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Un guide du débutant sur la qualité de l'air en diffusion instantanée et en diffusion immédiate.

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href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//it'><div title='Italian' class='sprite-isprt-web-it flag-it'>🇮🇹</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//id'><div title='Indonesian' class='sprite-isprt-web-id flag-id'>🇮🇩</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//nl'><div title='Dutch' class='sprite-isprt-web-nl flag-nl'>🇳🇱</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//fa'><div title='Persian' class='sprite-isprt-web-ir flag-fa'>🇮🇷</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//th'><div title='Thai' class='sprite-isprt-web-th flag-th'>🇹🇭</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//hu'><div title='Hungarian' class='sprite-isprt-web-hu flag-hu'>🇭🇺</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//el'><div title='Greek' class='sprite-isprt-web-gr flag-el'>🇬🇷</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//ro'><div title='Romanian' class='sprite-isprt-web-ro flag-ro'>🇷🇴</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//bg'><div title='Bulgarian' class='sprite-isprt-web-bg flag-bg'>🇧🇬</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//ur'><div title='Urdu' class='sprite-isprt-web-pk flag-ur'>🇵🇰</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//hi'><div title='Hindi' class='sprite-isprt-web-in flag-hi'>🇮🇳</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//ar'><div title='Arabic' class='sprite-isprt-web-ae flag-ar'>🇦🇪</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//sr'><div title='Serbian' class='sprite-isprt-web-rs flag-sr'>🇷🇸</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//bn'><div title='Bangla' class='sprite-isprt-web-bd flag-bn'>🇧🇩</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//bs'><div title='Bosnian' class='sprite-isprt-web-ba flag-bs'>🇧🇦</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//hr'><div title='Croatian' class='sprite-isprt-web-hr flag-hr'>🇭🇷</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//tr'><div title='Turkish' class='sprite-isprt-web-tr flag-tr'>🇹🇷</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//uk'><div title='Ukrainian' class='sprite-isprt-web-ua flag-uk'>🇺🇦</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//cs'><div title='Czech' class='sprite-isprt-web-cz flag-cs'>🇨🇿</div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//be'><div title='Belarusian' class='sprite-isprt-web-by flag-be'>🇧🇾</div></a></div><div id='hdrlang-navigation'><div id='hdrlang-navigation-inner' class='hdrlang-navigation'><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide/' class='lang-en'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-gb'></div><span class='name'>Anglais <span>- English</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//cn' class='lang-zh-CN'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-cn'></div><span class='name'>Chinois <span>- 简体中文</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//jp' class='lang-ja'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-jp'></div><span class='name'>Japonais <span>- 日本</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//es' class='lang-es'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-es'></div><span class='name'>Francais <span>- español</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//kr' class='lang-ko'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-kr'></div><span class='name'>Coréen <span>- 한국의</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//ru' class='lang-ru'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-ru'></div><span class='name'>Russe <span>- русский</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//hk' class='lang-zh-TW'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-hk'></div><span class='name'>Cantonais <span>- 繁體中文</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//fr' class='lang-fr'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-fr'></div><span class='name'>Francais</span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//pl' class='lang-pl'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-pl'></div><span class='name'>Polish <span>- Polski</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//de' class='lang-de'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-de'></div><span