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Mini ice age could hit in a matter of months, not years
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December 1, 2009 PST</em></p> <div id="hero_box" style="width: 530px; "> <a id="hero_link" href="/web/20100106141455/http://www.gizmag.com/mini-ice-age-hit-in-months/13489/picture/105793/"> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/pictures/hero/ice-age-1.jpg" title="New research indicates a mini ice age can be brought on in a matter or months (Image: NASA..." alt="New research indicates a mini ice age can be brought on in a matter or months (Image: NASA..." border="0"></a><div class="pic_caption snap_noengage"> <p>New research indicates a mini ice age can be brought on in a matter or months (Image: NASA)</p></div> <div class="clear_both"></div> </div> <div class="article_body"> <div id="top_unit"></div> <script type="text/javascript" language="JavaScript"><!-- var google_adnum = 0; function google_ad_request_done(google_ads) { if (google_ads.length>0) { if (google_ads[0].bidtype == "CPC") { google_adnum = google_adnum + google_ads.length; } var s = ''; var i; if 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' + '" ">' + google_ads[i].visible_url + '<' + '/a>'; s += '<div class=\"ad\" '+ mouseover +'><a href="' + google_ads[i].url + '" ' + 'onmouseout="window.status=\'\'" ' + 'onmouseover="window.status=\'go to ' + google_ads[i].visible_url + '\'" ' + '" class="'+ title_style +'">' + google_ads[i].line1 + '<' + '/a>'; if (adstage == 2 || adstage == 4) s+= ' - ' + link; s += '<br>' + google_ads[i].line2 + ' ' + google_ads[i].line3 + '<br>'; if (adstage != '2' && adstage != '4') s+= link; s += '<' + '/div>'; } s += '<a href="' + google_info.feedback_url + '" class="ad_origin">Ads by Google<' + '/a><' + '/div>'; } } //only display the google bottom unit if there is no chitika ad document.getElementById('top_unit').innerHTML=s; } //--> </script> <script type="text/javascript" language="JavaScript"><!-- var random_number = Math.random(); var test_channel; //title size if (random_number < '.2'){ adstage = '1'; test_channel = '0002921071'; //text 2 lines } else if ((random_number > '.2') && (random_number < '.4')) { adstage = '2'; test_channel = '8412789180'; //background mouseover } else if ((random_number > '.4') && (random_number < '.6')) { adstage = '3'; test_channel = '9953867104'; //combination } else if ((random_number > '.6') && (random_number < '.8')) { adstage = '4'; test_channel = '0417420483'; //original settings } else if ((random_number > '.8') && (random_number < '1')) { adstage = '5'; test_channel = '0195440890'; } google_ad_client = 'pub-1607124478120364'; google_ad_output = 'js'; google_ad_channel = '8761738140+6827533011+1461222728' + '+' + test_channel; google_max_num_ads = '4'; google_skip = google_adnum; google_feedback = 'on'; google_ad_type = 'text,image,flash'; google_image_size = '300x250'; //--> </script> <script type="text/javascript" language="JavaScript" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20100106141455js_/http://pagead2.googlesyndication.com/pagead/show_ads.js"></script> <p class="snap_noengage">Those who scoffed at the swiftness with which the world was plunged into an ice age in the film <em>The Day After Tomorrow</em> may need to rethink their disbelief with new research showing that such a scenario may not be so far from the truth. A new study reveals that switching off the North Atlantic circulation can force the Northern hemisphere into a mini ‘ice age’ in a matter of months rather than the tens of years indicated by previous research.</p> <p class="snap_noengage">Around 12,800 years ago the northern hemisphere was hit by a mini ice-age, known by scientists as the Younger Dryas, and nicknamed the “Big Freeze”, which lasted around 1300 years. Geological evidence shows that the Big Freeze was brought about by a sudden influx of freshwater, when the glacial Lake Agassiz in North America burst its banks and poured into the North Atlantic and Arctic Oceans. This vast pulse, a greater volume than all of North America’s Great Lakes combined, diluted the North Atlantic conveyor belt and brought it to a halt.</p> <p class="snap_noengage">Without the warming influence of this ocean circulation temperatures across the Northern hemisphere plummeted, ice sheets grew and human civilization fell apart. Previous evidence from Greenland ice cores has indicated that this sudden change in climate occurred over the space of a decade or so. Now new data shows that the change was amazingly abrupt, taking place over the course of a few months, or a year or two at most.</p> <p class="snap_noengage">Using a mud core taken from an ancient lake, Lough Monreach, in Ireland, the researchers have created the highest resolution record of the Big Freeze event to date. Using a scalpel layers were sliced from the core, just 0.5mm thick, representing a time period of one to three months.