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Falando de Mercado: Perspectivas para fertilizantes em 2024 | Argus Media
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Meu nome é Conrado Mazzoni, chefe adjunto de redação da Argus Brasil. No episódio de hoje, a repórter da publicação Argus Brasil Grãos e Fertilizantes Gisele Augusto traz um balanço sobre a conferência Fertilizer Latino Americano (FLA), que aconteceu em fevereiro. Olá Gisele, seja bem-vinda.</strong> </p> <p>GA: Oi, Conrado. É um prazer estar aqui. </p> <p><strong>CM: Gisele, em termos de assuntos discutidos e principais preocupações do setor, houve muitas diferenças entre esta edição e edições anteriores da FLA?</strong> </p> <p>GA: Conrado, participantes concordaram que esta foi uma conferência de confirmação ou validação. Ao contrário do que pensavam antes do evento, foram mais discussões sobre perspectivas e tendências de preços do que negócios acontecendo. Isso é diferente do que aconteceu nos últimos dois anos, quando participantes em 2022 estavam desesperados para comprar, após o início do conflito na Ucrânia. Em 2022, muitos participantes estavam preocupados sobre a disponibilidade de volumes de cloreto de potássio, em meio ao conflito. Aquela também foi a primeira conferência pós-pandemia. Já em 2023, questões relacionadas ao cenário externo foram mais debatidas, em meio ao sentimento de alta de preços em 2023, com preocupações sobre preços de matérias-primas. Com o mercado brasileiro avançando em ritmo lento, após um ano de padrões de compra incomuns, e com diferentes tendências de preços para cada fertilizante, a maioria dos participantes estava mais preocupada em entender o mercado do que em adquirir novos volumes. Questões geopolíticas ainda fazem parte do cotidiano do mercado global de fertilizantes, mas estão majoritariamente precificadas e neste momento não há nada que aponte para um cenário de restrição de oferta de adubos – pelo contrário, a grande questão foi justamente sobre a retomada das exportações de nitrogenados e fosfatados pela China. </p> <p><strong>CM: Desde o início do ano, o mercado brasileiro acompanha com mais atenção os preços e as compras de ureia para atender a segunda safra de milho 2023-24. Para os nitrogenados, qual foi o principal destaque da conferência?</strong> </p> <p>GA: Os aumentos contínuos nos preços da ureia mantiveram as compras desde janeiro abaixo do esperado. Participantes questionaram por quanto tempo essa tendência de alta será sustentada no Brasil, considerando que o plantio do milho já começou nos principais estados produtores e outras culturas que utilizam o fertilizante nitrogenado têm uma janela de compra diferente. Nas últimas semanas, os preços de ureia no Brasil têm encontrado suporte nos fundamentos internacionais, como o retorno das compras por importadores dos Estados Unidos. Mas os níveis por aqui e em alguns dos principais mercados do nitrogenado, como Egito, Irã e Nigéria, começaram a recuar e o Brasil deve manter esta tendência. O que sustenta este ponto de vista é que os preços do gás natural e das commodities agrícolas estão mais baixos e o Brasil entra na entressafra de compras para nitrogenados, o que deve contribuir para pressionar os preços para baixo. Outro ponto levantado foi sobre a retomada das exportações de nitrogenados pela China. Não há informações oficiais, mas a expectativa é que as exportações da China sejam liberadas a partir de meados do segundo trimestre. Com isso, considerando o tempo de deslocamento até o Brasil, o adubo estaria disponível no fim do trimestre para participantes do mercado brasileiro. </p> <p><strong>CM: Você mencionou a oferta chinesa. Isso também é uma preocupação para os fosfatados, certo? Como o mercado avalia essa questão?