class='name'>German <span>- Deutsch</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//pt' class='lang-pt'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-br'></div><span class='name'>Portuguese <span>- Português</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//vn' class='lang-vi'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-vn'></div><span class='name'>Vietnamese <span>- Tiếng Việt</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//it' class='lang-it'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-it'>🇮🇹</div><span class='name'>Italian <span>- Italiano</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//id' class='lang-id'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-id'>🇮🇩</div><span class='name'>Indonesian <span>- bahasa Indonesia</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//nl' class='lang-nl'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-nl'>🇳🇱</div><span class='name'>Dutch <span>- Nederlands</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//fa' class='lang-fa'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-ir'>🇮🇷</div><span class='name'>Persian <span>- فارسی</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//th' class='lang-th'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-th'>🇹🇭</div><span class='name'>Thai <span>- ภาษาไทย</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//hu' class='lang-hu'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-hu'>🇭🇺</div><span class='name'>Hungarian <span>- Magyar</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//el' class='lang-el'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-gr'>🇬🇷</div><span class='name'>Greek <span>- Ελληνικά</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//ro' class='lang-ro'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-ro'>🇷🇴</div><span class='name'>Romanian <span>- Română</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//bg' class='lang-bg'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-bg'>🇧🇬</div><span class='name'>Bulgarian <span>- български</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//ur' class='lang-ur'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-pk'>🇵🇰</div><span class='name'>Urdu <span>- اردو</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//hi' class='lang-hi'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-in'>🇮🇳</div><span class='name'>Hindi <span>- हिंदी</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//ar' class='lang-ar'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-ae'>🇦🇪</div><span class='name'>Arabic <span>- العربية</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//sr' class='lang-sr'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-rs'>🇷🇸</div><span class='name'>Serbian <span>- Српски</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//bn' class='lang-bn'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-bd'>🇧🇩</div><span class='name'>Bangla <span>- বাংলা</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//bs' class='lang-bs'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-ba'>🇧🇦</div><span class='name'>Bosnian <span>- босански</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//hr' class='lang-hr'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-hr'>🇭🇷</div><span class='name'>Croatian <span>- hrvatski</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//tr' class='lang-tr'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-tr'>🇹🇷</div><span class='name'>Turkish <span>- Türkçe</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//uk' class='lang-uk'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-ua'>🇺🇦</div><span class='name'>Ukrainian <span>- українська</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//cs' class='lang-cs'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-cz'>🇨🇿</div><span class='name'>Czech <span>- čeština</span></span></div></a><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide//be' class='lang-be'><div class='item'><div class='flag sprite-isprt-web-by'>🇧🇾</div><span class='name'>Belarusian <span>- беларускі</span></span></div></a></div></div></div><div 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#fdfdfd;-webkit-border-radius: 0.3em;-moz-border-radius: 0.3em;-ms-border-radius: 0.3em;-o-border-radius: 0.3em;border-radius: 0.3em;color: