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Venäjä-asiantuntija Hanna Smith: Moskovan isku kertoo Venäjän voimien hiipumisesta | Ulkomaat | Yle

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10.5596C12.2636 10.5596 12.1176 10.349 12.0783 9.37285H14.4503C14.9976 9.37285 15.2418 9.15664 15.2418 8.67213C15.2418 7.64237 15.0266 6.27171 13.165 6.27171C11.5931 6.27171 10.8919 7.12946 10.8919 9.05247C10.8919 10.9297 11.5452 11.6281 13.3016 11.6281C14.0318 11.6281 14.6097 11.5152 14.8366 11.4111C14.9811 11.3495 15.1138 11.2572 15.1138 11V10.8122C15.113 10.5699 14.9748 10.4239 14.7432 10.4239Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M12.0846 8.41359C12.1301 7.57715 12.4701 7.20312 13.1831 7.20312H13.1838C13.8614 7.20312 14.1661 7.56532 14.1975 8.41202L12.0846 8.41359Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M31.4197 13.2932H25.348L23.7136 18.0002H20.0957L26.4898 0.198242H30.7749L37.0436 18.0002H33.1032L31.4197 13.2932ZM28.4689 3.60924L26.1405 10.5302H30.6719L28.4689 3.60924Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M49.178 18L45.1885 11.925H42.4616V18H38.9421V0.621C38.9421 0.621 41.1944 0 45.2332 0C49.8676 0 52.6393 1.62 52.6393 5.2515C52.6393 8.9595 50.3601 10.5525 48.7258 11.277L53.3826 18H49.178ZM42.466 9.1125H46.4556C48.1661 8.3925 48.9586 7.47 48.9586 5.6025C48.9586 3.6585 47.5706 2.889 45.2914 2.889C43.8541 2.889 42.466 3.1365 42.466 3.1365V9.1125Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M55.4691 17.9996V0.24707H67.5319V3.25757H59.0109V7.71257H66.3677V10.6016H59.0109V14.9846H67.7558V17.9996H55.4691Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M70.3842 17.9996V0.24707H82.4469V3.25757H73.926V7.71257H81.2828V10.6016H73.926V14.9846H82.6708V17.9996H70.3842Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M88.7872 17.9996H85.2947V0.24707H88.5633L97.1111 11.4746V0.24707H100.631V17.9996H97.9798L88.7872 6.20057V17.9996Z" fill="currentColor"></path><path d="M113.831 13.2932H107.759L106.129 18.0002H102.511L108.901 0.198242H113.186L119.455 18.0002H115.514L113.831 13.2932ZM110.884 3.60924L108.556 10.5302H113.087L110.884 3.60924Z" fill="currentColor"></path></svg><p class="_1m3quf82 fck75q2">Sarjat. 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class="aw-1ag6w51 nvljT"><a href="/web/20240323234902/https://yle.fi/t/18-204681/fi" aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Terrori-iskut" class="aw-l7odld jXfkxq">Terrori-iskut</a></div><h1 class="sc-aXZVg cZXpWU yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--1">Venäjä-asiantuntija Hanna Smith: Moskovan isku kertoo Venäjän voimien hiipumisesta</h1><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-5vja16 jxdWmn eeXVLF yle__article__paragraph">Smith sanoo, että iskut eivät olleet yllätys niille, jotka seurasivat terroristijärjestön viestintäkanavia.</p><div class="aw-e30oo3 blLbha"></div><figure class="aw-u5oz0a clzEhy yle__article__figure"><script type="application/ld+json">{"@id":"74-20080642","@context":"https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902/https://schema.org","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","description":"Ulko- ja turvallisuuspolitiikan tutkija Hanna Smith maaliskuussa 2024.","copyrightHolder":"Vesa Moilanen / Lehtikuva","url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.490972626674432,c_fill,g_faces,h_514,w_767/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-126183365ff189b23759","keywords":"Hanna Smith"}}</script><div class="aw-1a00tic spKIg"><div class="aw-1qvmjke bKIcxT"><div class="aw-1njknqq euollB"><picture><source data-testid="source-for-S" media="(max-width: 767px)" srcset="https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.490972626674432,c_fill,g_faces,h_514,w_767/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1711216925/39-126183365ff189b23759 