</strong> </p> <p>GA: Sim, a China é também um ponto importante para os fosfatados. As exportações, até então, seguiam restritas, retirando um grande volume de MAP e NPs do mercado. O retorno foi um ponto importante durante a conferência. Os preços do MAP ficaram estáveis por cerca de seis meses no Brasil, com compradores concentrados na aquisição de nitrogenados e no desenvolvimento da safra de soja, enquanto produtores de fosfatados preferem enviar o fertilizante para países com melhores netbacks. Além disso, a China deve voltar a exportar aos poucos, para não inundar o mercado de uma só vez - o que pressionaria os preços para baixo. Em resumo, o retorno da China foi um dos principais pontos discutidos durante a conferência para dois dos três principais macronutrientes, N e P. No fim de fevereiro, a China anunciou que deve retomar as exportações de fosfatados a partir de meados de março. As cotas para MAP e DAP devem permanecer nos níveis do ano passado, porém não haverá limite de volume para TSP, SSP, NPS e NP. A única exigência é que as exportações passem pelo processo de inspeção e quarentena. As cotas de MAP e DAP valerão de janeiro deste ano até 31 de março de 2025, divididas em três períodos, de janeiro a abril, de maio a setembro e de outubro a março de 2025. A manutenção no volume das cotas somado à extensão do período de vigência de 12 meses para 15 meses tem pressionado os preços de fosfatados para cima nas últimas semanas. Os preços de SSP também foram questionados, uma vez que atualmente existe uma ampla diferença entre as ofertas de venda de diferentes fornecedores para o fosfatado com 19pc de P2O5. A diferença entre fertilizantes de boa e má qualidade, revestidos e não revestidos, aumenta a diferença dos preços e dificulta a fixação de um nível pelos compradores. Durante a conferência, essa diferença chegou a variar de 20 a 25 dólares por tonelada entre fornecedores. Desde o início do ano, muitos participantes da região Centro-Oeste se concentram na compra de produtos nacionais - que estão esgotados até março. Já para a região Norte, foram registados negócios pontuais no mercado de importação. </p> <p><strong>CM: Então a China foi o tema principal da conferência latina! E quanto ao potássio, Gisele? Sabemos, e você mencionou, que o fornecimento chinês é importante para N e P, mas esse não é o caso para MOP. Sendo assim, quais foram as preocupações e o sentimento do mercado em relação a esse nutriente?</strong> </p> <p>GA: Tem razão, a China não é um fornecedor de MOP para o Brasil. O que mais se questionou sobre o MOP foi "será que atingimos o piso para os preços de MOP, ou podemos esperar por mais quedas nas próximas semanas?". Fornecedores consideravam os níveis naquele momento, de cerca de $270-280/t cfr, os mais baixos e que uma alta deveria acontecer. Por outro lado, compradores ainda viam espaço para quedas, especialmente considerando o mercado interno. Fornecedores firmaram suas ofertas a níveis mais altos nas semanas seguintes ao evento e compradores acabaram por aceitar os aumentos. Os preços estão em torno de $290-310/t cfr, considerando negociações de diferentes origens. A maioria dos produtores já indica níveis até $320/t cfr para abril e maio. O aumento vem junto com o início do aumento da demanda para a safra de soja 2024-25, especialmente com as relações de troca de oleaginosas mais atrativas para o MOP do que para outros fertilizantes. </p> <p><strong>CM: Você mencionou as relações de troca da soja, então vamos aproveitar para falar um pouco sobre as safras brasileiras, qual a visão para a produção e os preços da safra atual?