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srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F05-chemicals%2Fmarket%2Fmobile%2Fherobanner390x620_oleochemicalspage.jpg%3Fh%3D620%26iar%3D0%26w%3D390%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D13CB70ECFC508BFBDC868040685EB812&w=640&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F05-chemicals%2Fmarket%2Fmobile%2Fherobanner390x620_oleochemicalspage.jpg%3Fh%3D620%26iar%3D0%26w%3D390%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D13CB70ECFC508BFBDC868040685EB812&w=828&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F05-chemicals%2Fmarket%2Fmobile%2Fherobanner390x620_oleochemicalspage.jpg%3Fh%3D620%26iar%3D0%26w%3D390%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D13CB70ECFC508BFBDC868040685EB812&w=828&q=75"/><div class="HeroBanner_container___RcE5 container"><div class="row"><div class="col-12 col-lg-6 offset-lg-1"><div class="HeroBanner_titleAndDescription__0Cj9_"><h1 class="qa-banner-title">Oleochemicals</h1><div class="h4 qa-banner-description">Prices, forecasts and analysis for global oleochemicals markets</div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component small grey "><div class="component-content"><div class="PageSubnavigation_container__yH3q7 qa-subnavigation-bar container"><div class="PageSubnavigation_outer__ocRn_"><div class="PageSubnavigation_bar__Cf50a"><a href="#overview" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Overview</a><a href="#news" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Latest news</a><a href="#spotlight" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Spotlight content</a><a href="#products" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Explore our oleochemical products</a><button type="button" class="PageSubnavigation_showMore__2Z47G cta "></button></div></div><div class="PageSubnavigation_drawer__lxQUi grey " style="left:0px"><div 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class="PageIntroduction_description__hOYK7"><div class="qa-pageintroduction-textfield">Argus’ oleochemicals services give you in-depth global and regional pricing insight, including feedstock analysis, in single, concise and integrated reports.  <br /> <br /> You get access to pricing, global industry news and analysis of key economic drivers on a weekly basis. You’ll also get up to date trade flow coverage. <br /> <br /> Argus covers the entire energy and commodities supply chain, feeding insight from its biofuels, agriculture and energy teams into its coverage of oleochemicals to provide you with a full picture. </div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component component-padding navy " id="news"><div class="component-content"><div class="container"><div class="row"><div class="col-12 col-lg-7"><h2 class="qa-combinedfeed-title section-heading">Latest oleochemical news</h2><p class="qa-combinedfeed-description">Browse the latest market moving news on the global oleochemical industry.</p></div></div><div aria-live="polite" class="Tabs_tabs__tVXxO secondary"><div class="qa-tabspanel-list Tabs_panel__uEe2n current" role="tabpanel"><div class="row"><div class="col-12 col-lg-6"><a class="qa-combinedfeed-primary-item News_link__TcfaC News_primary__Fop2j white" href="/ja/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2626828-biodiesel-to-drive-2025-palm-oil-prices-ipoc"><div class="News_primaryInner__9SOga"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-eyebrow News_meta__Gc4kJ News_category__qm0Jk h5">Latest oleochemical news</div><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date News_meta__Gc4kJ News_date___zoLz h5">24/11/08</div><hr class="News_hr__BZset"/><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr h2 d-none d-lg-block">Biodiesel to drive 2025 palm oil prices: IPOC</h3><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr d-lg-none">Biodiesel to drive 2025 palm oil prices: IPOC</h3><p class="qa-combinedfeed-item-summary News_summary__eRMnt">Singapore, 8 November (Argus) — Palm oil prices are likely to be supported by tight supplies in 2025, as Indonesia is slated to begin a 40pc biodiesel blending mandate (B40) and crude palm oil (CPO) production growth is slowing, market experts said at the 20th Indonesian Palm Oil Conference and 2025 Price Outlook ( IPOC 2024 ) in Nusa Dua, Bali. Higher blending mandates and tighter supplies may keep CPO futures above 5,000 ringgit/t ($1,130/t) during the first half of 2025, as could firmer lunar new year and Ramzan demand between January-March, Godrej International director Dorab Mistry said. Indonesia plans to implement B40 in 2025, according to its minister of bioenergy