black;font-family: Consolas, Monaco, 'Andale Mono', monospace;direction: ltr;text-align: left;white-space: pre;overflow: scroll;word-wrap: break-word;word-spacing: normal;color:#c92c2c;}code.code-snippet-inline span.string {color: #2f9c0a;}code.code-example {font-family: Consolas, Monaco, 'Andale Mono', monospace;background-color:#f8f8f8;border:1px solid #888;padding:20px;display:inline-block;margin:20px;font-size:15px;line-height:1.2;text-align:left;-webkit-box-shadow: 0px 0px 0px 1px #dfdfdf;-moz-box-shadow: 0px 0px 0px 1px #dfdfdf;box-shadow: 0px 0px 0px 1px #dfdfdf;background-color: #fdfdfd;-webkit-border-radius: 0.3em;-moz-border-radius: 0.3em;-ms-border-radius: 0.3em;-o-border-radius: 0.3em;border-radius: 0.3em;}</style><div class='h1section'><h1><div id='h1header1' style='padding:2px;padding:5px 0;font-family:"Noto Serif",Cambria,"Palatino Linotype","Book Antiqua","URW Palladio L",serif;;;'>Un guide du débutant sur la qualité de l'air en diffusion instantanée et en diffusion immédiate.</div><div id='h1header2' class='h1sub' >A Beginner's Guide to Air Quality Instant-Cast and Now-Cast. </div></h1></div><script type='text/javascript'> ; if (!isMobileUA) { fitLine('#h1header1',.88,{maxfs:45});fitLine('#h1header2',.88,{maxfs:38}); }; </script><style>.section-outer {text-align: initial;}.section-content {max-width: 95%;width: 1100px;font-size: 18px;min-height: 300px;text-align: initial;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;line-height: 1.8;margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto;}.section-content-tight {min-height: 0px;}.section-content-alt {background-color: #f0f0f0;border-top: 1px solid #ccc;border-bottom: 1px solid #ddd};.section-banner {background-size: 100%;background: url(https://aqicn.org/images//bluesky-banner-panoramic.jpg) no-repeat center bottom #eee;margin-top: -2px;z-index: -1;border-bottom: 1px solid #888;width: 100%;}.h2-title {font-family: inherit;font-size: 1.1em;overflow: hidden;text-align: center;text-transform: capitalize;}.h2-title:before,.h2-title:after {background-color: #ddd;content: '';display: inline-block;height: 1px;position: relative;vertical-align: middle;width: 50%;}.h2-title:before {right: 0.5em;margin-left: -50%;}.h2-title:after {left: 0.5em;margin-right: -50%;}@media only screen and (max-width: 800px) {.section-content {line-height: 1.6;max-width: 98%;min-height: 10px;}.section-banner {display: none;}}</style><div class='whitebody' style='font-family:"Noto Serif",Cambria,"Palatino Linotype","Book Antiqua","URW Palladio L",serif;'><div class='section-outer'><div class='section-content' ><i>Posted on March 15<sup>th</sup> 2015</i><div style='height:1px;background-color:#aaaaaa;width:300px;margin-top:5px;'></div><small><i>(re-edited on January 12<sup>th</sup> 2020)</i></small><br><div id="gtrans-div-id" style="float:right" class="gtrans-div"></div><script>try { 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55.537 54.34 z" style="stroke: none; stroke-width: 1; stroke-dasharray: none; stroke-linecap: butt; stroke-linejoin: miter; stroke-miterlimit: 10; fill: #25a1de; fill-rule: nonzero; opacity: 1;" transform=" matrix(1 0 0 1 0 0) " stroke-linecap="round" /></g></svg></a><script>try{tlite.enable(document.getElementById('share-reddit'),{text:"<div style='font-size:120%'>Share on reddit:<\/div>A Beginner's Guide to Air Quality Instant-Cast and Now-Cast. <br>(https:\/\/aqicn.org\/faq\/2015-03-15\/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide\/fr\/)"});}catch(e){}</script></div><style>.ui-share-btns {display: block;margin: 0;vertical-align: middle;}.ui-share-btns svg {height: 20px;vertical-align: middle;fill: white;}.ui-share-btn {background-color: #25a1de;color: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);font-size: 15px;line-height: 20px;display: inline-block;text-align: center;border: 1px solid #0086c8;cursor: pointer;border-radius: 4px;padding: 3px 5px;margin: 3px;max-width: 800px;min-width: 30px;}.ui-share-btn:first-child {margin-left: 0px;}.ui-share-btn:hover {background-color: #f8f8f8;border-color: #adadad;text-decoration: none;color: black;}.ui-share-btn:hover svg {fill: black;}.ui-share-btn:hover svg g {fill: black;}.ui-share-btn a:hover {text-decoration: none;}</style><i style='color:#888;font-size:13px;word-break: break-all;'>Partager: <a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide/fr/'>aqicn.org/faq/2015-03-15/air-quality-nowcast-a-beginners-guide/fr/</a></i><br><div