2x, https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.490972626674432,c_fill,g_faces,h_514,w_767/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1711216925/39-126183365ff189b23759 1x"/><source data-testid="source-for-M" media="(min-width: 768px)" srcset="https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.490972626674432,c_fill,g_faces,h_426,w_636/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1711216925/39-126183365ff189b23759 2x, https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.490972626674432,c_fill,g_faces,h_426,w_636/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1711216925/39-126183365ff189b23759 1x"/><img alt="Ulko- ja turvallisuuspolitiikan tutkija Hanna Smith Espoossa 18. maaliskuuta 2024." src="https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/c_crop,h_2239,w_3982,x_6,y_27/ar_1.7777777777777777,c_fill,g_faces,h_431,w_767/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1711216925/39-126183365ff189b23759" class="aw-1l9m598 bTKagC"/></picture></div><div class="aw-45s348 glxCAO"><button aria-disabled="false" class="Buttonstyles__ButtonBase-sc-17sr1bx-0 Buttonstyles__ButtonSecondary-sc-17sr1bx-2 blJlbw iLYbQX"><span class="Buttonstyles__TextWrapper-sc-17sr1bx-7 kWJvkV yds-button__content">Avaa kuvien katselu</span></button></div></div></div><figcaption class="aw-kr26k0 iEoONW"><span>Ulko- ja turvallisuuspolitiikan tutkija Hanna Smith maaliskuussa 2024.</span><span> Kuva: Vesa Moilanen / Lehtikuva</span></figcaption></figure><div class="aw-1wk2icm iaIVgA"><div class="aw-qww0lc eFtfQt"><div class="aw-x5rn7a iKNQRH"><span class="aw-z7z0zi hEWAhM">Hanna Eskonen</span></div></div></div><div class="aw-1hwlbbb iumvhG"><div class="aw-64d2lh cPAYLb"><div class="aw-kzjed4 dgiUVP yle__article__date"><time class="aw-lsqctp jPSFYl yle__article__date--published" datetime="2024-03-23T20:28:09+02:00">23.3. 20:28</time></div></div><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902/https://yle.onelink.me/46xJ/07zyq6zz?deep_link_sub1=74-20080642" class="aw-pqa0kd GtYAc">Avaa Yle-sovelluksessa<svg width="24" height="24" viewbox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" aria-hidden="true"><path d="M15 2a1 1 0 1 0 0 2h3.586l-9.293 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1.387-2.532.964-1.246 2.07-2.138 3.405-2.709 1.057-.45 2.219-.684 3.508-.76V4a1 1 0 0 1 .612-.922Zm1.388 3.298v3.48h-1c-1.529 0-2.727.202-3.722.627-.984.42-1.826 1.081-2.609 2.093-.351.454-.753 1.206-1.129 2.09a19.46 19.46 0 0 0-.874 2.525l.277-.213c2.023-1.559 4.445-2.798 7.028-2.833h2.029v3.479L19.57 12l-5.752-5.624Z" fill="currentColor"></path></svg></span><span class="Buttonstyles__TextWrapper-sc-17sr1bx-7 WDnuQ yds-button__text">Jaa</span></button></div></div></div></header><section class="yle__article__content"><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Turvallisuuspolitiikan tutkija <strong class="aw-ak79eh hgoSon yle__article__strong">Hanna Smithin</strong> mukaan Moskovan tapahtumat osoittavat, että islamistinen terrorismi oli päässyt putoamaan Venäjän ”tutkalta” eli seurannasta.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Smith sanoo, että isku kertoo myös Venäjän resurssien hiipumisesta.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Välillä meillä läpäisee narratiivi, että Venäjä on vahva ja kaikkivoipa. Mutta kyllä Venäjän resurssit alkavat olla jo aika ohuita, kun ajatellaan, kuinka montaa asiaa sen täytyy valvoa ja kontrolloida.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Smith sanoo, että Ukrainan sodan lisäksi resursseja on palanut opposition vahtimiseen.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Ei se ole pelkästään Ukrainan sota, vaan koko ajan keskitytään myös siihen, kuka on sotaa vastaan ja kuka kritisoi Putinia. Terrorismi on voinut silloin pudota tutkalta.