Edi Wibowo, before moving to B50 before 2030. If Indonesia enforces B40 as planned, palm oil prices may rally an additional 10-15pc over current prices in the first quarter of 2024, Oil World analyst Thomas Mielke said. But industry experts were sceptical that Indonesia's B40 will materialise, citing current tight supply of CPO and a relatively wide palm oil-gas oil (POGO) spread, which would exert more pressure on government subsidies. Indonesia subsidises biodiesel producers for the difference between gasoil and biodiesel production cost, using funds accrued from export levies on palm oil products. With crude oil prices possibly constrained, higher subsidies will be required to fill the gap, according to consultancy Transgraph's Nagaraj Meda. Subsidies of $5.6bn, $4.76bn, and $3.53bn will be required should Ice Brent crude prices hit $68.50/bl, $75/bl, and $85/bl respectively under B40, Meda said. Under the current B35 programme, biodiesel subsidies have cost the Indonesian government $2.56bn so far in 2024. The export levy structure — which was adjusted in October — is insufficient to fund a B40 programme. "The export levy and tax structure will need revision urgently", Mistry said. Soy soars Palm oil output will grow moderately in 2024-25, while production of rival soybean oil will be higher, the conference heard. Mielke expects palm oil production to increase by 2.3mn t, and soybean oil production to rise by 3.3-3.5mn t. Sunflower and rapeseed oil production will fall by 3.8mn t in 2024-25, he forecasts. Glenauk Economics director Julian McGill said high palm oil prices will drive US biofuels demand towards soybean oil, driving some correction in palm oil prices. Elevated CPO prices are making palm oil mill effluent (Pome) and used cooking oil (UCO) uncompetitive in the EU and US as biofuels feedstocks, reducing demand, he said. Palm oil prices are now well above those for waste oils, which tends to tighten supplies of UCO in southeast Asia as there is less incentive for restaurants and factories to sell their oil. Assuming gasoil prices do not increase, McGill said fundamentals are not enough to support current palm oil prices. He sees the fob Indonesia price returning to $1,000/t before the end of 2024, but said CPO futures on the Bursa Malaysia exchange will remain between $950-1,050/t due to lower stocks following firm exports during 2024. Coconut falls In the lauric oil markets, Mistry is projecting an increase in prices during the 2024-25 period as he expects coconut oil (CNO) production to decrease. He forecasts CNO prices to continue on an upward trend until the second half of 2025, ranging between $1,800–2000/t cif Rotterdam until June. Crude palm kernel oil prices are expected to follow CNO during the same period, Mistry said. By Deborah Sun and Carolina Palma Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.</p></div><span class="qa-combinedfeed-item-cta cta d-none d-lg-inline-flex"></span></a></div><div class="col-12 col-lg-6"><div class="News_secondaryGroup__CVF5i"><a class="qa-combinedfeed-secondary-item News_link__TcfaC News_secondary__4Pe3A white" href="/ja/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2626792-pko-insufficient-for-eu-market-under-eudr"><div class="News_secondaryOuter__68Cw0 d-none d-lg-flex"><div class="News_secondaryInner__T663Z"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-eyebrow News_meta__Gc4kJ h5">Latest oleochemical news</div><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr">PKO insufficient for EU market under EUDR</h3></div><hr class="News_hr__BZset"/><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date News_meta__Gc4kJ News_date___zoLz h5">24/11/08</div></div><div class="News_secondaryOuter__68Cw0 d-flex d-lg-none"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-eyebrow News_meta__Gc4kJ News_category__qm0Jk h5">Latest oleochemical news</div><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date News_meta__Gc4kJ News_date___zoLz h5">24/11/08</div><hr class="News_hr__BZset"/><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr">PKO insufficient for EU market under EUDR</h3><p class="qa-combinedfeed-item-summary News_summary__eRMnt">London, 8 November (Argus) — The European oleochemical market will have insufficient palm kernel oil (PKO) supply under the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR), delegates heard today at the 20th Indonesian Palm Oil Conference and 2025 Price Outlook (IPOC 2024) in Nusa Dua, Bali. The cost of compliance with the EUDR will tighten PKO supply for EU markets as fewer palm oil producers are expected to comply with the regulation, further increasing prices into the