false, aps: false, prebid: false }; // When both APS and Prebid have returned, initiate ad request. function biddersBack() { if (requestManager.aps && requestManager.prebid) { initAdserver(); } return; } // Refresh units once bid requests have been sent. function initAdserver() { if (requestManager.adserverRequestSent === true) { return; } requestManager.adserverRequestSent = true; googletag.cmd.push(function() { // Update page-level targeting to set Piano segments. By this point we should have them since bids typically take longer. googletag.pubads().setTargeting( 'CxSegments', window.pianoCxSegmentIds ); googletag.pubads().refresh(); }); } // Send bid request to APS and Prebid. function requestHeaderBids() { // APS request. apstag.fetchBids({ slots: apsAdUnits },function(bids) { googletag.cmd.push(function() { apstag.setDisplayBids(); requestManager.aps = true; biddersBack(); }); }); // Prebid request. pbjs.que.push(function() { // Only request bids for units that exist on the page. adUnits = adUnits.filter( function( item ) { return document.getElementById( item.code ); } ); pbjs.addAdUnits(adUnits); pbjs.setConfig({ consentManagement: { gdpr: { cmpApi: 'iab', defaultGdprScope: true, } }, userSync: { filterSettings: { iframe: { bidders: [ 'openx' ], // @see https://github.com/prebid/Prebid.js/blob/master/modules/openxBidAdapter.md. filter: 'include' }, } } }); pbjs.bidderSettings = { appnexus: { storageAllowed: true }, ix: { storageAllowed: true }, openx: { storageAllowed: true }, rubicon: { storageAllowed: true }, teads: { storageAllowed: true } }; pbjs.requestBids({ bidsBackHandler: function() { googletag.cmd.push(function() { pbjs.setTargetingForGPTAsync(); requestManager.prebid = true; biddersBack(); }) } }); }); } // Call bids once consent string is available. if ( typeof window.__tcfapi !== 'undefined' ) { window.__tcfapi( 'addEventListener', 2, function( tcData, listenerSuccess ) { if ( listenerSuccess ) { if ( tcData.eventStatus === 'useractioncomplete' || tcData.eventStatus === 'tcloaded' ) { requestHeaderBids(); } } }); } else { requestHeaderBids(); } // Failsafe if Prebid or APS doesn't load. setTimeout(function() { initAdserver(); }, FAILSAFE_TIMEOUT); googletag.cmd.push( function() { var sizeMappingleaderboard = googletag.sizeMapping().addSize([1024,200], [[970,250], [970,90], [728,90], [1,1]]).addSize([768,200], [[728,90], [1,1]]).addSize([0,0], [[320,100], [1,1]]).build(); var sizeMappingrectangle = googletag.sizeMapping().addSize([1024,200], [[300,250], [300,600]]).addSize([768,200], [[300,250]]).addSize([0,0], [[0,0]]).build(); var sizeMappinginstream = googletag.sizeMapping().addSize([1024,200], [[970,250], [970,90], [728,90], [300,250], [1,1]]).addSize([768,200], [[728,90], [300,250], [1,1]]).addSize([0,0], [[300,250], [320,100], [1,1]]).build(); var sizeMappinginstory = googletag.sizeMapping().addSize([1024,200], [[728,90], [720,500], [300,250], [1,1]]).addSize([768,200], [[728,90], [300,250], [1,1]]).addSize([0,0], [[300,250], [320,500], [320,100], [1,1]]).build(); var sizeMappingsticky_footer = googletag.sizeMapping().addSize([0,0], [[320,50]]).build(); var sizeMappingskin = googletag.sizeMapping().addSize([1024,200], [[1,1]]).build(); var sizeMappingfluid = googletag.sizeMapping().addSize([1024,200], [[300,250], "fluid"]).addSize([768,200], [[300,250], "fluid"]).addSize([0,0], [[300,250], "fluid"]).build(); googletag.defineSlot( '52224093/Leaderboard', [[970,250], [970,90], [728,90], [1,1]], 'div-gpt-ad-leaderboard' ).setTargeting('tag',[""]).setTargeting('section',[""]).setTargeting('country',[""]).setTargeting('person',[""]).setTargeting('organisation',[""]).setTargeting('post_type',['newsletter']).setTargeting('page_type',['single']).setTargeting('post_id',['5669850']).setTargeting('newsletter',['brussels-playbook']).setTargeting('language',['en']).defineSizeMapping( sizeMappingleaderboard ).addService( googletag.pubads() ); googletag.pubads().enableLazyLoad({ fetchMarginPercent: 0, renderMarginPercent: 0, mobileScaling: 2.0 }); // googletag.pubads().enableSingleRequest(); googletag.enableServices(); googletag.pubads().addEventListener( 'slotOnload', function( event ) { const adDiv = document.getElementById( event.slot.getSlotElementId() ); const width = adDiv.offsetWidth; const height = adDiv.offsetHeight; const adWrapper = adDiv.parentElement.parentElement; if ( adWrapper.classList.contains( 'ad' ) ) { if ( width ) { adWrapper.classList.remove( 'ad__small--width', 'ad__medium--width', 'ad__full--width' ); if ( width <= 300 ) { adWrapper.classList.add( 'ad__small--width' ); } else if ( width <= 728 ) { adWrapper.classList.add( 'ad__medium--width' ); } else { adWrapper.classList.add( 'ad__full--width' ); } } if ( height ) { if ( height <= 50 ) { adWrapper.classList.add( 'ad__height--short' ); } else if ( height <= 100 ) { adWrapper.classList.add( 'ad__height--medium' ); } } } }); } ); </script> <!-- Open Graph Tags --> <meta property="og:type" content="article" /> <meta property="og:title" content="Scholz to Trump: Hold my beer" /> <meta property="og:url" content="https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/brussels-playbook/scholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer/" /> <meta property="og:description" content="What&#8217;s driving the day in Brussels. 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style="display: none;max-height: 0px;overflow: hidden;color: transparent;font-size: 0">What&#8217;s driving the day in Brussels.</p> <table border="0" width="100%" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td align="center"> <img decoding="async" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/20/Brussels-Playbook.jpg" alt="Brussels Playbook" width="600" /> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <p align="center"><strong>By SARAH WHEATON</strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>with ZOYA SHEFTALOVICH</strong></p> <p style="text-align: center" align="center">Send tips <a href="/cdn-cgi/l/email-protection#e88a9a9d9b9b8d849b988489918a8787838d9a9ba8988784819c818b87c68d9d" target="_blank">here</a> | Tweet <a class="c-link" href="https://twitter.com/NicholasVinocur" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-stringify-link="https://twitter.com/NicholasVinocur" data-sk="tooltip_parent">@NicholasVinocur</a> <a class="c-link" href="https://twitter.com/swheaton" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-stringify-link="https://twitter.com/swheaton" data-sk="tooltip_parent">@swheaton</a> <a class="c-link" href="https://twitter.com/EddyWax" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-stringify-link="https://twitter.com/EddyWax" data-sk="tooltip_parent">@EddyWax</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/brussels-playbook/scholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer/">Listen to Playbook and view in your browser</a></p> <p><strong>HOWDY.