</p><h2 class="sc-gEvEer dSgPhs yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--2">Terrorismin vastustaminen nosti Putinin valtaan</h2><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Smith sanoo, että erityisen suuri epäonnistuminen <strong class="aw-ak79eh hgoSon yle__article__strong">Vladimir Putinin</strong> kannalta on, että isku tapahtui juuri pääkaupungissa Moskovassa, joka on kaikkein parhaiten tarkkailtu ja valvottu.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Hän muistuttaa, että juuri terrorismin vastustaminen nosti Putinin aikanaan valtaan. Putin oli pääministeri vuonna 1999, kun kerrostaloissa räjähtäneet pommit tappoivat yli 300 ihmistä.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Venäjä oli käynyt sotaa Tšetšeniassa ensimmäisen kerran vuosina 1994–1996. Venäjän mukaan kerrostaloiskujen takana olivat tšetšeenit. Venäjä lähetti joukot Tšetšeniaan uudelleen.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Putin valjasti terrorismin vastaisen taistelun vaalikampanjansa välineeksi ja nousi presidentiksi.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Putin nousi suosioon sillä, että hän lupasi kitkeä terrorismin, Smith sanoo.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Kun Yhdysvalloissa räjähti 11. syyskuuta vuonna 2001, Putin pääsi sanomaan länsimaille, että hän oli ollut oikeassa.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Putin oli onnistunut argumentoimaan, että terrorismi oli se ongelma, ja että sen torjumiseen tarvitaan kansainvälistä yhteistyötä. Kuva hänestä terrorismin vastustajana vahvistui.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Sen jälkeen Venjällä on sattunut lukuisia terrori-iskuja. Vuonna 2002 terroristit iskivät Moskovassa teatteriin ja vuonna 2003 konserttiin. Vuonna 2004 ne hyökkäsivät kouluun Beslanissa.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Smith sanoo, että jos Venäjä olisi seurannut kokonaisuutta, Isisin isku ei olisi tullut yllätyksenä.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Smithin mukaan Isisiä seuraavat tutkijat ovat havainneet Venäjän vastaisen propagandan lisääntymisen terroristijärjestön viestintäkanavissa.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Isisin iskut liittyvät Venäjän toimiin Syyriassa ja Afganistanissa.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Syyriassa Venäjä tukee <strong class="aw-ak79eh hgoSon yle__article__strong">Bašar Al-Assadia</strong>, joka taistelee Isisiä vastaan. Afganistanissa Venäjä taas tukee Isisiä vastaan hyökkäävää Talibania.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Myös Yhdysvallat varoitti Venäjää iskusta. Varoituksen teki Yhdysvaltain Moskovan suurlähetystö maaliskuun alussa.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Se oli kädenojennus Yhdysvalloilta, he melkein tarjosivat apua, Smith sanoo.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Putin kuitenkin torjui Yhdysvaltain varoituksen provokaationa.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Smithin mukaan Putinin julkisen reaktion ja puheen viipyminen kertoo, että Venäjän johto joutui miettimään, miten se selittää tapahtuneen kansalaisille.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Putin puhui julkisesti vasta tänään lauantaina. Iskut tapahtuivat perjantaina illalla.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Siellä haettiin, mikä on paras narratiivi venäläisille, millä kärjellä tähän lähdetään.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Se, että Venäjä päätti syyttää iskuista Ukrainaa, on Smithin mukaan tapa häivyttää valtiojohdon epäonnistuminen terrorismin torjumisessa.