EU bloc, according to Glenauk Economics managing director Julian McGill. Additionally, an excessive investment in fatty alcohols production in Indonesia will limit the country's exports, further tightening global supply, according to McGill. Indonesia currently consumes 70pc of its PKO production, McGill said. The EUDR requires mandatory due diligence from operators and trading firms selling and importing palm oil and its derivatives into the EU bloc, including PKO. Firms must ensure that products sold in the EU have not contributed to deforestation or forest degradation. Although the regulation is originally expected to take effect from 1 January 2025, the European Commission recently proposed an extra 12 months "phasing-in time" for implementation, which will be voted on by the EU parliament, probably on 14 November. But "the problem with the EUDR will not be solved by postponing the regulation, as European demand for PKO will remain excessive compared to that for palm oil," Julian McGill said during the conference. To fulfil European demand for PKO, producers will have to generate more EUDR compliant palm oil than actually needed, according to McGill. The average yield of PKO from fresh palm oil fruit bunches is 2-5pc. McGill also highlighted that another important problem to be solved for the EUDR to be correctly implemented is the complexity of traceability requirements for palm and palm kernel oil, because they are liquid goods, unlike wood, coffee and cocoa beans. By Carolina A. Palma Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.</p></div></a><a class="qa-combinedfeed-secondary-item News_link__TcfaC News_secondary__4Pe3A white" href="/ja/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2620089-malaysia-s-2025-budget-promotes-palm-waste-saf"><div class="News_secondaryOuter__68Cw0 d-none d-lg-flex"><div class="News_secondaryInner__T663Z"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-eyebrow News_meta__Gc4kJ h5">Latest oleochemical news</div><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr">Malaysia's 2025 budget promotes palm waste SAF</h3></div><hr class="News_hr__BZset"/><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date News_meta__Gc4kJ News_date___zoLz h5">24/10/21</div></div><div class="News_secondaryOuter__68Cw0 d-flex d-lg-none"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-eyebrow News_meta__Gc4kJ News_category__qm0Jk h5">Latest oleochemical news</div><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date News_meta__Gc4kJ News_date___zoLz h5">24/10/21</div><hr class="News_hr__BZset"/><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr">Malaysia's 2025 budget promotes palm waste SAF</h3><p class="qa-combinedfeed-item-summary News_summary__eRMnt">Singapore, 21 October (Argus) — Malaysia's state-owned Petronas will work with palm oil producers to develop palm oil waste-based sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), according to prime minister Anwar Ibrahim when he presented the 2025 budget. The palm oil producers include Malaysia-based agribusiness FGV and Malaysia-headquartered SD Guthrie, previously Sime Darby. Anwar also announced additional higher tax brackets for crude palm oil (CPO) exports will be introduced from 1 November and proposed to increase Malaysia's windfall profit levy threshold for the palm sector. These changes are meant to ensure domestic CPO supply and encourage domestic production of value-added products including SAF and biodiesel, according to the Budget documents. Progressive export duties will be introduced from 8.5pc when CPO prices rise above 3,600 ringgit/t ($837/t), up to a maximum 10pc for CPO prices above 4,050 ringgit/t. Previous duty rates capped out at 8pc for CPO prices above 3,450 ringgit/t. This revised export structure is likely to weigh on palm oil prices, as exporters may reduce bids in the domestic market to keep prices below the threshold that will trigger higher export duties. The CPO price threshold for triggering Malaysia's windfall profit levy will be increased to 3,150 ringgit/t for Peninsular Malaysia and 3,650 ringgit/t for Sabah and Sarawak from 1 January 2025, a rise of 150 ringgit/t from the previous threshold for both areas. The windfall profit levy applies to producers of palm fresh fruit bunches (FFB). The revised export taxes and windfall profit levy threshold are expected to increase costs for the palm plantation sector, but would help the downstream palm refining industry become more competitive compared with Indonesia, according to industry consultancy Glenauk Economics. Replanting funds Malaysia will also allocate another 100mn ringgit to incentivise smallholders