</strong> It&#8217;s Thursday. We here at Brussels Playbook live for elections. But with news coming out of Ireland and Germany on the heels of the massive U.S. vote, we&#8217;re struggling with a democratic sleep deficit. </p> <p><a href="https://x.com/eddywax" target="_blank">Eddy Wax</a> will help you wake up on Friday morning.</p> <h3 id="scholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer"><span style="color: #cd171e">SCHOLZ TO TRUMP: HOLD MY BEER</span><span class="newsletter-share-links" style="display: inline-block; min-width: 120px; height: 24px; vertical-align: 15%;">&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon twitter" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=POLITICO+Brussels+Playbook%3A+SCHOLZ+TO+TRUMP%3A+HOLD+MY+BEER&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23scholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Twitter" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-twitter.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon facebook" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23scholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer&t=POLITICO+Brussels+Playbook%3A+SCHOLZ+TO+TRUMP%3A+HOLD+MY+BEER" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Facebook" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-facebook.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon linkedin" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23scholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer&mini=1" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Linkedin" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-linkedin.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon handclap" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/brussels-playbook/scholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer/?hc=1#scholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Handclap" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-handclap.png"><span class="handclap-count" style="display: inline-block; margin-left: 4px;"></span></a></span></h3> <p><strong>GERMAN COALITION COLLAPSES: </strong>Just when you thought Donald Trump winning the U.S. election was going to be the top story in all EU capitals (more on that below, obvs), Germany&#8217;s three-party ruling coalition imploded Wednesday, paving the way for an election within months. <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-coalition-government-collapse-olaf-scholz-finance-minister-christian-lindner/">More details here.</a></p> <p><strong>60-second summary: </strong>After months of in-fighting over spending and economic reforms, German&#8217;s SPD Chancellor Olaf Scholz announced on Wednesday that he would fire his Finance Minister Christian Lindner, from the fiscally conservative Free Democratic Party. The move effectively ejects the FDP from the coalition, forcing Scholz to call a confidence vote (penciled in for Jan. 15). If Scholz loses (highly likely), the German president can dissolve the parliament within 21 days, with a snap election taking place within 60 days of that — April 6 at the latest.</p> <p><strong>Spare a thought for Kyiv:</strong> The incoming U.S. president has vowed to cut funding to Ukraine, and its top European backer now looks set to be paralyzed for months. <a href="https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/berlin-playbook/lindner-geht-die-neuwahl-kommt/">My Berlin Playbook colleagues</a> have plenty more this morning.</p> <h3 id="driving-the-day-orbans-champagne-toast"><span style="color: #cd171e">DRIVING THE DAY: ORBÁN&#8217;S CHAMPAGNE TOAST</span><span class="newsletter-share-links" style="display: inline-block; min-width: 120px; height: 24px; vertical-align: 15%;">&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon twitter" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=POLITICO+Brussels+Playbook%3A+DRIVING+THE+DAY%3A+ORB%C3%81N%26%238217%3BS+CHAMPAGNE+TOAST&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23driving-the-day-orbans-champagne-toast" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Twitter" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-twitter.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon facebook" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23driving-the-day-orbans-champagne-toast&t=POLITICO+Brussels+Playbook%3A+DRIVING+THE+DAY%3A+ORB%C3%81N%26%238217%3BS+CHAMPAGNE+TOAST" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Facebook" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-facebook.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon linkedin" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23driving-the-day-orbans-champagne-toast&mini=1" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Linkedin" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-linkedin.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon handclap" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/brussels-playbook/scholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer/?hc=1#driving-the-day-orbans-champagne-toast"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Handclap" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-handclap.png"><span class="handclap-count" style="display: inline-block; margin-left: 4px;"></span></a></span></h3> <p><strong>ORBÁN TIMING TRIUMPH:</strong> Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán planned it this way. He&#8217;s hosting major gatherings of European leaders in Budapest today and Friday at a moment when he can claim to be the transatlantic linchpin. For the rest of the bloc, the challenge will be to stay unified.</p> <p><strong>We can hear the corks popping.</strong> Orbán promised to open several bottles of Champagne if Trump won the U.S. election, and it’s no wonder. The EU&#8217;s usual power players, France and Germany, are dealing with domestic chaos. Meanwhile, Orbán and an ascendant bloc of right-wing and populist leaders, including Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, have a powerful narrative of Making Europe Great Again (the Hungarian Council presidency’s slogan).