</p> <p class="snap_noengage">Carbon isotopes in each slice reveal how productive the lake was, while oxygen isotopes give a picture of temperature and rainfall. At the start of the Big Freeze their new record shows that temperatures plummeted and lake productivity stopped over the course of just a few years.</p> <p class="snap_noengage">Meanwhile, their isotope record from the end of the Big Freeze shows that it took around two centuries for the lake and climate to recover, rather than the abrupt decade or so that ice cores indicate. “This makes sense because it would take time for the ocean and atmospheric circulation to turn on again,” says researcher William Patterson, from the University of Saskatchewan in Canada.</p> <p class="snap_noengage">Looking ahead to the future Patterson says there is no reason why a “Big Freeze” shouldn’t happen again. “If the Greenland ice sheet melted suddenly it would be catastrophic,” he says.</p> <p class="snap_noengage">The study was carried out by the <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20100106141455/http://www.esf.org/home.html" target="_blank">European Science Foundation</a> EUROCORES program ‘Histories from the North – environments, movements, narratives’, which was comprised of 38 individual research teams from Europe, Russia, Canada and the USA.</p> </div> <div id="bottom_unit"></div> <script type="text/javascript" language="JavaScript"><!-- function google_ad_request_done(google_ads) { if (google_ads.length>0) { if (google_ads[0].bidtype == "CPC") { google_adnum = google_adnum + google_ads.length; 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} s += '<a href="' + google_info.feedback_url + '" class="ad_origin">Ads by Google<' + '/a><' + '/div>'; } } //only display the google bottom unit if there is no chitika ad document.getElementById('bottom_unit').innerHTML=s; } //--> </script> <script type="text/javascript" language="JavaScript"><!-- var random_number = Math.random(); var test_channel; //title size if (random_number < '.2'){ adstage = '1'; test_channel = '0002921071'; //text 2 lines } else if ((random_number > '.2') && (random_number < '.4')) { adstage = '2'; test_channel = '8412789180'; //background mouseover } else if ((random_number > '.4') && (random_number < '.6')) { adstage = '3'; test_channel = '9953867104'; //combination } else if ((random_number > '.6') && (random_number < '.8')) { adstage = '4'; test_channel = '0417420483'; //original settings } else if ((random_number > '.8') && (random_number < '1')) { adstage = '5'; test_channel = '0195440890'; } adstage = '5'; google_ad_client = 'pub-1607124478120364'; google_ad_output = 'js'; google_ad_channel = '7414841517' ; google_max_num_ads = '1'; google_skip = google_adnum; google_feedback = 'on'; google_ad_type = 'text,image,flash'; google_image_size = '300x250'; //--> </script> <script type="text/javascript" language="JavaScript" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20100106141455js_/http://pagead2.googlesyndication.com/pagead/show_ads.js"></script> <!-- ad below article cached --> <div id="tags"> <span class="title">Tags</span> <div class="dotsontop fg_ie_fix"></div> <ul> <li>» <a href="/web/20100106141455/http://www.gizmag.com/tag/arctic/" rel="tag">Arctic</a></li> <li>» <a href="/web/20100106141455/http://www.gizmag.com/tag/environment/" rel="tag">environment</a></li> <li>» <a href="/web/20100106141455/http://www.gizmag.com/tag/ocean/" rel="tag">Ocean</a></li> <li>» <a href="/web/20100106141455/http://www.gizmag.com/tag/research/" rel="tag">Research</a></li> <li>» <a href="/web/20100106141455/http://www.gizmag.com/tag/temperature/" rel="tag">Temperature</a></li> <li style="clear: left"></li> </ul> <div class="clear_both"></div> </div> <span class="title">User Comments (15)</span> <div class="dotsontop"> <div id="comment-11083" class="a_comment"> <p>so its an 'ice-age' created by global warming?</p> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt="comment"> <p class="name">bio-power jeff</p> <p class="date">- December 1, 2009 @ 07:12 am CST</p> <div class="clear_both"></div></div> <div id="comment-11137" class="a_comment"> <p>So I guess nature would be self correcting. The global warming melts the Greenland ice sheet which stops the Gulf stream which freezes the northern hemisphere. So then the sudden ice age kills billions of humans who created this mess in the first place.</p> <p>But I wonder what happens to the southern hemisphere during all this? Should I move to Brazil?</p> <p></p> <p></p> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt="comment"> <p class="name">Eletruk</p> <p class="date">- December 1, 2009 @ 07:12 pm CST</p> <div class="clear_both"></div></div> <div id="comment-11158" class="a_comment"> <p>You are right Eletruk! 