</p><figure class="aw-u5oz0a crkERF yle__article__figure"><script type="application/ld+json">{"@id":"74-20080642","@context":"https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902/https://schema.org","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","description":"Moskovalaisessa Crocus City Hall -konserttitalossa tapahtui terrori-isku ja tulipalo.","copyrightHolder":"Vasily Prudnikov / EPA","url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.511407662505381,c_fill,g_faces,h_507,w_767/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-126183065ff14177aabd","keywords":"Moskova,2024 Crocus City Hall attack,Crocus City Hall,terrori-iskut"}}</script><div class="aw-1a00tic gRKUBc"><div class="aw-1qvmjke bKIcxT"><div class="aw-1njknqq euollB"><picture><source data-testid="source-for-S" media="(max-width: 767px)" srcset="https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.511407662505381,c_fill,g_faces,h_507,w_767/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1711215897/39-126183065ff14177aabd 2x, https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.511407662505381,c_fill,g_faces,h_507,w_767/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1711215897/39-126183065ff14177aabd 1x"/><source data-testid="source-for-M" media="(min-width: 768px)" srcset="https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.511407662505381,c_fill,g_faces,h_420,w_636/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1711215897/39-126183065ff14177aabd 2x, https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.511407662505381,c_fill,g_faces,h_420,w_636/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1711215897/39-126183065ff14177aabd 1x"/><img alt="Moskovalaisessa Crocus City Hall -konserttitalossa tapahtui 22.3.2024 terrori-isku ja tulipalo." src="https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/c_crop,h_1974,w_3511,x_0,y_131/ar_1.7777777777777777,c_fill,g_faces,h_431,w_767/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/v1711215897/39-126183065ff14177aabd" class="aw-1l9m598 bTKagC"/></picture></div><div class="aw-45s348 glxCAO"><button aria-disabled="false" class="Buttonstyles__ButtonBase-sc-17sr1bx-0 Buttonstyles__ButtonSecondary-sc-17sr1bx-2 blJlbw iLYbQX"><span class="Buttonstyles__TextWrapper-sc-17sr1bx-7 kWJvkV yds-button__content">Avaa kuvien katselu</span></button></div></div></div><figcaption class="aw-kr26k0 iEoONW"><span>Moskovalaisessa Crocus City Hall -konserttitalossa tapahtui terrori-isku ja tulipalo.</span><span> Kuva: Vasily Prudnikov / EPA</span></figcaption></figure><h2 class="sc-gEvEer dSgPhs yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--2">Venäjällä mikään ei ole stabiilia</h2><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Hanna Smith sanoo, että iskujen opetus on, että Venäjällä mikään ei ole stabiilia. Mitä vain voi tapahtua ja palikat lentää uuteen asentoon hetkessä.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Smith sanoo, että oppositiojohtaja <strong class="aw-ak79eh hgoSon yle__article__strong">Aleksei</strong> <strong class="aw-ak79eh hgoSon yle__article__strong">Navalnyi</strong> murhattiin hetkellä, jolloin oppositio Venäjällä oli jo lähes unohtunut.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Reilu vuosi sitten taas ajateltiin, ettei Putinia uskalla haastaa kukaan, kunnes Wagnerin johtaja <strong class="aw-ak79eh hgoSon yle__article__strong">Jevgeni Prigozhin</strong> yritti marssia Moskovaan.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">Presidentinvaalien jälkeen kaikki huomio on kiinnittynyt siihen, että Venäjä siirtyy sotatalouteen ja valmistelee suurhyökkäystä Ukrainaan. Sitten tapahtuikin terrori-isku.</p><p class="aw-1gybjub aw-1p7kakr jxdWmn ilDxnw yle__article__paragraph">– Venäjä on monimutkainen kokonaisuus. Se ei ole koskaan niin vahva tai heikko kuin ajattelemme. Kun keskitymme yhteen juttuun, tapahtuu jokin yllättävä käänne, Smith sanoo.