</p> <p><strong>Live in Budapest: </strong>The European Political Community <a href="https://www.consilium.europa.eu/media/v5yke2kh/background-brief-final.pdf" target="_blank">brings 47 leaders</a> from across Europe to Budapest today, before the outsiders scatter and the EU leaders have dinner and discuss the 47th U.S. president. They’re captive to Orbán’s agenda, on his home turf and exposed to his surprises. He could even try to patch Trump into the dinner via video-link (Brussels asked that the meeting be restricted to official guests only).&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>Sober pregame: </strong>European ambassadors plotted how the EU should respond to Trump’s presidency on Wednesday — especially if he follows through on his threat to boost tariffs on all goods coming into the U.S. by up to 20 percent.</p> <p><strong>Playing the long game: </strong>“On tariffs, our reaction must not be determined by the context, but by our long-term strategy. It doesn’t mean we have to hit back hard or softly, because that depends on what Trump does, whether he makes a symbolic attack or goes after an entire sector,” one EU diplomat said, summing up the Europeans&#8217; mood. “But it means our initial reaction must be carefully thought through, as it sets the tone for the rest of the relationship,” the diplomat told my Paris-based colleague Clea Caulcutt.&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>That’s the challenge</strong>. The tricky task will be maintaining unity — among the European Commission and EU countries — on how to respond to the challenges ahead, be they in the realm of security or trade. “You will see all the member states &#8230; begging favors from the American godfather,” another diplomat told Camille Gijs. (It’s already happening; more on that below.)</p> <p><strong>Meloni’s moment</strong>: Perhaps more than Orbán, Meloni is poised to become a real power player. She still has credibility with Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and other mainstream EU leaders (and she doesn’t share Orbán’s warm stance toward Russia), but she’s also ideologically aligned with Trump’s team and <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/elon-musk-denies-romantic-relationship-giorgia-meloni-new-york-lovefest/">tight with allies like Elon Musk</a>. Klaus Welle, former European Parliament secretary-general and European People’s Party stalwart, identified her as a key bridge in a <a href="https://www.euractiv.com/section/all/interview/klaus-welle-only-trusted-eu-politicians-can-build-bridge-with-trump-us-meloni-could-have-role/" target="_blank">recent Euractiv interview</a>.&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>Brussels braces: </strong>EU establishment players, especially those confronting Orbán and others on rule of law issues,<strong> </strong>lament the power dynamics. Věra Jourová, the Commission’s outgoing vice president in charge of values and transparency, regretted that those working against liberal democracy (without naming names) would now have “bigger horses” to ride on. On the sidelines of a civil society gathering in Brussels on Wednesday, she said these “more conservative political circles” would have more influence on topics including Ukraine, gender issues, migration and the concept of “sovereignty.”</p> <p><strong>The real winners of the U.S. election: </strong><a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/us-election-donald-trump-europe-populists-right-wing-viktor-orban-giorgia-meloni-karl-nehammer-war-in-ukraine/">Europe’s populist right-wing wreckers</a>. Read the full article by Nicholas Vinocur, Clea Caulcutt, Hannah Roberts and Csongor Körömi.</p> <p><strong>MEANWHILE, IS ORBÁN VULNERABLE</strong> <strong>AT HOME? </strong>Only eight months after Orbán <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/viktor-orban-eu-hungary-peter-magyar-mep-epp-brussels/">aide-turned-nemesis</a> Péter Magyar launched the public movement that evolved into the Tisza Party, a recent poll shows it well ahead of Orbán&#8217;s own populist Fidesz. According to <a href="https://hvg.hu/360/20241105_Median-kozvelemeny-kutatas-partpreferenciak-Fidesz-Tisza" target="_blank">Medián</a>, considered the most credible polling institute in Hungary, Tisza polls at 46 percent among those who would vote in an upcoming election, with Fidesz trailing at 39 percent. The gap exceeds the margin of error.</p> <p><strong>It&#8217;s not a one-off:</strong> Several <a href="https://telex.hu/belfold/2024/10/24/publicus-tisza-part-fidesz-felmeres" target="_blank">other polls</a> in the past few weeks have shown Tisza not only <a href="https://nezopont.hu/hu/tevekenysegeink/kozvelemeny-kutatasok/valtozatlan-a-partverseny-allasa" target="_blank">catching up</a> with Fidesz but <a href="https://24.hu/kozelet/2024/10/23/21-kutatokozpont-tisza-part-kozvelemeny-kutatas-tisza-part-fidesz/" target="_blank">pulling ahead</a>, marking the first time in 18 years that a single party has been in front of Orbán&#8217;s.&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>Reality check:</strong> The old opposition alliance was ahead of Fidesz in <a href="https://telex.hu/belfold/2021/12/03/zavecz-szuken-de-vezet-az-ellenzek" target="_blank">some polls</a> at the end of 2021 but <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/hungarian-pm-orban-set-to-clinch-fourth-straight-term-with-big-election-win/">lost the 2022 election</a> by a huge margin.</p> <h3 id="welcome-back-donald"><span style="color: #cd171e">WELCOME BACK, DONALD</span><span class="newsletter-share-links" style="display: inline-block; 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width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-facebook.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon linkedin" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23welcome-back-donald&mini=1" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Linkedin" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-linkedin.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon handclap" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/brussels-playbook/scholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer/?hc=1#welcome-back-donald"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Handclap" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-handclap.png"><span class="handclap-count" style="display: inline-block; margin-left: 4px;"></span></a></span></h3> <p><strong>THE NEW EUROPEAN ARMS RACE: </strong>Playbook literally LOLed when we saw this headline from our Paris-based colleague Clea Caulcutt: “<a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/macron-trump-election-us-republican-europe-congratulate-victory/">Macron narrowly beats other leaders to congratulate Trump on election victory</a>.” Since then, Macron has gone further than a flattering tweet, <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/macron-trump-discuss-ukraine-and-middle-east-in-first-phone-call/">managing to get Trump on the phone</a>. </p> <p><strong>Defense integration —&nbsp;or defensive ingratiation?