class='entry-content' ng-controller='MainController as ctrl'> <div style='float:right;padding-left:10px;'> <img src='/images/nowcast/typhoon-asia-2004293.jpg' width=468> <center> <small> Typhoon and Dust on East Asia, Courtesy of NASA (<a href='http://alliance.la.asu.edu/mywonderfulworld/GeoLiteracy/WilliamsNature/williamsnature.html'>attribution</a>) </small> </center> <script> if (0) cityShowAd("6885275862", 300, 100); </script> <br> </div> <p>En mars 2015, nous avons eu la chance de rencontrer à Pékin plusieurs spécialistes de l&#39;environnement du Département d&#39;État américain ainsi que de la China Mission ( <i>la célèbre entité qui gère les moniteurs PM <sub>2,5</sub> à l&#39;ambassade américaine de Pékin</i> ).</p> <p>Parmi tous les sujets abordés, il en est un qui mérite d&#39;être évoqué, à savoir le système de « <i><b>nowcast</b></i> ». Ce système est utilisé par l&#39;EPA des États-Unis pour convertir les lectures brutes de polluants, exprimées en µg/m3 ou <i>ppb</i> , en AQI (échelle de 0 à 500). Il est utilisé pour toutes les valeurs AQI signalées sur le site Web <a href='http://airnow.gov'>airnow.gov</a> .</p> <p>Le concept derrière la <i>prévision immédiate</i> est de compenser la « <i>moyenne sur 24 heures</i> », qui doit être utilisée lors de la conversion des concentrations en AQI. La raison de cette moyenne est que l&#39; <a href='http://airnow.gov/index.cfm?action=aqibasics.aqi'>échelle AQI</a> précise que chacun des niveaux de préoccupation pour la santé (c&#39;est-à-dire bon, modéré,... malsain...) est valable sous une exposition de 24 heures <sup><a href="#nowcast-footnote-1">[1]</a></sup> . Par exemple, lorsqu&#39;on voit un AQI de 188 (Malsain), il faut le lire comme &quot; <i style='color:#888;'>si je reste dehors pendant 24 heures et que l&#39;AQI est de 188 <span style='color:#cc0033;'>pendant ces 24 heures</span> , alors l&#39;effet sur la santé est Malsain</i> &quot;. C&#39;est tout à fait différent de dire que « <i style='color:#888;'>si l&#39;IQA rapporté est maintenant de 188, alors l&#39;effet sur la santé est malsain</i> ».</p> <p>Le problème est que la moyenne sur 24 heures est une <b>très mauvaise idée</b> et devrait être abolie <sup><a href="#nowcast-footnote-3">[3]</a></sup> pour au moins ces deux raisons :</p> <ul> <li> <span>Premièrement, la dynamique de la pollution atmosphérique est telle que le vent purifie complètement l’air en moins de 30 minutes !</span> <span>Ce phénomène est fréquemment observé à Pékin avec les forts vents du nord capables de faire passer l&#39;IQA PM <sub>2,5</sub> de plus de 300 à moins de 50 en moins d&#39;une heure <sup><a href="#nowcast-footnote-2">[2]</a></sup> . Lorsque cela se produit, personne ne veut attendre 24 heures avant de savoir que la qualité de l’air est bonne (et sortir se promener pour profiter de l’air frais !)</span> <br> <br> <li> <span>La deuxième raison est lorsque la qualité de l’air se détériore soudainement. Un cas célèbre est celui de l'incendie de forêt indonésien qui provoque le smog de Singapour lorsque les vents se dirigent vers le nord, dans quelles circonstances l'IQA peut passer de moins de 50 à plus de 150 en seulement une heure. En fait, nous avons reçu de nombreuses demandes de personnes asthmatiques/sensibles alors que Singapour ne fournissait encore que des lectures moyennes sur 24 heures.</span> </ul> <p>C&#39;est pour ces raisons que l&#39;EPA des États-Unis a introduit le système <i>de prévision immédiate</i> : il s&#39;agit d&#39;une formule de conversion alternative utilisée pour contrebalancer le besoin d&#39;établir une moyenne dans des conditions changeantes de la qualité de l&#39;air. D&#39;après <a href='http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nowcast_%28Air_Quality_Index%29'>Wikipédia</a> , il est décrit comme suit :</p> <blockquote> <span>Le NowCast est calculé à partir des 12 heures les plus récentes de données de surveillance des particules, mais le NowCast pondère plus fortement les heures de données les plus récentes qu'une moyenne ordinaire sur 12 heures lorsque les niveaux de polluants changent. Le NowCast est utilisé à la place d'une concentration moyenne de particules sur 24 heures dans le calcul de l'IQA jusqu'à ce qu'une journée civile entière de concentrations horaires ait été surveillée.