12,800 years ago them stupid humans with there coal fired power stations, and running around in their gas guzzling cars. lucky we have people like Al Gore now to show us the error of our ways, they could of done with someone like him 12,800 years ago.</p> <p></p> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt="comment"> <p class="name">jum</p> <p class="date">- December 2, 2009 @ 06:12 am CST</p> <div class="clear_both"></div></div> <div id="comment-11200" class="a_comment"> <p>Yes, Jum, you have clearly demonstrated your aptitude for sarcasm and wit. And you have somehow stumbled upon the glorious revelation that Earth's localized temperature systems and CO_2 concentrations exhibit a naturally sinusoidal rhythm--but alas your brilliant discovery is nothing new to the scientific community as the data taken by hundreds of researchers already depicts that. </p> <p></p> <p>But before you begin claiming that the unnaturally high levels of CO_2 and other greenhouse gasses that our technologies are known to produce in vast quantities are of little consequence, and expounding your myopic "views" in such an antagonistic manner, you might meditate on the definition of the word 'catalyst'. </p> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt="comment"> <p class="name">Dalek</p> <p class="date">- December 2, 2009 @ 01:12 pm CST</p> <div class="clear_both"></div></div> <div id="comment-11212" class="a_comment"> <p>It's a feedback system: if you inject new inputs into the system it can oscillate - especially if you don't know what you're doing. In either case, the results are usually not good or predictable. </p> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt="comment"> <p class="name">BillInStl</p> <p class="date">- December 2, 2009 @ 07:12 pm CST</p> <div class="clear_both"></div></div> <div id="comment-11272" class="a_comment"> <p>O.K. I have a question? Who decided that the amount of C0² that is now present is too much? It’s been MUCH higher in earths past and there is this little fact that C0² does not cause global warming but only goes up when the earth gets warm! Why doesn’t anybody every bring this up? C0² fallows the earths temperature not proceed it, AND even if it did cause any kind of temperature differential how about we just learn to adapt the way our ancestors did? I will not get put into a 3rd world life stile because somebody thinks my car had even the slightest effect on our earth!</p> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt="comment"> <p class="name">mrhuckfin</p> <p class="date">- December 3, 2009 @ 05:12 pm CST</p> <div class="clear_both"></div></div> <div id="comment-11296" class="a_comment"> <p>Problems;</p> <p> Firstly it would only be a local ice age - affecting the countries now warmed by ocean circulation - GB, etc. Other areas (tropics particularly) would be HEATED by the reduction in outflow of heat, via ocean circulation. This would be on top of the anthropometric global warming.</p> <p> Secondly, & fortunately, there do not appear to be any lakes which could collapse at the current time - melting of the ice caps would be gradual and might slow the ocean circulation, but unlikely to stop it.</p> <p></p> <p> MrHuck - I hope you don't have any kids. If you do, you can tell them to start 'adapting' by remembering what beaches look like, and by making do without the food produced on the most productive soils - the river flats, which will go under. </p> <p> Yes, CO2 has been higher in the past - but last time it was as high as this, sea levels were 25 to 40 metres higher than now. </p> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt="comment"> <p class="name">Stuart21</p> <p class="date">- December 3, 2009 @ 11:12 pm CST</p> <div class="clear_both"></div></div> <div id="comment-11347" class="a_comment"> <p>I would like to point out a couple of things:</p> <p></p> <p>Yes, we live in a feedbacked system which tends to stability. This means two things: on an external input in one direction the system REACTS in an opposite way so as to go back to the previous state and to reduce the oscillation created; But the new stable point might not be exactly the previous one.</p> <p></p> <p>And yes, some million years ago there was a lot more CO2 in the atmosphere, but average temperature on the planet was a lot higher, and possibly there were not the same oceanic circulations simply because the continents configuration was so different. And besides this, there were plants all over that were fixing all that CO2, with the aid of high temperatures converting CO2 in organic matter and releasing O2. When the CO2 was lowered and O2 was increased there was a certain point in which an equilibrium was broken and there was an ice age. After this plants were not the same any more and new species appeared (our modern plants, grass, flowers, and so on).