</strong> Trump’s victory is spurring fresh ambitions for Europe to get its act together on defense. <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/macron-trump-discuss-ukraine-and-middle-east-in-first-phone-call/">But even more evident is the EU leaders’ race to open their arms to Trump.</a></p> <p><strong>These tweets do matter:</strong> Trump <a href="https://www.axios.com/2021/12/10/trump-netanyahu-disloyalty-fuck-him" target="_blank">gave Benjamin Netanyahu the silent treatment</a> for years after the Israeli leader congratulated Joe Biden on his 2020 election win.&nbsp;The stream of warm wishes — many sent before the Republican candidate officially passed the threshold of 270 Electoral College votes — portends a scramble to secure bilateral relations with the new administration.</p> <p><strong>Every country for itself: </strong>“My fear is that individually, countries in the European Union will try to have a good relationship with Trump,” said Guy Verhofstadt, the former MEP and Belgian prime minister who is now serving as president of European Movement International, an NGO that wants deeper EU integration. Whether those countries are aiming to avoid tariffs or extra defense commitments by touting their higher military spending, Verhofstadt has a stark warning: “This could end also in a further disintegration of the European Union.”</p> <p><strong>Verhofstadt scoffed at Macron’s announcement</strong> that he was <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/macron-trump-election-us-republican-europe-congratulate-victory/">coordinating with Olaf Scholz</a>, mocking all the X posts Wednesday morning calling the election a “wakeup call” for boosting security cooperation. “They talk about that, but they never do it,” he said.</p> <p><strong>Speaking of Franco-German cooperation:</strong> Defense ministers from both countries met just hours before the German government collapsed. <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-reelection-european-defense-security-germany-boris-pistorius-france-sebastien-lecornu/">Laura Kayali has more</a>.</p> <p><strong>TUSK VS. SIKORSKI:</strong> Warsaw has been consistent in its calls to boost EU defense, and Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski repeated the point Wednesday. “I am in regular contact with top security officials from both parties,” he <a href="https://x.com/radeksikorski?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor" target="_blank">posted on X</a>. “Europe urgently needs to take more responsibility for its security.”</p> <p><strong>Not helpful: </strong>Yet a public message from Sikorski’s boss, Prime Minister Donald Tusk, could hurt Poland’s relationship with the new Republican Senate majority. A think tanker from the hawkish Hudson Institute in the U.S. <a href="https://x.com/peterrough/status/1854131463026864610" target="_blank">resurfaced</a> a Tusk tweet from <a href="https://x.com/donaldtusk/status/1755487973997457772" target="_blank">earlier this year</a> that said “Shame on you” to Republican senators balking at more Ukraine aid. “Now it looks foolish in the extreme,” said Peter Rough, director of Hudson’s Center on Europe.</p> <p><strong>Tusk could learn something from &#8230;</strong> Kevin Rudd, Australia&#8217;s current U.S. ambassador and former prime minister, <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/rudd-scrubs-anti-trump-comments-from-the-internet-as-charm-offensive-begins-20241107-p5kolc.html" target="_blank">who&#8217;s been scrubbing his social media of anti-Trump comments.</a></p> <p><strong>VDL VS. MICHEL: </strong>Call it the adverb heard around the world. Ursula von der Leyen’s decision to “<a href="https://x.com/vonderleyen/status/1854080384608190708" target="_blank">warmly congratulate</a>” Trump obliges us to note that Council President Charles Michel offered <a href="https://x.com/CharlesMichel/status/1854081489157111842" target="_blank">cooler congrats</a>. U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer sent &#8220;<a href="https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/keir-starmer-donald-trump-victory-b2642738.html" target="_blank">hearty congratulations</a>&#8221; (like soup?).</p> <p><a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/europe-reacts-donald-trump-expected-victory-us-election-2024/">More leaders congratulating Trump</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-ulf-kristersson-presidency-risky-for-europe-swedish-pm-warns/">Sweden’s risky congratulations</a> | <a href="https://english.news.cn/20241107/831f180c06c7418e8476134e78233b0a/c.html" target="_blank">Xi Jinping&#8217;s lukewarm message</a></p> <p><strong>Who’s not congratulating Trump:</strong> Vladimir Putin. Eva Hartog <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-us-elections-vladimir-putin-russia-ukraine-defense-foreign-policy-war/">translates the silence</a>.&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>UKRAINE BRACED:</strong> Kyiv reacted with trepidation and grim resolve to the reelection of a Republican candidate who repeatedly claimed he’d end the war with Russia in one day, vowed to stop aid to Kyiv and boasted of his good relationship with Vladimir Putin. “We rely on continued strong bipartisan support for Ukraine in the United States,” President Volodymyr Zelenskyy <a href="https://x.com/zelenskyyua/status/1854073411904938032?s=46" target="_blank">said in a statement congratulating Trump</a>. But officials in Kyiv acknowledge they’ll now likely have to rely on other Western allies to fend off a renewed Russian offensive backed by thousands of North Korean troops.