</span> </blockquote> <p>La formule utilisée pour calculer l’AQI <i>NowCast</i> peut sembler barbare pour un non-scientifique.</p> <center style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'> <img src='/images/nowcast/nowcast-formula-generalized.png' width=600 style='vertical-align: middle;'> <span style='color:#888'>and </span> <i style='color:#1166c7'>W<sub>min</sub></i> = <sup>1</sup>/<sub>2</sub> <span style='color:#888'>and </span> <i style='color:#1166c7'>N</i> = 12 </center> <br> <p>Mais en réalité, c’est assez simple quand on regarde cet exemple appliqué à la qualité de l’air de Pékin.</p> <style type="text/css"> .axis path, .axis line { fill: none; font-size: 12px; stroke: black; shape-rendering: crispEdges; } .nowcastgraphs { font-size: 15px; border: 1px solid #cccccc; background-color: #f8f8f8; display: inline-block; width: 100%; padding: 10px; text-align: left; color: #888888; margin: 0 0 5px 0; box-sizing: border-box; } </style> <center> <span class='nowcastgraphs'> Instant AQI (no averaging, AQI converted directly from the 1 hour readings): <div id='instantAQI' style='font-size:12px;halign:center;'></div> <br> NowCast AQI: <div id='nowcastAQI' style='font-size:12px;halign:center;'></div> <br> </span> </center> <p>Le résultat de l’IQA calculé pour <i>la prévision immédiate</i> est encore très prononcé en termes de moyenne, du moins bien plus que ce à quoi on pourrait s’attendre en vivant dans la poussière asiatique. L&#39;une des raisons est que le facteur de pondération, utilisé pour déterminer le niveau de changement, a un seuil fixé à un minimum de 0,5, alors qu&#39;en réalité, sa valeur est bien inférieure à 0,5 dans de nombreux cas. Le graphique suivant montre ce facteur de pondération seuil, où le rouge est utilisé pour désigner les poids inférieurs à 0,5.</p> <center> <span class='nowcastgraphs'> NowCast weight factors: <div id='weightfactor' style='font-size:12px;halign:center;'></div> </span> </center> <p>La formule de prévision immédiate, telle qu&#39;elle est définie aujourd&#39;hui, est le fruit de la recherche basée sur les niveaux de qualité de l&#39;air en Amérique. Alors que pour les États-Unis, cela donne un rapport précis sur les conditions actuelles, ce n&#39;est peut-être pas le cas de l&#39;Asie où la dynamique de la qualité de l&#39;air est beaucoup plus forte. Pour cette raison, nous pensons que la formule <i>de prévision immédiate</i> devrait être adaptée à chaque continent.</p> <span>Pour l'Asie, cela pourrait être défini comme</span> <span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'> <i style='color:#1166c7'>W<sub>min</sub></i> = <sup>1</sup>/<sub>10</sub> <span style='color:#888'>and </span> <i style='color:#1166c7'>N</i> = 3 </span>, <span>correspondant au graphique suivant :</span> <center> <span class='nowcastgraphs'> <span>NowCast modifié pour l'Asie (alias NowCast Asia AQI) :</span> <div id='nowcastasiaAQI' style='font-size:12px;halign:center;'></div> <center> <small> <br> <span>Si vous le souhaitez, vous pouvez également modifier directement vous-même les deux paramètres :</span> <span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'> <i style='color:#1166c7'>W<sub>min</sub></i> = <input type='number' value=.1 class='nowcastparams' id='nowcastwmin'> <span style='color:#888'> and </span> <i style='color:#1166c7'>N</i> = <input type='number' value=3 class='nowcastparams' id='nowcastn'> </span> </small> </center> <span>Pour référence, AQI instantané :</span> <div id='instantAQI2' style='font-size:12px;halign:center;'></div> </span> </center> <style type="text/css"> .nowcastparams { padding: 3px; font-size: 18px; text-align: center; width: 50px; } </style> <p>Pour l&#39;instant, la formule de conversion utilisée sur le <a href='/home/fr/'>projet World Air Quality Index</a> ainsi que sur l&#39;AQI de la mission chinoise (alias l&#39;ambassade américaine de Pékin, le consulat américain de Shanghai, etc.) est toujours basée sur l&#39;&quot; <b>Instant AQI</b> &quot;, alias &quot;InstantCast&quot;. (c&#39;est-à-dire pas de moyenne du tout). Mais, sur la base des résultats de cette proposition « Asian Nowcast », cela pourrait être mis à jour très prochainement.</p> <script src='/jscripts/d3/d3.min.js?_=20190418.093123&type=script'></script><script src='/jscripts/moment/bundle.min.js?_=20200103.150752&type=script'></script><script src='/air/view/stats/plot.js?_=20190418.093129&type=script'></script><script src='/air/view/stats/nowcast-plot.js?