to continue replanting unproductive, ageing oil palm trees under its 2025 budget, the same amount from the previous year. The funding will be 50pc in grants and 50pc in soft loans, as in Budget 2024. No land area target for replanting was specified this year. But this year's allocated funding of 100mn ringgit mirrored last year's allocation that targeted 5,900 hectares (ha) of land area. But this amount will likely not be enough to support adequate replanting, according to market participants. Malaysia replanted an estimated 1.7pc of mature oil palm plantation areas during January-September and 2.6pc of mature areas in 2023, according to data from Glenauk Economics. This indicates more funding is likely needed to meet the 4pc industry standard for replanting mature areas yearly as recommended to maintain palm oil output volumes. The low replanting rate has likely partly been because of high palm oil prices in recent years compared to the historical average. High prices discourage voluntary replanting as plantation owners prefer to continue harvesting FFB from older trees over replanting. Third-month crude palm oil (CPO) futures on Bursa Malaysia averaged 3,890 ringgit/t over the past two years up to 21 October. The average price recorded over the past 10 years was just 3,124 ringgit/t. The US department of agriculture (USDA) estimated a quarter of planted oil palm areas in Malaysia were older than 25 years old as of early January, resulting in lower yields. By Malcolm Goh Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.</p></div></a><a class="qa-combinedfeed-secondary-item News_link__TcfaC News_secondary__4Pe3A white" href="/ja/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2614615-argent-to-start-production-at-new-glycerine-refinery"><div class="News_secondaryOuter__68Cw0 d-none d-lg-flex"><div class="News_secondaryInner__T663Z"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-eyebrow News_meta__Gc4kJ h5">Latest oleochemical news</div><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr">Argent to start production at new glycerine refinery</h3></div><hr class="News_hr__BZset"/><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date News_meta__Gc4kJ News_date___zoLz h5">24/10/03</div></div><div class="News_secondaryOuter__68Cw0 d-flex d-lg-none"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-eyebrow News_meta__Gc4kJ News_category__qm0Jk h5">Latest oleochemical news</div><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date News_meta__Gc4kJ News_date___zoLz h5">24/10/03</div><hr class="News_hr__BZset"/><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr">Argent to start production at new glycerine refinery</h3><p class="qa-combinedfeed-item-summary News_summary__eRMnt">London, 3 October (Argus) — Biofuels producer Argent Energy is expected to commence production at its new glycerine refinery in early October, a source told Argus . The new Argent refinery, which is located at its Port of Amsterdam site, is Europe's largest facility dedicated to producing bio-based, technical-grade refined glycerine. The facility has a production capacity of 50,000 t/yr and will upgrade crude glycerine into 99.7pc technical-grade glycerine to supply the European chemical market, the company said. Technical-grade refined glycerine can be used in the production of epichlorohydrin, polyether polyol and anti-freeze, among other applications. Additionally, its use as a feedstock for biofuels generation, such as marine fuels, is being studied as it could offer a cheaper alternative to LNG and distillates. The Netherlands has the largest marine fuel sector in the EU. "Our entrance into the chemical market is driven by our goal to maximise product value and support the circular economy. By upgrading glycerine from our processes into a technical-grade product, we're giving the chemical industry a bio-based option they can confidently use in their own products," Argent Energy chief executive Louise Calviou said. The glycerine produced in Argent's new facility will be made via the biodiesel production route, with the product being certified under International Sustainability and Carbon Certification (ISCC) guidelines. Argent Energy currently has a capacity of 190,000 t/yr for waste-based biodiesel, with sites in Amsterdam and northwest England. The company plans to soon triple biofuel production at its Amsterdam site alone. By George Barsted and Carolina A. Palma Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.