</strong> </p> <p>GA: Até o momento, os preços da soja e do milho estão em níveis abaixo do esperado. Com isso, a comercialização avança em ritmo lento nos principais estados produtores, já que agricultores esperam por um aumento nos preços. No entanto, parece ser consenso que as vendas precisarão ser retomadas em breve para liberar espaço nos armazéns para a chegada de mais volumes de soja e, em alguns meses, da segunda safra de milho. Os armazéns ainda estão cheios de grãos da última temporada. Além disso, por volta de abril, as compras de insumos devem começar a aumentar para a safra de soja 2024-25, o que também significa mais vendas de grãos, já que agricultores brasileiros financiam a maior parte de suas safras por meio da relação de troca. A maioria dos participantes não espera aumentos nos preços dos grãos para os próximos meses, considerando o bom desenvolvimento da safra argentina e norte-americana e a baixa demanda da China até agora. Participantes estimam uma safra brasileira de grãos entre 143-145 milhões de toneladas. Alguns agricultores não adquiriram sementes de milho para plantar em toda a área disponível, pois os preços do grão estavam mais baixos do que o usual no ano passado, mas acabaram enfrentando uma redução na soja após o clima prejudicar algumas áreas. Por isso, estão buscando outras culturas, como o algodão, o trigo, a cevada e o gergelim, para manter a área produtiva. </p> <p>CM: Parece que temos pela frente mais um ano cheio de desafios e muita informação valiosa em nossa publicação Argus Brasil Grãos e Fertilizantes. Obrigado, Gisele. Este e outros episódios do nosso podcast estão disponíveis no site da Argus em www.argusmedia.com. Acesse a página para acompanhar os acontecimentos que afetam os mercados globais de commodities e entender seus desdobramentos no Brasil e na América Latina. Em breve voltaremos com mais uma edição do "Falando de Mercado". 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style=\"color: #21016b;\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eAuthor\u003c/strong\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan\u003eArgus\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eCom vendas em ritmo lento e mudan\u0026ccedil;as no suporte de pre\u0026ccedil;os, participantes de mercado se reuniram na confer\u0026ecirc;ncia da ind\u0026uacute;stria de fertilizantes Fertilizer Latino Americano, em busca de clareza, sobretudo a respeito da retomada das exporta\u0026ccedil;\u0026otilde;es de nitrogenados e fosfatados pela China.\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003ca href=\"https://www.linkedin.com/in/conrado-mazzoni/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"\u003eConrado Mazzoni\u003c/a\u003e, chefe adjunto de reda\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o da Argus Brasil, e \u003ca href=\"https://www.linkedin.com/in/gisele-augusto-aa62a417b/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"\u003eGisele Augusto\u003c/a\u003e, rep\u0026oacute;rter da publica\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o Argus Brasil Gr\u0026atilde;os e Fertilizantes, conversam sobre os principais pontos debatidos durante a FLA, incluindo a vis\u0026atilde;o atual sobre as safras brasileiras.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003ciframe title=\"Falando de mercado: Perspectivas para fertilizantes em 2024\" height=\"150\" width=\"600\" style=\"border: none;\" scrolling=\"no\" data-name=\"pb-iframe-player\" src=\"https://www.podbean.com/player-v2/?i=2w5my-15ad0f0-pb\u0026amp;from=pb\u0026amp;from=pb\u0026amp;from=pb6admin\u0026amp;share=1\u0026amp;download=1\u0026amp;rtl=0\u0026amp;fonts=Arial\u0026amp;skin=1\u0026amp;font-color=auto\u0026amp;btn-skin=3\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin\"\u003e\u003cimg src=\"/Media/argus-media-logo.png\" placeholder=\"\" layout=\"nodisplay\" /\u003e\n\u003cdiv overflow=\"\"\u003e\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c/iframe\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eCM: Ol\u0026aacute; e bem-vindos ao \"Falando de mercado\" - uma