</p></section><footer class="yle__article__footer"><h2 class="aw-zh6d69 dMYkJU">Aiheesta enemmän: Paketissa 2 linkkiä</h2><h2 class="sc-eqUAAy dUJkWc yle__article__heading yle__article__heading--3" aria-hidden="true">Aiheesta enemmän</h2><div class="yle__article__links" role="list" aria-label="Aiheesta enemmän"><div role="listitem" class="aw-124ec9l cFgRwb"><div class="aw-yq4wj5 hkKela"><div class="aw-fou4nx hULxUh"><div class="aw-aqrehu kskGQO"><div class="aw-ej1jxx Vjwex"><a href="/web/20240323234902/https://yle.fi/t/18-204681/fi" aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Terrori-iskut" class="aw-l7odld jXfkxq">Terrori-iskut</a></div><h3 class="aw-x9ikft cGmEmT"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902/https://yle.fi/a/74-20080623" class="aw-3ocnud eBKakF">Putin väittää terroristien yrittäneen paeta Ukrainaan – tutkijat: Venäjä voi käyttää iskua hyväkseen sodassa</a></h3><time class="aw-4gocmc 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https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.7777777777777777,c_fill,g_faces,h_110,w_196/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-126176765fee4299d5bc 1x"/><img alt="Vladimir Putin." src="https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.7777777777777777,c_fill,g_faces,h_110,w_196/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-126176765fee4299d5bc" class="aw-1l9m598 bTKagC"/></picture></div></div></div></div></div><div aria-hidden="true" class="aw-4s1vft kcSOOZ"><hr class="aw-mkek3u lkNxNt"/></div><div role="listitem" class="aw-124ec9l cFgRwb"><div class="aw-yq4wj5 hkKela"><div class="aw-fou4nx hULxUh"><div class="aw-aqrehu kskGQO"><div class="aw-ej1jxx Vjwex"><a href="/web/20240323234902/https://yle.fi/t/18-204681/fi" aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Terrori-iskut" class="aw-l7odld jXfkxq">Terrori-iskut</a></div><h3 class="aw-x9ikft cGmEmT"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902/https://yle.fi/a/74-20080603" class="aw-3ocnud eBKakF">Asiantuntijat arvioivat Moskovan terrori-iskun seurauksia: terrorismin uhka nousee Euroopassa, vaikutus Ukrainan sotaan vähäinen</a></h3><time class="aw-4gocmc guzJZN">23.3.</time></div></div><div class="aw-vhyz8i mQzOb"><div class="aw-8sjfvz juaHCW"><div class="aw-1njknqq euollB"><picture><source data-testid="source-for-S" media="(max-width: 767px)" srcset="https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.0,c_fill,g_faces,h_104,w_104/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-126170665fe6c760a1cb 2x, https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.0,c_fill,g_faces,h_104,w_104/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-126170665fe6c760a1cb 1x"/><source data-testid="source-for-M" media="(min-width: 768px)" srcset="https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.7777777777777777,c_fill,g_faces,h_110,w_196/dpr_2.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-126170665fe6c760a1cb 2x, https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.7777777777777777,c_fill,g_faces,h_110,w_196/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-126170665fe6c760a1cb 1x"/><img alt="Palavan konserttitalon edessä ambulansseja ja sotilaita." src="https://web.archive.org/web/20240323234902im_/https://images.cdn.yle.fi/image/upload/ar_1.7777777777777777,c_fill,g_faces,h_110,w_196/dpr_1.0/q_auto:eco/f_auto/fl_lossy/39-126170665fe6c760a1cb" class="aw-1l9m598 bTKagC"/></picture></div></div></div></div></div></div><div><div class="aw-1n3c5tg lkXQTI"><a href="/web/20240323234902/https://yle.fi/t/18-204681/fi" aria-label="Lisää artikkeleita aiheesta Terrori-iskut" class="aw-1viu5l0 ihpQdr">Terrori-iskut</a><a href="/web/20240323234902/https://yle.fi/t/18-219463/fi" 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"}],"blurhash":"LkM7P#xH_Nx]%hR-WBozjEaJM_Rj","tags":[{"label":[{"language":"eng","value":"Hanna