</p></div></a><a class="qa-combinedfeed-secondary-item News_link__TcfaC News_secondary__4Pe3A white" href="/ja/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2609379-swedish-tofa-exports-to-us-at-record-in-1h"><div class="News_secondaryOuter__68Cw0 d-none d-lg-flex"><div class="News_secondaryInner__T663Z"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-eyebrow News_meta__Gc4kJ h5">Latest oleochemical news</div><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr">Swedish TOFA exports to US at record in 1H</h3></div><hr class="News_hr__BZset"/><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date News_meta__Gc4kJ News_date___zoLz h5">24/09/18</div></div><div class="News_secondaryOuter__68Cw0 d-flex d-lg-none"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-eyebrow News_meta__Gc4kJ News_category__qm0Jk h5">Latest oleochemical news</div><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date News_meta__Gc4kJ News_date___zoLz h5">24/09/18</div><hr class="News_hr__BZset"/><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr">Swedish TOFA exports to US at record in 1H</h3><p class="qa-combinedfeed-item-summary News_summary__eRMnt">London, 18 September (Argus) — Sweden's tall oil fatty acids (TOFA) exports to the US rose to an all-time high in the first half of 2024 owing to tighter US domestic supplies. Swedish TOFA supply to the US totalled 9,960t from January to June this year, Global Trade Tracker (GTT) data show, the highest since the start of the dataset in 2015. Sweden, a key European TOFA supplier, sent 3,196t to the US in January, 3,364t in April and 3,080t in June, and some marginal amounts in February, March and May, according to the GTT data. US crude tall oil (CTO) feedstock refining capacity declined this year, limiting TOFA output. US specialty chemicals producer Ingevity shut down a CTO fractionation facility in DeRidder, Louisiana, earlier this year and converted its Crossett, Arkansas, site to run 100pc on non-tall oil feedstocks in 2023. These reduced US CTO refining capacity by around 30pc and shortened local TOFA supply, market sources said. Reduced US TOFA supply has encouraged local buyers to seek alternatives, including importing from countries like Finland. A Finnish supplier has sent some to the US and is considering sending more in the coming months. TOFA is a fraction obtained by the distilling of CTO and can be used into alkyd resins, coatings, dimer acids, fuel additives, lubricants, oilfield chemicals, and biofuels, among other applications. By Leonardo Siqueira Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.</p></div></a></div></div></div><div class="CombinedFeedPanel_cta__B_k4H position-center"><a href="https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news-and-insights/latest-market-news?filters=%7B%22commodity%22%3A%22%27Chemicals%27%2C%27Petrochemicals%27%22%2C%22market%22%3A%22%27Oleo-+and+Pine+Chemicals%27%22%7D&page=1" class="qa-combinedfeed-cta large cta" target="">View all oleochemicals news</a></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component component-padding white" id="spotlight"><div class="component-content"><div class="container"><div class="row"><div class="col-12 col-lg-7"><h2 class="qa-spotlight-title section-heading">Spotlight content</h2><p class="qa-spotlight-description">Browse the latest thought leadership produced by our global team of experts.</p></div></div><div class="row"><div class="col-12 col-lg-7"><a class="ContentSpotlight_mainCard__gmD_r navy" href="/ja/news-and-insights/energy-and-commodity-podcasts/chemical-conversations-eudr-impacts-on-the-palm-oil-and-oleochemicals-markets"><img alt="" loading="lazy" width="795" height="437" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="ContentSpotlight_image__JfeEp" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fenglish%2Fimages%2Fnews-and-insights%2Fmarket-insight-papers%2Fgeneric-gradient-hero-banner_1600x530px.jpg%3Frev%3D-1%26la%3Dja%26hash%3DF8081D2490E57EACA6C41FA0E7F83979&w=828&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fenglish%2Fimages%2Fnews-and-insights%2Fmarket-insight-papers%2Fgeneric-gradient-hero-banner_1600x530px.jpg%3Frev%3D-1%26la%3Dja%26hash%3DF8081D2490E57EACA6C41FA0E7F83979&w=1920&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fenglish%2Fimages%2Fnews-and-insights%2Fmarket-insight-papers%2Fgeneric-gradient-hero-banner_1600x530px.jpg%3Frev%3D-1%26la%3Dja%26hash%3DF8081D2490E57EACA6C41FA0E7F83979&w=1920&q=75"/><div class="ContentSpotlight_content__pOAOI"><div><div class="qa-spotlight-main-category ContentSpotlight_categoryAndDateSection__JUPm2 h3"><span class="ContentSpotlight_category__5ON2k">Podcast</span><span>24/10/25</span></div><div><h3 class="qa-spotlight-main-title h1 ContentSpotlight_heading__EHoK7">Chemical Conversations: EUDR impacts on the palm oil and oleochemicals