s\u0026eacute;rie de podcasts apresentados pela Argus sobre os acontecimentos que impactam as commodities e o setor de energia no Brasil e no mundo. Meu nome \u0026eacute; Conrado Mazzoni, chefe adjunto de reda\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o da Argus Brasil. No epis\u0026oacute;dio de hoje, a rep\u0026oacute;rter da publica\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o Argus Brasil Gr\u0026atilde;os e Fertilizantes Gisele Augusto traz um balan\u0026ccedil;o sobre a confer\u0026ecirc;ncia Fertilizer Latino Americano (FLA), que aconteceu em fevereiro. Ol\u0026aacute; Gisele, seja bem-vinda.\u003c/strong\u003e\n\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eGA: Oi, Conrado. \u0026Eacute; um prazer estar aqui.\n\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eCM: Gisele, em termos de assuntos discutidos e principais preocupa\u0026ccedil;\u0026otilde;es do setor, houve muitas diferen\u0026ccedil;as entre esta edi\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o e edi\u0026ccedil;\u0026otilde;es anteriores da FLA?\u003c/strong\u003e\n\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eGA: Conrado, participantes concordaram que esta foi uma confer\u0026ecirc;ncia de confirma\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o ou valida\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o. Ao contr\u0026aacute;rio do que pensavam antes do evento, foram mais discuss\u0026otilde;es sobre perspectivas e tend\u0026ecirc;ncias de pre\u0026ccedil;os do que neg\u0026oacute;cios acontecendo. Isso \u0026eacute; diferente do que aconteceu nos \u0026uacute;ltimos dois anos, quando participantes em 2022 estavam desesperados para comprar, ap\u0026oacute;s o in\u0026iacute;cio do conflito na Ucr\u0026acirc;nia. Em 2022, muitos participantes estavam preocupados sobre a disponibilidade de volumes de cloreto de pot\u0026aacute;ssio, em meio ao conflito. Aquela tamb\u0026eacute;m foi a primeira confer\u0026ecirc;ncia p\u0026oacute;s-pandemia. J\u0026aacute; em 2023, quest\u0026otilde;es relacionadas ao cen\u0026aacute;rio externo foram mais debatidas, em meio ao sentimento de alta de pre\u0026ccedil;os em 2023, com preocupa\u0026ccedil;\u0026otilde;es sobre pre\u0026ccedil;os de mat\u0026eacute;rias-primas. Com o mercado brasileiro avan\u0026ccedil;ando em ritmo lento, ap\u0026oacute;s um ano de padr\u0026otilde;es de compra incomuns, e com diferentes tend\u0026ecirc;ncias de pre\u0026ccedil;os para cada fertilizante, a maioria dos participantes estava mais preocupada em entender o mercado do que em adquirir novos volumes. Quest\u0026otilde;es geopol\u0026iacute;ticas ainda fazem parte do cotidiano do mercado global de fertilizantes, mas est\u0026atilde;o majoritariamente precificadas e neste momento n\u0026atilde;o h\u0026aacute; nada que aponte para um cen\u0026aacute;rio de restri\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o de oferta de adubos \u0026ndash; pelo contr\u0026aacute;rio, a grande quest\u0026atilde;o foi justamente sobre a retomada das exporta\u0026ccedil;\u0026otilde;es de nitrogenados e fosfatados pela China.\n\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eCM: Desde o in\u0026iacute;cio do ano, o mercado brasileiro acompanha com mais aten\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o os pre\u0026ccedil;os e as compras de ureia para atender a segunda safra de milho 2023-24. Para os nitrogenados, qual foi o principal destaque da confer\u0026ecirc;ncia?