Smith"},{"language":"fin","value":"Hanna Smith"},{"language":"swe","value":"Hanna Smith"}],"extId":"18-201542"}],"copyright":[{"language":"und","value":"Vesa Moilanen \u002F Lehtikuva"}],"crops":[{"name":"16:9","aspect":1.78,"coordinates":{"x":6,"y":27,"width":3982,"height":2239}},{"name":"2:3","aspect":0.67,"coordinates":{"x":732,"y":0,"width":2289,"height":3434}},{"name":"1:1","aspect":1,"coordinates":{"x":306,"y":0,"width":3433,"height":3433}},{"name":"5:2","aspect":2.5,"coordinates":{"x":10,"y":151,"width":5110,"height":2044}}],"height":3434,"licence":{"id":"3","name":[{"language":"und","value":"Lehtikuva"}],"expirationDate":"2024-04-21T00:00:00+03:00","properties":[]},"version":"1711216925","width":5120,"recommendedFormat":"jpg"},{"text":"Smith sanoo, että iskut eivät olleet yllätys niille, jotka seurasivat terroristijärjestön viestintäkanavia.","type":"text"},{"text":"Turvallisuuspolitiikan tutkija **Hanna Smithin** mukaan Moskovan tapahtumat osoittavat, että islamistinen terrorismi oli päässyt putoamaan Venäjän ”tutkalta” eli seurannasta.","type":"text"},{"text":"Smith sanoo, että isku kertoo myös Venäjän resurssien hiipumisesta.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Välillä meillä läpäisee narratiivi, että Venäjä on vahva ja kaikkivoipa. Mutta kyllä Venäjän resurssit alkavat olla jo aika ohuita, kun ajatellaan, kuinka montaa asiaa sen täytyy valvoa ja kontrolloida.","type":"text"},{"text":"Smith sanoo, että Ukrainan sodan lisäksi resursseja on palanut opposition vahtimiseen.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Ei se ole pelkästään Ukrainan sota, vaan koko ajan keskitytään myös siihen, kuka on sotaa vastaan ja kuka kritisoi Putinia. Terrorismi on voinut silloin pudota tutkalta.","type":"text"},{"text":"Terrorismin vastustaminen nosti Putinin valtaan","level":2,"type":"heading"},{"text":"Smith sanoo, että erityisen suuri epäonnistuminen **Vladimir Putinin** kannalta on, että isku tapahtui juuri pääkaupungissa Moskovassa, joka on kaikkein parhaiten tarkkailtu ja valvottu.","type":"text"},{"text":"Hän muistuttaa, että juuri terrorismin vastustaminen nosti Putinin aikanaan valtaan. Putin oli pääministeri vuonna 1999, kun kerrostaloissa räjähtäneet pommit tappoivat yli 300 ihmistä.","type":"text"},{"text":"Venäjä oli käynyt sotaa Tšetšeniassa ensimmäisen kerran vuosina 1994–1996. Venäjän mukaan kerrostaloiskujen takana olivat tšetšeenit. Venäjä lähetti joukot Tšetšeniaan uudelleen.","type":"text"},{"text":"Putin valjasti terrorismin vastaisen taistelun vaalikampanjansa välineeksi ja nousi presidentiksi.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Putin nousi suosioon sillä, että hän lupasi kitkeä terrorismin, Smith sanoo.","type":"text"},{"text":"Kun Yhdysvalloissa räjähti 11. syyskuuta vuonna 2001, Putin pääsi sanomaan länsimaille, että hän oli ollut oikeassa.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Putin oli onnistunut argumentoimaan, että terrorismi oli se ongelma, ja että sen torjumiseen tarvitaan kansainvälistä yhteistyötä. Kuva hänestä terrorismin vastustajana vahvistui.","type":"text"},{"text":"Sen jälkeen Venjällä on sattunut lukuisia terrori-iskuja. Vuonna 2002 terroristit iskivät Moskovassa teatteriin ja vuonna 2003 konserttiin. Vuonna 2004 ne hyökkäsivät kouluun Beslanissa.","type":"text"},{"text":"Smith sanoo, että jos Venäjä olisi seurannut kokonaisuutta, Isisin isku ei olisi tullut yllätyksenä.","type":"text"},{"text":"Smithin mukaan Isisiä seuraavat tutkijat ovat havainneet Venäjän vastaisen propagandan lisääntymisen terroristijärjestön viestintäkanavissa.","type":"text"},{"text":"Isisin iskut liittyvät Venäjän toimiin Syyriassa ja Afganistanissa.","type":"text"},{"text":"Syyriassa Venäjä tukee **Bašar Al-Assadia**, joka taistelee Isisiä vastaan. Afganistanissa Venäjä taas tukee Isisiä vastaan hyökkäävää Talibania.","type":"text"},{"text":"Myös Yhdysvallat varoitti Venäjää iskusta. Varoituksen teki Yhdysvaltain Moskovan suurlähetystö maaliskuun alussa.