</p> <p><strong>Hoping for the best 1:</strong> “We’ll have to live in Trump’s world now,” said Tymofiy Mylovanov, president of the Kyiv School of Economics, <a href="https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=pfbid037AMPT41GqguhfnwRKzh9TYB8QZsAWu5fdAyUXjT9LYHh8UUCyq9px8mNw7de5brel&amp;id=100004775745586" target="_blank">in a Facebook post:</a> &#8220;I am very skeptical that the war will end in 24 hours, as he promised. But we definitely won’t get bored.” Oleksandr Merezhko, head of the foreign relations committee in the Ukrainian parliament, told POLITICO: “I do not think that [Trump’s] presidency will be bad for Ukraine — maybe difficult, challenging, but not necessarily bad.” My colleague in Kyiv, Veronika Melkozerova, <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-reaction-donald-trump-victory-us-election-2024-russia-war-volodymyr-zelenskyy/">has more here</a>.</p> <p><strong>Hoping for the best 2:</strong> Trump’s unique “unpredictability” is a potential key to peace in Ukraine, former NATO boss Anders Fogh Rasmussen <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/anders-fogh-rasmussen-donald-trump-reelection-war-in-ukraine-peace-deal-nato/">said Wednesday.</a></p> <p><strong>When it comes to Trump, flattery gets you everywhere: </strong>Zelenskyy <a href="https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa/status/1854289413246705695" target="_blank">last night said</a> he&#8217;d had an &#8220;excellent call&#8221; with Trump and &#8220;congratulated him on his historic landslide victory,&#8221; adding that &#8220;his tremendous campaign made this result possible.&#8221;</p> <p><strong>Democrats rush to &#8220;Trump-proof&#8221; support for Kyiv:</strong> Biden administration officials hope to get more than $6 billion remaining in Ukraine security assistance out the door before Trump returns to the White House, <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2024/11/06/biden-trump-ukraine-assistance-00187897" target="_blank">my Stateside colleagues report</a>.</p> <p><strong>It won’t be easy —</strong>&nbsp;it normally takes months for munitions and equipment to get to Ukraine after an aid package is announced, so anything rolled out in the coming weeks would likely not fully arrive until well into the new government’s term. Trump could halt the shipments before they’re on the ground.</p> <p><strong>It&#8217;s not just Biden&#8217;s Ukraine legacy under threat.</strong> Despondent White House officials are examining other ways to preserve the Democrats’ national security agenda, but there’s little they can do to stop Trump from dismantling their policies given he’ll have broad executive authority and enough support in Congress and the judiciary, <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2024/11/06/biden-trump-proofing-foreign-policy-00187875" target="_blank">Nahal Toosi and Robbie Gramer report</a>.</p> <p><strong>What else we&#8217;re reading: </strong><a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-washington-us-elections-win-2024-kamala-harris-europe-russia/">What Trump 2.0 means for Europe</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/11/06/donald-trump-election-humiliated-his-foes-00187812" target="_blank">Trump has humiliated his foes</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/11/06/team-biden-team-harris-who-lost-2024-00187987" target="_blank">Team Biden vs. Team Harris: Who lost 2024?</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-elon-musk-x-tech-social-media-politics-elections-eu/">Trump&#8217;s win will test the EU&#8217;s tech crackdown on Musk&#8217;s X</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/democrats-us-election-2024-keep-forgetting-working-class-left-wing-parties/">Democrats keep forgetting the working class</a></p> <p><strong>NOW LISTEN TO THIS — TRUMP MARCHES ON:</strong> Fresh from election night and the ensuing 24 hours in Washington, Power Play host Anne McElvoy talks to the A-Team in POLITICO&#8217;s D.C. newsroom about what the election result means for America and the rest of the world. What will Trump&#8217;s first step be? <a href="https://pod.link/1202281739" target="_blank">Listen here</a>.</p> <p><strong>HAPPENING TODAY:</strong> U.S. President Joe Biden will deliver an address at 5 p.m. Brussels time.</p> <p><strong>**Want to know more on how to foster the EV uptake by professional drivers to meet Europe’s climate neutrality goals?</strong> Join our expert speakers at POLITICO Live's event "Electrifying ride-hailing for a faster and cleaner transition" on November 18 to discover this and much more. <strong><a class="ProsemirrorEditor-link" href="https://www.politico.eu/event/registration/5583600/?utm_source=InHouse&amp;utm_medium=NewsletterInserts&amp;utm_term=tba&amp;utm_campaign=Event_PolicyEvent_EU_EventCampaign_RideHailing_20241116">Apply today for onsite participation</a>!**</strong></p> <h3 id="vibe-check"><span style="color: #cd171e">VIBE CHECK</span><span class="newsletter-share-links" style="display: inline-block; min-width: 120px; height: 24px; vertical-align: 15%;">&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon twitter" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=POLITICO+Brussels+Playbook%3A+VIBE+CHECK&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23vibe-check" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Twitter" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-twitter.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon facebook" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23vibe-check&t=POLITICO+Brussels+Playbook%3A+VIBE+CHECK" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Facebook" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-facebook.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon linkedin" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23vibe-check&mini=1" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Linkedin" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-linkedin.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon handclap" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/brussels-playbook/scholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer/?hc=1#vibe-check"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Handclap" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-handclap.png"><span class="handclap-count" style="display: inline-block; margin-left: 4px;"></span></a></span></h3> <p><strong>MOOD MUSIC:</strong> Two very different events in Brussels on Wednesday captured how the U.S. election results are playing.&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>LIBERALS — &#8220;GRIEVING&#8221; AND &#8220;EXASPERATION&#8221;: </strong>A <a href="https://europeanmovement.eu/event-list/democracy-alive-the-brussels-summit/" target="_blank">post-mortem panel</a> hosted by European Movement International was largely pessimistic. The German Marshall Fund’s Vassilis Ntousas spoke of a “total exasperation as to how overwhelming the challenge is” among his Brussels bubble contacts. “It&#8217;s not just about hypotheticals. We have the record of the first [Trump] administration to base our projections on. And now this time around, it sounds more alarming because he has the know-how, he has a fuller agenda and the people to execute it with.”