markets</h3></div></div></div></a></div><div class="col-12 col-lg-5 ContentSpotlight_secondaryCards__btf7q"><a class="qa-spotlight-secondary-items ContentSpotlight_secondaryCard__G0wdY grey" href="/ja/news-and-insights/video-insights/q2-2024-fatty-acids-and-alcohols-outlook"><span class="qa-spotlight-secondary-category ContentSpotlight_categoryAndDate__Ajq0k sub-heading h5">Video - 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Bali. Higher blending mandates and tighter supplies may keep CPO futures above 5,000 ringgit/t ($1,130/t) during the first half of 2025, as could firmer lunar new year and Ramzan demand between January-March, Godrej International director Dorab Mistry said. Indonesia plans to implement B40 in 2025, according to its minister of bioenergy Edi Wibowo, before moving to B50 before 2030. If Indonesia enforces B40 as planned, palm oil prices may rally an additional 10-15pc over current prices in the first quarter of 2024, Oil World analyst Thomas Mielke said. But industry experts were sceptical that Indonesia's B40 will materialise, citing current tight supply of CPO and a relatively wide palm oil-gas oil (POGO) spread, which would exert more pressure on government subsidies. Indonesia subsidises biodiesel producers for the difference between gasoil and biodiesel production cost, using funds accrued from export levies on palm oil products. With crude oil prices possibly constrained, higher subsidies will be required to fill the gap, according to consultancy Transgraph's Nagaraj Meda. Subsidies of $5.6bn, $4.76bn, and $3.53bn will be required should Ice Brent crude prices hit $68.50/bl, $75/bl, and $85/bl respectively under B40, Meda said. Under the current B35 programme, biodiesel subsidies have cost the Indonesian government $2.56bn so far in 2024. The export levy structure — which was adjusted in October — is insufficient to fund a B40 programme. \"The export levy and tax structure will need revision urgently\", Mistry said. Soy soars Palm oil output will grow moderately in 2024-25, while production of rival soybean oil will be higher, the conference heard. Mielke expects palm oil production to increase by 2.3mn t, and soybean oil production to rise by 3.3-3.5mn t. Sunflower and rapeseed oil production will fall by 3.8mn t in 2024-25, he forecasts. Glenauk Economics director Julian McGill said high palm oil prices will drive US biofuels demand towards soybean oil, driving some correction in palm oil prices. Elevated CPO prices are making palm oil mill effluent (Pome) and used cooking oil (UCO) uncompetitive in the EU and US as biofuels feedstocks, reducing demand, he said. Palm oil prices are now well above those for waste oils, which tends to tighten supplies of UCO in southeast Asia as there is less incentive for restaurants and factories to sell their oil. Assuming gasoil prices do not increase, McGill said fundamentals are not enough to support current palm oil prices. He sees the fob Indonesia price returning to $1,000/t before the end of 2024, but said CPO futures on the Bursa Malaysia exchange will remain between $950-1,050/t due to lower stocks following firm exports during 2024. Coconut falls In the lauric oil markets, Mistry is projecting an increase in prices during the 2024-25 period as he expects coconut oil (CNO) production to decrease. He forecasts CNO prices to continue on an upward trend until the second half of 2025, ranging between $1,800–2000/t cif Rotterdam until June. Crude palm kernel oil prices are expected to follow CNO during the same period, Mistry said. By Deborah Sun and Carolina Palma Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.","links":[{"rel":"article","href":"https://api.argusmedia.com/articles/2626828"}],"tags":null,"taxonomy":null,"id":2626828,"language":"en-GB","body":null},{"type":"News","datePublished":"2024-11-08T15:10:19Z","headline":"PKO insufficient for EU market under EUDR","summary":"London, 8 November (Argus) — The European oleochemical market will have insufficient palm kernel oil (PKO) supply under the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR), delegates heard today at the 20th Indonesian Palm Oil Conference and 2025 Price Outlook (IPOC 2024) in Nusa Dua, Bali. The cost of compliance with the EUDR will tighten PKO supply for EU markets as fewer palm oil producers are expected to comply with the regulation, further increasing prices into the EU bloc, according to Glenauk Economics managing director Julian McGill. Additionally, an excessive investment in fatty alcohols production in Indonesia will limit the country's exports, further tightening global supply, according to McGill. Indonesia currently