</p> <p></p> <p>So my conclusion is that ancient plants pumped CO2 underground (in form of coal, oil, etc.) for million years, and as we now are pumping it up again "abruptly" (in just three or four hundred years) it's quite possible that we get a temperature rise, and the global system will react more or less abruptly to reduce the oscillation.</p> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt="comment"> <p class="name">cgp</p> <p class="date">- December 4, 2009 @ 10:12 am CST</p> <div class="clear_both"></div></div> <div id="comment-11509" class="a_comment"> <p>Wow Dalek, you are one incredibly sophisticated thinker, not to mention having your own unique brand of incredibly scathing wit. I bet your friends are intimidated as all hell by that mind of yours, fearing to venture even the most harmless of opinions in your presence. ...Can you say smarmy twerp? You passes the worst kind of gasses.</p> <p></p> <p>Climate change, like all things on this planet, is inevitable, with or without the interference of human enterprise. Sure, we may exacerbate these changes to a minor extent, but it is my humble estimation this is merely the cause du jour on which sheeple are hanging their fears, most likely wrought by neocons and far left pinheads who are trying to level the playing field by bringing down the most productive nations through guilt, coercion and outright lies. Thanks to these anti-humans industrialized nations will be held as pariahs while third world cesspools will be lauded as representing humanity's finest endeavors.</p> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt="comment"> <p class="name">Kavid</p> <p class="date">- December 7, 2009 @ 09:12 pm CST</p> <div class="clear_both"></div></div> <div id="comment-11515" class="a_comment"> <p>Jum, Dalek, mrhucfinn and Kavid, you are all just an antagonistic waste of space.</p> <p></p> <p>Now listen to me, here's the way it really is.......</p> <p></p> <p></p> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt="comment"> <p class="name">Rangi</p> <p class="date">- December 8, 2009 @ 02:12 am CST</p> <div class="clear_both"></div></div> <div id="comment-11815" class="a_comment"> <p>Eletruk said, "So I guess nature would be self correcting. The global warming melts the Greenland ice sheet which stops the Gulf stream which freezes the northern hemisphere. So then the sudden ice age kills billions of humans who created this mess in the first place."</p> <p></p> <p>Why don't you also stop guessing about the evidence for global warming you gullible guessing idiot?</p> <p></p> <p>"But I wonder what happens to the southern hemisphere during all this? Should I move to Brazil?"</p> <p></p> <p>why ask for an opinion if all you want to hear is: "Forget about God just feel what you want."?</p> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt="comment"> <p class="name">Facebook User</p> <p class="date">- December 14, 2009 @ 05:12 am CST</p> <div class="clear_both"></div></div> <div id="comment-12337" class="a_comment"> <p>If everyone hasn't noticed. We no longer have "Global Warming". The powers that be now refer to it as "Climate Change", with that it can go either way and they are right.</p> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt="comment"> <p class="name">Facebook User</p> <p class="date">- December 28, 2009 @ 01:12 pm CST</p> <div class="clear_both"></div></div> <div id="comment-12412" class="a_comment"> <p>The 'save the planet' movement detracts from what is ultimately important ->human civilization. Forget carbon-trading, it's as simple as doing what's necessary to ensure that the human race continues indefinitely. You can get a non-tree-lover on board if you use the argument that we are wasting free energy from the sun/wind, while we are burning energy that we could conserve and save instead of a 'do it for the salamanders' approach. </p> <p></p> <p>A rapid mini-ice age would be disastrous for mankind period. Not that we wouldn't survive: the optimist might say we need a specific challenge to face in order to move forward together. However, the lake in Ireland does not answer what happened to the climate elsewhere. How would precipitation in the gulf of mexico fare if there is no circulation of the water needed to carry it inland?</p> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt="comment"> <p class="name">TheDuke</p> <p class="date">- December 29, 2009 @ 04:12 pm CST</p> <div class="clear_both"></div></div> <div id="comment-12607" class="a_comment"> <p>It is not global warming or climate but it is global government. Nothing man does will really change the climate unless we set off all our nuclear weapons, but we sure as hell can change our governments.