</p> <p><strong>Hungarian warnings:</strong> “The problem is not with Donald Trump,” said Klára Dobrev, a Socialists &amp; Democrats MEP from Hungary.&nbsp;“The problem is with the Project 2025,” she continued, referring to a plan by Trump’s conservative allies to reshape the federal government (which Trump disavowed during the campaign). “Because the Project 2025 is Orbán Project 2010.&#8221;</p> <p><strong>POPULISTS — PUTTING &#8220;WOKE&#8221; TO SLEEP:</strong> MCC Brussels, the EU branch of an Orbán-backed think tank, had a packed room for its <a href="https://brussels.mcc.hu/event/unpacking-the-u-s-election-results-day-analysis" target="_blank">analysis of the U.S. election</a>. Rather than fretting about the end of democracy, audience members worried about things like whether disorganized Republicans in the Senate would blow their governing opportunity, and another question from the crowd floated a new theory about the 2020 election being stolen (quickly shot down by a panelist).&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>A popular point:</strong> Trump’s growing support among Latinos and other minority groups was a running theme. Patricia Chagnon, an ex-MEP from the defunct far-right Identity and Democracy group, asked the panel whether the “problem” of &#8220;wokeism&#8221; is “now dealt with.” Writer and lobbyist Craig Willy responded “pessimistically” that “wokeism will definitely be a force going forward. What is interesting is: Can it be contained?”</p> <p><strong>SPOTTED &#8230; </strong>sipping cava (apparently Orbán kept the Champagne in Budapest) at the MCC event:<strong> </strong>MEPs <strong>Hermann Tertsch</strong> and <strong>Philippe Olivier</strong>; ex-MEP <strong>Patricia Chagnon</strong>; House of Hungary’s <strong>Agnes Zsofia Magyar</strong>; Foundation for a Civic Hungary’s <strong>Péter Tüttő</strong>; MCC Brussels chief <strong>Frank Furedi</strong>; Brussels Signal CEO <strong>Patrick Egan</strong>; The European Conservative’s <strong>Tamás Orbán</strong>.</p> <h3 id="commission-confirmation-hearings"><span style="color: #cd171e">COMMISSION CONFIRMATION HEARINGS</span><span class="newsletter-share-links" style="display: inline-block; min-width: 120px; height: 24px; vertical-align: 15%;">&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon twitter" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=POLITICO+Brussels+Playbook%3A+COMMISSION+CONFIRMATION+HEARINGS&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23commission-confirmation-hearings" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Twitter" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-twitter.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon facebook" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23commission-confirmation-hearings&t=POLITICO+Brussels+Playbook%3A+COMMISSION+CONFIRMATION+HEARINGS" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Facebook" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-facebook.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon linkedin" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23commission-confirmation-hearings&mini=1" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Linkedin" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-linkedin.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon handclap" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/brussels-playbook/scholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer/?hc=1#commission-confirmation-hearings"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Handclap" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-handclap.png"><span class="handclap-count" style="display: inline-block; margin-left: 4px;"></span></a></span></h3> <p><strong>IN TROUBLE — Hungary&#8217;s Olivér Várhelyi, </strong>the commissioner-designate for health and animal welfare, failed to win an immediate stamp of approval from MEPs last night. Coordinators for the responsible committees have asked him to answer a second round of written questions. <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/oliver-varhelyi-hungary-second-round-written-questions-european-commissioner-hearings-health-animal-welfare/">Full write-up here.</a></p> <p><strong>SAFE — Belgium’s Hadja Lahbib</strong>, who will have to juggle humanitarian aid, crisis preparedness and management, as well as civil protection and equality (that’s a mouthful), exceeded all expectations in her hearing.</p> <p><strong>SAFE — Sweden&#8217;s Jessika Roswall, </strong>who got MEPs&#8217; greenlight after a backroom deal that saw the liberals clear Roswall in exchange for the EPP approving Lahbib. Max Griera, Leonie Cater and Camille Gijs <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/hadja-lahbib-belgium-jessika-roswall-sweden-european-commissioner-hearings-european-peoples-party-renew-group-social-democrats/">have the juice on that</a>.</p> <p><strong>SAFE — Lithuania&#8217;s Andrius Kubilius,</strong> who persuaded the Parliament to approve his candidacy to be the bloc’s first defense and space commissioner by insisting it’s time to get real about the threat from Moscow. <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/andrius-kubilius-defense-space-chief-european-parliament-hearing-russia/">Takeaways</a>.</p> <p><strong>SAFE — Cyprus’ Costas Kadis</strong>, commissioner-designate for oceans and fisheries,&nbsp;passed the grilling, assisted by his past life as a conservation biologist and environment minister.</p> <p><strong>SAFE — Portugal’s Maria Luís Albuquerque</strong>, set to lead the financial services sector, sailed through, handling technical questions without breaking a sweat but avoiding specifics.&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>SAFE — Czechia’s Jozef Síkela, </strong>international partnerships commissioner-to-be, displayed a shallow knowledge of development issues but shone when asked about money, thanks to his background in investment banking.&nbsp;</p> <p><a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-commissioner-hearings-european-parliament-policy-glenn-micallef-sport-malta-maros-sefcovic-trade-economic-security-slovakia/"><strong>Full details here.