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Se oli kädenojennus Yhdysvalloilta, he melkein tarjosivat apua, Smith sanoo.","type":"text"},{"text":"Putin kuitenkin torjui Yhdysvaltain varoituksen provokaationa.","type":"text"},{"text":"Smithin mukaan Putinin julkisen reaktion ja puheen viipyminen kertoo, että Venäjän johto joutui miettimään, miten se selittää tapahtuneen kansalaisille.","type":"text"},{"text":"Putin puhui julkisesti vasta tänään lauantaina. Iskut tapahtuivat perjantaina illalla.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Siellä haettiin, mikä on paras narratiivi venäläisille, millä kärjellä tähän lähdetään.","type":"text"},{"text":"Se, että Venäjä päätti syyttää iskuista Ukrainaa, on Smithin mukaan tapa häivyttää valtiojohdon epäonnistuminen terrorismin torjumisessa.","type":"text"},{"displayStyle":"normal","alt":"Moskovalaisessa Crocus City Hall -konserttitalossa tapahtui 22.3.2024 terrori-isku ja tulipalo.","source":"Vasily Prudnikov \u002F EPA","aspect":1.511407662505381,"caption":"Moskovalaisessa Crocus City Hall -konserttitalossa tapahtui terrori-isku ja tulipalo.","id":"39-126183065ff14177aabd","type":"image","alts":[{"language":"fin","value":"Moskovalaisessa Crocus City Hall -konserttitalossa tapahtui 22.3.2024 terrori-isku ja tulipalo."}],"blurhash":"L79iC]$#10EN9[n*$%X70.I=}U-7","tags":[{"label":[{"language":"eng","value":"Moskova"},{"language":"fin","value":"Moskova"},{"language":"swe","value":"Moskva"}],"extId":"18-191952"},{"label":[{"language":"eng","value":"2024 Crocus City Hall attack"},{"language":"fin","value":"2024 Crocus City Hall attack"},{"language":"rus","value":"теракт в Крокус Сити холл"},{"language":"swe","value":"2024 Crocus City Hall attack"}],"extId":"18-358731"},{"label":[{"language":"eng","value":"Crocus City Hall"},{"language":"fin","value":"Crocus City Hall"},{"language":"rus","value":"Крокус Сити холл"},{"language":"swe","value":"Crocus City Hall"}],"extId":"18-358730"},{"label":[{"language":"fin","value":"terrori-iskut"},{"language":"swe","value":"terrorattacker"}],"extId":"18-204681"}],"copyright":[{"language":"und","value":"Vasily Prudnikov \u002F EPA"}],"crops":[{"name":"16:9","aspect":1.78,"coordinates":{"x":0,"y":131,"width":3511,"height":1974}},{"name":"2:3","aspect":0.67,"coordinates":{"x":239,"y":0,"width":1548,"height":2323}},{"name":"1:1","aspect":1,"coordinates":{"x":0,"y":0,"width":2323,"height":2323}},{"name":"5:2","aspect":2.5,"coordinates":{"x":9,"y":436,"width":3502,"height":1400}}],"height":2323,"licence":{"id":"1","name":[{"language":"und","value":"EPA"}],"properties":[]},"version":"1711215897","width":3511,"recommendedFormat":"jpg"},{"text":"Venäjällä mikään ei ole stabiilia","level":2,"type":"heading"},{"text":"Hanna Smith sanoo, että iskujen opetus on, että Venäjällä mikään ei ole stabiilia. Mitä vain voi tapahtua ja palikat lentää uuteen asentoon hetkessä.","type":"text"},{"text":"Smith sanoo, että oppositiojohtaja **Aleksei** **Navalnyi** murhattiin hetkellä, jolloin oppositio Venäjällä oli jo lähes unohtunut.","type":"text"},{"text":"Reilu vuosi sitten taas ajateltiin, ettei Putinia uskalla haastaa kukaan, kunnes Wagnerin johtaja **Jevgeni Prigozhin** yritti marssia Moskovaan.","type":"text"},{"text":"Presidentinvaalien jälkeen kaikki huomio on kiinnittynyt siihen, että Venäjä siirtyy sotatalouteen ja valmistelee suurhyökkäystä Ukrainaan. Sitten tapahtuikin terrori-isku.","type":"text"},{"text":"– Venäjä on monimutkainen kokonaisuus. Se ei ole koskaan niin vahva tai heikko kuin ajattelemme. 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