\u003c/strong\u003e\n\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eGA: Os aumentos cont\u0026iacute;nuos nos pre\u0026ccedil;os da ureia mantiveram as compras desde janeiro abaixo do esperado. Participantes questionaram por quanto tempo essa tend\u0026ecirc;ncia de alta ser\u0026aacute; sustentada no Brasil, considerando que o plantio do milho j\u0026aacute; come\u0026ccedil;ou nos principais estados produtores e outras culturas que utilizam o fertilizante nitrogenado t\u0026ecirc;m uma janela de compra diferente. Nas \u0026uacute;ltimas semanas, os pre\u0026ccedil;os de ureia no Brasil t\u0026ecirc;m encontrado suporte nos fundamentos internacionais, como o retorno das compras por importadores dos Estados Unidos. Mas os n\u0026iacute;veis por aqui e em alguns dos principais mercados do nitrogenado, como Egito, Ir\u0026atilde; e Nig\u0026eacute;ria, come\u0026ccedil;aram a recuar e o Brasil deve manter esta tend\u0026ecirc;ncia. O que sustenta este ponto de vista \u0026eacute; que os pre\u0026ccedil;os do g\u0026aacute;s natural e das commodities agr\u0026iacute;colas est\u0026atilde;o mais baixos e o Brasil entra na entressafra de compras para nitrogenados, o que deve contribuir para pressionar os pre\u0026ccedil;os para baixo. Outro ponto levantado foi sobre a retomada das exporta\u0026ccedil;\u0026otilde;es de nitrogenados pela China. N\u0026atilde;o h\u0026aacute; informa\u0026ccedil;\u0026otilde;es oficiais, mas a expectativa \u0026eacute; que as exporta\u0026ccedil;\u0026otilde;es da China sejam liberadas a partir de meados do segundo trimestre. Com isso, considerando o tempo de deslocamento at\u0026eacute; o Brasil, o adubo estaria dispon\u0026iacute;vel no fim do trimestre para participantes do mercado brasileiro.\n\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eCM: Voc\u0026ecirc; mencionou a oferta chinesa. Isso tamb\u0026eacute;m \u0026eacute; uma preocupa\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o para os fosfatados, certo? Como o mercado avalia essa quest\u0026atilde;o?\u003c/strong\u003e\n\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eGA: Sim, a China \u0026eacute; tamb\u0026eacute;m um ponto importante para os fosfatados. As exporta\u0026ccedil;\u0026otilde;es, at\u0026eacute; ent\u0026atilde;o, seguiam restritas, retirando um grande volume de MAP e NPs do mercado. O retorno foi um ponto importante durante a confer\u0026ecirc;ncia. Os pre\u0026ccedil;os do MAP ficaram est\u0026aacute;veis por cerca de seis meses no Brasil, com compradores concentrados na aquisi\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o de nitrogenados e no desenvolvimento da safra de soja, enquanto produtores de fosfatados preferem enviar o fertilizante para pa\u0026iacute;ses com melhores netbacks. Al\u0026eacute;m disso, a China deve voltar a exportar aos poucos, para n\u0026atilde;o inundar o mercado de uma s\u0026oacute; vez - o que pressionaria os pre\u0026ccedil;os para baixo. Em resumo, o retorno da China foi um dos principais pontos discutidos durante a confer\u0026ecirc;ncia para dois dos tr\u0026ecirc;s principais macronutrientes, N e P. No fim de fevereiro, a China anunciou que deve retomar as exporta\u0026ccedil;\u0026otilde;es de fosfatados a partir de meados de mar\u0026ccedil;o. As cotas para MAP e DAP devem permanecer nos n\u0026iacute;veis do ano passado, por\u0026eacute;m n\u0026atilde;o haver\u0026aacute; limite de volume para TSP, SSP, NPS e NP. A \u0026uacute;nica exig\u0026ecirc;ncia \u0026eacute; que as exporta\u0026ccedil;\u0026otilde;es passem pelo processo de inspe\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o e quarentena. As cotas de MAP e DAP valer\u0026atilde;o de janeiro deste ano at\u0026eacute; 31 de mar\u0026ccedil;o de 2025, divididas em tr\u0026ecirc;s per\u0026iacute;odos, de janeiro a abril, de maio a setembro e de outubro a mar\u0026ccedil;o de 2025. A manuten\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o no volume das cotas somado \u0026agrave; extens\u0026atilde;o do per\u0026iacute;odo de vig\u0026ecirc;ncia de 12 meses para 15 meses tem pressionado os pre\u0026ccedil;os de fosfatados para cima nas \u0026uacute;ltimas semanas.