consumes 70pc of its PKO production, McGill said. The EUDR requires mandatory due diligence from operators and trading firms selling and importing palm oil and its derivatives into the EU bloc, including PKO. Firms must ensure that products sold in the EU have not contributed to deforestation or forest degradation. Although the regulation is originally expected to take effect from 1 January 2025, the European Commission recently proposed an extra 12 months \"phasing-in time\" for implementation, which will be voted on by the EU parliament, probably on 14 November. But \"the problem with the EUDR will not be solved by postponing the regulation, as European demand for PKO will remain excessive compared to that for palm oil,\" Julian McGill said during the conference. To fulfil European demand for PKO, producers will have to generate more EUDR compliant palm oil than actually needed, according to McGill. The average yield of PKO from fresh palm oil fruit bunches is 2-5pc. McGill also highlighted that another important problem to be solved for the EUDR to be correctly implemented is the complexity of traceability requirements for palm and palm kernel oil, because they are liquid goods, unlike wood, coffee and cocoa beans. By Carolina A. Palma Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.","links":[{"rel":"article","href":"https://api.argusmedia.com/articles/2626792"}],"tags":null,"taxonomy":null,"id":2626792,"language":"en-GB","body":null},{"type":"Analysis","datePublished":"2024-10-21T08:43:20Z","headline":"Malaysia's 2025 budget promotes palm waste SAF","summary":"Singapore, 21 October (Argus) — Malaysia's state-owned Petronas will work with palm oil producers to develop palm oil waste-based sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), according to prime minister Anwar Ibrahim when he presented the 2025 budget. The palm oil producers include Malaysia-based agribusiness FGV and Malaysia-headquartered SD Guthrie, previously Sime Darby. Anwar also announced additional higher tax brackets for crude palm oil (CPO) exports will be introduced from 1 November and proposed to increase Malaysia's windfall profit levy threshold for the palm sector. These changes are meant to ensure domestic CPO supply and encourage domestic production of value-added products including SAF and biodiesel, according to the Budget documents. Progressive export duties will be introduced from 8.5pc when CPO prices rise above 3,600 ringgit/t ($837/t), up to a maximum 10pc for CPO prices above 4,050 ringgit/t. Previous duty rates capped out at 8pc for CPO prices above 3,450 ringgit/t. This revised export structure is likely to weigh on palm oil prices, as exporters may reduce bids in the domestic market to keep prices below the threshold that will trigger higher export duties. The CPO price threshold for triggering Malaysia's windfall profit levy will be increased to 3,150 ringgit/t for Peninsular Malaysia and 3,650 ringgit/t for Sabah and Sarawak from 1 January 2025, a rise of 150 ringgit/t from the previous threshold for both areas. The windfall profit levy applies to producers of palm fresh fruit bunches (FFB). The revised export taxes and windfall profit levy threshold are expected to increase costs for the palm plantation sector, but would help the downstream palm refining industry become more competitive compared with Indonesia, according to industry consultancy Glenauk Economics. Replanting funds Malaysia will also allocate another 100mn ringgit to incentivise smallholders to continue replanting unproductive, ageing oil palm trees under its 2025 budget, the same amount from the previous year. The funding will be 50pc in grants and 50pc in soft loans, as in Budget 2024. No land area target for replanting was specified this year. But this year's allocated funding of 100mn ringgit mirrored last year's allocation that targeted 5,900 hectares (ha) of land area. But this amount will likely not be enough to support adequate replanting, according to market participants. Malaysia replanted an estimated 1.7pc of mature oil palm plantation areas during January-September and 2.6pc of mature areas in 2023, according to data from Glenauk Economics. This indicates more funding is likely needed to meet the 4pc industry standard for replanting mature areas yearly as recommended to maintain palm oil output volumes. The low replanting rate has likely partly been because of high palm oil prices in recent years compared to the historical average. High prices discourage voluntary replanting as plantation owners prefer to continue harvesting FFB from older trees over replanting. Third-month crude palm oil (CPO) futures on Bursa Malaysia