</strong></a></p> <h3 id="in-other-news"><span style="color: #cd171e">IN OTHER NEWS</span><span class="newsletter-share-links" style="display: inline-block; min-width: 120px; height: 24px; vertical-align: 15%;">&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon twitter" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=POLITICO+Brussels+Playbook%3A+IN+OTHER+NEWS&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23in-other-news" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Twitter" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-twitter.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon facebook" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23in-other-news&t=POLITICO+Brussels+Playbook%3A+IN+OTHER+NEWS" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Facebook" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-facebook.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon linkedin" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23in-other-news&mini=1" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Linkedin" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-linkedin.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon handclap" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/brussels-playbook/scholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer/?hc=1#in-other-news"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Handclap" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-handclap.png"><span class="handclap-count" style="display: inline-block; margin-left: 4px;"></span></a></span></h3> <p><strong>IRISH ELECTION: </strong>Irish Prime Minister&nbsp;<a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/who-is-simon-harris-irelands-first-millennial-leader-has-come-a-long-way-quickly/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Simon Harris</a>&nbsp;announced there’ll be a snap election in Ireland on Nov. 29. He’s aiming to extend his Fine Gael party’s record 14-year run in power, my colleague Shawn Pogatchnik&nbsp;<a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/ireland-faces-snap-election-november-29-prime-minister-simon-harris/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">reports</a>.</p> <p><strong>REPRESSION IN BELARUS:</strong>&nbsp;Human rights campaigners said more than 100 people have been arrested in Belarus since last Thursday as President Alexander Lukashenko’s authoritarian government cracks down on dissent before an election in January.&nbsp;<a href="https://apnews.com/article/belarus-opposition-lukashenko-crackdown-online-chat-dissent-3c6833aa8d7c24aa7942615fef55432b" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">The Associated Press has the details.</a></p> <p><strong>GRIM CLIMATE:</strong> The EU&#8217;s Copernicus Climate Change Service <a href="https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-2024-virtually-certain-be-warmest-year-and-first-year-above-15degc" target="_blank">proclaimed this morning</a> that 2024 is &#8220;virtually certain&#8221; to be the warmest year on record, and the first year that is 1.5C hotter than pre-industrial levels.</p> <h3 id="agenda"><span style="color: #cd171e">AGENDA</span><span class="newsletter-share-links" style="display: inline-block; min-width: 120px; height: 24px; vertical-align: 15%;">&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon twitter" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=POLITICO+Brussels+Playbook%3A+AGENDA&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23agenda" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Twitter" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-twitter.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon facebook" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23agenda&t=POLITICO+Brussels+Playbook%3A+AGENDA" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Facebook" style="display: inline-block; 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height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-handclap.png"><span class="handclap-count" style="display: inline-block; margin-left: 4px;"></span></a></span></h3> <p>— Last round of commissioner-designate hearings: <strong>Wopke Hoekstra</strong> at <strong>9 a.m.</strong> <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/european-commissioner-hearings-netherlands-wopke-hoekstra-climate/" data-type="link" data-id="https://www.politico.eu/article/european-commissioner-hearings-netherlands-wopke-hoekstra-climate/">Live blog</a>, <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-climate-chief-wopke-hoekstra-climate-change-market-based/">must-read curtain-raiser here</a> … <strong>Marta Kos</strong> at <strong>9 a.m.</strong> <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/european-commissioner-hearings-slovenia-marta-kos-enlargement/">Live blog</a> &#8230; <strong>Piotr Serafin</strong> at <strong>2:30 p.m.</strong> <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/european-commissioner-hearings-poland-piotr-serafin-budget/" data-type="link" data-id="https://www.politico.eu/article/european-commissioner-hearings-poland-piotr-serafin-budget/">Live blog</a> … <strong>Valdis Dombrovskis</strong> at <strong>2:30 p.m.</strong> <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/european-commissioner-hearings-latvia-valdis-dombrovskis-economy/" data-type="link" data-id="https://www.politico.eu/article/european-commissioner-hearings-latvia-valdis-dombrovskis-economy/">Live blog</a>.</p> <p>— Meeting of the European Political Community in Budapest, Hungary from <strong>10 a.m. </strong>… press conference with Hungary’s Prime Minister <strong>Viktor Orbán </strong>and Albania’s Prime Minister <strong>Edi Rama </strong>at <strong>5:30 p.m.</strong> <a href="https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/meetings/international-summit/2024/11/07/" target="_blank">Agenda</a>.&nbsp;</p> <p>— Informal meeting of EU leaders in Budapest begins with a gala dinner at <strong>7:30 p.m.</strong> <a href="https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/meetings/european-council/2024/11/08/" target="_blank">Agenda</a>. <a href="https://audiovisual.ec.europa.eu/en/ebs/live/1" target="_blank">Watch</a>.</p> <p>— NATO Secretary-General <strong>Mark Rutte</strong> meets <strong>Orbán.</strong></p> <p>— State of Europe 2024 conference, organized by Friends of Europe; Justice Commissioner <strong>Didier Reynders</strong>, Jobs Commissioner <strong>Nicolas Schmit</strong> and Competition Commissioner <strong>Margrethe Vestage</strong>r will attend.