\nOs pre\u0026ccedil;os de SSP tamb\u0026eacute;m foram questionados, uma vez que atualmente existe uma ampla diferen\u0026ccedil;a entre as ofertas de venda de diferentes fornecedores para o fosfatado com 19pc de P2O5. A diferen\u0026ccedil;a entre fertilizantes de boa e m\u0026aacute; qualidade, revestidos e n\u0026atilde;o revestidos, aumenta a diferen\u0026ccedil;a dos pre\u0026ccedil;os e dificulta a fixa\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o de um n\u0026iacute;vel pelos compradores. Durante a confer\u0026ecirc;ncia, essa diferen\u0026ccedil;a chegou a variar de 20 a 25 d\u0026oacute;lares por tonelada entre fornecedores. Desde o in\u0026iacute;cio do ano, muitos participantes da regi\u0026atilde;o Centro-Oeste se concentram na compra de produtos nacionais - que est\u0026atilde;o esgotados at\u0026eacute; mar\u0026ccedil;o. J\u0026aacute; para a regi\u0026atilde;o Norte, foram registados neg\u0026oacute;cios pontuais no mercado de importa\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o.\n\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eCM: Ent\u0026atilde;o a China foi o tema principal da confer\u0026ecirc;ncia latina! E quanto ao pot\u0026aacute;ssio, Gisele? Sabemos, e voc\u0026ecirc; mencionou, que o fornecimento chin\u0026ecirc;s \u0026eacute; importante para N e P, mas esse n\u0026atilde;o \u0026eacute; o caso para MOP. Sendo assim, quais foram as preocupa\u0026ccedil;\u0026otilde;es e o sentimento do mercado em rela\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o a esse nutriente?\u003c/strong\u003e\n\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eGA: Tem raz\u0026atilde;o, a China n\u0026atilde;o \u0026eacute; um fornecedor de MOP para o Brasil. O que mais se questionou sobre o MOP foi \"ser\u0026aacute; que atingimos o piso para os pre\u0026ccedil;os de MOP, ou podemos esperar por mais quedas nas pr\u0026oacute;ximas semanas?\". Fornecedores consideravam os n\u0026iacute;veis naquele momento, de cerca de $270-280/t cfr, os mais baixos e que uma alta deveria acontecer. Por outro lado, compradores ainda viam espa\u0026ccedil;o para quedas, especialmente considerando o mercado interno. Fornecedores firmaram suas ofertas a n\u0026iacute;veis mais altos nas semanas seguintes ao evento e compradores acabaram por aceitar os aumentos. Os pre\u0026ccedil;os est\u0026atilde;o em torno de $290-310/t cfr, considerando negocia\u0026ccedil;\u0026otilde;es de diferentes origens. A maioria dos produtores j\u0026aacute; indica n\u0026iacute;veis at\u0026eacute; $320/t cfr para abril e maio. O aumento vem junto com o in\u0026iacute;cio do aumento da demanda para a safra de soja 2024-25, especialmente com as rela\u0026ccedil;\u0026otilde;es de troca de oleaginosas mais atrativas para o MOP do que para outros fertilizantes.\n\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eCM: Voc\u0026ecirc; mencionou as rela\u0026ccedil;\u0026otilde;es de troca da soja, ent\u0026atilde;o vamos aproveitar para falar um pouco sobre as safras brasileiras, qual a vis\u0026atilde;o para a produ\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o e os pre\u0026ccedil;os da safra atual?\u003c/strong\u003e\n\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eGA: At\u0026eacute; o momento, os pre\u0026ccedil;os da soja e do milho est\u0026atilde;o em n\u0026iacute;veis abaixo do esperado. Com isso, a comercializa\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o avan\u0026ccedil;a em ritmo lento nos principais estados produtores, j\u0026aacute; que agricultores esperam por um aumento nos pre\u0026ccedil;os. No entanto, parece ser consenso que as vendas precisar\u0026atilde;o ser retomadas em breve para liberar espa\u0026ccedil;o nos armaz\u0026eacute;ns para a chegada de mais volumes de soja e, em alguns meses, da segunda