_=20190418.093129&type=script'></script><link href='/air/view/stats/style.css?_=20190418.093129&type=css' rel='stylesheet'/> <script type='text/javascript'></script> <script type='text/javascript'> function calculatePm25Aqi(val) { var c = parseFloat(val); var range = [0, 50, 100, 150, 200, 300, 400, 500]; var scale = [0, 12, 35.5, 55.5, 150.5, 250.5, 350.5, 500.5]; for (var i = 0; i < scale.length - 1; i++) { if (c >= scale[i] && c < scale[i + 1]) { var aqi = range[i] + (c - scale[i]) * (range[i + 1] - range[i]) / (scale[i + 1] - scale[i]); aqi = Math.round(aqi); return aqi; } } return 500; } function instantAQI(val) { return calculatePm25Aqi(val / 1000); } function nowcastAQI(val, p, opt) { var minweight = opt.minweight || .5; var cmin = -1, cmax = -1; p.forEach(function(c) { if (cmin == -1 || cmin > c) cmin = c; if (cmax == -1 || cmax < c) cmax = c; }); var w = Math.max(minweight, cmin / cmax); var v = (val / 1000); var i = 1, div = 1, s = 1; p.forEach(function(c) { s *= w; v += c * s / 1000; div += s; }); v /= div; v = calculatePm25Aqi(v); return Math.round(v); } function weightfactor(val, p) { var cmin = -1, cmax = -1; p.forEach(function(c) { if (cmin == -1 || cmin > c) cmin = c; if (cmax == -1 || cmax < c) cmax = c; }); return Math.round(100 * cmin / cmax) / 100; } function weightcolor(v) { var colors = [ '#ff0000','#cc1b28','#993650','#665078','#336ba0','#0086c8','#0086c8','#339ed3','#66b6de','#99cfe9','#cce7f4','#ffffff',]; return colors[Math.round(v * 10)]; } var beijing = { "cityID": "Beijing", "pol": "pm25", "ndays": "15", "data": [1426316400, 67000, "", -11000, "", -2000, "", 5000, "", 3000, "", 5000, "", 3000, "", 22000, "", 4000, "", -55000, "", 0, "", -7000, "", -7000, "", -15000, "", 4000, "", 2000, "", -9000, "", 8000, "", 4000, "", -4000, "", 9000, "", 14000, "", 78000, "", 37000, "", -25000, "", -4000, "", -15000, "", -1000, "", 13000, "", 11000, "", 12000, "", -21000, "", -14000, "", -27000, "", 2000, "", 4000, "", -15000, "", -16000, "", -13000, "", -16000, "", 12000, "", 5000, "", 16000, "", 23000, "", -8000, "", 11000, "", -4000, "", 3000, "", 6000, "", -1000, "", -10000, "", -2000, "", -7000, "", -1000, "", 4000, "", -1000, "", -21000, "", -11000, "", -5000, "", -6000, "", -10000, "", -5000, "", -3000, "", 3000, "", -3000, "", -1000, "", -3000, "", 5000, "", -10000, "", 11000, "", 14000, "", 0, "", 54000, "", 8000, "", 8000, "", -3000, "", 6000, "", -11000, "", -18000, "", 3000, "", -6000, "", 0, "", -1000, "", -5000, "", -30000, "", -6000, "", 5000, "", 4000, "", -2000, "", -11000, "", -11000, "", 1000, "", -8000, "", 17000, "", 13000, "", -5000, "", -11000, "", -14000, "", -1000, "", -5000, "", 2000, "", 3000, "", 2000, "", -1000, "", 2000, "", -2000, "", 1000, "", -1000, "", 0, "", -3000, "", 3000, "", 3000, "", -1000, "", -2000, "", 1000, "", 1000, "", -2000, "", 7000, "", -9000, "", -4000, "", 1000, "", 1000, "", 0, "", 1000, "", 0, "", 5000, "", -3000, "", 3000, "", 7000, "", -8000, "", 5000, "", -6000, "", -1000, "", 3000, "", -1000, "", 3000, "", -1000, "", 1000, "", 0, "", 113000, "", 112000, "", 8000, "", 11000, "", -18000, "", -24000, "", -11000, "", 20000, "", 5000, "", -11000, -7200, -16000, "", 12000, "", 7000, "", 11000, "", -5000, "", -12000, "", -13000, "", -1000, "", -6000, "", -4000, "", -14000, "", 21000, "", 14000, "", 8000, "", 15000, "", -12000, "", -2000, "", 1000, "", 23000, "", -4000, "", 22000, "", 14000, "", 5000, "", -1000, "", 21000, "", 12000, "", 3000, "", -28000, "", -2000, "", -33000, "", -10000, "", -12000, "", -20000, "", -22000, "", 26000, "", 0, "", -2000, "", -10000, "", -23000, "", -9000, "", -17000, "", 1000, "", 10000, "", -1000, "", 14000, "", 3000, "", 20000, "", -57000, "", -26000, "", 24000, "", 11000, "", 9000, "", -22000, "", -47000, "", -18000, "", -2000, "", 0, "", -3000, "", -8000, "", 3000, "", 28000, "", 4000, "", 65000, "", -18000, "", -10000, "", 1000, "", -2000, "", -15000, "", -7000, "", 21000, "", -9000, "", -13000, "", -15000, "", -20000, "", -15000, "", -5000, "", -13000, "", -4000, "", -7000, "", -10000, "", 2000, "", 0, "", 8000, "", -13000, "", -6000, "", -3000, "", 6000, "", 3000, "", 2000, "", -2000, "", -8000, "", 2000, "", 1000, "", -1000, "", -1000, "", -4000, "", 1000, "", 0, "", 0, "", 3000, "", 3000, "", -2000, "", 1000, "", -1000, "", -5000, "", -1000, "", 1000, "", 1000, "", 3000, "", -5000, "", 0, "", 1000, "", 