averaged 3,890 ringgit/t over the past two years up to 21 October. The average price recorded over the past 10 years was just 3,124 ringgit/t. The US department of agriculture (USDA) estimated a quarter of planted oil palm areas in Malaysia were older than 25 years old as of early January, resulting in lower yields. By Malcolm Goh Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.","links":[{"rel":"article","href":"https://api.argusmedia.com/articles/2620089"}],"tags":null,"taxonomy":null,"id":2620089,"language":"en-GB","body":null},{"type":"News","datePublished":"2024-10-03T15:45:05Z","headline":"Argent to start production at new glycerine refinery","summary":"London, 3 October (Argus) — Biofuels producer Argent Energy is expected to commence production at its new glycerine refinery in early October, a source told Argus . The new Argent refinery, which is located at its Port of Amsterdam site, is Europe's largest facility dedicated to producing bio-based, technical-grade refined glycerine. The facility has a production capacity of 50,000 t/yr and will upgrade crude glycerine into 99.7pc technical-grade glycerine to supply the European chemical market, the company said. Technical-grade refined glycerine can be used in the production of epichlorohydrin, polyether polyol and anti-freeze, among other applications. Additionally, its use as a feedstock for biofuels generation, such as marine fuels, is being studied as it could offer a cheaper alternative to LNG and distillates. The Netherlands has the largest marine fuel sector in the EU. \"Our entrance into the chemical market is driven by our goal to maximise product value and support the circular economy. By upgrading glycerine from our processes into a technical-grade product, we're giving the chemical industry a bio-based option they can confidently use in their own products,\" Argent Energy chief executive Louise Calviou said. The glycerine produced in Argent's new facility will be made via the biodiesel production route, with the product being certified under International Sustainability and Carbon Certification (ISCC) guidelines. Argent Energy currently has a capacity of 190,000 t/yr for waste-based biodiesel, with sites in Amsterdam and northwest England. The company plans to soon triple biofuel production at its Amsterdam site alone. By George Barsted and Carolina A. Palma Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.","links":[{"rel":"article","href":"https://api.argusmedia.com/articles/2614615"}],"tags":null,"taxonomy":null,"id":2614615,"language":"en-GB","body":null},{"type":"News","datePublished":"2024-09-18T14:59:21Z","headline":"Swedish TOFA exports to US at record in 1H","summary":"London, 18 September (Argus) — Sweden's tall oil fatty acids (TOFA) exports to the US rose to an all-time high in the first half of 2024 owing to tighter US domestic supplies. Swedish TOFA supply to the US totalled 9,960t from January to June this year, Global Trade Tracker (GTT) data show, the highest since the start of the dataset in 2015. Sweden, a key European TOFA supplier, sent 3,196t to the US in January, 3,364t in April and 3,080t in June, and some marginal amounts in February, March and May, according to the GTT data. US crude tall oil (CTO) feedstock refining capacity declined this year, limiting TOFA output. US specialty chemicals producer Ingevity shut down a CTO fractionation facility in DeRidder, Louisiana, earlier this year and converted its Crossett, Arkansas, site to run 100pc on non-tall oil feedstocks in 2023. These reduced US CTO refining capacity by around 30pc and shortened local TOFA supply, market sources said. Reduced US TOFA supply has encouraged local buyers to seek alternatives, including importing from countries like Finland. A Finnish supplier has sent some to the US and is considering sending more in the coming months. TOFA is a fraction obtained by the distilling of CTO and can be used into alkyd resins, coatings, dimer acids, fuel additives, lubricants, oilfield chemicals, and biofuels, among other applications. By Leonardo Siqueira Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.","links":[{"rel":"article","href":"https://api.argusmedia.com/articles/2609379"}],"tags":null,"taxonomy":null,"id":2609379,"language":"en-GB","body":null}],"itemsCursor":null}]}}},"__N_SSG":true},"page":"/[[...path]]","query":{"path":["commodities","oleochemicals"]},"buildId":"61995","assetPrefix":"https://www.argusmedia.com","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"gsp":true,"locale":"ja","locales":["default","en","es","zh","ru","pt","ja","fr","de"],"defaultLocale":"default","scriptLoader":[]}</script></body></html>