safra de milho. Os armaz\u0026eacute;ns ainda est\u0026atilde;o cheios de gr\u0026atilde;os da \u0026uacute;ltima temporada. Al\u0026eacute;m disso, por volta de abril, as compras de insumos devem come\u0026ccedil;ar a aumentar para a safra de soja 2024-25, o que tamb\u0026eacute;m significa mais vendas de gr\u0026atilde;os, j\u0026aacute; que agricultores brasileiros financiam a maior parte de suas safras por meio da rela\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o de troca. A maioria dos participantes n\u0026atilde;o espera aumentos nos pre\u0026ccedil;os dos gr\u0026atilde;os para os pr\u0026oacute;ximos meses, considerando o bom desenvolvimento da safra argentina e norte-americana e a baixa demanda da China at\u0026eacute; agora. Participantes estimam uma safra brasileira de gr\u0026atilde;os entre 143-145 milh\u0026otilde;es de toneladas. Alguns agricultores n\u0026atilde;o adquiriram sementes de milho para plantar em toda a \u0026aacute;rea dispon\u0026iacute;vel, pois os pre\u0026ccedil;os do gr\u0026atilde;o estavam mais baixos do que o usual no ano passado, mas acabaram enfrentando uma redu\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o na soja ap\u0026oacute;s o clima prejudicar algumas \u0026aacute;reas. Por isso, est\u0026atilde;o buscando outras culturas, como o algod\u0026atilde;o, o trigo, a cevada e o gergelim, para manter a \u0026aacute;rea produtiva.\n\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eCM: Parece que temos pela frente mais um ano cheio de desafios e muita informa\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o valiosa em nossa publica\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o Argus Brasil Gr\u0026atilde;os e Fertilizantes. Obrigado, Gisele.\nEste e outros epis\u0026oacute;dios do nosso podcast est\u0026atilde;o dispon\u0026iacute;veis no site da Argus em www.argusmedia.com. Acesse a p\u0026aacute;gina para acompanhar os acontecimentos que afetam os mercados globais de commodities e entender seus desdobramentos no Brasil e na Am\u0026eacute;rica Latina. Em breve voltaremos com mais uma edi\u0026ccedil;\u0026atilde;o do \"Falando de Mercado\". At\u0026eacute; breve!\n\u003c/p\u003e"}}},{"uid":"8ea9a4f0-3023-49b5-a9eb-b83c767153e5","componentName":"ContactForm","dataSource":"{44347C6E-A16B-47F6-B06F-24D3854B9976}","params":{"CacheClearingBehavior":"Clear on publish"},"fields":{"Disclaimer":{"value":"Puede cancelar su suscripci\u0026oacute;n a estas actualizaciones en cualquier momento. Argus gestiona la informaci\u0026oacute;n personal de acuerdo con nuestra \u003ca href=\"/es/policies/copyright-policy\"\u003ePol\u0026iacute;tica de privacidad\u003c/a\u003e."},"Image":{"value":{"src":"/-/media/project/argusmedia/mainsite/english/images/people/contact-us-forms/contact-us-form-people-01.jpg?h=530\u0026iar=0\u0026w=1600\u0026rev=-1\u0026hash=15ADB845C50D6050F16F434C347C419B","alt":"People at a board room","width":"1600","height":"530"}},"FormId":{"value":"32806"},"AnchorID":{"value":""},"EnableSiteSearch":{"value":true},"Title":{"value":"Hable con nuestros expertos hoy mismo"},"Description":{"value":"Regístrese a continuación y personalizaremos una solución que satisfaga sus necesidades específicas. Cuando hable con uno de nuestros expertos, es posible que esté calificado para probar nuestros productos líderes en la industria de forma gratuita."}}},{"uid":"1ebd47ff-ec05-4d87-8f09-24812b2b8e14","componentName":"ListingItemSchema","dataSource":"","fields":{"data":{"contextItem":{"type":{"jsonValue":{"id":"ad73befb-2471-44f4-bf22-bf7c0c549373","url":"/es/data/listing-types/listingtype/podcast","name":"Podcast","displayName":"Podcast","fields":{"Title":{"value":"Podcast"}}}},"title":{"value":"Falando de Mercado: Perspectivas para fertilizantes em 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