</p> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt="comment"> <p class="name">Facebook User</p> <p class="date">- January 3, 2010 @ 10:01 pm CST</p> <div class="clear_both"></div></div> <div id="comment-12631" class="a_comment" style="background-image: none"> <p>What is Nature's way of fixing carbon? Growing Green things! If everybody planted a tree or four (Irish joke!) surely that would help? Where to plant them? Next to power stations. By the way, all that smoke you see comming out of the cooling towers is of course steam. They are cooling the water, which was heated up to make steam, to turn the turbines. Why don't they re-circulate the hot water and reheat it, instead of wasting it up the chimney. I think there is something here I don't undersdand. Can someone explain to me how a power station works? It sounds very in-efficient to me</p> <img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt="comment"> <p class="name">windykites1</p> <p class="date">- January 5, 2010 @ 11:01 am CST</p> <div class="clear_both"></div></div> <div id="rss_comments"> <a href="rss/"><img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/rss_thisArticle.png" alt="RSS Feed for comments from this article"></a> <a href="/web/20100106141455/http://www.gizmag.com/allcomments/rss/" id="rss_allArticles"><img src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/rss_allArticles.png" alt="RSS Feed for comments from all articles"></a> </div> </div> <!-- comments cached --> <span class="title" id="comments">Post a Comment</span> <div class="dotsontop" id="comment_form_div"> <script src="https://web.archive.org/web/20100106141455js_/http://static.ak.connect.facebook.com/js/api_lib/v0.4/FeatureLoader.js.php" type="text/javascript"></script> <div id="comment_form"> <div id="comments_login"> <form action="javascript:sndReqArg('login_user', prep_ajax(document.login_form.email.value), prep_ajax(document.login_form.password.value), 13489, prep_ajax(''))" style="clear: both; padding-top: 0px;" name="login_form" id="login_form"> <p><strong>Login with your gizmag account:</strong></p> <label for="email">Email</label><input type="text" class="text" name="email" id="email" value=""><br><br> <label for="password">Password</label><input type="password" class="text" name="password" id="password" value=""><br> <div> <input type="submit" style="float: right" id="submit" value="Log In"> <div id="options"> <a href="/web/20100106141455/http://www.gizmag.com/register/">Register here</a> <a href="/web/20100106141455/http://www.gizmag.com/new_password/">Forgotten your password?</a> </div> </div> </form> </div> <div id="facebook_login"> <p>Or <strong>Login with Facebook:</strong></p><br> <img id="fb_login_image" onclick="FB.Connect.requireSession(); return false;" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20100106141455im_/http://static.ak.fbcdn.net/images/fbconnect/login-buttons/connect_light_medium_long.gif" alt="Connect"> </div> </div> <script type="text/javascript"> FB_RequireFeatures(["XFBML"], function() { FB.init("a8f96218e199c0b714c5d75df86e1fe0", "/xd_receiver.htm"); FB.Facebook.get_sessionState().waitUntilReady(function() { FB.Facebook.get_sessionState().waitUntilReady(sndReqArg('show_comment_form_fb', 13489)); }); }); </script> <div class="clear_both"></div> </div> <br><span class="title">Related Articles</span> <div class="dotsontop"> <div id="related_articles"> <div class="pair"> <div> <a href="/web/20100106141455/http://www.gizmag.com/arctic-warming-overtakes-2000-years-of-natural-cooling/12744/" class="image" style="clear: both" title="The blue line shows estimates of Arctic temperatures over the last 2,000 years. 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alt=""></a></noscript> <!-- End ad tag --> </div> <span class="title">Recent Comments</span> <ul id="recent_comments"> <li><a href="/web/20100106141455/http://www.gizmag.com/running-shoes-damaging-hips-knees-damage/13707/#comment-12697" class="blacklink">"As a diabetic, running barefoot is not an option for me."</a><br> <a href="/web/20100106141455/http://www.gizmag.com/running-shoes-damaging-hips-knees-damage/13707/#comment-12697" class="blacklink"><img align="middle" src="/web/20100106141455im_/http://www.gizmag.com/images/comment.png" alt=""> <em><strong>Bruce Alan Wilson</strong> - January 6, 2010 @ 12:59 UTC</em></a><br> From: <a href="/web/20100106141455/http://www.gizmag.com/running-shoes-damaging-hips-knees-damage/13707/">Your expensive running shoes could be destroying your knees, ankles and hips</a></li> <li><a href="/web/20100106141455/http://www.gizmag.com/the-horizon-fuel-cell-technologies-hydrofill-personal-desktop-hydrogen/13691/#comment-12694" class="blacklink">"I agree 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