1000, "", -1000, "", -1000, "", -2000, "", -1000, "", 1000, "", 1000, "", 2000, "", -1000, "", -2000, "", 2000, "", 3000, "", 2000, "", 5000, "", -2000, "", 4000, "", 8000, "", -4000, "", -4000, "", 12000, "", 25000, "", 45000, "", 30000, "", 1000, "", 7000, "", 7000, "", -11000, "", -17000, "", -14000, "", -21000, "", -5000, "", -3000, "", 0, "", -5000, "", -11000, "", -11000, "", 4000, "", -11000, "", -15000, "", -8000, "", -4000, "", 7000, "", 7000, "", -1000, "", -4000, "", 17000, "", 14000, "", 7000, "", 8000, "", -2000, "", -35000, "", -16000, "", -3000, "", 0, "", 9000, "", 23000, "", 71000, "", -63000, "", 71000, "", 85000, "", 12000, "", 7000, "", -3000, "", -7000, "", -6000, "", 2000, "", 21000, "", -19000, "", -5000, "", -24000, "", -15000, "", -49000, "", -19000, "", -9000, "", -20000, "", -13000, "", -10000, "", -8000, "", 5000, "", -5000, "", 2000, "", 4000, "", -1000, "", -10000, "", 0, "", 4000, "", 1000, "", -2000, "", 6000, "", -9000, "", -10000, "", 3000, "", -4000, "", 4000, "", -12000, "", 0, "", 1000, "", -2000, "", -9000, "", 1000, "", -2000, "", 2000, "", 4000, "", -6000, "", 0, "", 4000, "", -1000, "", 5000, "", 2000, "", -3000, "", 0, "", -6000, "", 7000, "", -3000, "", 4000, "", -3000, "", 7000, "", -11000, "", 4000, "", 1000, "", -5000, "", 3000, "", -5000, "", 2000, "", 4000, "", 16000, "", -8000, "", -4000, "", 8000, "", -12000], "utime": "2015-03-14 07:00:00", "step": -3600 }; function initPage() { $('.nowcastparams').bind('input propertychange', function() { var wmin = $("#nowcastwmin").val(); var n = $("#nowcastn").val(); console.log(typeof parseInt(n)); if (typeof parseInt(wmin) == 'number' && typeof parseInt(n) == 'number') { $("#nowcastasiaAQI").html(""); new NowCastGraph("#nowcastasiaAQI").plot(beijing, width, height, nowcastAQI, { minweight: wmin, qlen: n }); } }); var width = document.getElementById("instantAQI").clientWidth - 20; var height = 100; new NowCastGraph("#instantAQI2").plot(beijing, width, 80, instantAQI); new NowCastGraph("#instantAQI").plot(beijing, width, height, instantAQI); new NowCastGraph("#nowcastAQI").plot(beijing, width, height, nowcastAQI, { minweight: .5 }); new NowCastGraph("#weightfactor").plot(beijing, width, 88, weightfactor, { colorf: weightcolor, minv: -.1, maxv: 1 }); new NowCastGraph("#nowcastasiaAQI").plot(beijing, width, height, nowcastAQI, { minweight: .1, qlen: 3 }); } </script> <br> <br> ... <br> <br> <div style='border-top:1px solid black;width:120px;'></div> <small> <div id='nowcast-footnote-1'> <span>[1] La durée de 24 heures est basée sur des décennies d&#39; <a href='http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epidemiology'>études épidémiologiques</a> utilisées pour corréler l&#39;exposition à la pollution de l&#39;air et un risque accru pour la santé. De nouvelles études épidémiologiques sont en cours pour corréler l&#39;effet d&#39; <b>une exposition instantanée</b> (c&#39;est-à-dire une exposition d&#39;environ 1 heure ou moins), mais cela peut prendre plusieurs années avant que leurs résultats puissent être convertis en une nouvelle « échelle AQI instantanée » officielle.</span> </div> <div id='nowcast-footnote-2'> <span>[2] Les vents forts ont assez souvent un effet sur l&#39;augmentation de l&#39;IQA PM <sub>10</sub> en raison de la remise en suspension des poussières.</span> </div> <div id='nowcast-footnote-3'> <span>[3] Au moment de la rédaction de cet article, en mars 2015, de nombreux pays n&#39;offraient encore qu&#39;une moyenne de 24 heures. Aujourd&#39;hui, en septembre 2016, les deux seuls pays connus qui ne fournissent encore qu&#39;une moyenne de 24 heures sont <a href='http://apims.doe.gov.my'>la Malaisie</a> et <a href='http://www.env.gov.bn/'>Brunei</a> . Tous les autres pays fournissent non seulement des données (horaires) partielles, mais également des concentrations individuelles pour chaque polluant.</span> </small> <br> <br> </div></div></div></div><center style='border-top: 1px solid #ccc'><center style='margin:10px 0;'><ins class="adsbygoogle" style="display:block" data-ad-client="ca-pub-0281575029452656" data-ad-slot="2455076269" data-ad-format="auto"></ins></center><script>(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});</script><div class='section-content'><a href='/faq/" . srvLang() . "'><span>Cliquez ici pour voir toutes les entrées de la FAQ</span></a><div style='margin-left: 20px;line-heigh:1.5;color:#888;' class='faqmore'><style type='text/css'>.faqmore li a:hover {background: #62a6c8;color: white;text-decoration: none;}.faqmore li a {color: #888;}</style><li><a href='https://aqicn.org/scale/fr/'>AQI Scale: What do the colors and numbers mean?