</p> <p>— Commission Vice President <strong>Věra Jourová</strong> in Strasbourg, France; speaks at the World Forum for Democracy.</p> <p>— U.S. President<strong> Joe Biden </strong>delivers address at <strong>5 p.m.</strong> Brussels time.</p> <h3 id="brussels-corner"><span style="color: #cd171e">BRUSSELS CORNER</span><span class="newsletter-share-links" style="display: inline-block; min-width: 120px; height: 24px; vertical-align: 15%;">&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon twitter" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=POLITICO+Brussels+Playbook%3A+BRUSSELS+CORNER&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23brussels-corner" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Twitter" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-twitter.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon facebook" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23brussels-corner&t=POLITICO+Brussels+Playbook%3A+BRUSSELS+CORNER" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Facebook" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-facebook.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon linkedin" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.eu%2Fnewsletter%2Fbrussels-playbook%2Fscholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer%2F%23brussels-corner&mini=1" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Linkedin" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-linkedin.png"></a>&nbsp; <a class="newsletter-share-icon handclap" style="display: inline-block; color: #999; font-size: 14px;" href="https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/brussels-playbook/scholz-to-trump-hold-my-beer/?hc=1#brussels-corner"><img decoding="async" width="21" alt="Share on Handclap" style="display: inline-block; width: 21px; height: 21px; vertical-align: middle;" src="https://www.politico.eu/wp-content/themes/politico/assets/images/icons/newsletter/icon-handclap.png"><span class="handclap-count" style="display: inline-block; margin-left: 4px;"></span></a></span></h3> <p><strong>WEATHER: </strong>High of 10C, cloudy.</p> <p><strong>NEW JOB:</strong> <strong>Peter Moors</strong>, current head of the Cabinet of Belgian Prime Minister Alexander De Croo, is set to become the new Belgian permanent representative to the EU (as POLITICO&#8217;s <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/spider-in-the-web-peter-moors-belgian-diplomacy-new-eu-ambassador/" data-type="link" data-id="https://www.politico.eu/article/spider-in-the-web-peter-moors-belgian-diplomacy-new-eu-ambassador/">Barbara Moens and Camille Gijs reported</a> would happen in November last year). He will succeed <strong>Willem van de Voorde</strong>.</p> <p><strong>EU’LL DRINK TO THAT: </strong>“Hazy, tropical, pro-Europe” — it sounds like a French <em>outre-mer </em>island on a high-pollution day. It&#8217;s actually the description of a new beer called “The Future is Europe,” a collaboration between 12 breweries in 11 EU countries that is meant to celebrate European unity and multiculturalism, Sébastien Morvan, the co-founder of the Brussels Beer Project, <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/brussels-beer-brewers-eu-the-future-is-europe-unity-multiculturalism/">told POLITICO&#8217;s Louise Guillot.</a></p> <p><strong>DEMONSTRATION AT BRUSSELS NORTH: </strong>Public sector workers will demonstrate today to demand more resources. Unions expect more than 10,000 protesters to start marching from Brussels North station at <strong>10:30 a.m.</strong> <a href="https://www.bruzz.be/actua/veiligheid/manifestatie-non-profit-brussel-morgen-waar-kan-je-hinder-verwachten-2024-11-06" target="_blank">Plan ahead</a>.&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>FUNDRAISER FOR VALENCIA:</strong> In response to the floods in Valencia, the non-profit organization <a href="https://www.instagram.com/espaivalenciabelgica/" target="_blank">Espai Valencià a Bèlgica</a> is hosting a charity bingo competition at <strong>7 p.m.</strong> All proceeds go to communities affected by the disaster.</p> <p><strong>SPOTTED</strong>: Getting his steps in on Avenue Louise in Brussels Wednesday evening … NATO Secretary-General <strong>Mark Rutte</strong>, who offered a firm handshake but declined to answer questions from Playbook’s own Eddy Wax, citing his “off duty” status.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>BIRTHDAYS:</strong> MEPs <strong>Maria Grapini </strong>and <strong>Sérgio Humberto</strong>; former MEP <strong>Derk Jan Eppink</strong> and<strong> John Procter</strong>; Bristol Myers Squibb’s <strong>Dimitri Pouradier Duteil</strong>; Austrian Nobel Prize winner <strong>Eric Kandel;</strong> POLITICO’s <strong>Agathe Legris.</strong></p> <p><strong>THANKS TO: Camille Gijs, Csongor Körömi, Louise Guillot, Barbara Moens, Eddy Wax </strong>and <strong>Clea Caulcutt</strong>;<strong> </strong>Playbook editor <strong>Alex Spence, </strong>Playbook reporter <strong>Šejla Ahmatović </strong>and producer <strong>Catherine Bouris.</strong></p> <p><strong>SUBSCRIBE to the POLITICO newsletter family:</strong> <a href="https://www.politico.eu/brussels-playbook-registration/">Brussels Playbook</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/london-playbook/">London Playbook</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/london-playbook-pm/">London Playbook PM</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/playbook-paris/">Playbook Paris</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/eu-election-playbook/">EU Election Playbook</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/berlin-playbook/">Berlin Playbook</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/global-playbook/">Global Playbook</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/politico-confidential/">POLITICO Confidential</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/sunday-crunch/">Sunday Crunch</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/politico-eu-influence/">EU Influence</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/london-influence/">London Influence</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/china-watcher/">China Watcher</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/newsletter/berlin-bulletin/">Berlin Bulletin</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.eu/livingcities/">Living Cities</a> | <a href="https://www.politico.com/playbook" target="_blank">D.C. 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