</a></li><li><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/using-statistical-distances-for-real-time-sensor-networks-validation/fr/'>Using Statistical Distances for Real-time Sensor Networks Validation</a></li><li><a href='https://aqicn.org/faq/2017-01-10/nitrogen-dioxyde-no2-in-our-atmosphere/fr/'>Nitrogen Dioxyde (NO<sub>2</sub>) in our atmosphere</a></li></div><div style='height:1px;background-color:#aaaaaa;width:220px;margin-top:5px;'></div><center><script>var i18nTexts=(i18nTexts||[]);i18nTexts.push({"wa.KqlOlZrllRNJ+7u88XlbL2RQFwo=":"Oups... Quelque chose s'est mal pass\u00e9. 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Cependant, pour certains polluants, il peut y avoir un risque sur la santé pour un très petit nombre de personnes inhabituellement sensibles à la pollution atmosphérique.</td></tr><tr style="background-color:#ff9933;color:white"><td nowrap="true">101-150</td><td>Mauvais pour les groupes sensibles</td><td>La qualité de l'air est acceptable; Cependant, pour certains polluants, il peut y avoir un problème de santé modérée pour un très petit nombre de personnes qui sont particulièrement sensibles à la pollution de l'air. </td></tr><tr style="background-color:#cc0033;color:white"><td nowrap="true">151-200</td><td>Mauvais</td><td>Tout le monde peut commencer à ressentir des effets sur la santé; les membres des groupes sensibles peuvent ressentir des effets de santé plus graves.</td></tr><tr style="background-color:#660099;color:white"><td nowrap="true">201-300</td><td>Très mauvais</td><td>Avertissements de santé de conditions d'urgence. Toute la population est plus susceptible d'être affecté. </td></tr><tr style="background-color:#7e0023;color:white"><td nowrap="true">300+</td><td>Dangereux</td><td>Alerte de santé: tout le monde peut ressentir des effets de santé plus graves.</td></tr></table></div><br>Pour en savoir plus sur la qualité de l'air, consultez le <a href='http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_quality'> sujet Qualité de l'air sur Wikipedia </a> ou <a href='http://www.airnow.gov/index.cfm?action=aqibasics.aqi'> le guide AirNow de la qualité de l'air et de votre santé </a>.<br><br>Pour des conseils de santé très utiles du Dr. Richard Saint Cyr, consultez le blog <a href='http://www.myhealthbeijing.com/'>myhealthbeijing.com</a>.<br><br></center></div></div></div><center><br><!-- responsive ad --><ins class="adsbygoogle" style="display:block"data-ad-client="ca-pub-0281575029452656"data-ad-slot="2455076269"data-ad-format="auto"></ins><script>(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});</script><style type='text/css'>.usage-notice {line-height:1.5;max-width:95%;width:1000px;margin-top:10px;padding:5px;font-size: 15px;background-color:#ffffff;text-shadow: 1px 1px 1px white;-webkit-box-shadow: 1px 1px 8px -3px rgba(0,0,0,0.3);}</style><div class="textshadowwhite usage-notice" style=''><b>Notice d'utilisation</b>: Toutes les données sur la qualité de l'air ne sont pas validées au moment de la publication et, pour des raisons d'assurance de la qualité, ces données peuvent être modifiées à tout moment et sans préavis. Le projet <a href='https://aqicn.org'> Indice de la qualité de l'air dans le monde </a> a exercé toutes les compétences et l'attention réalisables dans la compilation du contenu de ces informations. <a href='https://aqicn.org'> Indice de la qualité de l’air dans le monde </a>, l’équipe de projet ou ses agents ne peuvent être tenus responsables, contractuellement, judiciairement ou autrement, de toute perte, blessure ou préjudice résultant directement ou indirectement de la fourniture de ces données.</div><br><br><br></center><style type="text/css">@media print {#fixed-menubar,#footer-overlay {display: none}}.footer {background: #138fcc;background-attachment: fixed;background-image: url("https://aqicn.org/images-static/bluesky-banner-panoramic-dark.jpg");background-position: top center, bottom center;background-size: auto 100%;position: relative;text-align: center;font-weight: normal;margin: 0 auto;color: white;width: 100%;font-family: "Noto Serif", Cambria, "Palatino Linotype", "Book 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